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Santa Anita Park – Pick Pony Handicapper Report & Tip Sheet – News and Analysis for the May 31, 2026 card

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Race Day Overview — Santa Anita Park, Sunday, May 31, 2026

Santa Anita Park closes out its May racing calendar with a nine-race card highlighted by the Grade III Triple Bend Stakes in Race 8, a prestigious 7-furlong sprint that has drawn a five-horse field headlined by Grade I winners Stronghold (5) and The Goat (3). The card also features a pair of turf optional claimers at a mile and three-sixteenths, a full slate of maiden events, and competitive claiming races across dirt and turf.

Dean Keppler's morning analysis flagged MISS PHANSY — which appears in the official card as Miso Phansy (5) in Race 7 — as his Best Bet of the day, a strong endorsement from one of the West Coast's most respected daily handicappers. The Triple Bend shapes up as the marquee betting race, with Stronghold (5) installed as the even-money favorite in a short field where the pace scenario will be critical.

The Belmont Stakes Racing Festival is less than two weeks away, and while the Eastern racing establishment is focused on Saratoga preparations, Santa Anita's Sunday night card still carries significant implications for California-based horses. The post position draw for the Belmont Stakes is set for Monday, June 1, keeping the attention of the national racing audience squarely on the upcoming classic.

Weather and Track Conditions — May 31, 2026

Santa Anita Park is experiencing typical late-May Southern California weather. Conditions are expected to be clear and sunny at post time, with temperatures in the mid-70s Fahrenheit and light winds out of the southwest at 5-8 mph. No precipitation is expected, and the afternoon sun will give way to cooler evening temperatures as the card progresses into the later post times.

The main track is listed as fast and is expected to remain so throughout the card. The turf course is listed as firm, which is the standard condition for late-spring Santa Anita grass racing. The firm turf will place a premium on horses with demonstrated ability on tight, hard ground. Horses that prefer yielding or soft turf conditions should be downgraded accordingly.

Anecdotally, the turf at Santa Anita has been playing true this meet, rewarding horses with legitimate turf form rather than those simply transferring from dirt. No maintenance reports or unusual track preparation notes have surfaced for today's card.

Track Bias and Post Position Analysis

On the Santa Anita main track under fast conditions, historical patterns show a moderate advantage for horses breaking from inside to middle posts in route races, with the rail not being a significant liability on a fast, properly maintained surface. In sprints on the dirt, the inside post can be slightly advantageous for early speed horses, though the track has shown a relatively neutral bias in recent weeks.

On the turf course, the inside rail at Santa Anita is generally considered a significant advantage in longer turf routes, particularly the mile and three-sixteenths distance that appears on today's card in Races 5 and 7. Horses breaking from Post 1 and 2 on the turf have shown above-average win percentages at this distance, especially when those horses have tactical speed and can settle in a good stalking position without traffic. Outside posts beyond Post 5 in turf routes require more of a ground-saving trip or a wide rally to be effective.

In today's 7-furlong Triple Bend (Race 8), Post 3 and Post 5 bracket the field nicely on a short five-horse field, and post position becomes a secondary concern when the field is this compact. The real bias in the 7-furlong chute at Santa Anita tends to favor horses that can establish early position without burning themselves up through the first quarter.

For the 6-furlong maiden race on dirt (Race 6), Santa Anita's six-furlong sprint is essentially a straight shot out of the chute to the first turn, giving outside posts a relatively even chance compared to some other tracks. However, horses with early speed breaking from Posts 1 and 2 in six-furlong races here can sometimes be squeezed for room early, so clean breaks are critical.

RACE 1 — Post 4:00 PM — 1100f | T | S | Md Sp Wt | AON | Purse $65,000

This is a maiden special weight for new-generation juveniles making their debuts on the turf at roughly five and a half furlongs. The distance is unusual — 1,100 feet converts to approximately 5.5 furlongs, which is a demanding first-time out for any two-year-old on the grass. The five and a half furlongs on the turf at Santa Anita is one of the trickier assignments for a first-starter, as it requires both sprint speed and a degree of stamina and balance over the grass.

Race 1

Pace Analysis

With multiple first-time starters in a short-turf sprint, pace is inherently difficult to project. Shadow Nation (1) and Nylie (2) both figure to have tactical speed from their pedigrees and inside posts. Repo (4), the Nyquist colt from Michael McCarthy's barn, will need to establish position early if he is to contend from outside. Expect a moderate pace scenario on the turf, as inexperienced horses often start slowly before finding their rhythm. A pace meltdown is not likely given the short nature of the race.

Key Contenders

Repo (4), trained by Michael McCarthy and ridden by E. Jaramillo, is by multiple Grade I winner Nyquist, a sire who gets an 18 percent win rate with his juvenile-debuting offspring. McCarthy is an elite conditioner at Santa Anita with first-time starters, consistently ranking among the top trainers in the win percentage category with debut runners. Jaramillo is the rider of the moment on the West Coast, among the leading jockeys at this meet. Repo (4) drew Post 4, which is a workable position in this short-field turf sprint. Handicappers have pointed to this horse as a clear overlay if the morning line price holds near 2-1 given the sire, trainer, and jockey combination. The McCarthy operation rarely sends a debut runner to the post without a legitimate chance.

Nylie (2), trained by Doug O'Neill and ridden by Antonio Fresu, draws the second post, which is favorable on the turf. O'Neill is a perennial leading trainer at Santa Anita who excels with first-time starters, and he routinely tops the win percentage charts with his debut runners at this circuit. Fresu has been a capable and improving rider on the Southern California circuit. Nylie (2) figures to be forwardly placed from Post 2 and could secure a comfortable stalking position.

Shadow Nation (1), trained by Mike Puype and ridden by Joel Rosario, is co-listed on the morning line at 2-1. Rosario is one of the most accomplished riders in the country, though he has been particularly active on the West Coast circuit lately. Post 1 is workable in this short turf sprint but can present traffic challenges if the field bunches early.

Secondary Choices

Simple Majority (3), trained by Jeff Bonde and ridden by Tiago Pereira, is the 6-1 shot in the field. Bonde is a journeyman California-based trainer who does solid work with lower-profile horses, though he does not rank among the elite debut trainers at this circuit. Pereira is a solid jock who can get horses to run their best on any given day.

Longshots

Tuddy (5), trained by Steven Miyadi and ridden by Armando Ayuso, and The Moe Show (6), also trained by Miyadi with Armando Aguilar aboard, are the longest prices in the field at 10-1 and 15-1 respectively. Miyadi is a competent Southern California conditioner, but having two horses in a six-horse maiden field dilutes the chances of either, and neither has generated significant handicapper support. The Moe Show (6) is a significant overlay candidate only if there is a strong late-closing turf pedigree in the background. For now, both horses are pass plays from a singles perspective.

Betting Strategy

This race projects as a trainer/jockey spot play with Repo (4) and Nylie (2) as the top two choices. In an all-juvenile turf sprint, pedigree and connections dominate the analysis. The co-favorites all come with legitimate credentials, making this a legitimate race for exacta wagering. Box Repo (4) and Nylie (2) in the exacta, and use Shadow Nation (1) underneath in exacta keys. Avoid the win bet and focus on exactas. Simple Majority (3) can be tossed into trifectas for a small amount.

Selections

Win: Repo (4) Place: Nylie (2) Show: Shadow Nation (1)

RACE 2 — Post 4:30 PM — 1210f | D | C | Clm 10000b | BUN | Purse $18,000

A six-furlong claiming race at the $10,000 level on the main track for horses that have not won two races. This is the bread-and-butter of California claiming racing, and the $18,000 purse reflects the lower claiming level. The field of six offers several horses with legitimate profiles for this tag.

Race 2

Pace Analysis

Just Deal (1), from inside post with Fresu up, figures to be one of the early speed horses in this race. Next Trick (3) at 2-1 also figures to have a tactical profile. With both likely to contest the early lead, there is a legitimate possibility of a pace duel that could set up a closer. Macho Man (6) with Joel Rosario from the outside could benefit from a hot pace scenario. He's A Gangster (5), at 4-1, is worth watching if the pace cooks early.

Key Contenders

Just Deal (1), trained by Doug O'Neill and ridden by Antonio Fresu, draws the rail and comes from a leading barn at this circuit. O'Neill's horses are regularly competitive at the lower claiming levels, and Fresu gives this horse a capable handler. The 2-1 morning line reflects the barn's reputation, but the rail post at six furlongs on the dirt is not inherently a negative here if the horse can get position early.

Next Trick (3), trained by Ruben Gomez and ridden by E. Jaramillo, is co-listed at 2-1. Jaramillo on any horse is a positive, and Gomez has a knack for placing horses appropriately in claiming events on the Southern California circuit. Post 3 is a clean middle draw. Next Trick (3) is the type to get forwardly placed and try to wire the field.

Secondary Choices

He's A Gangster (5), trained by Peter Eurton and ridden by Cesar Belmont, is the 4-1 second choice in the field. Eurton is one of the better claiming trainers in California, consistently delivering fit horses that are competitive off their layoffs and in spots like this. Macho Man (6), trained by Mike Puype and ridden by Joel Rosario, is the 6-1 shot. Rosario elevates any horse he rides, and if Macho Man (6) has the right form, the outside post should not be a detriment in a six-horse field. Puype sends this horse in with Rosario, which is a meaningful jockey upgrade angle.

Longshots

Meeking (2), trained by Bill McLean and ridden by Kazushi Kimura, is 5-1 in this spot. McLean is a lower-profile trainer on the circuit, and Meeking (2) will need a pace collapse to be involved late. Fincairn (4), trained by Gloria Haley with Alfredo Bautista in the irons, is 30-1 and represents the deepest price in the field. This horse is a significant underlay at any price given the connections and position in the field.

Betting Strategy

In a competitive 2-1/2-1 co-favorite scenario, the value play is to use He's A Gangster (5) and Macho Man (6) in trifectas underneath the two favorites. The Eurton/Rosario angle on either of those horses could represent positive expected value. Exactas linking Next Trick (3) and Just Deal (1) are the chalk plays, but the return will be modest.

Selections

Win: Next Trick (3) Place: He's A Gangster (5) Show: Macho Man (6)

RACE 3 — Post 5:00 PM — 1760f | T | C | Clm 25000b | BUM | Purse $27,000

A mile on the turf for fillies and mares going five and a half furlongs at the claiming level. Wait — 1,760 feet converts to a full mile, which makes this a one-mile turf claiming event for fillies and mares. At $25,000 claiming with the “b” bump allowance, the purse of $27,000 suggests a moderately competitive claiming level on the grass for this group.

Race 3

Pace Analysis

With five runners at a mile on the turf, pace will be controlled and tactical. Motet (1) from the inside rail with Joel Rosario figures to be a pressing type. Angelica Bay (5), from the outside with Jaramillo, brings the O'Neill connection and should have enough pace awareness to find a comfortable position. Newport Dreamz (3) from Tim Yakteen's barn with Welfin Orantes in the irons is an intriguing middle draw.

Key Contenders

Motet (1), trained by Ruben Gomez and ridden by Joel Rosario, is the morning-line co-favorite at 2-1. Rosario in the rail post at a mile on the turf is a significant advantage — he is among the elite at finding the right trip from the inside, and Gomez has shown the ability to prepare turf horses for spots like this. At a mile on the turf, Motet (1) with the rail and Rosario is a legitimate top choice.

Angelica Bay (5), trained by Doug O'Neill and ridden by E. Jaramillo, is co-listed at 2-1 from Post 5. O'Neill consistently places fillies and mares at the right claiming level and has a strong record on the Santa Anita turf. Jaramillo from the outside post at a mile will need to assess the pace scenario and find a clear run in the stretch. This is a strong connections double that makes Post 5 workable.

Lady Of Power (4), trained by Mike Puype and ridden by Kazushi Kimura, is the other co-2-1 shot. Kimura has developed into a capable turf jockey at Santa Anita, and Puype's horses have been competitive at this claiming level. Post 4 is a clean middle draw.

Secondary Choices

Newport Dreamz (3), trained by Tim Yakteen and ridden by Welfin Orantes, is the 3-1 second choice. Yakteen is one of the top trainers in California, and while Orantes is not the top jockey on the card, Yakteen's horses are regularly fit and competitive. Post 3 is ideal for a stalking or pressing style at a mile on the turf.

Longshots

Sparkle Sweetly (2), trained by D. Wayne Baker and ridden by Epifanio Garcia, is 20-1 and is the clear outsider in this field. Baker is a smaller-volume trainer, and Sparkle Sweetly (2) will need a significant career best to be involved. This horse can be used in multi-race exotic structures only with the most liberal ticket constructions.

Betting Strategy

The three co-favorites at 2-1 create a situation where the true value is Newport Dreamz (3) at 3-1. If the market holds, the Yakteen horse offers the best price among the top contenders. Exactas pairing Newport Dreamz (3) with Motet (1) and Angelica Bay (5) offer the best bang for the buck. Trifectas using all five horses are affordable given the field size.

Selections

Win: Motet (1) Place: Newport Dreamz (3) Show: Angelica Bay (5)

RACE 4 — Post 5:32 PM — 990f | D | S | Md Sp Wt | AOF | Purse $65,000

A five-furlong sprint on the dirt for maiden fillies. The 990-foot distance converts to approximately five furlongs, making this a short, sharp sprint for first-time and lightly raced fillies. The $65,000 purse reflects maiden special weight conditions, meaning these horses have not yet been through the claiming ranks.

Race 4

Pace Analysis

With Jolene Fury (3) at 2-1 and Icecream Ontheside (5) at 3-1 as the two most prominent prices, and Lying Zero (8) co-listed at 2-1 from the outside with Fresu, this race shapes up as contested early. A five-furlong sprint on dirt is essentially a gate-to-wire proposition for early speed types. Lipstick Lies (1), from the inside post with Jaramillo, could factor prominently if she breaks alertly.

Key Contenders

Lying Zero (8), trained by Doug O'Neill and ridden by Antonio Fresu, is co-listed at 2-1 from the outside post. O'Neill with debut runners or lightly raced fillies in maiden sprint events is a significant angle, and Fresu has been reliable. The outside post at five furlongs is less than ideal, but O'Neill's horses tend to run hard regardless of post position.

Jolene Fury (3), trained by Jorge Periban and ridden by Armando Aguilar, is the morning-line favorite at 2-1. Periban has shown consistent results with maiden fillies at Santa Anita, and Jolene Fury (3) from a clean Post 3 draws well for a five-furlong sprint. This horse will need to establish position immediately to be a factor.

Icecream Ontheside (5), trained by Steven Miyadi and ridden by Cesar Belmont, is 3-1 and comes from a barn that has two entries in this race. Miyadi with dual entries can sometimes signal a barn that knows one horse is significantly better than the other, and Icecream Ontheside (5) is the higher-priced of the two. Belmont is a journeyman who can get the job done in the right spot.

Secondary Choices

Lipstick Lies (1), trained by Steven Miyadi and ridden by E. Jaramillo, is the other Miyadi entry at 5-1. Jaramillo is a significant jockey upgrade over the barn's second rider, which could indicate that Lipstick Lies (1) is the more favored of the two Miyadi runners. The rail post at five furlongs favors speed, and if Lipstick Lies (1) breaks cleanly, she could steal this race.

Longshots

Ride Like The Wolf (2), trained by Antonio Garcia and ridden by Alfredo Bautista, is 15-1. Garcia is a capable conditioner, but this horse draws from Post 2 and will need exceptional pace collapse scenarios to be a winner. She's My Star (4), trained by Edwin Alvarez and ridden by T.C. Baze, is 20-1. Baze is a long-tenured California rider who occasionally pops at big prices, but the Alvarez barn does not rank among the elite maiden conditioners. Stay My Girl (6), also trained by Alvarez with Welfin Orantes, is 10-1 and represents the trainer's second entry in this race. Estrella Esmeral (7), trained by Sergio Morfin and ridden by P. Flores, is 20-1 and is a prime throwout at this price level given the connections.

Betting Strategy

The Jaramillo-on-Lipstick Lies (1) angle over the Miyadi barn is worth noting. If Miyadi truly prefers one of his two runners, the jockey assignments may be the tell. Lying Zero (8) from O'Neill at 2-1 is the most formidable connections play in the race, even from the eight-hole. Exactas linking Lying Zero (8) on top with Jolene Fury (3) and Lipstick Lies (1) underneath are the recommended play. Icecream Ontheside (5) can slot into trifectas in the third position.

Selections

Win: Lying Zero (8) Place: Jolene Fury (3) Show: Lipstick Lies (1)

RACE 5 — Post 6:02 PM — 1760f | T | AO | OClm 20000n1x | BUM | Purse $67,000

A mile on the turf for fillies and mares at the optional claiming level of $20,000, restricted to non-winners of one race other than maiden, claiming, or starter. The $67,000 purse reflects the better quality of this optional claimer, which draws horses that have graduated from maiden status and are now seeking their second win. A seven-horse field on the turf at a mile is a manageable handicapping puzzle.

Race 5

Pace Analysis

Jennys Wine Girl (2) and French Moonlight (7) are co-listed at 2-1, making them the dual market leaders. Quantum Innergy (3) at 4-1 figures to be forwardly placed from Post 3. The pace at a mile on the turf in optional claimer company tends to be measured, with several horses capable of rating before a stretch run. Apple Pie (1) from the inside with Neil Drysdale training is always a factor in the early pace positioning.

Key Contenders

Jennys Wine Girl (2), trained by Richard Baltas and ridden by E. Jaramillo, is the co-morning-line favorite at 2-1. Baltas is among the most effective turf trainers on the Southern California circuit, with strong statistics in optional claimer races at Santa Anita. Jaramillo on a Baltas turf filly at a mile is a premier combination. Post 2 on the turf at a mile is essentially a front-row seat, and this horse is positioned to get the perfect ground-saving trip.

French Moonlight (7), trained by Leonard Powell and ridden by Antonio Fresu, is the co-2-1 shot from the outside post. Powell is a competent conditioner, and Fresu from Post 7 at a mile will need to find a wide path around the field. Outside posts at a mile on the turf at Santa Anita require horses to either press the pace wide or save ground late. French Moonlight (7) must have legitimate closing ability to justify the morning-line position from outside.

Secondary Choices

Quantum Innergy (3), trained by Jeff Mullins and ridden by Tiago Pereira, is 4-1 from Post 3. Mullins is a respected West Coast conditioner with solid turf stats, and Post 3 at a mile is a clean draw that allows for early positioning without being committed to the lead. Hello Kid O Kid O (4), trained by Andrew Harris and ridden by E. Maldonado, is the 6-1 shot from Post 4.

Longshots

Apple Pie (1), trained by Neil Drysdale and ridden by Kazushi Kimura, is 8-1 from the rail. Drysdale is a Hall of Fame trainer who remains one of the most astute horsemen in California, and Apple Pie (1) with the inside rail at a mile on the turf is never to be dismissed even at 8-1. Kimura is a solid turf rider. Vicky Lyn (5), trained by Brendan Galvin and ridden by Juan Hernandez, is 10-1 from Post 5. Fibonaccis Ride (6), trained by Antonio Garcia and ridden by Victor Espinoza, is 12-1. Espinoza is a legendary rider and will always give horses a competitive ride, but 12-1 reflects the limited expectations for this horse's ability relative to the favorites.

Betting Strategy

Jennys Wine Girl (2) is the recommended single in this spot given the Baltas/Jaramillo/Post 2 trifecta of advantages on the turf. Apple Pie (1) at 8-1 is the value play of the race — Drysdale horses from the rail at a mile on turf hit the board at a strong rate, and 8-1 would represent genuine overlay territory. Exactas pairing Jennys Wine Girl (2) with Apple Pie (1) and Quantum Innergy (3) are the recommended wagers. A small win bet on Apple Pie (1) at 8-1 is justified.

Selections

Win: Jennys Wine Girl (2) Place: Apple Pie (1) Show: Quantum Innergy (3)

RACE 6 — Post 6:32 PM — 1320f | D | S | Md Sp Wt | GOM | Purse $65,000

A one-turn mile on the dirt for maiden special weight colts, geldings, and maidens at the six-furlong distance. Wait — 1,320 feet converts to exactly 6 furlongs, making this a six-furlong maiden special weight for colts and geldings on the main track. The $65,000 purse is standard for maiden special weight sprint company, and the presence of two Bob Baffert horses makes this one of the most scrutinized races on the card from a wagering perspective.

Race 6

Pace Analysis

With Moona Lisa (2) at 1-1 and Dainey (1) at 2-1 both from the Baffert barn occupying the two inside posts, the pace will be set by these two horses unless Saucier (5) at 4-1 from Leonard Powell's stable pushes forward. A dual Baffert entry from the inside posts in a six-furlong sprint signals that one of these horses is likely significantly more forward in their training than the rest of the field. The 1-1 morning line on Moona Lisa (2) is the rarer price for a Baffert first-timer, suggesting the barn considers this horse a standout.

Key Contenders

Moona Lisa (2), trained by Bob Baffert and ridden by Juan Hernandez, is the even-money morning-line favorite. Baffert with a debut runner installed at 1-1 is among the most reliable betting angles in California racing. The Hall of Fame trainer rarely overestimates a horse's ability when assigning this kind of morning-line number. Hernandez is a capable pilot who rides for Baffert regularly. Post 2 is excellent for a speed-favoring Baffert debut runner in a six-furlong sprint.

Dainey (1), trained by Bob Baffert and ridden by E. Jaramillo, is 2-1 from the rail. The dual Baffert entry with Jaramillo — one of the hotter riders on the card — on one horse and Hernandez on the other is a classic Baffert show of force. If either Baffert horse is going to be an overlay, it is Dainey (1) at 2-1 with the rail and the hotter jockey. Handicappers should consider that Baffert's choice of Jaramillo for one horse and Hernandez for the other may simply reflect scheduling, not a preference signal.

Secondary Choices

Saucier (5), trained by Leonard Powell and ridden by Armando Ayuso, is 4-1 and represents the primary non-Baffert option in this race. Powell has developed horses that can compete at maiden special weight level, and Saucier (5) from Post 5 has a clean middle draw that avoids early contact. If the Baffert horses set a hot pace, Saucier (5) could be the one that runs them down.

Harmonique (3), trained by Neil Drysdale and ridden by Joel Rosario, is 12-1. Drysdale/Rosario is a formidable combination, and 12-1 could represent genuine overlay territory if Harmonique (3) has been training well. Rosario does not take throwaway rides.

Longshots

Sugar Lovin (4), trained by Michael McCarthy and ridden by Kazushi Kimura, is 10-1. McCarthy is elite with debut runners, and a 10-1 morning line on a McCarthy first-starter should command attention. Maddog (6), trained by Richard Baltas and ridden by E. Maldonado, is 20-1 from the outside post. Baltas is a quality trainer, but the 20-1 price and outside post in a six-furlong sprint make this a trifecta-only inclusion.

Betting Strategy

The Baffert double entry creates a wagering puzzle. With Moona Lisa (2) at 1-1, the win pool offers little value. The best play is to use Dainey (1) as a win horse at 2-1 alongside an exacta key of Moona Lisa (2) on top of Dainey (1), Saucier (5), and Harmonique (3). Sugar Lovin (4) at 10-1 from McCarthy is a legitimate trifecta sprinkle. The Rosario/Drysdale combination on Harmonique (3) at 12-1 is the best longshot play on the board in this race.

Selections

Win: Moona Lisa (2) Place: Dainey (1) Show: Saucier (5)

RACE 7 — Post 7:02 PM — 1760f | T | AO | OClm 20000n1x | BUM | Purse $67,000

A mile on the turf for horses at the optional claiming level of $20,000, non-winners of one race other than maiden, claiming, or starter. This is the companion race to Race 5, run for horses of all sexes rather than fillies and mares. Dean Keppler's Best Bet of the day is Miso Phansy (5) in this race, which is a strong signal for serious bettors.

Race 7

Pace Analysis

Miso Phansy (5) from Post 5, Wild West Coast (4) at 3-1, and We The Hobby (6) at 4-1 are the primary pace setters or stalkers to watch. In a seven-horse turf mile, pace tends to develop in waves, and the horses with legitimate tactical speed from moderate posts will have the advantage. Suntory Time (1) from the inside with Mike Smith aboard at 8-1 is always a factor in the early going from the rail on the turf.

Key Contenders

Miso Phansy (5), trained by Leonard Powell and ridden by Armando Ayuso, is the 2-1 morning-line favorite and the day's Best Bet according to pre-race analysis. The Best Bet designation from a respected handicapper carries significant weight, particularly in a field where the post positions and connections all deserve scrutiny. Powell has been placing horses effectively in these optional claimer turf spots, and Miso Phansy (5) from Post 5 at a mile has room to maneuver. Ayuso has been a capable rider on the Southern California circuit.

Wild West Coast (4), trained by Neil Drysdale and ridden by Joel Rosario, is 3-1 from Post 4. Drysdale/Rosario on a turf horse at a mile in optional claimer company is a legitimate contender on paper, and Post 4 is clean and workable. Rosario will get this horse into an ideal position without burning excessive energy.

Secondary Choices

We The Hobby (6), trained by Peter Miller and ridden by Kazushi Kimura, is 4-1 from Post 6. Miller is among the top turf trainers on the West Coast and consistently delivers horses that run well on grass at Santa Anita. Kimura has been improving as a turf rider. Post 6 at a mile requires some early hustle or a wide closing run, but Miller horses tend to be fit enough to overcome post-position disadvantages.

Petite Treat (7), trained by Mike Puype and ridden by Abel Lezcano, is 4-1 from the outside post. The outside post at a mile on the turf is a significant handicap, and Lezcano will need to find a forward position early or accept a ground-losing trip. Puype has competitive horses at this claiming level, but Post 7 is the toughest draw in this field.

Longshots

Suntory Time (1), trained by Richard Baltas and ridden by Mike Smith, is 8-1 from the rail. Baltas/Smith from the inside post on the turf is a combination that has produced winners at big prices, and 8-1 on a Baltas turf horse with Smith is potentially underbet. This is one of the better longshot plays on the card. Pavel's Etoile (3), trained by Antonio Garcia and ridden by Juan Hernandez, is 5-1 from Post 3. Garcia/Hernandez at 5-1 is a fair price from a clean draw. Mperfection (2), trained by John Ivory and ridden by Hector Berrios, is 30-1 and is a throwout given the connections.

Betting Strategy

Miso Phansy (5) as the Best Bet of the card deserves a win bet. The recommended structure is Miso Phansy (5) on top in exactas with Wild West Coast (4), We The Hobby (6), and Suntory Time (1). A small win bet on Suntory Time (1) at 8-1 captures the Baltas/Smith longshot value. Trifectas using Miso Phansy (5) on top with multiple combinations underneath can generate meaningful payoffs in a competitive seven-horse field.

Selections

Win: Miso Phansy (5) Place: Wild West Coast (4) Show: We The Hobby (6)

RACE 8 — Post 7:32 PM — 1540f | D | G3 | TrplBnd-G3 | BUN | Purse $100,000

The Grade III Triple Bend Stakes at seven furlongs on the main track is the marquee race of the card. A five-horse field of Grade I winners and graded stakes veterans makes this a quality sprint showdown. At 1,540 feet — which converts to approximately seven furlongs — this is a one-turn test of high-octane sprint speed. Stronghold (5) is the even-money morning-line favorite, and The Goat (3) at 2-1 is the primary rival. Pre-race news confirms that both horses are Grade I winners, making this a legitimate clash of elite sprinters.

Race 8

Pace Analysis

Stronghold (5) and The Goat (3) are the two horses with the most established form, and pace is the central question. The Goat (3) is a Chile-bred Grade I winner who has shown the ability to set or press fractions. Stronghold (5) is a powerful Grade I winner who may prefer to sit slightly off the pace or control it at his own tempo. If The Goat (3) pressures Stronghold (5) through the first quarter, the pace could set up for Bartholdy (2) or Simple Song (4) to close into a weakened field. The Last Straw (1) from Richard Mandella's barn is always worth pace consideration.

Key Contenders

Stronghold (5), trained by Philip D'Amato and ridden by Antonio Fresu, is the even-money chalk. D'Amato is among the top sprint trainers in California, and his record in the Triple Bend is strong. Stronghold (5) is a multiple Grade I winner whose recent form justifies the favorite's role. Fresu has proven himself in high-pressure stakes spots. The outside Post 5 in a five-horse field at seven furlongs is not a handicap, as the field will string out quickly.

The Goat (3), trained by John Sadler and ridden by E. Jaramillo, is the 2-1 second choice. Sadler is one of the most accomplished trainers in California, with an impressive graded stakes record. The Goat (3) is a Chile-bred Grade I winner who has shown the ability to be competitive at the highest levels of sprint racing in North America. Jaramillo aboard a John Sadler stakes horse is a premier combination. Post 3 is clean and workable.

Secondary Choices

Bartholdy (2), trained by Steve Knapp and ridden by T.C. Baze, is 4-1 from Post 2. Knapp is a capable conditioner who occasionally places horses in graded stakes company and fires them fresh. Baze is a veteran with extensive graded stakes experience. If the pace is hot between Stronghold (5) and The Goat (3), Bartholdy (2) from the inside could close into the prize.

Simple Song (4), trained by Mark Glatt and ridden by Kazushi Kimura, is 5-1 from Post 4. Glatt is a respected conditioner who regularly competes in graded stakes sprints, and Simple Song (4) at 5-1 could be the overlay in this short field if the form horses have questions. Kimura has handled graded stakes pressure in recent seasons.

Longshots

The Last Straw (1), trained by Richard Mandella and ridden by Mike Smith, is 12-1 from the rail. Mandella is a Hall of Fame trainer, and Smith is arguably the most decorated rider in California racing history. A Mandella/Smith combination at 12-1 in a five-horse graded stakes field is a genuine overlay consideration. If The Last Straw (1) has a clean trip from the rail and the front runners duel, this horse could be a significant price play.

Betting Strategy

In a five-horse graded stakes field, the win pool is compressed and returns will be modest across the board. The best value play is The Last Straw (1) at 12-1 with Mandella/Smith from the rail. Exactas pairing Stronghold (5) and The Goat (3) are the chalk plays. For value, Bartholdy (2) underneath Stronghold (5) in the exacta is worth a moderate investment. The Last Straw (1) to win at 12-1 is the recommended value play, and a LAST STRAW (1) / Stronghold (5) exacta could return meaningful value if the pace collapses.

Selections

Win: Stronghold (5) Place: The Goat (3) Show: Bartholdy (2)

RACE 9 — Post 8:02 PM — 1320f | T | M | Md 50000 | GON | Purse $35,000

The nightcap is a six-furlong turf maiden event for colts and geldings at the $50,000 claiming level. A ten-horse field makes this the largest field of the card and the most complex handicapping challenge. The $35,000 purse reflects the maiden claiming context, and Maximon (10) is the morning-line favorite at 1-1 from trainer Peter Eurton.

Race 9

Pace Analysis

With ten horses in a six-furlong turf sprint, the pace will be contested and chaotic in the early stages. Sigma Boy (1) from the inside, Running Spartan (2) at 6-1, and Maximon (10) from the outside will all have different agendas based on post position. A compressed field in a short-field turf sprint almost always produces a scenario where the horse with the cleanest trip wins. Post position matters enormously at this distance on the turf.

Key Contenders

Maximon (10), trained by Peter Eurton and ridden by Armando Ayuso, is the 1-1 morning-line favorite from the outside Post 10. Eurton is one of California's most reliable conditioners, with a strong record in maiden claiming events on the turf. A 1-1 morning line from the outside post in a ten-horse turf sprint suggests Eurton and the morning-line maker have tremendous confidence in this horse's ability, but the outside post is a significant concern. Maximon (10) will need to get into position early without burning excessive energy, which is a tall order from Post 10.

Gandalf (4), trained by John Sadler and ridden by Abel Lezcano, is 4-1 from Post 4. Sadler with a turf maiden at a legitimate price from a clean middle post is a strong play. Post 4 at six furlongs on the turf is one of the best draws in the field. Lezcano has been a capable rider in these types of spots.

Secondary Choices

Running Spartan (2), trained by George Papaprodromou and ridden by Cesar Belmont, is 6-1 from Post 2. Papaprodromou has shown the ability to develop maiden turf horses, and Post 2 at six furlongs on the grass is a prime draw. H Q Wilson (3), trained by Philip D'Amato and ridden by Kazushi Kimura, is 6-1 from Post 3. D'Amato is a premier turf trainer and 6-1 on a D'Amato turf maiden from Post 3 deserves serious consideration. The D'Amato/Kimura combination has shown results on the Santa Anita turf.

Mr American Pie (8), trained by Doug O'Neill and ridden by Antonio Fresu, is 8-1 from Post 8. O'Neill is a consistent performer in maiden claiming events, and Fresu from Post 8 will need a clear passage to be effective.

Longshots

Sigma Boy (1), trained by John Sadler and ridden by Joel Rosario, is 15-1 from the rail. A second Sadler entry with Rosario aboard at 15-1 from the inside post is not to be dismissed entirely — Sadler/Rosario combinations are always worth noting, and the inside post at six furlongs on the turf is favorable. Hoosick Falls (9), trained by Jeff Mullins and ridden by Kyle Frey, is 15-1 from Post 9. Mullins has produced turf winners at this level before, but Post 9 is problematic. Missile Cruiser (5), trained by Val Brinkerhoff and ridden by Alfredo Bautista, is 20-1. War Artist (6), trained by Jose Hernandez Jr. and ridden by Francisco Monroy, is 30-1. My Box Of Light (7), trained by Joe Herrick and ridden by Tiago Pereira, is 30-1. The 20-1 and 30-1 horses in this field are throwouts in all but the most liberal exotic constructions.

Betting Strategy

H Q Wilson (3) at 6-1 from the D'Amato barn with Kimura from Post 3 is the best value play in the nightcap. Gandalf (4) with the Sadler connection and a clean middle draw at 4-1 is the recommended top choice. In a ten-horse field on the turf at six furlongs, trifectas are the recommended exotic. Box Gandalf (4), H Q Wilson (3), and Running Spartan (2), and use Maximon (10) underneath as a single. Sigma Boy (1) with Rosario from the rail is the best longshot inclusion.

Selections

Win: Gandalf (4) Place: H Q Wilson (3) Show: Running Spartan (2)

Jockey Notes and Insights

E. Jaramillo is the clear standout rider on today's card, with mounts in nearly every race. Jaramillo has been among the hottest jockeys on the West Coast circuit in 2026, and the quality of his book today — including The Goat (3) in the Grade III Triple Bend, Angelica Bay (5) in Race 3, Lipstick Lies (1) in Race 4, Jennys Wine Girl (2) in Race 5, and Next Trick (3) in Race 2 — reflects his status at the top of the Southern California jockey colony. When a rider of Jaramillo's caliber accepts this volume of mounts in a single card, bettors should weight his presence as a meaningful positive factor regardless of the trainer.

Joel Rosario, despite riding fewer horses than Jaramillo today, brings elite credentials to every mount. His assignments include Shadow Nation (1) in Race 1, Motet (1) in Race 3, Wild West Coast (4) in Race 7, and Sigma Boy (1) in Race 9. Rosario consistently ranks among the top earners nationally, and his recent statistic of surpassing $16 million in 2026 earnings through May reflects his dominance across circuits. His presence on Motet (1) in Race 3 — from the inside rail at a mile on the turf — is a textbook Rosario assignment.

Antonio Fresu has been developing into a reliable Southern California rider and carries a strong book today, including Stronghold (5) in the Grade III Triple Bend, Lying Zero (8) in Race 4, Just Deal (1) in Race 2, French Moonlight (7) in Race 5, and Mr American Pie (8) in Race 9. Fresu's assignment to Stronghold (5) in the featured event reflects his rising stock with top trainers.

Mike Smith on The Last Straw (1) in Race 8 is the marquee jockey-horse angle of the day. Smith does not take 12-1 shots in graded stakes races without believing the horse is legitimate, and his presence on the Mandella runner is the single most important longshot signal on the card. Juan Hernandez aboard Moona Lisa (2) in Race 6 is significant — Baffert's use of Hernandez on his even-money shot indicates a level of trust in this rider's ability to manage a debut runner in a competitive maiden sprint. Victor Espinoza on Fibonaccis Ride (6) in Race 5 is a lesser angle at 12-1, but the veteran's presence always merits acknowledgment.

Kazushi Kimura has quietly developed into one of the better turf riders at Santa Anita and carries important mounts including Lady Of Power (4) in Race 3, H Q Wilson (3) in Race 9, We The Hobby (6) in Race 7, Simple Song (4) in Race 8, and Sugar Lovin (4) in Race 6. His workload suggests he is firmly embedded in the books of trainers like D'Amato, Baltas, Miller, and McCarthy.

T.C. Baze on Bartholdy (2) in the Grade III brings graded stakes experience and a veteran presence to the second choice in Race 8.

Trainer Notes and Insights

Bob Baffert's dual entry in Race 6 with Moona Lisa (2) and Dainey (1) occupying Posts 1 and 2 is the most significant trainer angle of the day. Baffert rarely enters two horses in the same maiden sprint without a clear preference, and the morning-line price of 1-1 on Moona Lisa (2) versus 2-1 on Dainey (1) strongly suggests the barn views Moona Lisa (2) as the superior runner. Baffert's win percentage with first-time starters in maiden special weight sprint events at Santa Anita is among the highest in California, and these two horses represent the type of investment that makes Post-time favorites in Baffert races difficult to fade.

Doug O'Neill spreads across the card with entries in nearly every race, including Just Deal (1) in Race 2, Nylie (2) in Race 1, Angelica Bay (5) in Race 3, Lying Zero (8) in Race 4, Mr American Pie (8) in Race 9, and French Moonlight (7) in Race 5. O'Neill's volume reflects his status as one of the leading trainers at the Santa Anita meet in terms of starts, and his win percentage in these conditions — particularly with first-time starters and turf routes — makes every O'Neill runner worth scrutiny.

Philip D'Amato trained Stronghold (5) in the Grade III Triple Bend and H Q Wilson (3) in Race 9. D'Amato is among the very best sprint trainers in California, with a strong graded stakes record at Santa Anita. His willingness to send Stronghold (5) to the post as the even-money favorite in the Triple Bend reflects the horse's form, and his 6-1 morning-line horse H Q Wilson (3) in the nightcap from Post 3 is a genuine overlay candidate.

John Sadler enters Gandalf (4) and Sigma Boy (1) in Race 9 and The Goat (3) in Race 8. The dual Sadler entry in the nightcap is worth watching — Sigma Boy (1) at 15-1 with Rosario from the rail is the longer of the two, and Sadler rarely deploys Rosario on a horse he considers secondary.

Neil Drysdale, the Hall of Fame trainer, has Apple Pie (1) in Race 5, Harmonique (3) in Race 6, and Wild West Coast (4) in Race 7. All three are worth attention as potential overlays given Drysdale's reputation for meticulous preparation. His 8-1 horse Apple Pie (1) in Race 5 from the rail at a mile on the turf is the single best Drysdale angle of the day.

Richard Mandella is represented only by The Last Straw (1) in the Grade III, but one quality horse from a Hall of Fame trainer with Mike Smith in the saddle at 12-1 in a five-horse field is a legitimate wagering situation.

Peter Miller's We The Hobby (6) in Race 7 reflects the trainer's strong turf record at Santa Anita. Miller consistently develops horses that run well on the grass at this circuit, and We The Hobby (6) at 4-1 from Post 6 is a fair price.

Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays

The featured race of the card is the Grade III Triple Bend Stakes in Race 8, and the best wagering approach for the card overall is to build structures that position you for a big score in the nightcap (Race 9) while using banker plays in the feature to control costs.

The Best Bet of the day is Miso Phansy (5) in Race 7, and this horse deserves a straight win bet as well as inclusion as a key in all multi-race exotic structures. If Miso Phansy (5) wins at or near the 2-1 morning line, the return is modest but the confidence level is high enough to justify a larger-than-usual investment.

The single best value play on the card is The Last Straw (1) at 12-1 in Race 8 with Mandella/Smith from the rail in a five-horse graded stakes field. A small win bet combined with The Last Straw (1) on top in exactas beneath Stronghold (5) and The Goat (3) creates a multi-pronged approach that captures both the chalk scenario and the longshot upset. If the pace heats up between Stronghold (5) and The Goat (3), The Last Straw (1) is the horse with the best chance to benefit.

The second-best value play is Apple Pie (1) at 8-1 in Race 5 with Drysdale from the rail at a mile on the turf. The Drysdale/Kimura inside-post combination at 8-1 in a seven-horse optional claimer is the type of overlay that regularly produces solid returns at Santa Anita.

For multi-race wagering, the Pick 5 beginning in Race 5 and running through Race 9 is the recommended structure. The Pick 5 sequence covers a turf optional claimer, the maiden special weight sprint on dirt, another turf optional claimer, the Grade III sprint, and the maiden claiming turf nightcap — a diverse set of race conditions that rewards the handicapper who has done the most preparation. Using Jennys Wine Girl (2) as a single in Race 5, spreading Moona Lisa (2) and Dainey (1) in Race 6, using Miso Phansy (5) as a single in Race 7, spreading Stronghold (5) and The Goat (3) in Race 8, and using three horses in Race 9 — Gandalf (4), H Q Wilson (3), and Running Spartan (2) — creates a manageable 1x2x1x2x3 = 12-combination Pick 5 ticket. A second ticket substituting The Last Straw (1) into Race 8 and adding Maximon (10) to Race 9 covers the longshot scenarios.

For the daily double between Race 8 and Race 9, pairing Stronghold (5) with Gandalf (4), H Q Wilson (3), and Maximon (10) at a modest investment captures the most likely outcome while offering reasonable returns in the nightcap. Adding The Last Straw (1) on top in a second daily double ticket gives you meaningful upside.

The exacta in Race 9 — a ten-horse turf maiden claiming sprint — is potentially the highest-paying bet of the night. Keying Gandalf (4) on top with Maximon (10), H Q Wilson (3), Running Spartan (2), and Sigma Boy (1) underneath in a $1 exacta covers the most likely outcomes at an investment of $4, with potentially strong returns given the competitive prices.

Before wagering, check the Latest Race Scratches, Changes, and Conditions post for any last-minute scratches or race changes.


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