Verified results · October 28
Our Algo 1 top picks won 32 races yesterday.
Every horse on every card was ranked by our machine-learning models before post time.
Best Bets are the races where our AI and our expert handicappers agree. Win rate week by week. The morning line is the track's own overnight favorite, set from the same form our picks are made from; both are graded on the same races.
Show the numbers
| Week of | Our Best Bets | Morning-line favorite | Races |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | 36% | 33% | 273 |
| Oct 8 | 34% | 32% | 314 |
| Oct 15 | 39% | 35% | 333 |
| Oct 22 | 40% | 36% | 330 |
AI top-pick winners paid $4.83 on average · Post-time favorites won 39 of 90 (43%) and paid $4.53 · Pick Pony expert picks went 34 for 90 (38%) at $5.19 average.
Today: 100 races across 12 tracks — Belmont Park, Charles Town Races, Churchill Downs and 9 more. Picks are live now.
- Expert Consensus Picks every race day
- AI Picks: Algo 1, the AI Ensemble and the AI Win Probability model
- Today's Best Bets — where the AI and the experts agree
- Daily Handicapper Report and Mini Tip Sheet for every track
- Smart Stats on every horse name
- Fair odds, Live Overlays and exotics structures for Handicapper members
Smart Stats Card — the members-only deep dive on every horse
Click any horse's name anywhere on Pick Pony — including the winners above — and a full analysis card pops up:
Plans from $3/month · cancel anytime
Today's free best bet · October 29
AI and the experts agree on this one.
Our AI top pick and the independent expert consensus landed on the same horse — the strongest daily signal we track, and the record shown is how that exact tier has run over the last 90 days. Picks are made the night before and re-ranked each morning once the official scratches are out. One free per day; members get the full alignment list every morning.
How Pick Pony works
Every horse gets rated
Eleven machine-learning models score every entrant at every covered track — form, pace, class, connections — hours before post time.
You get the picks first
Tip sheets, Smart Stats, and full past performances land in your account every race day, so you bet with the data — not a hunch.
Results you can verify
We publish yesterday's hits, misses, and payoffs right here on the homepage. No cherry-picking, no fine print.
Compare membership plans
| Starter $3/mo or $27/yr | Insider $10/mo or $119/yr | Most popular Handicapper $25/mo | Pro $49/mo | Pro Elite $149/mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI Picks: Algo 1 (weighted rating) | AI Picks: Algo 1 + Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) | AI Picks: Algos 1, 2 + Algo 3 (AI Win Probability with fair odds) | AI Picks: Algos 1, 2, 3 plus longshot model rankings | AI Picks: Algos 1, 2, 3 plus longshot model rankings |
| Expert Consensus Picks for most tracks | Expert Consensus Picks for every track | Expert Consensus Picks for every track | Expert Consensus Picks for every track | Expert Consensus Picks for every track |
| Today's Best Bets: any AI algorithm and expert alignment | Today's Best Bets: the sharper Algo 2 and expert list | Today's Best Bets: the sharper Algo 2 and expert list | Today's Best Bets: the sharper Algo 2 and expert list | Today's Best Bets: the sharper Algo 2 and expert list |
| Handicapper Reports and Mini Tip Sheets for every track | Handicapper Reports and Mini Tip Sheets for every track | Handicapper Reports and Mini Tip Sheets for every track | Handicapper Reports and Mini Tip Sheets for every track | Handicapper Reports and Mini Tip Sheets for every track |
| Daily Edge Radar and Bet of the Day | Daily Edge Radar and Bet of the Day | Daily Edge Radar and Bet of the Day | Daily Edge Radar and Bet of the Day | Daily Edge Radar and Bet of the Day |
| AI Morning Update (scratch-aware re-rank) | AI Morning Update (scratch-aware re-rank) | AI Morning Update (scratch-aware re-rank) | AI Morning Update (scratch-aware re-rank) | AI Morning Update (scratch-aware re-rank) |
| — | — | Live Overlays board, Kelly Edge Plays with live tote odds and stake sizing | Live Overlays board, Kelly Edge Plays with live tote odds and stake sizing | Live Overlays board, Kelly Edge Plays with live tote odds and stake sizing |
| — | — | AI Exacta and Trifecta structures | AI Exacta and Trifecta structures, plus Pick 3 / Pick 4 ticket construction | AI Exacta and Trifecta structures, plus Pick 3 / Pick 4 ticket construction |
| — | — | Experimental weight sets 2 and 3: follow our weight tests live | Experimental weight sets 2 and 3: follow our weight tests live | Experimental weight sets 2 and 3: follow our weight tests live |
| — | — | Best Bets email alerts and earliest access to each morning's picks | Best Bets email alerts and earliest access to each morning's picks | Best Bets email alerts and earliest access to each morning's picks |
| Smart Stats Cards — AI Performance Chart, AI Model Score History, Analyst Comments and Notables, Track Bias by Lane, Performance vs. Peers, Figure Comparison, Race Pace Simulation, Stats Table | Smart Stats Cards — everything in Starter plus Winning Profiles and E1/E2/LP Pace Positions | Smart Stats Cards — everything in Insider plus Race Pace Bias and Total Pace | Smart Stats Cards — everything in Insider plus Race Pace Bias and Total Pace | Smart Stats Cards — everything in Handicapper plus AI Model Score Badges and AI Model Comparison |
| — | Overlay and longshot flags on every horse link | Overlay and longshot flags on every horse link | Overlay and longshot flags on every horse link | Overlay and longshot flags on every horse link |
| Track Sense: bet tracker, bankrolls, handicapping pad | Track Sense: bet tracker, bankrolls, handicapping pad | Track Sense plus the strategy simulator and bet import | Track Sense plus the strategy simulator and bet import | Track Sense plus the strategy simulator and bet import |
| Track Condition Reports, Trainer & Jockey Spotlight, scratches and changes, racing news, weekly recap | Track Condition Reports, Trainer & Jockey Spotlight, scratches and changes, racing news, weekly recap | Track Condition Reports, Trainer & Jockey Spotlight, scratches and changes, racing news, weekly recap | Track Condition Reports, Trainer & Jockey Spotlight, scratches and changes, racing news, weekly recap | Track Condition Reports, Trainer & Jockey Spotlight, scratches and changes, racing news, weekly recap |
| — | Member forums | Member forums | Member forums | Member forums plus the private Elite Handicapper forum and office hours |
| — | — | — | Daily data export (CSV) of every pick, probability and model score | Daily data export (CSV) of every pick, probability and model score |
| — | — | — | Strategy Results: every strategy's record against the favourite, by track and race type | Strategy Results: every strategy's record against the favourite, by track and race type |
| — | — | — | Monthly Model Report: which models are winning, and where | Monthly Model Report: which models are winning, and where |
| — | — | — | Updated Win Chances and fair odds for every horse after each scratch update | Updated Win Chances and fair odds for every horse after each scratch update |
| — | — | — | — | Full-history downloads: every pick since 2024 with how it finished |
| — | — | — | — | Personal API key: pull picks, win chances and live overlays into your own tools |
| — | — | — | — | Live price alerts by email when a horse goes above our fair odds |
| — | — | — | — | Watchlists: an email when your horses, trainers or jockeys are entered |
| — | — | — | — | Labs: our experiments' daily picks and records, before they reach the published picks |
| — | — | — | — | Value Longshot Alerts (capped membership) |
| Fewer advertisements | ZERO advertisements | ZERO advertisements | ZERO advertisements | ZERO advertisements |
| — | — | — | — | Membership is capped to keep the odds honest |
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