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Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Colonial Downs, July 6, 2026

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Algo Picks – Algo 1
 
Race 1
Win:4 – Dan Gamble (2/1)
Place:5 – Coco No Loco (3/2)
Show:2 – Divine Swagger (5/2)
Other contenders:3 – Chucky Our Law (6/1), 1 – Broadside Salvo (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-5-2-3
🎯 Longshots: 5-4-2-1-3
 
Race 2
Win:1 – Riva Red (6/1)
Place:3 – Legend's Girl (8/1)
Show:6 – Caffeine Fix (6/5)
Other contenders:2 – Stellina (5/2), 4 – Sweet Bourbon Tea (20/1)
Rest of field:7 – Maybe Gold (6/1), 5 – Amavida (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-3-6-2-7
🎯 Longshots: 6-2-3-5-1-4-7
 
Race 3
Win:2 – Lady Zeta (3/1)
Place:7 – Betsylicious (1/1)
Show:3 – Lady Charlotte (7/2)
Other contenders:6 – Skip Thru Da Fire (6/1), 5 – Sapphire Beauty (30/1)
Rest of field:1 – Ok By Me (10/1), 4 – Pola Of Trouble (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-1-7-5-4
🎯 Longshots: 7-2-3-1-6-5-4
 
Race 4
Win:1 – Mrs. Katz (7/5)
Place:3 – Bonita Breeze (4/1)
Show:2 – Spotty Showers (6/1)
Other contenders:7 – Social Lady (8/1), 6 – Castagna (15/1), 5 – Ineedyoubabe (6/1)
Rest of field:4 – Stay In Tune (6/1), 8 – More Than Glory (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-4-8-5-1-3
🎯 Longshots: 1-7-6-3-5-4-8-2
 
Race 5
Win:5 – Macho Music (2/1)
Place:4 – Slam Notion (3/2)
Show:6 – Grand Opening (7/2)
Other contenders:1 – Suremeanttoobe (5/1), 2 – Twelve Treasures (10/1)
Rest of field:3 – Showstopper Copper (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-6-1-3-2
🎯 Longshots: 4-5-2-6-3-1
 
Race 6
Win:4 – Sally's Gold (5/2)
Place:8 – Motown Diva (3/1)
Show:1 – Atmidnight (6/1)
Other contenders:9 – Tell Me Some Lies (6/1), 10 – Three Times (8/1), 5 – Come To Mama (8/1)
Rest of field:6 – Kip The Distance (12/1), 3 – The Money Monkey (15/1), 7 – Granuaile (15/1), 2 – Chapita (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7-10-4-3-5-1
🎯 Longshots: 4-8-5-10-6-3-7-1-9-2
 
Race 7
Win:6 – Izzy D'oro (6/1)
Place:5 – Edgerton (5/2)
Show:7 – The Brigade (7/2)
Other contenders:9 – Punxsutawney Phil (7/2), 10 – Fully Authorized (20/1), 4 – Mr Flowers (8/1)
Rest of field:1 – Souper Crunchy (20/1), 2 – Patrick's Promise (10/1), 8 – Bolt From Above (15/1), 3 – Katmandu (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-1-4-7-6
🎯 Longshots: 5-4-2-7-9-8-6-3-1-10
 
Race 8
Win:4 – Dr. Agne (2/1)
Place:7 – Zephyros (9/2)
Show:9 – Lennox The Grey (3/1)
Other contenders:3 – Capanaparo (4/1), 2 – Reckless (12/1), 5 – Falcon Cove (20/1)
Rest of field:10 – Steel Imperium (15/1), 1 – Golf Cart Ryder (15/1), 6 – Likeike (30/1), 8 – Greyline Station (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-7-10-9-3
🎯 Longshots: 4-9-3-7-2-1-10-5-8-6
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5,
Algo Picks – Algo 2
 
Race 1
Win:5 – Coco No Loco (3/2)
Place:4 – Dan Gamble (2/1)
Show:1 – Broadside Salvo (8/1)
Other contenders:3 – Chucky Our Law (6/1), 2 – Divine Swagger (5/2)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-4-2-3
🎯 Longshots: 5-4-2-1-3
 
Race 2
Win:4 – Sweet Bourbon Tea (20/1)
Place:6 – Caffeine Fix (6/5)
Show:2 – Stellina (5/2)
Other contenders:5 – Amavida (10/1), 1 – Riva Red (6/1)
Rest of field:7 – Maybe Gold (6/1), 3 – Legend's Girl (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-6-2-5-1-7
🎯 Longshots: 6-2-3-5-1-4-7
 
Race 3
Win:7 – Betsylicious (1/1)
Place:3 – Lady Charlotte (7/2)
Show:2 – Lady Zeta (3/1)
Other contenders:1 – Ok By Me (10/1), 6 – Skip Thru Da Fire (6/1)
Rest of field:5 – Sapphire Beauty (30/1), 4 – Pola Of Trouble (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-1-7-6-4
🎯 Longshots: 7-2-3-1-6-5-4
 
Race 4
Win:3 – Bonita Breeze (4/1)
Place:6 – Castagna (15/1)
Show:1 – Mrs. Katz (7/5)
Other contenders:2 – Spotty Showers (6/1), 5 – Ineedyoubabe (6/1), 7 – Social Lady (8/1)
Rest of field:8 – More Than Glory (20/1), 4 – Stay In Tune (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-8-1-6-5
🎯 Longshots: 1-7-6-3-5-4-8-2
 
Race 5
Win:3 – Showstopper Copper (20/1)
Place:4 – Slam Notion (3/2)
Show:2 – Twelve Treasures (10/1)
Other contenders:6 – Grand Opening (7/2), 5 – Macho Music (2/1)
Rest of field:1 – Suremeanttoobe (5/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-5-2-6-1
🎯 Longshots: 4-5-2-6-3-1
 
Race 6
Win:8 – Motown Diva (3/1)
Place:1 – Atmidnight (6/1)
Show:9 – Tell Me Some Lies (6/1)
Other contenders:6 – Kip The Distance (12/1), 4 – Sally's Gold (5/2), 3 – The Money Monkey (15/1)
Rest of field:7 – Granuaile (15/1), 10 – Three Times (8/1), 5 – Come To Mama (8/1), 2 – Chapita (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7-10-3-4-5-1
🎯 Longshots: 4-8-5-10-6-3-7-1-9-2
 
Race 7
Win:10 – Fully Authorized (20/1)
Place:3 – Katmandu (20/1)
Show:1 – Souper Crunchy (20/1)
Other contenders:9 – Punxsutawney Phil (7/2), 8 – Bolt From Above (15/1), 7 – The Brigade (7/2)
Rest of field:5 – Edgerton (5/2), 6 – Izzy D'oro (6/1), 4 – Mr Flowers (8/1), 2 – Patrick's Promise (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-8-4-2-10
🎯 Longshots: 5-4-2-7-9-8-6-3-1-10
 
Race 8
Win:9 – Lennox The Grey (3/1)
Place:5 – Falcon Cove (20/1)
Show:3 – Capanaparo (4/1)
Other contenders:7 – Zephyros (9/2), 4 – Dr. Agne (2/1), 1 – Golf Cart Ryder (15/1)
Rest of field:2 – Reckless (12/1), 10 – Steel Imperium (15/1), 8 – Greyline Station (30/1), 6 – Likeike (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-7-9-10-3
🎯 Longshots: 4-9-3-7-2-1-10-5-8-6
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Algo Picks – Algo 3
 
Race 1
Win:5 – Coco No Loco (3/2)
Place:4 – Dan Gamble (2/1)
Show:1 – Broadside Salvo (8/1)
Other contenders:3 – Chucky Our Law (6/1), 2 – Divine Swagger (5/2)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-4-2-3
🎯 Longshots: 5-4-2-1-3
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #1, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2
Win:4 – Sweet Bourbon Tea (20/1)
Place:6 – Caffeine Fix (6/5)
Show:2 – Stellina (5/2)
Other contenders:5 – Amavida (10/1), 7 – Maybe Gold (6/1)
Rest of field:1 – Riva Red (6/1), 3 – Legend's Girl (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-6-2-5-7-1
🎯 Longshots: 6-2-3-5-1-4-7
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3
Win:7 – Betsylicious (1/1)
Place:3 – Lady Charlotte (7/2)
Show:2 – Lady Zeta (3/1)
Other contenders:1 – Ok By Me (10/1), 6 – Skip Thru Da Fire (6/1)
Rest of field:5 – Sapphire Beauty (30/1), 4 – Pola Of Trouble (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-1-7-6-4
🎯 Longshots: 7-2-3-1-6-5-4
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #3, #2, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4
Win:2 – Spotty Showers (6/1)
Place:3 – Bonita Breeze (4/1)
Show:6 – Castagna (15/1)
Other contenders:1 – Mrs. Katz (7/5), 5 – Ineedyoubabe (6/1), 7 – Social Lady (8/1)
Rest of field:8 – More Than Glory (20/1), 4 – Stay In Tune (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-1-6-8-5
🎯 Longshots: 1-7-6-3-5-4-8-2
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #6, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5
Win:3 – Showstopper Copper (20/1)
Place:4 – Slam Notion (3/2)
Show:2 – Twelve Treasures (10/1)
Other contenders:6 – Grand Opening (7/2), 5 – Macho Music (2/1)
Rest of field:1 – Suremeanttoobe (5/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-5-2-6-1
🎯 Longshots: 4-5-2-6-3-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #2, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6
Win:8 – Motown Diva (3/1)
Place:7 – Granuaile (15/1)
Show:1 – Atmidnight (6/1)
Other contenders:3 – The Money Monkey (15/1), 4 – Sally's Gold (5/2), 9 – Tell Me Some Lies (6/1)
Rest of field:6 – Kip The Distance (12/1), 10 – Three Times (8/1), 5 – Come To Mama (8/1), 2 – Chapita (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7-10-3-4-5-1
🎯 Longshots: 4-8-5-10-6-3-7-1-9-2
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #7, #1, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7
Win:10 – Fully Authorized (20/1)
Place:3 – Katmandu (20/1)
Show:1 – Souper Crunchy (20/1)
Other contenders:8 – Bolt From Above (15/1), 9 – Punxsutawney Phil (7/2), 5 – Edgerton (5/2)
Rest of field:7 – The Brigade (7/2), 6 – Izzy D'oro (6/1), 4 – Mr Flowers (8/1), 2 – Patrick's Promise (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-8-5-4-2-10
🎯 Longshots: 5-4-2-7-9-8-6-3-1-10
🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #3, #1, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8
Win:9 – Lennox The Grey (3/1)
Place:3 – Capanaparo (4/1)
Show:5 – Falcon Cove (20/1)
Other contenders:1 – Golf Cart Ryder (15/1), 4 – Dr. Agne (2/1), 7 – Zephyros (9/2)
Rest of field:2 – Reckless (12/1), 10 – Steel Imperium (15/1), 8 – Greyline Station (30/1), 6 – Likeike (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-7-9-10-3
🎯 Longshots: 4-9-3-7-2-1-10-5-8-6
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #3, #5, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Kelly Edge Plays
Kelly Edge Plays   (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim)    Morning-line reliability: +0.43 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it)
RaceHorseMLP(win)Edge¼ KellyBet on $ bankroll
73 – Katmandu20/146.2%+985.0%5.00%$5.00
46 – Castagna15/126.5%+367.6%5.00%$5.00
67 – Granuaile15/126.5%+367.6%5.00%$5.00
81 – Golf Cart Ryder15/126.5%+367.6%5.00%$5.00
78 – Bolt From Above15/122.7%+298.4%4.97%$4.97
63 – The Money Monkey15/121.7%+279.9%4.67%$4.67
85 – Falcon Cove20/15.5%+16.5%0.21%$0.21
66 – Kip The Distance12/18.7%+14.9%0.31%$0.31
TOTAL across 8 plays:30.2%$30.16
Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly.
Index - Horses Running In This Card
AMAVIDAATMIDNIGHTBETSYLICIOUSBOLT FROM ABOVEBONITA BREEZE
CAFFEINE FIXCAPANAPAROCASTAGNACHAPITACHUCKY OUR LAW
COME TO MAMADAN GAMBLEDIVINE SWAGGERDR. AGNEEDGERTON
FULLY AUTHORIZEDGOLF CART RYDERGRAND OPENINGGRANUAILEGREYLINE STATION
IZZY D'OROKATMANDUKIP THE DISTANCELADY CHARLOTTELADY ZETA
LENNOX THE GREYLIKEIKEMACHO MUSICMAYBE GOLDMORE THAN GLORY
MR FLOWERSMRS. KATZOK BY MEPATRICK'S PROMISEPOLA OF TROUBLE
RECKLESSRIVA REDSALLY'S GOLDSAPPHIRE BEAUTYSHOWSTOPPER COPPER
SLAM NOTIONSOCIAL LADYSOUPER CRUNCHYSPOTTY SHOWERSSTAY IN TUNE
STELLINASUREMEANTTOOBESWEET BOURBON TEATELL ME SOME LIESTHE BRIGADE
THREE TIMESTWELVE TREASURESZEPHYROS

 


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