Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Churchill Downs, September 13, 2026


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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) and Algo 3 (AI Win Probability, shown with fair odds) are ranked by measured performance on our weekly scoreboard, so a higher number is a stronger pick source. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets; Insider adds Algo 2; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.

How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.

Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)
 
Race 1  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $57,000
Win:3 – Midnight Escapade (1/1)
Place:4 – Denial (9/2)
Show:5 – Amavida (12/1)
Other contenders:6 – Extra Benefits (8/1), 2 – Bride (10/1)
Rest of field:1 – Take That Girl (15/1), 7 – She Is A Classic (7/2)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-6-1-2-7
🎯 Longshots: 3-1-5-6-2-7-4
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #5, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  7 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $89,000
Win:8 – Money Supply (7/2)
Place:3 – Light The Way (5/1)
Show:4 – Classic Car Wash (3/1)
Other contenders:7 – Dr Ruben M (9/2), 1 – Frosty Indulgence (9/2), 5 – Can't Hush This (10/1)
Rest of field:2 – Tuskegee Airmen (12/1), 6 – Timing Difference (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-3-4-1-7-2
🎯 Longshots: 4-5-2-8-3-6-7-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #3, #4, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $45,000
Win:2 – Tennesseehoneybee (8/5)
Place:6 – Fugitive Star (8/1)
Show:3 – Margoinabubblebath (3/1)
Other contenders:7 – Creative Quality (6/1), 1 – Turf Rocket (10/1), 9 – Street Painter (12/1)
Rest of field:4 – Campaign Promises (20/1), 5 – Miranda's Rocky (10/1), 8 – Mescat (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-3-5-1-7
🎯 Longshots: 2-3-6-9-4-5-1-8-7
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #3, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 1/8 Miles · Turf · Maiden Claiming · Purse $67,000
Win:1 – Last Moment (5/1)
Place:10 – Flaming Rainbow (3/1)
Show:11 – Nyquistador (4/1)
Other contenders:3 – Terre Haute (15/1), 13 – Gallatin (6/1), 2 – Road Trippin (15/1), 12 – Spun Legacy (8/1)
Rest of field:7 – Hard Row (6/1), 8 – Cantis (8/1), 4 – Bullfight (12/1), 6 – New Fund (30/1), 5 – Lion Guard (50/1), 9 – King Lee (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-2-1-10-12-11
🎯 Longshots: 10-3-2-9-8-12-1-4-11-7-6-13-5
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #10, #11, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $141,000
Win:6 – Look Forward (8/5)
Place:5 – Nooni (3/1)
Show:1 – Roswell (9/2)
Other contenders:2 – Silent Law (7/2), 4 – Spring Dancer (8/1)
Rest of field:3 – Coaster (12/1), 7 – Tapit Quick (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-4-1-2-3
🎯 Longshots: 6-5-4-7-3-2-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #1, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  ⭐ Best Bet race
 
Race 6  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000
Win:1 – Blue Hill (10/1)
Place:2 – Clever Miss (7/2)
Show:3 – Miss Mccloud (6/1)
Other contenders:4 – Jerri Jo (9/2), 5 – Mariamakesmelaugh (20/1), 6 – Batcycle (15/1), 7 – Sweet Kathleen (20/1)
Rest of field:8 – Dice Dice Baby (8/1), 9 – High Speed Reed (5/1), 10 – Veles (12/1), 11 – E Tee Aye (12/1), 12 – Peony Park (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-2-4-5-6
🎯 Longshots: 11-12-8-10-6-4-2-9-3-1-5-7
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $60,000
Win:12 – Gee No Hollander (3/1)
Place:3 – Curahee (6/1)
Show:8 – Global Sensation (5/1)
Other contenders:5 – Fort Sam (6/1), 1 – Real Macho (8/1), 9 – American Law (15/1), 11 – Creative Minister (12/1)
Rest of field:7 – Neon Nights (8/1), 6 – Couperin (12/1), 2 – Bebedouro (15/1), 4 – Bloodline (20/1), 10 – Furious Anger (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-11-12-8-1-5
🎯 Longshots: 1-7-12-11-6-9-2-8-5-3-4-10
🎫 Trifecta play: #12 over #3, #8, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $76,000
Win:6 – Taunting (4/1)
Place:11 – Snare (3/1)
Show:7 – Intuitive Wisdom (6/1)
Other contenders:1 – Makutu (15/1), 8 – Executor (8/1), 5 – Culture War (6/1), 12 – Sound Cause (10/1)
Rest of field:10 – Demetrius (10/1), 3 – Rulookinforrayray (15/1), 14 – Jack Rabbit (30/1), 13 – Gallic Charm (15/1), 4 – Mcilroy (20/1), 2 – Mi Compadre (20/1), 9 – Winery (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 13-7-6-5-9-8
🎯 Longshots: 12-1-11-3-8-6-10-13-7-5-4-2-14-9
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #11, #7, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $127,000
Win:2 – Feminism (3/1)
Place:1 – Just Bluffing (4/1)
Show:8 – Moonlight Dash (9/2)
Other contenders:3 – Spun Candy (10/1), 5 – Yo Fancy (6/1), 7 – Teatonic (8/1)
Rest of field:6 – No What Ifs (6/1), 9 – White Smoke (8/1), 4 – Solemn Vow (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-3-8-5-7
🎯 Longshots: 2-3-7-9-8-1-5-6-4
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #8, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 10  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000
Win:1 – Alworth (12/1)
Place:2 – Nomolimbo (20/1)
Show:3 – Big Jake (2/1)
Other contenders:4 – Summit Ridge (12/1), 5 – Shapka (20/1), 6 – First Offense (8/1), 7 – Flick (6/1)
Rest of field:8 – Final Countdown (30/1), 9 – Payout (6/1), 10 – Sonic Saint (30/1), 11 – C's Today (9/2), 12 – Tapit's Gunner (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-1-4-5-6-9
🎯 Longshots: 3-6-12-4-11-9-2-1-7-5-8-10
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5,
AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)
 
Race 1  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $57,000
Win:3 – Midnight Escapade (1/1)
Place:4 – Denial (9/2)
Show:7 – She Is A Classic (7/2)
Other contenders:6 – Extra Benefits (8/1), 2 – Bride (10/1)
Rest of field:1 – Take That Girl (15/1), 5 – Amavida (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-7-6-1-2
🎯 Longshots: 3-1-5-6-2-7-4
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #7, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  7 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $89,000
Win:4 – Classic Car Wash (3/1)
Place:8 – Money Supply (7/2)
Show:3 – Light The Way (5/1)
Other contenders:7 – Dr Ruben M (9/2), 1 – Frosty Indulgence (9/2), 6 – Timing Difference (8/1)
Rest of field:5 – Can't Hush This (10/1), 2 – Tuskegee Airmen (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-1-4-2-3-7
🎯 Longshots: 4-5-2-8-3-6-7-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #8, #3, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $45,000
Win:2 – Tennesseehoneybee (8/5)
Place:3 – Margoinabubblebath (3/1)
Show:6 – Fugitive Star (8/1)
Other contenders:7 – Creative Quality (6/1), 1 – Turf Rocket (10/1), 5 – Miranda's Rocky (10/1)
Rest of field:4 – Campaign Promises (20/1), 8 – Mescat (15/1), 9 – Street Painter (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-3-5-1-4
🎯 Longshots: 2-3-6-9-4-5-1-8-7
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #6, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 1/8 Miles · Turf · Maiden Claiming · Purse $67,000
Win:10 – Flaming Rainbow (3/1)
Place:1 – Last Moment (5/1)
Show:11 – Nyquistador (4/1)
Other contenders:13 – Gallatin (6/1), 8 – Cantis (8/1), 4 – Bullfight (12/1), 2 – Road Trippin (15/1)
Rest of field:12 – Spun Legacy (8/1), 3 – Terre Haute (15/1), 7 – Hard Row (6/1), 9 – King Lee (20/1), 6 – New Fund (30/1), 5 – Lion Guard (50/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-2-12-11-10-1
🎯 Longshots: 10-3-2-9-8-12-1-4-11-7-6-13-5
🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #1, #11, #13  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $141,000
Win:6 – Look Forward (8/5)
Place:5 – Nooni (3/1)
Show:2 – Silent Law (7/2)
Other contenders:1 – Roswell (9/2), 4 – Spring Dancer (8/1)
Rest of field:3 – Coaster (12/1), 7 – Tapit Quick (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-6-5-3-2-1
🎯 Longshots: 6-5-4-7-3-2-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #2, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  ⭐ Best Bet race
 
Race 6  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000
Win:4 – Jerri Jo (9/2)
Place:9 – High Speed Reed (5/1)
Show:2 – Clever Miss (7/2)
Other contenders:3 – Miss Mccloud (6/1), 11 – E Tee Aye (12/1), 1 – Blue Hill (10/1), 12 – Peony Park (15/1)
Rest of field:8 – Dice Dice Baby (8/1), 10 – Veles (12/1), 6 – Batcycle (15/1), 5 – Mariamakesmelaugh (20/1), 7 – Sweet Kathleen (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-9-2-11-1
🎯 Longshots: 11-12-8-10-6-4-2-9-3-1-5-7
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #9, #2, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $60,000
Win:12 – Gee No Hollander (3/1)
Place:5 – Fort Sam (6/1)
Show:7 – Neon Nights (8/1)
Other contenders:1 – Real Macho (8/1), 3 – Curahee (6/1), 8 – Global Sensation (5/1), 11 – Creative Minister (12/1)
Rest of field:9 – American Law (15/1), 6 – Couperin (12/1), 2 – Bebedouro (15/1), 4 – Bloodline (20/1), 10 – Furious Anger (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-11-12-8-1-10
🎯 Longshots: 1-7-12-11-6-9-2-8-5-3-4-10
🎫 Trifecta play: #12 over #5, #7, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $76,000
Win:11 – Snare (3/1)
Place:6 – Taunting (4/1)
Show:8 – Executor (8/1)
Other contenders:7 – Intuitive Wisdom (6/1), 5 – Culture War (6/1), 12 – Sound Cause (10/1), 1 – Makutu (15/1)
Rest of field:3 – Rulookinforrayray (15/1), 4 – Mcilroy (20/1), 10 – Demetrius (10/1), 13 – Gallic Charm (15/1), 2 – Mi Compadre (20/1), 9 – Winery (30/1), 14 – Jack Rabbit (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 13-9-7-5-2-6
🎯 Longshots: 12-1-11-3-8-6-10-13-7-5-4-2-14-9
🎫 Trifecta play: #11 over #6, #8, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $127,000
Win:2 – Feminism (3/1)
Place:8 – Moonlight Dash (9/2)
Show:1 – Just Bluffing (4/1)
Other contenders:6 – No What Ifs (6/1), 5 – Yo Fancy (6/1), 7 – Teatonic (8/1)
Rest of field:3 – Spun Candy (10/1), 9 – White Smoke (8/1), 4 – Solemn Vow (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-8-1-3-5-7
🎯 Longshots: 2-3-7-9-8-1-5-6-4
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #8, #1, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 10  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000
Win:3 – Big Jake (2/1)
Place:11 – C's Today (9/2)
Show:7 – Flick (6/1)
Other contenders:4 – Summit Ridge (12/1), 9 – Payout (6/1), 6 – First Offense (8/1), 2 – Nomolimbo (20/1)
Rest of field:1 – Alworth (12/1), 12 – Tapit's Gunner (15/1), 8 – Final Countdown (30/1), 5 – Shapka (20/1), 10 – Sonic Saint (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-3-11-4-9-6
🎯 Longshots: 3-6-12-4-11-9-2-1-7-5-8-10
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #11, #7, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)
 
Race 1  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $57,000
Win:3 – Midnight Escapade (1/1) 28% · fair 5-2 underlay -61%
Place:7 – She Is A Classic (7/2) 24% · fair 3-1
Show:4 – Denial (9/2) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -27%
Other contenders:6 – Extra Benefits (8/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 2 – Bride (10/1) 9% · fair 21-2
Rest of field:5 – Amavida (12/1) 7% · fair 13-1, 1 – Take That Girl (15/1) 6% · fair 29-2
🌧️ Off-track: 3-7-4-6-1-2
🎯 Longshots: 3-1-5-6-2-7-4
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #7, #4, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  7 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $89,000
Win:8 – Money Supply (7/2) 22% · fair 7-2
Place:3 – Light The Way (5/1) 16% · fair 11-2
Show:4 – Classic Car Wash (3/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -47%
Other contenders:7 – Dr Ruben M (9/2) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -32%, 1 – Frosty Indulgence (9/2) 10% · fair 19-2 underlay -51%, 6 – Timing Difference (8/1) 9% · fair 10-1
Rest of field:5 – Can't Hush This (10/1) 9% · fair 21-2, 2 – Tuskegee Airmen (12/1) 8% · fair 12-1
🌧️ Off-track: 1-8-4-2-3-7
🎯 Longshots: 4-5-2-8-3-6-7-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #3, #4, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $45,000
Win:2 – Tennesseehoneybee (8/5) 25% · fair 3-1 underlay -48%
Place:3 – Margoinabubblebath (3/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -35%
Show:6 – Fugitive Star (8/1) 13% · fair 13-2
Other contenders:7 – Creative Quality (6/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -27%, 1 – Turf Rocket (10/1) 8% · fair 23-2, 5 – Miranda's Rocky (10/1) 7% · fair 13-1
Rest of field:9 – Street Painter (12/1) 6% · fair 29-2, 8 – Mescat (15/1) 6% · fair 29-2, 4 – Campaign Promises (20/1) 6% · fair 17-1
🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-5-3-1-4
🎯 Longshots: 2-3-6-9-4-5-1-8-7
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #6, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 1/8 Miles · Turf · Maiden Claiming · Purse $67,000
Win:10 – Flaming Rainbow (3/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -47%
Place:1 – Last Moment (5/1) 14% · fair 13-2
Show:11 – Nyquistador (4/1) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -42%
Other contenders:13 – Gallatin (6/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -34%, 12 – Spun Legacy (8/1) 9% · fair 19-2, 8 – Cantis (8/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -27%, 4 – Bullfight (12/1) 8% · fair 12-1
Rest of field:7 – Hard Row (6/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -55%, 2 – Road Trippin (15/1) 5% · fair 35-2, 3 – Terre Haute (15/1) 5% · fair 21-1 underlay -29%, 9 – King Lee (20/1) 4% · fair 27-1 underlay -25%, 6 – New Fund (30/1) 2% · fair 50-1 underlay -40%, 5 – Lion Guard (50/1) 1% · fair 119-1 underlay -58%
🌧️ Off-track: 8-2-12-11-10-1
🎯 Longshots: 10-3-2-9-8-12-1-4-11-7-6-13-5
🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #1, #11, #13  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $141,000
Win:6 – Look Forward (8/5) 26% · fair 3-1 underlay -45%
Place:5 – Nooni (3/1) 23% · fair 7-2
Show:2 – Silent Law (7/2) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -30%
Other contenders:1 – Roswell (9/2) 15% · fair 6-1, 3 – Coaster (12/1) 8% · fair 11-1
Rest of field:4 – Spring Dancer (8/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -32%, 7 – Tapit Quick (20/1) 4% · fair 43-2
🌧️ Off-track: 4-6-5-3-1-2
🎯 Longshots: 6-5-4-7-3-2-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #2, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  ⭐ Best Bet race
 
Race 6  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000
Win:9 – High Speed Reed (5/1) 18% · fair 9-2
Place:4 – Jerri Jo (9/2) 14% · fair 13-2 underlay -29%
Show:2 – Clever Miss (7/2) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -50%
Other contenders:11 – E Tee Aye (12/1) 12% · fair 7-1 overlay +66%, 3 – Miss Mccloud (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 12 – Peony Park (15/1) 7% · fair 14-1, 1 – Blue Hill (10/1) 5% · fair 35-2 underlay -42%
Rest of field:8 – Dice Dice Baby (8/1) 5% · fair 18-1 underlay -56%, 10 – Veles (12/1) 5% · fair 39-2 underlay -39%, 6 – Batcycle (15/1) 5% · fair 20-1 underlay -26%, 5 – Mariamakesmelaugh (20/1) 3% · fair 35-1 underlay -43%, 7 – Sweet Kathleen (20/1) 2% · fair 93-2 underlay -57%
🌧️ Off-track: 3-9-4-2-11-12
🎯 Longshots: 11-12-8-10-6-4-2-9-3-1-5-7
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #4, #2, #11  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $60,000
Win:12 – Gee No Hollander (3/1) 21% · fair 4-1
Place:5 – Fort Sam (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2
Show:3 – Curahee (6/1) 11% · fair 8-1
Other contenders:8 – Global Sensation (5/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -39%, 7 – Neon Nights (8/1) 9% · fair 21-2, 1 – Real Macho (8/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -27%, 11 – Creative Minister (12/1) 7% · fair 25-2
Rest of field:9 – American Law (15/1) 5% · fair 19-1, 6 – Couperin (12/1) 5% · fair 20-1 underlay -40%, 2 – Bebedouro (15/1) 4% · fair 43-2 underlay -31%, 4 – Bloodline (20/1) 4% · fair 26-1, 10 – Furious Anger (30/1) 3% · fair 32-1
🌧️ Off-track: 4-11-10-12-8-1
🎯 Longshots: 1-7-12-11-6-9-2-8-5-3-4-10
🎫 Trifecta play: #12 over #5, #3, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $76,000
Win:11 – Snare (3/1) 21% · fair 7-2
Place:6 – Taunting (4/1) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -42%
Show:5 – Culture War (6/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -29%
Other contenders:7 – Intuitive Wisdom (6/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -35%, 8 – Executor (8/1) 9% · fair 10-1, 12 – Sound Cause (10/1) 7% · fair 25-2, 3 – Rulookinforrayray (15/1) 5% · fair 20-1 underlay -25%
Rest of field:1 – Makutu (15/1) 4% · fair 43-2 underlay -30%, 10 – Demetrius (10/1) 4% · fair 22-1 underlay -55%, 13 – Gallic Charm (15/1) 4% · fair 24-1 underlay -38%, 4 – Mcilroy (20/1) 3% · fair 28-1 underlay -28%, 2 – Mi Compadre (20/1) 3% · fair 30-1 underlay -33%, 9 – Winery (30/1) 3% · fair 36-1, 14 – Jack Rabbit (30/1) 2% · fair 83-2 underlay -27%
🌧️ Off-track: 13-9-7-5-2-10
🎯 Longshots: 12-1-11-3-8-6-10-13-7-5-4-2-14-9
🎫 Trifecta play: #11 over #6, #5, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $127,000
Win:2 – Feminism (3/1) 19% · fair 9-2 underlay -31%
Place:8 – Moonlight Dash (9/2) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -26%
Show:6 – No What Ifs (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2
Other contenders:9 – White Smoke (8/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 7 – Teatonic (8/1) 11% · fair 8-1, 1 – Just Bluffing (4/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -53%
Rest of field:5 – Yo Fancy (6/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -33%, 3 – Spun Candy (10/1) 7% · fair 25-2, 4 – Solemn Vow (20/1) 5% · fair 39-2
🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-8-7-1-5
🎯 Longshots: 2-3-7-9-8-1-5-6-4
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #8, #6, #9  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 10  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000
Win:3 – Big Jake (2/1) 30% · fair 5-2
Place:11 – C's Today (9/2) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -40%
Show:7 – Flick (6/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -25%
Other contenders:9 – Payout (6/1) 9% · fair 21-2 underlay -44%, 6 – First Offense (8/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -31%, 4 – Summit Ridge (12/1) 7% · fair 25-2, 12 – Tapit's Gunner (15/1) 6% · fair 15-1
Rest of field:2 – Nomolimbo (20/1) 5% · fair 37-2, 1 – Alworth (12/1) 5% · fair 19-1 underlay -37%, 8 – Final Countdown (30/1) 4% · fair 26-1, 5 – Shapka (20/1) 3% · fair 36-1 underlay -45%, 10 – Sonic Saint (30/1) 1% · fair 101-1 underlay -70%
🌧️ Off-track: 8-11-9-6-4-12
🎯 Longshots: 3-6-12-4-11-9-2-1-7-5-8-10
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #11, #7, #9  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structures

Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the CatBoost-ordered straight exacta ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.

Race 1AI Exacta: #3 over #4 ($1 straight; box #3-#4 for cover)
Trifecta: #3 over #4, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 2AI Exacta: #4 over #8 ($1 straight; box #4-#8 for cover)
Trifecta: #8 over #3, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 3AI Exacta: #2 over #3 ($1 straight; box #2-#3 for cover)
Trifecta: #2 over #3, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 4AI Exacta: #10 over #1 ($1 straight; box #10-#1 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #10, #11, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 5AI Exacta: #6 over #5 ($1 straight; box #6-#5 for cover)
Trifecta: #6 over #5, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  ⭐ Best Bet race
Race 6AI Exacta: #4 over #9 ($1 straight; box #4-#9 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 7AI Exacta: #12 over #8 ($1 straight; box #12-#8 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #12, #5, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 8AI Exacta: #11 over #6 ($1 straight; box #11-#6 for cover)
Trifecta: #6 over #11, #1, #12 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 9AI Exacta: #2 over #1 ($1 straight; box #2-#1 for cover)
Trifecta: #2 over #1, #8, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 10AI Exacta: #3 over #11 ($1 straight; box #3-#11 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Kelly Edge Plays
Kelly Edge Plays   (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob isotonic)    Morning-line reliability: +0.38 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it)    Weekend sizing: ×0.82 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged)
RaceHorseMLLiveP(win)Edge¼ KellyBet on $ bankroll
102 – Nomolimbo20/19.0%+72.8%0.91%$0.91
84 – Mcilroy20/17.4%+44.8%0.56%$0.56
81 – Makutu15/19.2%+38.2%0.64%$0.64
42 – Road Trippin15/19.1%+37.6%0.63%$0.63
108 – Final Countdown30/14.6%+35.9%0.30%$0.30
611 – E Tee Aye12/110.8%+33.2%0.69%$0.69
43 – Terre Haute15/18.6%+31.2%0.52%$0.52
34 – Campaign Promises20/16.3%+25.7%0.32%$0.32
94 – Solemn Vow20/15.6%+15.1%0.19%$0.19
45 – Lion Guard50/12.3%+12.9%0.06%$0.06
83 – Rulookinforrayray15/17.0%+9.5%0.16%$0.16
612 – Peony Park15/17.0%+9.2%0.15%$0.15
TOTAL across 12 plays:5.1%$5.13
Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly.
💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line.
Experimental Weight Set 2
 
Race 1  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $57,000
Win:3 - Midnight Escapade (1/1)
Place:7 - She Is A Classic (7/2)
Show:4 - Denial (9/2)
Other contenders:5 - Amavida (12/1), 2 - Bride (10/1)
Rest of field:6 - Extra Benefits (8/1), 1 - Take That Girl (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-7-4-6-2-1
🎯 Longshots: 3-1-5-6-2-7-4
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #7, #4, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  7 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $89,000
Win:8 - Money Supply (7/2)
Place:3 - Light The Way (5/1)
Show:4 - Classic Car Wash (3/1)
Other contenders:7 - Dr Ruben M (9/2), 2 - Tuskegee Airmen (12/1), 1 - Frosty Indulgence (9/2)
Rest of field:5 - Can't Hush This (10/1), 6 - Timing Difference (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-4-3-7-1-2
🎯 Longshots: 4-5-2-8-3-6-7-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #3, #4, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $45,000
Win:2 - Tennesseehoneybee (8/5)
Place:3 - Margoinabubblebath (3/1)
Show:1 - Turf Rocket (10/1)
Other contenders:6 - Fugitive Star (8/1), 7 - Creative Quality (6/1), 5 - Miranda's Rocky (10/1)
Rest of field:8 - Mescat (15/1), 9 - Street Painter (12/1), 4 - Campaign Promises (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-3-1-7-5
🎯 Longshots: 2-3-6-9-4-5-1-8-7
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #1, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 1/8 Miles · Turf · Maiden Claiming · Purse $67,000
Win:10 - Flaming Rainbow (3/1)
Place:11 - Nyquistador (4/1)
Show:13 - Gallatin (6/1)
Other contenders:8 - Cantis (8/1), 1 - Last Moment (5/1), 2 - Road Trippin (15/1), 7 - Hard Row (6/1)
Rest of field:3 - Terre Haute (15/1), 4 - Bullfight (12/1), 12 - Spun Legacy (8/1), 9 - King Lee (20/1), 5 - Lion Guard (50/1), 6 - New Fund (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-2-11-10-1-12
🎯 Longshots: 10-3-2-9-8-12-1-4-11-7-6-13-5
🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #11, #13, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $141,000
Win:6 - Look Forward (8/5)
Place:2 - Silent Law (7/2)
Show:5 - Nooni (3/1)
Other contenders:1 - Roswell (9/2), 3 - Coaster (12/1)
Rest of field:7 - Tapit Quick (20/1), 4 - Spring Dancer (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-2-1-4-3
🎯 Longshots: 6-5-4-7-3-2-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #5, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  ⭐ Best Bet race
 
Race 6  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000
Win:1 - Blue Hill (10/1)
Place:2 - Clever Miss (7/2)
Show:3 - Miss Mccloud (6/1)
Other contenders:4 - Jerri Jo (9/2), 5 - Mariamakesmelaugh (20/1), 6 - Batcycle (15/1), 7 - Sweet Kathleen (20/1)
Rest of field:8 - Dice Dice Baby (8/1), 9 - High Speed Reed (5/1), 10 - Veles (12/1), 11 - E Tee Aye (12/1), 12 - Peony Park (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-2-4-5-6
🎯 Longshots: 11-12-8-10-6-4-2-9-3-1-5-7
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $60,000
Win:12 - Gee No Hollander (3/1)
Place:5 - Fort Sam (6/1)
Show:3 - Curahee (6/1)
Other contenders:6 - Couperin (12/1), 7 - Neon Nights (8/1), 9 - American Law (15/1), 1 - Real Macho (8/1)
Rest of field:2 - Bebedouro (15/1), 8 - Global Sensation (5/1), 11 - Creative Minister (12/1), 4 - Bloodline (20/1), 10 - Furious Anger (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 12-5-6-4-11-7
🎯 Longshots: 1-7-12-11-6-9-2-8-5-3-4-10
🎫 Trifecta play: #12 over #5, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $76,000
Win:7 - Intuitive Wisdom (6/1)
Place:11 - Snare (3/1)
Show:6 - Taunting (4/1)
Other contenders:5 - Culture War (6/1), 12 - Sound Cause (10/1), 8 - Executor (8/1), 1 - Makutu (15/1)
Rest of field:10 - Demetrius (10/1), 3 - Rulookinforrayray (15/1), 13 - Gallic Charm (15/1), 4 - Mcilroy (20/1), 2 - Mi Compadre (20/1), 14 - Jack Rabbit (30/1), 9 - Winery (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 13-7-5-6-8-10
🎯 Longshots: 12-1-11-3-8-6-10-13-7-5-4-2-14-9
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #11, #6, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $127,000
Win:2 - Feminism (3/1)
Place:8 - Moonlight Dash (9/2)
Show:1 - Just Bluffing (4/1)
Other contenders:7 - Teatonic (8/1), 9 - White Smoke (8/1), 6 - No What Ifs (6/1)
Rest of field:5 - Yo Fancy (6/1), 3 - Spun Candy (10/1), 4 - Solemn Vow (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-8-1-7-6-3
🎯 Longshots: 2-3-7-9-8-1-5-6-4
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #8, #1, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 10  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000
Win:1 - Alworth (12/1)
Place:2 - Nomolimbo (20/1)
Show:3 - Big Jake (2/1)
Other contenders:4 - Summit Ridge (12/1), 5 - Shapka (20/1), 6 - First Offense (8/1), 7 - Flick (6/1)
Rest of field:8 - Final Countdown (30/1), 9 - Payout (6/1), 10 - Sonic Saint (30/1), 11 - C's Today (9/2), 12 - Tapit's Gunner (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-1-4-5-6-9
🎯 Longshots: 3-6-12-4-11-9-2-1-7-5-8-10
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Experimental Weight Set 3
 
Race 1  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $57,000
Win:3 - Midnight Escapade (1/1)
Place:4 - Denial (9/2)
Show:2 - Bride (10/1)
Other contenders:6 - Extra Benefits (8/1), 7 - She Is A Classic (7/2)
Rest of field:1 - Take That Girl (15/1), 5 - Amavida (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-2-6-7-1
🎯 Longshots: 3-1-5-6-2-7-4
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #2, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  7 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $89,000
Win:8 - Money Supply (7/2)
Place:3 - Light The Way (5/1)
Show:7 - Dr Ruben M (9/2)
Other contenders:4 - Classic Car Wash (3/1), 1 - Frosty Indulgence (9/2), 5 - Can't Hush This (10/1)
Rest of field:2 - Tuskegee Airmen (12/1), 6 - Timing Difference (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-3-4-7-1-2
🎯 Longshots: 4-5-2-8-3-6-7-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #3, #7, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $45,000
Win:2 - Tennesseehoneybee (8/5)
Place:3 - Margoinabubblebath (3/1)
Show:6 - Fugitive Star (8/1)
Other contenders:7 - Creative Quality (6/1), 1 - Turf Rocket (10/1), 9 - Street Painter (12/1)
Rest of field:5 - Miranda's Rocky (10/1), 4 - Campaign Promises (20/1), 8 - Mescat (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-3-7-1-5
🎯 Longshots: 2-3-6-9-4-5-1-8-7
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #6, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 1/8 Miles · Turf · Maiden Claiming · Purse $67,000
Win:1 - Last Moment (5/1)
Place:10 - Flaming Rainbow (3/1)
Show:11 - Nyquistador (4/1)
Other contenders:8 - Cantis (8/1), 4 - Bullfight (12/1), 3 - Terre Haute (15/1), 13 - Gallatin (6/1)
Rest of field:12 - Spun Legacy (8/1), 7 - Hard Row (6/1), 2 - Road Trippin (15/1), 9 - King Lee (20/1), 6 - New Fund (30/1), 5 - Lion Guard (50/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-2-1-11-10-12
🎯 Longshots: 10-3-2-9-8-12-1-4-11-7-6-13-5
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #10, #11, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $141,000
Win:6 - Look Forward (8/5)
Place:5 - Nooni (3/1)
Show:2 - Silent Law (7/2)
Other contenders:1 - Roswell (9/2), 4 - Spring Dancer (8/1)
Rest of field:7 - Tapit Quick (20/1), 3 - Coaster (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-4-2-1-3
🎯 Longshots: 6-5-4-7-3-2-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #2, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  ⭐ Best Bet race
 
Race 6  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000
Win:1 - Blue Hill (10/1)
Place:2 - Clever Miss (7/2)
Show:3 - Miss Mccloud (6/1)
Other contenders:4 - Jerri Jo (9/2), 5 - Mariamakesmelaugh (20/1), 6 - Batcycle (15/1), 7 - Sweet Kathleen (20/1)
Rest of field:8 - Dice Dice Baby (8/1), 9 - High Speed Reed (5/1), 10 - Veles (12/1), 11 - E Tee Aye (12/1), 12 - Peony Park (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-2-4-5-6
🎯 Longshots: 11-12-8-10-6-4-2-9-3-1-5-7
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $60,000
Win:1 - Real Macho (8/1)
Place:12 - Gee No Hollander (3/1)
Show:5 - Fort Sam (6/1)
Other contenders:8 - Global Sensation (5/1), 6 - Couperin (12/1), 3 - Curahee (6/1), 9 - American Law (15/1)
Rest of field:2 - Bebedouro (15/1), 11 - Creative Minister (12/1), 7 - Neon Nights (8/1), 4 - Bloodline (20/1), 10 - Furious Anger (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-12-1-11-8-5
🎯 Longshots: 1-7-12-11-6-9-2-8-5-3-4-10
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #12, #5, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $76,000
Win:6 - Taunting (4/1)
Place:11 - Snare (3/1)
Show:1 - Makutu (15/1)
Other contenders:12 - Sound Cause (10/1), 7 - Intuitive Wisdom (6/1), 5 - Culture War (6/1), 8 - Executor (8/1)
Rest of field:10 - Demetrius (10/1), 3 - Rulookinforrayray (15/1), 13 - Gallic Charm (15/1), 14 - Jack Rabbit (30/1), 2 - Mi Compadre (20/1), 4 - Mcilroy (20/1), 9 - Winery (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 13-7-6-5-8-10
🎯 Longshots: 12-1-11-3-8-6-10-13-7-5-4-2-14-9
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #11, #1, #12  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $127,000
Win:2 - Feminism (3/1)
Place:1 - Just Bluffing (4/1)
Show:8 - Moonlight Dash (9/2)
Other contenders:5 - Yo Fancy (6/1), 6 - No What Ifs (6/1), 7 - Teatonic (8/1)
Rest of field:3 - Spun Candy (10/1), 9 - White Smoke (8/1), 4 - Solemn Vow (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-8-5-3-7
🎯 Longshots: 2-3-7-9-8-1-5-6-4
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #8, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 10  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $120,000
Win:1 - Alworth (12/1)
Place:2 - Nomolimbo (20/1)
Show:3 - Big Jake (2/1)
Other contenders:4 - Summit Ridge (12/1), 5 - Shapka (20/1), 6 - First Offense (8/1), 7 - Flick (6/1)
Rest of field:8 - Final Countdown (30/1), 9 - Payout (6/1), 10 - Sonic Saint (30/1), 11 - C's Today (9/2), 12 - Tapit's Gunner (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-1-4-5-6-9
🎯 Longshots: 3-6-12-4-11-9-2-1-7-5-8-10
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settings
Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1,
AI Multi-Race Tickets - Pick 3 / Pick 4

Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.

Pick 3 R1-3R1: #3,#7,#4 (66%) / R2: #8,#3,#4 (52%) / R3: #2,#3,#6 (56%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 19%
Pick 3 R2-4R2: #8,#3,#4 (52%) / R3: #2,#3,#6 (56%) / R4: #10,#1,#11 (41%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 12%
Pick 3 R3-5R3: #2,#3,#6 (56%) / R4: #10,#1,#11 (41%) / R5: #6,#5,#2 (65%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 15%
Pick 3 R5-7R5: #6,#5,#2 (65%) / R6: #9,#4,#2 (44%) / R7: #12,#5,#3 (44%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 13%
Pick 4 R1-4R1: #3,#7,#4 (66%) / R2: #8,#3,#4 (52%) / R3: #2,#3,#6 (56%) / R4: #10,#1,#11 (41%)
$81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 8%
Pick 4 R2-5R2: #8,#3,#4 (52%) / R3: #2,#3,#6 (56%) / R4: #10,#1,#11 (41%) / R5: #6,#5,#2 (65%)
$81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 8%
Index - Horses Running In This Card
ALWORTHAMAVIDAAMERICAN LAWBATCYCLEBEBEDOURO
BLOODLINEBLUE HILLBRIDEBULLFIGHTC'S TODAY
CAN'T HUSH THISCANTISCLASSIC CAR WASHCLEVER MISSCOASTER
CREATIVE MINISTERCREATIVE QUALITYCULTURE WARCURAHEEDEMETRIUS
DICE DICE BABYDR RUBEN ME TEE AYEEXECUTOREXTRA BENEFITS
FINAL COUNTDOWNFIRST OFFENSEFLAMING RAINBOWFLICKFORT SAM
FUGITIVE STARFURIOUS ANGERGALLATINGALLIC CHARMGEE NO HOLLANDER
HARD ROWHIGH SPEED REEDINTUITIVE WISDOMJACK RABBITJERRI JO
KING LEELAST MOMENTLIGHT THE WAYLION GUARDLOOK FORWARD
MARGOINABUBBLEBATHMARIAMAKESMELAUGHMCILROYMESCATMI COMPADRE
MIRANDA'S ROCKYMISS MCCLOUDMONEY SUPPLYMOONLIGHT DASHNEON NIGHTS
NO WHAT IFSNOMOLIMBONOONINYQUISTADORPAYOUT
REAL MACHOROAD TRIPPINROSWELLRULOOKINFORRAYRAYSHAPKA
SILENT LAWSNARESOLEMN VOWSONIC SAINTSOUND CAUSE
SPUN CANDYSPUN LEGACYSTREET PAINTERSUMMIT RIDGESWEET KATHLEEN
TAPIT QUICKTAPIT'S GUNNERTAUNTINGTEATONICTENNESSEEHONEYBEE
TIMING DIFFERENCETURF ROCKETTUSKEGEE AIRMENVELESWHITE SMOKE
YO FANCY

 


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