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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) and Algo 3 (AI Win Probability, shown with fair odds) are ranked by measured performance on our weekly scoreboard, so a higher number is a stronger pick source. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets; Insider adds Algo 2; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
| Race 1 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,700 | |
| Win: | 4 – Pearlofgreatprice (3/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Jimmy's Dance (5/2) |
| Show: | 7 – North Lake Kate (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Furia (5/1), 2 – Candorosa (8/1), 6 – Why Dorothy Why (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Invincible Angel (15/1), 8 – Kissed By Ice (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-7-2-6-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-7-2-8-5-1-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #7, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,700 | |
| Win: | 8 – Kalahari King (3/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Cielitos Wish (7/2) |
| Show: | 1 – Ghostly Spirit (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Decalage (5/1), 6 – Flying Cyclone (9/2), 5 – M One (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – C D Little Trooper (15/1), 2 – Suntastic (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-7-6-5-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-3-5-1-6-4-2-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #3, #1, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $17,700 | |
| Win: | 6 – My Summer Dream (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 – Runhappy D'oro (4/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Shackleford Strong (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Panuco (9/2), 5 – Chicken Wing (8/1), 3 – Hot Artie (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 – Wheeler Dealer (10/1), 2 – B D R Baxter (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-7-8-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-2-1-4-3-8-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #7, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $20,700 | |
| Win: | 8 – Mr. Pippins (7/2) |
| Place: | 5 – Mr. Biz (5/2) |
| Show: | 1 – War Spirit (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4 – Come Now (4/1), 2 – Roki (8/1), 7 – Notime Formischief (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Impulzive Storm (10/1), 6 – Paddys Four Roses (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-5-1-4-2-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-4-2-8-1-3-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #5, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $22,200 | |
| Win: | 1 – Freckles Forever (5/2) |
| Place: | 3 – Lotsa Steel (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Adios Muchachas (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 – Ima Trouble Maker (8/1), 4 – Shopping Accident (5/1), 7 – Happy Chappy (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Stanford Holiday (5/1), 2 – Patsy Montana (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-3-6-8-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-8-7-6-3-4-5-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #6, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $55,000 | |
| Win: | 3 – Two Steves (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 – Lion Throne (4/1) |
| Show: | 6 – Bobby Chancelot (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 – Very Quiet (5/1), 4 – It's Notmyproblem (6/1), 9 – Alter Boy (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 – Hidden Fees (6/1), 8 – Marking Broadway (15/1), 7 – Tmt All Inclusive (12/1), 10 – T M T High Roller (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-6-5-2-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-1-9-7-2-5-8-4-10 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 1 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,700 | |
| Win: | 4 – Pearlofgreatprice (3/1) 19% · fair 9-2 underlay -30% |
| Place: | 3 – Jimmy's Dance (5/2) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -44% |
| Show: | 7 – North Lake Kate (7/2) 18% · fair 9-2 |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Furia (5/1) 16% · fair 11-2, 6 – Why Dorothy Why (6/1) 12% · fair 7-1, 2 – Candorosa (8/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -33% |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Kissed By Ice (12/1) 5% · fair 19-1 underlay -36%, 5 – Invincible Angel (15/1) 4% · fair 25-1 underlay -40% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-7-6-2-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-7-2-8-5-1-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #7, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,700 | |
| Win: | 8 – Kalahari King (3/1) 23% · fair 7-2 |
| Place: | 7 – Decalage (5/1) 17% · fair 5-1 |
| Show: | 1 – Ghostly Spirit (4/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -29% |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Flying Cyclone (9/2) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -35%, 5 – M One (8/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 3 – Cielitos Wish (7/2) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -61% |
| Rest of field: | 4 – C D Little Trooper (15/1) 5% · fair 18-1, 2 – Suntastic (15/1) 5% · fair 39-2 |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 7-1-6-5-3-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-3-5-1-6-4-2-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #7, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $17,700 | |
| Win: | 6 – My Summer Dream (9/5) 26% · fair 3-1 underlay -38% |
| Place: | 1 – Runhappy D'oro (4/1) 17% · fair 5-1 |
| Show: | 8 – Panuco (9/2) 15% · fair 11-2 |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Shackleford Strong (6/1) 14% · fair 13-2, 5 – Chicken Wing (8/1) 9% · fair 10-1, 3 – Hot Artie (10/1) 7% · fair 25-2 |
| Rest of field: | 2 – B D R Baxter (10/1) 7% · fair 13-1, 4 – Wheeler Dealer (10/1) 5% · fair 18-1 underlay -44% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-8-7-3-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-2-1-4-3-8-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #8, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $20,700 | |
| Win: | 4 – Come Now (4/1) 19% · fair 9-2 |
| Place: | 8 – Mr. Pippins (7/2) 19% · fair 9-2 |
| Show: | 5 – Mr. Biz (5/2) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -46% |
| Other contenders: | 1 – War Spirit (9/2) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -25%, 2 – Roki (8/1) 14% · fair 13-2 overlay +25%, 7 – Notime Formischief (8/1) 10% · fair 9-1 |
| Rest of field: | 3 – Impulzive Storm (10/1) 4% · fair 45-2 underlay -56%, 6 – Paddys Four Roses (20/1) 2% · fair 41-1 underlay -51% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-8-5-2-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-4-2-8-1-3-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #8, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $22,200 | |
| Win: | 1 – Freckles Forever (5/2) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -45% |
| Place: | 3 – Lotsa Steel (7/2) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -29% |
| Show: | 6 – Adios Muchachas (4/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -28% |
| Other contenders: | 7 – Happy Chappy (8/1) 15% · fair 11-2 overlay +43%, 8 – Ima Trouble Maker (8/1) 15% · fair 11-2 overlay +42%, 4 – Shopping Accident (5/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -33% |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Stanford Holiday (5/1) 5% · fair 35-2 underlay -71%, 2 – Patsy Montana (20/1) 2% · fair 79-2 underlay -49% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-3-6-7-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-8-7-6-3-4-5-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $55,000 | |
| Win: | 1 – Lion Throne (4/1) 19% · fair 4-1 |
| Place: | 3 – Two Steves (5/2) 15% · fair 6-1 underlay -57% |
| Show: | 5 – Very Quiet (5/1) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -30% |
| Other contenders: | 4 – It's Notmyproblem (6/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -27%, 9 – Alter Boy (12/1) 10% · fair 9-1 overlay +31%, 2 – Hidden Fees (6/1) 10% · fair 19-2 underlay -36% |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Bobby Chancelot (8/1) 9% · fair 19-2, 8 – Marking Broadway (15/1) 6% · fair 31-2, 7 – Tmt All Inclusive (12/1) 5% · fair 20-1 underlay -39%, 10 – T M T High Roller (15/1) 3% · fair 65-2 underlay -54% |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-5-2-6-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-1-9-7-2-5-8-4-10 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 1 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,700 | |
| Win: | 4 – Pearlofgreatprice (3/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Jimmy's Dance (5/2) |
| Show: | 2 – Candorosa (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 – Why Dorothy Why (6/1), 7 – North Lake Kate (7/2), 5 – Invincible Angel (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1 – Furia (5/1), 8 – Kissed By Ice (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4-3-2-6-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-7-2-8-5-1-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,700 | |
| Win: | 1 – Ghostly Spirit (4/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Cielitos Wish (7/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Flying Cyclone (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Suntastic (15/1), 8 – Kalahari King (3/1), 4 – C D Little Trooper (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Decalage (5/1), 5 – M One (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-6-2-8-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-3-5-1-6-4-2-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #6, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $17,700 | |
| Win: | 5 – Chicken Wing (8/1) |
| Place: | 1 – Runhappy D'oro (4/1) |
| Show: | 6 – My Summer Dream (9/5) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – B D R Baxter (10/1), 4 – Wheeler Dealer (10/1), 3 – Hot Artie (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7 – Shackleford Strong (6/1), 8 – Panuco (9/2) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-5-2-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-2-1-4-3-8-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #6, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $20,700 | |
| Win: | 5 – Mr. Biz (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 – Come Now (4/1) |
| Show: | 1 – War Spirit (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 – Roki (8/1), 8 – Mr. Pippins (7/2), 7 – Notime Formischief (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6 – Paddys Four Roses (20/1), 3 – Impulzive Storm (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-4-1-2-8-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-4-2-8-1-3-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $22,200 | |
| Win: | 8 – Ima Trouble Maker (8/1) |
| Place: | 4 – Shopping Accident (5/1) |
| Show: | 7 – Happy Chappy (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Freckles Forever (5/2), 6 – Adios Muchachas (4/1), 3 – Lotsa Steel (7/2) |
| Rest of field: | 5 – Stanford Holiday (5/1), 2 – Patsy Montana (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 8-4-7-1-6-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-8-7-6-3-4-5-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #7, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $55,000 | |
| Win: | 5 – Very Quiet (5/1) |
| Place: | 3 – Two Steves (5/2) |
| Show: | 6 – Bobby Chancelot (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1 – Lion Throne (4/1), 7 – Tmt All Inclusive (12/1), 2 – Hidden Fees (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 – Marking Broadway (15/1), 4 – It's Notmyproblem (6/1), 9 – Alter Boy (12/1), 10 – T M T High Roller (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-3-6-1-7-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-1-9-7-2-5-8-4-10 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #3, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.
| Race 1 | AI Exacta: #4 over #3 ($1 straight; box #4-#3 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #4, #7, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 2 | AI Exacta: #8 over #3 ($1 straight; box #8-#3 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #3, #8, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 3 | AI Exacta: #6 over #1 ($1 straight; box #6-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #1, #8, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 4 | AI Exacta: #8 over #5 ($1 straight; box #8-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #5, #4, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 5 | AI Exacta: #1 over #6 ($1 straight; box #1-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #4, #7, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 6 | AI Exacta: #3 over #1 ($1 straight; box #3-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #1, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob isotonic) Morning-line reliability: +0.32 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.82 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) | |||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | Live | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 6 | 8 – Marking Broadway | 15/1 | — | 7.0% | +8.3% | 0.14% | $0.14 |
| TOTAL across 1 play: | 0.1% | $0.14 | |||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. | |||||||
| 💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line. | |||||||
| Race 1 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,700 | |
| Win: | 3 - Jimmy's Dance (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 - Pearlofgreatprice (3/1) |
| Show: | 2 - Candorosa (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7 - North Lake Kate (7/2), 1 - Furia (5/1), 6 - Why Dorothy Why (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 - Kissed By Ice (12/1), 5 - Invincible Angel (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-2-7-6-1 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-7-2-8-5-1-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #2, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,700 | |
| Win: | 1 - Ghostly Spirit (4/1) |
| Place: | 3 - Cielitos Wish (7/2) |
| Show: | 8 - Kalahari King (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 - Flying Cyclone (9/2), 7 - Decalage (5/1), 5 - M One (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4 - C D Little Trooper (15/1), 2 - Suntastic (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-8-6-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-3-5-1-6-4-2-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #8, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $17,700 | |
| Win: | 6 - My Summer Dream (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 - Runhappy D'oro (4/1) |
| Show: | 8 - Panuco (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 - Shackleford Strong (6/1), 5 - Chicken Wing (8/1), 4 - Wheeler Dealer (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 - Hot Artie (10/1), 2 - B D R Baxter (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-8-7-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-2-1-4-3-8-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #8, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $20,700 | |
| Win: | 5 - Mr. Biz (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 - War Spirit (9/2) |
| Show: | 4 - Come Now (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 - Mr. Pippins (7/2), 2 - Roki (8/1), 7 - Notime Formischief (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 - Impulzive Storm (10/1), 6 - Paddys Four Roses (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-4-8-2-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-4-2-8-1-3-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #4, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $22,200 | |
| Win: | 1 - Freckles Forever (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 - Shopping Accident (5/1) |
| Show: | 6 - Adios Muchachas (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3 - Lotsa Steel (7/2), 7 - Happy Chappy (8/1), 5 - Stanford Holiday (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8 - Ima Trouble Maker (8/1), 2 - Patsy Montana (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-4-6-3-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-8-7-6-3-4-5-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $55,000 | |
| Win: | 5 - Very Quiet (5/1) |
| Place: | 1 - Lion Throne (4/1) |
| Show: | 3 - Two Steves (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6 - Bobby Chancelot (8/1), 4 - It's Notmyproblem (6/1), 9 - Alter Boy (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Hidden Fees (6/1), 7 - Tmt All Inclusive (12/1), 8 - Marking Broadway (15/1), 10 - T M T High Roller (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 5-1-3-6-2-4 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-1-9-7-2-5-8-4-10 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
| Race 1 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,700 | |
| Win: | 3 - Jimmy's Dance (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 - Pearlofgreatprice (3/1) |
| Show: | 7 - North Lake Kate (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2 - Candorosa (8/1), 6 - Why Dorothy Why (6/1), 1 - Furia (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 - Invincible Angel (15/1), 8 - Kissed By Ice (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-4-7-2-6-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4-3-7-2-8-5-1-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #7, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $19,700 | |
| Win: | 1 - Ghostly Spirit (4/1) |
| Place: | 3 - Cielitos Wish (7/2) |
| Show: | 8 - Kalahari King (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 - Flying Cyclone (9/2), 7 - Decalage (5/1), 5 - M One (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2 - Suntastic (15/1), 4 - C D Little Trooper (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-3-6-8-7-5 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8-3-5-1-6-4-2-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #8, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $17,700 | |
| Win: | 6 - My Summer Dream (9/5) |
| Place: | 1 - Runhappy D'oro (4/1) |
| Show: | 8 - Panuco (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7 - Shackleford Strong (6/1), 4 - Wheeler Dealer (10/1), 3 - Hot Artie (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 - Chicken Wing (8/1), 2 - B D R Baxter (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-8-7-4-3 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6-5-2-1-4-3-8-7 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #8, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $20,700 | |
| Win: | 1 - War Spirit (9/2) |
| Place: | 5 - Mr. Biz (5/2) |
| Show: | 4 - Come Now (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8 - Mr. Pippins (7/2), 2 - Roki (8/1), 7 - Notime Formischief (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3 - Impulzive Storm (10/1), 6 - Paddys Four Roses (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-4-8-2-7 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 7-5-4-2-8-1-3-6 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #4, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $22,200 | |
| Win: | 1 - Freckles Forever (5/2) |
| Place: | 4 - Shopping Accident (5/1) |
| Show: | 7 - Happy Chappy (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6 - Adios Muchachas (4/1), 3 - Lotsa Steel (7/2), 8 - Ima Trouble Maker (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5 - Stanford Holiday (5/1), 2 - Patsy Montana (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 1-4-7-6-3-8 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1-8-7-6-3-4-5-2 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #7, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Nongraded Stake · Purse $55,000 | |
| Win: | 3 - Two Steves (5/2) |
| Place: | 1 - Lion Throne (4/1) |
| Show: | 6 - Bobby Chancelot (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5 - Very Quiet (5/1), 4 - It's Notmyproblem (6/1), 2 - Hidden Fees (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9 - Alter Boy (12/1), 7 - Tmt All Inclusive (12/1), 8 - Marking Broadway (15/1), 10 - T M T High Roller (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3-1-6-5-4-2 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3-6-1-9-7-2-5-8-4-10 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.
| Pick 3 R1-3 | R1: #4,#3,#7 (55%) / R2: #8,#7,#1 (55%) / R3: #6,#1,#8 (58%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 18% |
| Pick 3 R2-4 | R2: #8,#7,#1 (55%) / R3: #6,#1,#8 (58%) / R4: #4,#8,#5 (55%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 18% |
| Pick 3 R3-5 | R3: #6,#1,#8 (58%) / R4: #4,#8,#5 (55%) / R5: #1,#3,#6 (50%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 16% |
| Pick 3 R4-6 | R4: #4,#8,#5 (55%) / R5: #1,#3,#6 (50%) / R6: #1,#3,#5 (46%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 13% |
| Pick 4 R1-4 | R1: #4,#3,#7 (55%) / R2: #8,#7,#1 (55%) / R3: #6,#1,#8 (58%) / R4: #4,#8,#5 (55%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 10% |
| Pick 4 R2-5 | R2: #8,#7,#1 (55%) / R3: #6,#1,#8 (58%) / R4: #4,#8,#5 (55%) / R5: #1,#3,#6 (50%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 9% |
| A DASH OF STEFFIE | ADIOS MUCHACHAS | ALTER BOY | B D R BAXTER | BA CORONAS SILK |
| BOBBY CHANCELOT | C D LITTLE TROOPER | CANDOROSA | CD TEMPT DA CARTEL | CHAPARRITA |
| CHICKEN WING | CIELITOS WISH | COME NOW | COUNTRY ROCKET FOOSE | DECALAGE |
| EB HUDSON BAY | ER MOUNTAIN X | FAMOUSHANDSOMEMAN | FAVORITE BRIDGE | FEATURE MR RABBIT |
| FLYING CYCLONE | FRECKLES FOREVER | FURIA | GHOSTLY SPIRIT | HA HA MESI |
| HIDDEN FEES | HOT ARTIE | IMA TROUBLE MAKER | IMPULZIVE STORM | INVINCIBLE ANGEL |
| JESS A DASH OF CLASS | JESS BOBBY JO | JIMMY'S DANCE | JKH ALMOST A DYNASTY | JV TOAST TO VICTORY |
| KAWLIDGA | KCROSS POOLBOY | KISSED BY ICE | LADY LITTELWOLF | LION THRONE |
| M ONE | MARKING BROADWAY | MG PRIVATE RELATIONS | MIA MOONFLASH | MILL E |
| MR HAVE A CORONA D | MR. BIZ | MR. PIPPINS | MY SUMMER DREAM | MYLLAY D |
| NOTIME FORMISCHIEF | NOTRE DAME | ONE HANDSOME DASH | ONE SEPERATE EAGLE | OURFAVORITECHANCE |
| PANUCO | PATSY MONTANA | PEARLOFGREATPRICE | PINK KISS | PRO MARTHA |
| PROS AND CONNS | REAL MISTAKE | ROKI | RUNHAPPY D'ORO | SECOND TO NO OTHER |
| SHOPPING ACCIDENT | SJ ILLUSIVE N SHADY | STANFORD HOLIDAY | SUNTASTIC | T M T HIGH ROLLER |
| TIPSY ON KOLTISKA | TM LETS GO BRANDON | TMT ALL INCLUSIVE | TRES THUNDER STRUCK | TWO STEVES |
| VERY QUIET | WAR SPIRIT | WESTERN DYNASTY | WHEELER DEALER | WHY DOROTHY WHY |
| Y O FIFTY CONCERTS | YO FIFTY HOT ROD | YO MORNING DELITE |
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