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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 9 – El Chavo (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Toms Lucky Mo (5/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Sherkhan (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Fulton (6/1), 2 – Youcandoitboy (10/1), 3 – Whatdidwedo (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Justice For Johnny (12/1), 4 – Gloryland Band (20/1), 6 – M Tiz Me (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-9-3-5-7-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-7-2-5-3-1-8-6-4 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 2 – Treasure Me (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Bronze Legacy (2/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Simply Grace (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Proton Kitty (5/1), 6 – Awree (15/1), 4 – Ex Gonna (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Walksonwater (12/1), 7 – Call Fern (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-1-2-8-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-4-8-5-6-3-7 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 9 – Minimus Maximus (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Seeking Aces (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Running For Dewey (20/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10 – Ronnie's Ace (5/1), 1 – Zyanaro (20/1), 3 – Blue King (10/1), 13 – Tujaques (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 11 – Uninspired (20/1), 12 – Dirty Deal (15/1), 7 – Daat (12/1), 14 – Gallabye (12/1), 2 – Acesraisedthe Bar (15/1), 6 – Popa's Pride (6/1), 8 – Sailor Slew (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-5-9-4-13-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-4-3-13-7-12-2-14-11-10-6-5-1-8 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 3 – Bikini Bottom (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Fern Spirit (5/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Broadway Star (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Nicely Unified (7/2), 8 – Thats Unbelievable (5/1), 5 – Queen Berkeley (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – World Of Hurt (20/1), 4 – Spicy Italian (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-7-5-2-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-5-4-1-8-7-6 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Dolabella (10/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Stellar Knickie (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Constructively (20/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Creole Lady (12/1), 5 – Scarlet Heart (8/1), 6 – Spicy Mustard (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Crescent Sky (5/2), 8 – Go Girl Go (7/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-5-3-1-4-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-2-5-1-4-8-3-6 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 3 – String Theory (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Weitzman (3/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Go Get Trae (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Flyin Private (8/1), 2 – Clearly Stardom (5/1), 6 – Majestic Palace (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Field Study (15/1), 1 – Metallic Mischief (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-8-2-7-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-7-6-5-8-2-1 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 1 – Sabi (5/2) |
| Place: | 7 – Masteroffoxhounds (7/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Funnyflame (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Mr Mcgregor (8/1), 4 – Seismic Spirit (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Goldbrick (10/1), 3 – Max Is G Money (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-1-5-2-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-6-5-7-3-4 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 8 – Running Bayou (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Sarah's Runner (3/1) |
| Show: | 9 – Such A Pickle (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Kohen The Man (12/1), 1 – Our Bodie (4/1), 4 – Quikonthetrigger (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – No Deal Or Deal (15/1), 5 – Custom Ride (20/1), 3 – Unlawful (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-8-6-3-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-6-7-4-3-2-9-1-5 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 9 – El Chavo (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Toms Lucky Mo (5/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Sherkhan (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Fulton (6/1), 2 – Youcandoitboy (10/1), 3 – Whatdidwedo (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Justice For Johnny (12/1), 4 – Gloryland Band (20/1), 6 – M Tiz Me (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-9-7-5-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-7-2-5-3-1-8-6-4 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 2 – Treasure Me (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Bronze Legacy (2/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Simply Grace (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Proton Kitty (5/1), 4 – Ex Gonna (8/1), 6 – Awree (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Walksonwater (12/1), 7 – Call Fern (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-1-2-8-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-4-8-5-6-3-7 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 9 – Minimus Maximus (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Seeking Aces (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Running For Dewey (20/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10 – Ronnie's Ace (5/1), 6 – Popa's Pride (6/1), 3 – Blue King (10/1), 13 – Tujaques (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Daat (12/1), 12 – Dirty Deal (15/1), 14 – Gallabye (12/1), 11 – Uninspired (20/1), 2 – Acesraisedthe Bar (15/1), 1 – Zyanaro (20/1), 8 – Sailor Slew (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-9-4-5-10-13 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-4-3-13-7-12-2-14-11-10-6-5-1-8 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 2 – Fern Spirit (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Nicely Unified (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Bikini Bottom (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Thats Unbelievable (5/1), 7 – Broadway Star (6/1), 5 – Queen Berkeley (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Spicy Italian (15/1), 6 – World Of Hurt (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-7-5-1-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-5-4-1-8-7-6 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Dolabella (10/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Stellar Knickie (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Constructively (20/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Creole Lady (12/1), 5 – Scarlet Heart (8/1), 6 – Spicy Mustard (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Crescent Sky (5/2), 8 – Go Girl Go (7/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-5-3-1-4-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-2-5-1-4-8-3-6 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 3 – String Theory (2/1) |
| Place: | 8 – Go Get Trae (7/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Weitzman (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Flyin Private (8/1), 2 – Clearly Stardom (5/1), 6 – Majestic Palace (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Field Study (15/1), 1 – Metallic Mischief (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-8-2-7-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-7-6-5-8-2-1 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 2 – Funnyflame (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Sabi (5/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Masteroffoxhounds (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Seismic Spirit (5/1), 5 – Goldbrick (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Mr Mcgregor (8/1), 3 – Max Is G Money (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-1-2-5-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-6-5-7-3-4 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 6 – Sarah's Runner (3/1) |
| Place: | 8 – Running Bayou (5/2) |
| Show: | 9 – Such A Pickle (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Our Bodie (4/1), 7 – Kohen The Man (12/1), 4 – Quikonthetrigger (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Unlawful (12/1), 2 – No Deal Or Deal (15/1), 5 – Custom Ride (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-6-9-3-1-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-6-7-4-3-2-9-1-5 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 9 – El Chavo (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Toms Lucky Mo (5/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Sherkhan (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Fulton (6/1), 2 – Youcandoitboy (10/1), 3 – Whatdidwedo (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Justice For Johnny (12/1), 4 – Gloryland Band (20/1), 6 – M Tiz Me (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-9-7-5-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-7-2-5-3-1-8-6-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #7, #5, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 2 – Treasure Me (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Bronze Legacy (2/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Simply Grace (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Proton Kitty (5/1), 4 – Ex Gonna (8/1), 6 – Awree (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Walksonwater (12/1), 7 – Call Fern (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-1-2-8-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-4-8-5-6-3-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #8, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 9 – Minimus Maximus (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Seeking Aces (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Running For Dewey (20/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10 – Ronnie's Ace (5/1), 6 – Popa's Pride (6/1), 7 – Daat (12/1), 13 – Tujaques (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Blue King (10/1), 12 – Dirty Deal (15/1), 14 – Gallabye (12/1), 11 – Uninspired (20/1), 2 – Acesraisedthe Bar (15/1), 1 – Zyanaro (20/1), 8 – Sailor Slew (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-9-4-5-10-13 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-4-3-13-7-12-2-14-11-10-6-5-1-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #4, #5, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 2 – Fern Spirit (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Nicely Unified (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Bikini Bottom (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Thats Unbelievable (5/1), 7 – Broadway Star (6/1), 5 – Queen Berkeley (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Spicy Italian (15/1), 6 – World Of Hurt (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-7-1-5-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-3-5-4-1-8-7-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #3, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Dolabella (10/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Stellar Knickie (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Constructively (20/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Creole Lady (12/1), 5 – Scarlet Heart (8/1), 6 – Spicy Mustard (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Crescent Sky (5/2), 8 – Go Girl Go (7/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-5-3-1-4-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-2-5-1-4-8-3-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 3 – String Theory (2/1) |
| Place: | 8 – Go Get Trae (7/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Weitzman (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Flyin Private (8/1), 2 – Clearly Stardom (5/1), 6 – Majestic Palace (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Field Study (15/1), 1 – Metallic Mischief (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-8-5-2-7-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-4-7-6-5-8-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #8, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 2 – Funnyflame (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Sabi (5/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Masteroffoxhounds (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Seismic Spirit (5/1), 5 – Goldbrick (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Mr Mcgregor (8/1), 3 – Max Is G Money (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-1-2-5-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-6-5-7-3-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 6 – Sarah's Runner (3/1) |
| Place: | 8 – Running Bayou (5/2) |
| Show: | 9 – Such A Pickle (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Our Bodie (4/1), 4 – Quikonthetrigger (8/1), 7 – Kohen The Man (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Unlawful (12/1), 2 – No Deal Or Deal (15/1), 5 – Custom Ride (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-6-9-3-1-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-6-7-4-3-2-9-1-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #8, #9, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) ⭐ Best Bet race | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.36 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 4 | 5 – Queen Berkeley | 10/1 | 15.8% | +71.6% | 1.79% | $1.79 |
| 7 | 5 – Goldbrick | 10/1 | 15.8% | +71.6% | 1.79% | $1.79 |
| 5 | 3 – Constructively | 20/1 | 6.7% | +40.6% | 0.51% | $0.51 |
| 8 | 5 – Custom Ride | 20/1 | 6.7% | +40.6% | 0.51% | $0.51 |
| TOTAL across 4 plays: | 4.6% | $4.60 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Card
| ACESRAISEDTHE BAR | AWREE | BIKINI BOTTOM | BLUE KING | BROADWAY STAR |
| CALL FERN | CLEARLY STARDOM | CONSTRUCTIVELY | CREOLE LADY | CRESCENT SKY |
| DAAT | DIRTY DEAL | DOLABELLA | EL CHAVO | EX GONNA |
| FIELD STUDY | FLYIN PRIVATE | FULTON | FUNNYFLAME | GALLABYE |
| GO GET TRAE | GO GIRL GO | GOLDBRICK | JUSTICE FOR JOHNNY | KOHEN THE MAN |
| MAJESTIC PALACE | MASTEROFFOXHOUNDS | MAX IS G MONEY | METALLIC MISCHIEF | MINIMUS MAXIMUS |
| NICELY UNIFIED | NO DEAL OR DEAL | OUR BODIE | POPA'S PRIDE | PROTON KITTY |
| QUIKONTHETRIGGER | RONNIE'S ACE | RUNNING BAYOU | RUNNING FOR DEWEY | SABI |
| SARAH'S RUNNER | SCARLET HEART | SEEKING ACES | SEISMIC SPIRIT | SHERKHAN |
| SPICY ITALIAN | SPICY MUSTARD | STELLAR KNICKIE | STRING THEORY | SUCH A PICKLE |
| TOMS LUCKY MO | TREASURE ME | TUJAQUES | UNINSPIRED | UNLAWFUL |
| WEITZMAN | WHATDIDWEDO | WORLD OF HURT | YOUCANDOITBOY | ZYANARO |
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