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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 6 – Your Analysis (9/5) |
| Place: | 8 – Morning Thoughts (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Likebelivingnmagic (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Forrest City (5/1), 7 – Top Blood (12/1), 5 – Rapidity (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Bonded (30/1), 9 – Sin Permiso (20/1), 3 – Strategist (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-2-8-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-7-5-3-4-2-9-1 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Island Bandit (9/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Baru (8/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Z Town (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Our Charm (5/1), 8 – Lucky Siete (5/2), 5 – Westbound Cat (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Rainonthescarecrow (15/1), 2 – Diminuto Burrito (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-6-8-5-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-1-4-6-7-5-3-2 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 4 – Big Tankness (9/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Bushido (7/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Cactus (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Billionaires Row (6/1), 1 – Talented Man (15/1), 7 – Prado Road (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Bouncer (12/1), 5 – War Humor (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-4-2-1-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-3-2-7-1-5-8 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 3 – And Sum (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Close The Gate (8/5) |
| Show: | 4 – Dolice Vita (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Daddy Yankee (8/1), 2 – Upshot (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Foggy Dew (15/1), 1 – Kitty's Son (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-7-4-2-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-3-2-5-6-1 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 14 – Red Sea (9/2) |
| Place: | 11 – J C's Boys (9/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Kuhner (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Chimney Sweep (5/2), 4 – Tax And Tags (8/1), 15 – Rare Eclipse (12/1), 8 – Notion In Motion (7/2), 13 – M D Fieldstone (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Free Costs To Much (30/1), 9 – Bright Time (30/1), 10 – Airbrush (6/1), 16 – Leo's Foo (12/1), 6 – Start Tappin (15/1), 12 – Guerrilla Magic (30/1), 1 – Long Straw (30/1), 2 – Forget The Rules (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-12-3-14-7-15 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 11-3-14-4-13-5-15-10-16-6-8-12-2-9-7-1 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 7 – Suremeanttoobe (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Freeze The Fire (5/2) |
| Show: | 8 – Don't Wait Up (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Band Camp (5/1), 1 – Change My World (12/1), 4 – Rampagius (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – All The Hardways (20/1), 3 – Tenebris (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-8-1-7-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-7-4-8-6-3-2 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 2 – Only For Now (1/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Just Philtored (5/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Slewperstitus (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10 – The Town Tempter (6/1), 4 – Niche (8/1), 8 – Hark Theangelssing (6/1), 3 – Tap Into Grace (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – River Escape (12/1), 9 – Doc's Miracle (10/1), 7 – Gigabit (15/1), 11 – Gerrards Cross (20/1), 12 – Echo Juliet (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-10-6-2-1-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-6-1-9-10-7-5-8-12-3-11 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 5 – Work Hard (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Masakado (6/5) |
| Show: | 1 – Formal Affair (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Warrior Wayne (5/1), 4 – It's Sizzling Time (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Mr Scatter (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-2-4-3-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-3-6-1-4 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 6 – Your Analysis (9/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Rapidity (5/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Morning Thoughts (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Forrest City (5/1), 2 – Likebelivingnmagic (10/1), 3 – Strategist (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Top Blood (12/1), 9 – Sin Permiso (20/1), 1 – Bonded (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-8-2-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-7-5-3-4-2-9-1 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Island Bandit (9/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Baru (8/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Lucky Siete (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Westbound Cat (4/1), 7 – Z Town (7/2), 6 – Our Charm (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Rainonthescarecrow (15/1), 2 – Diminuto Burrito (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-8-5-7-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-1-4-6-7-5-3-2 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 4 – Big Tankness (9/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Bushido (7/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Cactus (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Talented Man (15/1), 6 – Bouncer (12/1), 7 – Prado Road (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Billionaires Row (6/1), 5 – War Humor (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-4-2-1-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-3-2-7-1-5-8 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 3 – And Sum (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Dolice Vita (3/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Close The Gate (8/5) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Daddy Yankee (8/1), 1 – Kitty's Son (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Upshot (10/1), 6 – Foggy Dew (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-7-4-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-3-2-5-6-1 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 14 – Red Sea (9/2) |
| Place: | 11 – J C's Boys (9/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Chimney Sweep (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Tax And Tags (8/1), 5 – Kuhner (8/1), 8 – Notion In Motion (7/2), 10 – Airbrush (6/1), 13 – M D Fieldstone (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Start Tappin (15/1), 15 – Rare Eclipse (12/1), 16 – Leo's Foo (12/1), 9 – Bright Time (30/1), 7 – Free Costs To Much (30/1), 1 – Long Straw (30/1), 2 – Forget The Rules (30/1), 12 – Guerrilla Magic (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-12-3-14-7-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 11-3-14-4-13-5-15-10-16-6-8-12-2-9-7-1 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 5 – Freeze The Fire (5/2) |
| Place: | 7 – Suremeanttoobe (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Change My World (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Band Camp (5/1), 8 – Don't Wait Up (5/1), 4 – Rampagius (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Tenebris (20/1), 2 – All The Hardways (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-7-6-8-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-7-4-8-6-3-2 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 2 – Only For Now (1/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Slewperstitus (6/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Just Philtored (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Niche (8/1), 7 – Gigabit (15/1), 8 – Hark Theangelssing (6/1), 5 – River Escape (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Tap Into Grace (10/1), 9 – Doc's Miracle (10/1), 10 – The Town Tempter (6/1), 12 – Echo Juliet (20/1), 11 – Gerrards Cross (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-6-2-1-10-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-6-1-9-10-7-5-8-12-3-11 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 2 – Masakado (6/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Work Hard (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Formal Affair (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Mr Scatter (6/1), 6 – Warrior Wayne (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – It's Sizzling Time (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-5-3-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-3-6-1-4 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 2, FPS: 21, FPS Midpoint: 3, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 65, Mid Pace: 59, Late Pace: 57, Post Position: 41, PPPP Rating: 21, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 10, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 19, Medications: 26, Weather: 84, Race Trouble: 68, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 16, All Races: 92, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 6 – Your Analysis (9/5) |
| Place: | 8 – Morning Thoughts (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Rapidity (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Forrest City (5/1), 7 – Top Blood (12/1), 2 – Likebelivingnmagic (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Strategist (10/1), 9 – Sin Permiso (20/1), 1 – Bonded (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-8-2-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-7-5-3-4-2-9-1 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Island Bandit (9/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Baru (8/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Lucky Siete (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Our Charm (5/1), 5 – Westbound Cat (4/1), 7 – Z Town (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Rainonthescarecrow (15/1), 2 – Diminuto Burrito (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-8-4-6-5-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-1-4-6-7-5-3-2 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 3 – Bushido (7/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Big Tankness (9/5) |
| Show: | 2 – Cactus (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Bouncer (12/1), 1 – Talented Man (15/1), 7 – Prado Road (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Billionaires Row (6/1), 5 – War Humor (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-4-2-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-3-2-7-1-5-8 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 7 – Close The Gate (8/5) |
| Place: | 3 – And Sum (2/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Dolice Vita (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Daddy Yankee (8/1), 2 – Upshot (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Kitty's Son (20/1), 6 – Foggy Dew (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-3-4-1-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-3-2-5-6-1 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 11 – J C's Boys (9/2) |
| Place: | 14 – Red Sea (9/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Chimney Sweep (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Kuhner (8/1), 4 – Tax And Tags (8/1), 13 – M D Fieldstone (12/1), 10 – Airbrush (6/1), 15 – Rare Eclipse (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Notion In Motion (7/2), 16 – Leo's Foo (12/1), 6 – Start Tappin (15/1), 9 – Bright Time (30/1), 7 – Free Costs To Much (30/1), 12 – Guerrilla Magic (30/1), 1 – Long Straw (30/1), 2 – Forget The Rules (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-12-3-14-11-15 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 11-3-14-4-13-5-15-10-16-6-8-12-2-9-7-1 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 7 – Suremeanttoobe (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Freeze The Fire (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Change My World (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Band Camp (5/1), 8 – Don't Wait Up (5/1), 4 – Rampagius (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Tenebris (20/1), 2 – All The Hardways (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-7-6-8-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-7-4-8-6-3-2 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 2 – Only For Now (1/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Just Philtored (5/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Niche (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Slewperstitus (6/1), 5 – River Escape (12/1), 8 – Hark Theangelssing (6/1), 10 – The Town Tempter (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Tap Into Grace (10/1), 9 – Doc's Miracle (10/1), 7 – Gigabit (15/1), 12 – Echo Juliet (20/1), 11 – Gerrards Cross (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-6-2-10-1-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-6-1-9-10-7-5-8-12-3-11 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 5 – Work Hard (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Masakado (6/5) |
| Show: | 1 – Formal Affair (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Warrior Wayne (5/1), 3 – Mr Scatter (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – It's Sizzling Time (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-6-3-1-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-3-6-1-4 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 26, FPS: 51, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 26, Early Pace: 35, Mid Pace: 22, Late Pace: 43, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 51, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 51, All Races: 56, Best Race: 27, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots with positive calibrated edge — calibrator: multidim) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | $ on $200 |
| 7 | 11 – Gerrards Cross | 20/1 | 17.2% | +262.1% | 3.28% | $6.55 |
| 1 | 2 – Likebelivingnmagic | 10/1 | 14.0% | +53.9% | 1.35% | $2.69 |
| 7 | 9 – Doc'S Miracle | 10/1 | 13.0% | +42.7% | 1.07% | $2.14 |
| 7 | 3 – Tap Into Grace | 10/1 | 12.9% | +42.0% | 1.05% | $2.10 |
| 1 | 3 – Strategist | 10/1 | 12.6% | +38.2% | 0.96% | $1.91 |
| 2 | 3 – Rainonthescarecrow | 15/1 | 8.3% | +32.2% | 0.54% | $1.07 |
| 3 | 1 – Talented Man | 15/1 | 8.2% | +31.5% | 0.53% | $1.05 |
| 7 | 7 – Gigabit | 15/1 | 8.0% | +28.0% | 0.47% | $0.93 |
| 5 | 6 – Start Tappin | 15/1 | 7.8% | +25.5% | 0.43% | $0.85 |
| 4 | 2 – Upshot | 10/1 | 10.5% | +15.8% | 0.40% | $0.79 |
| 4 | 6 – Foggy Dew | 15/1 | 7.2% | +15.3% | 0.26% | $0.51 |
| 1 | 7 – Top Blood | 12/1 | 8.9% | +15.1% | 0.31% | $0.63 |
| 3 | 6 – Bouncer | 12/1 | 8.9% | +15.1% | 0.31% | $0.63 |
| 6 | 1 – Change My World | 12/1 | 8.9% | +15.1% | 0.31% | $0.63 |
| 5 | 13 – M D Fieldstone | 12/1 | 8.8% | +14.1% | 0.29% | $0.59 |
| 7 | 5 – River Escape | 12/1 | 8.7% | +12.9% | 0.27% | $0.54 |
| 5 | 16 – Leo'S Foo | 12/1 | 8.1% | +5.3% | 0.11% | $0.22 |
| 5 | 15 – Rare Eclipse | 12/1 | 8.0% | +3.6% | 0.07% | $0.15 |
| 3 | 5 – War Humor | 12/1 | 7.8% | +1.8% | 0.04% | $0.07 |
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. ¼ Kelly stake is the recommended fraction of bankroll, capped at 5%. Dollar column scales to a $200 example bankroll — scale linearly for your own. | ||||||
Index – Horses Running In This Card
| AIRBRUSH | ALL THE HARDWAYS | AND SUM | BAND CAMP | BARU |
| BILLIONAIRES ROW | BONDED | BOUNCER | BRIGHT TIME | BUSHIDO |
| CHANGE MY WORLD | CHIMNEY SWEEP | CLOSE THE GATE | DADDY YANKEE | DIMINUTO BURRITO |
| DOLICE VITA | DON'T WAIT UP | ECHO JULIET | FOGGY DEW | FORGET THE RULES |
| FORREST CITY | FREE COSTS TO MUCH | FREEZE THE FIRE | GERRARDS CROSS | GIGABIT |
| HARK THEANGELSSING | ISLAND BANDIT | IT'S SIZZLING TIME | J C'S BOYS | JUST PHILTORED |
| KUHNER | LEO'S FOO | LIKEBELIVINGNMAGIC | LONG STRAW | LUCKY SIETE |
| MASAKADO | MORNING THOUGHTS | MR SCATTER | NICHE | NOTION IN MOTION |
| OUR CHARM | PRADO ROAD | RAINONTHESCARECROW | RAMPAGIUS | RAPIDITY |
| RED SEA | RIVER ESCAPE | SIN PERMISO | SLEWPERSTITUS | START TAPPIN |
| SUREMEANTTOOBE | TALENTED MAN | TAP INTO GRACE | TAX AND TAGS | TENEBRIS |
| TOP BLOOD | UPSHOT | WAR HUMOR | WARRIOR WAYNE | WESTBOUND CAT |
| YOUR ANALYSIS | Z TOWN |
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