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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 5 – Wedelia (7/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Maria Louise (9/5) |
| Show: | 6 – Slow Kara (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Noble Glow (5/1), 7 – Empress New Groove (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Miss Twitter (8/1), 2 – Reconnected (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-6-1-7-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-6-7-4-1-2 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 4 – Abrigado (1/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Draft Riots (5/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Implacable (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Gitole (20/1), 6 – Lough Currane (15/1), 2 – Camino (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – It's Banksy (8/1), 8 – Violin (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-7-3-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-2-6-5-1-8-7 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 6 – Sharons Beach (8/5) |
| Place: | 7 – Ramajay (5/2) |
| Show: | 8 – Imagine John (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – First Blessing (8/1), 1 – Mr. Hooligan (8/1), 3 – Unauthorized (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Neigh Baby (10/1), 5 – Life Is Gravy (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-8-1-3-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-7-1-4-2-3-5-8 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 9 – Music In Motion (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – True Legend (3/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Hot Off The Beach (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Sultan Hassan (7/2), 8 – Story Of Rory (9/2), 2 – Sir Walta (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Daisy Doo (6/1), 1 – Sweetnessthrtyfour (8/1), 4 – Strobe Light (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-5-8-9-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-6-1-7-5-8-3-2-4 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Jarndyce (12/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Force Of Mischief (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Chaumet (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Italianne (5/1), 5 – Addagirl Addie (15/1), 6 – Not Tapping (6/1), 7 – Amicus Curiae (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Mia Sophia (20/1), 9 – Bernina Express (9/2), 10 – Luciana's Honor (20/1), 11 – Sunshine Dakotah (12/1), 12 – Jayme's Turn (4/1), 13 – My Devine One (20/1), 14 – San Antonio Sara (2/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-10-2-8-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 14-7-11-2-12-9-5-1-13-3-4-6-10-8 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 4 – Chief Wallabee (4/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Blackout Time (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Zihnal (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Sea Strike (6/1), 5 – Tiernanogue (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Gulfy (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-6-5-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-2-5-3-6 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 5 – Serendipity (5/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Time To Dream (3/1) |
| Show: | 10 – Pronghorn (8/5) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Purloin (4/1), 1 – Tirupati (9/2), 8 – Unreasonable (5/1), 7 – Ontario (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 11 – Boxed Wine (8/1), 4 – Relaxx (6/1), 6 – Power Of Destiny (8/1), 2 – Flowers For Me (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-10-3-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-5-3-6-11-7-1-9-2-8-4 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 13 – Chris's Song (5/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Rossbeigh (7/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Classic Commander (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Beau Cheval (8/1), 8 – Big Frosty (6/1), 9 – Bourboncentric (8/1), 3 – Jack's Mac (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 – Vitalize (15/1), 12 – Portadown Lad (20/1), 14 – True Adirondacker (12/1), 1 – Wazey's Charm (8/1), 2 – Nonno Joe (20/1), 11 – Berman (20/1), 6 – Sunshine Bobalou (50/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 12-2-10-4-13-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 13-7-5-9-10-4-1-3-8-14-2-12-11-6 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 5 – Wedelia (7/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Maria Louise (9/5) |
| Show: | 1 – Noble Glow (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Slow Kara (8/1), 4 – Miss Twitter (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Empress New Groove (12/1), 2 – Reconnected (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-1-6-4-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-6-7-4-1-2 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 4 – Abrigado (1/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Draft Riots (5/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Implacable (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Gitole (20/1), 5 – It's Banksy (8/1), 2 – Camino (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Lough Currane (15/1), 8 – Violin (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-7-3-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-2-6-5-1-8-7 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 7 – Ramajay (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Sharons Beach (8/5) |
| Show: | 8 – Imagine John (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Mr. Hooligan (8/1), 2 – Neigh Baby (10/1), 4 – First Blessing (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Life Is Gravy (12/1), 3 – Unauthorized (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-8-1-6-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-7-1-4-2-3-5-8 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 9 – Music In Motion (2/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Hot Off The Beach (4/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Story Of Rory (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – True Legend (3/1), 2 – Sir Walta (6/1), 3 – Daisy Doo (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Sultan Hassan (7/2), 1 – Sweetnessthrtyfour (8/1), 4 – Strobe Light (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-5-8-9-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-6-1-7-5-8-3-2-4 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Jarndyce (12/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Force Of Mischief (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Chaumet (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Italianne (5/1), 5 – Addagirl Addie (15/1), 6 – Not Tapping (6/1), 7 – Amicus Curiae (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Mia Sophia (20/1), 9 – Bernina Express (9/2), 10 – Luciana's Honor (20/1), 11 – Sunshine Dakotah (12/1), 12 – Jayme's Turn (4/1), 13 – My Devine One (20/1), 14 – San Antonio Sara (2/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-10-2-8-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 14-7-11-2-12-9-5-1-13-3-4-6-10-8 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 4 – Chief Wallabee (4/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Blackout Time (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Zihnal (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Sea Strike (6/1), 2 – Gulfy (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Tiernanogue (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-6-3-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-2-5-3-6 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 10 – Pronghorn (8/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Serendipity (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Time To Dream (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Purloin (4/1), 8 – Unreasonable (5/1), 7 – Ontario (10/1), 6 – Power Of Destiny (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Tirupati (9/2), 4 – Relaxx (6/1), 11 – Boxed Wine (8/1), 2 – Flowers For Me (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-10-3-8-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-5-3-6-11-7-1-9-2-8-4 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 13 – Chris's Song (5/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Rossbeigh (7/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Classic Commander (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Jack's Mac (5/1), 8 – Big Frosty (6/1), 7 – Beau Cheval (8/1), 9 – Bourboncentric (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Wazey's Charm (8/1), 10 – Vitalize (15/1), 12 – Portadown Lad (20/1), 14 – True Adirondacker (12/1), 11 – Berman (20/1), 2 – Nonno Joe (20/1), 6 – Sunshine Bobalou (50/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 12-13-4-10-2-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 13-7-5-9-10-4-1-3-8-14-2-12-11-6 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 5 – Wedelia (7/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Maria Louise (9/5) |
| Show: | 1 – Noble Glow (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Miss Twitter (8/1), 6 – Slow Kara (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Empress New Groove (12/1), 2 – Reconnected (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-1-4-6-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-6-7-4-1-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #3, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 4 – Abrigado (1/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Implacable (5/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Draft Riots (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Gitole (20/1), 5 – It's Banksy (8/1), 2 – Camino (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Lough Currane (15/1), 8 – Violin (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-7-3-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-2-6-5-1-8-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #7, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 7 – Ramajay (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Sharons Beach (8/5) |
| Show: | 8 – Imagine John (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Mr. Hooligan (8/1), 2 – Neigh Baby (10/1), 4 – First Blessing (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Life Is Gravy (12/1), 3 – Unauthorized (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-8-1-6-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-7-1-4-2-3-5-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #6, #8, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 9 – Music In Motion (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – True Legend (3/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Hot Off The Beach (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Story Of Rory (9/2), 5 – Sultan Hassan (7/2), 2 – Sir Walta (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Daisy Doo (6/1), 1 – Sweetnessthrtyfour (8/1), 4 – Strobe Light (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-4-5-8-9-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 9-6-1-7-5-8-3-2-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #6, #7, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 1 – Jarndyce (12/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Force Of Mischief (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Chaumet (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Italianne (5/1), 5 – Addagirl Addie (15/1), 6 – Not Tapping (6/1), 7 – Amicus Curiae (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Mia Sophia (20/1), 9 – Bernina Express (9/2), 10 – Luciana's Honor (20/1), 11 – Sunshine Dakotah (12/1), 12 – Jayme's Turn (4/1), 13 – My Devine One (20/1), 14 – San Antonio Sara (2/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-10-2-8-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 14-7-11-2-12-9-5-1-13-3-4-6-10-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 4 – Chief Wallabee (4/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Blackout Time (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Zihnal (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Sea Strike (6/1), 2 – Gulfy (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Tiernanogue (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-6-3-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-1-2-5-3-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 10 – Pronghorn (8/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Serendipity (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Time To Dream (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Purloin (4/1), 8 – Unreasonable (5/1), 6 – Power Of Destiny (8/1), 7 – Ontario (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Tirupati (9/2), 4 – Relaxx (6/1), 11 – Boxed Wine (8/1), 2 – Flowers For Me (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-10-3-8-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 10-5-3-6-11-7-1-9-2-8-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #5, #3, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 13 – Chris's Song (5/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Rossbeigh (7/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Classic Commander (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Jack's Mac (5/1), 8 – Big Frosty (6/1), 7 – Beau Cheval (8/1), 9 – Bourboncentric (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Wazey's Charm (8/1), 10 – Vitalize (15/1), 12 – Portadown Lad (20/1), 14 – True Adirondacker (12/1), 11 – Berman (20/1), 2 – Nonno Joe (20/1), 6 – Sunshine Bobalou (50/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 12-13-4-10-2-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 13-7-5-9-10-4-1-3-8-14-2-12-11-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #13 over #5, #4, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) ⭐ Best Bet race | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.41 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.95 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 8 | 10 – Vitalize | 15/1 | 11.1% | +79.9% | 1.33% | $1.33 |
| 8 | 11 – Berman | 20/1 | 6.9% | +45.7% | 0.57% | $0.57 |
| 8 | 12 – Portadown Lad | 20/1 | 6.9% | +45.7% | 0.57% | $0.57 |
| TOTAL across 3 plays: | 2.5% | $2.48 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Card
| ABRIGADO | ADDAGIRL ADDIE | AMICUS CURIAE | BEAU CHEVAL | BERMAN |
| BIG FROSTY | BLACKOUT TIME | BOURBONCENTRIC | BOXED WINE | CAMINO |
| CHIEF WALLABEE | CHRIS'S SONG | CLASSIC COMMANDER | DAISY DOO | DRAFT RIOTS |
| FIRST BLESSING | FLOWERS FOR ME | FORCE OF MISCHIEF | GITOLE | GULFY |
| IMAGINE JOHN | IMPLACABLE | IT'S BANKSY | ITALIANNE | JACK'S MAC |
| JAYME'S TURN | LIFE IS GRAVY | LOUGH CURRANE | LUCIANA'S HONOR | MARIA LOUISE |
| MISS TWITTER | MR. HOOLIGAN | MUSIC IN MOTION | MY DEVINE ONE | NEIGH BABY |
| NONNO JOE | NOT TAPPING | ONTARIO | PORTADOWN LAD | POWER OF DESTINY |
| PURLOIN | RAMAJAY | RECONNECTED | RELAXX | ROSSBEIGH |
| SEA STRIKE | SERENDIPITY | SHARONS BEACH | SIR WALTA | SLOW KARA |
| STROBE LIGHT | SULTAN HASSAN | SUNSHINE BOBALOU | SUNSHINE DAKOTAH | SWEETNESSTHRTYFOUR |
| TIME TO DREAM | TIRUPATI | TRUE ADIRONDACKER | TRUE LEGEND | UNAUTHORIZED |
| VIOLIN | VITALIZE | WAZEY'S CHARM | WEDELIA | ZIHNAL |
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