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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1ⓘ
| Race 1 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $14,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Up On The Rock (3/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Mr Skinny (8/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Driven By Magic (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Soo Handsome (4/1), 5 – Bodine (8/1), 1 – Treasure Our Time (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Over Imagination (12/1), 6 – Bukovel (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-8-2-3-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-1-4-7-6-8-3 | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 8 – Dine And Dash (3/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Magnolia Wind (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Peak Of Chic (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Infastuation (6/1), 6 – True Sunshine (8/1), 1 – Gia's Fuego (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – So Swell (12/1), 7 – Mabee Luckynwild (20/1), 9 – Coal Mine (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-2-5-3-6-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-5-6-4-1-2-3-7-9 | |
| Race 3 1-70 Miles · Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $22,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – Minari (4/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Chicken Parm (12/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Woodruff (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 11 – Eachpeachpearplum (6/1), 7 – Happy This Day (10/1), 2 – Shine On Moon (10/1), 6 – My Gal (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Risk And Regret (15/1), 12 – Granuaile (15/1), 3 – Hot Boss (20/1), 10 – My Little Wildcat (8/1), 8 – Spooky Gal (15/1), 13 – It's Hot In Here (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-12-6-3-13-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-1-8-5-10-12-13-9-2-3-6-11 | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $45,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Standish (10/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Momentous Affair (8/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Sister T (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Dream Eagle (2/1), 5 – Yo Philly (3/1), 6 – Keltic Fury (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Charmed Hour (5/1), 8 – Diamond Kane (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-5-6-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-2-6-1-3-8-7 | |
| Race 5 1-70 Miles · Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 6 – Freedom Glider (7/5) |
| Place: | 12 – Brewmaster (3/1) |
| Show: | 14 – Grey Biggsy (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10 – Rags To Lace (6/1), 3 – Royal Renegade (8/1), 4 – Thirty West (6/1), 15 – Oxford Union (6/1), 8 – Merging Traffic (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Ragman (12/1), 5 – Liberty Bay (10/1), 2 – Return Fire (12/1), 1 – Saratoga Cruiser (15/1), 7 – Real Men Violin (15/1), 11 – Muthabir (20/1), 13 – Guard Of Honour (20/1), 16 – Yercan Maro (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 16-14-4-15-6-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-14-12-5-7-2-1-9-8-13-15-16-4-11-10 | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Eyes On The Ground (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Couches Burning (3/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Sugar On Fire (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Freely Held (6/1), 3 – Lino's Fire (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Magic Bay (10/1), 7 – Good Willie (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-6-7-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-6-7-3-4-2-5 | |
| Race 7 7 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Nongraded Stake · Purse $75,000 | |
| Win: | 6 – Picture This (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Crabs N Beer (9/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Derbyness (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Smithwick's Spice (4/1), 5 – Sam Stormy (6/1), 9 – Thataway (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Understudy Kitty (10/1), 10 – Long Legged Luis (20/1), 2 – Babble (20/1), 7 – Magical Mondays (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-9-2-5-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-9-8-3-1-4-2-7-5-10 | |
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $15,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Mighty Lindsey (5/2) |
| Place: | 7 – The Great Maybe (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Lady Catalina (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – All I Do (6/1), 9 – Sweet Summer Love (10/1), 2 – Campaign Mischief (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Bulle Babe (10/1), 8 – English Elsa (8/1), 4 – Sweet And Feisty (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-7-9-3-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-8-3-2-6-9-5-4 | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2ⓘ
| Race 1 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $14,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Up On The Rock (3/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Mr Skinny (8/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Driven By Magic (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Soo Handsome (4/1), 5 – Bodine (8/1), 7 – Over Imagination (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Treasure Our Time (10/1), 6 – Bukovel (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-1-8-3-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-1-4-7-6-8-3 | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 8 – Dine And Dash (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Peak Of Chic (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Magnolia Wind (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Gia's Fuego (12/1), 6 – True Sunshine (8/1), 3 – Infastuation (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – So Swell (12/1), 7 – Mabee Luckynwild (20/1), 9 – Coal Mine (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-5-2-6-3-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-5-6-4-1-2-3-7-9 | |
| Race 3 1-70 Miles · Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $22,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Woodruff (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Minari (4/1) |
| Show: | 10 – My Little Wildcat (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Happy This Day (10/1), 2 – Shine On Moon (10/1), 11 – Eachpeachpearplum (6/1), 1 – Chicken Parm (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 12 – Granuaile (15/1), 6 – My Gal (20/1), 3 – Hot Boss (20/1), 9 – Risk And Regret (15/1), 8 – Spooky Gal (15/1), 13 – It's Hot In Here (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-12-4-6-3-13 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-1-8-5-10-12-13-9-2-3-6-11 | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $45,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Standish (10/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Momentous Affair (8/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Sister T (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Dream Eagle (2/1), 5 – Yo Philly (3/1), 6 – Keltic Fury (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Charmed Hour (5/1), 8 – Diamond Kane (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-5-6-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-2-6-1-3-8-7 | |
| Race 5 1-70 Miles · Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 6 – Freedom Glider (7/5) |
| Place: | 12 – Brewmaster (3/1) |
| Show: | 10 – Rags To Lace (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Royal Renegade (8/1), 5 – Liberty Bay (10/1), 8 – Merging Traffic (15/1), 14 – Grey Biggsy (8/1), 15 – Oxford Union (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Return Fire (12/1), 9 – Ragman (12/1), 1 – Saratoga Cruiser (15/1), 4 – Thirty West (6/1), 7 – Real Men Violin (15/1), 13 – Guard Of Honour (20/1), 11 – Muthabir (20/1), 16 – Yercan Maro (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 16-14-6-15-4-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-14-12-5-7-2-1-9-8-13-15-16-4-11-10 | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Eyes On The Ground (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Couches Burning (3/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Sugar On Fire (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Freely Held (6/1), 3 – Lino's Fire (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Magic Bay (10/1), 7 – Good Willie (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-6-4-5-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-6-7-3-4-2-5 | |
| Race 7 7 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Nongraded Stake · Purse $75,000 | |
| Win: | 6 – Picture This (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Derbyness (7/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Smithwick's Spice (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Crabs N Beer (9/2), 8 – Understudy Kitty (10/1), 5 – Sam Stormy (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Thataway (10/1), 10 – Long Legged Luis (20/1), 2 – Babble (20/1), 7 – Magical Mondays (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-7-5-2-6-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-9-8-3-1-4-2-7-5-10 | |
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $15,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Mighty Lindsey (5/2) |
| Place: | 7 – The Great Maybe (4/1) |
| Show: | 9 – Sweet Summer Love (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – All I Do (6/1), 3 – Lady Catalina (7/2), 5 – Bulle Babe (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – English Elsa (8/1), 4 – Sweet And Feisty (15/1), 2 – Campaign Mischief (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-9-7-6-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-8-3-2-6-9-5-4 | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3ⓘ
| Race 1 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $14,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Up On The Rock (3/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Mr Skinny (8/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Driven By Magic (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Soo Handsome (4/1), 5 – Bodine (8/1), 7 – Over Imagination (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Treasure Our Time (10/1), 6 – Bukovel (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-2-1-8-3-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-1-4-7-6-8-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #3, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 8 – Dine And Dash (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Peak Of Chic (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Magnolia Wind (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – True Sunshine (8/1), 3 – Infastuation (6/1), 1 – Gia's Fuego (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – So Swell (12/1), 7 – Mabee Luckynwild (20/1), 9 – Coal Mine (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-5-2-6-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-5-6-4-1-2-3-7-9 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #5, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) ⭐ Best Bet race | |
| Race 3 1-70 Miles · Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $22,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Woodruff (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Minari (4/1) |
| Show: | 10 – My Little Wildcat (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Shine On Moon (10/1), 7 – Happy This Day (10/1), 11 – Eachpeachpearplum (6/1), 12 – Granuaile (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Chicken Parm (12/1), 6 – My Gal (20/1), 3 – Hot Boss (20/1), 9 – Risk And Regret (15/1), 8 – Spooky Gal (15/1), 13 – It's Hot In Here (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-12-4-6-3-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-7-1-8-5-10-12-13-9-2-3-6-11 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #10, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $45,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Standish (10/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Momentous Affair (8/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Sister T (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Dream Eagle (2/1), 5 – Yo Philly (3/1), 6 – Keltic Fury (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Charmed Hour (5/1), 8 – Diamond Kane (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-5-6-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-5-2-6-1-3-8-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1-70 Miles · Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 6 – Freedom Glider (7/5) |
| Place: | 12 – Brewmaster (3/1) |
| Show: | 10 – Rags To Lace (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Royal Renegade (8/1), 14 – Grey Biggsy (8/1), 15 – Oxford Union (6/1), 5 – Liberty Bay (10/1), 8 – Merging Traffic (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Ragman (12/1), 2 – Return Fire (12/1), 4 – Thirty West (6/1), 1 – Saratoga Cruiser (15/1), 7 – Real Men Violin (15/1), 13 – Guard Of Honour (20/1), 11 – Muthabir (20/1), 16 – Yercan Maro (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 16-14-6-15-4-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-14-12-5-7-2-1-9-8-13-15-16-4-11-10 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #12, #10, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Eyes On The Ground (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Couches Burning (3/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Sugar On Fire (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Freely Held (6/1), 3 – Lino's Fire (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Magic Bay (10/1), 7 – Good Willie (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-6-4-5-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-6-7-3-4-2-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #4, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 7 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Nongraded Stake · Purse $75,000 | |
| Win: | 6 – Picture This (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Derbyness (7/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Smithwick's Spice (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Thataway (10/1), 1 – Crabs N Beer (9/2), 5 – Sam Stormy (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Understudy Kitty (10/1), 10 – Long Legged Luis (20/1), 2 – Babble (20/1), 7 – Magical Mondays (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-7-5-2-6-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-9-8-3-1-4-2-7-5-10 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #4, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $15,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Mighty Lindsey (5/2) |
| Place: | 7 – The Great Maybe (4/1) |
| Show: | 9 – Sweet Summer Love (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – All I Do (6/1), 3 – Lady Catalina (7/2), 5 – Bulle Babe (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – English Elsa (8/1), 4 – Sweet And Feisty (15/1), 2 – Campaign Mischief (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-9-7-6-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-7-8-3-2-6-9-5-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #7, #9, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Playsⓘ
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.37 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.88 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 2 | 7 – Mabee Luckynwild | 20/1 | 21.4% | +303.9% | 3.80% | $3.80 |
| 7 | 8 – Understudy Kitty | 10/1 | 17.4% | +79.9% | 2.00% | $2.00 |
| 7 | 9 – Thataway | 10/1 | 17.4% | +79.9% | 2.00% | $2.00 |
| 8 | 9 – Sweet Summer Love | 10/1 | 17.4% | +79.9% | 2.00% | $2.00 |
| TOTAL across 4 plays: | 9.8% | $9.79 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
| ALL I DO | BABBLE | BODINE | BREWMASTER | BUKOVEL |
| CAMPAIGN MISCHIEF | CHARMED HOUR | CHICKEN PARM | COAL MINE | COUCHES BURNING |
| DERBYNESS | DIAMOND KANE | DINE AND DASH | DREAM EAGLE | DRIVEN BY MAGIC |
| ENGLISH ELSA | EYES ON THE GROUND | FREEDOM GLIDER | FREELY HELD | GIA'S FUEGO |
| GRANUAILE | GREY BIGGSY | GUARD OF HONOUR | HAPPY THIS DAY | HOT BOSS |
| IT'S HOT IN HERE | KELTIC FURY | LADY CATALINA | LIBERTY BAY | LINO'S FIRE |
| MABEE LUCKYNWILD | MAGIC BAY | MAGICAL MONDAYS | MAGNOLIA WIND | MERGING TRAFFIC |
| MINARI | MOMENTOUS AFFAIR | MR SKINNY | MUTHABIR | MY GAL |
| OVER IMAGINATION | OXFORD UNION | PEAK OF CHIC | PICTURE THIS | RAGMAN |
| REAL MEN VIOLIN | RETURN FIRE | RISK AND REGRET | ROYAL RENEGADE | SAM STORMY |
| SHINE ON MOON | SISTER T | SMITHWICK'S SPICE | SO SWELL | SOO HANDSOME |
| STANDISH | SUGAR ON FIRE | SWEET AND FEISTY | SWEET SUMMER LOVE | THATAWAY |
| THIRTY WEST | TREASURE OUR TIME | TRUE SUNSHINE | UNDERSTUDY KITTY | UP ON THE ROCK |
| YERCAN MARO | YO PHILLY |
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