How did these picks do?
Results for this card as of 8:10 AM, graded from the official charts. Each row is that section's top pick in every race with a result; races still pending are not counted. The full week is in the weekly recap.
| Section | Races graded | Won | 2nd | 3rd | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Algo 1 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18% |
| Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 55% |
| Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 45% |
| Experimental Weight Set 2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 27% |
| Experimental Weight Set 3 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 36% |
Kelly Edge Plays: 3 flagged longshot(s) graded, 0 won, 0 finished in the money.
Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) and Algo 3 (AI Win Probability, shown with fair odds) are ranked by measured performance on our weekly scoreboard, so a higher number is a stronger pick source. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets; Insider adds Algo 2; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
| Race 1 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $29,600 | |
| Win: | 2 – Switchin' To Glide (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Good To Be Lucky (2/1) |
| Show: | 5 – Screen Scene (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Maynard's Song (9/2), 4 – Halcon Negro (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Black Goddess (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-6-5-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-5-3-1-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 1/16 Miles · Inner Turf · Claiming · Purse $57,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – Thundermaker (2/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Delta Force (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 – Accelerando (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Motion Granted (6/1), 6 – King Rosso (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Mia Mitole (12/1), 7 – Remarkably Human (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-4-6-2-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-4-2-6-7-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 7 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $125,500 | |
| Win: | 3 – Epic Affair (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Klassen (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Classic Lines (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Any Oscar (8/1), 8 – Humble And Kind (10/1), 7 – Glorious Gem (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Ginny's Souper (8/1), 4 – Her Sequel (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-2-5-8-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-6-1-3-5-2-7-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $71,700 | |
| Win: | 6 – Northern King (5/2) |
| Place: | 2 – Signature Winner (7/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Hypnotizm (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Magical Trickster (2/1), 5 – Wasteland (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – The Pendulumswings (8/1), 4 – Baytown Thracian (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-1-3-5-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-1-2-7-4-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1 Miles · Inner Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $125,500 | |
| Win: | 3 – Moon Channel (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – No Hay Dos (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Smokin Empire (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Copa De Plata (6/1), 7 – Forever Frosty (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Chasing Memories (20/1), 2 – Baltic Sea (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-1-3-7-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-7-2-6-5-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $125,500 | |
| Win: | 1 – Jack Sparrow (10/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Ghostface (9/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Merckx (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Classy Guest (15/1), 3 – Shades Of Silver (20/1), 8 – Samaritan Trail (5/1), 12 – Bunyan (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 11 – True North Star (3/1), 6 – Appointed Talent (20/1), 9 – Tiz A Quest (12/1), 5 – Sunny's Rainbow (20/1), 10 – Arkin (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-2-4-3-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-11-4-2-8-7-12-3-9-6-5-10 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #7, #2, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $150,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Souper Survivor (1/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Longshot Leo (9/5) |
| Show: | 5 – Prince Shaman (12/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – It Wasn't A Bluff (8/1), 6 – King Kadooment (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – War Emperor (6/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-5-3-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-6-3-5-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $131,500 | |
| Win: | 1 – Lucky Score (7/2) |
| Place: | 6 – Essex Serpent (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Foxtrotanna (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Hunt Master (9/5), 7 – Jet Sweep Joe (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Baxley (6/1), 4 – Cara Cara (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-1-7-6-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-1-2-7-5-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $150,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Sarayu (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Whitemudwest (6/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Stunningly Perfect (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Princess Orlaith (7/2), 7 – Awesome Grace (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Champagne Sunday (12/1), 2 – Tweeternity (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-1-6-5-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-7-2-3-5-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 10 1 1/8 Miles · Turf · Nongraded Stake · Purse $150,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Ontario (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Elysian Field (3/1) |
| Show: | 3 – War Painter (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Fortyfiveseventy (6/1), 7 – Speedy Freeze (4/1), 4 – Crystal Visions (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Scat Girl (20/1), 6 – Just Magnificent (15/1), 9 – Nantuckets Day (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-2-3-7-6-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-3-9-4-6-7-8-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #3, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 11 1 1/16 Miles · Inner Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $69,500 | |
| Win: | 10 – Big Screen Boss (3/1) |
| Place: | 7 – Weller Green (2/1) |
| Show: | 11 – Its In The Cards (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 12 – Amore Mio (8/1), 6 – Mad World (8/1), 1 – Semper Liber (12/1), 8 – Noburu (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Political Warfare (15/1), 2 – Maker's Flatter (5/1), 4 – Skaal (6/1), 3 – Bright Angel (15/1), 5 – Call Me Bond (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 11-4-7-9-1-12 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-6-10-5-12-1-4-11-3-2-9-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #7, #11, #12 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
| Race 1 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $29,600 | |
| Win: | 6 – Good To Be Lucky (2/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Switchin' To Glide (5/2) |
| Show: | 3 – Maynard's Song (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Screen Scene (3/1), 4 – Halcon Negro (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Black Goddess (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-2-3-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-5-3-1-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 1/16 Miles · Inner Turf · Claiming · Purse $57,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – Thundermaker (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Accelerando (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Delta Force (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – Motion Granted (6/1), 6 – King Rosso (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Remarkably Human (12/1), 4 – Mia Mitole (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-4-6-2-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-4-2-6-7-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 7 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $125,500 | |
| Win: | 3 – Epic Affair (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Klassen (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Classic Lines (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Any Oscar (8/1), 8 – Humble And Kind (10/1), 7 – Glorious Gem (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Ginny's Souper (8/1), 4 – Her Sequel (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-2-5-8-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-6-1-3-5-2-7-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $71,700 | |
| Win: | 6 – Northern King (5/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Magical Trickster (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Signature Winner (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – The Pendulumswings (8/1), 5 – Wasteland (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Baytown Thracian (8/1), 1 – Hypnotizm (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-2-7-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-1-2-7-4-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #2, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1 Miles · Inner Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $125,500 | |
| Win: | 3 – Moon Channel (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – No Hay Dos (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Smokin Empire (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Copa De Plata (6/1), 7 – Forever Frosty (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Baltic Sea (8/1), 4 – Chasing Memories (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-1-7-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-7-2-6-5-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $125,500 | |
| Win: | 7 – Ghostface (9/2) |
| Place: | 11 – True North Star (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 – Merckx (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Jack Sparrow (10/1), 8 – Samaritan Trail (5/1), 12 – Bunyan (6/1), 4 – Classy Guest (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Shades Of Silver (20/1), 9 – Tiz A Quest (12/1), 6 – Appointed Talent (20/1), 5 – Sunny's Rainbow (20/1), 10 – Arkin (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-11-2-8-12 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-11-4-2-8-7-12-3-9-6-5-10 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #11, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $150,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Souper Survivor (1/1) |
| Place: | 2 – Longshot Leo (9/5) |
| Show: | 3 – It Wasn't A Bluff (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – War Emperor (6/1), 5 – Prince Shaman (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – King Kadooment (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-4-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-6-3-5-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $131,500 | |
| Win: | 6 – Essex Serpent (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Hunt Master (9/5) |
| Show: | 1 – Lucky Score (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Foxtrotanna (10/1), 5 – Baxley (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Jet Sweep Joe (12/1), 4 – Cara Cara (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-1-7-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-1-2-7-5-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $150,000 | |
| Win: | 4 – Sarayu (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 – Princess Orlaith (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Stunningly Perfect (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Whitemudwest (6/1), 7 – Awesome Grace (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Champagne Sunday (12/1), 2 – Tweeternity (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-6-1-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-7-2-3-5-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 10 1 1/8 Miles · Turf · Nongraded Stake · Purse $150,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Ontario (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Elysian Field (3/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Speedy Freeze (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 – War Painter (8/1), 8 – Fortyfiveseventy (6/1), 4 – Crystal Visions (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Just Magnificent (15/1), 5 – Scat Girl (20/1), 9 – Nantuckets Day (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-2-3-6-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-3-9-4-6-7-8-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #7, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 11 1 1/16 Miles · Inner Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $69,500 | |
| Win: | 7 – Weller Green (2/1) |
| Place: | 10 – Big Screen Boss (3/1) |
| Show: | 11 – Its In The Cards (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Maker's Flatter (5/1), 4 – Skaal (6/1), 12 – Amore Mio (8/1), 6 – Mad World (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Bright Angel (15/1), 1 – Semper Liber (12/1), 9 – Political Warfare (15/1), 8 – Noburu (20/1), 5 – Call Me Bond (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 11-4-7-9-1-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-6-10-5-12-1-4-11-3-2-9-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #10, #11, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 1 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $29,600 | |
| Win: | 6 – Good To Be Lucky (2/1) 26% · fair 3-1 underlay -29% |
| Place: | 2 – Switchin' To Glide (5/2) 25% · fair 3-1 |
| Show: | 5 – Screen Scene (3/1) 16% · fair 11-2 underlay -45% |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Halcon Negro (6/1) 15% · fair 11-2, 3 – Maynard's Song (9/2) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -34% |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Black Goddess (20/1) 5% · fair 35-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-6-2-5-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-5-3-1-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 1/16 Miles · Inner Turf · Claiming · Purse $57,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – Thundermaker (2/1) 24% · fair 3-1 underlay -36% |
| Place: | 1 – Accelerando (5/2) 21% · fair 4-1 underlay -34% |
| Show: | 2 – Delta Force (3/1) 20% · fair 4-1 |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Remarkably Human (12/1) 10% · fair 17-2 overlay +41%, 3 – Motion Granted (6/1) 10% · fair 17-2 underlay -31% |
| Rest of field: | 6 – King Rosso (8/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -32%, 4 – Mia Mitole (12/1) 6% · fair 31-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-4-6-2-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-4-2-6-7-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #2, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 7 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $125,500 | |
| Win: | 3 – Epic Affair (5/2) 23% · fair 7-2 underlay -27% |
| Place: | 1 – Klassen (3/1) 16% · fair 11-2 underlay -44% |
| Show: | 2 – Classic Lines (4/1) 16% · fair 11-2 underlay -26% |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Humble And Kind (10/1) 12% · fair 15-2 overlay +34%, 7 – Glorious Gem (6/1) 10% · fair 17-2 underlay -31%, 5 – Any Oscar (8/1) 10% · fair 9-1 |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Ginny's Souper (8/1) 9% · fair 10-1, 4 – Her Sequel (20/1) 5% · fair 39-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-2-8-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-6-1-3-5-2-7-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #2, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $71,700 | |
| Win: | 6 – Northern King (5/2) 24% · fair 3-1 |
| Place: | 2 – Signature Winner (7/2) 18% · fair 9-2 |
| Show: | 3 – Magical Trickster (2/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -64% |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Wasteland (6/1) 13% · fair 7-1, 7 – The Pendulumswings (8/1) 12% · fair 15-2 |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Hypnotizm (12/1) 9% · fair 10-1, 4 – Baytown Thracian (8/1) 9% · fair 21-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-3-5-7-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-1-2-7-4-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1 Miles · Inner Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $125,500 | |
| Win: | 3 – Moon Channel (2/1) 26% · fair 3-1 underlay -31% |
| Place: | 1 – No Hay Dos (5/2) 21% · fair 4-1 underlay -35% |
| Show: | 5 – Copa De Plata (6/1) 17% · fair 9-2 overlay +26% |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Smokin Empire (7/2) 16% · fair 5-1 underlay -33%, 7 – Forever Frosty (8/1) 9% · fair 19-2 |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Baltic Sea (8/1) 7% · fair 25-2 underlay -36%, 4 – Chasing Memories (20/1) 3% · fair 29-1 underlay -31% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-1-4-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-7-2-6-5-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $125,500 | |
| Win: | 7 – Ghostface (9/2) 24% · fair 3-1 overlay +44% |
| Place: | 11 – True North Star (3/1) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -38% |
| Show: | 8 – Samaritan Trail (5/1) 10% · fair 17-2 underlay -42% |
| Other contenders: | 12 – Bunyan (6/1) 9% · fair 10-1 underlay -40%, 1 – Jack Sparrow (10/1) 9% · fair 21-2, 2 – Merckx (8/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -29%, 4 – Classy Guest (15/1) 6% · fair 31-2 |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Tiz A Quest (12/1) 4% · fair 45-2 underlay -47%, 6 – Appointed Talent (20/1) 4% · fair 49-2, 3 – Shades Of Silver (20/1) 4% · fair 55-2 underlay -27%, 5 – Sunny's Rainbow (20/1) 3% · fair 75-2 underlay -47%, 10 – Arkin (20/1) 2% · fair 56-1 underlay -64% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-11-8-12-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-11-4-2-8-7-12-3-9-6-5-10 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #11, #8, #12 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $150,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Souper Survivor (1/1) 30% · fair 5-2 underlay -58% |
| Place: | 2 – Longshot Leo (9/5) 25% · fair 3-1 underlay -40% |
| Show: | 3 – It Wasn't A Bluff (8/1) 12% · fair 7-1 |
| Other contenders: | 6 – King Kadooment (10/1) 12% · fair 7-1 overlay +41%, 4 – War Emperor (6/1) 10% · fair 17-2 underlay -30% |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Prince Shaman (12/1) 10% · fair 9-1 overlay +35% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-3-6-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-6-3-5-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $131,500 | |
| Win: | 6 – Essex Serpent (2/1) 26% · fair 3-1 underlay -28% |
| Place: | 3 – Hunt Master (9/5) 25% · fair 3-1 underlay -41% |
| Show: | 1 – Lucky Score (7/2) 21% · fair 4-1 |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Baxley (6/1) 10% · fair 19-2 underlay -36%, 2 – Foxtrotanna (10/1) 9% · fair 21-2 |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Jet Sweep Joe (12/1) 6% · fair 33-2 underlay -28%, 4 – Cara Cara (20/1) 4% · fair 25-1 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-2-7-1-4-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-1-2-7-5-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $150,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – Princess Orlaith (7/2) 31% · fair 2-1 overlay +61% |
| Place: | 4 – Sarayu (2/1) 22% · fair 7-2 underlay -45% |
| Show: | 6 – Stunningly Perfect (3/1) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -51% |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Whitemudwest (6/1) 13% · fair 13-2, 7 – Awesome Grace (8/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -26% |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Champagne Sunday (12/1) 6% · fair 16-1, 2 – Tweeternity (10/1) 5% · fair 19-1 underlay -47% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-6-1-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-7-2-3-5-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 10 1 1/8 Miles · Turf · Nongraded Stake · Purse $150,000 | |
| Win: | 2 – Ontario (2/1) 25% · fair 3-1 underlay -34% |
| Place: | 1 – Elysian Field (3/1) 19% · fair 4-1 underlay -28% |
| Show: | 7 – Speedy Freeze (4/1) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -39% |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Fortyfiveseventy (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 3 – War Painter (8/1) 11% · fair 8-1, 4 – Crystal Visions (12/1) 7% · fair 27-2 |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Just Magnificent (15/1) 5% · fair 37-2, 9 – Nantuckets Day (20/1) 4% · fair 24-1, 5 – Scat Girl (20/1) 4% · fair 25-1 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-2-3-6-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-3-9-4-6-7-8-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #7, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 11 1 1/16 Miles · Inner Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $69,500 | |
| Win: | 10 – Big Screen Boss (3/1) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -49% |
| Place: | 11 – Its In The Cards (7/2) 14% · fair 13-2 underlay -45% |
| Show: | 7 – Weller Green (2/1) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -69% |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Skaal (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 2 – Maker's Flatter (5/1) 9% · fair 10-1 underlay -49%, 6 – Mad World (8/1) 9% · fair 10-1, 12 – Amore Mio (8/1) 7% · fair 25-2 underlay -35% |
| Rest of field: | 9 – Political Warfare (15/1) 6% · fair 15-1, 3 – Bright Angel (15/1) 5% · fair 37-2, 1 – Semper Liber (12/1) 4% · fair 22-1 underlay -46%, 8 – Noburu (20/1) 3% · fair 31-1 underlay -35%, 5 – Call Me Bond (20/1) 2% · fair 93-2 underlay -57% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 11-4-7-9-1-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-6-10-5-12-1-4-11-3-2-9-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #11, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.
| Race 1 | AI Exacta: #6 over #2 ($1 straight; box #6-#2 for cover) Trifecta: #2 over #6, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 2 | AI Exacta: #5 over #1 ($1 straight; box #5-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #5 over #2, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 3 | AI Exacta: #3 over #1 ($1 straight; box #3-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #1, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 4 | AI Exacta: #6 over #3 ($1 straight; box #6-#3 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #3, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 5 | AI Exacta: #3 over #1 ($1 straight; box #3-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #3, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 6 | AI Exacta: #7 over #11 ($1 straight; box #7-#11 for cover) Trifecta: #7 over #2, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 7 | AI Exacta: #1 over #2 ($1 straight; box #1-#2 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #2, #4, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 8 | AI Exacta: #3 over #6 ($1 straight; box #3-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #1, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 9 | AI Exacta: #4 over #6 ($1 straight; box #4-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #6, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 10 | AI Exacta: #2 over #1 ($1 straight; box #2-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #2 over #1, #8, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 11 | AI Exacta: #7 over #10 ($1 straight; box #7-#10 for cover) Trifecta: #10 over #7, #11, #12 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob isotonic) Morning-line reliability: +0.33 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.82 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) | |||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | Live | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 6 | 3 – Shades Of Silver | 20/1 | — | 8.7% | +59.5% | 0.74% | $0.74 |
| 6 | 4 – Classy Guest | 15/1 | — | 8.7% | +28.5% | 0.48% | $0.48 |
| 6 | 1 – Jack Sparrow | 10/1 | — | 12.3% | +25.5% | 0.64% | $0.64 |
| 10 | 5 – Scat Girl | 20/1 | — | 6.3% | +22.7% | 0.28% | $0.28 |
| TOTAL across 4 plays: | 2.1% | $2.14 | |||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | |||||||
| 💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line. | |||||||
| Race 1 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $29,600 | |
| Win: | 2 - Switchin' To Glide (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 - Good To Be Lucky (2/1) |
| Show: | 5 - Screen Scene (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4 - Halcon Negro (6/1), 3 - Maynard's Song (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 1 - Black Goddess (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-5-4-3-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-5-3-1-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 1/16 Miles · Inner Turf · Claiming · Purse $57,000 | |
| Win: | 5 - Thundermaker (2/1) |
| Place: | 2 - Delta Force (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 - Accelerando (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - Motion Granted (6/1), 7 - Remarkably Human (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - King Rosso (8/1), 4 - Mia Mitole (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-2-4-6-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-4-2-6-7-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 7 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $125,500 | |
| Win: | 3 - Epic Affair (5/2) |
| Place: | 5 - Any Oscar (8/1) |
| Show: | 7 - Glorious Gem (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 - Klassen (3/1), 8 - Humble And Kind (10/1), 6 - Ginny's Souper (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 - Her Sequel (20/1), 2 - Classic Lines (4/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-5-7-1-8-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-6-1-3-5-2-7-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #7, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $71,700 | |
| Win: | 6 - Northern King (5/2) |
| Place: | 3 - Magical Trickster (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 - Signature Winner (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 - Wasteland (6/1), 1 - Hypnotizm (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 - The Pendulumswings (8/1), 4 - Baytown Thracian (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-2-5-1-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-1-2-7-4-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1 Miles · Inner Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $125,500 | |
| Win: | 1 - No Hay Dos (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 - Smokin Empire (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 - Moon Channel (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 - Copa De Plata (6/1), 7 - Forever Frosty (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 - Chasing Memories (20/1), 2 - Baltic Sea (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-1-6-3-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-7-2-6-5-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $125,500 | |
| Win: | 7 - Ghostface (9/2) |
| Place: | 11 - True North Star (3/1) |
| Show: | 8 - Samaritan Trail (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 - Jack Sparrow (10/1), 12 - Bunyan (6/1), 4 - Classy Guest (15/1), 2 - Merckx (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 - Shades Of Silver (20/1), 9 - Tiz A Quest (12/1), 5 - Sunny's Rainbow (20/1), 6 - Appointed Talent (20/1), 10 - Arkin (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-11-8-12-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-11-4-2-8-7-12-3-9-6-5-10 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #11, #8, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $150,000 | |
| Win: | 2 - Longshot Leo (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 - Souper Survivor (1/1) |
| Show: | 3 - It Wasn't A Bluff (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 - King Kadooment (10/1), 4 - War Emperor (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 - Prince Shaman (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-3-6-4-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-6-3-5-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $131,500 | |
| Win: | 6 - Essex Serpent (2/1) |
| Place: | 3 - Hunt Master (9/5) |
| Show: | 1 - Lucky Score (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 - Baxley (6/1), 7 - Jet Sweep Joe (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Foxtrotanna (10/1), 4 - Cara Cara (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-2-6-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-1-2-7-5-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $150,000 | |
| Win: | 4 - Sarayu (2/1) |
| Place: | 5 - Princess Orlaith (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 - Stunningly Perfect (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 - Awesome Grace (8/1), 1 - Whitemudwest (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 - Champagne Sunday (12/1), 2 - Tweeternity (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-6-7-1-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-7-2-3-5-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 10 1 1/8 Miles · Turf · Nongraded Stake · Purse $150,000 | |
| Win: | 2 - Ontario (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 - Elysian Field (3/1) |
| Show: | 8 - Fortyfiveseventy (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - War Painter (8/1), 7 - Speedy Freeze (4/1), 5 - Scat Girl (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 - Crystal Visions (12/1), 9 - Nantuckets Day (20/1), 6 - Just Magnificent (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-2-3-7-5-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-3-9-4-6-7-8-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #8, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 11 1 1/16 Miles · Inner Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $69,500 | |
| Win: | 10 - Big Screen Boss (3/1) |
| Place: | 7 - Weller Green (2/1) |
| Show: | 11 - Its In The Cards (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 12 - Amore Mio (8/1), 6 - Mad World (8/1), 2 - Maker's Flatter (5/1), 4 - Skaal (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 - Noburu (20/1), 3 - Bright Angel (15/1), 1 - Semper Liber (12/1), 9 - Political Warfare (15/1), 5 - Call Me Bond (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 11-7-4-12-10-9 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-6-10-5-12-1-4-11-3-2-9-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #7, #11, #12 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
| Race 1 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $29,600 | |
| Win: | 2 - Switchin' To Glide (5/2) |
| Place: | 6 - Good To Be Lucky (2/1) |
| Show: | 5 - Screen Scene (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - Maynard's Song (9/2), 4 - Halcon Negro (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 - Black Goddess (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2-6-1-5-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-2-5-3-1-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 1/16 Miles · Inner Turf · Claiming · Purse $57,000 | |
| Win: | 5 - Thundermaker (2/1) |
| Place: | 2 - Delta Force (3/1) |
| Show: | 1 - Accelerando (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 - King Rosso (8/1), 3 - Motion Granted (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 - Mia Mitole (12/1), 7 - Remarkably Human (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-4-2-6-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5-1-4-2-6-7-3 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 7 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $125,500 | |
| Win: | 3 - Epic Affair (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 - Klassen (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 - Classic Lines (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 - Any Oscar (8/1), 8 - Humble And Kind (10/1), 7 - Glorious Gem (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - Ginny's Souper (8/1), 4 - Her Sequel (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-2-5-8-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-6-1-3-5-2-7-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $71,700 | |
| Win: | 6 - Northern King (5/2) |
| Place: | 3 - Magical Trickster (2/1) |
| Show: | 2 - Signature Winner (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 - Hypnotizm (12/1), 5 - Wasteland (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 - The Pendulumswings (8/1), 4 - Baytown Thracian (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-2-1-5-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-3-1-2-7-4-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1 Miles · Inner Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $125,500 | |
| Win: | 1 - No Hay Dos (5/2) |
| Place: | 3 - Moon Channel (2/1) |
| Show: | 6 - Smokin Empire (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 5 - Copa De Plata (6/1), 7 - Forever Frosty (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Baltic Sea (8/1), 4 - Chasing Memories (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-1-3-6-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-3-7-2-6-5-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $125,500 | |
| Win: | 7 - Ghostface (9/2) |
| Place: | 2 - Merckx (8/1) |
| Show: | 1 - Jack Sparrow (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - Shades Of Silver (20/1), 4 - Classy Guest (15/1), 8 - Samaritan Trail (5/1), 11 - True North Star (3/1) |
| Rest of field: | 12 - Bunyan (6/1), 6 - Appointed Talent (20/1), 9 - Tiz A Quest (12/1), 5 - Sunny's Rainbow (20/1), 10 - Arkin (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-2-3-4-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-11-4-2-8-7-12-3-9-6-5-10 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #2, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $150,000 | |
| Win: | 1 - Souper Survivor (1/1) |
| Place: | 2 - Longshot Leo (9/5) |
| Show: | 4 - War Emperor (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - It Wasn't A Bluff (8/1), 5 - Prince Shaman (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 - King Kadooment (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-4-3-5-6 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-2-6-3-5-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #4, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $131,500 | |
| Win: | 6 - Essex Serpent (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 - Lucky Score (7/2) |
| Show: | 3 - Hunt Master (9/5) |
| Other contenders: | 2 - Foxtrotanna (10/1), 5 - Baxley (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 - Jet Sweep Joe (12/1), 4 - Cara Cara (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-2-6-7-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-1-2-7-5-4 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $150,000 | |
| Win: | 4 - Sarayu (2/1) |
| Place: | 6 - Stunningly Perfect (3/1) |
| Show: | 5 - Princess Orlaith (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 - Whitemudwest (6/1), 7 - Awesome Grace (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 - Champagne Sunday (12/1), 2 - Tweeternity (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-6-5-1-7-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-6-7-2-3-5-1 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 10 1 1/8 Miles · Turf · Nongraded Stake · Purse $150,000 | |
| Win: | 2 - Ontario (2/1) |
| Place: | 1 - Elysian Field (3/1) |
| Show: | 8 - Fortyfiveseventy (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - War Painter (8/1), 7 - Speedy Freeze (4/1), 5 - Scat Girl (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 - Crystal Visions (12/1), 6 - Just Magnificent (15/1), 9 - Nantuckets Day (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 9-2-3-7-1-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2-1-3-9-4-6-7-8-5 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #8, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 11 1 1/16 Miles · Inner Turf · Optional Claiming · Purse $69,500 | |
| Win: | 10 - Big Screen Boss (3/1) |
| Place: | 7 - Weller Green (2/1) |
| Show: | 11 - Its In The Cards (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 12 - Amore Mio (8/1), 2 - Maker's Flatter (5/1), 6 - Mad World (8/1), 4 - Skaal (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 - Semper Liber (12/1), 9 - Political Warfare (15/1), 3 - Bright Angel (15/1), 8 - Noburu (20/1), 5 - Call Me Bond (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 11-4-7-1-9-10 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-6-10-5-12-1-4-11-3-2-9-8 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #7, #11, #12 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.
| Pick 3 R1-3 | R1: #6,#2,#5 (67%) / R2: #5,#1,#2 (65%) / R3: #3,#1,#2 (54%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 24% |
| Pick 3 R6-8 | R6: #7,#11,#8 (52%) / R7: #1,#2,#3 (67%) / R8: #6,#3,#1 (72%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 25% |
| Pick 3 R7-9 | R7: #1,#2,#3 (67%) / R8: #6,#3,#1 (72%) / R9: #5,#4,#6 (67%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 32% |
| Pick 3 R8-10 | R8: #6,#3,#1 (72%) / R9: #5,#4,#6 (67%) / R10: #2,#1,#7 (58%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 28% |
| Pick 4 R6-9 | R6: #7,#11,#8 (52%) / R7: #1,#2,#3 (67%) / R8: #6,#3,#1 (72%) / R9: #5,#4,#6 (67%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 17% |
| Pick 4 R7-10 | R7: #1,#2,#3 (67%) / R8: #6,#3,#1 (72%) / R9: #5,#4,#6 (67%) / R10: #2,#1,#7 (58%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 19% |
| ACCELERANDO | AMORE MIO | ANY OSCAR | APPOINTED TALENT | ARKIN |
| BALTIC SEA | BAXLEY | BAYTOWN THRACIAN | BIG SCREEN BOSS | BLACK GODDESS |
| BUNYAN | CALL ME BOND | CARA CARA | CHAMPAGNE SUNDAY | CHASING MEMORIES |
| CLASSY GUEST | COPA DE PLATA | CRYSTAL VISIONS | DELTA FORCE | ELYSIAN FIELD |
| ESSEX SERPENT | FOREVER FROSTY | FORTYFIVESEVENTY | FOXTROTANNA | GHOSTFACE |
| GLORIOUS GEM | GOOD TO BE LUCKY | HALCON NEGRO | HER SEQUEL | HUMBLE AND KIND |
| HYPNOTIZM | IT WASN'T A BLUFF | ITS IN THE CARDS | JACK SPARROW | JET SWEEP JOE |
| KING KADOOMENT | KING ROSSO | KLASSEN | LONGSHOT LEO | LUCKY SCORE |
| MAGICAL TRICKSTER | MAKER'S FLATTER | MAYNARD'S SONG | MERCKX | MIA MITOLE |
| MOTION GRANTED | NANTUCKETS DAY | NO HAY DOS | NOBURU | NORTHERN KING |
| POLITICAL WARFARE | PRINCE SHAMAN | PRINCESS ORLAITH | REMARKABLY HUMAN | SAMARITAN TRAIL |
| SCAT GIRL | SCREEN SCENE | SEMPER LIBER | SHADES OF SILVER | SIGNATURE WINNER |
| SMOKIN EMPIRE | SOUPER SURVIVOR | SPEEDY FREEZE | STUNNINGLY PERFECT | SUNNY'S RAINBOW |
| THE PENDULUMSWINGS | THUNDERMAKER | TIZ A QUEST | TRUE NORTH STAR | TWEETERNITY |
| WAR PAINTER | WASTELAND | WELLER GREEN | WHITEMUDWEST |
Get more in-depth analysis for all races and enjoy many other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
