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Pick Pony's AI picks work best when used with our Past Performance reports to enhance your handicapping and are especially effective for identifying potential longshot selections. You can purchase custom Past Performance reports through one of our subscription options. Learn more about Pick Pony's Past Performance reports here. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 5 – Severe Clear (7/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Singing Emma (4/5) |
| Show: | 2 – Shemeansbizness (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – My Julia (6/1), 6 – Belle Blaze (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Addababy (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-2-1-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-4-5-2-1 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Fly Dilly Fly (5/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Mykajunqueen (10/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Specialcharlatan (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Rockin Katelyn (5/1), 5 – Increase (2/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Sharp Boom (6/1), 7 – Triple Point (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-2-7-3-4-6 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 5 – Desperate Man (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Where's The Loot (7/5) |
| Show: | 3 – I Got No Munny (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – El Sargento (5/1), 2 – Speechless (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Govenor Hank (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-1-3-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-2-6-3-1 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 8 – Dress Good (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Mubarez (7/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Peppapete (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Stillbilly (6/1), 3 – Comprehend (5/1), 10 – Ledbetter (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Quiet Deputy (15/1), 2 – Ministers Revenge (20/1), 9 – King In The North (12/1), 6 – Bear Rilla (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-4-1-7-3-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-4-10-9-5-1-3-7-6-2 | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 1 – Dark Vintage (7/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Fifth Avenue (4/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Casa Limon (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Holiday House (8/1), 3 – Meroney (6/1), 5 – Master Game (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Lucky Bird (20/1), 4 – Al's Romeo (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-2-8-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-8-5-4-2-6-7-3 | |
| Race 10 | |
| Win: | 7 – Cause I'm Rollin (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Rub Of The Green (4/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Wagon Power (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Time To Jive (6/1), 10 – Big Furn (5/1), 5 – Into The Deep (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Sombradenoche (20/1), 6 – Ultra Mike (20/1), 2 – Bootflight (15/1), 3 – Trajon's Rampage (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-7-4-9-10-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-4-8-2-6-1-10-9-3 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 3 – Singing Emma (4/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Severe Clear (7/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Shemeansbizness (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – My Julia (6/1), 6 – Belle Blaze (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Addababy (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-2-1-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-4-5-2-1 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Fly Dilly Fly (5/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Mykajunqueen (10/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Specialcharlatan (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Rockin Katelyn (5/1), 5 – Increase (2/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Sharp Boom (6/1), 7 – Triple Point (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-2-7-3-4-6 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 4 – Where's The Loot (7/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Desperate Man (2/1) |
| Show: | 1 – El Sargento (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – I Got No Munny (6/1), 6 – Govenor Hank (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Speechless (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-1-3-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-2-6-3-1 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 8 – Dress Good (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Mubarez (7/2) |
| Show: | 10 – Ledbetter (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Peppapete (6/1), 3 – Comprehend (5/1), 7 – Stillbilly (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – King In The North (12/1), 5 – Quiet Deputy (15/1), 6 – Bear Rilla (20/1), 2 – Ministers Revenge (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-4-10-1-3-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-4-10-9-5-1-3-7-6-2 | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 1 – Dark Vintage (7/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Fifth Avenue (4/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Casa Limon (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Meroney (6/1), 8 – Holiday House (8/1), 5 – Master Game (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Al's Romeo (15/1), 7 – Lucky Bird (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-2-3-5-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-8-5-4-2-6-7-3 | |
| Race 10 | |
| Win: | 7 – Cause I'm Rollin (5/2) |
| Place: | 9 – Time To Jive (6/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Rub Of The Green (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Wagon Power (9/2), 10 – Big Furn (5/1), 5 – Into The Deep (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Bootflight (15/1), 3 – Trajon's Rampage (20/1), 6 – Ultra Mike (20/1), 1 – Sombradenoche (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-8-9-4-10-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-4-8-2-6-1-10-9-3 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 3 – Singing Emma (4/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Severe Clear (7/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Shemeansbizness (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – My Julia (6/1), 6 – Belle Blaze (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Addababy (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-2-1-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-4-5-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Fly Dilly Fly (5/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Mykajunqueen (10/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Specialcharlatan (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Rockin Katelyn (5/1), 5 – Increase (2/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Sharp Boom (6/1), 7 – Triple Point (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-2-7-3-4-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 4 – Where's The Loot (7/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Desperate Man (2/1) |
| Show: | 1 – El Sargento (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – I Got No Munny (6/1), 6 – Govenor Hank (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Speechless (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-1-3-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-2-6-3-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 8 – Dress Good (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Mubarez (7/2) |
| Show: | 10 – Ledbetter (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Peppapete (6/1), 3 – Comprehend (5/1), 7 – Stillbilly (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – King In The North (12/1), 5 – Quiet Deputy (15/1), 6 – Bear Rilla (20/1), 2 – Ministers Revenge (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-4-10-1-3-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-4-10-9-5-1-3-7-6-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #10, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 1 – Dark Vintage (7/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Fifth Avenue (4/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Casa Limon (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Meroney (6/1), 8 – Holiday House (8/1), 5 – Master Game (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Al's Romeo (15/1), 7 – Lucky Bird (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-2-3-5-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-8-5-4-2-6-7-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 10 | |
| Win: | 7 – Cause I'm Rollin (5/2) |
| Place: | 9 – Time To Jive (6/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Rub Of The Green (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Wagon Power (9/2), 10 – Big Furn (5/1), 5 – Into The Deep (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Bootflight (15/1), 6 – Ultra Mike (20/1), 3 – Trajon's Rampage (20/1), 1 – Sombradenoche (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-8-9-4-10-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-4-8-2-6-1-10-9-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #9, #4, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.33 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.80 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 9 | 5 – Master Game | 12/1 | 18.1% | +96.5% | 2.01% | $2.01 |
| 5 | 4 – Addababy | 15/1 | 12.3% | +68.8% | 1.15% | $1.15 |
| 6 | 2 – Mykajunqueen | 10/1 | 15.8% | +52.6% | 1.32% | $1.32 |
| 8 | 10 – Ledbetter | 10/1 | 15.8% | +52.6% | 1.32% | $1.32 |
| 10 | 5 – Into The Deep | 10/1 | 15.8% | +52.6% | 1.32% | $1.32 |
| TOTAL across 5 plays: | 7.1% | $7.10 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Card
| ADDABABY | AL'S ROMEO | BEAR RILLA | BELLE BLAZE | BIG FURN |
| CASA LIMON | CAUSE I'M ROLLIN | CHICKS A QUEEN | COMPREHEND | DARK VINTAGE |
| DEVINS DREAM | DRESS GOOD | EL SARGENTO | FANZE BOY | FIFTH AVENUE |
| FLYING BANDIDA | GOVENOR HANK | HOLIDAY HOUSE | I GOT NO MUNNY | INCREASE |
| JESS A FRENCHY GIRL | KING IN THE NORTH | KISS IS ON MY LIST | LEDBETTER | LETHAL FAST CASH |
| LUCKY BIRD | MASTER GAME | MERONEY | MINISTERS REVENGE | MUBAREZ |
| MYKAJUNQUEEN | NOTHIN LIKE YOU | PAINT ME FLYING | PEPPAPETE | PEVS SWEET CHINA |
| QUIET DEPUTY | RACY N ROYAL | REAL KISSES | ROCKIN KATELYN | RUB OF THE GREEN |
| SCHONIWAGON | SEVERE CLEAR | SHARP BOOM | SHEMEANSBIZNESS | SINGING EMMA |
| SPECIALCHARLATAN | SPEECHLESS | STILLBILLY | TALK ABOUT ME LATER | TH MAMA TRIED |
| TIME TO JIVE | TORNADO JANE | TRAJON'S RAMPAGE | TRIPLE POINT | TRS JESSA DEELIGHT |
| TS EIGHT DOLLAR BEER | TS GRAY N FAMOUS | TS I FLY AWAY | TS THATS FAMOUS | TUX HARD SHOP |
| WAGON POWER | WHERE'S THE LOOT | ZOOMIN FOR BLOOD |
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