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AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Hawthorne September 7, 2025

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AI Algorithm Picks

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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win: 1 – Biagoddess (7/2)
Place: 2 – Tum Tap (9/5)
Show: 3 – Tiz China (5/2)
 
Race 2
Win: 4 – Wild Dreams (8/5)
Place: 3 – Illy Simz (7/2)
Show: 1 – Tour De' Port (9/2)
 
Race 3
Win: 4 – Madelyn Attack (4/1)
Place: 6 – Georgia On E'smind (9/2)
Show: 1 – Spicy Italian (5/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Oh Macarena (5/2), 5 – Deal'em And Weep (2/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 5 – Rumbrandt (5/1)
Place: 7 – Kind Kismet (3/1)
Show: 4 – Sharp Attack (4/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Night Blue (7/2), 2 – Lil Carrie D (10/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 2 – Code Name (8/1)
Place: 4 – Sharp Stick (6/1)
Show: 6 – Hawks Creek (2/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Man On Attack (4/1), 5 – King Of The Palace (9/2)
 
Race 6
Win: 3 – Rumbling (6/5)
Place: 7 – Mark My Memory (5/2)
Show: 6 – Gray Mike (10/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Cantarito (9/2), 4 – Grand Festival (15/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 8 – Bermuda Blitz (8/5)
Place: 4 – Time Muse (6/1)
Show: 2 – Iris's Dream (2/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Bettera (7/2), 1 – Taunting (9/2), 6 – Wicked Suprise (6/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 3 – Last Candy (12/1)
Place: 1 – She's Tops (15/1)
Show: 8 – Zee (9/2)
Other contenders: 7 – Good And Naughty (5/2), 5 – Motown Sound (10/1), 6 – Dream Eagle (6/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 500,

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win: 1 – Biagoddess (7/2)
Place: 2 – Tum Tap (9/5)
Show: 3 – Tiz China (5/2)
 
Race 2
Win: 4 – Wild Dreams (8/5)
Place: 3 – Illy Simz (7/2)
Show: 1 – Tour De' Port (9/2)
 
Race 3
Win: 4 – Madelyn Attack (4/1)
Place: 6 – Georgia On E'smind (9/2)
Show: 2 – Oh Macarena (5/2)
Other contenders: 1 – Spicy Italian (5/1), 5 – Deal'em And Weep (2/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 5 – Rumbrandt (5/1)
Place: 7 – Kind Kismet (3/1)
Show: 4 – Sharp Attack (4/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Night Blue (7/2), 2 – Lil Carrie D (10/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 2 – Code Name (8/1)
Place: 6 – Hawks Creek (2/1)
Show: 4 – Sharp Stick (6/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Man On Attack (4/1), 1 – Hard To Fathom (3/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 3 – Rumbling (6/5)
Place: 7 – Mark My Memory (5/2)
Show: 6 – Gray Mike (10/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Cantarito (9/2), 4 – Grand Festival (15/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 8 – Bermuda Blitz (8/5)
Place: 4 – Time Muse (6/1)
Show: 2 – Iris's Dream (2/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Bettera (7/2), 1 – Taunting (9/2), 6 – Wicked Suprise (6/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 3 – Last Candy (12/1)
Place: 1 – She's Tops (15/1)
Show: 8 – Zee (9/2)
Other contenders: 7 – Good And Naughty (5/2), 5 – Motown Sound (10/1), 6 – Dream Eagle (6/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 60, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 90, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 25, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 250,

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win: 1 – Biagoddess (7/2)
Place: 2 – Tum Tap (9/5)
Show: 3 – Tiz China (5/2)
 
Race 2
Win: 4 – Wild Dreams (8/5)
Place: 3 – Illy Simz (7/2)
Show: 1 – Tour De' Port (9/2)
 
Race 3
Win: 6 – Georgia On E'smind (9/2)
Place: 4 – Madelyn Attack (4/1)
Show: 2 – Oh Macarena (5/2)
Other contenders: 1 – Spicy Italian (5/1), 5 – Deal'em And Weep (2/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 5 – Rumbrandt (5/1)
Place: 7 – Kind Kismet (3/1)
Show: 4 – Sharp Attack (4/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Lil Carrie D (10/1), 1 – Rose's Wish (9/2)
 
Race 5
Win: 2 – Code Name (8/1)
Place: 6 – Hawks Creek (2/1)
Show: 4 – Sharp Stick (6/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Man On Attack (4/1), 1 – Hard To Fathom (3/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 3 – Rumbling (6/5)
Place: 7 – Mark My Memory (5/2)
Show: 6 – Gray Mike (10/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Cantarito (9/2), 4 – Grand Festival (15/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 8 – Bermuda Blitz (8/5)
Place: 4 – Time Muse (6/1)
Show: 2 – Iris's Dream (2/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Bettera (7/2), 1 – Taunting (9/2), 3 – Canyon Streak (4/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 3 – Last Candy (12/1)
Place: 1 – She's Tops (15/1)
Show: 8 – Zee (9/2)
Other contenders: 7 – Good And Naughty (5/2), 5 – Motown Sound (10/1), 6 – Dream Eagle (6/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 30,

Expert Picks

Race-by-Race Expert Picks:

Race Jim's Top Pick Racing Dudes Pick Emily's Analysis Consensus Pick
1 2-TUM TAP 3-Tiz China (5-2) 3-TIZ CHINA 3-TIZ CHINA
2 4-WILD DREAMS 4-Wild Dreams (8-5) – 4-WILD DREAMS
3 5-DEAL'EM AND WEEP 5-Deal'em And Weep (2-1) – 5-DEAL'EM AND WEEP
4 4-SHARP ATTACK 7-Kind Kismet (3-1) – Split Opinion
5 3-MAN ON ATTACK 1-Hard To Fathom (3-1) – Split Opinion
6 3-RUMBLING 3-Rumbling (6-5) – 3-RUMBLING
7 5-BETTERA 1-Taunting (9-2) – Split Opinion
8 8-ZEE 8-Zee (9-2) – 8-ZEE
 

Consensus Picks (Strong Agreement):

Race 2: 4-WILD DREAMS – Both Jim and Racing Dudes agree this horse has the speed to “clear and never look back”

Race 3: 5-DEAL'EM AND WEEP – Unanimous pick across sources, with Jim noting the horse “should be able to tuck in the second flight early and rally into the lane”

Race 6: 3-RUMBLING – Strong consensus pick, with Jim stating “has to get the job done” and Racing Dudes offering short 6-5 odds

Race 8: 8-ZEE – Both experts agree on this debut winner who “battled in her debut and ran on well through the wire”

Split Decisions:

Race 1: Emily's analysis favors 3-TIZ CHINA for “higher figure in the debut”, while Jim prefers 2-TUM TAP. Racing Dudes sides with TIZ CHINA.

Race 4: Jim likes 4-SHARP ATTACK due to “rider change” and class drop, while Racing Dudes prefers 7-KIND KISMET

Race Entries

BERMUDA BLITZ BETTERA BIAGODDESS BODADDY CANTARITO
CLEARLY AUTHENTIC CODE NAME DEAL'EM AND WEEP DIFFICULT DECISION DREAM EAGLE
GOOD AND NAUGHTY GRAND FESTIVAL GRAY MIKE HARD TO FATHOM HAWKS CREEK
IRIS'S DREAM JOYZELLA KIND KISMET KING OF THE PALACE KUZ I CAN MAN
LAST CANDY LICENSE TO STEAL LIL CARRIE D MADELYN ATTACK MAN ON ATTACK
MIDNIGHT MS MOTOWN SOUND NIGHT BLUE OH MACARENA ROSE'S WISH
RUMBRANDT SHARP ATTACK SHARP STICK SHE'S TOPS SIGNATURE STREET
TAUNTING THEN NOW 'N ALWAYS TIA LUPE TIME MUSE TIZ CHINA
TUM TAP WAVE OF MEMORIES WICKED SUPRISE WILD DREAMS ZEE
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