Pick Pony Picks – Consensus Expert Picks for Churchill Downs, September 19, 2026.


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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony's AI Picks.

Consensus Expert Picks

Consensus rankings based on 6 experts. Scoring: 1st pick = 4 pts, 2nd = 3 pts, 3rd = 2 pts, 4th = 1 pt. Agreement % = share of experts that included each horse. A gold star (⭐) next to a horse means Pick Pony's AI independently ranks that horse #1 as well — historically the strongest-hitting subset of picks. A recycle mark (↻) means that AI pick is the re-ranked one, after this morning's official scratches and surface changes were applied.

Race 1

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:2 – She's On A Roll (4-1)5/683.3%13 pts
Place:4 – Altadena (4-1)3/650.0%10 pts
Show:7 – Butterfly Jasmine (6-1)3/650.0%8 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:1 – Roiling (4-1)3/650.0%6 pts
Alt 2:6 – Social Scene (2-1)2/633.3%8 pts
Alt 3:5 – The Look (6-1)1/616.7%3 pts
Alt 4:8 – Merry An (15-1)1/616.7%2 pts
Alt 5:3 – Kastria (30-1)0/60.0%0 pts

Race 2

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:10 – Vukota (4-1)3/650.0%12 pts
Place:3 – Frozenknife (4-1)3/650.0%8 pts
Show:1 – Koivun (10-1)2/633.3%6 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:2 – Shacklebolt (12-1)2/633.3%5 pts
Alt 2:8 – Ritornello (20-1)2/633.3%5 pts
Alt 3:6 – Midnight Rumble (4-1)1/616.7%4 pts
Alt 4:5 – Industrious (4-1)1/616.7%4 pts
Alt 5:9 – Lutkenhaus (6-1)1/616.7%2 pts
Alt 6:4 – Steve Wood (15-1)1/616.7%1 pts
Alt 7:7 – Reinforcement (15-1)0/60.0%0 pts

Race 3

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:4 – Juneau (4-1)6/6100.0%23 pts
Place:1 – Dice Shot (4-1)2/633.3%7 pts
Show:10 – Countthetrue (6-1)2/633.3%6 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:8 – Dance Like This (5-1)2/633.3%5 pts
Alt 2:9 – Molly Mciver (8-1)2/633.3%3 pts
Alt 3:11 – Lily Isabella (8-1)2/633.3%3 pts
Alt 4:2 – Princess Chanty (12-1)1/616.7%2 pts
Alt 5:5 – Luna Toscana (15-1)1/616.7%1 pts
Alt 6:6 – Shays Gray (12-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 7:3 – Ginger Money (20-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 8:7 – Ardennes (20-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 9:12 – Lady Biz (30-1)0/60.0%0 pts

Race 4

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:7 – Only After Midnite (4-1) ⭐6/6100.0%20 pts
Place:2 – Firebird Suite (2-1)4/666.7%13 pts
Show:4 – Ribadeo (4-1)3/650.0%7 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:3 – Voluntold (10-1)3/650.0%5 pts
Alt 2:8 – Tiz Salty (3-1)1/616.7%4 pts
Alt 3:5 – My Sexy Blonde (8-1)1/616.7%1 pts
Alt 4:6 – Pauline's Angel (15-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 5:1 – Seek And Find (20-1)0/60.0%0 pts

Race 5

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:8 – Bermuda (3-1)5/5100.0%17 pts
Place:1 – Colortime (2-1)2/540.0%7 pts
Show:5 – Violent Reserve (15-1)2/540.0%6 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:2 – Better Quality (8-1)1/520.0%3 pts
Alt 2:6 – Tchaikovsky (10-1)1/520.0%3 pts
Alt 3:3 – Armando (30-1)1/520.0%2 pts
Alt 4:4 – Union Star (4-1)1/520.0%1 pts
Alt 5:7 – Dark Sky (15-1)1/520.0%1 pts
Alt 6:9 – Just For Pipa (12-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 7:10 – Ever Royal (8-1)0/50.0%0 pts

Race 6

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:2 – American Man (2-1) ⭐5/683.3%14 pts
Place:4 – Tagermeen (4-1)3/650.0%11 pts
Show:1 – Gilded Bandit (3-1)3/650.0%8 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:3 – Stop The Car (4-1)3/650.0%8 pts
Alt 2:6 – Doublecents (12-1)3/650.0%8 pts
Alt 3:5 – Creole Chrome (6-1)1/616.7%1 pts

Race 7

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:2 – Winter Holiday (4-1) ⭐5/683.3%15 pts
Place:4 – Dawn Dragon (3-1)5/683.3%12 pts
Show:8 – Vaporetti (8-1)3/650.0%10 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:1 – Gene And Jude (6-1)3/650.0%9 pts
Alt 2:6 – Easy Wind (4-1)2/633.3%4 pts
Alt 3:7 – Natural Rights (20-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 4:3 – Intuitive Wisdom (12-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 5:5 – Free Advice (15-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 6:10 – Restore (15-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 7:9 – Utopian (12-1)0/60.0%0 pts

Race 8

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:1 – Explora (1-2) ⭐6/6100.0%24 pts
Place:4 – Conceit (4-1)4/666.7%11 pts
Show:6 – A Fine Chardonnay (6-1)4/666.7%7 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:5 – Movie Night (4-1)2/633.3%6 pts
Alt 2:2 – My Steel Magnolia (30-1)2/633.3%2 pts
Alt 3:3 – Where Luck Lives (12-1)0/60.0%0 pts

Race 9

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:5 – Clairita (6-1) ⭐5/683.3%18 pts
Place:12 – Icona (5-1)4/666.7%9 pts
Show:8 – Goodbetterbest (4-1)3/650.0%7 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:6 – More Galilady (15-1)3/650.0%7 pts
Alt 2:3 – Caviar Breakfast (4-1)1/616.7%4 pts
Alt 3:4 – Buttons And Lace (10-1)1/616.7%3 pts
Alt 4:7 – Next Up (10-1)1/616.7%2 pts
Alt 5:9 – Run Camila Run (20-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 6:10 – Multiplication (6-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 7:1 – Flash Wear (30-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 8:11 – Sanctify (15-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 9:2 – Asteria (30-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 10:13 – R Katiebug (30-1)0/60.0%0 pts

Race 10

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:3 – Consequent (1-1) ⭐6/6100.0%22 pts
Place:2 – Answered Prayers (5-1)3/650.0%8 pts
Show:5 – A. P.'s Girl (3-1)3/650.0%8 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:4 – Knickleandime (6-1)2/633.3%5 pts
Alt 2:6 – In Total Awe (4-1)2/633.3%4 pts
Alt 3:1 – Woodstock (20-1)1/616.7%2 pts

Race 11

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:9 – Beijing (2-1) ⭐6/6100.0%23 pts
Place:1 – Great Moment (4-1)2/633.3%7 pts
Show:2 – Lifes Reward (6-1)2/633.3%5 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:13 – Merited (8-1)2/633.3%4 pts
Alt 2:7 – Tuxedo Park (20-1)2/633.3%3 pts
Alt 3:4 – Boss' Deed (12-1)1/616.7%3 pts
Alt 4:6 – Mizzou (10-1)1/616.7%2 pts
Alt 5:14 – Mr. All In (4-1)1/616.7%2 pts
Alt 6:8 – Hayburn's Case (20-1)1/616.7%1 pts
Alt 7:11 – Harbor Prince (12-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 8:12 – Roman Rogue (15-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 9:10 – Rocky Raccoon (15-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 10:5 – King Of Heat (8-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 11:3 – Centerline (20-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 12:15 – Soho Jimmy (20-1)0/60.0%0 pts
Alt 13:16 – A. P. Cloud (30-1)0/60.0%0 pts

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