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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 9 – Gametime Gladiator (5/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Yodel E. A. Who (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Lake Chapala (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Vance Scholars (10/1), 8 – Bourbon State (12/1), 6 – Awesome Entry (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Freedom Stance (10/1), 5 – Home Invasion (8/1), 4 – Tubtimsiam (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-3-1-2-6-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-2-3-7-5-8-1-6-4 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 2 – Planet Clare (7/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Sea Zest (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Fabia (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Weekend Wife (6/1), 7 – Graceful Rose (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Yau Majesty (8/1), 1 – Sylfrena (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-5-3-7-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-7-2-5-1-3 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 5 – Somme River (3/1) |
| Place: | 8 – Half A Deck (9/2) |
| Show: | 10 – Call Me Toni (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Will Of Victory (8/1), 2 – Rylnnslookinglucky (5/1), 6 – Power And Glory (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Rehoboth Avenue (6/1), 7 – Music On The Rocks (10/1), 3 – Fiveclocksomewhere (10/1), 9 – Aibell (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-8-2-4-10-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-8-9-10-3-7-6-2-4 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Miss Mo Town (4/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Golden Sovereign (2/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Lady D'oro (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Flee (3/1), 6 – Final Engagement (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Greatwhitefleet (8/1), 1 – Go Alice Go (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-5-1-6-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-5-2-4-1-7 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 11 – Freedom Glider (9/5) |
| Place: | 13 – Noble One (9/2) |
| Show: | 9 – Blue Suede Hooves (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Prodigious (4/1), 12 – Kauai Breeze (6/1), 1 – St Pete's Passion (4/1), 8 – Galatown Guy (2/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Capitaine (6/1), 4 – Double Miles (12/1), 10 – Carloun (9/2), 6 – Showpiece (15/1), 3 – One Last Bullet (15/1), 7 – Palace Revolt (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 11-13-2-4-12-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 11-8-3-5-1-10-13-2-4-7-12-9-6 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 4 – Xcellent Start (4/1) |
| Place: | 3 – El Cordobes (7/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Code Of Silence (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Mr. Ripple (5/1), 1 – Group Ticket (10/1), 5 – Prince Colton (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Tifosi (8/1), 10 – Consolidated (8/1), 9 – Micanopy (8/1), 7 – Holiday Express (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-9-1-5-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-10-1-5-3-6-4-8-2-7 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 8 – Tuff Luck (8/5) |
| Place: | 7 – Without (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – I Am I Said (3/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Chance (6/1), 2 – Persisten (12/1), 9 – The Last Scip (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Mickey Shillelagh (6/1), 3 – Powerful (20/1), 10 – Hanksdiviningrod (8/1), 4 – Silver Front (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-4-9-7-5-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-8-7-10-2-9-3-6-4-1 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 7 – Delray (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Great Andrei (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Spencer Tiara (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Drink This Cup (6/1), 6 – Social Fortress (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Itsamonstamash (8/1), 2 – Nancy Mary (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-7-5-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-6-3-2-1-4 | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 5 – Ritabook (3/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Awesome Pic (3/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Miguel's Belle (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Perugia (6/1), 3 – Dine And Dash (15/1), 4 – Baha Secret (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Bella Prima (15/1), 1 – Lilliput (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-3-2-7-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-3-4-8-7-1-6 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 1 – Lake Chapala (6/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Yodel E. A. Who (3/1) |
| Show: | 9 – Gametime Gladiator (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Vance Scholars (10/1), 6 – Awesome Entry (6/1), 8 – Bourbon State (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Home Invasion (8/1), 4 – Tubtimsiam (15/1), 7 – Freedom Stance (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-9-2-3-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-2-3-7-5-8-1-6-4 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 6 – Fabia (2/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Planet Clare (7/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Sea Zest (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Weekend Wife (6/1), 1 – Sylfrena (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Graceful Rose (10/1), 5 – Yau Majesty (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-2-5-3-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-7-2-5-1-3 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 8 – Half A Deck (9/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Somme River (3/1) |
| Show: | 10 – Call Me Toni (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Rylnnslookinglucky (5/1), 3 – Fiveclocksomewhere (10/1), 4 – Rehoboth Avenue (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Aibell (10/1), 7 – Music On The Rocks (10/1), 6 – Power And Glory (10/1), 1 – Will Of Victory (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-8-10-2-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-8-9-10-3-7-6-2-4 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Miss Mo Town (4/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Golden Sovereign (2/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Lady D'oro (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Flee (3/1), 6 – Final Engagement (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Greatwhitefleet (8/1), 1 – Go Alice Go (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-4-7-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-5-2-4-1-7 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 13 – Noble One (9/2) |
| Place: | 11 – Freedom Glider (9/5) |
| Show: | 10 – Carloun (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – St Pete's Passion (4/1), 5 – Prodigious (4/1), 2 – Capitaine (6/1), 8 – Galatown Guy (2/1) |
| Rest of field: | 12 – Kauai Breeze (6/1), 9 – Blue Suede Hooves (6/1), 3 – One Last Bullet (15/1), 4 – Double Miles (12/1), 7 – Palace Revolt (15/1), 6 – Showpiece (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 11-13-2-12-4-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 11-8-3-5-1-10-13-2-4-7-12-9-6 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 3 – El Cordobes (7/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Xcellent Start (4/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Group Ticket (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Mr. Ripple (5/1), 2 – Code Of Silence (6/1), 5 – Prince Colton (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Tifosi (8/1), 10 – Consolidated (8/1), 9 – Micanopy (8/1), 7 – Holiday Express (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-2-5-10-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-10-1-5-3-6-4-8-2-7 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 5 – I Am I Said (3/2) |
| Place: | 7 – Without (3/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Tuff Luck (8/5) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Powerful (20/1), 1 – Mickey Shillelagh (6/1), 2 – Persisten (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 – Hanksdiviningrod (8/1), 6 – Chance (6/1), 4 – Silver Front (20/1), 9 – The Last Scip (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-4-9-5-7-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-8-7-10-2-9-3-6-4-1 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 7 – Delray (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Great Andrei (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Spencer Tiara (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Drink This Cup (6/1), 3 – Itsamonstamash (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Social Fortress (8/1), 2 – Nancy Mary (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-5-6-1-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-6-3-2-1-4 | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 7 – Miguel's Belle (4/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Ritabook (3/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Awesome Pic (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Perugia (6/1), 3 – Dine And Dash (15/1), 4 – Baha Secret (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Bella Prima (15/1), 1 – Lilliput (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-7-5-2-3-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-3-4-8-7-1-6 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 2 – Yodel E. A. Who (3/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Lake Chapala (6/1) |
| Show: | 9 – Gametime Gladiator (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Vance Scholars (10/1), 6 – Awesome Entry (6/1), 8 – Bourbon State (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Home Invasion (8/1), 4 – Tubtimsiam (15/1), 7 – Freedom Stance (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-9-2-3-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-2-3-7-5-8-1-6-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #9, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 6 – Fabia (2/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Planet Clare (7/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Sea Zest (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Weekend Wife (6/1), 1 – Sylfrena (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Graceful Rose (10/1), 5 – Yau Majesty (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-2-3-5-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-7-2-5-1-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #4, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 8 – Half A Deck (9/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Somme River (3/1) |
| Show: | 10 – Call Me Toni (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Rylnnslookinglucky (5/1), 9 – Aibell (10/1), 3 – Fiveclocksomewhere (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Rehoboth Avenue (6/1), 7 – Music On The Rocks (10/1), 6 – Power And Glory (10/1), 1 – Will Of Victory (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-8-10-2-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-8-9-10-3-7-6-2-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #5, #10, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Miss Mo Town (4/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Golden Sovereign (2/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Lady D'oro (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Flee (3/1), 6 – Final Engagement (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Greatwhitefleet (8/1), 1 – Go Alice Go (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-4-7-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-5-2-4-1-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #3, #4, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 13 – Noble One (9/2) |
| Place: | 11 – Freedom Glider (9/5) |
| Show: | 10 – Carloun (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – St Pete's Passion (4/1), 2 – Capitaine (6/1), 8 – Galatown Guy (2/1), 5 – Prodigious (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 12 – Kauai Breeze (6/1), 9 – Blue Suede Hooves (6/1), 3 – One Last Bullet (15/1), 4 – Double Miles (12/1), 7 – Palace Revolt (15/1), 6 – Showpiece (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 11-13-2-12-4-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 11-8-3-5-1-10-13-2-4-7-12-9-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #13 over #11, #10, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) ⭐ Best Bet race | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 3 – El Cordobes (7/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Xcellent Start (4/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Mr. Ripple (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Group Ticket (10/1), 2 – Code Of Silence (6/1), 5 – Prince Colton (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Tifosi (8/1), 10 – Consolidated (8/1), 9 – Micanopy (8/1), 7 – Holiday Express (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-2-5-10-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-10-1-5-3-6-4-8-2-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #8, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 5 – I Am I Said (3/2) |
| Place: | 7 – Without (3/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Tuff Luck (8/5) |
| Other contenders: | 10 – Hanksdiviningrod (8/1), 3 – Powerful (20/1), 1 – Mickey Shillelagh (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Persisten (12/1), 6 – Chance (6/1), 4 – Silver Front (20/1), 9 – The Last Scip (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-4-9-5-7-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-8-7-10-2-9-3-6-4-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #7, #8, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 7 – Delray (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Great Andrei (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Spencer Tiara (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Drink This Cup (6/1), 3 – Itsamonstamash (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Social Fortress (8/1), 2 – Nancy Mary (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-5-6-1-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-6-3-2-1-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #5, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 7 – Miguel's Belle (4/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Ritabook (3/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Perugia (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Awesome Pic (3/1), 3 – Dine And Dash (15/1), 4 – Baha Secret (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Lilliput (10/1), 8 – Bella Prima (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-7-5-2-3-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-3-4-8-7-1-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #5, #6, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.36 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.80 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 7 | 3 – Powerful | 20/1 | 28.0% | +380.5% | 4.76% | $4.76 |
| 9 | 4 – Baha Secret | 15/1 | 18.1% | +147.3% | 2.45% | $2.45 |
| 5 | 4 – Double Miles | 12/1 | 16.9% | +92.9% | 1.93% | $1.93 |
| 1 | 4 – Tubtimsiam | 15/1 | 11.7% | +68.2% | 1.14% | $1.14 |
| 1 | 3 – Vance Scholars | 10/1 | 15.8% | +57.3% | 1.43% | $1.43 |
| 2 | 1 – Sylfrena | 10/1 | 15.8% | +57.3% | 1.43% | $1.43 |
| 3 | 9 – Aibell | 10/1 | 15.8% | +57.3% | 1.43% | $1.43 |
| 6 | 1 – Group Ticket | 10/1 | 15.8% | +57.3% | 1.43% | $1.43 |
| 3 | 3 – Fiveclocksomewhere | 10/1 | 15.3% | +53.0% | 1.32% | $1.32 |
| 9 | 3 – Dine And Dash | 15/1 | 10.5% | +52.7% | 0.88% | $0.88 |
| 3 | 6 – Power And Glory | 10/1 | 14.0% | +41.9% | 1.05% | $1.05 |
| 2 | 7 – Graceful Rose | 10/1 | 10.8% | +14.4% | 0.36% | $0.36 |
| TOTAL across 12 plays: | 19.6% | $19.62 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Card
| AIBELL | AWESOME ENTRY | AWESOME PIC | BAHA SECRET | BELLA PRIMA |
| BOURBON STATE | CALL ME TONI | CAPITAINE | CARLOUN | CHANCE |
| CONSOLIDATED | DELRAY | DINE AND DASH | DOUBLE MILES | DRINK THIS CUP |
| FABIA | FINAL ENGAGEMENT | FIVECLOCKSOMEWHERE | FLEE | FREEDOM GLIDER |
| GALATOWN GUY | GAMETIME GLADIATOR | GO ALICE GO | GOLDEN SOVEREIGN | GRACEFUL ROSE |
| GREATWHITEFLEET | GROUP TICKET | HALF A DECK | HANKSDIVININGROD | HOLIDAY EXPRESS |
| I AM I SAID | ITSAMONSTAMASH | KAUAI BREEZE | LADY D'ORO | LAKE CHAPALA |
| MICANOPY | MICKEY SHILLELAGH | MIGUEL'S BELLE | MISS MO TOWN | MR. RIPPLE |
| NANCY MARY | NOBLE ONE | ONE LAST BULLET | PALACE REVOLT | PERSISTEN |
| PLANET CLARE | POWER AND GLORY | POWERFUL | PRINCE COLTON | PRODIGIOUS |
| RITABOOK | RYLNNSLOOKINGLUCKY | SEA ZEST | SHOWPIECE | SILVER FRONT |
| SOMME RIVER | SPENCER TIARA | ST PETE'S PASSION | SYLFRENA | THE LAST SCIP |
| TUBTIMSIAM | TUFF LUCK | VANCE SCHOLARS | WEEKEND WIFE | WILL OF VICTORY |
| XCELLENT START | YAU MAJESTY | YODEL E. A. WHO |
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