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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) and Algo 3 (AI Win Probability, shown with fair odds) are ranked by measured performance on our weekly scoreboard, so a higher number is a stronger pick source. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets; Insider adds Algo 2; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
| Race 1 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $17,900 | |
| Win: | 9 – Dixie's Memory (7/2) |
| Place: | 10 – River Bye (4/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Spectacular D'oro (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Workstation (5/1), 4 – Balki Bartokomous (6/1), 12 – Lucky Victor (15/1), 3 – Truth N Soul (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Strike Plate (12/1), 1 – Mobil Mission (20/1), 11 – Ol' Nelson (30/1), 7 – Take Dictation (12/1), 6 – Seeking Freedom (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-9-10-8-2-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-9-10-1-8-5-7-12-2-4-6-11 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #10, #8, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,800 | |
| Win: | 1 – Paynter's Canvas (8/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Vladislav (5/2) |
| Show: | 7 – Why Not Me (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Verbier (4/1), 2 – Galilee (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Broadway Sky (10/1), 6 – Auld Lange Syne (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-3-4-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-5-2-4-7-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,400 | |
| Win: | 5 – That's The Way (9/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Hite (2/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Blue Nomore (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Aint No Bandleader (5/1), 3 – Cannon Man (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Gapper (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-4-3-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-1-6-2-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,800 | |
| Win: | 6 – Yalorde (9/5) |
| Place: | 5 – Glitter Queen (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 – Shiloh (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Charisma In Motion (7/2), 2 – Power Party (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Hero Queen (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-6-5-1-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-2-1-4-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,400 | |
| Win: | 2 – Bella Future (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Don't Stop (5/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Bozaano (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Classic Richie (4/1), 5 – Chalon's First (6/1), 3 – Coalminer's Kitten (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Fast Talkin Man (10/1), 7 – Cacique Abarrio (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-8-5-1-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-3-5-8-4-6-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #1, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $34,000 | |
| Win: | 6 – Ultimate Destinatn (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Sadie's Ghost (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Run Vinicius (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Heza Pistol (4/1), 4 – Colonel Cooper (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – P J's Boy (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-1-4-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-5-2-4-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $41,500 | |
| Win: | 2 – Empire's Fire (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Fortissimo (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Boots Malone (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Vdaytothetenacious (6/1), 6 – Stage Name (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Scrimper (8/1), 4 – River Boat (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-7-6-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-3-7-5-4-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #5, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $16,300 | |
| Win: | 8 – Miss Foxann (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Beaches And Pearls (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Legally Lucky (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Bo Runkle (4/1), 3 – Right Trappe (10/1), 7 – Thee New Beginning (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Holiday Lights (12/1), 2 – Lady Loves Money (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-7-4-2-6-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-5-3-6-2-1-4-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #5, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
| Race 1 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $17,900 | |
| Win: | 9 – Dixie's Memory (7/2) |
| Place: | 10 – River Bye (4/1) |
| Show: | 8 – Spectacular D'oro (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Workstation (5/1), 4 – Balki Bartokomous (6/1), 12 – Lucky Victor (15/1), 3 – Truth N Soul (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Strike Plate (12/1), 7 – Take Dictation (12/1), 1 – Mobil Mission (20/1), 6 – Seeking Freedom (20/1), 11 – Ol' Nelson (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-9-10-8-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-9-10-1-8-5-7-12-2-4-6-11 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #10, #8, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,800 | |
| Win: | 1 – Paynter's Canvas (8/5) |
| Place: | 3 – Vladislav (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 – Verbier (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Why Not Me (9/2), 5 – Broadway Sky (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Galilee (15/1), 6 – Auld Lange Syne (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-4-3-7-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-5-2-4-7-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #4, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,400 | |
| Win: | 5 – That's The Way (9/5) |
| Place: | 4 – Hite (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Aint No Bandleader (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Blue Nomore (4/1), 3 – Cannon Man (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Gapper (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-3-4-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-1-6-2-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,800 | |
| Win: | 5 – Glitter Queen (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 – Yalorde (9/5) |
| Show: | 1 – Charisma In Motion (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Shiloh (9/2), 2 – Power Party (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Hero Queen (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-4-1-3-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-2-1-4-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,400 | |
| Win: | 2 – Bella Future (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Bozaano (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Don't Stop (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Classic Richie (4/1), 5 – Chalon's First (6/1), 3 – Coalminer's Kitten (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Fast Talkin Man (10/1), 7 – Cacique Abarrio (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-8-3-4-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-3-5-8-4-6-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #6, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $34,000 | |
| Win: | 6 – Ultimate Destinatn (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Sadie's Ghost (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Heza Pistol (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Run Vinicius (3/1), 2 – P J's Boy (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Colonel Cooper (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-6-4-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-5-2-4-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $41,500 | |
| Win: | 2 – Empire's Fire (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Fortissimo (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Boots Malone (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Vdaytothetenacious (6/1), 6 – Stage Name (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – River Boat (8/1), 3 – Scrimper (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-4-7-6-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-3-7-5-4-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #5, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $16,300 | |
| Win: | 5 – Beaches And Pearls (5/2) |
| Place: | 8 – Miss Foxann (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Bo Runkle (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Thee New Beginning (5/1), 4 – Legally Lucky (6/1), 3 – Right Trappe (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Holiday Lights (12/1), 2 – Lady Loves Money (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-2-6-4-8-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-5-3-6-2-1-4-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #8, #1, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 1 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $17,900 | |
| Win: | 10 – River Bye (4/1) 16% · fair 5-1 |
| Place: | 8 – Spectacular D'oro (9/2) 15% · fair 6-1 |
| Show: | 9 – Dixie's Memory (7/2) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -43% |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Balki Bartokomous (6/1) 11% · fair 8-1, 5 – Workstation (5/1) 9% · fair 10-1 underlay -49%, 3 – Truth N Soul (12/1) 8% · fair 12-1, 7 – Take Dictation (12/1) 7% · fair 29-2 |
| Rest of field: | 12 – Lucky Victor (15/1) 6% · fair 16-1, 1 – Mobil Mission (20/1) 5% · fair 20-1, 2 – Strike Plate (12/1) 5% · fair 21-1 underlay -43%, 6 – Seeking Freedom (20/1) 3% · fair 57-2 underlay -29%, 11 – Ol' Nelson (30/1) 2% · fair 59-1 underlay -49% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-9-10-8-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-9-10-1-8-5-7-12-2-4-6-11 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #8, #9, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,800 | |
| Win: | 1 – Paynter's Canvas (8/5) 26% · fair 3-1 underlay -44% |
| Place: | 3 – Vladislav (5/2) 19% · fair 4-1 underlay -40% |
| Show: | 4 – Verbier (4/1) 18% · fair 9-2 |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Why Not Me (9/2) 16% · fair 5-1, 5 – Broadway Sky (10/1) 9% · fair 19-2 |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Galilee (15/1) 7% · fair 14-1, 6 – Auld Lange Syne (15/1) 4% · fair 49-2 underlay -39% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-4-3-6-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-5-2-4-7-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #4, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,400 | |
| Win: | 5 – That's The Way (9/5) 31% · fair 2-1 |
| Place: | 4 – Hite (2/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -56% |
| Show: | 1 – Blue Nomore (4/1) 17% · fair 5-1 |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Cannon Man (6/1) 14% · fair 13-2, 2 – Aint No Bandleader (5/1) 13% · fair 13-2 |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Gapper (15/1) 7% · fair 27-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-3-4-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-1-6-2-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,800 | |
| Win: | 5 – Glitter Queen (2/1) 32% · fair 2-1 |
| Place: | 6 – Yalorde (9/5) 22% · fair 7-2 underlay -48% |
| Show: | 1 – Charisma In Motion (7/2) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -29% |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Shiloh (9/2) 16% · fair 5-1, 2 – Power Party (10/1) 8% · fair 11-1 |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Hero Queen (12/1) 4% · fair 43-2 underlay -44% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-4-1-3-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-2-1-4-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,400 | |
| Win: | 1 – Bozaano (7/2) 20% · fair 4-1 |
| Place: | 2 – Bella Future (5/2) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -49% |
| Show: | 6 – Don't Stop (5/1) 15% · fair 11-2 |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Classic Richie (4/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -30%, 5 – Chalon's First (6/1) 14% · fair 6-1, 3 – Coalminer's Kitten (8/1) 9% · fair 21-2 |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Fast Talkin Man (10/1) 7% · fair 14-1 underlay -29%, 7 – Cacique Abarrio (15/1) 4% · fair 23-1 underlay -35% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-8-3-4-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-3-5-8-4-6-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #6, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $34,000 | |
| Win: | 6 – Ultimate Destinatn (2/1) 26% · fair 3-1 underlay -29% |
| Place: | 5 – Sadie's Ghost (5/2) 22% · fair 7-2 underlay -29% |
| Show: | 1 – Run Vinicius (3/1) 20% · fair 4-1 underlay -26% |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Heza Pistol (4/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -29%, 4 – Colonel Cooper (12/1) 11% · fair 8-1 overlay +48% |
| Rest of field: | 2 – P J's Boy (8/1) 6% · fair 33-2 underlay -52% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-1-6-2-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-5-2-4-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $41,500 | |
| Win: | 2 – Empire's Fire (5/2) 20% · fair 4-1 underlay -38% |
| Place: | 1 – Fortissimo (3/1) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -39% |
| Show: | 5 – Boots Malone (4/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -27% |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Vdaytothetenacious (6/1) 15% · fair 11-2, 6 – Stage Name (5/1) 14% · fair 13-2 |
| Rest of field: | 4 – River Boat (8/1) 10% · fair 9-1, 3 – Scrimper (8/1) 9% · fair 10-1 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-7-3-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-3-7-5-4-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #5, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $16,300 | |
| Win: | 5 – Beaches And Pearls (5/2) 22% · fair 7-2 underlay -31% |
| Place: | 8 – Miss Foxann (3/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -35% |
| Show: | 4 – Legally Lucky (6/1) 15% · fair 6-1 |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Thee New Beginning (5/1) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -25%, 1 – Bo Runkle (4/1) 11% · fair 15-2 underlay -48%, 3 – Right Trappe (10/1) 9% · fair 10-1 |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Lady Loves Money (12/1) 7% · fair 14-1, 6 – Holiday Lights (12/1) 6% · fair 33-2 underlay -27% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-6-4-8-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-5-3-6-2-1-4-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #8, #4, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.
| Race 1 | AI Exacta: #9 over #10 ($1 straight; box #9-#10 for cover) Trifecta: #10 over #9, #5, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 2 | AI Exacta: #1 over #3 ($1 straight; box #1-#3 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #3, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 3 | AI Exacta: #5 over #4 ($1 straight; box #5-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #5, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 4 | AI Exacta: #6 over #5 ($1 straight; box #6-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #5, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 5 | AI Exacta: #2 over #1 ($1 straight; box #2-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #2 over #1, #6, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 6 | AI Exacta: #6 over #5 ($1 straight; box #6-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #5, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 7 | AI Exacta: #2 over #1 ($1 straight; box #2-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #2 over #1, #5, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 8 | AI Exacta: #5 over #8 ($1 straight; box #5-#8 for cover) Trifecta: #8 over #5, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob isotonic) Morning-line reliability: +0.37 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) | |||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | Live | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 1 | 12 – Lucky Victor | 15/1 | — | 8.0% | +27.9% | 0.46% | $0.46 |
| 1 | 1 – Mobil Mission | 20/1 | — | 5.3% | +10.1% | 0.13% | $0.13 |
| TOTAL across 2 plays: | 0.6% | $0.59 | |||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | |||||||
| 💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line. | |||||||
| Race 1 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $17,900 | |
| Win: | 10 - River Bye (4/1) |
| Place: | 9 - Dixie's Memory (7/2) |
| Show: | 8 - Spectacular D'oro (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 - Workstation (5/1), 12 - Lucky Victor (15/1), 3 - Truth N Soul (12/1), 2 - Strike Plate (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 - Balki Bartokomous (6/1), 11 - Ol' Nelson (30/1), 6 - Seeking Freedom (20/1), 1 - Mobil Mission (20/1), 7 - Take Dictation (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-10-9-8-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-9-10-1-8-5-7-12-2-4-6-11 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #9, #8, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,800 | |
| Win: | 1 - Paynter's Canvas (8/5) |
| Place: | 3 - Vladislav (5/2) |
| Show: | 7 - Why Not Me (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Verbier (4/1), 2 - Galilee (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 - Broadway Sky (10/1), 6 - Auld Lange Syne (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-7-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-5-2-4-7-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,400 | |
| Win: | 5 - That's The Way (9/5) |
| Place: | 4 - Hite (2/1) |
| Show: | 1 - Blue Nomore (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - Cannon Man (6/1), 2 - Aint No Bandleader (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - Gapper (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-3-4-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-1-6-2-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,800 | |
| Win: | 5 - Glitter Queen (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 - Yalorde (9/5) |
| Show: | 3 - Shiloh (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 - Charisma In Motion (7/2), 2 - Power Party (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 - Hero Queen (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-6-2-1-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-2-1-4-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,400 | |
| Win: | 6 - Don't Stop (5/1) |
| Place: | 1 - Bozaano (7/2) |
| Show: | 8 - Classic Richie (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 - Chalon's First (6/1), 3 - Coalminer's Kitten (8/1), 2 - Bella Future (5/2) |
| Rest of field: | 4 - Fast Talkin Man (10/1), 7 - Cacique Abarrio (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-8-1-5-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-3-5-8-4-6-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #8, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $34,000 | |
| Win: | 6 - Ultimate Destinatn (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 - Sadie's Ghost (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 - Heza Pistol (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 - Run Vinicius (3/1), 4 - Colonel Cooper (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - P J's Boy (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-1-4-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-5-2-4-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $41,500 | |
| Win: | 2 - Empire's Fire (5/2) |
| Place: | 5 - Boots Malone (4/1) |
| Show: | 1 - Fortissimo (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 - Stage Name (5/1), 7 - Vdaytothetenacious (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 - River Boat (8/1), 3 - Scrimper (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-7-6-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-3-7-5-4-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $16,300 | |
| Win: | 5 - Beaches And Pearls (5/2) |
| Place: | 8 - Miss Foxann (3/1) |
| Show: | 7 - Thee New Beginning (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Legally Lucky (6/1), 1 - Bo Runkle (4/1), 3 - Right Trappe (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Lady Loves Money (12/1), 6 - Holiday Lights (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-7-5-4-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-5-3-6-2-1-4-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #8, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
| Race 1 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $17,900 | |
| Win: | 10 - River Bye (4/1) |
| Place: | 9 - Dixie's Memory (7/2) |
| Show: | 5 - Workstation (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 - Spectacular D'oro (9/2), 4 - Balki Bartokomous (6/1), 12 - Lucky Victor (15/1), 2 - Strike Plate (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 - Truth N Soul (12/1), 7 - Take Dictation (12/1), 1 - Mobil Mission (20/1), 6 - Seeking Freedom (20/1), 11 - Ol' Nelson (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-9-10-8-5-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-9-10-1-8-5-7-12-2-4-6-11 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #9, #5, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,800 | |
| Win: | 1 - Paynter's Canvas (8/5) |
| Place: | 3 - Vladislav (5/2) |
| Show: | 7 - Why Not Me (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Verbier (4/1), 5 - Broadway Sky (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Galilee (15/1), 6 - Auld Lange Syne (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-3-4-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-5-2-4-7-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,400 | |
| Win: | 4 - Hite (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 - That's The Way (9/5) |
| Show: | 1 - Blue Nomore (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - Cannon Man (6/1), 2 - Aint No Bandleader (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - Gapper (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-4-3-2-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-4-1-6-2-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,800 | |
| Win: | 6 - Yalorde (9/5) |
| Place: | 5 - Glitter Queen (2/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Shiloh (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 - Charisma In Motion (7/2), 2 - Power Party (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 - Hero Queen (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-3-5-1-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-2-1-4-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,400 | |
| Win: | 2 - Bella Future (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 - Bozaano (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 - Don't Stop (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 - Classic Richie (4/1), 5 - Chalon's First (6/1), 3 - Coalminer's Kitten (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 - Fast Talkin Man (10/1), 7 - Cacique Abarrio (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-8-5-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-3-5-8-4-6-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #6, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $34,000 | |
| Win: | 6 - Ultimate Destinatn (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 - Sadie's Ghost (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 - Heza Pistol (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 - Run Vinicius (3/1), 2 - P J's Boy (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 - Colonel Cooper (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-1-3-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-1-5-2-4-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $41,500 | |
| Win: | 2 - Empire's Fire (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 - Fortissimo (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 - Boots Malone (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 - Vdaytothetenacious (6/1), 6 - Stage Name (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 - River Boat (8/1), 3 - Scrimper (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-7-5-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-3-7-5-4-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #5, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $16,300 | |
| Win: | 8 - Miss Foxann (3/1) |
| Place: | 5 - Beaches And Pearls (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 - Legally Lucky (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 - Bo Runkle (4/1), 7 - Thee New Beginning (5/1), 3 - Right Trappe (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - Holiday Lights (12/1), 2 - Lady Loves Money (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-4-7-5-6-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-5-3-6-2-1-4-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #5, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.
| Pick 3 R2-4 | R2: #1,#3,#4 (64%) / R3: #5,#4,#1 (66%) / R4: #5,#6,#1 (71%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 30% |
| Pick 3 R3-5 | R3: #5,#4,#1 (66%) / R4: #5,#6,#1 (71%) / R5: #1,#2,#6 (52%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 24% |
| Pick 3 R4-6 | R4: #5,#6,#1 (71%) / R5: #1,#2,#6 (52%) / R6: #6,#5,#1 (68%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 25% |
| Pick 3 R6-8 | R6: #6,#5,#1 (68%) / R7: #2,#1,#5 (52%) / R8: #5,#8,#4 (54%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 19% |
| Pick 4 R2-5 | R2: #1,#3,#4 (64%) / R3: #5,#4,#1 (66%) / R4: #5,#6,#1 (71%) / R5: #1,#2,#6 (52%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 15% |
| Pick 4 R3-6 | R3: #5,#4,#1 (66%) / R4: #5,#6,#1 (71%) / R5: #1,#2,#6 (52%) / R6: #6,#5,#1 (68%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 17% |
| AINT NO BANDLEADER | AULD LANGE SYNE | BALKI BARTOKOMOUS | BEACHES AND PEARLS | BELLA FUTURE |
| BO RUNKLE | BOOTS MALONE | BOZAANO | BROADWAY SKY | CACIQUE ABARRIO |
| CHALON'S FIRST | CHARISMA IN MOTION | CLASSIC RICHIE | COALMINER'S KITTEN | COLONEL COOPER |
| DON'T STOP | EMPIRE'S FIRE | FAST TALKIN MAN | FORTISSIMO | GALILEE |
| GLITTER QUEEN | HERO QUEEN | HEZA PISTOL | HITE | HOLIDAY LIGHTS |
| LEGALLY LUCKY | LUCKY VICTOR | MISS FOXANN | MOBIL MISSION | OL' NELSON |
| PAYNTER'S CANVAS | POWER PARTY | RIGHT TRAPPE | RIVER BOAT | RIVER BYE |
| SADIE'S GHOST | SCRIMPER | SEEKING FREEDOM | SHILOH | SPECTACULAR D'ORO |
| STRIKE PLATE | TAKE DICTATION | THAT'S THE WAY | THEE NEW BEGINNING | TRUTH N SOUL |
| VDAYTOTHETENACIOUS | VERBIER | VLADISLAV | WHY NOT ME | WORKSTATION |
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