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Pick Pony's AI picks work best when used with our Past Performance reports to enhance your handicapping and are especially effective for identifying potential longshot selections. You can purchase custom Past Performance reports through one of our subscription options. Learn more about Pick Pony's Past Performance reports here. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 5 – Always A Runner (4/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Meaning (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Prom Queen (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Counting Stars (9/2), 4 – Maximum Offer (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-1-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-4-1-2 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 3 – Chief Wallabee (3/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Renegade (2/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Emerging Market (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Commandment (6/1), 9 – Golden Tempo (9/2), 2 – Powershift (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Growth Equity (12/1), 5 – Ottinho (20/1), 1 – Vitruvian Man (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-8-7-9-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-9-3-6-8-2-7-1-5 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 5 – Always A Runner (4/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Meaning (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Prom Queen (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Counting Stars (9/2), 4 – Maximum Offer (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-1-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-4-1-2 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 4 – Renegade (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Chief Wallabee (3/1) |
| Show: | 9 – Golden Tempo (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Emerging Market (6/1), 7 – Commandment (6/1), 2 – Powershift (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Growth Equity (12/1), 5 – Ottinho (20/1), 1 – Vitruvian Man (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-9-8-7-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-9-3-6-8-2-7-1-5 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 2, FPS: 21, FPS Midpoint: 3, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 65, Mid Pace: 59, Late Pace: 57, Post Position: 41, PPPP Rating: 21, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 10, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 19, Medications: 26, Weather: 84, Race Trouble: 68, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 16, All Races: 92, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 3 – Meaning (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Always A Runner (4/5) |
| Show: | 1 – Prom Queen (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Counting Stars (9/2), 4 – Maximum Offer (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-1-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-4-1-2 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 4 – Renegade (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Chief Wallabee (3/1) |
| Show: | 9 – Golden Tempo (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Emerging Market (6/1), 7 – Commandment (6/1), 6 – Growth Equity (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Powershift (12/1), 5 – Ottinho (20/1), 1 – Vitruvian Man (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-9-8-7-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-9-3-6-8-2-7-1-5 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 8, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 26, Early Pace: 38, Mid Pace: 14, Late Pace: 67, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 76, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 26, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 26, Weight: 91, Medications: 4, Weather: 13, Race Trouble: 66, Last Race: 51, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 26, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots with positive calibrated edge — calibrator: multidim) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | $ on $200 |
| 1 | 4 – Maximum Offer | 15/1 | 7.5% | +19.8% | 0.33% | $0.66 |
| 2 | 6 – Growth Equity | 12/1 | 8.8% | +14.9% | 0.31% | $0.62 |
| 2 | 2 – Powershift | 12/1 | 8.6% | +12.1% | 0.25% | $0.51 |
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. ¼ Kelly stake is the recommended fraction of bankroll, capped at 5%. Dollar column scales to a $200 example bankroll — scale linearly for your own. | ||||||
Index – Horses Running In This Card
| ALWAYS A RUNNER | CHIEF WALLABEE | COMMANDMENT | COUNTING STARS | EMERGING MARKET |
| GROWTH EQUITY | MAXIMUM OFFER | MEANING | OTTINHO | POWERSHIFT |
| RENEGADE | VITRUVIAN MAN |
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