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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 4 – Rocker Roller (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Watch Me Sparkle (9/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Common Sense (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – It's Nancytime Now (5/1), 6 – Amazon Time (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Sassy Sangria (5/1), 1 – Toot (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-7-5-2-1-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-1-6-7-2-3 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 6 – Sneaking Suspicion (3/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Stone Cold Jones (9/5) |
| Show: | 5 – Triathelon (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – High Yield Hunk (5/1), 4 – Randy Said So (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Bad Boy Blaze (10/1), 7 – Coco No Loco (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-7-6-4-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-5-7-2-4-1 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 1 – Millionairess (7/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Occupy (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Zipline (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Duty Bound (3/1), 5 – Esta Vez (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Whose Notion (4/1), 7 – Forsaken Dreams (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-1-6-3-2-5 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 6 – Sally's Gold (9/5) |
| Place: | 7 – Lady Ensign (9/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Destination (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Atmidnight (5/1), 8 – Come To Mama (3/1), 3 – Kip The Distance (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Costa Amalfitana (30/1), 5 – Sapphire Beauty (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-8-6-7-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-1-7-2-3-4-5 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 4 – Just A Fair Shake (2/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Bestfriend Rocket (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Don't Wait Up (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Break Out (4/1), 1 – Union Fleet (8/1), 5 – All The Hardways (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Blame The Tux (30/1), 8 – Holy Synchronicity (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-2-3-4-1-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-2-5-1-6-3-8-7 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Contemplation (1/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Hunter Joe (9/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Spanish Noble (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Green Beans (6/1), 4 – E Minor (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Tyson's Delivery (20/1), 2 – Italiano Kid (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-7-1-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-2-7-3-6-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 9 – Marital Trust (5/2) |
| Place: | 8 – Emerald Spun (3/1) |
| Show: | 12 – Determind Princess (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Sun Cross (8/1), 5 – Precious Medley (10/1), 3 – Power Dance (8/1), 10 – No Need To Ask (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 11 – Heaven's Promise (30/1), 7 – Dead Sexy (30/1), 2 – Hovekoma (20/1), 1 – Hale Bop (30/1), 4 – Lendalfoot (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-12-3-9-7-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-8-6-3-5-4-12-10-2-7-11-1 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 1 – Band On The Run (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Veronika Z (9/5) |
| Show: | 6 – Combustible Mass (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Midnight Prowler (6/1), 4 – Mended Heart (12/1), 9 – Beautiful Emma (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Romelia (10/1), 2 – Gelinotte (30/1), 3 – Janenmike (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-2-1-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-7-8-9-4-6-3-2 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 4 – Rocker Roller (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Common Sense (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Watch Me Sparkle (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Sassy Sangria (5/1), 2 – It's Nancytime Now (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Amazon Time (10/1), 1 – Toot (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-7-5-2-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-1-6-7-2-3 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 3 – Stone Cold Jones (9/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Sneaking Suspicion (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Triathelon (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – High Yield Hunk (5/1), 7 – Coco No Loco (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Bad Boy Blaze (10/1), 4 – Randy Said So (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-3-7-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-5-7-2-4-1 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 1 – Millionairess (7/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Occupy (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Zipline (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Duty Bound (3/1), 5 – Esta Vez (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Whose Notion (4/1), 7 – Forsaken Dreams (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-1-6-3-2-5 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 6 – Sally's Gold (9/5) |
| Place: | 7 – Lady Ensign (9/2) |
| Show: | 8 – Come To Mama (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Atmidnight (5/1), 1 – Destination (7/2), 3 – Kip The Distance (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Costa Amalfitana (30/1), 5 – Sapphire Beauty (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-8-7-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-1-7-2-3-4-5 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 4 – Just A Fair Shake (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Don't Wait Up (9/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Break Out (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Bestfriend Rocket (3/1), 5 – All The Hardways (8/1), 1 – Union Fleet (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Holy Synchronicity (20/1), 7 – Blame The Tux (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-4-3-2-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-2-5-1-6-3-8-7 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Contemplation (1/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Spanish Noble (4/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Hunter Joe (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – E Minor (8/1), 2 – Italiano Kid (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Green Beans (6/1), 6 – Tyson's Delivery (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-7-1-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-2-7-3-6-5 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 9 – Marital Trust (5/2) |
| Place: | 8 – Emerald Spun (3/1) |
| Show: | 12 – Determind Princess (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Sun Cross (8/1), 5 – Precious Medley (10/1), 3 – Power Dance (8/1), 4 – Lendalfoot (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 – No Need To Ask (20/1), 2 – Hovekoma (20/1), 11 – Heaven's Promise (30/1), 7 – Dead Sexy (30/1), 1 – Hale Bop (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-12-9-3-7-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-8-6-3-5-4-12-10-2-7-11-1 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 5 – Veronika Z (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Band On The Run (2/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Midnight Prowler (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Combustible Mass (6/1), 8 – Romelia (10/1), 9 – Beautiful Emma (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Mended Heart (12/1), 3 – Janenmike (20/1), 2 – Gelinotte (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-5-2-1-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-7-8-9-4-6-3-2 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 4 – Rocker Roller (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Common Sense (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Watch Me Sparkle (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Sassy Sangria (5/1), 2 – It's Nancytime Now (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Amazon Time (10/1), 1 – Toot (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-7-5-2-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-1-6-7-2-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #7, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 3 – Stone Cold Jones (9/5) |
| Place: | 6 – Sneaking Suspicion (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Triathelon (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – High Yield Hunk (5/1), 7 – Coco No Loco (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Bad Boy Blaze (10/1), 4 – Randy Said So (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-7-6-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-5-7-2-4-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 1 – Millionairess (7/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Occupy (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Zipline (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Duty Bound (3/1), 5 – Esta Vez (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Whose Notion (4/1), 7 – Forsaken Dreams (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-1-6-3-2-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 6 – Sally's Gold (9/5) |
| Place: | 7 – Lady Ensign (9/2) |
| Show: | 8 – Come To Mama (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Destination (7/2), 2 – Atmidnight (5/1), 3 – Kip The Distance (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Costa Amalfitana (30/1), 5 – Sapphire Beauty (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-8-7-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-8-1-7-2-3-4-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #8, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 4 – Just A Fair Shake (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Break Out (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Don't Wait Up (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Bestfriend Rocket (3/1), 5 – All The Hardways (8/1), 1 – Union Fleet (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Holy Synchronicity (20/1), 7 – Blame The Tux (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-4-3-2-6-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-2-5-1-6-3-8-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · playable | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Contemplation (1/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Spanish Noble (4/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Hunter Joe (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – E Minor (8/1), 2 – Italiano Kid (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Green Beans (6/1), 6 – Tyson's Delivery (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-7-1-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-2-7-3-6-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 9 – Marital Trust (5/2) |
| Place: | 8 – Emerald Spun (3/1) |
| Show: | 12 – Determind Princess (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Sun Cross (8/1), 5 – Precious Medley (10/1), 3 – Power Dance (8/1), 4 – Lendalfoot (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 – No Need To Ask (20/1), 2 – Hovekoma (20/1), 7 – Dead Sexy (30/1), 11 – Heaven's Promise (30/1), 1 – Hale Bop (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-12-9-3-7-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-8-6-3-5-4-12-10-2-7-11-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #8, #12, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 5 – Veronika Z (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Band On The Run (2/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Midnight Prowler (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Combustible Mass (6/1), 8 – Romelia (10/1), 9 – Beautiful Emma (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Mended Heart (12/1), 3 – Janenmike (20/1), 2 – Gelinotte (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-5-2-1-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-7-8-9-4-6-3-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #7, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.42 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.82 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 4 | 3 – Kip The Distance | 20/1 | 28.0% | +440.0% | 5.00% | $5.00 |
| 7 | 10 – No Need To Ask | 20/1 | 28.0% | +440.0% | 5.00% | $5.00 |
| 7 | 4 – Lendalfoot | 12/1 | 13.9% | +73.2% | 1.52% | $1.52 |
| 7 | 5 – Precious Medley | 10/1 | 15.5% | +63.4% | 1.58% | $1.58 |
| 7 | 2 – Hovekoma | 20/1 | 6.7% | +37.6% | 0.47% | $0.47 |
| 1 | 6 – Amazon Time | 10/1 | 12.5% | +33.9% | 0.85% | $0.85 |
| TOTAL across 6 plays: | 14.4% | $14.43 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Card
| ALL THE HARDWAYS | AMAZON TIME | ATMIDNIGHT | BAD BOY BLAZE | BAND ON THE RUN |
| BESTFRIEND ROCKET | BLAME THE TUX | BREAK OUT | COCO NO LOCO | COMBUSTIBLE MASS |
| COMMON SENSE | CONTEMPLATION | COSTA AMALFITANA | DEAD SEXY | DESTINATION |
| DON'T WAIT UP | DUTY BOUND | E MINOR | EMERALD SPUN | ESTA VEZ |
| GELINOTTE | GREEN BEANS | HALE BOP | HEAVEN'S PROMISE | HIGH YIELD HUNK |
| HOVEKOMA | HUNTER JOE | IT'S NANCYTIME NOW | ITALIANO KID | JANENMIKE |
| KIP THE DISTANCE | LADY ENSIGN | LENDALFOOT | MARITAL TRUST | MENDED HEART |
| MILLIONAIRESS | NO NEED TO ASK | OCCUPY | POWER DANCE | PRECIOUS MEDLEY |
| ROCKER ROLLER | ROMELIA | SALLY'S GOLD | SAPPHIRE BEAUTY | SASSY SANGRIA |
| SPANISH NOBLE | STONE COLD JONES | SUN CROSS | TOOT | TRIATHELON |
| UNION FLEET | VERONIKA Z | WATCH ME SPARKLE | WHOSE NOTION | ZIPLINE |
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