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Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Monmouth Park, August 23, 2026

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Algo Picks – Algo 1ⓘ
 
Race 1  5 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $51,875
Win:4 – Life Raft (8/1)
Place:8 – Air Masque (6/1)
Show:3 – One Fine Wine (9/5)
Other contenders:1 – Slick Merlin (15/1), 2 – Red Head Italian (3/1), 6 – Postino's Prophecy (5/1)
Rest of field:5 – Cassie's Vault (10/1), 7 – Molly's A Bullet (8/1), 9 – Little Lia (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-8-1-3-2-7
🎯 Longshots: 3-2-7-5-4-1-8-6-9
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $57,500
Win:4 – J J Pacheco (5/2)
Place:7 – Garden Gal (6/1)
Show:3 – Johnny Bay Goode (2/1)
Other contenders:5 – Stormy City (9/2), 1 – Change Your Boots (6/1)
Rest of field:6 – Why Me Lord (6/1), 2 – Notyourordinaryjoe (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-5-1-6-7
🎯 Longshots: 3-4-5-2-7-1-6
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $75,000
Win:5 – Cairo Surprise (6/5)
Place:3 – Boardwalk Jack (2/1)
Show:1 – Wildncrazynight (5/1)
Other contenders:7 – St. Erling (6/1), 4 – Speaking (10/1)
Rest of field:2 – Grouch (10/1), 6 – Boastfully Irish (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-5-7-2-4
🎯 Longshots: 5-3-1-2-4-6-7
 
Race 4  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $51,250
Win:1 – Slickback (6/1)
Place:2 – Sun Tan Man (10/1)
Show:3 – Thatain'tnowaytogo (30/1)
Other contenders:4 – Tactfully Wild (10/1), 5 – Even Up (4/1), 6 – Andonemorething (10/1), 7 – Control The Time (10/1)
Rest of field:8 – Epic Blockage (8/1), 9 – Careless Navigator (6/1), 10 – Neela Da Blue (3/1), 11 – Soy Dominicano (30/1), 12 – It's Prime Time (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6
🎯 Longshots: 10-8-7-6-5-4-12-2-1-9-3-11
 
Race 5  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $100,000
Win:6 – Happy Offering (3/2)
Place:5 – Riding Pretty (3/1)
Show:1 – J J Zo Zo (7/2)
Other contenders:4 – Forever Chocolate (8/1), 2 – Spiritinthenight (5/1)
Rest of field:7 – Wildncrazyguy (10/1), 3 – Fully Committed (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-4-2-6-3
🎯 Longshots: 6-3-5-1-4-7-2
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $60,000
Win:3 – Stormy Girl (7/2)
Place:6 – Allenhurst (3/1)
Show:4 – Magical Cry (7/2)
Other contenders:2 – Cool Spite (5/1), 7 – She's A Bombshell (10/1), 5 – Last Flag Flying (5/1), 9 – Noon Time Tide (12/1)
Rest of field:10 – La Pluma (15/1), 1 – Purple Lu Lu (30/1), 11 – Charlize Chub (30/1), 8 – Dee Dee Six (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-6-4-7-5
🎯 Longshots: 10-6-7-4-9-3-2-5-11-1-8
 
Race 7  1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $51,875
Win:5 – See The Truth (7/2)
Place:2 – Smuggler's Gold (3/1)
Show:4 – Wild Jaime (9/2)
Other contenders:1 – Giant James (4/1), 3 – Frankie G (5/1), 13 – Gaelicheartofgold (5/1), 14 – Clever Charlie (8/1)
Rest of field:8 – Just Comply (12/1), 10 – Ohana Empire (15/1), 12 – Electric Eel (8/1), 6 – Lecanto (30/1), 7 – Vesparo (20/1), 9 – Perrotto (15/1), 11 – Kaz Sweet Heist (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 9-4-3-2-13-14
🎯 Longshots: 8-5-2-12-10-9-4-1-14-13-3-7-11-6
 
Race 8  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $75,000
Win:7 – Summer's Comin (5/2)
Place:8 – Jewel Of The Ocean (4/1)
Show:2 – La Resolana (3/1)
Other contenders:3 – My Two Sophia's (6/1), 1 – Howler (6/1), 4 – Mia's Crusade (8/1)
Rest of field:6 – Lidia Rose (12/1), 9 – Rock The Rainbow (8/1), 5 – Salt And Light (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-7-2-4-3-8
🎯 Longshots: 7-2-4-9-3-6-8-1-5
 
Race 9  1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000
Win:1 – Rhythm Man (12/1)
Place:2 – In The Wake (8/1)
Show:3 – Pretty Sixxy (12/1)
Other contenders:4 – Foxiesbaymallow (8/1), 5 – Howitzer (3/1), 6 – Azario (8/5)
Rest of field:7 – I'm Going Cruising (6/1), 8 – One Bad Habit (15/1), 9 – Giant Groove (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-1-2-6-7
🎯 Longshots: 6-5-4-9-8-2-3-1-7
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5,
Algo Picks – Algo 2ⓘ
 
Race 1  5 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $51,875
Win:8 – Air Masque (6/1)
Place:2 – Red Head Italian (3/1)
Show:3 – One Fine Wine (9/5)
Other contenders:1 – Slick Merlin (15/1), 9 – Little Lia (20/1), 4 – Life Raft (8/1)
Rest of field:5 – Cassie's Vault (10/1), 6 – Postino's Prophecy (5/1), 7 – Molly's A Bullet (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-8-1-3-2-9
🎯 Longshots: 3-2-7-5-4-1-8-6-9
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $57,500
Win:7 – Garden Gal (6/1)
Place:3 – Johnny Bay Goode (2/1)
Show:1 – Change Your Boots (6/1)
Other contenders:4 – J J Pacheco (5/2), 6 – Why Me Lord (6/1)
Rest of field:5 – Stormy City (9/2), 2 – Notyourordinaryjoe (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-7-1-4-6-5
🎯 Longshots: 3-4-5-2-7-1-6
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $75,000
Win:3 – Boardwalk Jack (2/1)
Place:5 – Cairo Surprise (6/5)
Show:1 – Wildncrazynight (5/1)
Other contenders:7 – St. Erling (6/1), 2 – Grouch (10/1)
Rest of field:6 – Boastfully Irish (15/1), 4 – Speaking (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-5-7-2-6
🎯 Longshots: 5-3-1-2-4-6-7
 
Race 4  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $51,250
Win:1 – Slickback (6/1)
Place:2 – Sun Tan Man (10/1)
Show:3 – Thatain'tnowaytogo (30/1)
Other contenders:4 – Tactfully Wild (10/1), 5 – Even Up (4/1), 6 – Andonemorething (10/1), 7 – Control The Time (10/1)
Rest of field:8 – Epic Blockage (8/1), 9 – Careless Navigator (6/1), 10 – Neela Da Blue (3/1), 11 – Soy Dominicano (30/1), 12 – It's Prime Time (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6
🎯 Longshots: 10-8-7-6-5-4-12-2-1-9-3-11
 
Race 5  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $100,000
Win:5 – Riding Pretty (3/1)
Place:6 – Happy Offering (3/2)
Show:4 – Forever Chocolate (8/1)
Other contenders:1 – J J Zo Zo (7/2), 2 – Spiritinthenight (5/1)
Rest of field:7 – Wildncrazyguy (10/1), 3 – Fully Committed (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-4-6-2-3
🎯 Longshots: 6-3-5-1-4-7-2
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $60,000
Win:3 – Stormy Girl (7/2)
Place:6 – Allenhurst (3/1)
Show:2 – Cool Spite (5/1)
Other contenders:7 – She's A Bombshell (10/1), 5 – Last Flag Flying (5/1), 4 – Magical Cry (7/2), 11 – Charlize Chub (30/1)
Rest of field:10 – La Pluma (15/1), 9 – Noon Time Tide (12/1), 8 – Dee Dee Six (30/1), 1 – Purple Lu Lu (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-6-7-4-5
🎯 Longshots: 10-6-7-4-9-3-2-5-11-1-8
 
Race 7  1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $51,875
Win:5 – See The Truth (7/2)
Place:2 – Smuggler's Gold (3/1)
Show:12 – Electric Eel (8/1)
Other contenders:1 – Giant James (4/1), 13 – Gaelicheartofgold (5/1), 10 – Ohana Empire (15/1), 14 – Clever Charlie (8/1)
Rest of field:4 – Wild Jaime (9/2), 8 – Just Comply (12/1), 3 – Frankie G (5/1), 9 – Perrotto (15/1), 7 – Vesparo (20/1), 11 – Kaz Sweet Heist (30/1), 6 – Lecanto (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 9-4-3-2-13-14
🎯 Longshots: 8-5-2-12-10-9-4-1-14-13-3-7-11-6
 
Race 8  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $75,000
Win:7 – Summer's Comin (5/2)
Place:8 – Jewel Of The Ocean (4/1)
Show:1 – Howler (6/1)
Other contenders:3 – My Two Sophia's (6/1), 2 – La Resolana (3/1), 4 – Mia's Crusade (8/1)
Rest of field:9 – Rock The Rainbow (8/1), 6 – Lidia Rose (12/1), 5 – Salt And Light (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-7-8-4-3
🎯 Longshots: 7-2-4-9-3-6-8-1-5
 
Race 9  1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000
Win:1 – Rhythm Man (12/1)
Place:2 – In The Wake (8/1)
Show:3 – Pretty Sixxy (12/1)
Other contenders:4 – Foxiesbaymallow (8/1), 5 – Howitzer (3/1), 6 – Azario (8/5)
Rest of field:7 – I'm Going Cruising (6/1), 8 – One Bad Habit (15/1), 9 – Giant Groove (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-1-2-6-7
🎯 Longshots: 6-5-4-9-8-2-3-1-7
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Algo Picks – Algo 3ⓘ
 
Race 1  5 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $51,875
Win:8 – Air Masque (6/1)
Place:2 – Red Head Italian (3/1)
Show:3 – One Fine Wine (9/5)
Other contenders:4 – Life Raft (8/1), 9 – Little Lia (20/1), 1 – Slick Merlin (15/1)
Rest of field:5 – Cassie's Vault (10/1), 6 – Postino's Prophecy (5/1), 7 – Molly's A Bullet (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-8-1-3-2-9
🎯 Longshots: 3-2-7-5-4-1-8-6-9
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #2, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $57,500
Win:7 – Garden Gal (6/1)
Place:3 – Johnny Bay Goode (2/1)
Show:1 – Change Your Boots (6/1)
Other contenders:6 – Why Me Lord (6/1), 4 – J J Pacheco (5/2)
Rest of field:5 – Stormy City (9/2), 2 – Notyourordinaryjoe (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-7-1-6-4-5
🎯 Longshots: 3-4-5-2-7-1-6
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #3, #1, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $75,000
Win:3 – Boardwalk Jack (2/1)
Place:5 – Cairo Surprise (6/5)
Show:1 – Wildncrazynight (5/1)
Other contenders:7 – St. Erling (6/1), 2 – Grouch (10/1)
Rest of field:6 – Boastfully Irish (15/1), 4 – Speaking (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-5-7-2-6
🎯 Longshots: 5-3-1-2-4-6-7
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #1, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · playable
 
Race 4  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $51,250
Win:1 – Slickback (6/1)
Place:2 – Sun Tan Man (10/1)
Show:3 – Thatain'tnowaytogo (30/1)
Other contenders:4 – Tactfully Wild (10/1), 5 – Even Up (4/1), 6 – Andonemorething (10/1), 7 – Control The Time (10/1)
Rest of field:8 – Epic Blockage (8/1), 9 – Careless Navigator (6/1), 10 – Neela Da Blue (3/1), 11 – Soy Dominicano (30/1), 12 – It's Prime Time (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6
🎯 Longshots: 10-8-7-6-5-4-12-2-1-9-3-11
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $100,000
Win:5 – Riding Pretty (3/1)
Place:6 – Happy Offering (3/2)
Show:4 – Forever Chocolate (8/1)
Other contenders:7 – Wildncrazyguy (10/1), 1 – J J Zo Zo (7/2)
Rest of field:2 – Spiritinthenight (5/1), 3 – Fully Committed (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-4-6-2-7
🎯 Longshots: 6-3-5-1-4-7-2
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #4, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $60,000
Win:3 – Stormy Girl (7/2)
Place:6 – Allenhurst (3/1)
Show:2 – Cool Spite (5/1)
Other contenders:7 – She's A Bombshell (10/1), 5 – Last Flag Flying (5/1), 4 – Magical Cry (7/2), 11 – Charlize Chub (30/1)
Rest of field:10 – La Pluma (15/1), 9 – Noon Time Tide (12/1), 8 – Dee Dee Six (30/1), 1 – Purple Lu Lu (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-3-6-7-4-5
🎯 Longshots: 10-6-7-4-9-3-2-5-11-1-8
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #2, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $51,875
Win:5 – See The Truth (7/2)
Place:2 – Smuggler's Gold (3/1)
Show:4 – Wild Jaime (9/2)
Other contenders:12 – Electric Eel (8/1), 13 – Gaelicheartofgold (5/1), 1 – Giant James (4/1), 14 – Clever Charlie (8/1)
Rest of field:10 – Ohana Empire (15/1), 3 – Frankie G (5/1), 8 – Just Comply (12/1), 9 – Perrotto (15/1), 7 – Vesparo (20/1), 11 – Kaz Sweet Heist (30/1), 6 – Lecanto (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 9-4-3-2-13-5
🎯 Longshots: 8-5-2-12-10-9-4-1-14-13-3-7-11-6
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #4, #12  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $75,000
Win:7 – Summer's Comin (5/2)
Place:8 – Jewel Of The Ocean (4/1)
Show:1 – Howler (6/1)
Other contenders:2 – La Resolana (3/1), 3 – My Two Sophia's (6/1), 4 – Mia's Crusade (8/1)
Rest of field:9 – Rock The Rainbow (8/1), 6 – Lidia Rose (12/1), 5 – Salt And Light (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-7-8-4-1
🎯 Longshots: 7-2-4-9-3-6-8-1-5
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #8, #1, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $50,000
Win:1 – Rhythm Man (12/1)
Place:2 – In The Wake (8/1)
Show:3 – Pretty Sixxy (12/1)
Other contenders:4 – Foxiesbaymallow (8/1), 5 – Howitzer (3/1), 6 – Azario (8/5)
Rest of field:7 – I'm Going Cruising (6/1), 8 – One Bad Habit (15/1), 9 – Giant Groove (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-1-2-6-7
🎯 Longshots: 6-5-4-9-8-2-3-1-7
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 1, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 13, Mid Pace: 99, Late Pace: 48, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 1, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 37, Medications: 95, Weather: 16, Race Trouble: 82, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 1, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Kelly Edge Playsⓘ
Kelly Edge Plays   (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob isotonic)    Morning-line reliability: +0.41 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it)    Weekend sizing: ×0.82 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged)
RaceHorseMLLiveP(win)Edge¼ KellyBet on $ bankroll
710 – Ohana Empire15/1—6.9%+9.5%0.16%$0.16
TOTAL across 1 play:0.2%$0.16
Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly.
💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line.
Index - Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
AIR MASQUEALLENHURSTANDONEMORETHINGAZARIOBOARDWALK JACK
CAIRO SURPRISECARELESS NAVIGATORCASSIE'S VAULTCHANGE YOUR BOOTSCHARLIZE CHUB
CONTROL THE TIMECOOL SPITEDEE DEE SIXELECTRIC EELEPIC BLOCKAGE
FOREVER CHOCOLATEFOXIESBAYMALLOWFRANKIE GFULLY COMMITTEDGAELICHEARTOFGOLD
GIANT GROOVEGIANT JAMESGROUCHHAPPY OFFERINGHOWITZER
I'M GOING CRUISINGIN THE WAKEIT'S PRIME TIMEJ J PACHECOJ J ZO ZO
JOHNNY BAY GOODEJUST COMPLYKAZ SWEET HEISTLA PLUMALA RESOLANA
LECANTOLIDIA ROSELIFE RAFTLITTLE LIAMAGICAL CRY
MOLLY'S A BULLETMY TWO SOPHIA'SNEELA DA BLUENOON TIME TIDENOTYOURORDINARYJOE
ONE BAD HABITONE FINE WINEPERROTTOPOSTINO'S PROPHECYPRETTY SIXXY
RED HEAD ITALIANRHYTHM MANRIDING PRETTYROCK THE RAINBOWSALT AND LIGHT
SHE'S A BOMBSHELLSLICK MERLINSLICKBACKSMUGGLER'S GOLDSOY DOMINICANO
SPIRITINTHENIGHTST. ERLINGSTORMY CITYSTORMY GIRLSUMMER'S COMIN
TACTFULLY WILDTHATAIN'TNOWAYTOGOVESPAROWHY ME LORDWILD JAIME
WILDNCRAZYNIGHT

 


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