Mahoning Valley – Pick Pony Handicapper Report & Tip Sheet – News, Analysis, Expert Picks, and AI Predictions for December 23, 2025


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Mahoning Valley Race Course opens its Tuesday afternoon card with nine competitive races featuring a mix of claiming, allowance, and maiden contests. The track continues its winter thoroughbred season in Youngstown, Ohio, with first post scheduled for 12:15 PM EST. Today’s card offers $212,937 in total purses, highlighted by a $35,100 Ohio-bred fillies and mares allowance and a $31,900 open allowance feature.

The track has earned a reputation as a winter racing stronghold, with its sand-based surface providing excellent drainage even during challenging weather conditions. This engineering advantage allows the facility to maintain consistent racing programs throughout Ohio’s winter months when other regional tracks face weather-related obstacles. The competitive nature of today’s card reflects the circuit’s role as a key venue for Ohio-bred horses and claiming-level campaigners.

Several connections bring strong momentum into today’s session. Jay Bernardini leads the recent trainer statistics at the winter meet, while jockeys Deshawn Parker and Luis Batista continue their dominance at the facility. Parker, a two-time national champion with over 6,000 career victories, remains one of the most accomplished riders in North American racing history. Batista captured leading jockey honors during the 2022-23 Mountaineer Park meet and the 2023 winter Mahoning Valley session, establishing himself as a force on the regional circuit.

Weather and Track Conditions

The forecast for December 23 calls for cloudy and breezy conditions with areas of mist and drizzle throughout the afternoon. High temperatures will reach 46 degrees Fahrenheit before dropping to 28 degrees overnight. Morning lows near freezing may affect the early racing surface, though temperatures should moderate by first post. The National Weather Service has issued no weather alerts for the Youngstown area, suggesting racing will proceed as scheduled.

Track management reported the dirt surface in Good condition as of 9:52 AM Eastern Time. The sealed winter racing strip features a sand-based composition specifically engineered for cold-weather performance. This construction includes six inches of drainage stone covered with stone dust mixed with agricultural lime to create a stable base. A sophisticated drainage system allows water to pass through quickly, enabling the track to recover rapidly from precipitation.

The one-mile oval measures 80 feet in width with banking at three percent in the stretches and six percent through the turns. The 1,000-foot homestretch provides ample room for stretch runs, though the track configuration generally favors forward positioning throughout the race. Track maintenance crews continuously monitor moisture levels using time domain reflectometry equipment, targeting approximately 18 percent moisture content for optimal safety and racing surface quality.

Track Bias and Post Position Analysis

Mahoning Valley exhibits one of the most pronounced inside post biases in North American racing, particularly in sprint contests where posts one through four demonstrate significantly higher win percentages compared to outside gates. The one-mile oval configuration features relatively tight turns that limit closing opportunities and make early positional advantages crucial for success. Historical data consistently shows horses drawn in the first four post positions enjoy substantial benefits, especially at sprint distances of six furlongs.

In six-furlong sprints, inside posts allow horses to save ground through the turn while maintaining forward positioning for stretch drives. The track’s configuration requires horses breaking from outside posts to cover additional ground securing favorable positions before the first turn, often demanding excessive early energy expenditure. Posts one through three historically produce the strongest winning percentages at sprint distances, with the bias diminishing gradually as distances increase.

For route races at one mile and beyond, the inside bias remains relevant though somewhat reduced compared to sprint races. The longer run to the first turn in route contests allows horses more time for positional adjustments, lessening but not eliminating the advantage of inside posts. However, tactical speed remains valuable even in routes, as horses that can secure forward positions without excessive early pressure hold distinct advantages on this configuration.

The sealed winter surface amplifies the existing speed bias at Mahoning Valley. The combination of cold temperatures and the track’s banking creates conditions that particularly favor early speed and tactical versatility. Horses with tactical speed who can secure forward positions and rate kindly hold significant advantages throughout today’s afternoon program. The 1,000-foot stretch limits the effectiveness of deep closers, making it essential for horses to be within striking distance by the quarter pole. Handicappers should weight inside post positions heavily when analyzing sprint races on today’s card, particularly in claiming and allowance sprints where horses drawn in posts one through four deserve serious consideration when combined with early speed or stalking running styles.

Race 1 – Ohio Bred Claiming Sprint

Post Time

12:15 PM EST

The opening race features Ohio-bred three-year-olds and upward competing at 5.5 furlongs for a purse of $21,500. The $15,000 claiming price attracts a field of six horses never having won four races. The conditions allow non-winners of a race since November 23 a two-pound weight allowance, creating opportunities for recently struggling runners to find their form.

Key Contenders

Silent Drill emerges as a logical contender from the Craig Sweeting stable with Angel Diaz riding from post five. The three-year-old gelding brings tactical speed that should work well with the track configuration. Diaz’s experience navigating Mahoning Valley’s tight turns combined with Sweeting’s training expertise creates a formidable combination. The mid-pack post position allows Diaz flexibility in tactics while avoiding the extreme outside gates that complicate matters in sprint races at this configuration.

Ghost of Londyn entered from the Jose Romero barn initially drew post four with German Terraza handling the riding assignment. However, scratches have altered this runner’s status, and handicappers must verify current field composition before wagering. The Romero stable demonstrates solid competence with Ohio-bred stock, and the inside-of-mid-pack post position would have offered tactical advantages had the horse remained in the race.

Tahlequah Joe represents trainer Emily Szczepanski with Joam Toledo aboard from post six. While the outside post presents challenges in the short sprint, Toledo’s ability to break alertly and secure position before the first turn could negate the post position disadvantage. The gelding must demonstrate early speed to avoid being caught wide around the turn, as such a trip would prove costly in the final furlong.

Secondary Choices

Stormed Out brings Robert Cline training and Fernando Salazar Becerra riding from post two. The five-year-old gelding secured a victory on December 7 at this venue, demonstrating current form that merits consideration. The inside post position provides Salazar Becerra opportunities for a ground-saving trip, though the horse must show tactical speed to capitalize on the rail assignment. Cline maintains solid statistics at Mahoning Valley, adding confidence to this runner’s chances.

Drill’s Boy enters from the Jose Romero stable with Miguel Martinez in the irons. The three-year-old gelding has shown improvement under Romero’s care, including a victory earlier in the meet. Martinez’s experience at the track enhances this runner’s prospects, though the middle post position requires sharp early tactics to secure favorable positioning. The gelding’s recent form suggests competitive ability at this level.

Pace Analysis

The limited field size creates an honest pace scenario without excessive early pressure. Silent Drill appears positioned as the likely pacesetter or prominent early runner, with Stormed Out potentially applying pressure from the inside. The five and a half furlong distance leaves little margin for error, rewarding horses that can establish position through the opening quarter-mile. The track’s speed bias favors horses showing early foot, suggesting tactical speed types hold advantages over deep closers. The winner likely comes from horses positioned within three lengths of the lead through the half-mile marker, with the final eighth-mile separating contenders. Track configuration and distance demand horses be forwardly placed to have realistic winning chances.

Selections

Win: Silent Drill
Place: Stormed Out
Show: Drill’s Boy

Race 2 – Fillies and Mares Allowance Optional Claiming

Post Time

12:43 PM EST

The second race brings fillies and mares three years old and upward together for six furlongs at allowance optional claiming conditions. The $27,500 purse attracts runners that have never won three races other than maiden, claiming, starter, or Ohio-bred contests, or have never won four races. The $25,000 claiming option provides flexibility for connections while Ohio-registered foals receive preference in the entry process.

Key Contenders

Loaded Once More towers over this field as the horse to beat following an impressive victory on December 1. The seven-year-old mare from the Jay Bernardini stable draws Deshawn Parker for the riding assignment from post one. Bernardini captured leading trainer honors during the recent Mahoning Valley meet, establishing his barn as the circuit’s premier operation. The rail post position combined with the mare’s tactical speed creates an ideal scenario for Parker to employ his considerable race-riding skills. The veteran jockey can save ground throughout while controlling the pace from a forward position. The mare’s recent form demonstrates she belongs at this level, and the class relief from her previous start enhances winning prospects.

Battleshipper represents Kevin Joy’s training and Erik Barbaran’s riding talents from post two. The three-year-old filly comes off a victory in similar company, suggesting current form that warrants respect. Barbaran ranks among the circuit’s leading riders, bringing strong hands and tactical acumen to every assignment. The inside post position allows Barbaran to stalk Loaded Once More’s early pace while maintaining a ground-saving journey. The filly’s youth advantage over several rivals could prove decisive in the stretch drive.

Larimar enters from Eddie Clouston’s barn with Luis Batista handling piloting duties. The eight-year-old mare brings veteran savvy and demonstrated ability at this level. Batista captured leading rider honors during recent meets at both Mountaineer Park and Mahoning Valley, establishing himself as a dominant force. The mare’s experience racing over this strip multiple times provides familiarity advantages that benefit performance. However, the outside post positions and veteran status create challenges against younger, improving rivals.

Secondary Choices

Honey Bella comes from Jay Bernardini’s powerful stable with Brandon Tapara riding. The six-year-old mare has shown consistency throughout the current meet, suggesting competitive ability at this level. The Bernardini-trained runner benefits from the same sharp conditioning that propelled Loaded Once More to recent success. Tapara’s familiarity with the mare enhances their partnership, though they face stiff competition from the top selections.

Lucky Cougar draws post six with Alexander Chavez aboard for trainer Nestor Rivera. The four-year-old filly brings strong course form, having recorded multiple placings over this strip. Rivera maintains solid statistics at the track, and Chavez demonstrates competence navigating Mahoning Valley’s configuration. The outside post position presents challenges, requiring alertness at the break to secure favorable early positioning.

Pace Analysis

Loaded Once More appears positioned as the likely pacesetter from the rail, with Battleshipper tracking immediately outside. The honest early pace should set up a legitimate test of stamina and class through the middle stages. The six-furlong distance provides sufficient time for pace dynamics to develop while rewarding tactical speed types who can rate kindly while maintaining forward position. The track’s speed-favoring surface suggests front-runners and stalkers hold advantages over deep closers attempting rally from far back. The quality mare from the Bernardini stable appears capable of controlling the pace while maintaining enough reserve energy for the stretch drive. Rivals must apply meaningful pressure through the middle stages to soften the leader’s kick, creating an honest pace scenario beneficial to all.

Selections

Win: Loaded Once More
Place: Battleshipper
Show: Larimar

Race 3 – Claiming Sprint

Post Time

1:11 PM EST

Eight older horses compete at 5.5 furlongs in this $8,000 claiming event carrying a $17,600 purse. The conditions accommodate three-year-olds and upward, with non-winners of a race since November 23 receiving a two-pound allowance. The claiming price creates opportunities for trainers seeking to improve their barns while providing competitive balance among the entered runners.

Key Contenders

Hey Cue emerges as the morning line favorite from Julie Mathes’ barn with Luis Negron riding from post five. The five-year-old gelding brings consistent form and tactical speed suited to the track configuration. Mathes maintains solid statistics at Mahoning Valley, demonstrating ability to place horses in winnable spots. Negron’s experience navigating the track’s nuances enhances the combination’s prospects. The mid-pack post position allows Negron flexibility establishing early position while avoiding extreme inside or outside gates that create tactical complications.

Kiltoom represents Crystal Richison’s training with Joe Stokes handling the riding duties from post two. The seven-year-old gelding comes off a victory at this venue, demonstrating current form that commands respect. The inside post position provides opportunities for a ground-saving trip, though Stokes must break alertly to capitalize on the rail advantage. The gelding’s recent success suggests competitive ability at this claiming level, making him a legitimate winning threat.

Time the Avenger enters from Nestor Rivera’s stable with Alexander Chavez aboard from post six. The five-year-old gelding won his most recent start on December 11, establishing sharp current form. Chavez demonstrates strong hands and tactical awareness navigating Mahoning Valley’s configuration. However, the outside post position in the short sprint presents challenges, requiring alertness at the break to secure favorable early positioning and avoid wide trips around the turn.

Secondary Choices

Ernie’s Martini drew consideration from handicapping sources despite recent scratches complicating his participation. Kevin Buttigieg trains the five-year-old gelding with Chelsey Keiser listed for riding duties. The gelding brings competitive ability at this level, though veterinary scratches raise questions about current condition. Handicappers must verify the horse’s status before including him in wagering calculations.

Stomping Moon represents Rey Juarez-Mendoza’s training with Luis Batista riding. The five-year-old gelding has shown flashes of ability throughout the current meet. Batista’s riding talent elevates any mount’s prospects, and the Juarez-Mendoza stable demonstrates competence placing horses appropriately. The gelding merits consideration for exotic wagering positions based on connections and recent form.

Pace Analysis

The eight-horse field creates legitimate pace pressure with multiple speed types drawn throughout the gate. Hey Cue and Kiltoom appear positioned as likely early leaders, with Time the Avenger potentially joining the vanguard from his outside post. The aggressive early pace scenario could compromise front-runners’ chances while setting up stalkers positioned just off the early leaders. However, the track’s speed-favoring surface and 5.5-furlong distance limit how far back horses can sit and still mount effective rallies. The winner likely emerges from horses positioned within two lengths of the lead through the half-mile marker. The pace dynamics favor tactical speed types who can secure forward position while rating kindly, saving energy for the crucial final furlong.

Selections

Win: Hey Cue
Place: Kiltoom
Show: Time the Avenger

Race 4 – Fillies and Mares Route Claiming

Post Time

1:39 PM EST

Eight fillies and mares compete at one mile 70 yards in this $5,000 claiming contest for three-year-olds and upward that have never won two races. The $12,100 purse attracts runners seeking class relief, with Ohio-registered foals receiving preference. The route distance creates different dynamics compared to the sprint races, rewarding stamina and pace-setting skills over raw early speed.

Key Contenders

Pearl Magic enters from Nestor Rivera’s stable with Alexander Chavez handling the riding assignment from the rail post. The three-year-old filly narrowly missed in her most recent outing, finishing second by a diminishing margin. The rail post position provides significant advantages in route races at Mahoning Valley, allowing Chavez to save ground throughout while maintaining tactical flexibility. Rivera’s ability to place horses appropriately enhances confidence in this runner’s prospects. The filly’s recent form suggests she belongs at this claiming level, and the class relief from her previous engagement creates winning opportunities.

Shady Nights represents Elliot Sullivan’s training with Angel Diaz aboard from post four. The three-year-old filly comes off a maiden victory on November 10, breaking through after several near-misses. The filly’s improvement trajectory suggests continued progress, and the mid-pack post position allows Diaz tactical options establishing early position. Sullivan’s training expertise combined with Diaz’s riding skills creates a formidable combination. The filly must demonstrate ability to handle the step up in class while navigating the route distance effectively.

Sip’n’ Speed enters from the Jose Bracho Jr. stable with Luciano Hernandez riding. The three-year-old filly brings breeding and connections suggesting competitive ability at this level. The Bracho barn maintains solid statistics, and Hernandez demonstrates competence piloting fillies and mares. The filly’s form suggests she fits among these rivals, making her a legitimate exotic wagering option.

Secondary Choices

Princess Opal represents Tina Casalinova’s training with Mauro Cedillo riding from post two. The four-year-old filly has shown occasional flashes of ability without achieving breakthrough success. Cedillo’s experience benefits the combination, and the inside post position creates opportunities for an economical trip. The filly merits consideration for deeper exotic wagers based on post position and rider skill.

Right Brightly comes from Julie Mathes’ barn with Luis Batista handling the riding duties. The three-year-old filly brings connections that inspire confidence, particularly Batista’s riding talent. Mathes maintains solid statistics placing fillies and mares appropriately. The combination merits consideration in multi-race wagers and exotic wagering calculations.

Pace Analysis

The route distance creates different pace dynamics compared to sprint races, rewarding horses that can establish comfortable early positions while rating kindly through the middle stages. Pearl Magic appears positioned as a likely pace factor, with Shady Nights potentially tracking close behind. The honest pace should set up a legitimate test of stamina and class through the far turn. The one-mile 70-yard distance provides sufficient time for late runners to mount rallies, though the track’s speed-favoring surface continues to benefit forward-positioned horses. The winner likely comes from horses within striking distance entering the stretch, positioned to launch sustained drives through the final quarter-mile. Deep closers face challenges on this configuration, particularly against rivals securing comfortable early positions while rating conservatively through the middle stages.

Selections

Win: Pearl Magic
Place: Shady Nights
Show: Sip’n’ Speed

Race 5 – Fillies and Mares Sprint Claiming

Post Time

2:07 PM EST

Eleven fillies and mares three years old and upward compete at 5.5 furlongs in this $5,000 claiming event offering a $12,800 purse. The conditions restrict entry to runners that have not won a race since June 23, creating opportunities for struggling campaigners to regain winning form. Ohio-registered foals receive preference in the entry process, reflecting the track’s commitment to supporting state-bred racing.

Key Contenders

Ala Turka enters from Julie Mathes’ barn with Luis Negron handling the riding assignment. The six-year-old mare brings experience and tactical speed suited to the track configuration. Mathes maintains strong statistics placing fillies and mares appropriately, and Negron’s skill navigating Mahoning Valley’s nuances enhances their partnership. The mare’s seasoning provides advantages navigating the competitive lower-level claiming environment.

D’ Kitten represents Rey Juarez-Mendoza’s training with Luis Batista riding. The five-year-old mare benefits from Batista’s exceptional riding talent, which elevates any mount’s prospects. The Juarez-Mendoza stable demonstrates competence conditioning claiming-level fillies and mares. The mare’s form suggests competitive ability at this claiming price, making her a legitimate contender.

Red Wren comes from Joseph Poole’s powerful stable with Yan Aviles aboard. The four-year-old filly draws from Poole’s barn, which maintains an impressive 20.76 percent strike rate with 93 wins from 448 starts at Mahoning Valley. This success rate substantially exceeds track averages, demonstrating Poole’s effectiveness with the configuration and racing surface. The trainer shows versatility across race types and claiming levels, consistently placing horses in winnable spots. Aviles’ riding competence complements Poole’s training expertise.

Secondary Choices

G’day Lady represents Jevon Crumley’s training with Alexander Crispin riding. The four-year-old filly has shown flashes of ability throughout the current meet without achieving breakthrough success. Crispin demonstrates solid hands and tactical awareness, while Crumley’s training keeps horses competitive at claiming levels. The combination merits consideration in exotic wagering calculations.

Patty’s Having Fun enters from Juan Carlos Gotera’s barn with Deshawn Parker handling the piloting duties. The four-year-old filly benefits from Parker’s exceptional riding talent and experience. Parker’s status as a two-time national champion with over 6,000 career victories brings championship-caliber skill to every mount. The veteran jockey’s ability to navigate traffic and find racing room could prove decisive in the large field.

Pace Analysis

The eleven-horse field creates significant pace pressure with multiple speed types drawn throughout the gate. The large field size amplifies the importance of post position and early tactical decisions, as establishing favorable position becomes crucial for success. Horses breaking from inside posts hold advantages saving ground throughout, while outside runners face challenges securing position without racing wide. The aggressive early pace scenario created by the large field could compromise front-runners’ chances while setting up stalkers positioned just behind the leaders. However, the track’s pronounced speed bias continues to favor forward-positioned horses over deep closers. The 5.5-furlong distance combined with honest early fractions creates a legitimate stamina test through the final furlong. The winner likely emerges from horses positioned within two lengths of the lead through the half-mile marker, launching sustained drives through the stretch.

Selections

Win: Ala Turka
Place: D’ Kitten
Show: Red Wren

Race 6 – Starter Allowance Route

Post Time

2:35 PM EST

Eight three-year-olds and upward compete at one mile 70 yards in this $17,600 starter allowance restricted to horses that have started for a claiming price of $5,000 or less during 2024-2025. Non-winners of a race since November 23 receive a two-pound weight allowance, with Ohio-registered foals receiving entry preference. The conditions create competitive balance while rewarding runners demonstrating improved form.

Key Contenders

Puff’smagicdragon emerges as the standout choice following a dominant victory in his most recent start on November 26. The four-year-old gelding from Rey Juarez-Mendoza’s barn draws Erik Barbaran for the riding assignment from post eight. Barbaran ranks among the circuit’s leading riders, bringing championship-caliber hands and tactical brilliance to every mount. The gelding’s recent form demonstrates he belongs at this level, and the class positioning creates winning opportunities. While the outside post presents challenges in route races, Barbaran’s skill navigating traffic and finding racing room mitigates the disadvantage. The gelding’s proven ability to rate kindly while maintaining forward position suits the track’s speed-favoring surface.

General Issue (FR) drops in class from higher-level engagements, creating appeal for handicappers seeking value. The four-year-old colt draws Deshawn Parker from post one, combining class relief with the circuit’s most accomplished rider. Parker’s exceptional race-riding skills elevate any mount’s prospects, particularly when paired with favorable post positions and class drops. The rail post position allows Parker to save ground throughout while maintaining tactical flexibility. The French-bred colt’s breeding suggests stamina for the route distance, and the class relief creates opportunities for improved performance.

Rhumjar represents Anthony Farrior’s training with Luis Raul Rivera handling the piloting duties. The six-year-old gelding brings experience and solid credentials at this level. Rivera demonstrates competence navigating route races, and Farrior’s training keeps horses competitive in starter allowance company. The gelding’s seasoning provides advantages in the competitive starter allowance environment.

Secondary Choices

Hemp Heaven enters from Karyn Wittek’s barn with Rocco Bowen riding. The seven-year-old gelding brings veteran experience and tactical awareness suited to route racing. Bowen’s riding skills complement Wittek’s training, creating a combination capable of competitive performances. The gelding merits consideration for exotic wagering based on connections and experience.

Dr Schuster represents Robin Schuster’s self-trained operation with Brandon Tapara handling the riding duties. The four-year-old gelding has shown improvement under current connections. Tapara demonstrates solid hands and tactical awareness, while trainer Schuster’s intimate knowledge of the gelding’s capabilities benefits race-day strategy. The combination represents a live longshot possibility in a competitive starter allowance field.

Pace Analysis

The route distance creates pace dynamics rewarding horses that establish comfortable early positions while rating kindly through the middle stages. Puff’smagicdragon appears positioned as a potential pace factor, though his proven ability to rate suggests tactical flexibility. General Issue from the rail should secure favorable early position, allowing Parker to conserve energy through the backstretch. The honest pace sets up a legitimate test of stamina and class through the far turn and into the homestretch. The one-mile 70-yard distance provides sufficient time for route specialists to demonstrate their stamina advantages. However, the track’s speed-favoring surface continues to benefit forward-positioned horses, making early tactical decisions crucial for success. The winner likely comes from horses positioned within striking distance entering the stretch, ready to launch sustained drives through the final quarter-mile.

Selections

Win: Puff’smagicdragon
Place: General Issue (FR)
Show: Rhumjar

Race 7 – Open Allowance Feature

Post Time

3:03 PM EST

Seven three-year-olds and upward compete at one mile in the $31,900 allowance feature. The conditions accommodate non-winners of a race since November 23 with a two-pound allowance, excluding races where entered for $25,000 or less from weight allowances. Highest earners during 2024-2025 received entry preference, with Ohio-registered foals also preferred. The quality field creates the afternoon’s most competitive betting race.

Key Contenders

Brick Ambush towers over this field following an authoritative victory over course and distance in his most recent start on October 28. The four-year-old colt from Jeffrey Radosevich’s barn draws Luis Raul Rivera for the riding assignment from post two. Rivera demonstrates exceptional skill piloting allowance-caliber horses, and Radosevich’s training places horses to win. The colt’s recent form line shows steady improvement, culminating in the dominant performance establishing him as a force at this level. The inside post position allows Rivera to save ground throughout while maintaining tactical flexibility. The colt’s proven ability to rate kindly while accelerating effectively through the stretch matches perfectly with the track’s configuration and surface characteristics.

Charleston represents Michael Rone’s training with Erik Barbaran handling the piloting duties from post four. The four-year-old gelding brings solid recent form, including competitive performances against quality allowance rivals. Rone maintains a 19 percent strike rate at Mahoning Valley with 56 wins from 291 starts, establishing his barn’s effectiveness at the track. Barbaran’s championship-caliber riding elevates any mount’s prospects, particularly when paired with quality trainers like Rone. The mid-pack post position provides tactical flexibility establishing early position while avoiding extreme inside or outside gates.

Eddie M enters from Nestor Rivera’s stable with Alexander Chavez aboard. The five-year-old gelding won his most recent start on December 1, demonstrating sharp current form. Rivera places horses appropriately, and Chavez brings strong hands and tactical awareness to every assignment. The gelding from post seven faces challenges from the outside gate, requiring alertness at the break to secure favorable position without expending excessive early energy racing wide.

Secondary Choices

Saint Goar represents Julie Pappada’s training with Rocco Bowen riding from the rail post. The seven-year-old gelding brings veteran experience and proven ability at allowance levels. Bowen’s riding skills complement Pappada’s training expertise. The rail post position in route races provides significant advantages, allowing ground-saving trips throughout. The veteran gelding merits consideration in exotic wagering based on experience and favorable post position.

Powerful comes from Michael Rone’s barn with Deshawn Parker handling the riding duties. The five-year-old horse benefits from Parker’s exceptional talent and Rone’s solid training. The combination of championship rider and effective trainer creates appeal, particularly for handicappers seeking value on horses with competitive credentials. The gelding represents a live upset possibility based on connections and recent form.

Pace Analysis

The quality field creates honest pace pressure with multiple horses capable of securing forward positions. Brick Ambush appears positioned as a likely early factor without showing pure front-running tendencies, suggesting tactical flexibility. Charleston should track the pace from a stalking position, with Eddie M potentially applying pressure from outside. The one-mile distance provides sufficient time for pace dynamics to develop while rewarding tactical speed types who rate kindly while maintaining forward position. The track’s speed-favoring surface continues to benefit horses positioned within striking distance throughout, making early tactical decisions crucial for success. The winner likely emerges from horses tracking within three lengths of the lead through six furlongs, launching sustained drives entering the homestretch. The quality of this field demands efficient pace navigation combined with late acceleration, separating legitimate allowance-caliber horses from overmatched rivals.

Selections

Win: Brick Ambush
Place: Charleston
Show: Eddie M

Race 8 – Ohio Bred Fillies and Mares Allowance

Post Time

3:31 PM EST

Nine Ohio-bred fillies and mares three years old and upward compete at six furlongs in this $35,100 allowance for runners that have never won three races. The conditions allow non-winners of a race since November 23 a two-pound weight allowance, excluding races where entered for $15,000 or less from weight calculations. The quality field showcases Ohio’s breeding program while offering the afternoon’s richest purse.

Key Contenders

Running Ash appears poised for another victory following back-to-back triumphs, including a course and distance score on December 9. The three-year-old filly from Jose Atala’s barn draws Fernando Salazar Becerra for the riding assignment from post one. Salazar Becerra demonstrates strong recent form at Mahoning Valley, ranking among the circuit’s most effective riders. The rail post position provides significant advantages in sprint races, allowing ground-saving trips throughout while maintaining tactical flexibility. Atala’s training has the filly peaking at the perfect time, with progressive form suggesting continued improvement. The filly’s tactical speed suits the track’s configuration and speed-favoring surface, creating an ideal scenario for another front-running or prominent performance.

Country Promises enters from Robert Gorham’s barn with Erik Barbaran handling the piloting duties. The three-year-old filly comes off an impressive victory on December 11, establishing sharp current form. Gorham maintains solid statistics training fillies and mares at Mahoning Valley, and Barbaran’s championship-caliber riding elevates any mount’s prospects. The filly’s recent improvement trajectory suggests she belongs competing at this allowance level. The breeding and connections inspire confidence, making her a legitimate winning threat.

Reasons We Drink represents Justin Radosevich’s training with Luis Rivera riding. The three-year-old filly steps up in class following success at lower levels. Radosevich’s training expertise placing young fillies creates confidence in the class maneuver, and Rivera’s riding skills provide tactical advantages. The filly must demonstrate ability handling the step up while maintaining her winning form, though the connections suggest she possesses the necessary quality.

Secondary Choices

Biondettisnitemare comes from Rodney Faulkner’s barn with Alexander Chavez aboard. The three-year-old filly has shown flashes of ability throughout the current meet without achieving breakthrough success at this level. Chavez brings strong hands and tactical awareness, while Faulkner’s training keeps fillies competitive. The combination merits consideration in exotic wagering calculations.

Compute This represents David Wolochuk’s training with Chelsey Keiser riding. The four-year-old filly brings experience and demonstrated ability at allowance levels. Keiser demonstrates competence piloting fillies and mares, and Wolochuk’s training maintains horses competitive. The filly represents a live possibility in a competitive allowance field.

Pace Analysis

The nine-horse field creates legitimate pace pressure with multiple speed types drawn throughout. Running Ash appears positioned as the likely pacesetter from the rail, with Country Promises potentially applying pressure tracking just outside. The honest early pace should set up a legitimate test of class and stamina through the middle stages. The six-furlong distance provides sufficient time for pace dynamics to develop while rewarding tactical speed types who can rate kindly while maintaining forward position. The track’s pronounced speed bias favors front-runners and stalkers over deep closers attempting late rallies from far back. The quality of this allowance field demands efficient pace navigation combined with sustained stretch drives, separating legitimate allowance-caliber fillies from overmatched rivals. The winner likely emerges from horses positioned within two lengths of the lead through the half-mile marker, launching drives through the final quarter-mile.

Selections

Win: Running Ash
Place: Country Promises
Show: Reasons We Drink

Race 9 – Ohio Bred Two-Year-Old Maiden

Post Time

3:59 PM EST

Nine Ohio-bred two-year-olds compete at six furlongs in this $31,800 maiden special weight contest. All runners carry 122 pounds, creating equal weight conditions that test pure ability without allowances or penalties. The juvenile maiden closer provides opportunities for future stars to earn their first victories while showcasing Ohio’s breeding program.

Key Contenders

Legal Jargon draws significant support from handicapping sources based on breeding and connections. The Robert Gorham trainee draws Erik Barbaran for the riding assignment, combining a successful barn with the circuit’s leading rider. Gorham maintains solid statistics developing young horses at Mahoning Valley, and Barbaran’s tactical brilliance maximizes any mount’s potential. The colt’s breeding suggests competitive ability, and the Gorham-Barbaran combination inspires confidence. The post position provides tactical flexibility, allowing Barbaran to assess early pace dynamics while maintaining options for his closing move.

Dragon Hunter generates market support suggesting sharp morning works and positive trainer feedback. The two-year-old gelding from Michael Rone’s barn makes his career debut with Joam Toledo handling the riding duties. Rone maintains a 19 percent strike rate at Mahoning Valley, demonstrating effectiveness developing young horses. Toledo’s riding skills complement Rone’s training expertise. First-time starters from winning connections merit respect, particularly when backed by informed market support suggesting workout brilliance.

Shallowbrook showed promise during his career debut, suggesting improvement with experience benefits second-time starters. The Jose Poole trainee draws Jose Bracho for the riding assignment. Poole’s exceptional 20.76 percent strike rate at Mahoning Valley establishes his barn’s dominance at the track. Bracho demonstrates solid riding skills, and the combination merits consideration. The gelding’s debut experience provides advantages navigating the competitive maiden environment, understanding pace dynamics and racing tactics that confound first-time starters.

Secondary Choices

Sheltowees Rocket finished second over course and distance in his career debut on December 8. The Michael Evans II trainee draws Rolando Aragon for the riding assignment, wearing blinkers for the first time. The equipment change suggests trainer confidence that added focus will improve performance. The gelding’s debut experience combined with tactical speed creates appeal, particularly for handicappers seeking value on improving juveniles. The near-miss effort establishes a solid foundation for improvement.

Chasing Orion represents Jason DaCosta’s training with Fernando Salazar Becerra riding. DaCosta maintains solid statistics developing young horses, recording his 400th United States victory earlier in the meet. Salazar Becerra’s strong recent form elevates the combination’s prospects. The colt merits consideration in exotic wagering despite earlier veterinary scratches raising condition questions.

Pace Analysis

The juvenile maiden field creates uncertain pace dynamics, as many runners lack racing experience understanding pace navigation. Legal Jargon and Dragon Hunter appear positioned as likely pace factors, with Shallowbrook potentially tracking close behind. The six-furlong distance provides sufficient time for pace dynamics to develop while testing juvenile stamina and mental maturity. The track’s speed-favoring surface continues to benefit forward-positioned horses, making early tactical decisions crucial for success. First-time starters face significant challenges understanding racing dynamics, often losing precious lengths at the start or racing greenly through the first turn. Experience provides distinct advantages in juvenile racing, allowing horses to navigate traffic and understand race flow. The winner likely comes from horses demonstrating professional demeanor from the start, establishing good position while rating kindly through the middle stages, then accelerating effectively through the stretch.

Selections

Win: Legal Jargon
Place: Dragon Hunter
Show: Shallowbrook

Jockey Notes and Insights

Deshawn Parker brings Hall of Fame credentials to every mount, having surpassed 6,000 career victories to rank among the sport’s all-time leaders. The 54-year-old rider stands 5’11”, making him one of the tallest jockeys in racing, yet maintains the skill and finesse that earned two national riding championships. Parker became the first African-American jockey since 1895 to lead all North American riders in victories when he captured the 2010 title with 377 wins. He duplicated that feat in 2011 with 400 victories, cementing his status among racing’s elite. Parker’s dominance at Mountaineer Park, where he ranks as the all-time leading rider, demonstrates his effectiveness on regional circuits. His six-win performance at Mountaineer on May 6, 2012, showcased his complete mastery of race riding. Today’s card features Parker aboard General Issue (FR), Loaded Once More, and several other live contenders, making him a key figure throughout the afternoon.

Luis Batista captured leading rider honors during the 2022-23 Mountaineer Park meet and the 2023 winter Mahoning Valley session, establishing himself as a dominant force on the regional circuit. The Panama-born rider recently celebrated his 800th career victory at Mahoning Valley on November 12, 2025, demonstrating remarkable consistency and longevity. Batista’s success across multiple venues reflects his adaptability and tactical brilliance. Today’s mounts include Larimar, D’ Kitten, and Right Brightly, providing multiple opportunities for trips to the winner’s circle.

Fernando Salazar Becerra demonstrates strong recent form at Mahoning Valley, ranking among the circuit’s most effective riders based on December statistics. The rider’s ability to navigate the track’s tight turns while maintaining forward position benefits every mount. Salazar Becerra won aboard Running Ash on December 9 and recently captured the seventh race on December 20 with Watch Me Daddy. Today’s assignment aboard Running Ash in the eighth race positions him to capture consecutive victories with the improving filly. The rider’s growing confidence and tactical maturity suggest continued success throughout the current meet.

Erik Barbaran ranks among Mahoning Valley’s leading riders, bringing championship-caliber hands and tactical brilliance to every assignment. The rider’s partnership with multiple top barns, including Jay Bernardini and Robert Gorham, provides quality mounts throughout race cards. Barbaran’s ability to judge pace accurately while maintaining tactical flexibility maximizes winning opportunities. Today’s mounts include Battleshipper, Puff’smagicdragon, Charleston, Country Promises, and Legal Jargon, creating multiple scoring chances across competitive races.

Alexander Chavez demonstrates versatility piloting various running styles while maintaining strong relationships with multiple training operations. The rider’s tactical awareness navigating Mahoning Valley’s configuration benefits every mount, particularly when drawn inside posts allowing ground-saving trips. Chavez handles multiple mounts today, including Pearl Magic, Lucky Cougar, Time the Avenger, Eddie M, and Biondettisnitemare, providing opportunities throughout the afternoon card.

Trainer Notes and Insights

Jay Bernardini captured leading trainer honors during the recent Mahoning Valley meet, establishing his barn as the circuit’s premier operation. The trainer’s success stems from careful horse placement combined with patient conditioning programs that maximize each runner’s abilities. Bernardini’s stable stars include Loaded Once More, who enters race two following an impressive victory demonstrating the barn’s current form. The trainer’s ability to identify spots where his horses enjoy class advantages creates consistent winning opportunities. Bernardini also saddles Honey Bella in race two, giving him multiple chances in the competitive allowance optional claiming event.

Robert Gorham maintains solid statistics developing young horses and conditioning allowance-caliber runners at Mahoning Valley. The trainer demonstrates particular skill preparing fillies and mares for competitive performances, as evidenced by Country Promises’ recent victory. Today’s card features Gorham-trained runners in multiple races, including Legal Jargon in the closing juvenile maiden. The barn’s strong partnership with leading jockeys Erik Barbaran creates a winning combination that produces consistent results.

Jose Romero handles multiple entries today, demonstrating his barn’s depth and versatility across claiming and allowance conditions. The trainer shows particular effectiveness with Ohio-bred stock, understanding the state-bred program’s nuances and competitive levels. Romero’s runners include Drill’s Boy and potentially other entries across today’s card. The barn’s consistency placing horses appropriately creates value opportunities for handicappers.

Michael Rone maintains a 19 percent strike rate at Mahoning Valley with 56 wins from 291 starts, demonstrating effectiveness with the track’s configuration and racing surface. The trainer shows versatility across race types and ability levels, consistently placing horses in winnable spots. Rone’s stable includes Charleston and Powerful in race seven’s competitive allowance feature, along with Dragon Hunter making his debut in the closing maiden. The trainer’s success developing young horses combined with his skill conditioning allowance-caliber runners makes him a force throughout today’s card.

Julie Mathes demonstrates competence conditioning claiming-level fillies and mares, placing runners appropriately while maintaining competitive form. The barn’s success with female runners reflects patient conditioning programs and careful spot selection. Today’s entries include Hey Cue, Right Brightly, and Ala Turka, providing multiple opportunities across claiming events. Mathes’ partnerships with quality riders enhance her stable’s winning potential.

Joseph Poole ranks among Mahoning Valley’s most successful trainers, maintaining an impressive 20.76 percent strike rate with 93 wins from 448 starts at the track. This success rate substantially exceeds track averages, demonstrating Poole’s exceptional effectiveness with the configuration and racing surface. The barn shows versatility across race types and claiming levels, consistently placing horses in winnable spots with honest efforts expected from every starter. Today’s card features Poole-trained runners including Red Wren and Shallowbrook, making him a key figure throughout the afternoon program.

Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays

The pronounced inside post bias at Mahoning Valley creates significant wagering opportunities throughout today’s card, particularly in sprint races where posts one through four historically produce higher win percentages. Handicappers should weight post position heavily when constructing wagers, especially in six-furlong sprints where the bias proves most pronounced. Horses drawn in posts one through four with tactical speed deserve serious consideration for win, place, and exacta wagering, particularly when combined with quality jockeys understanding the track’s configuration.

Early Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3): The opening sequence creates opportunities for solid returns while establishing momentum for the afternoon. Consider keying Silent Drill on top in race one, then spreading in race two with Loaded Once More, Battleshipper, and Larimar. Race three brings the widest field, suggesting spreads including Hey Cue, Kiltoom, and Time the Avenger. A $24 ticket using 1 x 3 x 3 provides coverage while controlling costs.

Middle Pick 4 (Races 4-5-6-7): This sequence combines claiming races with the afternoon’s feature allowance, creating value opportunities. Pearl Magic from the rail provides a single in race four, then spread in race five’s large field using Ala Turka, D’ Kitten, Red Wren, and G’day Lady. Race six centers on Puff’smagicdragon with General Issue (FR) backup, while race seven spreads with Brick Ambush, Charleston, and Eddie M. A $48 ticket using 1 x 4 x 2 x 3 provides solid coverage.

Late Daily Double (Races 8-9): The final two races feature Ohio-bred allowance and maiden events. Running Ash provides a logical single in race eight following consecutive victories, while the closing maiden spreads with Legal Jargon, Dragon Hunter, Shallowbrook, and Sheltowees Rocket. A $8 ticket using 1 x 4 creates value while respecting the unpredictable nature of juvenile maiden racing.

Exacta and Trifecta Boxes: Throughout the card, consider boxing horses from favorable post positions with proven tactical speed. Race two’s exacta box combining Loaded Once More and Battleshipper creates solid value at reasonable cost. Race seven’s trifecta box including Brick Ambush, Charleston, and Eddie M provides coverage of the likely top three finishers. These conservative approaches sacrifice potential returns for increased hit rates, appropriate for maiden handicappers building confidence.

Horizontal Exotic Focus: The large fields in races five and nine create opportunities for horizontal exotics like exactas, trifectas, and superfectas. The eleven-horse field in race five suggests spreading wider in exotic wagers, while the nine-horse maiden closer benefits from including multiple first-time starters in exotic calculations. These large fields amplify potential payoffs while increasing the likelihood of surprise results.

Track Configuration Angles: Throughout the afternoon, favor horses combining inside post positions (1-4) with tactical speed and quality riders. This combination provides maximum advantage given Mahoning Valley’s pronounced biases. Conversely, outside posts in sprint races face significant disadvantages unless horses demonstrate superior class or tactical speed allowing them to overcome post position deficits. The 1,000-foot stretch limits how far back horses can position themselves while maintaining realistic winning chances, particularly on the speed-favoring sealed winter surface.

Trainer and Jockey Combinations: Focus wagering attention on combinations like Jay Bernardini with Deshawn Parker (Loaded Once More), Robert Gorham with Erik Barbaran (Legal Jargon), and Joseph Poole with quality riders (Red Wren, Shallowbrook). These partnerships demonstrate consistent success at the track, justifying confidence in their combined abilities. The track configuration and sealed surface reward experience and tactical awareness, making veteran riders like Parker and Batista particularly valuable throughout the card.

Value Overlay Opportunities: Consider General Issue (FR) in race six as a potential overlay given his class drop combined with Parker’s riding. The French-bred colt stepping down from higher-level competition while adding the circuit’s leading rider creates value potential if public wagering focuses heavily on the recent winner Puff’smagicdragon. Similarly, Shallowbrook in the closing maiden represents value based on debut experience combined with Poole’s exceptional training statistics. These overlays create opportunities for handicappers willing to oppose obvious favorites when tactical and class factors suggest competitive performances.

The track’s winter configuration combined with today’s weather conditions creates an environment favoring tactical speed and forward positioning throughout the afternoon. Handicappers should adjust wagering strategies accordingly, focusing attention on horses demonstrating early speed or stalking capabilities while respecting inside post positions. The sealed surface amplifies existing biases, making position and pace navigation even more crucial for success than during moderate weather conditions.

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