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Race 1
Maiden Special Weight – 1100Y – Turf
Win: 3 Bonne Sante (Confidence: 80%)
Place: 9 Elenique (Confidence: 70%)🥈
Show: 7 Mermaid (Confidence: 40%)🥉
Alternative: 2 Pillar of Beauty (Confidence: 40%)🥇
Notes: This contest features a 5-furlong dash likely to suit sharp types and early leaders. Several newcomers face experienced contenders. Royal Retinue has not been far away in first two races and drawn ideally. Bonne Sante has solid claims after placing once this prep. Mermaid brings strong recent form and should take control early.
Race 2
Maiden Claiming – 1210Y – Dirt
Win: 6 Bint Mischief (Confidence: 90%)🥈
Place: 1 Bella’s Breeze (Confidence: 50%)
Show: 10 Ez Azul (Confidence: 60%)🥇
Alternative: 8 Essential Girl (Confidence: 30%)
Notes: Always tough with only minimal information. Bint Mischief is first-up after a 14-week break and ran fourth last start at Horseshoe Indianapolis, making her the testing material. Ez Azul placed at only start at Gulfstream and steps down to company at a non-metro level. Ten fillies square off, promising a competitive sprint.
Race 3
Claiming – 1210Y – Dirt
Win: 3 If Not For Luck (Confidence: 60%)🥇Place: 4 Fast Fixer (Confidence: 40%)Show: 9 Torch Is Passed (Confidence: 60%)
Alternative: 2 Retained (Confidence: 40%)
Notes: If Not For Luck won last start at Gulfstream and has multiple wins at the track. Fast Fixer has outstanding form at this track and is the real danger. Torch Is Passed is back after an 18-week break and has won five times at Gulfstream before. Expect early pressure from speed types.
Race 4
Maiden Special Weight – 1100Y – Dirt
Win: 5 Viking Sun (Confidence: 80%)🥉
Place: 2 Escapades (Confidence: 80%)
Show: 4 Sidearm (Confidence: 60%)
Alternative: 1 Sam The Sham (Confidence: 20%)🥇
Notes: A lot of horses with limited form here. Viking Sun was in the money last start running second at Gulfstream when fresh. Escapades was in the money at only start running third. Sidearm is a first starter from a strong camp. Expect Viking Sun to assert early.
Race 5
Janus Stakes – 1100Y – Turf
Win: 8 Reef Runner (Confidence: 70%)🥇
Place: 5 Coppola (Confidence: 70%)🥉
Show: 7 Litigation (Confidence: 40%)
Alternative: 3 Spiced Up (Confidence: 50%)
Notes: Litigation is fresh and won last start at Churchill Downs. Coppola is back after a break and goes well at Gulfstream. Reef Runner is in strong form with two wins from four attempts this campaign. This competitive dash is set to be lively from the gates.
Race 6
Sugar Swirl Stakes – 1320Y – Dirt
Win: 6 Mystic Lake (Confidence: 100%)🥉
Place: 5 Nic’s Style (Confidence: 80%)🥈
Show: 3 Ms. Bucchero (Confidence: 80%)🥇
Alternative: 1 R Morning Brew (Confidence: 40%)
Notes: Will be a close run race between the top picks. Mystic Lake resumes after a spell and is looking to make it four in a row. Nic’s Style has very strong form at Gulfstream. Ms. Bucchero came on strong to win last start. Expect fast early fractions as the leaders chart an aggressive course.
Race 7
Maiden Special Weight – 8F 110Y – Turf
Win: 7 Hamunaptra (Confidence: 40%)
Place: 3 Lemon’s Law (Confidence: 60%)🥉
Show: 11 Boss Henry (Confidence: 60%)🥇Alternative: 13 No Pressure (Confidence: 30%)
Notes: Hamunaptra ran a strong second on debut versus nine competitors. Lemon’s Law showed toughness and grit in the last race. Boss Henry is a Gun Runner colt with a pressing style. A genuine test awaits with newcomers adding intrigue.
Race 8
Allowance Optional Claiming – 1320Y – DirtWin: 4 Airdrie Hill (Confidence: 70%)Place: 3 Lynn’s Milky Way (Confidence: 60%)🥇
Show: 5 Lost And Found (Confidence: 50%)
Alternative: 9 Militia (Confidence: 30%)🥉
Notes: Airdrie Hill is undefeated in her two-race career and will be running second off the layoff. Lynn’s Milky Way is a very competitive filly with good early speed. Lost And Found is a versatile filly dropping in class and returning to dirt.
Race 9
Suwannee River Stakes – 8F – Turf
Win: 2 Movin’ On Up (Confidence: 90%)🥈
Place: 4 Crevalle d’Oro (Confidence: 40%)🥇
Show: 5 Aussie Girl (Confidence: 40%)
Alternative: 8 Public Defender (Confidence: 30%)🥉
Notes: Movin’ On Up is first-up after a 16-week spell and has multiple wins at Gulfstream. Crevalle d’Oro has a good resume of strong graded stakes races and gets class relief. Public Defender moves barns and gets a top jockey. Expect an honest and competitive race.
Race 10
Harlan’s Holiday Stakes – Grade 3 – 8F 110Y – Dirt
Win: 5 Poster (Confidence: 90%)🥈
Place: 7 Con Compania (Confidence: 60%)
Show: 2 Skippylongstocking (Confidence: 60%)🥇
Alternative: 1 Hold My Bourbon (Confidence: 40%)
Notes: Poster won last start at Churchill Downs and has won two of three as a favorite. Con Compania is stepping up in class and has outstanding form at this track. Skippylongstocking resumes after a spell and is a track specialist.
Race 11
Ft. Lauderdale Stakes – Grade 3 – 9F – Turf
Win: 2 Wolfie’s Dynaghost (Confidence: 70%)🥇
Place: 6 Cugino (Confidence: 50%)🥈Show: 8 Major Dude (Confidence: 40%)Alternative: 3 Chasing The Crown (Confidence: 30%)
Notes: Cugino has won two in a row and will take a lot of beating. Wolfie’s Dynaghost is looking for a hat trick after winning two in a row. Major Dude resumes from a 10-week spell with a strong finishing effort. Tactical moves from top trainers could decide a close finish.
Recommended Exotic Plays by Race
Race 1
Consider 9 Elenique and 3 Bonne Sante as anchors. 11 Chatelot is let-up for six weeks but is in with a chance and should be included.
Race 2
6 Bint Mischief is the testing material, but 10 Ez Azul looks threatening. 9 New Lease On Life is a first starter from a good stable and shouldn’t be treated lightly. 5 Serela could upset.
Race 4
2 Escapades is from a strong camp and should be considered in exotics. 1 Sam The Sham is capable of getting into the money with a bit of luck.
Race 6
5 Nic’s Style has very strong form at Gulfstream and must be included. 1 R Morning Brew is back from a let-up and good for wider exotics. 3 Ms. Bucchero came on strong last start and is a solid outside hope.
Race 7
7 Hamunaptra and 3 Lemon’s Law are tough to beat. 11 Boss Henry cannot be ruled out. 8 Relevance finished fourth last start and shouldn’t be treated lightly.
Race 10
7 Con Compania has outstanding form at this track and should be considered in exotics. 2 Skippylongstocking is a track specialist perfect for the exotics. 4 Classic Of Course has very strong form at Gulfstream and fits wider exotic tickets.
Value Play Observations
Race 1
11 Chatelot ran five lengths back from the winner last start but is in with a chance at a price.
Race 2
5 Serela is a first start from a strong camp and could upset. 7 Camm’s Girl is listed at 20-1 in some markets.
Race 3
6 Outlaw Country is listed at 8-1 and could challenge if the favorites falter. 1 Banneker looks the longshot most likely to challenge.
Race 5
3 Spiced Up is first-up after an eight-week break and is a sneaky chance. 1 And Uwish is a longshot who could challenge late.
Race 6
7 Win N Your In is a longshot to watch for an upset in the finish.
Race 8
6 Chatter resumes after a nine-week spell and is not without each-way claims. 9 Militia goes well at Gulfstream and offers value.
Race 9
6 Leo Toro is back after a break and won three in a row previously; don’t dismiss. 8 Public Defender could surprise if the pace proves strong. 1 Do Gooder is a 20-1 shot that could hit the board.
Race 11
3 Chasing The Crown holds value for a placing if improvement arrives. 1 Steal Sunshine has outstanding form at this track and is drawn perfectly; don’t dismiss at 20-1.
