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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 7 – Clay's Black Opal (6/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Samurai Prince (4/5) |
| Show: | 6 – Chun Money (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Hasty Flyer (15/1), 1 – Lucky's Secret (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Mystery Man (12/1), 5 – Mintastic (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-2-6-1-3-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-3-4-6-5-7 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Smart Edge (8/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Drinknwiththeirish (6/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Bee A Cyclone (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Pearly Mischief (7/2), 4 – Jertango (8/1), 6 – No Mo Money (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Waylon's Warrior (15/1), 7 – Spaniard Eclipse (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-5-2-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-4-6-8-5-7-3 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 3 – Our Lockets Rocket (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Typhoon Time (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Mo Kitty (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Itstartswithadream (5/1), 5 – Supine Duchess (8/1), 1 – Julie The Jet (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Sober Someday (20/1), 7 – Catch And Release (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-6-2-8-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-2-5-7-8-4-1 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 5 – Hawkeye State (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – War Boy (9/5) |
| Show: | 3 – Dontdrinkanddrive (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Quietline (4/1), 6 – Golden Biz (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Kind Soul (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-3-1-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-3-6-2-1 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 1 – Zatara (7/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Conquering Cat (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Happy Strike (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Tee Off Time (6/1), 5 – Mo Lute (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Cybertown (10/1), 4 – Ben Franklin (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-6-5-7-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-1-7-5-4-6 | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 6 – Western Feel (9/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Shelley's Money (9/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Plum Irish (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Lone Mountain Girl (6/1), 4 – No Rhyme Or Reason (8/1), 5 – Night Birdie (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – She's Mad (20/1), 2 – Rainbow Smiles (20/1), 9 – Platinum Sunrise (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-7-8-4-6-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-1-3-7-5-9-8-2 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 2 – Samurai Prince (4/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Chun Money (4/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Clay's Black Opal (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Hasty Flyer (15/1), 1 – Lucky's Secret (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Mystery Man (12/1), 5 – Mintastic (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-7-1-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-3-4-6-5-7 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Smart Edge (8/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Bee A Cyclone (4/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Pearly Mischief (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Drinknwiththeirish (6/1), 6 – No Mo Money (10/1), 4 – Jertango (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Waylon's Warrior (15/1), 7 – Spaniard Eclipse (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-2-3-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-4-6-8-5-7-3 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 3 – Our Lockets Rocket (2/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Mo Kitty (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Typhoon Time (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Itstartswithadream (5/1), 5 – Supine Duchess (8/1), 7 – Catch And Release (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Sober Someday (20/1), 1 – Julie The Jet (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-6-8-5-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-2-5-7-8-4-1 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 4 – War Boy (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Quietline (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Hawkeye State (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Dontdrinkanddrive (7/2), 6 – Golden Biz (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Kind Soul (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-5-3-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-3-6-2-1 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 3 – Happy Strike (2/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Conquering Cat (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Zatara (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Tee Off Time (6/1), 5 – Mo Lute (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Cybertown (10/1), 4 – Ben Franklin (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-6-2-5-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-1-7-5-4-6 | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 6 – Western Feel (9/5) |
| Place: | 7 – Plum Irish (5/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Lone Mountain Girl (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Shelley's Money (9/2), 4 – No Rhyme Or Reason (8/1), 5 – Night Birdie (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – She's Mad (20/1), 2 – Rainbow Smiles (20/1), 9 – Platinum Sunrise (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-3-8-6-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-1-3-7-5-9-8-2 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 2 – Samurai Prince (4/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Chun Money (4/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Clay's Black Opal (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Hasty Flyer (15/1), 1 – Lucky's Secret (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Mystery Man (12/1), 5 – Mintastic (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-7-1-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-3-4-6-5-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Smart Edge (8/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Bee A Cyclone (4/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Pearly Mischief (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Drinknwiththeirish (6/1), 6 – No Mo Money (10/1), 4 – Jertango (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Waylon's Warrior (15/1), 7 – Spaniard Eclipse (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-2-3-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-4-6-8-5-7-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 3 – Our Lockets Rocket (2/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Mo Kitty (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Typhoon Time (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Itstartswithadream (5/1), 5 – Supine Duchess (8/1), 7 – Catch And Release (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Julie The Jet (20/1), 4 – Sober Someday (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-6-8-5-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-2-5-7-8-4-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #6, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 4 – War Boy (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Quietline (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Hawkeye State (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Dontdrinkanddrive (7/2), 6 – Golden Biz (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Kind Soul (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-5-3-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-3-6-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 3 – Happy Strike (2/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Conquering Cat (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Zatara (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Tee Off Time (6/1), 5 – Mo Lute (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Cybertown (10/1), 4 – Ben Franklin (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-6-2-5-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-2-1-7-5-4-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 6 – Western Feel (9/5) |
| Place: | 7 – Plum Irish (5/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Lone Mountain Girl (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Shelley's Money (9/2), 4 – No Rhyme Or Reason (8/1), 5 – Night Birdie (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – She's Mad (20/1), 2 – Rainbow Smiles (20/1), 9 – Platinum Sunrise (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-3-8-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-1-3-7-5-9-8-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #8, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.32 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 4 | 4 – Hasty Flyer | 15/1 | 23.4% | +239.5% | 3.99% | $3.99 |
| 4 | 3 – Mystery Man | 12/1 | 14.5% | +77.3% | 1.61% | $1.61 |
| 4 | 5 – Mintastic | 15/1 | 9.5% | +44.6% | 0.74% | $0.74 |
| 9 | 2 – Rainbow Smiles | 20/1 | 7.0% | +41.5% | 0.52% | $0.52 |
| 5 | 6 – No Mo Money | 10/1 | 11.9% | +26.8% | 0.67% | $0.67 |
| 8 | 7 – Cybertown | 10/1 | 10.4% | +12.7% | 0.32% | $0.32 |
| TOTAL across 6 plays: | 7.9% | $7.85 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Card
| AJS SECRET CASH | APOLLITICAL SIGNS | BEE A CYCLONE | BEN FRANKLIN | CATCH AND RELEASE |
| CLAY'S BLACK OPAL | CONQUERING CAT | CYBERTOWN | DONTDRINKANDDRIVE | DRINKNWITHTHEIRISH |
| FIRE BLOOD | GOLDEN BIZ | HAPPY STRIKE | HASTY FLYER | HAWKEYE STATE |
| HOT CHICKS WAGON | ITSTARTSWITHADREAM | JERTANGO | JULIE THE JET | KIND SOUL |
| LA INDIA DE CAPO | LONE MOUNTAIN GIRL | LUCKY'S SECRET | MINTASTIC | MO KITTY |
| MOON WAY | MY BLUE HEN | MYSTERY MAN | NIGHT BIRDIE | NO MO MONEY |
| NSM FANNYS HERO | OUR LOCKETS ROCKET | PASADENA ROSE | PEARLY MISCHIEF | PLATINUM SUNRISE |
| POLLITICAL DRAMA | QUIETLINE | RAINBOW SMILES | RELENTLESS SUMMER | SAMURAI PRINCE |
| SHELLEY'S MONEY | SMART EDGE | SOBER SOMEDAY | SOUR CREAM PIE | SPANIARD ECLIPSE |
| TEE OFF TIME | THE MASTER PAINTER | TRADER JOSIE | TRES A BLOOD | TRES THIS DYNASTY |
| WAR BOY | WAYLON'S WARRIOR | WESTERN FEEL | WISP | ZATARA |
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