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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 1 – Rollin Freedom (6/1) |
| Place: | 8 – Moon Event (2/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Mamma In The Cloud (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Devoutly (7/2), 4 – Cowgirltakemeaway (8/1), 6 – Most Adorable (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – My Daniela (15/1), 2 – Bold Nicky (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-1-7-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-3-5-1-4-6-7-2 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 3 – Country Promises (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Miesha (2/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Perfect Angel (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Sushi Q (9/2), 7 – Aunt Mo (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Amy's Star (5/1), 4 – Honor And Obay (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-7-1-5-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-5-7-1-4-6-2 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 4 – The Miracle Kiut (7/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Shakeurskinnylegs (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Danza Magic (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Spice Ice (6/1), 5 – Chloes Angel (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-3-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-3-2-5 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Afloat (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Sun Of War (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Spectacular D'oro (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Kickstart (9/2), 4 – Sadie's Ghost (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Counting On Clyde (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-1-6-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-1-4-6-2 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 2 – Candy Sprinkles (5/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Tiz Magnificent (6/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Roughnthepassenger (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Proud Words (9/2), 4 – Johanna's Life (2/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – No Indulgence (12/1), 6 – Lady Sweet (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-7-1-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-7-3-5-1-6 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 6 – Atkins (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Saqeel (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Breezy Money (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Patriarchal (5/1), 3 – Secret Bagent Man (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Ice Blast (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-4-3-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-1-5-2-3 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 5 – Brick Ambush (9/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Channel Fury (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Lucky Jeremy (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Silence (8/1), 2 – Ed's Reward (2/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Timeless Bounty (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-4-2-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-3-1-6-4 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 6 – Improbable First (4/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Florida Gator (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Bourbon On Fire (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Cacique Abarrio (5/1), 3 – Go Collector (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Jenny's Beignet (12/1), 4 – Roundball Rock (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-5-4-7-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-6-5-4-1-3-7 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 1 – Rollin Freedom (6/1) |
| Place: | 8 – Moon Event (2/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Mamma In The Cloud (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Devoutly (7/2), 4 – Cowgirltakemeaway (8/1), 6 – Most Adorable (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – My Daniela (15/1), 2 – Bold Nicky (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-1-7-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-3-5-1-4-6-7-2 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 3 – Country Promises (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Miesha (2/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Sushi Q (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Amy's Star (5/1), 1 – Perfect Angel (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Honor And Obay (8/1), 7 – Aunt Mo (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-7-5-2-1-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-5-7-1-4-6-2 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 4 – The Miracle Kiut (7/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Shakeurskinnylegs (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Danza Magic (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Spice Ice (6/1), 5 – Chloes Angel (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-3-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-3-2-5 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Afloat (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Kickstart (9/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Spectacular D'oro (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Sun Of War (5/2), 4 – Sadie's Ghost (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Counting On Clyde (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-3-6-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-1-4-6-2 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 2 – Candy Sprinkles (5/2) |
| Place: | 7 – Roughnthepassenger (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Tiz Magnificent (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Proud Words (9/2), 4 – Johanna's Life (2/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – No Indulgence (12/1), 6 – Lady Sweet (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-3-1-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-7-3-5-1-6 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 6 – Atkins (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Saqeel (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Breezy Money (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Patriarchal (5/1), 3 – Secret Bagent Man (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Ice Blast (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-2-3-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-1-5-2-3 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 5 – Brick Ambush (9/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Channel Fury (7/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Silence (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Ed's Reward (2/1), 6 – Lucky Jeremy (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Timeless Bounty (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-2-4-1-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-3-1-6-4 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 2 – Bourbon On Fire (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Improbable First (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Florida Gator (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Go Collector (9/2), 7 – Cacique Abarrio (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Jenny's Beignet (12/1), 4 – Roundball Rock (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-5-1-7-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-6-5-4-1-3-7 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 2, FPS: 21, FPS Midpoint: 3, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 65, Mid Pace: 59, Late Pace: 57, Post Position: 41, PPPP Rating: 21, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 10, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 19, Medications: 26, Weather: 84, Race Trouble: 68, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 16, All Races: 92, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 8 – Moon Event (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Rollin Freedom (6/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Devoutly (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Mamma In The Cloud (5/2), 4 – Cowgirltakemeaway (8/1), 6 – Most Adorable (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – My Daniela (15/1), 2 – Bold Nicky (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-1-8-6-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-3-5-1-4-6-7-2 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 3 – Country Promises (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Miesha (2/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Sushi Q (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Perfect Angel (4/1), 2 – Amy's Star (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Aunt Mo (12/1), 4 – Honor And Obay (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-7-5-1-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-5-7-1-4-6-2 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 4 – The Miracle Kiut (7/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Shakeurskinnylegs (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Danza Magic (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Spice Ice (6/1), 5 – Chloes Angel (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-3-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-3-2-5 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Afloat (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Sun Of War (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Kickstart (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Sadie's Ghost (5/1), 6 – Spectacular D'oro (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Counting On Clyde (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-1-4-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-1-4-6-2 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 2 – Candy Sprinkles (5/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Tiz Magnificent (6/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Roughnthepassenger (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Johanna's Life (2/1), 1 – Proud Words (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – No Indulgence (12/1), 6 – Lady Sweet (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-7-4-1-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-7-3-5-1-6 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 6 – Atkins (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Saqeel (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Breezy Money (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Patriarchal (5/1), 3 – Secret Bagent Man (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Ice Blast (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-2-3-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-1-5-2-3 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 5 – Brick Ambush (9/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Channel Fury (7/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Ed's Reward (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Lucky Jeremy (5/1), 1 – Silence (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Timeless Bounty (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-2-4-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-3-1-6-4 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 6 – Improbable First (4/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Bourbon On Fire (5/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Florida Gator (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Go Collector (9/2), 4 – Roundball Rock (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Cacique Abarrio (5/1), 1 – Jenny's Beignet (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-5-4-3-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-6-5-4-1-3-7 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 26, FPS: 51, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 26, Early Pace: 35, Mid Pace: 22, Late Pace: 43, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 51, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 31, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 51, All Races: 56, Best Race: 27, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | $ on $200 |
| 1 | 7 – My Daniela | 15/1 | 8.9% | +41.7% | 0.69% | $1.39 |
| 2 | 7 – Aunt Mo | 12/1 | 8.9% | +15.1% | 0.31% | $0.63 |
| 1 | 6 – Most Adorable | 12/1 | 8.5% | +11.1% | 0.23% | $0.46 |
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). ¼ Kelly stake is the recommended fraction of bankroll, capped at 5%. Dollar column scales to a $200 example bankroll — scale linearly for your own. | ||||||
Index – Horses Running In This Card
| AFLOAT | AMY'S STAR | ATKINS | AUNT MO | BOLD NICKY |
| BREEZY MONEY | BRICK AMBUSH | CACIQUE ABARRIO | CANDY SPRINKLES | CHANNEL FURY |
| COUNTING ON CLYDE | COUNTRY PROMISES | COWGIRLTAKEMEAWAY | DANZA MAGIC | DEVOUTLY |
| FLORIDA GATOR | GO COLLECTOR | HONOR AND OBAY | ICE BLAST | IMPROBABLE FIRST |
| JOHANNA'S LIFE | KICKSTART | LADY SWEET | LUCKY JEREMY | MAMMA IN THE CLOUD |
| MOON EVENT | MOST ADORABLE | MY DANIELA | NO INDULGENCE | PATRIARCHAL |
| PROUD WORDS | ROLLIN FREEDOM | ROUGHNTHEPASSENGER | ROUNDBALL ROCK | SADIE'S GHOST |
| SECRET BAGENT MAN | SHAKEURSKINNYLEGS | SILENCE | SPECTACULAR D'ORO | SPICE ICE |
| SUSHI Q | THE MIRACLE KIUT | TIMELESS BOUNTY | TIZ MAGNIFICENT |
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