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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 3 – Pushing Through (8/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Co Heart (9/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Eloper (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Hyper Awakening (7/2), 6 – Impetus Echo (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Pearl Magic (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-4-1-3-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-5-6-4-1-2 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Skie's Music (3/1) |
| Place: | 6 – New Age Bad Girl (7/1) |
| Show: | 5 – My Lucky Deia (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Sparkleinyoureye (4/1), 9 – Dream Leader (10/1), 7 – Sufferin Succotash (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 – Pour Me A Drink (10/1), 8 – Xhilaratingpurpose (15/1), 3 – Good Holiday (9/2), 4 – Love Of Grace (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-5-1-2-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-9-8-5-10-6-7-2-3-4 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 9 – Westhampton (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Hot Wings (4/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Change At Jamaica (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Judge Rules (15/1), 10 – Transactional (5/1), 6 – Good Point (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Mo Caliente (15/1), 3 – Ghostlyprince (20/1), 5 – Analyst (7/1), 4 – Bossme (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-9-1-7-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-8-2-7-1-6-4-5-10-3 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 8 – Collected Mist (5/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Charthena (20/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Brand New Dance (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Gorda (6/1), 10 – Continue (5/1), 4 – Lucky And Pretty (9/1), 1 – Shoppingatbloomies (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Mo Breezy (12/1), 9 – Cajun Prime (20/1), 11 – Princess Ewuana (15/1), 12 – Brahmastra (30/1), 6 – Eloquent Storm (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-3-1-7-2-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-4-1-7-2-3-11-6-10-5-9-12 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 8 – Tiger Division (3/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Fiamma (7/2) |
| Show: | 11 – Diferencia (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Good Enough For Me (9/2), 12 – Early Delivery (9/2), 10 – Sister Sola (4/1), 3 – Machen Reigns (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Aurora's Music (8/1), 6 – Sip'n' Speed (15/1), 2 – Black Bety (15/1), 9 – Snatched (12/1), 1 – Joys Of Summer (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-3-2-9-5-12 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-5-4-6-11-9-3-7-10-2-12-1 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 8 – Carlotuk (7/2) |
| Place: | 6 – I'm On Edge (3/1) |
| Show: | 7 – The Shoe Lady (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Best Virginia (4/1), 2 – Handle On You (8/1), 3 – Bank Buster (9/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Myra Fleener (6/1), 10 – Save The Flag (15/1), 1 – Morning Holiday (20/1), 9 – Repaynt (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-4-6-3-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-3-7-10-9-8-4-5-1 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 5 – Irish Heatwave (9/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Rescue Five (4/1) |
| Show: | 8 – You Are Awesome (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Crafty Conquest (5/1), 6 – Southern Sense (6/1), 7 – Jonny Quist (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Moving Pictures (7/1), 2 – Gilligan (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-8-4-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-7-5-4-3-1-6-2 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 6 – If I Were You (7/2) |
| Place: | 7 – Krug (4/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Shiva (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Beachwalker (5/1), 8 – Train And Trust (6/1), 5 – R Cardinal Prince (7/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – My Two Aunt Joans (8/1), 1 – Strike The Top (15/1), 9 – New Commission (20/1), 10 – Cold Plunge (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-7-6-2-3-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-2-6-1-7-3-5-8-10-9 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 3 – Pushing Through (8/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Eloper (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Hyper Awakening (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Co Heart (9/2), 6 – Impetus Echo (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Pearl Magic (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-1-5-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-5-6-4-1-2 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Skie's Music (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Sparkleinyoureye (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 – My Lucky Deia (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – New Age Bad Girl (7/1), 3 – Good Holiday (9/2), 9 – Dream Leader (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Love Of Grace (20/1), 10 – Pour Me A Drink (10/1), 8 – Xhilaratingpurpose (15/1), 7 – Sufferin Succotash (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-7-5-1-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-9-8-5-10-6-7-2-3-4 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 10 – Transactional (5/1) |
| Place: | 9 – Westhampton (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Hot Wings (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Change At Jamaica (9/2), 6 – Good Point (6/1), 5 – Analyst (7/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Judge Rules (15/1), 1 – Mo Caliente (15/1), 3 – Ghostlyprince (20/1), 4 – Bossme (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-9-6-10-1-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-8-2-7-1-6-4-5-10-3 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 2 – Charthena (20/1) |
| Place: | 10 – Continue (5/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Collected Mist (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Brand New Dance (9/2), 5 – Gorda (6/1), 1 – Shoppingatbloomies (8/1), 4 – Lucky And Pretty (9/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Mo Breezy (12/1), 11 – Princess Ewuana (15/1), 6 – Eloquent Storm (15/1), 9 – Cajun Prime (20/1), 12 – Brahmastra (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-2-3-1-7-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-4-1-7-2-3-11-6-10-5-9-12 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 8 – Tiger Division (3/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Fiamma (7/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Good Enough For Me (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 10 – Sister Sola (4/1), 12 – Early Delivery (9/2), 11 – Diferencia (5/1), 5 – Aurora's Music (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Sip'n' Speed (15/1), 9 – Snatched (12/1), 1 – Joys Of Summer (20/1), 3 – Machen Reigns (10/1), 2 – Black Bety (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-3-2-9-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-5-4-6-11-9-3-7-10-2-12-1 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 8 – Carlotuk (7/2) |
| Place: | 6 – I'm On Edge (3/1) |
| Show: | 7 – The Shoe Lady (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Bank Buster (9/1), 4 – Best Virginia (4/1), 2 – Handle On You (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Myra Fleener (6/1), 10 – Save The Flag (15/1), 1 – Morning Holiday (20/1), 9 – Repaynt (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-6-3-4-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-3-7-10-9-8-4-5-1 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 4 – Rescue Five (4/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Jonny Quist (15/1) |
| Show: | 8 – You Are Awesome (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Crafty Conquest (5/1), 5 – Irish Heatwave (9/2), 6 – Southern Sense (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Moving Pictures (7/1), 2 – Gilligan (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-4-8-7-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-7-5-4-3-1-6-2 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 6 – If I Were You (7/2) |
| Place: | 7 – Krug (4/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Shiva (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Beachwalker (5/1), 5 – R Cardinal Prince (7/1), 8 – Train And Trust (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – My Two Aunt Joans (8/1), 1 – Strike The Top (15/1), 9 – New Commission (20/1), 10 – Cold Plunge (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-8-2-3-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-2-6-1-7-3-5-8-10-9 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 3 – Pushing Through (8/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Eloper (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Hyper Awakening (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Co Heart (9/2), 6 – Impetus Echo (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Pearl Magic (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-1-5-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-5-6-4-1-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 1 – Skie's Music (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Sparkleinyoureye (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 – My Lucky Deia (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – New Age Bad Girl (7/1), 3 – Good Holiday (9/2), 9 – Dream Leader (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Love Of Grace (20/1), 10 – Pour Me A Drink (10/1), 8 – Xhilaratingpurpose (15/1), 7 – Sufferin Succotash (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-7-5-1-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-9-8-5-10-6-7-2-3-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 10 – Transactional (5/1) |
| Place: | 9 – Westhampton (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Hot Wings (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Change At Jamaica (9/2), 6 – Good Point (6/1), 5 – Analyst (7/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Mo Caliente (15/1), 7 – Judge Rules (15/1), 3 – Ghostlyprince (20/1), 4 – Bossme (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-9-6-10-1-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-8-2-7-1-6-4-5-10-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #9, #2, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 10 – Continue (5/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Charthena (20/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Collected Mist (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Brand New Dance (9/2), 5 – Gorda (6/1), 1 – Shoppingatbloomies (8/1), 4 – Lucky And Pretty (9/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Mo Breezy (12/1), 11 – Princess Ewuana (15/1), 6 – Eloquent Storm (15/1), 9 – Cajun Prime (20/1), 12 – Brahmastra (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-3-2-1-7-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-4-1-7-2-3-11-6-10-5-9-12 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #2, #8, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 8 – Tiger Division (3/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Fiamma (7/2) |
| Show: | 10 – Sister Sola (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Good Enough For Me (9/2), 12 – Early Delivery (9/2), 11 – Diferencia (5/1), 5 – Aurora's Music (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Sip'n' Speed (15/1), 9 – Snatched (12/1), 3 – Machen Reigns (10/1), 1 – Joys Of Summer (20/1), 2 – Black Bety (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10-3-2-4-9-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-5-4-6-11-9-3-7-10-2-12-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #10, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 8 – Carlotuk (7/2) |
| Place: | 6 – I'm On Edge (3/1) |
| Show: | 7 – The Shoe Lady (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Bank Buster (9/1), 4 – Best Virginia (4/1), 2 – Handle On You (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Myra Fleener (6/1), 10 – Save The Flag (15/1), 1 – Morning Holiday (20/1), 9 – Repaynt (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-6-3-4-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-3-7-10-9-8-4-5-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #6, #7, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 4 – Rescue Five (4/1) |
| Place: | 8 – You Are Awesome (5/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Jonny Quist (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Crafty Conquest (5/1), 5 – Irish Heatwave (9/2), 6 – Southern Sense (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Moving Pictures (7/1), 2 – Gilligan (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-4-8-7-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-7-5-4-3-1-6-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #8, #7, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 6 – If I Were You (7/2) |
| Place: | 7 – Krug (4/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Shiva (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Beachwalker (5/1), 5 – R Cardinal Prince (7/1), 8 – Train And Trust (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – My Two Aunt Joans (8/1), 1 – Strike The Top (15/1), 9 – New Commission (20/1), 10 – Cold Plunge (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-6-8-2-3-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-2-6-1-7-3-5-8-10-9 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.35 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 8 | 9 – New Commission | 20/1 | 21.4% | +331.1% | 4.14% | $4.14 |
| 3 | 1 – Mo Caliente | 15/1 | 11.1% | +73.2% | 1.22% | $1.22 |
| 4 | 11 – Princess Ewuana | 15/1 | 11.1% | +73.2% | 1.22% | $1.22 |
| 5 | 2 – Black Bety | 15/1 | 11.1% | +73.2% | 1.22% | $1.22 |
| 7 | 7 – Jonny Quist | 15/1 | 11.1% | +73.2% | 1.22% | $1.22 |
| 2 | 4 – Love Of Grace | 20/1 | 6.9% | +41.9% | 0.52% | $0.52 |
| 4 | 2 – Charthena | 20/1 | 6.9% | +41.9% | 0.52% | $0.52 |
| 3 | 7 – Judge Rules | 15/1 | 6.9% | +10.6% | 0.18% | $0.18 |
| TOTAL across 8 plays: | 10.2% | $10.24 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Card
| ANALYST | AURORA'S MUSIC | BANK BUSTER | BEACHWALKER | BEST VIRGINIA |
| BOSSME | BRAHMASTRA | BRAND NEW DANCE | CAJUN PRIME | CARLOTUK |
| CHARTHENA | CO HEART | COLD PLUNGE | COLLECTED MIST | CONTINUE |
| DIFERENCIA | DREAM LEADER | EARLY DELIVERY | ELOPER | ELOQUENT STORM |
| GHOSTLYPRINCE | GILLIGAN | GOOD ENOUGH FOR ME | GOOD HOLIDAY | GOOD POINT |
| HANDLE ON YOU | HOT WINGS | HYPER AWAKENING | I'M ON EDGE | IF I WERE YOU |
| IRISH HEATWAVE | JONNY QUIST | JOYS OF SUMMER | JUDGE RULES | KRUG |
| LUCKY AND PRETTY | MACHEN REIGNS | MO BREEZY | MO CALIENTE | MORNING HOLIDAY |
| MY LUCKY DEIA | MY TWO AUNT JOANS | MYRA FLEENER | NEW AGE BAD GIRL | NEW COMMISSION |
| POUR ME A DRINK | PRINCESS EWUANA | PUSHING THROUGH | R CARDINAL PRINCE | REPAYNT |
| SAVE THE FLAG | SHIVA | SHOPPINGATBLOOMIES | SIP'N' SPEED | SISTER SOLA |
| SNATCHED | SOUTHERN SENSE | SPARKLEINYOUREYE | STRIKE THE TOP | SUFFERIN SUCCOTASH |
| TIGER DIVISION | TRAIN AND TRUST | TRANSACTIONAL | WESTHAMPTON | XHILARATINGPURPOSE |
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