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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 2 – Catatonic (3/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Stanka (7/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Cloudy Star (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Rockin Rocio (6/1), 5 – Relentless Chick (6/1), 6 – Vortex Express (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Smokinghot Justice (12/1), 7 – Chimes (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-1-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-2-3-8-1-5-7-6 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 2 – Ismybusiness (9/2) |
| Place: | 8 – Mitch (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Slam Dunk Justice (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Commander Storm (5/1), 7 – Stranger's Church (6/1), 4 – Neutron (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Good Civilian (20/1), 5 – Mystik Justice (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-4-7-8-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-8-2-5-6-7-3 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 4 – Tainted Justice (5/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Forever Hope (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Money Monday (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Unresponsive (7/2), 8 – Pro Fever (6/1), 6 – Dade County (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Johnny Ringo (15/1), 7 – Little Rock Jack (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-4-7-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-6-5-2-1-7-8 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 6 – Officer Gambill (5/2) |
| Place: | 11 – Captain Chaos (9/2) |
| Show: | 9 – Pray For Victory (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Unbridled Valor (12/1), 1 – Shaggyinthecity (20/1), 3 – Dotties Blue Money (5/1), 5 – Turbeau Man (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Crazy Legs Mike (20/1), 10 – Speightful Hero (20/1), 7 – Favorite Star (30/1), 4 – Reachin Out (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-6-1-3-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-9-11-5-8-3-1-2-10-4-7 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Imallaboutthatbeat (15/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Ghost Story (10/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Moonshining Mama (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Red Clay Halo (12/1), 5 – Little Maite (7/2), 6 – Hoo's A Good Girl (6/1), 7 – Everyone Talks (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Isometric (9/2), 9 – Bertie's World (20/1), 10 – Miss Resilient (8/1), 11 – Miss Joan (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-7-2-5-4-8-1-3-6-11-9 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Pezzonovante (6/1) |
| Place: | 2 – He's A Charmer (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Roktar (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Handsome Jimmy (30/1), 5 – Serra (8/1), 6 – Thundertaker (20/1), 7 – Ando (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Fun Times Freddy (12/1), 9 – Night Watcher (15/1), 10 – Force Multiplier (30/1), 11 – Working For Glory (5/1), 12 – Golden Vale (20/1), 13 – Waittilnextyear (20/1), 14 – Kenwood Street (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-11-3-9-14-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-9-11-7-5-8-3-1-10-13-6-12-4-14 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 6 – Socorro's Prayer (7/5) |
| Place: | 7 – Imminent Forecast (9/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Unattainable Love (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Rioja Alta (5/1), 4 – Only God Knows (15/1), 10 – Silver Syon (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Nothingbutjustice (8/1), 2 – El Payasito (15/1), 8 – Mommas Wish (20/1), 5 – Count The Cash (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-3-1-4-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-9-4-2-7-10-5-1-8 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 11 – Funs Lil Sis (3/1) |
| Place: | 6 – British Empress (9/5) |
| Show: | 7 – Super Costly (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Fawn Liebowitz (15/1), 4 – Tarragon (20/1), 10 – Flirtin Again (8/1), 2 – Patty's Girl (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 13 – Long Tail Sally (15/1), 9 – Dreaming Why (20/1), 12 – Collected Bond (20/1), 3 – Sunny's Flame (20/1), 5 – Tiz Salty (12/1), 8 – Nan O'hara (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-11-6-1-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-7-13-2-12-11-10-3-5-1-8-4-9 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 2 – Catatonic (3/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Cloudy Star (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Stanka (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Relentless Chick (6/1), 1 – Rockin Rocio (6/1), 8 – Smokinghot Justice (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Vortex Express (20/1), 7 – Chimes (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-4-1-5-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-2-3-8-1-5-7-6 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Slam Dunk Justice (5/2) |
| Place: | 8 – Mitch (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Ismybusiness (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Commander Storm (5/1), 7 – Stranger's Church (6/1), 4 – Neutron (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Good Civilian (20/1), 5 – Mystik Justice (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-8-4-7-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-8-2-5-6-7-3 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 3 – Forever Hope (3/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Tainted Justice (5/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Unresponsive (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Money Monday (4/1), 8 – Pro Fever (6/1), 6 – Dade County (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Johnny Ringo (15/1), 7 – Little Rock Jack (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-3-4-6-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-6-5-2-1-7-8 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 6 – Officer Gambill (5/2) |
| Place: | 11 – Captain Chaos (9/2) |
| Show: | 9 – Pray For Victory (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Dotties Blue Money (5/1), 8 – Unbridled Valor (12/1), 5 – Turbeau Man (15/1), 1 – Shaggyinthecity (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Crazy Legs Mike (20/1), 4 – Reachin Out (30/1), 10 – Speightful Hero (20/1), 7 – Favorite Star (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-9-3-11-5-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-9-11-5-8-3-1-2-10-4-7 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Imallaboutthatbeat (15/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Ghost Story (10/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Moonshining Mama (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Red Clay Halo (12/1), 5 – Little Maite (7/2), 6 – Hoo's A Good Girl (6/1), 7 – Everyone Talks (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Isometric (9/2), 9 – Bertie's World (20/1), 10 – Miss Resilient (8/1), 11 – Miss Joan (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-7-2-5-4-8-1-3-6-11-9 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Pezzonovante (6/1) |
| Place: | 2 – He's A Charmer (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Roktar (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Handsome Jimmy (30/1), 5 – Serra (8/1), 6 – Thundertaker (20/1), 7 – Ando (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Fun Times Freddy (12/1), 9 – Night Watcher (15/1), 10 – Force Multiplier (30/1), 11 – Working For Glory (5/1), 12 – Golden Vale (20/1), 13 – Waittilnextyear (20/1), 14 – Kenwood Street (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-11-3-9-14-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-9-11-7-5-8-3-1-10-13-6-12-4-14 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 6 – Socorro's Prayer (7/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Rioja Alta (5/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Imminent Forecast (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Unattainable Love (8/1), 4 – Only God Knows (15/1), 2 – El Payasito (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Nothingbutjustice (8/1), 10 – Silver Syon (20/1), 8 – Mommas Wish (20/1), 5 – Count The Cash (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-7-1-3-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-9-4-2-7-10-5-1-8 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 11 – Funs Lil Sis (3/1) |
| Place: | 6 – British Empress (9/5) |
| Show: | 7 – Super Costly (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Tiz Salty (12/1), 1 – Fawn Liebowitz (15/1), 12 – Collected Bond (20/1), 4 – Tarragon (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 – Flirtin Again (8/1), 2 – Patty's Girl (20/1), 8 – Nan O'hara (15/1), 13 – Long Tail Sally (15/1), 3 – Sunny's Flame (20/1), 9 – Dreaming Why (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 11-4-6-1-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-7-13-2-12-11-10-3-5-1-8-4-9 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 2 – Catatonic (3/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Cloudy Star (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Stanka (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Relentless Chick (6/1), 1 – Rockin Rocio (6/1), 8 – Smokinghot Justice (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Vortex Express (20/1), 7 – Chimes (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-4-1-5-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-2-3-8-1-5-7-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Slam Dunk Justice (5/2) |
| Place: | 8 – Mitch (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Ismybusiness (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Commander Storm (5/1), 7 – Stranger's Church (6/1), 4 – Neutron (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Mystik Justice (15/1), 3 – Good Civilian (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-8-4-7-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-4-8-2-5-6-7-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #8, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 3 – Forever Hope (3/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Tainted Justice (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Money Monday (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Unresponsive (7/2), 8 – Pro Fever (6/1), 6 – Dade County (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Johnny Ringo (15/1), 7 – Little Rock Jack (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-3-4-6-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-6-5-2-1-7-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 6 – Officer Gambill (5/2) |
| Place: | 11 – Captain Chaos (9/2) |
| Show: | 9 – Pray For Victory (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Dotties Blue Money (5/1), 8 – Unbridled Valor (12/1), 5 – Turbeau Man (15/1), 1 – Shaggyinthecity (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Crazy Legs Mike (20/1), 10 – Speightful Hero (20/1), 4 – Reachin Out (30/1), 7 – Favorite Star (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-9-3-11-5-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-9-11-5-8-3-1-2-10-4-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #11, #9, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Imallaboutthatbeat (15/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Ghost Story (10/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Moonshining Mama (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Red Clay Halo (12/1), 5 – Little Maite (7/2), 6 – Hoo's A Good Girl (6/1), 7 – Everyone Talks (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Isometric (9/2), 9 – Bertie's World (20/1), 10 – Miss Resilient (8/1), 11 – Miss Joan (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-7-2-5-4-8-1-3-6-11-9 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 1 – Pezzonovante (6/1) |
| Place: | 2 – He's A Charmer (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Roktar (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Handsome Jimmy (30/1), 5 – Serra (8/1), 6 – Thundertaker (20/1), 7 – Ando (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Fun Times Freddy (12/1), 9 – Night Watcher (15/1), 10 – Force Multiplier (30/1), 11 – Working For Glory (5/1), 12 – Golden Vale (20/1), 13 – Waittilnextyear (20/1), 14 – Kenwood Street (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-11-3-9-14-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-9-11-7-5-8-3-1-10-13-6-12-4-14 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 6 – Socorro's Prayer (7/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Rioja Alta (5/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Imminent Forecast (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Unattainable Love (8/1), 4 – Only God Knows (15/1), 2 – El Payasito (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Nothingbutjustice (8/1), 10 – Silver Syon (20/1), 8 – Mommas Wish (20/1), 5 – Count The Cash (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-7-1-3-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-9-4-2-7-10-5-1-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #7, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 11 – Funs Lil Sis (3/1) |
| Place: | 6 – British Empress (9/5) |
| Show: | 7 – Super Costly (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Tiz Salty (12/1), 1 – Fawn Liebowitz (15/1), 12 – Collected Bond (20/1), 4 – Tarragon (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Patty's Girl (20/1), 8 – Nan O'hara (15/1), 10 – Flirtin Again (8/1), 13 – Long Tail Sally (15/1), 3 – Sunny's Flame (20/1), 9 – Dreaming Why (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 11-4-6-1-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-7-13-2-12-11-10-3-5-1-8-4-9 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #11 over #6, #7, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.38 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 2 | 3 – Good Civilian | 20/1 | 28.0% | +499.0% | 5.00% | $5.00 |
| 6 | 9 – Night Watcher | 15/1 | 18.1% | +193.1% | 3.22% | $3.22 |
| 8 | 1 – Fawn Liebowitz | 15/1 | 15.8% | +155.8% | 2.60% | $2.60 |
| 8 | 5 – Tiz Salty | 12/1 | 18.1% | +137.8% | 2.87% | $2.87 |
| 1 | 6 – Vortex Express | 20/1 | 6.7% | +42.6% | 0.53% | $0.53 |
| 8 | 7 – Super Costly | 12/1 | 10.2% | +33.2% | 0.69% | $0.69 |
| 4 | 8 – Unbridled Valor | 12/1 | 10.0% | +31.1% | 0.65% | $0.65 |
| TOTAL across 7 plays: | 15.6% | $15.56 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Card
| AFTER SCHOOL | ANDO | BERTIE'S WORLD | BRITISH EMPRESS | CAPTAIN CHAOS |
| CHIMES | CIGARONTHEBEACH | CLOUDY STAR | COLLECTED BOND | COMMANDER STORM |
| COWGIRL BEACH | CRAZY LEGS MIKE | DADE COUNTY | DOTTIES BLUE MONEY | DREAMING WHY |
| EL PAYASITO | EVERYONE TALKS | FAVORITE STAR | FAWN LIEBOWITZ | FLIRTIN AGAIN |
| FOREVER HOPE | FULL BOOGIE | FUN TIMES FREDDY | FUNS LIL SIS | GHOST STORY |
| GOLDEN VALE | GOOD CIVILIAN | GRANO D ORO | HANDSOME JIMMY | HE'S A CHARMER |
| IMALLABOUTTHATBEAT | IMMINENT FORECAST | ISMYBUSINESS | ISOMETRIC | JLA HIDE THE SHINE |
| KENWOOD STREET | LITTLE MAITE | LITTLE ROCK JACK | LONG TAIL SALLY | MISS JOAN |
| MITCH | MOMMAS WISH | MONEY MONDAY | MOONSHINING MAMA | MYSTIK JUSTICE |
| NEUTRON | NIGHT WATCHER | NOTHINGBUTJUSTICE | OFFICER GAMBILL | ONE APOLLITICAL DASH |
| OUTLAW WOMAN | PATTY'S GIRL | PEZZONOVANTE | PRAY FOR VICTORY | PRO FEVER |
| RED CLAY HALO | RELENTLESS CHICK | RIOJA ALTA | ROCKIN ROCIO | ROKTAR |
| SHAGGYINTHECITY | SILVER SYON | SLAM DUNK JUSTICE | SMOKINGHOT JUSTICE | SOCORRO'S PRAYER |
| STANKA | STRANGER'S CHURCH | SUNNY'S FLAME | SUPER COSTLY | TAINTED JUSTICE |
| THUNDERTAKER | TIZ SALTY | TURBEAU MAN | UNATTAINABLE LOVE | UNBRIDLED VALOR |
| VORTEX EXPRESS | WAITTILNEXTYEAR | WATCH FOR ESTELA | WORKING FOR GLORY |
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