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Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Belmont at the Big A, October 12, 2025

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Pick Pony AI Algorithm Picks

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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

Algorithm 1 (Stronger influence on proprietary AI and overall pace)

 
Race 1
Win: 2 – Fire Agate (8/1)
Place: 13 – Argentiera (15/1)
Show: 14 – Purest Performance (20/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Addagirl Addie (6/1), 11 – Just One More (3/1), 4 – Princess Summer (4/1), 7 – Lady Delilah (15/1), 1 – On A Summer Day (8/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 6 – Gem Mint Ten (4/1)
Place: 14 – Ranger Battalion (8/5)
Show: 13 – House United (5/2)
Other contenders: 8 – Gene And Jude (9/2), 5 – Baron Of Sealand (12/1), 10 – Final Denile (8/1), 12 – Two’S A Crowd (12/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 4 – Sergeant Capps (12/1)
Place: 7 – Private Flight (5/2)
Show: 1 – Fiscal Drag (5/1)
Other contenders: 8 – Free Spin (10/1), 5 – Kavanaugh (6/1), 3 – Ark Royal (20/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 1 – Fire Pit (15/1)
Place: 10 – Spiced Up (2/1)
Show: 8 – No Evidence (3/1)
Other contenders: 2 – Forged Steel (10/1), 4 – Landing Craft (12/1), 7 – Cyclonite (15/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 6 – Ready Set Twirl (15/1)
Place: 10 – Real Savvy (7/2)
Show: 2 – Prove (9/2)
Other contenders: 13 – Spinback (10/1), 9 – The Boondocker (8/1), 3 – Doomed (15/1), 12 – Catalina Crush (12/1), 16 – Always Be Smart (6/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 6 – Speed Of Sound (4/1)
Place: 5 – Auroralinna (6/1)
Show: 1 – Chocolatechocolate (5/2)
Other contenders: 2 – Timia (8/1), 7 – Itwillbefun (9/2), 8 – Helen’S Revenge (8/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 6 – Wajda (6/1)
Place: 4 – Backtrack (8/1)
Show: 5 – Dark Vector (4/1)
Other contenders: 1 – Smilensaycheese (5/2), 2 – Mackville (30/1), 8 – Dialbolico (9/2)
 
Race 8
Win: 5 – Nic’S Style (4/5)
Place: 1 – The Big Calhouna (4/1)
Show: 2 – All Class (6/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Tipple (10/1), 6 – Stonewall Star (7/2)
 
Race 9
Win: 6 – Collect From Ike (15/1)
Place: 1 – Flat On (2/1)
Show: 9 – Sin Nombre (10/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Awesome Empire (9/2), 2 – Brown Don’T Stop (12/1), 3 – Badlands Ruler (30/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 4, FPS: 10, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Overall Pace: 400, Early Pace: 30, Mid Pace: 30, Late Pace: 30, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 4, Last Three Races: 8, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 500,

Algorithm 2 (Stronger influence on speed, overall pace, trainer, with moderate influence from proprietary AI)

 
Race 1
Win: 2 – Fire Agate (8/1)
Place: 13 – Argentiera (15/1)
Show: 14 – Purest Performance (20/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Addagirl Addie (6/1), 4 – Princess Summer (4/1), 11 – Just One More (3/1), 7 – Lady Delilah (15/1), 1 – On A Summer Day (8/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 6 – Gem Mint Ten (4/1)
Place: 14 – Ranger Battalion (8/5)
Show: 8 – Gene And Jude (9/2)
Other contenders: 13 – House United (5/2), 10 – Final Denile (8/1), 5 – Baron Of Sealand (12/1), 3 – Mythical Man (8/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 4 – Sergeant Capps (12/1)
Place: 7 – Private Flight (5/2)
Show: 1 – Fiscal Drag (5/1)
Other contenders: 8 – Free Spin (10/1), 5 – Kavanaugh (6/1), 3 – Ark Royal (20/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 1 – Fire Pit (15/1)
Place: 10 – Spiced Up (2/1)
Show: 2 – Forged Steel (10/1)
Other contenders: 8 – No Evidence (3/1), 4 – Landing Craft (12/1), 5 – Out On Bail (9/2)
 
Race 5
Win: 6 – Ready Set Twirl (15/1)
Place: 10 – Real Savvy (7/2)
Show: 2 – Prove (9/2)
Other contenders: 13 – Spinback (10/1), 9 – The Boondocker (8/1), 3 – Doomed (15/1), 12 – Catalina Crush (12/1), 4 – Landman Friday (5/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 6 – Speed Of Sound (4/1)
Place: 5 – Auroralinna (6/1)
Show: 1 – Chocolatechocolate (5/2)
Other contenders: 7 – Itwillbefun (9/2), 2 – Timia (8/1), 8 – Helen’S Revenge (8/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 6 – Wajda (6/1)
Place: 5 – Dark Vector (4/1)
Show: 1 – Smilensaycheese (5/2)
Other contenders: 4 – Backtrack (8/1), 8 – Dialbolico (9/2), 2 – Mackville (30/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 5 – Nic’S Style (4/5)
Place: 2 – All Class (6/1)
Show: 1 – The Big Calhouna (4/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Tipple (10/1), 3 – Complexity Jane (15/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 6 – Collect From Ike (15/1)
Place: 1 – Flat On (2/1)
Show: 9 – Sin Nombre (10/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Awesome Empire (9/2), 2 – Brown Don’T Stop (12/1), 8 – Knox (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 60, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 15, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 1, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 20, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 90, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 25, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 5, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 250,

Algorithm 3 (Stronger influence on pace, track bias, trainer)

 
Race 1
Win: 2 – Fire Agate (8/1)
Place: 13 – Argentiera (15/1)
Show: 14 – Purest Performance (20/1)
Other contenders: 3 – Addagirl Addie (6/1), 4 – Princess Summer (4/1), 7 – Lady Delilah (15/1), 11 – Just One More (3/1), 1 – On A Summer Day (8/1)
 
Race 2
Win: 14 – Ranger Battalion (8/5)
Place: 6 – Gem Mint Ten (4/1)
Show: 13 – House United (5/2)
Other contenders: 8 – Gene And Jude (9/2), 5 – Baron Of Sealand (12/1), 10 – Final Denile (8/1), 3 – Mythical Man (8/1)
 
Race 3
Win: 4 – Sergeant Capps (12/1)
Place: 7 – Private Flight (5/2)
Show: 1 – Fiscal Drag (5/1)
Other contenders: 8 – Free Spin (10/1), 5 – Kavanaugh (6/1), 3 – Ark Royal (20/1)
 
Race 4
Win: 1 – Fire Pit (15/1)
Place: 10 – Spiced Up (2/1)
Show: 5 – Out On Bail (9/2)
Other contenders: 2 – Forged Steel (10/1), 4 – Landing Craft (12/1), 8 – No Evidence (3/1)
 
Race 5
Win: 10 – Real Savvy (7/2)
Place: 6 – Ready Set Twirl (15/1)
Show: 9 – The Boondocker (8/1)
Other contenders: 13 – Spinback (10/1), 3 – Doomed (15/1), 4 – Landman Friday (5/1), 12 – Catalina Crush (12/1), 1 – Mission Hill (8/1)
 
Race 6
Win: 6 – Speed Of Sound (4/1)
Place: 5 – Auroralinna (6/1)
Show: 1 – Chocolatechocolate (5/2)
Other contenders: 2 – Timia (8/1), 7 – Itwillbefun (9/2), 8 – Helen’S Revenge (8/1)
 
Race 7
Win: 6 – Wajda (6/1)
Place: 5 – Dark Vector (4/1)
Show: 1 – Smilensaycheese (5/2)
Other contenders: 4 – Backtrack (8/1), 8 – Dialbolico (9/2), 2 – Mackville (30/1)
 
Race 8
Win: 5 – Nic’S Style (4/5)
Place: 1 – The Big Calhouna (4/1)
Show: 2 – All Class (6/1)
Other contenders: 4 – Tipple (10/1), 3 – Complexity Jane (15/1)
 
Race 9
Win: 1 – Flat On (2/1)
Place: 6 – Collect From Ike (15/1)
Show: 9 – Sin Nombre (10/1)
Other contenders: 5 – Awesome Empire (9/2), 2 – Brown Don’T Stop (12/1), 8 – Knox (8/1)
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 50, FPS: 24, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 15, Overall Pace: 300, Early Pace: 3, Mid Pace: 1, Late Pace: 1, Post Position: 5, PPPP Rating: 10, Average Finish: 5, Days Since Last Race: 15, Jockey: 10, Trainer: 20, Track Bias: 20, Morning Line: 10, Pedigree: 15, Works: 15, Weight: 5, Medications: 5, Weather: 5, Race Trouble: 35, Last Race: 3, Last Three Races: 4, All Races: 2, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 30,

Race Entries

ADDAGIRL ADDIE ALL CLASS ALWAYS BE SMART ARGENTIERA ARK ROYAL
AURORALINNA AWESOME EMPIRE BACKTRACK BADLANDS RULER BARON OF SEALAND
BROWN DON’T STOP BUCARO CAIRO CAPER CATALINA CRUSH CHARMEUSE
COGNOSCENTI COLLECT FROM IKE COMPLEXITY JANE CYCLONITE DARK VECTOR
DETAIL ORIENTED DIALBOLICO DOOMED EXTRASENSORY FARM HOUSE
FIRE AGATE FIRE PIT FIRST OF HIS NAME FISCAL DRAG FLAT ON
FREE SPIN FUNNY UNCLE GEM MINT TEN GENE AND JUDE GLOBAL STEVE
HEDGE THE RISK HELEN’S REVENGE HOUSE UNITED I CAN SEE THAT ITWILLBEFUN
JUST ONE MORE KAVANAUGH KISSED BY KARMA KNOX LADY DELILAH
LANDING CRAFT LANDMAN FRIDAY LIFE AND LIGHT MACKVILLE METATRON
MISSION HILL MY GORGEOUS MYTHICAL MAN NIC’S STYLE NO EVIDENCE
ON A SUMMER DAY OUT ON BAIL OUTTAWATERBURY POROSITY PRINCESS SUMMER
PROVE PUREST PERFORMANCE RANGER BATTALION READY SET TWIRL REAL SAVVY
SENOR PICKLES SERGEANT CAPPS SIN NOMBRE SKY LOW LOW SMILENSAYCHEESE
SPICED UP SPINBACK STONEWALL STAR TAKE ME TO LONDYN THE BIG CALHOUNA
TIMIA TIPPLE TWO’S A CROWD UNION EXPRESS VIETTI
ZAKAT
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