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Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
Algo Picks – Algo 1ⓘ
| Race 1 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $34,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Divine Storm (9/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Scabiosa (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Our Sweet Belle (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Backed With Heart (5/2), 5 – One Time (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-2-3-5-1 | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $22,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Alastar (9/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Rip My Heart (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Chilling Hassle (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Letspumpthebrakes (4/1), 2 – Hall Of Jazz (7/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-3-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-2-1-5 | |
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $22,000 | |
| Win: | 8 – Techstar (3/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Smokin Hot Wife (9/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Check Ride (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Paddy'sheartofgold (8/1), 5 – Ancient (12/1), 9 – Rosesforthequeen (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Monica (8/1), 7 – Aunt Nan (6/1), 3 – Eddie's Promise (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-6-2-1-5-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-2-5-6-1-4-3-9-7 | |
| Race 4 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 6 – Black Jack Shellac (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Crown Apple (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 – On Secret Service (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Big Hawk (5/1), 1 – Lucky Double Zero (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Bourbon Time (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-1-2-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-3-5-1-2 | |
| Race 5 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $16,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – Marlas Dream (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – My Last Dime (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Ashweee (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Daws Dominion (10/1), 4 – Reckless Abandon (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Little Miss Linda (4/1), 7 – Eastwood Mania (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-6-4-1-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-6-2-4-7-1 | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $17,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – Blast Of Mischief (5/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Music Clarifcation (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 – South Boundary (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Bramwell (3/1), 1 – Fifth Of May (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Rosie Warrior (6/1), 3 – Landofhopeandreams (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-6-3-2-4-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-4-3-1-6-7 | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Whisper Roar (5/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Sometime (5/1) |
| Show: | 4 – Captain Fancy (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Ballinaclash (5/1), 5 – Divine Child (3/1), 7 – Poor Peanut (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Bejuco (8/1), 1 – Iron Sharpens Iron (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-4-3-5-8-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-7-5-4-6-3-1-8 | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Algo Picks – Algo 2ⓘ
| Race 1 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $34,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Divine Storm (9/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Scabiosa (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Our Sweet Belle (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Backed With Heart (5/2), 5 – One Time (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-2-3-5-1 | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $22,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Alastar (9/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Rip My Heart (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Chilling Hassle (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Letspumpthebrakes (4/1), 2 – Hall Of Jazz (7/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-1-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-2-1-5 | |
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $22,000 | |
| Win: | 8 – Techstar (3/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Smokin Hot Wife (9/2) |
| Show: | 5 – Ancient (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Check Ride (6/1), 9 – Rosesforthequeen (5/1), 7 – Aunt Nan (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Paddy'sheartofgold (8/1), 4 – Monica (8/1), 3 – Eddie's Promise (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-8-5-2-9-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-2-5-6-1-4-3-9-7 | |
| Race 4 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Crown Apple (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Black Jack Shellac (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Big Hawk (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – On Secret Service (7/2), 1 – Lucky Double Zero (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Bourbon Time (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-1-2-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-3-5-1-2 | |
| Race 5 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $16,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – Marlas Dream (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – My Last Dime (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Ashweee (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Little Miss Linda (4/1), 4 – Reckless Abandon (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Eastwood Mania (8/1), 3 – Daws Dominion (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-6-1-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-6-2-4-7-1 | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $17,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – Blast Of Mischief (5/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Music Clarifcation (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 – South Boundary (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Bramwell (3/1), 7 – Rosie Warrior (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Fifth Of May (6/1), 3 – Landofhopeandreams (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-6-3-7-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-4-3-1-6-7 | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Whisper Roar (5/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Captain Fancy (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Divine Child (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Sometime (5/1), 8 – Ballinaclash (5/1), 1 – Iron Sharpens Iron (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Bejuco (8/1), 7 – Poor Peanut (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-2-3-8-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-7-5-4-6-3-1-8 | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Algo Picks – Algo 3ⓘ
| Race 1 5 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $34,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Divine Storm (9/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Scabiosa (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Our Sweet Belle (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Backed With Heart (5/2), 5 – One Time (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-2-3-5-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $22,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Alastar (9/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Rip My Heart (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Chilling Hassle (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Letspumpthebrakes (4/1), 2 – Hall Of Jazz (7/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-1-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-2-1-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $22,000 | |
| Win: | 6 – Smokin Hot Wife (9/2) |
| Place: | 8 – Techstar (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Ancient (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9 – Rosesforthequeen (5/1), 2 – Check Ride (6/1), 7 – Aunt Nan (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Paddy'sheartofgold (8/1), 4 – Monica (8/1), 3 – Eddie's Promise (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-8-5-9-2-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-2-5-6-1-4-3-9-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #8, #5, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Crown Apple (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Black Jack Shellac (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Big Hawk (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – On Secret Service (7/2), 1 – Lucky Double Zero (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Bourbon Time (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-1-2-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-4-3-5-1-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $16,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – Marlas Dream (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – My Last Dime (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Ashweee (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Reckless Abandon (8/1), 1 – Little Miss Linda (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Eastwood Mania (8/1), 3 – Daws Dominion (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-6-4-1-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-3-6-2-4-7-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #2, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $17,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – Blast Of Mischief (5/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Music Clarifcation (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 – South Boundary (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Bramwell (3/1), 7 – Rosie Warrior (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Fifth Of May (6/1), 3 – Landofhopeandreams (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-6-7-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-5-4-3-1-6-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #6, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Whisper Roar (5/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Captain Fancy (4/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Divine Child (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Sometime (5/1), 8 – Ballinaclash (5/1), 1 – Iron Sharpens Iron (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Bejuco (8/1), 7 – Poor Peanut (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-2-3-8-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-7-5-4-6-3-1-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Kelly Edge Playsⓘ
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: multidim) Morning-line reliability: +0.33 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.95 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) | ||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 3 | 5 – Ancient | 12/1 | 10.9% | +35.2% | 0.73% | $0.73 |
| 7 | 1 – Iron Sharpens Iron | 12/1 | 10.9% | +35.2% | 0.73% | $0.73 |
| TOTAL across 2 plays: | 1.5% | $1.47 | ||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | ||||||
Index - Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
| ALASTAR | ANCIENT | ASHWEEE | AUNT NAN | BACKED WITH HEART |
| BEJUCO | BIG HAWK | BLACK JACK SHELLAC | BLAST OF MISCHIEF | BOURBON TIME |
| CAPTAIN FANCY | CHECK RIDE | CHILLING HASSLE | CROWN APPLE | DAWS DOMINION |
| DIVINE STORM | EASTWOOD MANIA | EDDIE'S PROMISE | FIFTH OF MAY | HALL OF JAZZ |
| LANDOFHOPEANDREAMS | LETSPUMPTHEBRAKES | LITTLE MISS LINDA | LUCKY DOUBLE ZERO | MARLAS DREAM |
| MUSIC CLARIFCATION | MY LAST DIME | ON SECRET SERVICE | ONE TIME | OUR SWEET BELLE |
| POOR PEANUT | RECKLESS ABANDON | RIP MY HEART | ROSESFORTHEQUEEN | ROSIE WARRIOR |
| SMOKIN HOT WIFE | SOMETIME | SOUTH BOUNDARY | TECHSTAR | WHISPER ROAR |
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