Verified results · November 4
Our Algo 3 WinProb AI top picks won 29 races yesterday.
Every horse on every card was ranked by our machine-learning models before post time.
Average payout on winning selections. Our handicappers find winners the crowd underrates, so their winners pay more.
Show the numbers
| Week of | Our expert picks | Post-time favorite | Races |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24 | $5.03 | $4.38 | 578 |
| Oct 1 | $4.55 | $4.51 | 554 |
| Oct 8 | $5.12 | $4.66 | 567 |
| Oct 15 | $5.19 | $4.60 | 508 |
| Oct 22 | $5.16 | $4.62 | 488 |
| Oct 29 | $4.96 | $4.50 | 442 |
AI top-pick winners paid $4.24 on average · Post-time favorites won 37 of 94 (39%) and paid $4.00 · Pick Pony expert picks went 30 for 94 (32%) at $5.31 average.
Today: 98 races across 12 tracks — Belmont Park, Charles Town Races, Churchill Downs and 9 more. Picks are live now.
- Expert Consensus Picks every race day
- AI Picks: Algo 1, the AI Ensemble and the AI Win Probability model
- Today's Best Bets — where the AI and the experts agree
- Daily Handicapper Report and Mini Tip Sheet for every track
- Smart Stats on every horse name
- Fair odds, Live Overlays and exotics structures for Handicapper members
Smart Stats Card — the members-only deep dive on every horse
Click any horse's name anywhere on Pick Pony — including the winners above — and a full analysis card pops up:
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Today's free best bet · November 5
AI and the experts agree on this one.
Our AI top pick and the independent expert consensus landed on the same horse — the strongest daily signal we track, and the record shown is how that exact tier has run over the last 90 days. Picks are made the night before and re-ranked each morning once the official scratches are out. One free per day; members get the full alignment list every morning.
How Pick Pony works
Every horse gets rated
Eleven machine-learning models score every entrant at every covered track — form, pace, class, connections — hours before post time.
You get the picks first
Tip sheets, Smart Stats, and full past performances land in your account every race day, so you bet with the data — not a hunch.
Results you can verify
We publish yesterday's hits, misses, and payoffs right here on the homepage. No cherry-picking, no fine print.
Compare membership plans
| Starter $3/mo or $27/yr | Insider $10/mo or $119/yr | Most popular Handicapper $25/mo | Pro $49/mo | Pro Elite $149/mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI Picks: Algo 1 (weighted rating) | AI Picks: Algo 1 + Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) | AI Picks: Algos 1, 2 + Algo 3 (AI Win Probability with fair odds) | AI Picks: Algos 1, 2, 3 plus longshot model rankings | AI Picks: Algos 1, 2, 3 plus longshot model rankings |
| Expert Consensus Picks for most tracks | Expert Consensus Picks for every track | Expert Consensus Picks for every track | Expert Consensus Picks for every track | Expert Consensus Picks for every track |
| Today's Best Bets: any AI algorithm and expert alignment | Today's Best Bets: the sharper Algo 2 and expert list | Today's Best Bets: the sharper Algo 2 and expert list | Today's Best Bets: the sharper Algo 2 and expert list | Today's Best Bets: the sharper Algo 2 and expert list |
| Handicapper Reports and Mini Tip Sheets for every track | Handicapper Reports and Mini Tip Sheets for every track | Handicapper Reports and Mini Tip Sheets for every track | Handicapper Reports and Mini Tip Sheets for every track | Handicapper Reports and Mini Tip Sheets for every track |
| Daily Edge Radar and Bet of the Day | Daily Edge Radar and Bet of the Day | Daily Edge Radar and Bet of the Day | Daily Edge Radar and Bet of the Day | Daily Edge Radar and Bet of the Day |
| AI Morning Update (scratch-aware re-rank) | AI Morning Update (scratch-aware re-rank) | AI Morning Update (scratch-aware re-rank) | AI Morning Update (scratch-aware re-rank) | AI Morning Update (scratch-aware re-rank) |
| — | — | Live Overlays board, Kelly Edge Plays with live tote odds and stake sizing | Live Overlays board, Kelly Edge Plays with live tote odds and stake sizing | Live Overlays board, Kelly Edge Plays with live tote odds and stake sizing |
| — | — | AI Exacta and Trifecta structures | AI Exacta and Trifecta structures, plus Pick 3 / Pick 4 ticket construction | AI Exacta and Trifecta structures, plus Pick 3 / Pick 4 ticket construction |
| — | — | Experimental weight sets 2 and 3: follow our weight tests live | Experimental weight sets 2 and 3: follow our weight tests live | Experimental weight sets 2 and 3: follow our weight tests live |
| — | — | Best Bets email alerts and earliest access to each morning's picks | Best Bets email alerts and earliest access to each morning's picks | Best Bets email alerts and earliest access to each morning's picks |
| Smart Stats Cards — AI Performance Chart, AI Model Score History, Analyst Comments and Notables, Track Bias by Lane, Performance vs. Peers, Figure Comparison, Race Pace Simulation, Stats Table | Smart Stats Cards — everything in Starter plus Winning Profiles and E1/E2/LP Pace Positions | Smart Stats Cards — everything in Insider plus Race Pace Bias and Total Pace | Smart Stats Cards — everything in Insider plus Race Pace Bias and Total Pace | Smart Stats Cards — everything in Handicapper plus AI Model Score Badges and AI Model Comparison |
| — | Overlay and longshot flags on every horse link | Overlay and longshot flags on every horse link | Overlay and longshot flags on every horse link | Overlay and longshot flags on every horse link |
| Track Sense: bet tracker, bankrolls, handicapping pad | Track Sense: bet tracker, bankrolls, handicapping pad | Track Sense plus the strategy simulator and bet import | Track Sense plus the strategy simulator and bet import | Track Sense plus the strategy simulator and bet import |
| Track Condition Reports, Trainer & Jockey Spotlight, scratches and changes, racing news, weekly recap | Track Condition Reports, Trainer & Jockey Spotlight, scratches and changes, racing news, weekly recap | Track Condition Reports, Trainer & Jockey Spotlight, scratches and changes, racing news, weekly recap | Track Condition Reports, Trainer & Jockey Spotlight, scratches and changes, racing news, weekly recap | Track Condition Reports, Trainer & Jockey Spotlight, scratches and changes, racing news, weekly recap |
| — | Member forums | Member forums | Member forums | Member forums plus the private Elite Handicapper forum and office hours |
| — | — | — | Daily data export (CSV) of every pick, probability and model score | Daily data export (CSV) of every pick, probability and model score |
| — | — | — | Strategy Results: every strategy's record against the favourite, by track and race type | Strategy Results: every strategy's record against the favourite, by track and race type |
| — | — | — | Monthly Model Report: which models are winning, and where | Monthly Model Report: which models are winning, and where |
| — | — | — | Updated Win Chances and fair odds for every horse after each scratch update | Updated Win Chances and fair odds for every horse after each scratch update |
| — | — | — | — | Full-history downloads: every pick since 2024 with how it finished |
| — | — | — | — | Personal API key: pull picks, win chances and live overlays into your own tools |
| — | — | — | — | Live price alerts by email when a horse goes above our fair odds |
| — | — | — | — | Watchlists: an email when your horses, trainers or jockeys are entered |
| — | — | — | — | Labs: our experiments' daily picks and records, before they reach the published picks |
| — | — | — | — | Value Longshot Alerts (capped membership) |
| Fewer advertisements | ZERO advertisements | ZERO advertisements | ZERO advertisements | ZERO advertisements |
| — | — | — | — | Membership is capped to keep the odds honest |
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