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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 2 – Ten Mile House (3/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Mormoneytostart (7/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Poki Loki (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Serene Empress (5/1), 7 – Get Hot Stay Hot (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Midnight Minister (12/1), 6 – Schwarz (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-5-4-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-6-3-5-1-4-7 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – No Pay No Hay (1/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Lily's Home (9/5) |
| Show: | 5 – She Stopped Short (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Primity (8/1), 4 – Wildwood Encore (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Air Gerri (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-1-4-6-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-6-4-3-5 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 1 – Honest Al (8/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Mister Sharpie (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – On The Money Red (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Granddaddylonglegs (4/1), 5 – Purple Octopus (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Gallant Buck (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-6-4-3-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-6-3-2-4-5 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 4 – Then Now 'n Always (3/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Wildwood Triple (6/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Lady Elise (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Halo Honey (10/1), 3 – Nella (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Coaly (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-6-5-1-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-3-5-1-2 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 3 – Hot Dame (3/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Some Of It (2/1) |
| Show: | 7 – She Be Sheehan (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Juliaison (5/1), 2 – Wicked Sky (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Lution (15/1), 6 – Life Of Saturdays (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-3-7-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-6-7-4-5-2 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 6 – Call Me Christine (6/5) |
| Place: | 7 – Personal Jet (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 – King Anthony (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – I Need More Money (9/2), 2 – Bilderberg (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Time To Toast (10/1), 1 – Best Man Speech (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-7-2-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-7-3-2-5-1 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 4 – Governing Party (5/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Frankie P (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Nyquist Frequency (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Galantini (4/1), 2 – Army Hero (12/1), 6 – Gun It And Run It (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Splendor Glow (20/1), 7 – Essential Wild Cat (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-3-6-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-5-2-1-6-8-7 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 9 – Wildwood Ruben (8/5) |
| Place: | 8 – Lookin For Bala (9/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Tahoe Run (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Rhodiums Pride (8/1), 2 – Hand Over My Heart (10/1), 4 – Layton The Day (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Girlolamo'glory (6/1), 3 – Verrazanointhesky (30/1), 1 – Mon Ami Fuzzie (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-9-5-8-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-6-2-4-5-8-7-1-3 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 2 – Ten Mile House (3/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Serene Empress (5/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Mormoneytostart (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Poki Loki (5/1), 7 – Get Hot Stay Hot (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Schwarz (8/1), 3 – Midnight Minister (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-4-5-7-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-6-3-5-1-4-7 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 2 – Lily's Home (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 – No Pay No Hay (1/1) |
| Show: | 5 – She Stopped Short (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Primity (8/1), 4 – Wildwood Encore (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Air Gerri (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-3-5-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-6-4-3-5 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 2 – On The Money Red (7/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Honest Al (8/5) |
| Show: | 6 – Mister Sharpie (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Granddaddylonglegs (4/1), 5 – Purple Octopus (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Gallant Buck (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-6-4-3-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-6-3-2-4-5 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 4 – Then Now 'n Always (3/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Lady Elise (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Wildwood Triple (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Nella (8/1), 5 – Halo Honey (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Coaly (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-6-5-3-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-3-5-1-2 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Some Of It (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Juliaison (5/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Hot Dame (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – She Be Sheehan (4/1), 2 – Wicked Sky (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Life Of Saturdays (10/1), 5 – Lution (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-4-7-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-6-7-4-5-2 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 6 – Call Me Christine (6/5) |
| Place: | 7 – Personal Jet (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 – King Anthony (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Bilderberg (6/1), 3 – I Need More Money (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Time To Toast (10/1), 1 – Best Man Speech (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-7-1-2-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-7-3-2-5-1 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 4 – Governing Party (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Galantini (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Frankie P (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Nyquist Frequency (3/1), 6 – Gun It And Run It (6/1), 2 – Army Hero (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Splendor Glow (20/1), 7 – Essential Wild Cat (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-3-4-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-5-2-1-6-8-7 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 9 – Wildwood Ruben (8/5) |
| Place: | 8 – Lookin For Bala (9/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Layton The Day (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Tahoe Run (4/1), 2 – Hand Over My Heart (10/1), 6 – Rhodiums Pride (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Girlolamo'glory (6/1), 1 – Mon Ami Fuzzie (20/1), 3 – Verrazanointhesky (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-9-6-8-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-6-2-4-5-8-7-1-3 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 2 – Ten Mile House (3/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Serene Empress (5/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Mormoneytostart (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Poki Loki (5/1), 7 – Get Hot Stay Hot (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Schwarz (8/1), 3 – Midnight Minister (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-4-5-7-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-6-3-5-1-4-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 2 – Lily's Home (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 – No Pay No Hay (1/1) |
| Show: | 5 – She Stopped Short (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Primity (8/1), 4 – Wildwood Encore (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Air Gerri (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-3-5-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-6-4-3-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 2 – On The Money Red (7/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Honest Al (8/5) |
| Show: | 6 – Mister Sharpie (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Granddaddylonglegs (4/1), 5 – Purple Octopus (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Gallant Buck (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-6-4-5-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-6-3-2-4-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #6, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 4 – Then Now 'n Always (3/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Lady Elise (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Wildwood Triple (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Nella (8/1), 5 – Halo Honey (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Coaly (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-6-3-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-3-5-1-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Some Of It (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Juliaison (5/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Hot Dame (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – She Be Sheehan (4/1), 2 – Wicked Sky (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Life Of Saturdays (10/1), 5 – Lution (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-4-7-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-6-7-4-5-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #3, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 6 – Call Me Christine (6/5) |
| Place: | 7 – Personal Jet (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 – King Anthony (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Bilderberg (6/1), 3 – I Need More Money (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Time To Toast (10/1), 1 – Best Man Speech (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-7-2-1-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-7-3-2-5-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 4 – Governing Party (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Galantini (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Frankie P (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Nyquist Frequency (3/1), 6 – Gun It And Run It (6/1), 8 – Splendor Glow (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Army Hero (12/1), 7 – Essential Wild Cat (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-3-4-6-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-5-2-1-6-8-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 9 – Wildwood Ruben (8/5) |
| Place: | 8 – Lookin For Bala (9/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Layton The Day (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Tahoe Run (4/1), 6 – Rhodiums Pride (8/1), 2 – Hand Over My Heart (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Girlolamo'glory (6/1), 1 – Mon Ami Fuzzie (20/1), 3 – Verrazanointhesky (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-2-6-8-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-6-2-4-5-8-7-1-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #8, #4, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.37 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.88 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 7 | 8 – Splendor Glow | 20/1 | 28.0% | +423.7% | 5.00% | $5.00 |
| 8 | 4 – Layton The Day | 10/1 | 15.8% | +63.8% | 1.59% | $1.59 |
| 8 | 2 – Hand Over My Heart | 10/1 | 14.9% | +55.2% | 1.38% | $1.38 |
| 8 | 1 – Mon Ami Fuzzie | 20/1 | 6.7% | +36.2% | 0.45% | $0.45 |
| TOTAL across 4 plays: | 8.4% | $8.43 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Card
| AIR GERRI | ARMY HERO | BEST MAN SPEECH | BILDERBERG | CALL ME CHRISTINE |
| ESSENTIAL WILD CAT | FRANKIE P | GALANTINI | GALLANT BUCK | GET HOT STAY HOT |
| GOVERNING PARTY | GRANDDADDYLONGLEGS | GUN IT AND RUN IT | HALO HONEY | HAND OVER MY HEART |
| HOT DAME | I NEED MORE MONEY | JULIAISON | KING ANTHONY | LADY ELISE |
| LIFE OF SATURDAYS | LILY'S HOME | LOOKIN FOR BALA | LUTION | MIDNIGHT MINISTER |
| MON AMI FUZZIE | MORMONEYTOSTART | NELLA | NO PAY NO HAY | NYQUIST FREQUENCY |
| PERSONAL JET | POKI LOKI | PRIMITY | PURPLE OCTOPUS | RHODIUMS PRIDE |
| SERENE EMPRESS | SHE BE SHEEHAN | SHE STOPPED SHORT | SOME OF IT | SPLENDOR GLOW |
| TEN MILE HOUSE | THEN NOW 'N ALWAYS | TIME TO TOAST | VERRAZANOINTHESKY | WICKED SKY |
| WILDWOOD RUBEN | WILDWOOD TRIPLE |
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