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Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Woodbine, July 9, 2026

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Algo Picks – Algo 1
 
Race 1
Win:3 – Citori (3/1)
Place:5 – Unheard (9/2)
Show:1 – Scary Speedy (5/1)
Other contenders:7 – Worry Less (4/1), 6 – Silicium (5/2)
Rest of field:4 – Pretty Liza (6/1), 2 – I'm Tenacious (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-1-7-4-2
🎯 Longshots: 6-3-7-5-2-4-1
 
Race 2
Win:4 – Sterling Heights (5/2)
Place:8 – Speak Up (3/1)
Show:2 – Crumlin Trouble (6/1)
Other contenders:1 – Lady Moonshine (8/1), 9 – Buff Bay (7/2), 3 – Holiday Rose (12/1)
Rest of field:6 – Shamra (20/1), 5 – Naughty Destiny (10/1), 7 – Thatsitthatsall (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-8-1-2-9-6
🎯 Longshots: 4-8-1-5-9-3-7-2-6
 
Race 3
Win:7 – Rarified (7/2)
Place:4 – Pretty Good Joke (2/1)
Show:6 – Monty's Inn (5/2)
Other contenders:5 – Twist Of Sugar (9/2), 2 – Suigu Belle (8/1)
Rest of field:3 – Cayenne Kiss (12/1), 1 – Loveumissumeanit (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-5-7-6-1
🎯 Longshots: 4-6-2-7-3-5-1
 
Race 4
Win:3 – Dontgobackonurword (2/1)
Place:5 – Tutti Contenti (8/5)
Show:1 – Royal Quality (6/1)
Other contenders:6 – Crucial Taunt (12/1), 4 – You And Me Baby (7/2)
Rest of field:7 – Little Red Domi (15/1), 2 – True Shot (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-3-6-5-7
🎯 Longshots: 5-3-4-7-6-2-1
 
Race 5
Win:5 – Armored Guard (2/1)
Place:3 – Bedtime (10/1)
Show:8 – Wild Red (4/1)
Other contenders:6 – You Be The Judge (6/1), 1 – Hobbie Class (20/1), 2 – Closing Appeal (8/1)
Rest of field:4 – Hot List (5/2), 7 – Serious Green (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-4-8-3-2
🎯 Longshots: 5-4-3-2-8-7-6-1
 
Race 6
Win:3 – Wild Card (3/1)
Place:8 – Egbert Who (5/2)
Show:10 – Highland Blue (9/2)
Other contenders:6 – Bowman's Run (4/1), 2 – Spikephil (8/1), 1 – Paradise Perfect (10/1)
Rest of field:7 – Thanks Your Honour (6/1), 9 – Political Warfare (15/1), 5 – Prince Almasty (12/1), 4 – Lonny's Gamble (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 9-6-2-8-3-10
🎯 Longshots: 8-3-6-4-1-2-5-10-9-7
 
Race 7
Win:8 – That's A Fact (3/1)
Place:6 – Call Me Misslucky (10/1)
Show:12 – Sympatico (4/1)
Other contenders:11 – Featherweight (5/1), 2 – Ryo Amazing (12/1), 4 – Resentless Pursuit (6/1), 10 – Hearty Christini (15/1)
Rest of field:1 – Anela Kai (20/1), 7 – Ur Heart (8/1), 5 – My Emmy (20/1), 3 – No Mistake (20/1), 9 – Sacred Prayer (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-12-7-8-11-2
🎯 Longshots: 8-7-6-2-10-12-11-1-9-5-4-3
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5,
Algo Picks – Algo 2
 
Race 1
Win:3 – Citori (3/1)
Place:6 – Silicium (5/2)
Show:5 – Unheard (9/2)
Other contenders:2 – I'm Tenacious (15/1), 7 – Worry Less (4/1)
Rest of field:4 – Pretty Liza (6/1), 1 – Scary Speedy (5/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-2-6-7-4
🎯 Longshots: 6-3-7-5-2-4-1
 
Race 2
Win:8 – Speak Up (3/1)
Place:6 – Shamra (20/1)
Show:9 – Buff Bay (7/2)
Other contenders:5 – Naughty Destiny (10/1), 3 – Holiday Rose (12/1), 4 – Sterling Heights (5/2)
Rest of field:7 – Thatsitthatsall (12/1), 2 – Crumlin Trouble (6/1), 1 – Lady Moonshine (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-4-6-9-5-7
🎯 Longshots: 4-8-1-5-9-3-7-2-6
 
Race 3
Win:6 – Monty's Inn (5/2)
Place:5 – Twist Of Sugar (9/2)
Show:7 – Rarified (7/2)
Other contenders:4 – Pretty Good Joke (2/1), 2 – Suigu Belle (8/1)
Rest of field:1 – Loveumissumeanit (8/1), 3 – Cayenne Kiss (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-4-6-7-1
🎯 Longshots: 4-6-2-7-3-5-1
 
Race 4
Win:2 – True Shot (20/1)
Place:3 – Dontgobackonurword (2/1)
Show:5 – Tutti Contenti (8/5)
Other contenders:4 – You And Me Baby (7/2), 7 – Little Red Domi (15/1)
Rest of field:1 – Royal Quality (6/1), 6 – Crucial Taunt (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-5-4-7-1
🎯 Longshots: 5-3-4-7-6-2-1
 
Race 5
Win:1 – Hobbie Class (20/1)
Place:4 – Hot List (5/2)
Show:5 – Armored Guard (2/1)
Other contenders:2 – Closing Appeal (8/1), 7 – Serious Green (12/1), 8 – Wild Red (4/1)
Rest of field:3 – Bedtime (10/1), 6 – You Be The Judge (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-5-8-2-7
🎯 Longshots: 5-4-3-2-8-7-6-1
 
Race 6
Win:3 – Wild Card (3/1)
Place:5 – Prince Almasty (12/1)
Show:4 – Lonny's Gamble (15/1)
Other contenders:10 – Highland Blue (9/2), 2 – Spikephil (8/1), 8 – Egbert Who (5/2)
Rest of field:7 – Thanks Your Honour (6/1), 1 – Paradise Perfect (10/1), 6 – Bowman's Run (4/1), 9 – Political Warfare (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 9-3-6-2-5-4
🎯 Longshots: 8-3-6-4-1-2-5-10-9-7
 
Race 7
Win:12 – Sympatico (4/1)
Place:10 – Hearty Christini (15/1)
Show:9 – Sacred Prayer (20/1)
Other contenders:1 – Anela Kai (20/1), 4 – Resentless Pursuit (6/1), 2 – Ryo Amazing (12/1), 8 – That's A Fact (3/1)
Rest of field:6 – Call Me Misslucky (10/1), 7 – Ur Heart (8/1), 3 – No Mistake (20/1), 11 – Featherweight (5/1), 5 – My Emmy (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 12-7-10-9-5-1
🎯 Longshots: 8-7-6-2-10-12-11-1-9-5-4-3
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Algo Picks – Algo 3
 
Race 1
Win:3 – Citori (3/1)
Place:6 – Silicium (5/2)
Show:5 – Unheard (9/2)
Other contenders:2 – I'm Tenacious (15/1), 7 – Worry Less (4/1)
Rest of field:4 – Pretty Liza (6/1), 1 – Scary Speedy (5/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-6-2-7-4
🎯 Longshots: 6-3-7-5-2-4-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #5, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  ⭐ Best Bet race
 
Race 2
Win:8 – Speak Up (3/1)
Place:6 – Shamra (20/1)
Show:9 – Buff Bay (7/2)
Other contenders:5 – Naughty Destiny (10/1), 4 – Sterling Heights (5/2), 3 – Holiday Rose (12/1)
Rest of field:7 – Thatsitthatsall (12/1), 2 – Crumlin Trouble (6/1), 1 – Lady Moonshine (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-6-4-9-5-7
🎯 Longshots: 4-8-1-5-9-3-7-2-6
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #6, #9, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3
Win:6 – Monty's Inn (5/2)
Place:5 – Twist Of Sugar (9/2)
Show:4 – Pretty Good Joke (2/1)
Other contenders:7 – Rarified (7/2), 2 – Suigu Belle (8/1)
Rest of field:1 – Loveumissumeanit (8/1), 3 – Cayenne Kiss (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-4-2-7-1
🎯 Longshots: 4-6-2-7-3-5-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #4, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4
Win:2 – True Shot (20/1)
Place:3 – Dontgobackonurword (2/1)
Show:5 – Tutti Contenti (8/5)
Other contenders:4 – You And Me Baby (7/2), 7 – Little Red Domi (15/1)
Rest of field:1 – Royal Quality (6/1), 6 – Crucial Taunt (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-5-4-7-1
🎯 Longshots: 5-3-4-7-6-2-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #5, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5
Win:1 – Hobbie Class (20/1)
Place:4 – Hot List (5/2)
Show:5 – Armored Guard (2/1)
Other contenders:7 – Serious Green (12/1), 2 – Closing Appeal (8/1), 8 – Wild Red (4/1)
Rest of field:3 – Bedtime (10/1), 6 – You Be The Judge (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-5-8-7-2
🎯 Longshots: 5-4-3-2-8-7-6-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #5, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6
Win:3 – Wild Card (3/1)
Place:5 – Prince Almasty (12/1)
Show:4 – Lonny's Gamble (15/1)
Other contenders:10 – Highland Blue (9/2), 2 – Spikephil (8/1), 7 – Thanks Your Honour (6/1)
Rest of field:8 – Egbert Who (5/2), 6 – Bowman's Run (4/1), 1 – Paradise Perfect (10/1), 9 – Political Warfare (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 9-3-5-2-6-4
🎯 Longshots: 8-3-6-4-1-2-5-10-9-7
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #4, #10  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7
Win:12 – Sympatico (4/1)
Place:10 – Hearty Christini (15/1)
Show:9 – Sacred Prayer (20/1)
Other contenders:1 – Anela Kai (20/1), 4 – Resentless Pursuit (6/1), 2 – Ryo Amazing (12/1), 8 – That's A Fact (3/1)
Rest of field:7 – Ur Heart (8/1), 6 – Call Me Misslucky (10/1), 3 – No Mistake (20/1), 11 – Featherweight (5/1), 5 – My Emmy (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 12-10-7-9-4-1
🎯 Longshots: 8-7-6-2-10-12-11-1-9-5-4-3
🎫 Trifecta play: #12 over #10, #9, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Kelly Edge Plays
Kelly Edge Plays   (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim)    Morning-line reliability: +0.32 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it)
RaceHorseMLP(win)Edge¼ KellyBet on $ bankroll
26 – Shamra20/146.2%+759.5%5.00%$5.00
51 – Hobbie Class20/146.2%+759.5%5.00%$5.00
71 – Anela Kai20/146.2%+759.5%5.00%$5.00
64 – Lonny'S Gamble15/126.5%+283.4%4.72%$4.72
33 – Cayenne Kiss12/126.5%+213.9%4.46%$4.46
710 – Hearty Christini15/119.6%+185.8%3.10%$3.10
12 – I'M Tenacious15/112.4%+85.6%1.43%$1.43
57 – Serious Green12/110.2%+27.9%0.58%$0.58
73 – No Mistake20/15.5%+12.7%0.16%$0.16
79 – Sacred Prayer20/15.5%+12.7%0.16%$0.16
72 – Ryo Amazing12/18.7%+11.9%0.25%$0.25
25 – Naughty Destiny10/110.3%+11.7%0.29%$0.29
TOTAL across 12 plays:30.1%$30.14
Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly.
Index - Horses Running In This Card
ANELA KAIARMORED GUARDBEDTIMEBOWMAN'S RUNBUFF BAY
CAYENNE KISSCITORICLOSING APPEALCRUCIAL TAUNTCRUMLIN TROUBLE
EGBERT WHOFEATHERWEIGHTHEARTY CHRISTINIHIGHLAND BLUEHOBBIE CLASS
HOT LISTI'M TENACIOUSLADY MOONSHINELITTLE RED DOMILONNY'S GAMBLE
MONTY'S INNMY EMMYNAUGHTY DESTINYNO MISTAKEPARADISE PERFECT
PRETTY GOOD JOKEPRETTY LIZAPRINCE ALMASTYRARIFIEDRESENTLESS PURSUIT
RYO AMAZINGSACRED PRAYERSCARY SPEEDYSERIOUS GREENSHAMRA
SPEAK UPSPIKEPHILSTERLING HEIGHTSSUIGU BELLESYMPATICO
THAT'S A FACTTHATSITTHATSALLTRUE SHOTTUTTI CONTENTITWIST OF SUGAR
UR HEARTWILD CARDWILD REDWORRY LESSYOU AND ME BABY

 


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