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Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Presque Isle Downs, September 21, 2026

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How did these picks do?

Results for this card as of 8:19 AM, graded from the official charts. Each row is that section's top pick in every race with a result; races still pending are not counted. The full week is in the weekly recap.

SectionRaces gradedWon2nd3rdWin %
Algo 1730143%
Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)723129%
Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)720129%
Experimental Weight Set 2722129%
Experimental Weight Set 3830338%


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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) and Algo 3 (AI Win Probability, shown with fair odds) are ranked by measured performance on our weekly scoreboard, so a higher number is a stronger pick source. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets; Insider adds Algo 2; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.

How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.

Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000
Win:1 – Chips Legacy (5/2)
Place:5 – Sydney Street (3/1)
Show:7 – Camilo (9/2)
Other contenders:2 – Thalberg (6/1), 6 – Summerfest (4/1)
Rest of field:3 – Pearl Of Aclaim (10/1), 4 – Leonard's Legacy (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-7-2-6-4
🎯 Longshots: 1-4-5-3-7-6-2
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #7, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $14,000
Win:2 – Groovy N Gray (5/2)
Place:3 – Hot Gamer (7/2)
Show:4 – Twirlaway (3/1)
Other contenders:8 – Ennereilly (6/1), 6 – Hawkeyejet (9/2), 7 – Snookie Jones (10/1)
Rest of field:5 – Hope She Comes (8/1), 1 – Cats Gone Estray (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-4-8-6-7-5
🎯 Longshots: 2-4-3-5-6-7-1-8
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #4, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000
★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best.
Win:6 – Straightoutadutton (7/2)
Place:1 – Enjoy The Music (9/2)
Show:2 – Showdown King (3/1)
Other contenders:5 – Meant To Be Lucky (4/1), 3 – Bermuda Run (7/1)
Rest of field:4 – Gotts Got It (7/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-1-2-5-4-3
🎯 Longshots: 2-1-6-5-3-4
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $23,000
Win:1 – Happyisashappydoes (5/2)
Place:5 – Extrasexybigdaddee (3/1)
Show:4 – Brilliant Journey (7/2)
Other contenders:3 – Tigre (9/2), 2 – Adios Buccaneer (6/1)
Rest of field:6 – Silver Front (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-5-4-1-2
🎯 Longshots: 1-5-6-4-3-2
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #4, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000
Win:1 – Mrs. Manicotti (5/2)
Place:3 – Garnet And Gold (4/1)
Show:4 – I'm Heading East (7/2)
Other contenders:5 – Ohoopee (6/1), 8 – New Age Bad Girl (3/1), 2 – Krispy Rice (8/1)
Rest of field:6 – Miss M M (10/1), 7 – Queen Wiggy (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-3-2-1-4-6
🎯 Longshots: 1-8-6-3-4-2-7-5
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #4, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $22,000
Win:6 – Outhustle (2/1)
Place:2 – Top Recruit (7/2)
Show:5 – Certain (4/1)
Other contenders:4 – Paschal Moon (5/2), 1 – Span Of Control (6/1)
Rest of field:7 – Shakin It Up Larry (10/1), 3 – City Tripper (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-4-5-1-7
🎯 Longshots: 6-4-2-7-5-3-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #5, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $33,000
Win:6 – Standpoint (5/2)
Place:1 – Big Run (3/1)
Show:7 – Chill Boss (7/2)
Other contenders:2 – Drunkle (6/1), 3 – Duck Hunter (4/1)
Rest of field:5 – Mackenzie's Novva (12/1), 4 – Youreawizard Harry (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-3-2-4-6
🎯 Longshots: 6-1-4-2-5-7-3
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #7, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $15,000
Win:5 – Starship Belmont (5/2)
Place:2 – My Sugar Boo (4/1)
Show:7 – Nelida (7/2)
Other contenders:6 – Dominant Stranger (9/2), 4 – Equinamous (6/1), 3 – Xerces (8/1)
Rest of field:1 – Prussian Blue (12/1), 8 – Uppity Up (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-8-6-4-7
🎯 Longshots: 5-3-2-7-6-8-4-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #7, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000
Win:7 – Camilo (9/2) 18% · fair 9-2
Place:5 – Sydney Street (3/1) 17% · fair 9-2 underlay -36%
Show:6 – Summerfest (4/1) 17% · fair 5-1
Other contenders:1 – Chips Legacy (5/2) 16% · fair 5-1 underlay -51%, 2 – Thalberg (6/1) 15% · fair 11-2
Rest of field:4 – Leonard's Legacy (10/1) 9% · fair 10-1, 3 – Pearl Of Aclaim (10/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -26%
Race 1 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Camilo — 18.5% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Camilo18.5% ◀Sydney Street — 17.5% win probability, morning line 3/1Sydney Street17.5%Summerfest — 16.6% win probability, morning line 4/1Summerfest16.6%Chips Legacy — 16.4% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Chips Legacy16.4%Thalberg — 15.0% win probability, morning line 6/1Thalberg15.0%Leonard'S Legacy — 9.1% win probability, morning line 10/1Leonard'S Legacy9.1%Pearl Of Aclaim — 6.9% win probability, morning line 10/1Pearl Of Aclaim6.9%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Camilo18.5%4.5/1
Sydney Street17.5%3/1
Summerfest16.6%4/1
Chips Legacy16.4%2.5/1
Thalberg15.0%6/1
Leonard'S Legacy9.1%10/1
Pearl Of Aclaim6.9%10/1
Race 1 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherCamilo: model 18.5% vs market 14.6% (+3.8 points)Camilo+3.8Sydney Street: model 17.5% vs market 20.1% (-2.7 points)Sydney Street-2.7Summerfest: model 16.6% vs market 16.1% (+0.5 points)Summerfest+0.5Chips Legacy: model 16.4% vs market 23.0% (-6.6 points)Chips Legacy-6.6Thalberg: model 15.0% vs market 11.5% (+3.5 points)Thalberg+3.5Leonard'S Legacy: model 9.1% vs market 7.3% (+1.7 points)Leonard'S Legacy+1.7Pearl Of Aclaim: model 6.9% vs market 7.3% (-0.4 points)Pearl Of Aclaim-0.4

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Camilo18.5%14.6%+3.8
Sydney Street17.5%20.1%-2.7
Summerfest16.6%16.1%+0.5
Chips Legacy16.4%23.0%-6.6
Thalberg15.0%11.5%+3.5
Leonard'S Legacy9.1%7.3%+1.7
Pearl Of Aclaim6.9%7.3%-0.4
🌧️ Off-track: 7-5-6-1-2-4
🎯 Longshots: 1-4-5-3-7-6-2
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #5, #6, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $14,000
Win:4 – Twirlaway (3/1) 20% · fair 4-1 underlay -26%
Place:2 – Groovy N Gray (5/2) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -46%
Show:8 – Ennereilly (6/1) 16% · fair 11-2
Other contenders:3 – Hot Gamer (7/2) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -38%, 6 – Hawkeyejet (9/2) 10% · fair 17-2 underlay -48%, 7 – Snookie Jones (10/1) 8% · fair 11-1
Rest of field:1 – Cats Gone Estray (10/1) 8% · fair 12-1, 5 – Hope She Comes (8/1) 6% · fair 17-1 underlay -53%
Race 2 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Twirlaway — 19.8% win probability, morning line 3/1Twirlaway19.8% ◀Groovy N Gray — 17.7% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Groovy N Gray17.7%Ennereilly — 15.6% win probability, morning line 6/1Ennereilly15.6%Hot Gamer — 15.1% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Hot Gamer15.1%Hawkeyejet — 10.4% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Hawkeyejet10.4%Snookie Jones — 8.2% win probability, morning line 10/1Snookie Jones8.2%Cats Gone Estray — 7.6% win probability, morning line 10/1Cats Gone Estray7.6%Hope She Comes — 5.5% win probability, morning line 8/1Hope She Comes5.5%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Twirlaway19.8%3/1
Groovy N Gray17.7%2.5/1
Ennereilly15.6%6/1
Hot Gamer15.1%3.5/1
Hawkeyejet10.4%4.5/1
Snookie Jones8.2%10/1
Cats Gone Estray7.6%10/1
Hope She Comes5.5%8/1
Race 2 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherTwirlaway: model 19.8% vs market 18.2% (+1.7 points)Twirlaway+1.7Groovy N Gray: model 17.7% vs market 20.8% (-3.1 points)Groovy N Gray-3.1Ennereilly: model 15.6% vs market 10.4% (+5.2 points)Ennereilly+5.2Hot Gamer: model 15.1% vs market 16.2% (-1.0 points)Hot Gamer-1.0Hawkeyejet: model 10.4% vs market 13.2% (-2.8 points)Hawkeyejet-2.8Snookie Jones: model 8.2% vs market 6.6% (+1.6 points)Snookie Jones+1.6Cats Gone Estray: model 7.6% vs market 6.6% (+1.0 points)Cats Gone Estray+1.0Hope She Comes: model 5.5% vs market 8.1% (-2.6 points)Hope She Comes-2.6

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Twirlaway19.8%18.2%+1.7
Groovy N Gray17.7%20.8%-3.1
Ennereilly15.6%10.4%+5.2
Hot Gamer15.1%16.2%-1.0
Hawkeyejet10.4%13.2%-2.8
Snookie Jones8.2%6.6%+1.6
Cats Gone Estray7.6%6.6%+1.0
Hope She Comes5.5%8.1%-2.6
🌧️ Off-track: 2-8-4-6-7-5
🎯 Longshots: 2-4-3-5-6-7-1-8
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #8, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000
Win:1 – Enjoy The Music (9/2) 21% · fair 7-2
Place:2 – Showdown King (3/1) 20% · fair 4-1 underlay -26%
Show:6 – Straightoutadutton (7/2) 19% · fair 4-1
Other contenders:3 – Bermuda Run (7/1) 15% · fair 6-1, 5 – Meant To Be Lucky (4/1) 15% · fair 6-1 underlay -31%
Rest of field:4 – Gotts Got It (7/1) 10% · fair 9-1
Race 3 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Enjoy The Music — 21.4% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Enjoy The Music21.4% ◀Showdown King — 19.9% win probability, morning line 3/1Showdown King19.9%Straightoutadutton — 19.2% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Straightoutadutton19.2%Bermuda Run — 14.7% win probability, morning line 7/1Bermuda Run14.7%Meant To Be Lucky — 14.7% win probability, morning line 4/1Meant To Be Lucky14.7%Gotts Got It — 10.1% win probability, morning line 7/1Gotts Got It10.1%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Enjoy The Music21.4%4.5/1
Showdown King19.9%3/1
Straightoutadutton19.2%3.5/1
Bermuda Run14.7%7/1
Meant To Be Lucky14.7%4/1
Gotts Got It10.1%7/1
Race 3 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherEnjoy The Music: model 21.4% vs market 16.5% (+4.9 points)Enjoy The Music+4.9Showdown King: model 19.9% vs market 22.6% (-2.8 points)Showdown King-2.8Straightoutadutton: model 19.2% vs market 20.1% (-1.0 points)Straightoutadutton-1.0Bermuda Run: model 14.7% vs market 11.3% (+3.4 points)Bermuda Run+3.4Meant To Be Lucky: model 14.7% vs market 18.1% (-3.4 points)Meant To Be Lucky-3.4Gotts Got It: model 10.1% vs market 11.3% (-1.2 points)Gotts Got It-1.2

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Enjoy The Music21.4%16.5%+4.9
Showdown King19.9%22.6%-2.8
Straightoutadutton19.2%20.1%-1.0
Bermuda Run14.7%11.3%+3.4
Meant To Be Lucky14.7%18.1%-3.4
Gotts Got It10.1%11.3%-1.2
🌧️ Off-track: 1-2-6-5-4-3
🎯 Longshots: 2-1-6-5-3-4
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #6, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $23,000
Win:5 – Extrasexybigdaddee (3/1) 24% · fair 3-1
Place:1 – Happyisashappydoes (5/2) 22% · fair 7-2 underlay -30%
Show:3 – Tigre (9/2) 15% · fair 11-2
Other contenders:4 – Brilliant Journey (7/2) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -39%, 6 – Silver Front (8/1) 14% · fair 13-2 overlay +27%
Rest of field:2 – Adios Buccaneer (6/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -29%
Race 4 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Extrasexybigdaddee — 23.8% win probability, morning line 3/1Extrasexybigdaddee23.8% ◀Happyisashappydoes — 21.9% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Happyisashappydoes21.9%Tigre — 15.2% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Tigre15.2%Brilliant Journey — 14.9% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Brilliant Journey14.9%Silver Front — 13.7% win probability, morning line 8/1Silver Front13.7%Adios Buccaneer — 10.6% win probability, morning line 6/1Adios Buccaneer10.6%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Extrasexybigdaddee23.8%3/1
Happyisashappydoes21.9%2.5/1
Tigre15.2%4.5/1
Brilliant Journey14.9%3.5/1
Silver Front13.7%8/1
Adios Buccaneer10.6%6/1
Race 4 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherExtrasexybigdaddee: model 23.8% vs market 20.9% (+2.8 points)Extrasexybigdaddee+2.8Happyisashappydoes: model 21.9% vs market 23.9% (-2.1 points)Happyisashappydoes-2.1Tigre: model 15.2% vs market 15.2% (-0.1 points)Tigre-0.1Brilliant Journey: model 14.9% vs market 18.6% (-3.7 points)Brilliant Journey-3.7Silver Front: model 13.7% vs market 9.3% (+4.4 points)Silver Front+4.4Adios Buccaneer: model 10.6% vs market 12.0% (-1.4 points)Adios Buccaneer-1.4

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Extrasexybigdaddee23.8%20.9%+2.8
Happyisashappydoes21.9%23.9%-2.1
Tigre15.2%15.2%-0.1
Brilliant Journey14.9%18.6%-3.7
Silver Front13.7%9.3%+4.4
Adios Buccaneer10.6%12.0%-1.4
🌧️ Off-track: 6-3-5-4-1-2
🎯 Longshots: 1-5-6-4-3-2
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000
Win:1 – Mrs. Manicotti (5/2) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -49%
Place:8 – New Age Bad Girl (3/1) 16% · fair 5-1 underlay -41%
Show:3 – Garnet And Gold (4/1) 16% · fair 11-2 underlay -25%
Other contenders:4 – I'm Heading East (7/2) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -43%, 5 – Ohoopee (6/1) 11% · fair 15-2, 2 – Krispy Rice (8/1) 9% · fair 21-2
Rest of field:7 – Queen Wiggy (10/1) 9% · fair 21-2, 6 – Miss M M (10/1) 8% · fair 23-2
Race 5 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Mrs. Manicotti — 17.0% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Mrs. Manicotti17.0% ◀New Age Bad Girl — 16.4% win probability, morning line 3/1New Age Bad Girl16.4%Garnet And Gold — 15.7% win probability, morning line 4/1Garnet And Gold15.7%I'M Heading East — 14.0% win probability, morning line 3.5/1I'M Heading East14.0%Ohoopee — 11.5% win probability, morning line 6/1Ohoopee11.5%Krispy Rice — 8.9% win probability, morning line 8/1Krispy Rice8.9%Queen Wiggy — 8.7% win probability, morning line 10/1Queen Wiggy8.7%Miss M M — 7.8% win probability, morning line 10/1Miss M M7.8%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Mrs. Manicotti17.0%2.5/1
New Age Bad Girl16.4%3/1
Garnet And Gold15.7%4/1
I'M Heading East14.0%3.5/1
Ohoopee11.5%6/1
Krispy Rice8.9%8/1
Queen Wiggy8.7%10/1
Miss M M7.8%10/1
🌧️ Off-track: 8-3-2-1-4-7
🎯 Longshots: 1-8-6-3-4-2-7-5
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #8, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $22,000
Win:5 – Certain (4/1) 20% · fair 4-1
Place:2 – Top Recruit (7/2) 18% · fair 9-2
Show:6 – Outhustle (2/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -56%
Other contenders:4 – Paschal Moon (5/2) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -56%, 7 – Shakin It Up Larry (10/1) 10% · fair 9-1
Rest of field:1 – Span Of Control (6/1) 10% · fair 19-2 underlay -37%, 3 – City Tripper (10/1) 9% · fair 21-2
Race 6 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Certain — 20.4% win probability, morning line 4/1Certain20.4% ◀Top Recruit — 18.2% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Top Recruit18.2%Outhustle — 18.1% win probability, morning line 2/1Outhustle18.1%Paschal Moon — 15.1% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Paschal Moon15.1%Shakin It Up Larry — 10.0% win probability, morning line 10/1Shakin It Up Larry10.0%Span Of Control — 9.5% win probability, morning line 6/1Span Of Control9.5%City Tripper — 8.7% win probability, morning line 10/1City Tripper8.7%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Certain20.4%4/1
Top Recruit18.2%3.5/1
Outhustle18.1%2/1
Paschal Moon15.1%2.5/1
Shakin It Up Larry10.0%10/1
Span Of Control9.5%6/1
City Tripper8.7%10/1
Race 6 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherCertain: model 20.4% vs market 14.6% (+5.8 points)Certain+5.8Top Recruit: model 18.2% vs market 16.3% (+1.9 points)Top Recruit+1.9Outhustle: model 18.1% vs market 24.4% (-6.3 points)Outhustle-6.3Paschal Moon: model 15.1% vs market 20.9% (-5.8 points)Paschal Moon-5.8Shakin It Up Larry: model 10.0% vs market 6.7% (+3.3 points)Shakin It Up Larry+3.3Span Of Control: model 9.5% vs market 10.5% (-1.0 points)Span Of Control-1.0City Tripper: model 8.7% vs market 6.7% (+2.1 points)City Tripper+2.1

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Certain20.4%14.6%+5.8
Top Recruit18.2%16.3%+1.9
Outhustle18.1%24.4%-6.3
Paschal Moon15.1%20.9%-5.8
Shakin It Up Larry10.0%6.7%+3.3
Span Of Control9.5%10.5%-1.0
City Tripper8.7%6.7%+2.1
🌧️ Off-track: 4-5-2-6-7-1
🎯 Longshots: 6-4-2-7-5-3-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #6, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $33,000
Win:6 – Standpoint (5/2) 21% · fair 4-1 underlay -35%
Place:7 – Chill Boss (7/2) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -29%
Show:3 – Duck Hunter (4/1) 16% · fair 5-1
Other contenders:1 – Big Run (3/1) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -54%, 2 – Drunkle (6/1) 13% · fair 13-2
Rest of field:4 – Youreawizard Harry (8/1) 11% · fair 8-1, 5 – Mackenzie's Novva (12/1) 8% · fair 11-1
Race 7 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Standpoint — 20.7% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Standpoint20.7% ◀Chill Boss — 16.8% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Chill Boss16.8%Duck Hunter — 16.4% win probability, morning line 4/1Duck Hunter16.4%Big Run — 13.3% win probability, morning line 3/1Big Run13.3%Drunkle — 13.2% win probability, morning line 6/1Drunkle13.2%Youreawizard Harry — 11.3% win probability, morning line 8/1Youreawizard Harry11.3%Mackenzie'S Novva — 8.4% win probability, morning line 12/1Mackenzie'S Novva8.4%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Standpoint20.7%2.5/1
Chill Boss16.8%3.5/1
Duck Hunter16.4%4/1
Big Run13.3%3/1
Drunkle13.2%6/1
Youreawizard Harry11.3%8/1
Mackenzie'S Novva8.4%12/1
Race 7 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherStandpoint: model 20.7% vs market 22.2% (-1.5 points)Standpoint-1.5Chill Boss: model 16.8% vs market 17.2% (-0.4 points)Chill Boss-0.4Duck Hunter: model 16.4% vs market 15.5% (+0.8 points)Duck Hunter+0.8Big Run: model 13.3% vs market 19.4% (-6.1 points)Big Run-6.1Drunkle: model 13.2% vs market 11.1% (+2.1 points)Drunkle+2.1Youreawizard Harry: model 11.3% vs market 8.6% (+2.6 points)Youreawizard Harry+2.6Mackenzie'S Novva: model 8.4% vs market 6.0% (+2.4 points)Mackenzie'S Novva+2.4

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Standpoint20.7%22.2%-1.5
Chill Boss16.8%17.2%-0.4
Duck Hunter16.4%15.5%+0.8
Big Run13.3%19.4%-6.1
Drunkle13.2%11.1%+2.1
Youreawizard Harry11.3%8.6%+2.6
Mackenzie'S Novva8.4%6.0%+2.4
🌧️ Off-track: 7-3-1-4-2-6
🎯 Longshots: 6-1-4-2-5-7-3
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #3, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $15,000
Win:5 – Starship Belmont (5/2) 25% · fair 3-1
Place:2 – My Sugar Boo (4/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -29%
Show:7 – Nelida (7/2) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -43%
Other contenders:6 – Dominant Stranger (9/2) 14% · fair 13-2 underlay -30%, 3 – Xerces (8/1) 10% · fair 17-2, 4 – Equinamous (6/1) 9% · fair 10-1 underlay -41%
Rest of field:1 – Prussian Blue (12/1) 7% · fair 14-1, 8 – Uppity Up (12/1) 6% · fair 16-1
Race 8 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Starship Belmont — 25.5% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Starship Belmont25.5% ◀My Sugar Boo — 15.0% win probability, morning line 4/1My Sugar Boo15.0%Nelida — 14.0% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Nelida14.0%Dominant Stranger — 13.5% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Dominant Stranger13.5%Xerces — 10.5% win probability, morning line 8/1Xerces10.5%Equinamous — 8.9% win probability, morning line 6/1Equinamous8.9%Prussian Blue — 6.7% win probability, morning line 12/1Prussian Blue6.7%Uppity Up — 5.9% win probability, morning line 12/1Uppity Up5.9%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Starship Belmont25.5%2.5/1
My Sugar Boo15.0%4/1
Nelida14.0%3.5/1
Dominant Stranger13.5%4.5/1
Xerces10.5%8/1
Equinamous8.9%6/1
Prussian Blue6.7%12/1
Uppity Up5.9%12/1
🌧️ Off-track: 5-8-2-6-4-7
🎯 Longshots: 5-3-2-7-6-8-4-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #7, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000
Win:1 – Chips Legacy (5/2)
Place:5 – Sydney Street (3/1)
Show:7 – Camilo (9/2)
Other contenders:6 – Summerfest (4/1), 2 – Thalberg (6/1)
Rest of field:4 – Leonard's Legacy (10/1), 3 – Pearl Of Aclaim (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-5-7-6-2-4
🎯 Longshots: 1-4-5-3-7-6-2
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #7, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $14,000
Win:4 – Twirlaway (3/1)
Place:2 – Groovy N Gray (5/2)
Show:3 – Hot Gamer (7/2)
Other contenders:8 – Ennereilly (6/1), 6 – Hawkeyejet (9/2), 5 – Hope She Comes (8/1)
Rest of field:7 – Snookie Jones (10/1), 1 – Cats Gone Estray (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-4-8-6-3-5
🎯 Longshots: 2-4-3-5-6-7-1-8
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #3, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000
Win:2 – Showdown King (3/1)
Place:5 – Meant To Be Lucky (4/1)
Show:1 – Enjoy The Music (9/2)
Other contenders:6 – Straightoutadutton (7/2), 4 – Gotts Got It (7/1)
Rest of field:3 – Bermuda Run (7/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-1-6-4-3
🎯 Longshots: 2-1-6-5-3-4
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #1, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $23,000
Win:1 – Happyisashappydoes (5/2)
Place:5 – Extrasexybigdaddee (3/1)
Show:3 – Tigre (9/2)
Other contenders:4 – Brilliant Journey (7/2), 2 – Adios Buccaneer (6/1)
Rest of field:6 – Silver Front (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-3-4-1-2
🎯 Longshots: 1-5-6-4-3-2
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000
Win:1 – Mrs. Manicotti (5/2)
Place:4 – I'm Heading East (7/2)
Show:8 – New Age Bad Girl (3/1)
Other contenders:5 – Ohoopee (6/1), 3 – Garnet And Gold (4/1), 2 – Krispy Rice (8/1)
Rest of field:7 – Queen Wiggy (10/1), 6 – Miss M M (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-3-2-1-4-7
🎯 Longshots: 1-8-6-3-4-2-7-5
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #8, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $22,000
Win:5 – Certain (4/1)
Place:2 – Top Recruit (7/2)
Show:6 – Outhustle (2/1)
Other contenders:4 – Paschal Moon (5/2), 7 – Shakin It Up Larry (10/1)
Rest of field:1 – Span Of Control (6/1), 3 – City Tripper (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-4-6-7-1
🎯 Longshots: 6-4-2-7-5-3-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #6, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $33,000
Win:6 – Standpoint (5/2)
Place:7 – Chill Boss (7/2)
Show:1 – Big Run (3/1)
Other contenders:2 – Drunkle (6/1), 3 – Duck Hunter (4/1)
Rest of field:5 – Mackenzie's Novva (12/1), 4 – Youreawizard Harry (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 7-1-3-6-2-4
🎯 Longshots: 6-1-4-2-5-7-3
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #1, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $15,000
Win:5 – Starship Belmont (5/2)
Place:2 – My Sugar Boo (4/1)
Show:4 – Equinamous (6/1)
Other contenders:7 – Nelida (7/2), 6 – Dominant Stranger (9/2), 3 – Xerces (8/1)
Rest of field:1 – Prussian Blue (12/1), 8 – Uppity Up (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-4-6-7-8
🎯 Longshots: 5-3-2-7-6-8-4-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #4, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 20, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5,
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ

Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.

Race 1AI Exacta: #1 over #5 ($1 straight; box #1-#5 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #7, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 2AI Exacta: #2 over #3 ($1 straight; box #2-#3 for cover)
Trifecta: #4 over #2, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 3AI Exacta: #6 over #1 ($1 straight; box #6-#1 for cover)
Trifecta: #5 over #2, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 4AI Exacta: #1 over #5 ($1 straight; box #1-#5 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #5, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 5AI Exacta: #3 over #1 ($1 straight; box #3-#1 for cover)
Trifecta: #3 over #4, #1, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 6AI Exacta: #6 over #2 ($1 straight; box #6-#2 for cover)
Trifecta: #2 over #5, #4, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 7AI Exacta: #6 over #1 ($1 straight; box #6-#1 for cover)
Trifecta: #6 over #1, #7, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 8AI Exacta: #5 over #2 ($1 straight; box #5-#2 for cover)
Trifecta: #5 over #2, #4, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000
Win:3 – Pearl Of Aclaim (10/1)
Place:1 – Chips Legacy (5/2)
Show:7 – Camilo (9/2)
Other contenders:2 – Thalberg (6/1), 5 – Sydney Street (3/1)
Rest of field:6 – Summerfest (4/1), 4 – Leonard's Legacy (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-2-5-6-3
🎯 Longshots: 1-4-5-3-7-6-2
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #7, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $14,000
Win:4 – Twirlaway (3/1)
Place:2 – Groovy N Gray (5/2)
Show:3 – Hot Gamer (7/2)
Other contenders:8 – Ennereilly (6/1), 6 – Hawkeyejet (9/2), 1 – Cats Gone Estray (10/1)
Rest of field:7 – Snookie Jones (10/1), 5 – Hope She Comes (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-4-8-6-3-7
🎯 Longshots: 2-4-3-5-6-7-1-8
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #3, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000
Win:6 – Straightoutadutton (7/2)
Place:2 – Showdown King (3/1)
Show:5 – Meant To Be Lucky (4/1)
Other contenders:1 – Enjoy The Music (9/2), 4 – Gotts Got It (7/1)
Rest of field:3 – Bermuda Run (7/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-5-1-4-3
🎯 Longshots: 2-1-6-5-3-4
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #5, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $23,000
Win:5 – Extrasexybigdaddee (3/1)
Place:1 – Happyisashappydoes (5/2)
Show:3 – Tigre (9/2)
Other contenders:2 – Adios Buccaneer (6/1), 4 – Brilliant Journey (7/2)
Rest of field:6 – Silver Front (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-3-4-1-2
🎯 Longshots: 1-5-6-4-3-2
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #3, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000
Win:3 – Garnet And Gold (4/1)
Place:1 – Mrs. Manicotti (5/2)
Show:4 – I'm Heading East (7/2)
Other contenders:6 – Miss M M (10/1), 2 – Krispy Rice (8/1), 5 – Ohoopee (6/1)
Rest of field:8 – New Age Bad Girl (3/1), 7 – Queen Wiggy (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-3-1-2-4-6
🎯 Longshots: 1-8-6-3-4-2-7-5
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #4, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $22,000
Win:6 – Outhustle (2/1)
Place:2 – Top Recruit (7/2)
Show:4 – Paschal Moon (5/2)
Other contenders:5 – Certain (4/1), 7 – Shakin It Up Larry (10/1)
Rest of field:1 – Span Of Control (6/1), 3 – City Tripper (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-2-4-5-7-1
🎯 Longshots: 6-4-2-7-5-3-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #2, #4, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $33,000
Win:6 – Standpoint (5/2)
Place:1 – Big Run (3/1)
Show:7 – Chill Boss (7/2)
Other contenders:5 – Mackenzie's Novva (12/1), 2 – Drunkle (6/1)
Rest of field:3 – Duck Hunter (4/1), 4 – Youreawizard Harry (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-6-3-2-4
🎯 Longshots: 6-1-4-2-5-7-3
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #7, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $15,000
Win:5 – Starship Belmont (5/2)
Place:7 – Nelida (7/2)
Show:2 – My Sugar Boo (4/1)
Other contenders:3 – Xerces (8/1), 4 – Equinamous (6/1), 1 – Prussian Blue (12/1)
Rest of field:8 – Uppity Up (12/1), 6 – Dominant Stranger (9/2)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-4-7-3-8
🎯 Longshots: 5-3-2-7-6-8-4-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #7, #2, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 87, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000
Win:1 – Chips Legacy (5/2)
Place:7 – Camilo (9/2)
Show:5 – Sydney Street (3/1)
Other contenders:2 – Thalberg (6/1), 6 – Summerfest (4/1)
Rest of field:3 – Pearl Of Aclaim (10/1), 4 – Leonard's Legacy (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-5-2-6-4
🎯 Longshots: 1-4-5-3-7-6-2
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #7, #5, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $14,000
Win:4 – Twirlaway (3/1)
Place:2 – Groovy N Gray (5/2)
Show:3 – Hot Gamer (7/2)
Other contenders:6 – Hawkeyejet (9/2), 8 – Ennereilly (6/1), 5 – Hope She Comes (8/1)
Rest of field:1 – Cats Gone Estray (10/1), 7 – Snookie Jones (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-4-8-6-3-5
🎯 Longshots: 2-4-3-5-6-7-1-8
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000
Win:5 – Meant To Be Lucky (4/1)
Place:2 – Showdown King (3/1)
Show:6 – Straightoutadutton (7/2)
Other contenders:1 – Enjoy The Music (9/2), 3 – Bermuda Run (7/1)
Rest of field:4 – Gotts Got It (7/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-6-1-4-3
🎯 Longshots: 2-1-6-5-3-4
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #6, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $23,000
Win:1 – Happyisashappydoes (5/2)
Place:5 – Extrasexybigdaddee (3/1)
Show:3 – Tigre (9/2)
Other contenders:4 – Brilliant Journey (7/2), 2 – Adios Buccaneer (6/1)
Rest of field:6 – Silver Front (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 6-5-3-1-4-2
🎯 Longshots: 1-5-6-4-3-2
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000
Win:3 – Garnet And Gold (4/1)
Place:4 – I'm Heading East (7/2)
Show:1 – Mrs. Manicotti (5/2)
Other contenders:8 – New Age Bad Girl (3/1), 5 – Ohoopee (6/1), 2 – Krispy Rice (8/1)
Rest of field:6 – Miss M M (10/1), 7 – Queen Wiggy (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8-3-4-1-2-6
🎯 Longshots: 1-8-6-3-4-2-7-5
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #1, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $22,000
Win:2 – Top Recruit (7/2)
Place:5 – Certain (4/1)
Show:4 – Paschal Moon (5/2)
Other contenders:6 – Outhustle (2/1), 1 – Span Of Control (6/1)
Rest of field:7 – Shakin It Up Larry (10/1), 3 – City Tripper (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2-5-4-6-1-7
🎯 Longshots: 6-4-2-7-5-3-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #4, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $33,000
Win:6 – Standpoint (5/2)
Place:1 – Big Run (3/1)
Show:7 – Chill Boss (7/2)
Other contenders:3 – Duck Hunter (4/1), 2 – Drunkle (6/1)
Rest of field:4 – Youreawizard Harry (8/1), 5 – Mackenzie's Novva (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1-7-3-6-2-4
🎯 Longshots: 6-1-4-2-5-7-3
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #7, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $15,000
Win:5 – Starship Belmont (5/2)
Place:2 – My Sugar Boo (4/1)
Show:4 – Equinamous (6/1)
Other contenders:7 – Nelida (7/2), 3 – Xerces (8/1), 6 – Dominant Stranger (9/2)
Rest of field:1 – Prussian Blue (12/1), 8 – Uppity Up (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 5-2-4-7-6-3
🎯 Longshots: 5-3-2-7-6-8-4-1
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #4, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 50, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1,
AI Multi-Race Tickets – Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ

Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.

Pick 3 R1-3R1: #7,#5,#6 (53%) / R2: #4,#2,#8 (53%) / R3: #1,#2,#6 (60%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 17%
Pick 3 R2-4R2: #4,#2,#8 (53%) / R3: #1,#2,#6 (60%) / R4: #5,#1,#3 (61%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 20%
Pick 3 R3-5R3: #1,#2,#6 (60%) / R4: #5,#1,#3 (61%) / R5: #1,#8,#3 (49%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 18%
Pick 3 R4-6R4: #5,#1,#3 (61%) / R5: #1,#8,#3 (49%) / R6: #5,#2,#6 (57%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 17%
Pick 4 R1-4R1: #7,#5,#6 (53%) / R2: #4,#2,#8 (53%) / R3: #1,#2,#6 (60%) / R4: #5,#1,#3 (61%)
$81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 10%
Pick 4 R3-6R3: #1,#2,#6 (60%) / R4: #5,#1,#3 (61%) / R5: #1,#8,#3 (49%) / R6: #5,#2,#6 (57%)
$81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 10%
Index – Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
ADIOS BUCCANEERBERMUDA RUNBIG RUNBRILLIANT JOURNEYCAMILO
CERTAINCHILL BOSSCHIPS LEGACYCITY TRIPPERDOMINANT STRANGER
DUCK HUNTERENJOY THE MUSICENNEREILLYEQUINAMOUSEXTRASEXYBIGDADDEE
GOTTS GOT ITGROOVY N GRAYHAPPYISASHAPPYDOESHAWKEYEJETHOPE SHE COMES
I'M HEADING EASTKRISPY RICELEONARD'S LEGACYMACKENZIE'S NOVVAMEANT TO BE LUCKY
MRS. MANICOTTIMY SUGAR BOONELIDANEW AGE BAD GIRLOHOOPEE
PASCHAL MOONPEARL OF ACLAIMPRUSSIAN BLUEQUEEN WIGGYSHAKIN IT UP LARRY
SILVER FRONTSNOOKIE JONESSPAN OF CONTROLSTANDPOINTSTARSHIP BELMONT
SUMMERFESTSYDNEY STREETTHALBERGTIGRETOP RECRUIT
UPPITY UPXERCESYOUREAWIZARD HARRY

 


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