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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 4 – Rascal Flash (5/2) |
| Place: | 8 – Strike Plate (5/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Ringthatbell (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – P J's Boy (8/1), 6 – Just A Rockstar (6/1), 5 – Rivers Of Wealth (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Agnello City (15/1), 1 – Bold Windsor (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-8-7-6-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-5-8-6-2-1-3 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 5 – Mia's Go (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Mi Bella Genio (9/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Yellow Feathers (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Rose Rita (4/1), 4 – Dos Amores (5/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-2-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-3-1-4 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 2 – Countess Colette (9/5) |
| Place: | 5 – It's Browns Time (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Perfect Date (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Dunn's River (5/1), 6 – Hot Princess (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Kiss Valentina (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-5-6-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-5-6-1-4 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Sammy's Smile (8/5) |
| Place: | 3 – K Kid (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Docs Legend (9/5) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Quiet Amigo (6/1), 4 – Tahlequah Joe (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Mister Mobil (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-5-6-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-6-3-2-1-4 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Big Bucksalot (1/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Stay Thirsty Amigo (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Bucket List (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Star Weaver (6/1), 5 – Black Candy (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-2-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-4-3-5 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 7 – Go West (3/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Standard Of Proof (4/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Wauhatchie (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Saybrook (12/1), 4 – More Love (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Zippin Gigi (8/1), 2 – Little Vaquero (9/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-7-5-3-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-6-3-4-5-2 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 5 – Mr Loooch (6/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Corner Office (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Cannon Man (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – It'sgoodtobeseen (3/1), 1 – Stormed Out (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-3-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-4-3-1 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 4 – Magic Motown (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Last Minute Mikey (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Wasabi Beach (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Social History (6/1), 7 – Dew It With Class (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Gray Tormentor (5/1), 1 – Glory Reigns (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-4-7-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-3-1-5-2-7 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 4 – Rascal Flash (5/2) |
| Place: | 8 – Strike Plate (5/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Ringthatbell (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Rivers Of Wealth (7/2), 6 – Just A Rockstar (6/1), 7 – P J's Boy (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Agnello City (15/1), 1 – Bold Windsor (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-3-4-5-6-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-5-8-6-2-1-3 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 5 – Mia's Go (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Mi Bella Genio (9/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Yellow Feathers (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Dos Amores (5/2), 2 – Rose Rita (4/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-3-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-3-1-4 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 2 – Countess Colette (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Dunn's River (5/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Perfect Date (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – It's Browns Time (2/1), 6 – Hot Princess (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Kiss Valentina (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-5-2-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-5-6-1-4 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Sammy's Smile (8/5) |
| Place: | 3 – K Kid (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Docs Legend (9/5) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Quiet Amigo (6/1), 1 – Mister Mobil (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Tahlequah Joe (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-2-6-1-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-6-3-2-1-4 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Big Bucksalot (1/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Stay Thirsty Amigo (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Bucket List (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Star Weaver (6/1), 5 – Black Candy (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-5-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-4-3-5 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 7 – Go West (3/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Wauhatchie (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Zippin Gigi (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Saybrook (12/1), 3 – Standard Of Proof (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – More Love (5/1), 2 – Little Vaquero (9/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-7-5-3-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-6-3-4-5-2 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 5 – Mr Loooch (6/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Corner Office (7/2) |
| Show: | 4 – It'sgoodtobeseen (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Stormed Out (6/1), 3 – Cannon Man (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-4-3-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-4-3-1 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 4 – Magic Motown (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Last Minute Mikey (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Social History (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Dew It With Class (4/1), 6 – Wasabi Beach (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Gray Tormentor (5/1), 1 – Glory Reigns (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-4-7-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-3-1-5-2-7 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 2, FPS: 21, FPS Midpoint: 3, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 65, Mid Pace: 59, Late Pace: 57, Post Position: 41, PPPP Rating: 21, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 10, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 19, Medications: 26, Weather: 84, Race Trouble: 68, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 16, All Races: 92, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 4 – Rascal Flash (5/2) |
| Place: | 8 – Strike Plate (5/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Ringthatbell (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – P J's Boy (8/1), 5 – Rivers Of Wealth (7/2), 6 – Just A Rockstar (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Bold Windsor (8/1), 3 – Agnello City (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-7-4-5-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-5-8-6-2-1-3 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 5 – Mia's Go (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Mi Bella Genio (9/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Dos Amores (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Yellow Feathers (7/2), 2 – Rose Rita (4/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-3-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-3-1-4 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 2 – Countess Colette (9/5) |
| Place: | 5 – It's Browns Time (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Perfect Date (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Dunn's River (5/1), 6 – Hot Princess (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Kiss Valentina (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-5-2-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-5-6-1-4 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Sammy's Smile (8/5) |
| Place: | 3 – K Kid (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Docs Legend (9/5) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Quiet Amigo (6/1), 1 – Mister Mobil (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Tahlequah Joe (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-2-6-1-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-6-3-2-1-4 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Big Bucksalot (1/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Stay Thirsty Amigo (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Bucket List (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Star Weaver (6/1), 5 – Black Candy (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-4-3-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-4-3-5 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 6 – Wauhatchie (5/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Standard Of Proof (4/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Go West (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Zippin Gigi (8/1), 5 – Saybrook (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – More Love (5/1), 2 – Little Vaquero (9/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-7-3-5-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-6-3-4-5-2 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 5 – Mr Loooch (6/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Corner Office (7/2) |
| Show: | 4 – It'sgoodtobeseen (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Cannon Man (5/1), 1 – Stormed Out (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-4-3-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-4-3-1 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 4 – Magic Motown (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Last Minute Mikey (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Social History (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Dew It With Class (4/1), 2 – Gray Tormentor (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Wasabi Beach (8/1), 1 – Glory Reigns (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-4-7-2-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-3-1-5-2-7 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 26, FPS: 51, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 26, Early Pace: 35, Mid Pace: 22, Late Pace: 43, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 51, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 51, All Races: 56, Best Race: 27, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots with positive calibrated edge — calibrator: multidim) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | $ on $200 |
| 4 | 4 – Tahlequah Joe | 15/1 | 7.9% | +26.9% | 0.45% | $0.90 |
| 8 | 1 – Glory Reigns | 10/1 | 11.5% | +26.7% | 0.67% | $1.34 |
| 3 | 4 – Kiss Valentina | 15/1 | 7.6% | +20.9% | 0.35% | $0.70 |
| 1 | 3 – Agnello City | 15/1 | 6.7% | +7.0% | 0.12% | $0.23 |
| 4 | 1 – Mister Mobil | 10/1 | 9.2% | +1.6% | 0.04% | $0.08 |
| 6 | 5 – Saybrook | 12/1 | 7.7% | +0.5% | 0.01% | $0.02 |
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. ¼ Kelly stake is the recommended fraction of bankroll, capped at 5%. Dollar column scales to a $200 example bankroll — scale linearly for your own. | ||||||
Index – Horses Running In This Card
| AGNELLO CITY | BIG BUCKSALOT | BLACK CANDY | BOLD WINDSOR | BUCKET LIST |
| CORNER OFFICE | COUNTESS COLETTE | DEW IT WITH CLASS | DOCS LEGEND | DOS AMORES |
| GLORY REIGNS | GO WEST | GRAY TORMENTOR | HOT PRINCESS | IT'S BROWNS TIME |
| JUST A ROCKSTAR | K KID | KISS VALENTINA | LAST MINUTE MIKEY | LITTLE VAQUERO |
| MI BELLA GENIO | MIA'S GO | MISTER MOBIL | MORE LOVE | MR LOOOCH |
| PERFECT DATE | QUIET AMIGO | RASCAL FLASH | RINGTHATBELL | RIVERS OF WEALTH |
| SAMMY'S SMILE | SAYBROOK | SOCIAL HISTORY | STANDARD OF PROOF | STAR WEAVER |
| STORMED OUT | STRIKE PLATE | TAHLEQUAH JOE | WASABI BEACH | WAUHATCHIE |
| ZIPPIN GIGI |
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