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Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Parx Racing, September 18, 2026

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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) and Algo 3 (AI Win Probability, shown with fair odds) are ranked by measured performance on our weekly scoreboard, so a higher number is a stronger pick source. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets; Insider adds Algo 2; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.

How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.

Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:8 – Bala De Plata (3/1)
Place:4 – If I Can Dream (4/1)
Show:14 – Willisau (5/1)
Other contenders:11 – Let'smakeitadouble (6/1), 13 – Bootleg Runner (6/1), 3 – Major Weigelia (10/1), 12 – Alastar (10/1), 6 – King Of The Cross (8/1)
Rest of field:16 – One Last Bullet (15/1), 1 – Petey Motto (10/1), 5 – Stormbreaker (12/1), 15 – Captain Oats (8/1), 9 – Carcharoth (20/1), 18 – Next Level Beau (12/1), 17 – Bernie Says So (10/1), 7 – Chilling Zensation (10/1), 2 – Fastidious (20/1), 10 – Quetzal Island (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-13-4-5-12-7
🎯 Longshots: 8-7-2-15-6-3-17-18-5-12-1-4-16-10-13-11-14-9
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #14, #11  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:8 – Angie's Reward (5/2)
Place:4 – Mamarsha (9/2)
Show:11 – Peacefulezfeeling (6/1)
Other contenders:5 – Maureen's Empire (10/1), 3 – Spoonbill (10/1), 10 – Medium Cool (5/1), 6 – Probable Angle (8/1)
Rest of field:1 – Maxisure (20/1), 12 – Gwen To Win (6/1), 7 – Polar Magic (15/1), 14 – City Broad (20/1), 2 – Critical Magic (20/1), 13 – Stay Loyal (20/1), 9 – Instant Vision (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-11-8-5-10-12
🎯 Longshots: 8-3-5-4-6-1-10-7-2-11-12-14-13-9
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #11, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:4 – Aggregation (6/1)
Place:3 – Noted (5/1)
Show:8 – Prince Colton (3/1)
Other contenders:7 – Escape Key (9/2), 2 – Fast Bob (8/1), 10 – J J's Ranger (12/1)
Rest of field:9 – Melt With You (8/1), 5 – Indy Rags (8/1), 6 – Boys Of Summer (12/1), 1 – War Commander (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-8-2-5-6
🎯 Longshots: 8-6-1-9-2-3-4-10-7-5
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #8, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:11 – Summonyourcourage (5/2)
Place:6 – Stinger Bee (9/2)
Show:4 – Extrasexymcsteemee (10/1)
Other contenders:7 – Right Wing Runner (8/1), 10 – Possum (5/1), 2 – Real Blues (15/1), 8 – Global Steve (12/1)
Rest of field:9 – Chubasco Sauce (12/1), 5 – Up The Kingdom (8/1), 3 – Battle Anthem (15/1), 1 – Coach Clint (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-11-2-7-4-3
🎯 Longshots: 11-4-8-7-5-9-3-2-6-10-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #11 over #6, #4, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:7 – Analog Jones (3/1)
Place:3 – Carnaby (4/1)
Show:4 – Liberte De Bayeux (6/1)
Other contenders:1 – Midlaner (6/1), 8 – Fight Fiercely (5/1), 6 – Cojelo Pa Ti (12/1)
Rest of field:5 – Mr. Mendelssohn (12/1), 9 – Capital Conquest (10/1), 2 – Peruvian Lucky (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7-3-6-1-5-8
🎯 Longshots: 7-6-5-3-9-8-2-4-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #3, #4, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:5 – Starlit Nite (7/2)
Place:7 – Chiquita's Way (5/2)
Show:4 – Midnight Flight (3/1)
Other contenders:2 – Prayed For Girl (10/1), 1 – Mo Attitude (9/2), 6 – Joyful Joyce (10/1)
Rest of field:8 – Flaming Eyes (20/1), 3 – Sweet Distraction (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-7-1-2-6
🎯 Longshots: 7-6-4-2-5-1-8-3
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #7, #4, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:9 – Miles Of Smiles (7/2)
Place:11 – Sister Supream (9/2)
Show:12 – Cruise Missile (6/1)
Other contenders:1 – Lady Emily Kathryn (6/1), 8 – Cynthia Gail (4/1), 5 – Grace Reformed (8/1), 7 – Securitylightning (8/1)
Rest of field:6 – Rowsie Express (8/1), 4 – Amy Mule (20/1), 2 – Wow Lucky (15/1), 10 – Spanish Girl (15/1), 3 – You Know Me (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-9-11-5-8
🎯 Longshots: 9-4-6-5-7-11-8-10-12-1-2-3
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #11, #12, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $100,000
Win:10 – Devil's Cay (7/2)
Place:2 – Elusive Target (10/1)
Show:6 – Big Blue Line (6/1)
Other contenders:5 – Market Maven (6/1), 9 – I Feelucky Tonite (10/1), 11 – Try To Make Cents (5/1), 4 – Sunday Spirit (10/1)
Rest of field:8 – Striking Sparks (6/1), 1 – Tizmarkus (9/2), 3 – In Spades (10/1), 7 – Best Bet (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-8-1-9-2-11
🎯 Longshots: 2-4-9-10-6-5-3-1-7-11-8
🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #2, #6, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:2 – Pearls And Heels (9/2)
Place:9 – Mila Rose (7/2)
Show:5 – Mezcalifornia (4/1)
Other contenders:12 – Boss Like Beth (8/1), 7 – Fussy Girl (15/1), 8 – Browneyedvalentine (12/1), 3 – Game Energy (5/1)
Rest of field:10 – Lost Love (10/1), 1 – Sunlit (20/1), 6 – Mikey's Song (20/1), 4 – She Can Scat (20/1), 11 – Violets Smile (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-12-7-8-3
🎯 Longshots: 12-7-4-9-8-10-5-2-3-1-11-6
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #9, #5, #12  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 10  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $100,000
Win:4 – Antonacci Girl (4/1)
Place:7 – Dancing On My Own (6/1)
Show:16 – Pink Rose (8/1)
Other contenders:12 – Lord's Lady (9/2), 8 – Lika Rolling Stone (5/1), 9 – Pachelbel (10/1), 11 – Lovely Charm (6/1), 3 – Pam Pam (10/1)
Rest of field:1 – Warrior's Ransom (10/1), 10 – I Can Run (8/1), 2 – Equus (12/1), 6 – Mavilus (10/1), 5 – Tariba Dream (10/1), 15 – Magical Trick (15/1), 14 – Allenhurst (12/1), 13 – J Rivers (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7-4-9-12-8-6
🎯 Longshots: 16-9-4-10-5-3-1-14-12-6-2-15-8-7-11-13
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #7, #16, #12  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 11  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $40,000
Win:8 – Blazing Bucchero (4/1)
Place:4 – Mission Artemis (9/2)
Show:2 – Starlord (6/1)
Other contenders:7 – Bourbon Aficionado (8/1), 1 – Cassation (8/1), 12 – Huggy (10/1), 13 – Tavern Time (6/1), 9 – Fully Committed (12/1)
Rest of field:3 – Riley's Rockstar (10/1), 5 – Bobo Liver (12/1), 16 – Cisco Kid (20/1), 14 – Celestial Dark (15/1), 6 – Fluff The Pillow (15/1), 11 – Onlygodcanjudgeme (20/1), 15 – Reelin N Dealin (15/1), 10 – Ten Plus Ten (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-8-7-1-13
🎯 Longshots: 7-5-12-1-4-9-3-8-10-6-14-13-2-15-11-16
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #2, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5,
AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:8 – Bala De Plata (3/1)
Place:4 – If I Can Dream (4/1)
Show:14 – Willisau (5/1)
Other contenders:13 – Bootleg Runner (6/1), 11 – Let'smakeitadouble (6/1), 6 – King Of The Cross (8/1), 15 – Captain Oats (8/1), 3 – Major Weigelia (10/1)
Rest of field:5 – Stormbreaker (12/1), 1 – Petey Motto (10/1), 12 – Alastar (10/1), 7 – Chilling Zensation (10/1), 17 – Bernie Says So (10/1), 18 – Next Level Beau (12/1), 16 – One Last Bullet (15/1), 10 – Quetzal Island (15/1), 9 – Carcharoth (20/1), 2 – Fastidious (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-13-5-7-4-2
🎯 Longshots: 8-7-2-15-6-3-17-18-5-12-1-4-16-10-13-11-14-9
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #14, #13  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:8 – Angie's Reward (5/2)
Place:4 – Mamarsha (9/2)
Show:10 – Medium Cool (5/1)
Other contenders:11 – Peacefulezfeeling (6/1), 6 – Probable Angle (8/1), 12 – Gwen To Win (6/1), 5 – Maureen's Empire (10/1)
Rest of field:3 – Spoonbill (10/1), 2 – Critical Magic (20/1), 7 – Polar Magic (15/1), 1 – Maxisure (20/1), 14 – City Broad (20/1), 13 – Stay Loyal (20/1), 9 – Instant Vision (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-10-11-12-5-2
🎯 Longshots: 8-3-5-4-6-1-10-7-2-11-12-14-13-9
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #10, #11  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:8 – Prince Colton (3/1)
Place:3 – Noted (5/1)
Show:7 – Escape Key (9/2)
Other contenders:4 – Aggregation (6/1), 9 – Melt With You (8/1), 2 – Fast Bob (8/1)
Rest of field:5 – Indy Rags (8/1), 10 – J J's Ranger (12/1), 6 – Boys Of Summer (12/1), 1 – War Commander (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-8-2-1-5
🎯 Longshots: 8-6-1-9-2-3-4-10-7-5
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #3, #7, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:11 – Summonyourcourage (5/2)
Place:6 – Stinger Bee (9/2)
Show:10 – Possum (5/1)
Other contenders:7 – Right Wing Runner (8/1), 4 – Extrasexymcsteemee (10/1), 8 – Global Steve (12/1), 5 – Up The Kingdom (8/1)
Rest of field:9 – Chubasco Sauce (12/1), 3 – Battle Anthem (15/1), 2 – Real Blues (15/1), 1 – Coach Clint (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-1-3-2-7-9
🎯 Longshots: 11-4-8-7-5-9-3-2-6-10-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #11 over #6, #10, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:7 – Analog Jones (3/1)
Place:3 – Carnaby (4/1)
Show:4 – Liberte De Bayeux (6/1)
Other contenders:1 – Midlaner (6/1), 8 – Fight Fiercely (5/1), 6 – Cojelo Pa Ti (12/1)
Rest of field:9 – Capital Conquest (10/1), 2 – Peruvian Lucky (8/1), 5 – Mr. Mendelssohn (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-7-6-5-1-2
🎯 Longshots: 7-6-5-3-9-8-2-4-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #3, #4, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:7 – Chiquita's Way (5/2)
Place:5 – Starlit Nite (7/2)
Show:4 – Midnight Flight (3/1)
Other contenders:1 – Mo Attitude (9/2), 2 – Prayed For Girl (10/1), 6 – Joyful Joyce (10/1)
Rest of field:8 – Flaming Eyes (20/1), 3 – Sweet Distraction (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-7-5-1-2-6
🎯 Longshots: 7-6-4-2-5-1-8-3
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #5, #4, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:9 – Miles Of Smiles (7/2)
Place:8 – Cynthia Gail (4/1)
Show:12 – Cruise Missile (6/1)
Other contenders:11 – Sister Supream (9/2), 1 – Lady Emily Kathryn (6/1), 5 – Grace Reformed (8/1), 6 – Rowsie Express (8/1)
Rest of field:7 – Securitylightning (8/1), 2 – Wow Lucky (15/1), 10 – Spanish Girl (15/1), 4 – Amy Mule (20/1), 3 – You Know Me (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-5-9-8-11
🎯 Longshots: 9-4-6-5-7-11-8-10-12-1-2-3
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #8, #12, #11  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $100,000
Win:10 – Devil's Cay (7/2)
Place:6 – Big Blue Line (6/1)
Show:1 – Tizmarkus (9/2)
Other contenders:11 – Try To Make Cents (5/1), 5 – Market Maven (6/1), 8 – Striking Sparks (6/1), 2 – Elusive Target (10/1)
Rest of field:4 – Sunday Spirit (10/1), 9 – I Feelucky Tonite (10/1), 3 – In Spades (10/1), 7 – Best Bet (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-8-1-11-9-3
🎯 Longshots: 2-4-9-10-6-5-3-1-7-11-8
🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #6, #1, #11  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:9 – Mila Rose (7/2)
Place:2 – Pearls And Heels (9/2)
Show:5 – Mezcalifornia (4/1)
Other contenders:3 – Game Energy (5/1), 12 – Boss Like Beth (8/1), 7 – Fussy Girl (15/1), 8 – Browneyedvalentine (12/1)
Rest of field:10 – Lost Love (10/1), 1 – Sunlit (20/1), 11 – Violets Smile (20/1), 6 – Mikey's Song (20/1), 4 – She Can Scat (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-11-5-3-12
🎯 Longshots: 12-7-4-9-8-10-5-2-3-1-11-6
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #2, #5, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 10  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $100,000
Win:4 – Antonacci Girl (4/1)
Place:8 – Lika Rolling Stone (5/1)
Show:11 – Lovely Charm (6/1)
Other contenders:7 – Dancing On My Own (6/1), 12 – Lord's Lady (9/2), 16 – Pink Rose (8/1), 10 – I Can Run (8/1), 9 – Pachelbel (10/1)
Rest of field:1 – Warrior's Ransom (10/1), 3 – Pam Pam (10/1), 5 – Tariba Dream (10/1), 2 – Equus (12/1), 6 – Mavilus (10/1), 14 – Allenhurst (12/1), 15 – Magical Trick (15/1), 13 – J Rivers (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7-4-9-6-8-12
🎯 Longshots: 16-9-4-10-5-3-1-14-12-6-2-15-8-7-11-13
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #8, #11, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 11  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $40,000
Win:8 – Blazing Bucchero (4/1)
Place:4 – Mission Artemis (9/2)
Show:2 – Starlord (6/1)
Other contenders:1 – Cassation (8/1), 13 – Tavern Time (6/1), 12 – Huggy (10/1), 7 – Bourbon Aficionado (8/1), 9 – Fully Committed (12/1)
Rest of field:3 – Riley's Rockstar (10/1), 5 – Bobo Liver (12/1), 6 – Fluff The Pillow (15/1), 11 – Onlygodcanjudgeme (20/1), 10 – Ten Plus Ten (15/1), 14 – Celestial Dark (15/1), 15 – Reelin N Dealin (15/1), 16 – Cisco Kid (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-7-8-1-13
🎯 Longshots: 7-5-12-1-4-9-3-8-10-6-14-13-2-15-11-16
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #2, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:8 – Bala De Plata (3/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -59%
Place:15 – Captain Oats (8/1) 11% · fair 17-2
Show:14 – Willisau (5/1) 9% · fair 19-2 underlay -49%
Other contenders:4 – If I Can Dream (4/1) 9% · fair 10-1 underlay -59%, 11 – Let'smakeitadouble (6/1) 6% · fair 29-2 underlay -59%, 13 – Bootleg Runner (6/1) 6% · fair 15-1 underlay -61%, 17 – Bernie Says So (10/1) 6% · fair 33-2 underlay -40%, 6 – King Of The Cross (8/1) 5% · fair 18-1 underlay -56%
Rest of field:12 – Alastar (10/1) 5% · fair 18-1 underlay -45%, 3 – Major Weigelia (10/1) 5% · fair 21-1 underlay -52%, 18 – Next Level Beau (12/1) 4% · fair 23-1 underlay -48%, 16 – One Last Bullet (15/1) 4% · fair 47-2 underlay -36%, 7 – Chilling Zensation (10/1) 4% · fair 47-2 underlay -57%, 1 – Petey Motto (10/1) 4% · fair 26-1 underlay -61%, 5 – Stormbreaker (12/1) 3% · fair 31-1 underlay -61%, 10 – Quetzal Island (15/1) 3% · fair 75-2 underlay -60%, 9 – Carcharoth (20/1) 2% · fair 89-2 underlay -55%, 2 – Fastidious (20/1) 1% · fair 133-2 underlay -70%
🌧️ Off-track: 8-13-5-2-7-12
🎯 Longshots: 8-7-2-15-6-3-17-18-5-12-1-4-16-10-13-11-14-9
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #15, #14, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:8 – Angie's Reward (5/2) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -54%
Place:4 – Mamarsha (9/2) 15% · fair 6-1
Show:10 – Medium Cool (5/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -36%
Other contenders:11 – Peacefulezfeeling (6/1) 10% · fair 17-2 underlay -31%, 12 – Gwen To Win (6/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -33%, 5 – Maureen's Empire (10/1) 8% · fair 12-1, 6 – Probable Angle (8/1) 8% · fair 25-2 underlay -35%
Rest of field:3 – Spoonbill (10/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -27%, 7 – Polar Magic (15/1) 4% · fair 26-1 underlay -42%, 2 – Critical Magic (20/1) 3% · fair 30-1 underlay -33%, 13 – Stay Loyal (20/1) 3% · fair 36-1 underlay -45%, 1 – Maxisure (20/1) 3% · fair 73-2 underlay -45%, 14 – City Broad (20/1) 2% · fair 48-1 underlay -58%, 9 – Instant Vision (20/1) 2% · fair 99-2 underlay -60%
🌧️ Off-track: 4-11-12-5-7-2
🎯 Longshots: 8-3-5-4-6-1-10-7-2-11-12-14-13-9
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #10, #11  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:8 – Prince Colton (3/1) 16% · fair 11-2 underlay -43%
Place:3 – Noted (5/1) 14% · fair 6-1
Show:7 – Escape Key (9/2) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -35%
Other contenders:4 – Aggregation (6/1) 12% · fair 7-1, 9 – Melt With You (8/1) 9% · fair 10-1, 2 – Fast Bob (8/1) 9% · fair 21-2
Rest of field:5 – Indy Rags (8/1) 7% · fair 25-2 underlay -37%, 6 – Boys Of Summer (12/1) 7% · fair 14-1, 10 – J J's Ranger (12/1) 6% · fair 29-2, 1 – War Commander (15/1) 6% · fair 29-2
🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-2-1-8-6
🎯 Longshots: 8-6-1-9-2-3-4-10-7-5
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #3, #7, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:11 – Summonyourcourage (5/2) 27% · fair 5-2
Place:10 – Possum (5/1) 15% · fair 6-1
Show:6 – Stinger Bee (9/2) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -35%
Other contenders:4 – Extrasexymcsteemee (10/1) 10% · fair 9-1, 7 – Right Wing Runner (8/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -29%, 8 – Global Steve (12/1) 7% · fair 25-2, 5 – Up The Kingdom (8/1) 7% · fair 14-1 underlay -43%
Rest of field:3 – Battle Anthem (15/1) 5% · fair 37-2, 9 – Chubasco Sauce (12/1) 4% · fair 26-1 underlay -54%, 2 – Real Blues (15/1) 3% · fair 28-1 underlay -46%, 1 – Coach Clint (20/1) 2% · fair 64-1 underlay -69%
🌧️ Off-track: 8-1-3-2-7-9
🎯 Longshots: 11-4-8-7-5-9-3-2-6-10-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #11 over #10, #6, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:7 – Analog Jones (3/1) 23% · fair 7-2
Place:3 – Carnaby (4/1) 14% · fair 13-2 underlay -37%
Show:4 – Liberte De Bayeux (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2
Other contenders:8 – Fight Fiercely (5/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -37%, 1 – Midlaner (6/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -29%, 9 – Capital Conquest (10/1) 10% · fair 9-1
Rest of field:6 – Cojelo Pa Ti (12/1) 8% · fair 11-1, 5 – Mr. Mendelssohn (12/1) 6% · fair 29-2, 2 – Peruvian Lucky (8/1) 5% · fair 17-1 underlay -54%
🌧️ Off-track: 3-6-7-5-2-1
🎯 Longshots: 7-6-5-3-9-8-2-4-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #3, #4, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:7 – Chiquita's Way (5/2) 26% · fair 3-1
Place:4 – Midnight Flight (3/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -32%
Show:5 – Starlit Nite (7/2) 18% · fair 9-2
Other contenders:1 – Mo Attitude (9/2) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -35%, 2 – Prayed For Girl (10/1) 10% · fair 9-1, 6 – Joyful Joyce (10/1) 8% · fair 23-2
Rest of field:8 – Flaming Eyes (20/1) 4% · fair 24-1, 3 – Sweet Distraction (20/1) 4% · fair 27-1 underlay -26%
🌧️ Off-track: 4-7-1-5-2-8
🎯 Longshots: 7-6-4-2-5-1-8-3
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #4, #5, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:9 – Miles Of Smiles (7/2) 18% · fair 9-2
Place:8 – Cynthia Gail (4/1) 16% · fair 5-1
Show:11 – Sister Supream (9/2) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -41%
Other contenders:12 – Cruise Missile (6/1) 11% · fair 8-1, 1 – Lady Emily Kathryn (6/1) 9% · fair 10-1 underlay -41%, 7 – Securitylightning (8/1) 7% · fair 13-1 underlay -39%, 5 – Grace Reformed (8/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -42%
Rest of field:6 – Rowsie Express (8/1) 6% · fair 29-2 underlay -46%, 2 – Wow Lucky (15/1) 5% · fair 21-1 underlay -29%, 10 – Spanish Girl (15/1) 4% · fair 26-1 underlay -42%, 3 – You Know Me (20/1) 3% · fair 71-2 underlay -44%, 4 – Amy Mule (20/1) 3% · fair 71-2 underlay -44%
🌧️ Off-track: 2-1-5-8-9-3
🎯 Longshots: 9-4-6-5-7-11-8-10-12-1-2-3
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #8, #11, #12  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $100,000
Win:10 – Devil's Cay (7/2) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -31%
Place:11 – Try To Make Cents (5/1) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -30%
Show:6 – Big Blue Line (6/1) 11% · fair 8-1
Other contenders:5 – Market Maven (6/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -26%, 2 – Elusive Target (10/1) 9% · fair 21-2, 9 – I Feelucky Tonite (10/1) 8% · fair 11-1, 8 – Striking Sparks (6/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -50%
Rest of field:3 – In Spades (10/1) 7% · fair 13-1, 1 – Tizmarkus (9/2) 7% · fair 14-1 underlay -68%, 4 – Sunday Spirit (10/1) 6% · fair 29-2 underlay -32%, 7 – Best Bet (15/1) 4% · fair 26-1 underlay -43%
🌧️ Off-track: 6-8-1-9-11-3
🎯 Longshots: 2-4-9-10-6-5-3-1-7-11-8
🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #11, #6, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:3 – Game Energy (5/1) 17% · fair 5-1
Place:9 – Mila Rose (7/2) 14% · fair 13-2 underlay -45%
Show:12 – Boss Like Beth (8/1) 12% · fair 7-1
Other contenders:5 – Mezcalifornia (4/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -47%, 2 – Pearls And Heels (9/2) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -42%, 10 – Lost Love (10/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -27%, 7 – Fussy Girl (15/1) 7% · fair 14-1
Rest of field:1 – Sunlit (20/1) 5% · fair 19-1, 8 – Browneyedvalentine (12/1) 5% · fair 39-2 underlay -38%, 11 – Violets Smile (20/1) 3% · fair 55-2 underlay -28%, 6 – Mikey's Song (20/1) 3% · fair 55-2 underlay -28%, 4 – She Can Scat (20/1) 3% · fair 30-1 underlay -33%
🌧️ Off-track: 1-11-2-3-12-5
🎯 Longshots: 12-7-4-9-8-10-5-2-3-1-11-6
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #9, #12, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 10  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $100,000
Win:4 – Antonacci Girl (4/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -51%
Place:16 – Pink Rose (8/1) 10% · fair 19-2
Show:7 – Dancing On My Own (6/1) 9% · fair 21-2 underlay -44%
Other contenders:12 – Lord's Lady (9/2) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -60%, 11 – Lovely Charm (6/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -50%, 10 – I Can Run (8/1) 7% · fair 13-1 underlay -39%, 9 – Pachelbel (10/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -26%, 8 – Lika Rolling Stone (5/1) 6% · fair 16-1 underlay -69%
Rest of field:5 – Tariba Dream (10/1) 6% · fair 16-1 underlay -38%, 1 – Warrior's Ransom (10/1) 6% · fair 33-2 underlay -40%, 14 – Allenhurst (12/1) 5% · fair 18-1 underlay -34%, 2 – Equus (12/1) 4% · fair 45-2 underlay -46%, 15 – Magical Trick (15/1) 4% · fair 47-2 underlay -36%, 3 – Pam Pam (10/1) 4% · fair 24-1 underlay -58%, 6 – Mavilus (10/1) 4% · fair 27-1 underlay -63%, 13 – J Rivers (20/1) 3% · fair 77-2 underlay -48%
🌧️ Off-track: 6-9-7-15-4-12
🎯 Longshots: 16-9-4-10-5-3-1-14-12-6-2-15-8-7-11-13
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #16, #7, #12  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 11  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $40,000
Win:4 – Mission Artemis (9/2) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -36%
Place:8 – Blazing Bucchero (4/1) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -43%
Show:13 – Tavern Time (6/1) 10% · fair 17-2 underlay -31%
Other contenders:9 – Fully Committed (12/1) 9% · fair 21-2, 7 – Bourbon Aficionado (8/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -27%, 2 – Starlord (6/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -55%, 1 – Cassation (8/1) 6% · fair 15-1 underlay -47%, 12 – Huggy (10/1) 6% · fair 15-1 underlay -34%
Rest of field:3 – Riley's Rockstar (10/1) 6% · fair 16-1 underlay -38%, 15 – Reelin N Dealin (15/1) 5% · fair 19-1, 5 – Bobo Liver (12/1) 4% · fair 49-2 underlay -51%, 10 – Ten Plus Ten (15/1) 4% · fair 25-1 underlay -40%, 14 – Celestial Dark (15/1) 3% · fair 67-2 underlay -55%, 6 – Fluff The Pillow (15/1) 3% · fair 36-1 underlay -58%, 11 – Onlygodcanjudgeme (20/1) 3% · fair 37-1 underlay -46%, 16 – Cisco Kid (20/1) 1% · fair 69-1 underlay -71%
🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-15-7-14-8
🎯 Longshots: 7-5-12-1-4-9-3-8-10-6-14-13-2-15-11-16
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #8, #13, #9  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ

Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the CatBoost-ordered straight exacta ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.

Race 1AI Exacta: #8 over #4 ($1 straight; box #8-#4 for cover)
Trifecta: #8 over #4, #11, #14 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 2AI Exacta: #8 over #4 ($1 straight; box #8-#4 for cover)
Trifecta: #8 over #4, #10, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 3AI Exacta: #8 over #7 ($1 straight; box #8-#7 for cover)
Trifecta: #4 over #3, #7, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 4AI Exacta: #11 over #6 ($1 straight; box #11-#6 for cover)
Trifecta: #11 over #6, #4, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 5AI Exacta: #7 over #3 ($1 straight; box #7-#3 for cover)
Trifecta: #7 over #3, #8, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 6AI Exacta: #7 over #1 ($1 straight; box #7-#1 for cover)
Trifecta: #5 over #7, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 7AI Exacta: #9 over #12 ($1 straight; box #9-#12 for cover)
Trifecta: #9 over #11, #8, #12 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 8AI Exacta: #10 over #11 ($1 straight; box #10-#11 for cover)
Trifecta: #10 over #11, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 9AI Exacta: #9 over #5 ($1 straight; box #9-#5 for cover)
Trifecta: #2 over #5, #9, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 10AI Exacta: #4 over #8 ($1 straight; box #4-#8 for cover)
Trifecta: #8 over #11, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 11AI Exacta: #8 over #4 ($1 straight; box #8-#4 for cover)
Trifecta: #8 over #4, #7, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Kelly Edge Playsⓘ
Kelly Edge Plays   (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob isotonic)    Morning-line reliability: +0.34 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it)    Weekend sizing: ×0.80 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged)
RaceHorseMLLiveP(win)Edge¼ KellyBet on $ bankroll
22 – Critical Magic20/1—7.1%+36.0%0.45%$0.45
91 – Sunlit20/1—6.5%+26.3%0.33%$0.33
97 – Fussy Girl15/1—8.3%+23.5%0.39%$0.39
56 – Cojelo Pa Ti12/1—10.1%+22.6%0.47%$0.47
1112 – Huggy10/1—11.2%+17.0%0.42%$0.42
1111 – Onlygodcanjudgeme20/1—5.5%+10.5%0.13%$0.13
TOTAL across 6 plays:2.2%$2.20
Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly.
💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line.
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:8 - Bala De Plata (3/1)
Place:4 - If I Can Dream (4/1)
Show:14 - Willisau (5/1)
Other contenders:9 - Carcharoth (20/1), 11 - Let'smakeitadouble (6/1), 3 - Major Weigelia (10/1), 12 - Alastar (10/1), 6 - King Of The Cross (8/1)
Rest of field:1 - Petey Motto (10/1), 13 - Bootleg Runner (6/1), 7 - Chilling Zensation (10/1), 15 - Captain Oats (8/1), 17 - Bernie Says So (10/1), 5 - Stormbreaker (12/1), 18 - Next Level Beau (12/1), 16 - One Last Bullet (15/1), 10 - Quetzal Island (15/1), 2 - Fastidious (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-4-9-13-12-3
🎯 Longshots: 8-7-2-15-6-3-17-18-5-12-1-4-16-10-13-11-14-9
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #14, #9  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:8 - Angie's Reward (5/2)
Place:4 - Mamarsha (9/2)
Show:11 - Peacefulezfeeling (6/1)
Other contenders:10 - Medium Cool (5/1), 5 - Maureen's Empire (10/1), 6 - Probable Angle (8/1), 13 - Stay Loyal (20/1)
Rest of field:1 - Maxisure (20/1), 12 - Gwen To Win (6/1), 9 - Instant Vision (20/1), 14 - City Broad (20/1), 3 - Spoonbill (10/1), 7 - Polar Magic (15/1), 2 - Critical Magic (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-8-11-10-5-13
🎯 Longshots: 8-3-5-4-6-1-10-7-2-11-12-14-13-9
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #11, #10  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:7 - Escape Key (9/2)
Place:4 - Aggregation (6/1)
Show:9 - Melt With You (8/1)
Other contenders:3 - Noted (5/1), 8 - Prince Colton (3/1), 10 - J J's Ranger (12/1)
Rest of field:6 - Boys Of Summer (12/1), 2 - Fast Bob (8/1), 5 - Indy Rags (8/1), 1 - War Commander (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-8-9-2-7
🎯 Longshots: 8-6-1-9-2-3-4-10-7-5
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #4, #9, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:11 - Summonyourcourage (5/2)
Place:6 - Stinger Bee (9/2)
Show:10 - Possum (5/1)
Other contenders:8 - Global Steve (12/1), 4 - Extrasexymcsteemee (10/1), 7 - Right Wing Runner (8/1), 3 - Battle Anthem (15/1)
Rest of field:2 - Real Blues (15/1), 9 - Chubasco Sauce (12/1), 5 - Up The Kingdom (8/1), 1 - Coach Clint (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-11-3-10-2-7
🎯 Longshots: 11-4-8-7-5-9-3-2-6-10-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #11 over #6, #10, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:7 - Analog Jones (3/1)
Place:8 - Fight Fiercely (5/1)
Show:4 - Liberte De Bayeux (6/1)
Other contenders:9 - Capital Conquest (10/1), 3 - Carnaby (4/1), 2 - Peruvian Lucky (8/1)
Rest of field:1 - Midlaner (6/1), 6 - Cojelo Pa Ti (12/1), 5 - Mr. Mendelssohn (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7-3-8-6-9-2
🎯 Longshots: 7-6-5-3-9-8-2-4-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #8, #4, #9  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:5 - Starlit Nite (7/2)
Place:7 - Chiquita's Way (5/2)
Show:4 - Midnight Flight (3/1)
Other contenders:1 - Mo Attitude (9/2), 2 - Prayed For Girl (10/1), 6 - Joyful Joyce (10/1)
Rest of field:8 - Flaming Eyes (20/1), 3 - Sweet Distraction (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-7-1-2-6
🎯 Longshots: 7-6-4-2-5-1-8-3
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #7, #4, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:11 - Sister Supream (9/2)
Place:9 - Miles Of Smiles (7/2)
Show:8 - Cynthia Gail (4/1)
Other contenders:12 - Cruise Missile (6/1), 6 - Rowsie Express (8/1), 1 - Lady Emily Kathryn (6/1), 7 - Securitylightning (8/1)
Rest of field:10 - Spanish Girl (15/1), 2 - Wow Lucky (15/1), 5 - Grace Reformed (8/1), 4 - Amy Mule (20/1), 3 - You Know Me (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 11-1-2-9-8-12
🎯 Longshots: 9-4-6-5-7-11-8-10-12-1-2-3
🎫 Trifecta play: #11 over #9, #8, #12  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $100,000
Win:11 - Try To Make Cents (5/1)
Place:10 - Devil's Cay (7/2)
Show:8 - Striking Sparks (6/1)
Other contenders:5 - Market Maven (6/1), 9 - I Feelucky Tonite (10/1), 6 - Big Blue Line (6/1), 3 - In Spades (10/1)
Rest of field:2 - Elusive Target (10/1), 1 - Tizmarkus (9/2), 4 - Sunday Spirit (10/1), 7 - Best Bet (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-11-8-10-9-3
🎯 Longshots: 2-4-9-10-6-5-3-1-7-11-8
🎫 Trifecta play: #11 over #10, #8, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:9 - Mila Rose (7/2)
Place:2 - Pearls And Heels (9/2)
Show:7 - Fussy Girl (15/1)
Other contenders:12 - Boss Like Beth (8/1), 3 - Game Energy (5/1), 5 - Mezcalifornia (4/1), 8 - Browneyedvalentine (12/1)
Rest of field:6 - Mikey's Song (20/1), 10 - Lost Love (10/1), 11 - Violets Smile (20/1), 1 - Sunlit (20/1), 4 - She Can Scat (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-7-9-12-3-5
🎯 Longshots: 12-7-4-9-8-10-5-2-3-1-11-6
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #2, #7, #12  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 10  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $100,000
Win:4 - Antonacci Girl (4/1)
Place:10 - I Can Run (8/1)
Show:7 - Dancing On My Own (6/1)
Other contenders:8 - Lika Rolling Stone (5/1), 12 - Lord's Lady (9/2), 3 - Pam Pam (10/1), 1 - Warrior's Ransom (10/1), 16 - Pink Rose (8/1)
Rest of field:11 - Lovely Charm (6/1), 14 - Allenhurst (12/1), 9 - Pachelbel (10/1), 5 - Tariba Dream (10/1), 6 - Mavilus (10/1), 2 - Equus (12/1), 13 - J Rivers (20/1), 15 - Magical Trick (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7-4-10-8-12-6
🎯 Longshots: 16-9-4-10-5-3-1-14-12-6-2-15-8-7-11-13
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #10, #7, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 11  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $40,000
Win:8 - Blazing Bucchero (4/1)
Place:7 - Bourbon Aficionado (8/1)
Show:12 - Huggy (10/1)
Other contenders:4 - Mission Artemis (9/2), 2 - Starlord (6/1), 13 - Tavern Time (6/1), 1 - Cassation (8/1), 9 - Fully Committed (12/1)
Rest of field:3 - Riley's Rockstar (10/1), 5 - Bobo Liver (12/1), 6 - Fluff The Pillow (15/1), 11 - Onlygodcanjudgeme (20/1), 15 - Reelin N Dealin (15/1), 10 - Ten Plus Ten (15/1), 14 - Celestial Dark (15/1), 16 - Cisco Kid (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-8-7-13-12
🎯 Longshots: 7-5-12-1-4-9-3-8-10-6-14-13-2-15-11-16
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #7, #12, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:8 - Bala De Plata (3/1)
Place:4 - If I Can Dream (4/1)
Show:11 - Let'smakeitadouble (6/1)
Other contenders:14 - Willisau (5/1), 13 - Bootleg Runner (6/1), 6 - King Of The Cross (8/1), 1 - Petey Motto (10/1), 12 - Alastar (10/1)
Rest of field:3 - Major Weigelia (10/1), 15 - Captain Oats (8/1), 16 - One Last Bullet (15/1), 7 - Chilling Zensation (10/1), 17 - Bernie Says So (10/1), 18 - Next Level Beau (12/1), 5 - Stormbreaker (12/1), 10 - Quetzal Island (15/1), 9 - Carcharoth (20/1), 2 - Fastidious (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-4-13-11-7-12
🎯 Longshots: 8-7-2-15-6-3-17-18-5-12-1-4-16-10-13-11-14-9
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #11, #14  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:8 - Angie's Reward (5/2)
Place:4 - Mamarsha (9/2)
Show:10 - Medium Cool (5/1)
Other contenders:11 - Peacefulezfeeling (6/1), 5 - Maureen's Empire (10/1), 6 - Probable Angle (8/1), 3 - Spoonbill (10/1)
Rest of field:12 - Gwen To Win (6/1), 2 - Critical Magic (20/1), 1 - Maxisure (20/1), 7 - Polar Magic (15/1), 9 - Instant Vision (20/1), 14 - City Broad (20/1), 13 - Stay Loyal (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-8-11-10-5-6
🎯 Longshots: 8-3-5-4-6-1-10-7-2-11-12-14-13-9
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #10, #11  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:4 - Aggregation (6/1)
Place:3 - Noted (5/1)
Show:7 - Escape Key (9/2)
Other contenders:8 - Prince Colton (3/1), 9 - Melt With You (8/1), 2 - Fast Bob (8/1)
Rest of field:6 - Boys Of Summer (12/1), 5 - Indy Rags (8/1), 10 - J J's Ranger (12/1), 1 - War Commander (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-8-2-9-6
🎯 Longshots: 8-6-1-9-2-3-4-10-7-5
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #7, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:11 - Summonyourcourage (5/2)
Place:6 - Stinger Bee (9/2)
Show:4 - Extrasexymcsteemee (10/1)
Other contenders:10 - Possum (5/1), 7 - Right Wing Runner (8/1), 5 - Up The Kingdom (8/1), 8 - Global Steve (12/1)
Rest of field:2 - Real Blues (15/1), 9 - Chubasco Sauce (12/1), 3 - Battle Anthem (15/1), 1 - Coach Clint (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 11-8-4-2-3-10
🎯 Longshots: 11-4-8-7-5-9-3-2-6-10-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #11 over #6, #4, #10  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:7 - Analog Jones (3/1)
Place:3 - Carnaby (4/1)
Show:8 - Fight Fiercely (5/1)
Other contenders:4 - Liberte De Bayeux (6/1), 1 - Midlaner (6/1), 6 - Cojelo Pa Ti (12/1)
Rest of field:9 - Capital Conquest (10/1), 2 - Peruvian Lucky (8/1), 5 - Mr. Mendelssohn (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7-3-6-8-1-5
🎯 Longshots: 7-6-5-3-9-8-2-4-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #3, #8, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:5 - Starlit Nite (7/2)
Place:7 - Chiquita's Way (5/2)
Show:4 - Midnight Flight (3/1)
Other contenders:1 - Mo Attitude (9/2), 2 - Prayed For Girl (10/1), 6 - Joyful Joyce (10/1)
Rest of field:8 - Flaming Eyes (20/1), 3 - Sweet Distraction (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-7-1-2-6
🎯 Longshots: 7-6-4-2-5-1-8-3
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #7, #4, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:9 - Miles Of Smiles (7/2)
Place:11 - Sister Supream (9/2)
Show:8 - Cynthia Gail (4/1)
Other contenders:12 - Cruise Missile (6/1), 1 - Lady Emily Kathryn (6/1), 5 - Grace Reformed (8/1), 6 - Rowsie Express (8/1)
Rest of field:7 - Securitylightning (8/1), 4 - Amy Mule (20/1), 10 - Spanish Girl (15/1), 2 - Wow Lucky (15/1), 3 - You Know Me (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-9-8-5-11
🎯 Longshots: 9-4-6-5-7-11-8-10-12-1-2-3
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #11, #8, #12  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $100,000
Win:10 - Devil's Cay (7/2)
Place:11 - Try To Make Cents (5/1)
Show:6 - Big Blue Line (6/1)
Other contenders:5 - Market Maven (6/1), 3 - In Spades (10/1), 9 - I Feelucky Tonite (10/1), 8 - Striking Sparks (6/1)
Rest of field:2 - Elusive Target (10/1), 4 - Sunday Spirit (10/1), 1 - Tizmarkus (9/2), 7 - Best Bet (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-8-11-3-9-1
🎯 Longshots: 2-4-9-10-6-5-3-1-7-11-8
🎫 Trifecta play: #10 over #11, #6, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $50,000
Win:2 - Pearls And Heels (9/2)
Place:5 - Mezcalifornia (4/1)
Show:9 - Mila Rose (7/2)
Other contenders:3 - Game Energy (5/1), 7 - Fussy Girl (15/1), 12 - Boss Like Beth (8/1), 8 - Browneyedvalentine (12/1)
Rest of field:10 - Lost Love (10/1), 4 - She Can Scat (20/1), 1 - Sunlit (20/1), 6 - Mikey's Song (20/1), 11 - Violets Smile (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-3-9-7-12
🎯 Longshots: 12-7-4-9-8-10-5-2-3-1-11-6
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #9, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 10  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $100,000
Win:8 - Lika Rolling Stone (5/1)
Place:11 - Lovely Charm (6/1)
Show:7 - Dancing On My Own (6/1)
Other contenders:4 - Antonacci Girl (4/1), 1 - Warrior's Ransom (10/1), 12 - Lord's Lady (9/2), 16 - Pink Rose (8/1), 9 - Pachelbel (10/1)
Rest of field:10 - I Can Run (8/1), 6 - Mavilus (10/1), 3 - Pam Pam (10/1), 5 - Tariba Dream (10/1), 2 - Equus (12/1), 14 - Allenhurst (12/1), 15 - Magical Trick (15/1), 13 - J Rivers (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7-8-9-4-12-10
🎯 Longshots: 16-9-4-10-5-3-1-14-12-6-2-15-8-7-11-13
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #11, #7, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 11  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $40,000
Win:8 - Blazing Bucchero (4/1)
Place:4 - Mission Artemis (9/2)
Show:7 - Bourbon Aficionado (8/1)
Other contenders:2 - Starlord (6/1), 1 - Cassation (8/1), 12 - Huggy (10/1), 13 - Tavern Time (6/1), 3 - Riley's Rockstar (10/1)
Rest of field:9 - Fully Committed (12/1), 5 - Bobo Liver (12/1), 6 - Fluff The Pillow (15/1), 10 - Ten Plus Ten (15/1), 11 - Onlygodcanjudgeme (20/1), 16 - Cisco Kid (20/1), 14 - Celestial Dark (15/1), 15 - Reelin N Dealin (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-8-7-1-13
🎯 Longshots: 7-5-12-1-4-9-3-8-10-6-14-13-2-15-11-16
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #7, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1,
AI Multi-Race Tickets - Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ

Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.

Pick 3 R3-5R3: #8,#3,#7 (43%) / R4: #11,#10,#6 (54%) / R5: #7,#3,#4 (48%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 11%
Pick 3 R4-6R4: #11,#10,#6 (54%) / R5: #7,#3,#4 (48%) / R6: #7,#4,#5 (62%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 16%
Pick 3 R5-7R5: #7,#3,#4 (48%) / R6: #7,#4,#5 (62%) / R7: #9,#8,#11 (46%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 14%
Pick 3 R6-8R6: #7,#4,#5 (62%) / R7: #9,#8,#11 (46%) / R8: #10,#11,#6 (40%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 11%
Pick 4 R3-6R3: #8,#3,#7 (43%) / R4: #11,#10,#6 (54%) / R5: #7,#3,#4 (48%) / R6: #7,#4,#5 (62%)
$81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 7%
Pick 4 R4-7R4: #11,#10,#6 (54%) / R5: #7,#3,#4 (48%) / R6: #7,#4,#5 (62%) / R7: #9,#8,#11 (46%)
$81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 7%
Index - Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
AGGREGATIONALASTARALLENHURSTAMY MULEANALOG JONES
ANTONACCI GIRLBALA DE PLATABATTLE ANTHEMBERNIE SAYS SOBEST BET
BLAZING BUCCHEROBOBO LIVERBOOTLEG RUNNERBOSS LIKE BETHBOURBON AFICIONADO
BROWNEYEDVALENTINECAPITAL CONQUESTCAPTAIN OATSCARCHAROTHCARNABY
CELESTIAL DARKCHILLING ZENSATIONCHIQUITA'S WAYCHUBASCO SAUCECISCO KID
COACH CLINTCOJELO PA TICRITICAL MAGICCRUISE MISSILECYNTHIA GAIL
DEVIL'S CAYELUSIVE TARGETEQUUSESCAPE KEYEXTRASEXYMCSTEEMEE
FASTIDIOUSFIGHT FIERCELYFLAMING EYESFLUFF THE PILLOWFULLY COMMITTED
GAME ENERGYGLOBAL STEVEGRACE REFORMEDGWEN TO WINHUGGY
I FEELUCKY TONITEIF I CAN DREAMIN SPADESINDY RAGSINSTANT VISION
J RIVERSJOYFUL JOYCEKING OF THE CROSSLADY EMILY KATHRYNLET'SMAKEITADOUBLE
LIKA ROLLING STONELORD'S LADYLOST LOVELOVELY CHARMMAGICAL TRICK
MAMARSHAMARKET MAVENMAUREEN'S EMPIREMAVILUSMAXISURE
MELT WITH YOUMEZCALIFORNIAMIDLANERMIDNIGHT FLIGHTMIKEY'S SONG
MILES OF SMILESMISSION ARTEMISMO ATTITUDEMR. MENDELSSOHNNEXT LEVEL BEAU
ONE LAST BULLETONLYGODCANJUDGEMEPACHELBELPAM PAMPEACEFULEZFEELING
PERUVIAN LUCKYPETEY MOTTOPINK ROSEPOLAR MAGICPOSSUM
PRINCE COLTONPROBABLE ANGLEQUETZAL ISLANDREAL BLUESREELIN N DEALIN
RILEY'S ROCKSTARROWSIE EXPRESSSECURITYLIGHTNINGSHE CAN SCATSISTER SUPREAM
SPOONBILLSTARLIT NITESTARLORDSTAY LOYALSTINGER BEE
STRIKING SPARKSSUMMONYOURCOURAGESUNDAY SPIRITSUNLITSWEET DISTRACTION
TAVERN TIMETEN PLUS TENTIZMARKUSTRY TO MAKE CENTSUP THE KINGDOM
WAR COMMANDERWARRIOR'S RANSOMWILLISAUWOW LUCKYYOU KNOW ME

 


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