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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 1 – Zephyrina (6/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Frazil (5/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Mightystrongchance (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Sisu Spirit (5/2), 5 – Queen Of Woodbine (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Bourbonfordessert (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-6-5-2-1 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 6 – Fresh Out (1/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Lucky Tin Tin (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Quibble (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Margaret P (6/1), 1 – Country Economics (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Tea Rose (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-5-1-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-1-4-3-5 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 7 – Mary's Gunna Run (2/1) |
| Place: | 8 – Cherokee Purple (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – By Her Decree (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Dance To Glory (9/2), 1 – A La Mode (6/1), 2 – Princess Chanty (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Amavida (30/1), 9 – Meas Mor (20/1), 6 – Chica Feliz (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-8-3-5-1-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-8-2-3-1-5-9-6-4 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Sister Jean (7/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Baffle (5/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Pomerance (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Crawford (5/1), 1 – Tejanita (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Bon Vivant (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-3-6-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-6-1-2-4-3 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 5 – Goal (5/2) |
| Place: | 11 – Yo Adrian (9/2) |
| Show: | 9 – Cash Machine (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Nattie's Boss (3/1), 7 – U Ain't That Lucky (5/1), 1 – Spotlight Girl (20/1), 10 – Orquidea Real (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Little Carley (30/1), 3 – Let Her Pass By (15/1), 4 – Tiz A Princess (15/1), 8 – Derby Effort (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-11-9-10-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-9-11-7-3-4-10-1-8-6 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 2 – Munny Problem (7/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Barbados Buzz (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Easy Pick (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Thunder Zeus (4/1), 8 – E Z Shopping (6/1), 6 – Sam's Honor (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Lion Guard (30/1), 4 – Fanti (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-4-8-6-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-6-5-3-4-7-8 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 6 – Bushido (2/1) |
| Place: | 8 – Petcoff (5/2) |
| Show: | 9 – Cactus (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Boat's A Rockin (10/1), 2 – Uncle Dar (12/1), 1 – Incinerator (8/1), 7 – Alexis Zorba (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 11 – Saint In The City (15/1), 3 – Jungle Glow (15/1), 10 – Street Earnings (15/1), 13 – Kohoutek (20/1), 12 – Shinigami (15/1), 5 – Watch Out World (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-13-3-1-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-6-1-4-7-2-10-11-12-3-9-13-5 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 1 – Noquestionaboutit (5/2) |
| Place: | 9 – Life's Dynamic (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Glean (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Love Actually (6/1), 8 – Everyday's A Bonus (5/1), 3 – Aldene (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Chantico (12/1), 7 – Sin Boldly (15/1), 4 – Hurrah (30/1), 10 – Fluffy (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-7-2-3-4-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-9-5-7-6-2-8-4-10 | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 3 – Miss Picky (9/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Connect The Stars (4/1) |
| Show: | 6 – That Wasn't Me (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – In Her Glory (10/1), 10 – Athenix (10/1), 13 – Forget About You (2/1), 7 – Fond Of You (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Tiz The Lady (15/1), 12 – Belle Of The Barn (12/1), 8 – Belle Of Liberty (30/1), 11 – Courageous Diane (30/1), 5 – My Lady Jbella (30/1), 2 – Au Courant (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-8-9-1-4-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 13-6-4-10-1-9-12-3-7-5-8-2-11 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 1 – Zephyrina (6/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Frazil (5/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Mightystrongchance (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Sisu Spirit (5/2), 5 – Queen Of Woodbine (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Bourbonfordessert (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-6-5-2-1 | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 6 – Fresh Out (1/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Lucky Tin Tin (5/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Margaret P (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Quibble (7/2), 1 – Country Economics (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Tea Rose (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-2-5-1-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-1-4-3-5 | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 7 – Mary's Gunna Run (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Dance To Glory (9/2) |
| Show: | 8 – Cherokee Purple (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – By Her Decree (9/2), 1 – A La Mode (6/1), 2 – Princess Chanty (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Meas Mor (20/1), 6 – Chica Feliz (30/1), 4 – Amavida (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-5-8-3-1-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-8-2-3-1-5-9-6-4 | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Sister Jean (7/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Pomerance (4/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Baffle (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Tejanita (7/2), 3 – Crawford (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Bon Vivant (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-1-3-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-6-1-2-4-3 | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 11 – Yo Adrian (9/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Goal (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Spotlight Girl (20/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Nattie's Boss (3/1), 7 – U Ain't That Lucky (5/1), 9 – Cash Machine (8/1), 10 – Orquidea Real (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Let Her Pass By (15/1), 4 – Tiz A Princess (15/1), 8 – Derby Effort (30/1), 6 – Little Carley (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-11-10-9-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-9-11-7-3-4-10-1-8-6 | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 2 – Munny Problem (7/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Thunder Zeus (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Easy Pick (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Barbados Buzz (4/1), 8 – E Z Shopping (6/1), 6 – Sam's Honor (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Fanti (20/1), 7 – Lion Guard (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-4-8-6-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-6-5-3-4-7-8 | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 8 – Petcoff (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Bushido (2/1) |
| Show: | 9 – Cactus (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 11 – Saint In The City (15/1), 4 – Boat's A Rockin (10/1), 2 – Uncle Dar (12/1), 12 – Shinigami (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 – Street Earnings (15/1), 7 – Alexis Zorba (12/1), 3 – Jungle Glow (15/1), 13 – Kohoutek (20/1), 1 – Incinerator (8/1), 5 – Watch Out World (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-13-3-2-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-6-1-4-7-2-10-11-12-3-9-13-5 | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 1 – Noquestionaboutit (5/2) |
| Place: | 9 – Life's Dynamic (7/2) |
| Show: | 8 – Everyday's A Bonus (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Love Actually (6/1), 6 – Glean (6/1), 3 – Aldene (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Chantico (12/1), 7 – Sin Boldly (15/1), 4 – Hurrah (30/1), 10 – Fluffy (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-7-2-3-9-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-9-5-7-6-2-8-4-10 | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 3 – Miss Picky (9/2) |
| Place: | 13 – Forget About You (2/1) |
| Show: | 6 – That Wasn't Me (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Connect The Stars (4/1), 7 – Fond Of You (6/1), 10 – Athenix (10/1), 4 – In Her Glory (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 12 – Belle Of The Barn (12/1), 9 – Tiz The Lady (15/1), 8 – Belle Of Liberty (30/1), 2 – Au Courant (30/1), 11 – Courageous Diane (30/1), 5 – My Lady Jbella (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-8-1-9-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 13-6-4-10-1-9-12-3-7-5-8-2-11 | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3
| Race 1 | |
| Win: | 1 – Zephyrina (6/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Frazil (5/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Mightystrongchance (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Sisu Spirit (5/2), 5 – Queen Of Woodbine (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Bourbonfordessert (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-6-5-2-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 | |
| Win: | 6 – Fresh Out (1/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Lucky Tin Tin (5/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Margaret P (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Quibble (7/2), 1 – Country Economics (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Tea Rose (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-3-5-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-1-4-3-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 | |
| Win: | 7 – Mary's Gunna Run (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Dance To Glory (9/2) |
| Show: | 8 – Cherokee Purple (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – By Her Decree (9/2), 1 – A La Mode (6/1), 2 – Princess Chanty (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Meas Mor (20/1), 6 – Chica Feliz (30/1), 4 – Amavida (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-5-8-3-1-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-8-2-3-1-5-9-6-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #5, #8, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 | |
| Win: | 5 – Sister Jean (7/5) |
| Place: | 2 – Pomerance (4/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Baffle (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Tejanita (7/2), 3 – Crawford (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Bon Vivant (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-1-3-6-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-6-1-2-4-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 | |
| Win: | 11 – Yo Adrian (9/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Goal (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Nattie's Boss (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Spotlight Girl (20/1), 7 – U Ain't That Lucky (5/1), 9 – Cash Machine (8/1), 10 – Orquidea Real (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Let Her Pass By (15/1), 4 – Tiz A Princess (15/1), 8 – Derby Effort (30/1), 6 – Little Carley (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-11-10-9-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-2-9-11-7-3-4-10-1-8-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #11 over #5, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 | |
| Win: | 2 – Munny Problem (7/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Barbados Buzz (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Thunder Zeus (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Easy Pick (5/1), 8 – E Z Shopping (6/1), 6 – Sam's Honor (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Fanti (20/1), 7 – Lion Guard (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-8-4-6-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-6-5-3-4-7-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 | |
| Win: | 8 – Petcoff (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Bushido (2/1) |
| Show: | 9 – Cactus (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 11 – Saint In The City (15/1), 2 – Uncle Dar (12/1), 4 – Boat's A Rockin (10/1), 12 – Shinigami (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 10 – Street Earnings (15/1), 3 – Jungle Glow (15/1), 7 – Alexis Zorba (12/1), 13 – Kohoutek (20/1), 1 – Incinerator (8/1), 5 – Watch Out World (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-3-13-2-11 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-6-1-4-7-2-10-11-12-3-9-13-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #6, #9, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 | |
| Win: | 1 – Noquestionaboutit (5/2) |
| Place: | 9 – Life's Dynamic (7/2) |
| Show: | 8 – Everyday's A Bonus (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Love Actually (6/1), 3 – Aldene (8/1), 6 – Glean (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Chantico (12/1), 7 – Sin Boldly (15/1), 4 – Hurrah (30/1), 10 – Fluffy (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-7-2-3-9-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-9-5-7-6-2-8-4-10 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #9, #8, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 | |
| Win: | 3 – Miss Picky (9/2) |
| Place: | 13 – Forget About You (2/1) |
| Show: | 6 – That Wasn't Me (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Connect The Stars (4/1), 7 – Fond Of You (6/1), 10 – Athenix (10/1), 4 – In Her Glory (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 12 – Belle Of The Barn (12/1), 9 – Tiz The Lady (15/1), 8 – Belle Of Liberty (30/1), 2 – Au Courant (30/1), 5 – My Lady Jbella (30/1), 11 – Courageous Diane (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-8-1-9-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 13-6-4-10-1-9-12-3-7-5-8-2-11 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #13, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settings |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Plays
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.43 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.80 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 3 | 9 – Meas Mor | 20/1 | 21.4% | +313.7% | 3.92% | $3.92 |
| 5 | 10 – Orquidea Real | 20/1 | 21.4% | +313.7% | 3.92% | $3.92 |
| 4 | 6 – Bon Vivant | 10/1 | 17.4% | +82.5% | 2.06% | $2.06 |
| 9 | 10 – Athenix | 10/1 | 17.4% | +82.5% | 2.06% | $2.06 |
| 7 | 11 – Saint In The City | 15/1 | 11.1% | +69.4% | 1.16% | $1.16 |
| 9 | 9 – Tiz The Lady | 15/1 | 8.2% | +28.3% | 0.47% | $0.47 |
| TOTAL across 6 plays: | 13.6% | $13.60 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Card
| A LA MODE | ALDENE | ALEXIS ZORBA | AMAVIDA | ATHENIX |
| BAFFLE | BARBADOS BUZZ | BELLE OF LIBERTY | BELLE OF THE BARN | BOAT'S A ROCKIN |
| BOURBONFORDESSERT | BUSHIDO | BY HER DECREE | CACTUS | CASH MACHINE |
| CHEROKEE PURPLE | CHICA FELIZ | CONNECT THE STARS | COUNTRY ECONOMICS | COURAGEOUS DIANE |
| DANCE TO GLORY | DERBY EFFORT | E Z SHOPPING | EASY PICK | EVERYDAY'S A BONUS |
| FLUFFY | FOND OF YOU | FORGET ABOUT YOU | FRAZIL | FRESH OUT |
| GOAL | HURRAH | IN HER GLORY | INCINERATOR | JUNGLE GLOW |
| LET HER PASS BY | LIFE'S DYNAMIC | LION GUARD | LITTLE CARLEY | LOVE ACTUALLY |
| MARGARET P | MARY'S GUNNA RUN | MEAS MOR | MIGHTYSTRONGCHANCE | MISS PICKY |
| MY LADY JBELLA | NATTIE'S BOSS | NOQUESTIONABOUTIT | ORQUIDEA REAL | PETCOFF |
| PRINCESS CHANTY | QUEEN OF WOODBINE | QUIBBLE | SAINT IN THE CITY | SAM'S HONOR |
| SIN BOLDLY | SISTER JEAN | SISU SPIRIT | SPOTLIGHT GIRL | STREET EARNINGS |
| TEJANITA | THAT WASN'T ME | THUNDER ZEUS | TIZ A PRINCESS | TIZ THE LADY |
| UNCLE DAR | WATCH OUT WORLD | YO ADRIAN | ZEPHYRINA |
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