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Lone Star Park – Pick Pony Handicapper Report & Tip Sheet – News and Analysis for the May 24, 2026 card

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LONE STAR PARK — RACE DAY OVERVIEW

Sunday, May 24, 2026

Lone Star Park serves up a ten-race Sunday card that spans a wide range of conditions, surfaces, and class levels. The card opens at 2:35 CT and runs through the evening, anchored by a pair of allowance events in Races 7 and 9 that offer the most competitive wagering opportunities of the afternoon. The mixed card features maiden special weight events on both dirt and turf, a collection of claiming races at modest price points, and maiden claimers that round out the undercard. The turf course sees action in Races 4, 7, and 10, while the dirt strip handles the bulk of the remaining races.

Several of the most recognizable names on the grounds are represented throughout the card. Steven Asmussen, the all-time wins leader in North American racing, fields horses in seven of the ten races and maintains his dominant presence at Lone Star. Robertino Diodoro, Danny Pish, and Austin Gustafson each have multiple entries, ensuring a competitive environment across the afternoon. The Asmussen barn's use of son Erik in the irons adds a family dimension to several key races, and that combination has performed well at Lone Star in recent meetings.

The card's betting focus is largely concentrated in Races 7, 8, and 9, where the allowance fields and better-quality maiden fields attract sharper wagering. Exotic players will find attractive structures in the late Pick 4 and the Pick 3 running through Races 8 through 10. A note on Durham barn entries in Race 2: trainer Danele Durham sends out both Courageous Cappen (POST 3) and Courtney Fay (POST 4), which is worth tracking for potential stable preference signals through jockey assignments.

WEATHER AND TRACK CONDITIONS

The Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex is entering a warm late-May pattern with temperatures expected to reach the upper 80s to near 90 degrees Fahrenheit at post time for the early races, moderating slightly into the mid-80s by the time the card concludes in the early evening hours. Skies are forecast to be partly cloudy with low probability of precipitation throughout the card. Humidity will be noticeable, as is typical for late May in the Dallas area.

The main track at Lone Star Park is expected to be listed as fast. No significant rainfall has been reported in the days leading up to Sunday's card, and the strip should be consistent and true throughout the afternoon. Heat can have a mild effect on the track surface as the day progresses, particularly in terms of cushion firmness, but no unusual conditions are anticipated.

The turf course is rated as good to firm heading into the day, with the grass in strong shape for late May. The three turf events — Races 4, 7, and 10 — should be run under favorable conditions on what should be a tight, firm turf with good footing throughout. No significant rail movement is expected to affect the going on the grass.

TRACK BIAS AND POST POSITION ANALYSIS

Lone Star Park's main dirt track has historically shown a moderate speed bias, particularly at the sprint distances. Horses that can secure a clean early position from gates within the first four posts tend to hold an advantage in sprint races at 1100 and 1210 furlongs, as the run to the first turn is relatively short and traffic issues can develop quickly. At the route distances of 1760 furlongs on dirt, the bias is less pronounced, and closers with genuine late kick have proven capable of running down leaders when the pace is honest.

Post position data at the 1760-furlong distance on dirt at Lone Star historically favors middle posts, roughly posts 3 through 6, where horses avoid both the rail pressure and the wide trips that outer posts can create. At sprint distances, inside posts carry more weight, and horses breaking from posts 1 and 2 at 1100 furlongs have logged solid percentages in maiden events in recent meetings.

On the turf course, Lone Star's inside rail tends to be a factor in route races. The 1760-furlong turf layout here allows for a reasonably long run before the first turn, which means horses in outer posts are not severely compromised at the break. That said, horses rated near the front from inside posts have held up well on the Lone Star grass, and the rail draw in a field like Race 4 will deserve attention.

Speed figures generated on the Lone Star dirt have been reliable indicators at the claiming levels, though the maiden special weight events can be harder to interpret given the number of first-time starters and horses with limited form. Trainer pattern and workout quality become more important in those spots.

RACE 1 — Post 2:35 — 1210f | D | C | Clm 7500n2l | BUN | Purse $13,500

This six-and-a-half-furlong sprint for non-winners of two lifetime at the $7,500 claiming level opens the card with a seven-horse field that leans toward speed. The BUN condition restricts eligibles to horses that have not won two lifetime, which typically means the field will include some horses on the improve and others that have become comfortable at this claiming level without breaking through.

Race 1

Pace Analysis

With Maxxus (POST 6) and Stretch (POST 7) both carrying co-favorite status and Bolt Supremacy (POST 5) also considered a live pace presence, this race could develop into a contested pace scenario. War Spirit (POST 4) from the Asmussen barn is expected to factor into the early pace as well. The middle portion of the field, posts 4 through 6, projects to control the front end, and the question becomes whether any closer can generate enough late punch over a distance of six and a half furlongs to run them down.

Key Contenders

Maxxus (POST 6) opens as the morning line co-favorite at 2-1 for trainer Abel Ramirez-Rodriguez and jockey Geovanni Franko-Angeles. Ramirez-Rodriguez operates a solid mid-level barn at Lone Star, and Franko-Angeles is an active rider who knows the circuit well. MAXXUS has been competitive in similar restricted claiming company and figures to be forwardly placed from the start. The 2-1 morning line reflects genuine respect from the morning line maker.

Stretch (POST 7) shares co-favorite status at 2-1 for trainer Austin Gustafson and jockey R.A. Vazquez. Gustafson has been one of the more consistent trainers at Lone Star in recent meetings, and Vazquez is a reliable hand in the irons. STRETCH draws the outside post, which can be a disadvantage in a sprint field, but the horse's ability to find a clear path could offset any positional concerns.

War Spirit (POST 4) at 4-1 is trained by Steven Asmussen and ridden by Erik Asmussen. The Asmussen combination at Lone Star carries strong statistical backing, and WAR SPIRIT from post 4 should find a comfortable trip in the middle of the pack. This is the type of race the Asmussen barn regularly wins, and the 4-1 morning line likely underestimates the stable's success rate in lower claiming events.

Secondary Choices

Bolt Supremacy (POST 5) at 4-1 for trainer Dick Cappellucci and jockey Floyd Wethey Jr. represents the other co-second choice in this field. Cappellucci handles horses at this level competently, and Wethey is a veteran presence in the Lone Star jockey colony. BOLT SUPREMACY should be in the mix early from a favorable middle post.

West Of Town (POST 3) at 5-1 for trainer M. Brent Davidson and jockey Weston Hamilton offers some appeal as a horse that may get a clean run from a favorable post position. Davidson is a capable conditioner at this level and Hamilton is a well-traveled rider on the Texas circuit.

Longshots

Frozentap (POST 2) at 15-1 for trainer Jayde J. Gelner and jockey Rene Diaz is a deep longshot. Gelner is an active trainer at Lone Star, but the 15-1 reflects limited expectations for this horse in competitive company.

Midnight Hunter (POST 1) at 20-1 for trainer Javier Ruiz Ortiz and jockey Rodolfo De La Cruz Guerra opens at the widest price in the field. The inside post and the long morning line suggest this horse faces a steep task in this company.

Selections

Win: War Spirit (POST 4) Place: Maxxus (POST 6) Show: Stretch (POST 7)

Betting Strategy: The Asmussen barn's consistent performance at this level makes War Spirit (POST 4) the play. An exacta box combining War Spirit (POST 4), Maxxus (POST 6), and Stretch (POST 7) covers the three horses with the most credible morning lines. A small trifecta wheel using War Spirit (POST 4) on top with Maxxus (POST 6) and Stretch (POST 7) in the second and third holes offers modest value if the favorites run true.

RACE 2 — Post 3:02 — 1760f | D | C | Clm 7500n3l | BUM | Purse $14,000

A one-mile route on dirt for non-winners of three lifetime at the $7,500 claiming level. This is a fillies and mares event that features the interesting stable pairing of trainer Danele Durham, who sends out both Courageous Cappen (POST 3) and Courtney Fay (POST 4) in the same race. The jockey assignments — R.A. Vazquez aboard Courageous Cappen (POST 3) and Lane J. Luzzi aboard Courtney Fay (POST 4) — will provide some insight into which runner Durham considers the more likely winner.

Race 2

Pace Analysis

Avalon Girl (POST 6) at 2-1 figures to be the likely controlling speed in this field from a stalking or pace-pressing position. Contessa's Song (POST 5) and Sthenic (POST 7) project as potential mid-pack stalkers, setting up what could be a moderate pace scenario. At a flat mile, horses that rate off the pace with genuine late kick tend to hold an edge when the front-runner has done work early. The outside posts of Avalon Girl (POST 6) and Sthenic (POST 7) are not ideal at one mile but both are capable enough to overcome it.

Key Contenders

Avalon Girl (POST 6) at 2-1 for trainer Tristan Ashford and jockey I.V. Diego is the morning line favorite. Ashford has been building a competitive Lone Star operation, and Diego is a capable rider who handles mares well. AVALON GIRL figures to control or press the pace from the outside post and will need to handle the wide trip on the first turn.

Contessa's Song (POST 5) at 3-1 for trainer Martin Manuel Valdez-Cabral and jockey A.J. Juarez Jr. is the second choice and a credible threat. Juarez is one of the more active riders at Lone Star and knows how to rate horses in route races. CONTESSA'S SONG from the favorable post 5 should get a clean trip rating behind the early speed.

Sthenic (POST 7) at 4-1 for trainer Steven Asmussen and jockey Erik Asmussen is the stable's runner in this event. The Asmussen family combination warrants respect at any price, and STHENIC from the outside post will likely be covered up in the early going before Asmussen asks for run in the stretch.

Secondary Choices

Sense Of Awe (POST 2) at 4-1 for trainer Jerry Gourneau and jockey Ernesto Valdez-Jiminez is a secondary interest. Post 2 is an acceptable draw at one mile, and Valdez-Jiminez has been a productive rider in the Lone Star colony.

Courageous Cappen (POST 3) at 5-1 is the more favored of the two Durham entries based on jockey assignment. Vazquez aboard Courageous Cappen (POST 3) over Luzzi on Courtney Fay (POST 4) signals Durham's preference, and this angle is worth noting in the wagering.

Longshots

Courtney Fay (POST 4) at 15-1 is the secondary Durham runner. The 15-1 morning line effectively confirms trainer preference in this situation, though the horse cannot be dismissed entirely if the favorite collapses.

Gospel Tiz Got (POST 1) at 20-1 for trainer Anthony John Mulheron and jockey Santos Rivera is a deep longshot from the rail. Mulheron is a smaller operation, and post 1 at one mile requires a clean break to avoid trouble.

Selections

Win: Contessa's Song (POST 5) Place: Avalon Girl (POST 6) Show: Sthenic (POST 7)

Betting Strategy: Contessa's Song (POST 5) at 3-1 represents the best value in this spot, with post advantage and a seasoned jockey. An exacta combining Contessa's Song (POST 5) over Avalon Girl (POST 6) and Sthenic (POST 7) is the primary play. For those who want to use the Asmussen entry, Sthenic (POST 7) to show at 4-1 offers a solid overlay if the top two hold form.

RACE 3 — Post 3:29 — 1100f | D | S | Md Sp Wt | AOF | Purse $40,000

A six-furlong maiden special weight on dirt for fillies of all ages is the day's first significant maiden event. At $40,000, this is a quality purse for the level, and the nine-horse field offers legitimate competition throughout. Maiden special weight races at sprint distances often favor horses with a combination of early speed and tactical ability, and this field has several such candidates.

Race 3

Pace Analysis

Showgirl Swifty (POST 5) at 3-1 projects as the likely front-runner based on her position in the morning line and the Pish barn's propensity to use forwardly-placed runners. Wicked Start (POST 2) from the Asmussen barn figures to be another pace presence early, given the barn's tendency to place horses in contention from the jump at sprint distances. If both go at each other early, there is room for a closer from the middle of the pack to capitalize in the final furlong.

Key Contenders

Showgirl Swifty (POST 5) at 3-1 for trainer Danny Pish and jockey Weston Hamilton is the morning line favorite. Pish is among the leading trainers at Lone Star and Hamilton rides the circuit aggressively. SHOWGIRL SWIFTY from post 5 should get a clean trip and will be a difficult target if she gets loose on the lead.

Wicked Start (POST 2) at 4-1 for trainer Steven Asmussen and jockey Erik Asmussen is the most respected name in the conditions. The Asmussen barn has strong numbers with maiden special weight fillies at sprint distances, and WICKED START from post 2 is ideally drawn to press or stalk the pace. Expect this filly to be pointed right at the lead group from the outset.

Creative Leap (POST 7) at 4-1 for trainer Austin Gustafson and jockey R.A. Vazquez is another co-second choice. Gustafson has shown improvement in his maiden handling, and Vazquez is a reliable partner in sprint maiden events. CREATIVE LEAP from post 7 will need to find the right trip but has the ability to close into a contested pace.

Secondary Choices

Queen's Edge (POST 4) at 5-1 for trainer Ronnie III Cravens and jockey Ernesto Valdez-Jiminez represents solid secondary value. Cravens is a steady presence at Lone Star, and post 4 is a favorable draw in a sprint maiden field.

Starlyft (POST 9) at 8-1 for trainer Austin Gustafson and jockey Freddy Jose Manrrique is the second Gustafson entry. The dual Gustafson presence is noteworthy, and Starlyft (POST 9) from the outside post will need a wide trip unless the field fans out.

Rose Of Sigma Tau (POST 1) at 10-1 for trainer Karen E. Jacks and jockey S. Elliott opens at double digits from the rail. The inside post in a sprint maiden carries some advantage if the horse breaks cleanly, and Elliott has been a competent pilot on the Lone Star circuit.

Longshots

Top Shelf Shake (POST 3) at 10-1 for trainer J.R. Caldwell and jockey Rene Diaz is a longer price with some each-way appeal.

Nashville Nights (POST 6) at 12-1 for trainer Dick Cappellucci and jockey A.J. Juarez Jr. is a longshot whose price could inflate further in the pools.

Faith Forever (POST 8) at 15-1 for trainer Jayde J. Gelner and jockey Santos Rivera rounds out the field at the longest price among the named runners. Without evidence of sharp recent workouts, this figure is likely to remain wide.

Selections

Win: Wicked Start (POST 2) Place: Showgirl Swifty (POST 5) Show: Creative Leap (POST 7)

Betting Strategy: The Asmussen-Asmussen combination on Wicked Start (POST 2) gets the nod in a race where class and trainer statistics matter. An exacta key using Wicked Start (POST 2) over Showgirl Swifty (POST 5), Creative Leap (POST 7), and Queen's Edge (POST 4) is the recommended structure. A small trifecta involving the top three selections in any order provides a lottery-style return if the three co-favorites run 1-2-3.

RACE 4 — Post 3:56 — 1760f | T | S | Md Sp Wt | BUM | Purse $33,000

A one-mile turf maiden special weight for fillies and mares is the first turf event on the card. The nine-horse field is headlined by a near-even-money favorite in Bint Al Dandy (POST 3), trained by Austin Gustafson and ridden by R.A. Vazquez. The turf maiden races at Lone Star can be tricky to handicap when first-time starters are involved, as the surface preference is often unknown until a horse hits the turf for the first time.

Race 4

Pace Analysis

Bint Al Dandy (POST 3) at 1-1 is likely to attract plenty of early support, but the key pace question is who will actually set the fractions in a turf maiden at one mile. Leah's First (POST 4) at 4-1 from the Calhoun barn and Lady Q (POST 9) at 4-1 from the Coats operation both figure to be involved early. If Bint Al Dandy (POST 3) is a true hold-and-drive type, the pace could be set by others, which would set up Vazquez to make a move in the stretch run.

Key Contenders

Bint Al Dandy (POST 3) at 1-1 for trainer Austin Gustafson and jockey R.A. Vazquez is the clear morning line favorite and deserves the top billing. Gustafson has been adept at handling turf maidens, and Vazquez has demonstrated strong instincts on grass. The near-even price suggests this filly has generated significant attention in morning workouts and trainer circles. Post 3 on the turf is a solid draw.

Leah's First (POST 4) at 4-1 for trainer William Bret Calhoun and jockey David Cabrera is the first of two Calhoun entries in this race. Calhoun has a strong record at Lone Star, and post 4 on the turf presents a favorable position. Cabrera is an experienced jockey who handles turf routes capably.

Lady Q (POST 9) at 4-1 for trainer James T. Coats Jr. and jockey Mario Fuentes shares the second-choice slot with Leah's First (POST 4). The wide outside post at one mile on turf is not ideal, but if Lady Q (POST 9) has legitimate turf ability, Fuentes can work her wide and take a sit behind the pace.

Secondary Choices

Lit Up (POST 8) at 5-1 is the second Calhoun entry, ridden by Jose L. Alvarez. Having two horses in the race for Calhoun adds intrigue, and the jockey assignments favor Leah's First (POST 4) with Cabrera over ALVAREZ on Lit Up (POST 8), but Lit Up (POST 8) at 5-1 could represent stable second-string value.

Perdido Star (POST 1) at 6-1 for trainer Jon Newbold and jockey Isaiah Wiseman draws the rail. At one mile on turf, the rail can be an asset or a liability depending on traffic flow, and Wiseman will need a clean break to establish position.

Windy Ice (POST 6) at 15-1 for trainer Danny Pish and jockey Lane J. Luzzi is a moderate longshot. Pish knows the Lone Star turf and Luzzi is a steady hand, but the price reflects limited expectations.

Longshots

Bird Of Prey (POST 7) at 12-1 for trainer Steven Asmussen and jockey Erik Asmussen is a surprising longshot for the Asmussen barn. The 12-1 morning line in a maiden is worth noting — the barn typically reserves wide prices for horses they are less bullish on, but Asmussen horses at any price deserve respect.

Party Trick (POST 5) at 30-1 for trainer Alejandro Jr. Baldillez and jockey Weston Hamilton and It's Time For Zima (POST 2) at 30-1 for trainer Terry Eoff and jockey Ernesto Valdez-Jiminez are the extreme longshots of the field and likely require a significant pace collapse to threaten.

Selections

Win: Bint Al Dandy (POST 3) Place: Leah's First (POST 4) Show: Lady Q (POST 9)

Betting Strategy: At near-even money, Bint Al Dandy (POST 3) is not a strong win bet on value, but the horse is likely to justify favoritism. The better approach is an exacta key with Bint Al Dandy (POST 3) over Leah's First (POST 4), Lady Q (POST 9), and Perdido Star (POST 1). A saver exacta using Leah's First (POST 4) over Bint Al Dandy (POST 3) at 4-1 is a reasonable hedge if the favorite disappoints.

RACE 5 — Post 4:23 — 1760f | D | M | Md 12500 | BUM | Purse $14,500

A one-mile dirt maiden claimer at the $12,500 level for fillies and mares. This is the type of race that rewards sharp class analysis, as horses that have run in maiden special weight or better claimers against tougher company may be dropping into a soft spot here. Shari's Magic (POST 4) at 2-1 is the morning line favorite from a well-regarded barn.

Race 5

Pace Analysis

Honor God (POST 1) at 3-1 from the inside post will likely try to establish position early in this route. Wanna Rock (POST 8) at 4-1 and Shari's Magic (POST 4) at 2-1 are both expected to be tactical. At one mile in a lower-level maiden claimer, the pace often develops modestly, rewarding horses that can maintain consistent fractions rather than those that burn early.

Key Contenders

Shari's Magic (POST 4) at 2-1 for trainer Robertino Diodoro and jockey Geovanni Franko-Angeles is the morning line favorite. Diodoro is a high-percentage trainer who makes sharp drops when warranted, and this spot looks like a targeted entry. Shari's Magic (POST 4) from a central post draws well and should be a prominent factor throughout the race.

Honor God (POST 1) at 3-1 for trainer Todd W. Fincher and jockey A.J. Juarez Jr. is the second choice. Fincher is an experienced and well-respected Lone Star conditioner, and Juarez aboard from the rail post is a strong combination. Honor God (POST 1) will need a clean break to avoid being squeezed in the early going.

Wanna Rock (POST 8) at 4-1 for trainer Danny Pish and jockey Weston Hamilton is the third choice. Pish sends out multiple horses today and Wanna Rock (POST 8) from an outside post at one mile will need to find a comfortable stalking position to be effective in the stretch.

Secondary Choices

Gormley's Kitten (POST 5) at 5-1 for trainer Donna Hjort and jockey I.V. Diego is a secondary interest. Post 5 at one mile is a favorable draw and Diego has shown an ability to rate horses in route events.

Into Sense (POST 2) at 8-1 for trainer Steven Asmussen and jockey Erik Asmussen carries Asmussen authority despite the longer morning line. When the barn goes 8-1 in a maiden claimer at this level, it often reflects a horse that has shown something in morning work without producing a clear forward move. Capable of a mild upset.

Longshots

Minuetta (POST 9) at 10-1 for trainer Abel Ramirez-Rodriguez and jockey R.A. Vazquez is an outside longshot with some appeal given the Vazquez presence.

Barb's Girl (POST 7) at 12-1 for trainer Danny Pish and jockey Lane J. Luzzi is the second Pish runner in this race. The jockey split between Hamilton on Wanna Rock (POST 8) and Luzzi on Barb's Girl (POST 7) gives a mild edge to Wanna Rock (POST 8) as the stable's preferred runner.

Katabatic Wind (POST 6) at 20-1 for trainer Eduardo Cruz and jockey Rene Diaz is a price longshot with limited expectations.

Holiday Cruise (POST 3) at 30-1 for trainer Javier Ruiz Ortiz and jockey Thiago Canuto is the longest price on the morning line and projects as a non-factor.

Selections

Win: Shari's Magic (POST 4) Place: Honor God (POST 1) Show: Wanna Rock (POST 8)

Betting Strategy: Shari's Magic (POST 4) at 2-1 is a strong maiden claimer play based on trainer form and post draw. An exacta combining Shari's Magic (POST 4) over Honor God (POST 1), Wanna Rock (POST 8), and Gormley's Kitten (POST 5) covers the top four selections. A quinella between Shari's Magic (POST 4) and Honor God (POST 1) at likely 6-1 or better offers a cost-effective alternative.

RACE 6 — Post 4:50 — 1430f | D | C | Clm 5000b | BUM | Purse $13,500

A seven-and-a-half-furlong claiming race at the $5,000 level for fillies and mares is among the most modestly priced events on the card. The condition restricts entries to fillies and mares, and the BUM condition further defines eligibility. The eight-horse field is relatively compact for this distance, and the Asmussen barn once again fields a legitimate contender.

Race 6

Pace Analysis

With four horses sharing similar 4-1 morning line prices and the Asmussen runner Colormecairo (POST 3) at 3-1 as the slight favorite, the pace picture is competitive. The Girl In Red (POST 1) from the inside post and Mola Mia (POST 2) could press early, while Colormecairo (POST 3) may employ a pressing or stalking strategy under the Asmussen management. At seven and a half furlongs, the race is long enough to develop a pace scenario where a presser can overhaul a front-runner.

Key Contenders

Colormecairo (POST 3) at 3-1 for trainer Steven Asmussen and jockey Erik Asmussen is the morning line favorite. The Asmussen presence in the lower claiming ranks at Lone Star yields consistent results, and Colormecairo (POST 3) from a favorable inside post should have every opportunity to demonstrate her best.

The Girl In Red (POST 1) at 4-1 for trainer William Bret Calhoun and jockey Jose L. Alvarez draws the rail. Calhoun has been productive with fillies and mares at this claiming level, and Alvarez is an accomplished Lone Star jockey. The inside post at seven and a half furlongs can be a mild advantage if the horse breaks well.

Mola Mia (POST 2) at 4-1 for trainer M. Brent Davidson and jockey S. Elliott is the second 4-1 shot in the race. Davidson handles claimers effectively, and Elliott will look to find a ground-saving trip from post 2.

Doublebarrelvinny (POST 4) at 4-1 for trainer Abel Ramirez-Rodriguez and jockey R.A. Vazquez is the third horse sharing 4-1 odds. Vazquez is a top-tier presence on the Lone Star circuit, and Doublebarrelvinny (POST 4) from post 4 has a workable draw.

Secondary Choices

Bringonthebubbly (POST 5) at 5-1 for trainer Jerry Gourneau and jockey I.V. Diego is a secondary interest. Post 5 at seven and a half furlongs is a neutral draw, and Diego is capable of rating a filly in a moderate pace.

Princess Celine (POST 8) at 8-1 for trainer Kevin K. Roberson and jockey Luis A. Huaman is the widest draw in the field and the third-longest price. Huaman has ridden well at Lone Star and Princess Celine (POST 8) cannot be entirely ignored.

Longshots

Cranky Sheila (POST 6) at 12-1 for trainer George Bryant and jockey Lane J. Luzzi and Seriously Sassy (POST 7) at 12-1 for trainer Darla S. Singh and jockey Rodolfo De La Cruz Guerra round out the field at longer prices. Neither figures prominently in the main wagering, but Cranky Sheila (POST 6) under Luzzi offers mild each-way interest.

Selections

Win: Colormecairo (POST 3) Place: The Girl In Red (POST 1) Show: Doublebarrelvinny (POST 4)

Betting Strategy: Colormecairo (POST 3) at 3-1 is the play in a wide-open field. An exacta box using Colormecairo (POST 3), The Girl In Red (POST 1), and Doublebarrelvinny (POST 4) at 3-1 covers the most logical outcome at a reasonable cost. A trifecta box of the top three at modest investment is the recommended exotic structure.

RACE 7 — Post 5:17 — 1760f | T | A | Alw 40500n1x | BUN | Purse $40,500

A one-mile turf allowance for non-winners of one race other than maiden, claiming, or starter is the day's first premier event. The ten-horse field features the two co-morning-line favorites Binary Code (POST 5) and Won More Time (POST 9), both at 2-1, and offers legitimate depth throughout the field. This is the best race on the turf all afternoon and will attract sharp wagering.

Race 7

Pace Analysis

The ten-horse turf field creates a complex pace scenario. Grind Jim (POST 10) at 4-1 and King Arthur Ridge (POST 8) at 6-1 figure to be among the more forwardly placed types, while Binary Code (POST 5) and Won More Time (POST 9) are expected to rate off the early pace. If the fractions develop honestly at one mile on turf, the race sets up ideally for a presser or stalker with a sustained late kick. The wide posts of Grind Jim (POST 10), Won More Time (POST 9), and King Arthur Ridge (POST 8) could create traffic issues in the early going.

Key Contenders

Binary Code (POST 5) at 2-1 for trainer Tristan Ashford and jockey I.V. Diego is one of the co-favorites. Ashford has become a credible turf trainer at Lone Star, and Diego is one of the better turf jockeys in the colony. Binary Code (POST 5) from post 5 has an ideal tactical position and figures to be in the right place at the top of the stretch.

Won More Time (POST 9) at 2-1 for trainer Austin Gustafson and jockey R.A. Vazquez is the co-morning-line favorite. Gustafson's operation has shown improvement in allowance grass events, and Vazquez is the colony's standout in terms of turf tactical awareness. The wide post 9 is a concern, but Vazquez should be able to find a comfortable position once the field settles.

Grind Jim (POST 10) at 4-1 for trainer Jaime Castellanos and jockey A.J. Juarez Jr. is the third choice and a genuine threat. The outside post 10 at one mile on turf can be mitigated by a quick break, and Juarez knows how to manage pace on the Lone Star grass. Grind Jim (POST 10) has the kind of form that earns 4-1 in this spot.

Secondary Choices

King Arthur Ridge (POST 8) at 6-1 for trainer Adan Sebastian Rodriguez and jockey Santos Rivera is an intriguing secondary selection at a price. Rivera has ridden productively on the Lone Star turf, and King Arthur Ridge (POST 8) at 6-1 represents a potential overlay if the two co-favorites attract excessive public support.

Rocky Rock It (POST 1) at 10-1 for trainer Mindy Willis and jockey S. Elliott draws the inside rail. On turf at one mile, the rail can be an asset if the horse can find clear running. Elliott is a capable handler in these spots, and 10-1 on the rail in a turf allowance deserves consideration.

Longshots

Tap To Connect (POST 3) at 12-1 for trainer Ronnie III Cravens and jockey Rene Diaz, North Of Bali (POST 2) at 15-1 for trainer Daniel R. Cangemi and jockey Floyd Wethey Jr., Heats Hero (POST 6) at 15-1 for trainer Abel Ramirez-Rodriguez and jockey Geovanni Franko-Angeles, and King Of Grace (POST 7) at 15-1 for trainer Alejandro Jr. Baldillez and jockey Weston Hamilton are all significant longshots. Street Jett (POST 4) at 20-1 for trainer Jayde J. Gelner and jockey Lane J. Luzzi rounds out the field at the longest price.

Selections

Win: Won More Time (POST 9) Place: Binary Code (POST 5) Show: King Arthur Ridge (POST 8)

Betting Strategy: Won More Time (POST 9) with Vazquez gets the slight nod over Binary Code (POST 5) based on jockey edge in turf routes. An exacta box combining Won More Time (POST 9), Binary Code (POST 5), and Grind Jim (POST 10) at 4-1 is the recommended structure. A trifecta involving King Arthur Ridge (POST 8) in the third position at 6-1 provides meaningful value if it fires behind the two favorites. This race anchors the late Pick 4 and should be used spread in multi-race sequences.

RACE 8 — Post 5:44 — 1760f | D | M | Md 12500 | BUN | Purse $14,500

A one-mile dirt maiden claimer at the $12,500 level for males. The eleven-horse field is the largest of the day and includes a wide variety of trainers and riders. Cutting Class (POST 1) at 2-1 is the morning line favorite, and Passion D Oro (POST 10) at 3-1 is the second choice. This is a wide-open maiden claimer with legitimate wagering interest.

Race 8

Pace Analysis

Cutting Class (POST 1) at 2-1 from the rail will likely be used early to establish position. Kochan (POST 5) at 4-1 and Oban (POST 8) at 4-1 project as mid-pace types capable of running along with the leader. Passion D Oro (POST 10) at 3-1 from an outside post may be asked to rate off the pace, which at one mile on dirt sets up a potential closer scenario. With eleven horses and a mix of paces, this race could develop into an honest pace that sets up a closer.

Key Contenders

Cutting Class (POST 1) at 2-1 for trainer George Bryant and jockey Lane J. Luzzi is the morning line favorite. Bryant handles lower-level claimers effectively and Luzzi from the inside post is the correct tactical choice in an eleven-horse field. Cutting Class (POST 1) should get a clean run along the rail in the early stages.

Passion D Oro (POST 10) at 3-1 for trainer Robertino Diodoro and jockey Geovanni Franko-Angeles is the second choice. Diodoro's reputation for placing horses in winning positions is well-established on the Lone Star circuit, and Passion D Oro (POST 10) at 3-1 from an outside post in a maiden claimer is a typical Diodoro angle — bring a horse in with a class edge and let the competition sort itself out.

Kochan (POST 5) at 4-1 for trainer Terry Eoff and jockey Isaiah Wiseman shares third-choice status. Post 5 in a large field is an advantageous draw, and Eoff is an experienced Lone Star conditioner. Kochan (POST 5) figures to find a comfortable spot in the mid-pack early.

Secondary Choices

Oban (POST 8) at 4-1 for trainer Austin Gustafson and jockey R.A. Vazquez shares the 4-1 morning line. Vazquez on a Gustafson runner in a maiden claimer at this level is a combination that has produced results, and Oban (POST 8) cannot be overlooked despite the wide post.

Essential Storm (POST 3) at 6-1 for trainer Kevin Scholl and jockey Mario Fuentes is a secondary interest. The 6-1 opening price provides some value if this horse has shown recent morning work that justifies the placement.

Longshots

El Gato Americano (POST 2) at 20-1 for trainer Eduardo Cruz and jockey Jose L. Alvarez, Wholelotagreyarea (POST 9) at 20-1 for trainer Mindy Willis and jockey S. Elliott, Chatty Milligan (POST 11) at 20-1 for trainer Mark N. Hibdon and jockey Ernesto Valdez-Jiminez, and Coal Stone (POST 7) at 15-1 for trainer Eduardo Cruz and jockey Luis A. Huaman all project as longshots. Jazzerator (POST 6) at 30-1 for trainer Danny Pish and jockey Weston Hamilton and Dayofthewarrior (POST 4) at 30-1 for trainer Jimmy Dale Dodwell and jockey I.V. Diego are the most extreme prices.

Selections

Win: Passion D Oro (POST 10) Place: Cutting Class (POST 1) Show: Kochan (POST 5)

Betting Strategy: Passion D Oro (POST 10) at 3-1 is the value play here based on trainer profile. An exacta combining Passion D Oro (POST 10) over Cutting Class (POST 1), Kochan (POST 5), and Oban (POST 8) provides coverage. A saver exacta with Cutting Class (POST 1) over Passion D Oro (POST 10) protects against a morning-line favorite running true. This race is included in the late Pick 4 and late Pick 3.

RACE 9 — Post 6:11 — 1760f | D | A | Alw 34500n3l | BUN | Purse $34,500

A one-mile dirt allowance for non-winners of three races other than maiden, claiming, or starter is the day's premier dirt event. The seven-horse field is compact but loaded at the top, with Brilliant Plan (POST 1) at 2-1 and Skate Away (POST 2) at 1-1 occupying the top of the morning line. This two-horse battle at the top of the field sets up an intriguing wagering structure.

Race 9

Pace Analysis

Brilliant Plan (POST 1) and Skate Away (POST 2) are likely to dictate the pace, given their respective connections and morning line positioning. Remember Big Jim (POST 3) at 8-1 from the Cappellucci barn is a potential mid-pace type. With only seven horses in an allowance route, the pace is likely to be more controlled and deliberate, which could set up a stretch duel between the two morning-line leaders. Closers in short fields on dirt routes at one mile can be at a disadvantage if the leaders dictate a slow pace and save ground throughout.

Key Contenders

Skate Away (POST 2) at 1-1 for trainer Robertino Diodoro and jockey Geovanni Franko-Angeles is the morning line favorite in what figures to be the sharpest race of the day on the dirt. Diodoro is one of the top trainers at Lone Star by win percentage in allowance events, and Skate Away (POST 2) from post 2 is ideally positioned on the rail side. The near-even money price signals strong morning support and workout patterns that have drawn attention.

Brilliant Plan (POST 1) at 2-1 for trainer Karen E. Jacks and jockey S. Elliott is the top challenger. Jacks has developed a credible allowance-level stable at Lone Star, and Elliott from the inside post is an underrated pilot in these situations. Brilliant Plan (POST 1) will need to find a way to deal with the fast-break tactics of Skate Away (POST 2) and could be forced wide on the first turn.

Secondary Choices

Remember Big Jim (POST 3) at 8-1 for trainer Dick Cappellucci and jockey R.A. Vazquez is the most interesting secondary selection in this field. Cappellucci has been effective with horses at the allowance level, and Vazquez at 8-1 in a seven-horse allowance is a strong value angle. If the two favorites engage each other early, Remember Big Jim (POST 3) could sweep past in the stretch.

Twenty One Skidoo (POST 6) at 10-1 for trainer Kari Craddock and jockey Weston Hamilton is a longer price with some appeal. Craddock is a well-regarded conditioner and Hamilton rides this horse with local track knowledge.

Longshots

Goldbrick (POST 7) at 15-1 for trainer William Bret Calhoun and jockey Jose L. Alvarez is a longshot in what looks like a two-horse race at the top. Justice Department (POST 4) at 20-1 for trainer Dick Cappellucci and jockey Floyd Wethey Jr. and Misinformation (POST 5) at 20-1 for trainer Justin Evans and jockey David Cabrera are long prices that are best used as small exotic savers only.

Selections

Win: Skate Away (POST 2) Place: Brilliant Plan (POST 1) Show: Remember Big Jim (POST 3)

Betting Strategy: Skate Away (POST 2) at near-even money is a tough win bet for value, but the Diodoro barn in allowance company at this level is a near-bankable angle. The better play is an exacta combining Skate Away (POST 2) over Brilliant Plan (POST 1) and Remember Big Jim (POST 3). A trifecta of Skate Away (POST 2), Brilliant Plan (POST 1), and Remember Big Jim (POST 3) in that order offers a solid return at reasonable cost given the prices involved.

RACE 10 — Post 6:38 — 1100f | T | M | Md 20000 | BUM | Purse $16,000

The final race of the card is a six-furlong turf sprint maiden claimer at $20,000 for fillies and mares. The ten-horse field closes out the Sunday program, and Eagle Vision (POST 4) at 2-1 is the morning line favorite. Turf sprints at this claiming level often produce pace-influenced results, and the six-furlong turf distance at Lone Star can favor horses that want to be close to the pace on the rail side.

Race 10

Pace Analysis

Eagle Vision (POST 4) at 2-1 is the clear public choice and will likely attract significant wagering. Love Me Some Candy (POST 8) at 4-1 and Chargenlucky (POST 9) at 4-1 share second-choice status and figure to be pace participants or forwardly placed types. At six furlongs on turf, the race will be run at a quicker clip than turf routes, and horses that can secure early position from favorable posts will have an advantage.

Key Contenders

Eagle Vision (POST 4) at 2-1 for trainer Allen Dupuy and jockey A.J. Juarez Jr. is the morning line favorite. Post 4 in a turf sprint is an excellent draw, and Juarez is among the busiest riders on the card today. Dupuy fields a credible runner for this closing slot, and Eagle Vision (POST 4) should be prominent throughout.

Love Me Some Candy (POST 8) at 4-1 for trainer Ronnie III Cravens and jockey Ernesto Valdez-Jiminez is a co-second choice. Cravens is a consistent presence at Lone Star and Valdez-Jiminez has been productive on the turf. The outside post 8 in a turf sprint is manageable if the horse breaks alertly and finds a clean path.

Chargenlucky (POST 9) at 4-1 for trainer Jaylan Renay Clary and jockey Isaiah Wiseman shares co-second status. The 4-1 morning line for a smaller operation is notable and suggests this horse has attracted insider attention. Chargenlucky (POST 9) from post 9 will need to find the right trip in a ten-horse sprint field.

Secondary Choices

Gold Mesa (POST 7) at 8-1 for trainer M. Brent Davidson and jockey Mario Fuentes is a secondary interest at a workable price. Davidson's turf handling at the sprint distances has been credible, and 8-1 provides value if this filly delivers a forward effort.

Clarisit (POST 1) at 6-1 for trainer Tina Rena Hurley and jockey Weston Hamilton draws the rail. In a six-furlong turf sprint, the rail is an asset if the horse can break cleanly. Hamilton on the rail at 6-1 is a reasonable play in the exotics.

Hot Donna (POST 6) at 10-1 for trainer Francisco Bravo and jockey Floyd Wethey Jr. is a mid-range longshot with mild each-way interest.

Longshots

Sherrys Ridge (POST 3) at 12-1 for trainer Ronald Kotara and jockey Luis A. Huaman, G's Twisted Tale (POST 5) at 15-1 for trainer Donna Hjort and jockey Lane J. Luzzi, and Sleepy Rose (POST 2) at 15-1 for trainer Miguel Silva and jockey Rene Diaz are significant longshots. Shine Gem Shine (POST 10) at 20-1 for trainer Carlos A. Padilla and jockey I.V. Diego rounds out the field at the longest price.

Selections

Win: Eagle Vision (POST 4) Place: Love Me Some Candy (POST 8) Show: Chargenlucky (POST 9)

Betting Strategy: Eagle Vision (POST 4) at 2-1 is a credible favorite in a six-furlong turf sprint, but the public will drive the price down further. An exacta combining Eagle Vision (POST 4) over Love Me Some Candy (POST 8), Chargenlucky (POST 9), and Clarisit (POST 1) at 6-1 provides coverage. A trifecta using Eagle Vision (POST 4) on top with Love Me Some Candy (POST 8), Chargenlucky (POST 9), and Clarisit (POST 1) underneath is the recommended closing exotic.

JOCKEY NOTES AND INSIGHTS

R.A. Vazquez is the standout rider on this card with mounts in Races 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 7, and 8, encompassing Won More Time (POST 9) in Race 7, Remember Big Jim (POST 3) in Race 9, and Bint Al Dandy (POST 3) in Race 4. Vazquez has been among the leading riders at Lone Star in recent meetings, with strong numbers on both dirt and turf. His ability to rate horses in turf routes is particularly relevant given the three grass events on this card.

Erik Asmussen rides for his father Steven across multiple races today, including War Spirit (POST 4) in Race 1, Sthenic (POST 7) in Race 2, Wicked Start (POST 2) in Race 3, Bird Of Prey (POST 7) in Race 4, Into Sense (POST 2) in Race 5, and Colormecairo (POST 3) in Race 6. The family dynamic is a well-known competitive angle at Lone Star, and Erik has quietly produced solid numbers on the circuit while riding exclusively for the barn.

A.J. Juarez Jr. is the busiest jockey by total book on this card, riding in seven races including Contessa's Song (POST 5) in Race 2, Nashville Nights (POST 6) in Race 3, Honor God (POST 1) in Race 5, Grind Jim (POST 10) in Race 7, and Eagle Vision (POST 4) in Race 10. Juarez is a high-volume performer at Lone Star who maintains respectable win percentages at the claiming and allowance levels.

Weston Hamilton has a full book today as well, riding West Of Town (POST 3) in Race 1, Showgirl Swifty (POST 5) in Race 3, Party Trick (POST 5) in Race 4, Wanna Rock (POST 8) in Race 5, King Of Grace (POST 7) in Race 7, Jazzerator (POST 6) in Race 8, Twenty One Skidoo (POST 6) in Race 9, and Clarisit (POST 1) in Race 10. Hamilton is a regular presence at Lone Star and handles a wide variety of horses across all levels.

Geovanni Franko-Angeles rides multiple live mounts including Maxxus (POST 6) in Race 1, Shari's Magic (POST 4) in Race 5, Doublebarrelvinny (POST 4) in Race 6, Heats Hero (POST 6) in Race 7, Passion D Oro (POST 10) in Race 8, and Skate Away (POST 2) in Race 9. The Diodoro connection on Skate Away (POST 2) in Race 9 and Passion D Oro (POST 10) in Race 8 makes Franko-Angeles one of the more interesting riders to track in the evening races.

Ernesto Valdez-Jiminez has turf-route assignments on It's Time For Zima (POST 2) in Race 4 and Love Me Some Candy (POST 8) in Race 10, and also rides Sense Of Awe (POST 2) in Race 2 and Queen's Edge (POST 4) in Race 3. His familiarity with the Lone Star turf is an asset in the closing event.

Lane J. Luzzi handles Courtney Fay (POST 4) in Race 2, Windy Ice (POST 6) in Race 4, Barb's Girl (POST 7) in Race 5, Cranky Sheila (POST 6) in Race 6, Street Jett (POST 4) in Race 7, Cutting Class (POST 1) in Race 8, and G's Twisted Tale (POST 5) in Race 10. Luzzi is an experienced hand on the circuit with particular strength in route races.

TRAINER NOTES AND INSIGHTS

Steven Asmussen fields runners in seven of ten races today — an extraordinary commitment to this Sunday card that reflects the depth of his Lone Star operation. His horses include War Spirit (POST 4) in Race 1, Sthenic (POST 7) in Race 2, Wicked Start (POST 2) in Race 3, Bird Of Prey (POST 7) in Race 4, Into Sense (POST 2) in Race 5, Colormecairo (POST 3) in Race 6, and STHENIC in Race 2. Asmussen's overall win percentage at Lone Star consistently ranks among the top trainers on the grounds, and his ability to place horses in appropriate spots means each of his entries carries extra credibility regardless of the morning line price.

Robertino Diodoro handles Shari's Magic (POST 4) in Race 5, Skate Away (POST 2) in Race 9, and Passion D Oro (POST 10) in Race 8. Diodoro is one of the more precise placers at Lone Star, and all three of his entries are in competitive positions. The allowance runner Skate Away (POST 2) in Race 9 is his best spot for a marquee win today.

Danny Pish saddles horses in multiple races including Showgirl Swifty (POST 5) in Race 3, Windy Ice (POST 6) in Race 4, Barb's Girl (POST 7) and Wanna Rock (POST 8) in Race 5, and Jazzerator (POST 6) in Race 8. Pish is a leading presence at Lone Star and one of the circuit's most reliable conditioners in sprint maiden events.

Austin Gustafson enters Creative Leap (POST 7) and Starlyft (POST 9) in Race 3, Bint Al Dandy (POST 3) in Race 4, Minuetta (POST 9) in Race 5, Won More Time (POST 9) in Race 7, and Oban (POST 8) in Race 8. The dual entries in Race 3 make Creative Leap (POST 7) — assigned to Vazquez — the presumed preference, and the turf allowance entry Won More Time (POST 9) in Race 7 is arguably Gustafson's best chance for a key win on the card.

Danele Durham's dual entry in Race 2, with Courageous Cappen (POST 3) and Courtney Fay (POST 4), is the most interesting stable angle of the afternoon. Vazquez taking the Courageous Cappen (POST 3) mount over Luzzi on Courtney Fay (POST 4) should be interpreted as a stable preference signal, and Courageous Cappen (POST 3) at 5-1 deserves inclusion in exactas beneath the top choices.

Tristan Ashford runs Avalon Girl (POST 6) in Race 2 and Binary Code (POST 5) in Race 7. The turf allowance entry Binary Code (POST 5) is the barn's more prominent runner and the co-favorite in the day's best turf race.

William Bret Calhoun enters Leah's First (POST 4) and Lit Up (POST 8) in Race 4, The Girl In Red (POST 1) in Race 6, and Goldbrick (POST 7) in Race 9. The dual turf maiden entry in Race 4 with preferred jockey Cabrera on Leah's First (POST 4) is the most actionable Calhoun angle of the day.

BEST WAGERING STRATEGIES AND VALUE PLAYS

The most actionable value on this card is concentrated in the evening races, particularly Races 7 through 10, which encompass the late Pick 4 and the late Pick 3. Here is a structured approach to the card's best wagering opportunities.

The late Pick 4 spanning Races 7 through 10 is the signature sequence. A recommended structure uses Won More Time (POST 9) and Binary Code (POST 5) in Race 7, Passion D Oro (POST 10) and Cutting Class (POST 1) in Race 8, Skate Away (POST 2) and Brilliant Plan (POST 1) in Race 9, and Eagle Vision (POST 4) and Love Me Some Candy (POST 8) in Race 10. This 2-2-2-2 wheel creates 16 combinations and provides solid coverage of the most likely winners across the four-race sequence.

For a more aggressive approach, trim the ticket to single Skate Away (POST 2) in Race 9 given the Diodoro-Franko-Angeles combination and the near-even morning line, reducing the ticket to 2-2-1-2 for eight combinations at a lower cost with significant upside if the top two choices in the other three races perform.

The late Pick 3 running through Races 8, 9, and 10 is the sharpest sequence on the card. A ticket structure of Passion D Oro (POST 10) and Cutting Class (POST 1) over Skate Away (POST 2) single over Eagle Vision (POST 4), Love Me Some Candy (POST 8), and Chargenlucky (POST 9) creates a 2-1-3 ticket of six combinations with meaningful value if Skate Away (POST 2) delivers at short odds.

The single best win bet on the card is Remember Big Jim (POST 3) at 8-1 in Race 9. In a seven-horse allowance race dominated by two short-priced horses at the top of the betting, the Cappellucci runner under Vazquez at 8-1 represents the clearest overlay on the program. If Brilliant Plan (POST 1) and Skate Away (POST 2) set an honest pace against each other, Remember Big Jim (POST 3) sitting a length or two back could sweep past both in the stretch to deliver a substantial return.

The best exacta value on the card is Remember Big Jim (POST 3) over Skate Away (POST 2) in Race 9. If Remember Big Jim (POST 3) fires at 8-1 and beats the 1-1 favorite, the exacta return should be substantial given the public's heavy support for the top two choices. A supporting exacta of Skate Away (POST 2) over Brilliant Plan (POST 1) at shorter odds provides the safe coverage.

In Race 7, using King Arthur Ridge (POST 8) at 6-1 underneath the two co-favorites in exactas and trifectas represents meaningful value in what should be an underbet position in the pools, given the public focus on Won More Time (POST 9) and Binary Code (POST 5).

The most interesting overlay of the early card is War Spirit (POST 4) at 4-1 in Race 1. The Asmussen barn at this claiming level at Lone Star is a consistently profitable angle, and the morning line suggests this is a horse capable of overcoming mid-field competition at a price that should drift higher as the betting public gravitates toward co-favorites Maxxus (POST 6) and Stretch (POST 7). A win bet on War Spirit (POST 4) at 4-1 or better is recommended for early-card players looking to build a bankroll into the late sequence.

Before wagering, check the Latest Race Scratches, Changes, and Conditions post for any last-minute scratches or race changes.


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