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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 6 – Mexican Lucky (7/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Cowboy Now (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Bakk For Bria (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Quattro Calzini (10/1), 4 – Justaskinfortruble (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Queen Astrid (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-5-2-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-2-5-4-1 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 5 – Gimlet (3/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Dare To Compare (3/1) |
| Show: | 6 – They Call Me Tom (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – La Patrona (6/1), 4 – Dreaming D'oro (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Just Scarlett (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-2-1-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-6-3-4-1 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 1 – Dri Saddle (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Redneck Rebel (4/5) |
| Show: | 4 – Habadabadoo (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Are Gee (10/1), 7 – Schmugley (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Smart Addiction (20/1), 3 – Sunday Rain (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-4-5-7-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-5-2-4-3-7 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 2 – Bold Arch (4/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Gotme Good (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Bar Down Express (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Mount Doom (4/1), 4 – Hyperfocus (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Gabbysonholiday (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-3-4-1-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-6-5-3-1 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 6 – Lucky Force (5/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Diocles (7/5) |
| Show: | 2 – Flashfordani (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Dancing Porky (9/2), 4 – Bobby Dazzler (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Mr. Who (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-2-4-3-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-6-1-3-4-2 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 2 – Ah Touche (8/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Brodys Souvenir (3/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Miss Larue (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Classy Regard's (15/1), 3 – Tango For The Soul (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Midnite Score (5/1), 1 – Everything To Gain (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-6-7-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-6-3-7-1-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 8 – All For Him (8/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Forced To Run (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Pour House (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Frosted Knight (15/1), 7 – Mi Amigo (5/1), 2 – Swift Kahuna (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Ari Ready (20/1), 5 – Penicillium (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-8-1-3-7-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-1-4-3-2-6-5-7 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 4 – G T Ray Sir (1/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Handsome Henry (6/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Ponderosa (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Max Booster (6/1), 7 – Absolut John (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Alberta Berbon (8/1), 6 – Lennys On Time (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-3-1-2-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-7-3-6-2-1 | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 4 – Rapture Bay (9/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Pump The Brakes (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Squalotoro (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Chickasaw (5/1), 1 – Sportscarr (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Northern Jewel (15/1), 7 – Julius The Great (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-1-6-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-1-2-6-3-7 | |
| Race 10 | |
| Win: | 5 – Drinking Again (3/1) |
| Place: | 8 – Accidental Genius (6/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Newhart (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Quarterback Dak (7/2), 4 – Pursue (5/1), 1 – Holiday's Again (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Knopfler (8/1), 2 – Tigerito (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-7-4-3-1-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-6-3-2-7-4-8-1 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 6 – Mexican Lucky (7/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Cowboy Now (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Bakk For Bria (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Queen Astrid (5/1), 4 – Justaskinfortruble (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Quattro Calzini (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-5-1-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-2-5-4-1 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 5 – Gimlet (3/5) |
| Place: | 6 – They Call Me Tom (10/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Dare To Compare (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – La Patrona (6/1), 4 – Dreaming D'oro (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Just Scarlett (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-2-1-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-6-3-4-1 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 6 – Redneck Rebel (4/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Dri Saddle (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Habadabadoo (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Are Gee (10/1), 3 – Sunday Rain (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Smart Addiction (20/1), 7 – Schmugley (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-4-5-3-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-5-2-4-3-7 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 2 – Bold Arch (4/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Mount Doom (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Gotme Good (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Gabbysonholiday (20/1), 5 – Bar Down Express (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Hyperfocus (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-3-1-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-6-5-3-1 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 6 – Lucky Force (5/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Diocles (7/5) |
| Show: | 2 – Flashfordani (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Bobby Dazzler (5/1), 1 – Dancing Porky (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Mr. Who (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-5-4-1-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-6-1-3-4-2 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 2 – Ah Touche (8/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Brodys Souvenir (3/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Midnite Score (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Miss Larue (8/1), 3 – Tango For The Soul (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Everything To Gain (15/1), 7 – Classy Regard's (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-5-6-1-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-6-3-7-1-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 8 – All For Him (8/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Pour House (7/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Forced To Run (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Mi Amigo (5/1), 4 – Frosted Knight (15/1), 2 – Swift Kahuna (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Ari Ready (20/1), 5 – Penicillium (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-1-4-3-7-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-1-4-3-2-6-5-7 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 4 – G T Ray Sir (1/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Ponderosa (4/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Handsome Henry (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Alberta Berbon (8/1), 2 – Max Booster (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Absolut John (10/1), 6 – Lennys On Time (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-1-5-2-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-7-3-6-2-1 | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 5 – Pump The Brakes (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Rapture Bay (9/5) |
| Show: | 2 – Squalotoro (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Chickasaw (5/1), 1 – Sportscarr (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Northern Jewel (15/1), 7 – Julius The Great (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-1-5-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-1-2-6-3-7 | |
| Race 10 | |
| Win: | 5 – Drinking Again (3/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Newhart (6/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Holiday's Again (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Accidental Genius (6/1), 6 – Knopfler (8/1), 4 – Pursue (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Quarterback Dak (7/2), 2 – Tigerito (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-7-4-1-3-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-6-3-2-7-4-8-1 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 6 – Mexican Lucky (7/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Cowboy Now (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Bakk For Bria (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Justaskinfortruble (6/1), 1 – Queen Astrid (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Quattro Calzini (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-5-4-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-2-5-4-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 5 – Gimlet (3/5) |
| Place: | 6 – They Call Me Tom (10/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Dare To Compare (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – La Patrona (6/1), 4 – Dreaming D'oro (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Just Scarlett (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-2-1-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-6-3-4-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 6 – Redneck Rebel (4/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Dri Saddle (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Habadabadoo (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Are Gee (10/1), 3 – Sunday Rain (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Smart Addiction (20/1), 7 – Schmugley (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-4-5-3-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-5-2-4-3-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #4, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 2 – Bold Arch (4/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Gotme Good (4/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Mount Doom (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Bar Down Express (9/2), 1 – Gabbysonholiday (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Hyperfocus (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-3-1-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-6-5-3-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 6 – Lucky Force (5/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Diocles (7/5) |
| Show: | 4 – Bobby Dazzler (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Flashfordani (5/1), 1 – Dancing Porky (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Mr. Who (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-2-4-1-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-6-1-3-4-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 2 – Ah Touche (8/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Brodys Souvenir (3/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Midnite Score (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Miss Larue (8/1), 3 – Tango For The Soul (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Everything To Gain (15/1), 7 – Classy Regard's (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-5-6-1-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-4-6-3-7-1-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 8 – All For Him (8/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Pour House (7/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Forced To Run (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Mi Amigo (5/1), 4 – Frosted Knight (15/1), 2 – Swift Kahuna (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Ari Ready (20/1), 5 – Penicillium (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-1-3-4-7-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-1-4-3-2-6-5-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #3, #1, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 4 – G T Ray Sir (1/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Ponderosa (4/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Handsome Henry (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Alberta Berbon (8/1), 6 – Lennys On Time (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Absolut John (10/1), 2 – Max Booster (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-1-5-2-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-7-3-6-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 5 – Pump The Brakes (2/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Rapture Bay (9/5) |
| Show: | 2 – Squalotoro (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Chickasaw (5/1), 1 – Sportscarr (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Northern Jewel (15/1), 7 – Julius The Great (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-5-1-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-1-2-6-3-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 10 | |
| Win: | 5 – Drinking Again (3/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Newhart (6/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Holiday's Again (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Accidental Genius (6/1), 6 – Knopfler (8/1), 4 – Pursue (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Quarterback Dak (7/2), 2 – Tigerito (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-7-4-1-3-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-6-3-2-7-4-8-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #7, #1, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.37 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.88 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 7 | 4 – Frosted Knight | 15/1 | 18.1% | +164.4% | 2.74% | $2.74 |
| 9 | 6 – Northern Jewel | 15/1 | 18.1% | +164.4% | 2.74% | $2.74 |
| 7 | 2 – Swift Kahuna | 15/1 | 12.8% | +91.7% | 1.53% | $1.53 |
| 9 | 7 – Julius The Great | 20/1 | 6.7% | +36.3% | 0.45% | $0.45 |
| TOTAL across 4 plays: | 7.5% | $7.46 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Card
| ABSOLUT JOHN | ACCIDENTAL GENIUS | AH TOUCHE | ALBERTA BERBON | ALL FOR HIM |
| ARI READY | BAKK FOR BRIA | BAR DOWN EXPRESS | BOBBY DAZZLER | BOLD ARCH |
| CHICKASAW | CLASSY REGARD'S | COWBOY NOW | DANCING PORKY | DARE TO COMPARE |
| DREAMING D'ORO | DRI SADDLE | DRINKING AGAIN | EVERYTHING TO GAIN | FLASHFORDANI |
| FROSTED KNIGHT | G T RAY SIR | GABBYSONHOLIDAY | GIMLET | GOTME GOOD |
| HANDSOME HENRY | HOLIDAY'S AGAIN | HYPERFOCUS | JULIUS THE GREAT | JUST SCARLETT |
| KNOPFLER | LA PATRONA | LENNYS ON TIME | LUCKY FORCE | MAX BOOSTER |
| MI AMIGO | MIDNITE SCORE | MISS LARUE | MOUNT DOOM | MR. WHO |
| NORTHERN JEWEL | PENICILLIUM | PONDEROSA | POUR HOUSE | PUMP THE BRAKES |
| QUARTERBACK DAK | QUATTRO CALZINI | QUEEN ASTRID | RAPTURE BAY | REDNECK REBEL |
| SMART ADDICTION | SPORTSCARR | SQUALOTORO | SUNDAY RAIN | SWIFT KAHUNA |
| THEY CALL ME TOM | TIGERITO |
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