Horses whose live tote price is at least 25% above the AI Win Probability model's fair odds. Live prices are captured every ten minutes and are not final; early in the day the pools are thin, so overlays shrink as money arrives. Edge/$1 is the model's own estimate of profit per dollar at the live price, not a promise. Scratches are removed. Click a horse name for its Smart Stats card.
Badges: 🔥 money is coming in — the live price is shorter than the morning line, the bet-down signal (favourable: in our live-odds data, horses being bet down win far more often than horses drifting out, so an overlay that is also being bet down is the strongest situation on this board). ⚠️ the horse is drifting — the live price is at least 25% longer than the morning line (caution: the overlay exists because the money is going elsewhere; treat it as thin-pool noise until the price holds within about twenty minutes of post, and pass if the drift keeps widening). ⚠ high risk a morning line of 20-1 or longer — since late June our longshot picks at these odds have won about 3 times in 100 and lost about half of every dollar bet, and maiden races are worse still (marked “maiden race”); the same warning the Kelly Edge Plays and Value Longshot Alerts carry. Shown on purpose; size down or pass.
Sample rows, blurred. Members see today's live board, updated every ten minutes.
