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Will Rogers Downs in Claremore, Oklahoma hosts a nine-race thoroughbred card on Tuesday, February 24, 2026, with a first post time of 1:15 PM CST. The card features a well-balanced mix of condition levels: three Maiden Special Weight events (Races 1, 4, and 6), two Allowance races for Oklahoma-breds (Races 3 and 8), one open Allowance for fillies and mares (Race 5), two Claiming races at the $7,500 tag (Races 2 and 7), and a $5,000 Claiming sprint to close the card (Race 9).
All nine races will be contested on the dirt surface. Sprint distances dominate with six races carded at 5 1/2 furlongs, one at 6 furlongs, and two route races at one mile. Purses range from $12,000 for the claiming events up to $28,000 for the Oklahoma-bred Allowance conditions.
Several horses appear on the scratch watch heading into the card. Grace the Kingdom (PP4, Race 5) is flagged for a veterinarian scratch. Myrna (PP6, Race 6) is on scratch watch by the stewards. Cajun Stoops (PP8, Race 8) is on scratch watch per the trainer. In Race 9, both Mega Shack (PP6) and Stomping Hotrod (PP1) are on scratch watch for veterinarian and trainer reasons respectively. Bettors should monitor these closely as any scratches will significantly alter the dynamics of those races.
Weather and Track Conditions
As of early morning Tuesday, Claremore Regional Airport reported a temperature of 37 degrees Fahrenheit under clear skies with south winds at 16.1 mph gusting to 20 mph. The barometric pressure sits at 29.99 inches with humidity at 47% and visibility at 10 miles.
The daytime forecast calls for mostly sunny skies turning breezy, with highs climbing into the upper 60s to low 70s. South winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 35 mph are expected through the afternoon racing hours. The evening transition will see mostly cloudy conditions with temperatures falling into the mid-40s and diminishing winds from the south at 5 to 10 mph. There is a zero percent probability of precipitation throughout the entire day.
Given the extended dry spell — Claremore has seen no meaningful rainfall in recent days with yesterday’s high of 46 degrees and low of 21 degrees under passing clouds — the dirt surface should remain fast. The gusty south winds on the backstretch will be a notable factor, potentially offering a slight headwind advantage to horses stalking from off the pace, particularly in the 5 1/2-furlong sprints where the stretch run faces generally into the wind. The warming afternoon temperatures will dry the surface further, potentially creating a speed-favoring strip as the card progresses.
Track Bias and Post Position Analysis
Will Rogers Downs features a dirt surface that generally caters favorably to early speed, particularly at the sprint distances of 5 1/2 and 6 furlongs. The track configuration creates a short run to the first turn in the one-mile route races, which places a premium on inside post positions. Horses drawn in the first three stalls historically enjoy a distinct advantage in saving ground at the route distance, whereas outside draws in the two-turn events risk being caught wide and losing critical momentum before the first bend.
In sprint races, the speed bias is well-documented, though closers can succeed when multiple speed types engage in early pace battles that compromise the frontrunners. The breezy conditions today may temper that speed bias slightly, as frontrunners fighting a stiff south wind on the backstretch could weaken earlier than usual, setting up late-running types for better finishes. Even so, tactical speed — horses that can sit just off the leader — remains the most reliable running style at this track.
For the two route races on the card (Races 2 and 5), inside posts (PPs 1-3) carry a significant edge. Horses breaking from the outside in these one-mile events face the unenviable task of either using excess energy to secure position or accepting a wide trip that costs multiple lengths through the first turn.
Race 1 — Maiden Special Weight, 5 1/2 Furlongs Dirt, $25,000
Post Time: 1:15 PM CST
Six Oklahoma-bred maiden geldings, three years old and upward, contest this opening sprint. The field is comprised of experienced horses that have been knocking on the door as well as a first-time starter.
Pace Analysis
This field does not feature a surplus of pure early speed. Jamesons Chalk (PP1) profiles as the fastest early type, a “Fastest Stalker” who should press forward from the rail. El Protonico (PP5) is a “Fast Stalker” who will look to track from a forward position. Captain Flatter (PP3), despite being the heavy favorite, profiles as a “Fast Closer” who will attempt to stalk from the second flight and make a late run. The pace projection suggests a moderate opening quarter with no contested speed duel, which slightly favors the frontrunners on this speed-biased strip.
Key Contenders
Captain Flatter (PP3) is the 1/1 morning line favorite and the consensus top choice among handicappers. In five career starts, he has finished second three times and third twice, showing a 60% in-the-money rate while still seeking his maiden victory. His two most recent starts were both runner-up finishes at Will Rogers Downs over 6 furlongs and 5 1/2 furlongs, demonstrating familiarity with the surface and distance. He drops to the 118-pound weight assignment as a three-year-old facing older rivals carrying 126 pounds, an eight-pound swing that is significant in a maiden sprint. Jockey Floyd Wethey Jr. is one of the leading riders at the current meet with a 17% win rate and 48% in-the-money rate. Trainer Scott E. Young wins at a 17% clip with 42% in-the-money. The combination of form, class, and connections makes him the one to beat.
Jamesons Chalk (PP1) draws the rail and carries a 3/1 morning line. His career record of 0-2-3 from seven starts mirrors Captain Flatter’s consistency without a breakthrough win, and his $54,045 in career earnings represents the most in this field. As a “Fastest Stalker,” he can use his inside draw to establish an economical trip along the rail. Trainer Edward Ross Hardy shows a small but potent sample with a 50% win rate. This horse is the principal threat if Captain Flatter cannot get to the front in time.
Secondary Choices
El Protonico (PP5) carries a 4/1 morning line and brings seven starts of experience with a 43% show rate. His two recent starts at Will Rogers Downs produced fourth- and fifth-place finishes in 6-furlong maiden fields, which suggests he may be slightly outclassed at this level. However, his “Fast Stalker” style is well-suited if the pace collapses, and jockey Roman Cruz has an 11% win rate with 44% ITM.
Five Wide (PP6) is a first-time starter at 6/1 on the morning line. While there is no past performance data to analyze, the connections are notable: jockey Travis Cunningham wins at an 18% clip with 45% in-the-money, among the best at the meeting. Trainer Mark W. Buehrer wins at 12%. First-time starters at Will Rogers Downs can occasionally spring upsets, particularly when backed by live connections.
Longshots
E Money (PP2) at 12/1 has an abysmal career record of 0-0-0 from eight starts, all at the higher-class Oaklawn Park circuit. The class drop to an Oklahoma-bred maiden event could help, but his form gives little reason for confidence. Max’s Lucky Bling (PP4) at 12/1 is similarly winless from two career starts and can be used underneath at best.
Selections
Win: 3 Captain Flatter
Place: 1 Jamesons Chalk
Show: 5 El Protonico
Betting Strategy: Captain Flatter will likely go off at prohibitively short odds, making a straight win bet unappealing. The play is to key Captain Flatter on top of exacta tickets with Jamesons Chalk and El Protonico underneath, and include Five Wide in trifecta third spots for a possible debut score. A 3/1/5/6 superfecta box offers modest value if Five Wide runs well in his debut.
Race 2 — Claiming, 1 Mile Dirt, $12,000 (Claiming Price $7,500)
Post Time: 1:42 PM CST
Eight Oklahoma-bred geldings, three years old and upward, go one mile for a $7,500 claiming tag. This is one of the two route races on the card where inside post positions carry added importance due to the short run to the first turn.
Pace Analysis
This race features multiple horses with forward-running styles at a distance where early position is critical. Work Zone (PP1) and Keep Up the Pace (PP2) both draw inside and figure to press forward. Hillbilly Up (PP6) also has speed. With several horses wanting the lead, the pace could be honest to contested, which may set up a mid-pack stalker or closer with a ground-saving trip to make a late run.
Key Contenders
Brody’s Chrome (PP7) is the 2/1 morning line favorite. Trainer Jesse Oberlander has a capable hand with this level, and jockey David Cabrera wins at a 17% clip with a strong 53% ITM rate. Drawing post 7 in a one-mile race is a concern, as this requires early speed or a very patient ride to avoid losing ground on the first turn. If Cabrera can navigate the break and settle into a ground-saving position, this horse can be dangerous late.
Work Zone (PP1) carries a 3/1 morning line and is the consensus pick among handicappers. The inside draw is ideal for the one-mile distance, allowing jockey Alberto Pusac to save ground throughout. Trainer M. Brent Davidson has two entrants in this race (also Keep Up the Pace, PP2), but Work Zone appears to be the preferred runner based on rider assignment. Pusac wins at 17% with 41% ITM.
Secondary Choices
Hillbilly Up (PP6) at 7/2 on the morning line brings the services of jockey Leandro D. Goncalves (11% win, 40% ITM) and trainer Francisco Bravo. He has shown some early speed capabilities that could place him forwardly in this field.
Keep Up the Pace (PP2) at 5/1 draws inside and shares the Davidson barn with Work Zone. Jockey Obed Sanchez has been competent, and the inside post should allow a ground-saving trip. This horse could outrun his odds if the pace sets up favorably.
Longshots
Social Sooner (PP3) at 10/1 and Gospel Native (PP4) at 12/1 are the secondary longshot plays. Gospel Journey (PP5) at 15/1 and War for Gold (PP8) at 20/1 appear to be up against it based on morning line assessment.
Selections
Win: 1 Work Zone
Place: 7 Brody’s Chrome
Show: 6 Hillbilly Up
Betting Strategy: The route distance favors inside posts, making Work Zone a solid play on top. Key Work Zone over Brody’s Chrome and Hillbilly Up in exactas. For trifectas, add Keep Up the Pace underneath. The contested pace scenario could produce a generous payout if a stalker from mid-pack gets the right trip.
Race 3 — Allowance, 5 1/2 Furlongs Dirt, $28,000
Post Time: 2:09 PM CST
A compact field of five Oklahoma-bred fillies and mares tackles the allowance condition at 5 1/2 furlongs. This is the first higher-purse event of the day and should feature quality competition.
Pace Analysis
With only five runners, the pace dynamics are simplified. Dontcallitacomebak (PP2) and Caleb’s Finest (PP3) both have the tactical speed to be forwardly placed. The small field means the pace will likely be moderate, which generally favors frontrunners and stalkers on this track’s speed-friendly surface.
Key Contenders
Dontcallitacomebak (PP2) is the 7/5 morning line favorite and the consensus pick. Jockey Floyd Wethey Jr. rides at a 17-26% win rate and trainer Scott E. Young wins at 17%. The name is hard to miss, and neither is the form — this filly has shown enough to warrant favoritism at the allowance level. The post draw is fine for a sprint, and Wethey should position her just off or on the lead.
Caleb’s Finest (PP3) at 3/1 on the morning line represents the primary threat. Jockey Leandro D. Goncalves (11% win, 40% ITM) and trainer Francisco Bravo provide a competent connection. A forward-running style suits the track bias.
Secondary Choices
Marquee Lady (PP1) at 7/2 draws the rail with jockey Ronnie Huckaby and trainer Logan Ashford. Huckaby’s win rate (8%) is modest, but the inside draw in a sprint could allow a ground-saving trip that keeps this mare competitive for a minor share.
Samantha Code (PP5) at 4/1 is a three-year-old receiving the weight allowance at 118 pounds. Jockey Weston Hamilton (10% win, 36% ITM) has been steady. The eight-pound weight break against older rivals is meaningful in a short field.
Longshots
Lil Miss Brisket (PP4) at 6/1 is another three-year-old with the weight advantage. Jockey Richard E. Eramia (10% win, 42% ITM) has been consistent if not spectacular. Trainer Kari Craddock brings a less visible profile. In a five-horse field, however, every runner is live for a minor award.
Selections
Win: 2 Dontcallitacomebak
Place: 3 Caleb’s Finest
Show: 5 Samantha Code
Betting Strategy: Short fields are notoriously tricky for exotic wagering, as the payoffs are compressed. The best angle is a straight Win/Place bet on Dontcallitacomebak, with a small exacta key of 2 over 3 and 5. Given the short field and likely short prices, value is limited, and capital preservation is recommended.
Race 4 — Maiden Special Weight, 5 1/2 Furlongs Dirt, $25,000
Post Time: 2:36 PM CST
Seven three-year-old maiden colts and geldings face off in this 5 1/2-furlong sprint. All carry 122 pounds. This is a wide-open affair without a dominant short-priced favorite.
Pace Analysis
Multiple horses in this field possess early speed. His Way (PP1) and Uniter (PP4) from the Jerry Glen Stephens barn could flash speed early. Down Periscope (PP5) also has some tactical quickness. The pace should be genuinely contested, potentially setting up a stalker or closer to rally past fatiguing frontrunners in the final furlong.
Key Contenders
Uniter (PP4) is the 5/2 morning line favorite. Trained by Jerry Glen Stephens and ridden by Alberto Pusac (17% win, 41% ITM), this gelding gets the nod as the slight favorite in a competitive group. The Stephens barn also sends out His Way (PP1), suggesting a two-pronged attack with the preferred runner likely being Uniter based on the odds.
Flat Out Luck (PP7) at 3/1 is the consensus selection among handicappers. Trained by C. R. Trout (16% win, 63% ITM — the highest in-the-money rate among trainers represented today), this gelding gets jockey Obed Sanchez. Trout has been extremely efficient at placing horses where they can compete, and the 63% ITM rate speaks volumes about conditioning ability.
Secondary Choices
Cool Okie (PP6) at 7/2 rounds out the top tier. Jockey Floyd Wethey Jr. and trainer Scott E. Young combine for a dangerous pairing that has shown well throughout the meet. Wethey’s high win rate and the Young barn’s consistency make this gelding a serious contender in what looks like a very open maiden race.
His Way (PP1) at 4/1 draws the rail and benefits from the stablemate entry dynamic with Uniter. Jockey Emanuel Castillo Zabala is a less proven rider, which may account for the slightly higher odds despite the advantageous inside draw.
Longshots
Rugged Sawyer Lee (PP2) at 5/1 gets apprentice Ronnie Huckaby and trainer Guillermo Flores (22% win, 39% ITM). Flores has been a profitable conditioner at the meeting, and the moderate price offers some appeal. Down Periscope (PP5) at 12/1 and Luckyblingmountain (PP3) at 20/1 appear to be up against it in this field.
Selections
Win: 7 Flat Out Luck
Place: 4 Uniter
Show: 6 Cool Okie
Betting Strategy: This is the kind of wide-open maiden race that can produce generous exotic payouts. A trifecta box of 7/4/6 provides coverage of the three most likely contenders at reasonable prices. Adding His Way (PP1) to a superfecta ticket underneath offers additional protection. The Trout/Flat Out Luck angle at 3/1 represents the best value play in the race given the trainer’s remarkable ITM rate.
Race 5 — Allowance, 1 Mile Dirt, $26,000
Post Time: 3:03 PM CST
Six fillies and mares, three years old and upward, contest this one-mile allowance event. This is the second route race on the card and the post position dynamics again favor inside runners. Note that Grace the Kingdom (PP4) is on scratch watch for veterinarian reasons — monitor the scratch board before wagering.
Pace Analysis
At the one-mile distance with a short run to the first turn, early positioning is paramount. Janes Girls (PP1) draws the rail and may attempt to control the pace from the inside. Miskellieanne (PP3) and Sweet Aunt Rosie (PP5) also figure to be forwardly placed. The pace should be moderate to honest, with closers needing a pace meltdown to get up in the stretch.
Key Contenders
Sabres (PP6) is the 5/2 morning line favorite and the consensus top pick. Jockey Richard E. Eramia (10% win, 42% ITM) and trainer Steve F. Williams (11% win, 29% ITM) team up with the outside draw, which is a concern at one mile. However, if Sabres has the class to overcome the post, the morning line price suggests she is the most talented filly in the field. Williams has had moderate success at the meet.
Sweet Aunt Rosie (PP5) at 3/1 on the morning line represents a key threat. Trained by Kirk Ziadie and ridden by Rene Diaz, this filly profiles as a forward type that should be positioned well through the first turn. The Ziadie barn also enters Miskellieanne (PP3), giving the trainer a two-headed attack.
Secondary Choices
Flat Out Fancy (PP2) at 5/1 draws inside and gets jockey David Cabrera (17% win, 53% ITM). Trainer Jesse Oberlander has been capable. The inside draw is a significant asset at the route distance, and Cabrera’s high ITM percentage makes this horse dangerous for the exacta and trifecta.
Janes Girls (PP1) at 6/1 draws the rail — the best post in a one-mile race at this track. Jockey Angel Ortega Stanley (7% win, 36% ITM) is less accomplished, which explains the moderate price. Trainer M. Brent Davidson (11% win, 40% ITM) sends out a horse with the ideal draw for the distance.
Longshots
Miskellieanne (PP3) at 6/1 is the Ziadie stablemate of Sweet Aunt Rosie. With Obed Sanchez aboard and an inside draw, she could outrun her odds if the stable’s intentions favor her over Sweet Aunt Rosie. Grace the Kingdom (PP4), if she runs, at 3/1 on the morning line, is trained by Tim Dixon and carries some class but faces veterinarian questions.
Selections
Win: 6 Sabres
Place: 5 Sweet Aunt Rosie
Show: 2 Flat Out Fancy
Betting Strategy: If Grace the Kingdom scratches, the field compresses and the inside-drawn horses become even more attractive. Key Sabres over Flat Out Fancy and Janes Girls in exactas to take advantage of inside post bias. A trifecta of 6 with 2/5 and 1/3 underneath provides broad coverage. If Grace the Kingdom does scratch, consider upgrading Janes Girls and Flat Out Fancy as the route distance post advantage becomes concentrated among fewer runners.
Race 6 — Maiden Special Weight, 5 1/2 Furlongs Dirt, $25,000
Post Time: 3:30 PM CST
Seven three-year-old maiden fillies go 5 1/2 furlongs. Note that Myrna (PP6) is on scratch watch by the stewards, which would reduce this field to six. This is a classic maiden sprint where running styles and connections often determine the outcome more than raw talent.
Pace Analysis
Fast Lane Only (PP4) figures to show the most early speed in this field. Classical Echo (PP1) and Freebie West (PP2) may also press forward. The pace could be contested if multiple fillies break sharply, but in maiden fields, the execution is often inconsistent, making pace projections unreliable. A moderate pace is the baseline expectation.
Key Contenders
Classical Echo (PP1) is the 2/1 morning line favorite. Trained by Tim Dixon and ridden by Curtis Kimes (19% win, 42% ITM), this filly draws the rail for a 5 1/2-furlong sprint. Kimes has been quietly effective at the meet with the highest win rate among regular riders represented in this race. Dixon’s overall numbers (9% win, 30% ITM) are modest, but the morning line reflects perceived talent.
Freebie West (PP2) at 3/1 is the consensus handicapper pick. Trained by Joe S. Offolter (14% win, 45% ITM) and ridden by Richard E. Eramia (10% win, 42% ITM), this filly draws a favorable inside post. The Offolter barn has a respectable ITM rate, suggesting good conditioning for this level.
Secondary Choices
Fast Lane Only (PP4) at 7/2 represents the Scott E. Young and Floyd Wethey Jr. connection. Young (17% win, 42% ITM) and Wethey (17-26% win, 48-59% ITM) have been among the most productive connections at the meet. The speed profile should put this filly on or near the lead, which is the preferred style on the Will Rogers dirt.
Braxton’s Girl (PP3) at 4/1 draws inside and gets jockey Ezequiel Lara from the Jesse Oberlander barn. Oberlander has been competent, and the draw is favorable for a sprint.
Longshots
Pretty Irene (PP5) at 12/1 gets jockey Leandro D. Goncalves and trainer Scott Corderman. At the price, she could be used underneath in exotic wagers. Irish Lass (PP7) at 15/1 from the Jerry Glen Stephens barn with Alberto Pusac aboard offers a deep longshot angle for the trifecta and superfecta. If Myrna scratches as anticipated, the field tightens and the remaining runners all become more competitive in the exotics.
Selections
Win: 2 Freebie West
Place: 1 Classical Echo
Show: 4 Fast Lane Only
Betting Strategy: Maiden filly sprints are notoriously unpredictable, making this an ideal race for a spread in the exotics. Key Freebie West and Classical Echo on top of trifecta tickets with Fast Lane Only, Braxton’s Girl, and Pretty Irene filling out the bottom. The 2/1 over 4/3/5 trifecta offers coverage of likely scenarios without overspending.
Race 7 — Claiming, 6 Furlongs Dirt, $12,000 (Claiming Price $7,500)
Post Time: 4:02 PM CST
Nine fillies and mares, three years old and upward, sprint 6 furlongs for a $7,500 claiming tag. This is the lone 6-furlong race on the card, and the slightly longer distance allows closers a bit more real estate to make their moves.
Pace Analysis
Multiple speed types line up in this field. Woman’s Intuition (PP2) is a “Fastest Leader” who will look to establish command early. La Camelia (PP1) is a “Fastest Deep” type from the rail who could press for the lead. Girls Knicks Now (PP4) is a “Mid Pack Stalker” who profiles as the ideal trip horse if the speed burns itself out. With contested speed likely, the pace could be fast, setting up stalkers and closers.
Key Contenders
Woman’s Intuition (PP2) is the clear 8/5 morning line favorite and the consensus top pick. Her record of 1-8-10 from 14 starts shows remarkable consistency with a 71% in-the-money rate, though the 7% win rate reflects a tendency to finish close without winning. Her most recent start was a second-place finish at Will Rogers Downs over 5 1/2 furlongs, and the start before that was a victory at Will Rogers Downs over 6 furlongs. Jockey Floyd Wethey Jr. has been electric with this filly, showing a 20% win rate and 80% ITM rate when paired together. Trainer Jody Pruitt wins at 19%.
Girls Knicks Now (PP4) at 7/2 on the morning line is the principal alternative. The three-year-old receives an eight-pound weight break at 118 pounds versus 126 for the older runners. Her career record shows a 10% win rate with a recent win at Will Rogers Downs over 6 furlongs followed by a runner-up finish. Jockey Belen Quinonez (18% win, 47% ITM) and trainer Scott E. Young (17% win, 44% ITM) form an excellent combination.
Secondary Choices
Belle Blaze (PP9) at 4/1 is a five-year-old mare with a 50% show rate from eight starts. As a “Fastest Stalker,” she can position herself to exploit any pace meltdown. Jockey Ronnie Huckaby (7% win) is the main concern, but trainer Oscar Flores (18% win, 64% ITM) is the most efficient conditioner represented in this race by in-the-money percentage.
Quart High (PP7) at 6/1 has never won from ten starts but has shown 30% ITM consistency. Jockey Alberto Pusac and trainer Guillermo Flores (22% win) provide live connections at a moderate price.
Longshots
Railey Jean (PP6) at 8/1 gets the capable Curtis Kimes (19% win, 42% ITM) and trainer Tim Dixon. Shipping in from Delta Downs, the change of scenery could spark improvement. Movie Ticket (PP5) at 12/1 has a recent win at Remington Park at one mile, but the cutback to 6 furlongs raises questions about her sprint speed.
Selections
Win: 2 Woman’s Intuition
Place: 4 Girls Knicks Now
Show: 9 Belle Blaze
Betting Strategy: Woman’s Intuition’s consistency makes her a reliable anchor for exotic tickets despite the short price. Key her on top with Girls Knicks Now and Belle Blaze underneath in exactas. For trifectas, add Quart High and Railey Jean into the third slot. The 2 over 4/9 over 4/9/7/6 trifecta provides a reasonable cost structure with upside if a secondary choice fills out the ticket.
Race 8 — Allowance, 5 1/2 Furlongs Dirt, $28,000
Post Time: 4:29 PM CST
Nine Oklahoma-bred geldings and one horse, three years old and upward, contest the co-featured allowance sprint. This is the deepest and most competitive race on the card. Note that Cajun Stoops (PP8) is on the scratch watch per the trainer, which would remove a significant contender.
Pace Analysis
This race is loaded with speed. Big Kitty (PP1) and Waylon’s Guitar (PP3) are both “Fast Leads” types who have won back-to-back races at Will Rogers Downs. Slades Tank (PP4) is the “Fastest Leader” in the field. With three confirmed speed horses and potentially Cajun Stoops (a “Fastest Stalker”) also pressing for position, the pace should be fast to furious. This sets up perfectly for a closer or deep stalker to rally past fading frontrunners in the final furlong.
Key Contenders
Royalamerican (PP5) is the 3/1 morning line favorite and the consensus pick. This three-year-old carries just 118 pounds versus 126 for the older rivals — an eight-pound advantage that is critical in a sprint. His career record of 2-4-5 from five starts translates to a staggering 40% win rate and 100% in-the-money rate. He profiles as a “Fast Closer,” ideally positioned to let the speed duel play out ahead of him and launch his late bid. Jockey David Cabrera (17% win, 53% ITM) is one of the best at the meet, and trainer C. R. Trout (16% win, 63% ITM) is the most efficient conditioner on the card.
Waylon’s Guitar (PP3) at 4/1 on the morning line has won back-to-back races at Will Rogers Downs over 5 1/2 furlongs. His career record of 3-8-13 from 19 starts shows a 68% in-the-money rate, which is outstanding. Jockey Belen Quinonez and trainer Tristan Ashford (28% win, 49% ITM) form a potent partnership. The concern is whether he can sustain his speed with other frontrunners pressing him from the break.
Secondary Choices
Slades Tank (PP4) at 5/1 has the most impressive career percentages of any experienced horse in this field: 33% wins and 89% ITM from nine starts. As the “Fastest Leader,” he will be on or near the lead from the break. Jockey Alberto Pusac (17% win) should position him well, though the multiple speed presence could compromise his late kick.
Big Kitty (PP1) at 5/1 has also won back-to-back at Will Rogers Downs and carries the weight break at 121 pounds (apprentice allowance). His 21% win rate and 57% ITM from 14 starts make him competitive, but trainer Tristan Ashford also conditions Waylon’s Guitar, creating a stablemate dynamic. Jockey Ronnie Huckaby (8% win) is the weak link in this connection.
Longshots
Dancing Devil (PP2) at 15/1 is a seven-year-old veteran with 25 starts and a recent win at Will Rogers Downs over 6 furlongs. Jockey Travis Cunningham (18% win, 45% ITM) is one of the strongest riders at the meet, and the “Mid Pack Closer” style is perfect for the projected fast pace. At 15/1, he offers significant value if the speed duel is as contested as anticipated.
Risky With Whiskey (PP7) at 15/1 has a 27% win rate from 15 starts but an inconsistent ITM rate of 33%. He profiles as a “Mid Pack Stalker” who could pick up the pieces at a generous price.
Selections
Win: 5 Royalamerican
Place: 3 Waylon’s Guitar
Show: 4 Slades Tank
Betting Strategy: This is the premier wagering race on the card. Royalamerican’s closing style, weight advantage, and unbeaten-type consistency make him the prime selection. Key Royalamerican on top of exactas with Waylon’s Guitar, Slades Tank, and Dancing Devil underneath. The potential for a speed collapse makes a trifecta with 5 on top, 3/4 in second, and 1/2/7 in third an excellent play. If Cajun Stoops scratches, the pace becomes even more one-dimensional among the speed types, further enhancing the closing scenario for Royalamerican and Dancing Devil.
Race 9 — Claiming, 5 1/2 Furlongs Dirt, $13,000 (Claiming Price $5,000)
Post Time: 4:56 PM CST
Twelve older geldings sprint 5 1/2 furlongs in the day’s finale. This is the largest field on the card and a low-level $5,000 claimer where form can be unreliable. Note that both Stomping Hotrod (PP1) and Mega Shack (PP6) are on scratch watch. All entries carry 120 pounds after adjustments for recent wins.
Pace Analysis
This full field is loaded with speed. Sidetown (PP9), Manny’s Kat (PP8), and Da Chief (PP12) all profile as “Fast Leads” types. Stomping Hotrod (PP1), if he runs, is a “Fast Stalker.” Sharp Lorenzo (PP7) is a “Mid Pack Leader.” With this many speed horses and a 12-horse field at 5 1/2 furlongs, the pace will be extremely contested, potentially setting up deep closers for a rally. The large field and speed-loaded dynamics make the closing strategy most appealing.
Key Contenders
Sharp Lorenzo (PP7) at 7/2 on the morning line is a logical choice in a speed-loaded field. His 34-start career shows 6 wins and 13 third-place-or-better finishes (38% ITM). As a “Mid Pack Leader,” he can sit just off the speed and pounce when the frontrunners tire. Jockey David Cabrera (17% win, 53% ITM) is riding with the highest ITM rate at the meet, a critical edge in a competitive finale. Trainer Mark W. Buehrer wins at 12%.
Stomping Hotrod (PP1), if he runs, is the 3/1 morning line favorite. However, the scratch watch designation significantly dampens enthusiasm. If he does start, the rail draw and Floyd Wethey Jr. (17% win) in the saddle make him competitive, but his career 6% win rate from 35 starts is discouraging at these short odds.
Secondary Choices
Da Chief (PP12) at 6/1 draws the far outside but brings a 24% win rate from 17 starts. Jockey Alberto Pusac (17% win) and trainer Guillermo Flores (18% win) form a competent connection. The outside post is a disadvantage at 5 1/2 furlongs, but his speed should get him into the race early.
Favorite Outlaw (PP5) at 6/1 is the consensus pick from handicappers. His career shows just a 12% win rate but a 54% ITM rate from 26 starts — one of the most consistent in-the-money runners in this field. Jockey Roman Cruz (11% win, 44% ITM) and trainer Mike Abney provide a workmanlike connection. At 6/1, the value proposition is reasonable for exacta and trifecta involvement.
Sidetown (PP9) at 6/1 is the most experienced horse in the field with 41 starts, 9 wins, and a 46% ITM rate. Jockey Richard E. Eramia (10% win, 42% ITM) and trainer Steve F. Williams (11% win, 29% ITM) will look to use his early speed from a mid-draw. The concern is whether the speed duel compromises his closing kick.
Longshots
Manny’s Kat (PP8) at 12/1 has a 19% win rate from 16 starts and a “Fast Leads” style. Vicente’s Shadow (PP11) at 15/1 profiles as a “Fastest Deep” closer who could emerge from the clouds if the pace is truly destructive. Call of Honor (PP3) at 20/1 has 8 wins from 31 starts and a “Fast Closer” style that fits the anticipated pace scenario — trainer Juan Padilla (21% win, 54% ITM) is a significant angle at this price.
Selections
Win: 7 Sharp Lorenzo
Place: 5 Favorite Outlaw
Show: 12 Da Chief
Betting Strategy: The finale is a full-field claimer that is inherently volatile. The play is to spread widely in the exotics. A Pick 3 or Pick 4 using Races 7, 8, and 9 anchored by Woman’s Intuition and Royalamerican in the earlier legs, then spreading to 4-5 runners in Race 9, provides the best risk-reward structure. For straight race play, key Sharp Lorenzo and Favorite Outlaw on top of trifectas with Da Chief, Sidetown, and Call of Honor underneath.
Jockey Notes and Insights
Floyd Wethey Jr. leads the jockey colony with the most productive win and ITM percentages at the current meet. His win rate ranges from 17-26% depending on the class level, and his in-the-money rate of 48-59% makes him the most reliable rider on the grounds. He has five mounts on the card: Captain Flatter (R1-PP3), Dontcallitacomebak (R3-PP2), Cool Okie (R4-PP6), Fast Lane Only (R6-PP4), Woman’s Intuition (R7-PP2), and Stomping Hotrod (R9-PP1). He is the go-to rider for trainers Scott E. Young and Jody Pruitt.
David Cabrera rides with the highest ITM percentage at the meet (53%), making him particularly dangerous in route races and situations where finishing in the money matters for exotic wagering. His key mounts include Brody’s Chrome (R2-PP7), Flat Out Fancy (R5-PP2), Royalamerican (R8-PP5), and Sharp Lorenzo (R9-PP7). When Cabrera commits to a horse at a shorter price, it is a signal of intent from the connections.
Travis Cunningham operates at an 18% win rate with 45% ITM, making him one of the most efficient jockeys on the grounds. His key mount is Dancing Devil (R8-PP2) at 15/1, a potential live longshot in the day’s most competitive race.
Alberto Pusac rides the most mounts on the card with seven rides. His 17% win rate and 41% ITM make him a consistent presence. Key mounts include Work Zone (R2-PP1), Uniter (R4-PP4), Slades Tank (R8-PP4), and Da Chief (R9-PP12).
Curtis Kimes has been quietly effective with a 19% win rate and 42% ITM. His mount Classical Echo (R6-PP1) in the filly maiden sprint carries the morning line favoritism and deserves attention.
Belen Quinonez has raised her win rate to 18% with 47% ITM in certain conditions. Her mounts include Jamesons Chalk (R1-PP1), Girls Knicks Now (R7-PP4), and Waylon’s Guitar (R8-PP3).
Trainer Notes and Insights
Tristan Ashford leads the trainer standings with an outstanding 28% win rate and 49% ITM. He sends out Big Kitty (R8-PP1) and Waylon’s Guitar (R8-PP3) in the co-feature, giving him a two-horse entry in the most competitive race. Both runners have won their last two starts at Will Rogers Downs, demonstrating the barn’s current form cycle. The stablemate dynamic is worth monitoring — Ashford may have a preferred runner, but both are live threats.
C. R. Trout wins at 16% but carries a remarkable 63% ITM rate — the highest among regular trainers. His lone starter, Flat Out Luck (R4-PP7), is the consensus top pick in Race 4. When Trout enters a horse at a reasonable price, the ITM consistency makes that horse an automatic inclusion in exotic wagers.
Scott E. Young has a high-volume operation (53-70 starts) with a consistent 17% win rate and 42-44% ITM. He has runners in virtually every race on the card and is particularly strong when paired with Floyd Wethey Jr. His key runners include Captain Flatter (R1-PP3), Cool Okie (R4-PP6), Fast Lane Only (R6-PP4), Girls Knicks Now (R7-PP4), and Stomping Hotrod (R9-PP1).
Juan Padilla operates at a 21% win rate with 54% ITM. His only representative today is Call of Honor (R9-PP3) at longshot odds, but the trainer stats suggest this horse could outrun his 20/1 morning line.
Joe S. Offolter maintains a 14% win rate with 45% ITM. His runners include Freebie West (R6-PP2) and the scratch-watch horse Cajun Stoops (R8-PP8). The Offolter barn is reliable at placing horses where they can compete.
Guillermo Flores has been hot at the meet with a 22% win rate from limited starters. His runners include Rugged Sawyer Lee (R4-PP2), Quart High (R7-PP7), and Da Chief (R9-PP12). The small sample but high win rate makes any Flores entry worth respecting.
Oscar Flores (separate from Guillermo Flores) boasts an 18% win rate and an exceptional 64% ITM rate. His lone entry is Belle Blaze (R7-PP9), making that horse a firm exotic inclusion.
Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays
The most actionable wagering strategies for today’s card center on a few key principles: exploiting the track’s speed bias in sprints, leveraging inside post position advantages in route races, identifying pace collapses in speed-loaded fields, and backing trainers with elite ITM rates in exotic wagers.
The strongest single-race play on the card is Royalamerican (PP5) in Race 8 at 3/1 on the morning line. The convergence of factors — three-year-old weight allowance, 100% career ITM rate, closing running style against a speed-loaded field, elite jockey (Cabrera) and trainer (Trout) — creates a compelling Win/Place bet. Even at 3/1, there is overlay potential if the public hammers the front-speed types Waylon’s Guitar and Big Kitty after their consecutive wins.
The best exotic value play is the Race 8 trifecta. With three confirmed speed types (Big Kitty, Waylon’s Guitar, Slades Tank) likely to compromise each other, keying Royalamerican on top with any two of those three in second, and spreading to Dancing Devil (15/1) and Risky With Whiskey (15/1) in third, could produce a significant payout.
For multi-race wagering, a Late Pick 3 covering Races 7-8-9 offers the best structural opportunity. Using Woman’s Intuition as a single in Race 7, Royalamerican as a single in Race 8, and spreading to 4-5 runners in Race 9 (Sharp Lorenzo, Favorite Outlaw, Da Chief, Sidetown, Call of Honor) keeps the ticket cost manageable while offering significant upside in the volatile nightcap.
The value longshot of the day is Dancing Devil (PP2) in Race 8 at 15/1. His recent win at Will Rogers Downs, the closing running style against a fast pace, and the services of Travis Cunningham (18% win, 45% ITM) provide the ingredients for a major upset. Use him in second and third positions of exactas and trifectas behind Royalamerican.
The morning line for Race 1 suggests Captain Flatter at 1/1 is a near-certain play for the minor positions but offers almost no Win bet value. In races where a heavy favorite dominates the morning line (Races 1 and 3), the best approach is to play against them in exacta and trifecta positions by keying them on top but spreading underneath to maximize return on investment rather than backing them at prohibitively short Win prices.
A complete Late Pick 4 starting in Race 6 through Race 9 could be structured as: Race 6 (Freebie West, Classical Echo, Fast Lane Only), Race 7 (Woman’s Intuition single), Race 8 (Royalamerican single), Race 9 (Sharp Lorenzo, Favorite Outlaw, Da Chief, Sidetown). This 3x1x1x4 structure produces a 12-combination ticket at modest cost with exposure to the most competitive races on the card.
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Here’s the full race day analysis for Will Rogers Downs on February 24, 2026. The report covers all nine races with detailed pace analysis, key contenders, secondary choices, longshots, and betting strategies for each race. Key highlights include:
- Race 8 (Royalamerican) as the top wagering opportunity, with a closing style perfectly suited to exploit the speed-loaded field
- Dancing Devil at 15/1 as the longshot value play of the day in Race 8
- Late Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) and Late Pick 4 (Races 6-9) structures for multi-race wagers
- Weather notes on south winds gusting to 35 mph that may temper the track’s usual speed bias
- Scratch watch monitoring for Grace the Kingdom (R5), Myrna (R6), Cajun Stoops (R8), Stomping Hotrod (R9), and Mega Shack (R9)
