Pick Pony Picks – Consensus Expert Picks for Churchill Downs, September 24, 2026.


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Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony's AI Picks.

How often our pick wins, by its price

AI Ensemble top picks grouped by morning-line odds.

0%13%27%40%54%Odds-on to 5/2: 42.8% from 1,496 racesOdds-on to 5/242.8%5/2 to 5/1: 31.5% from 1,189 races5/2 to 5/131.5%

Short-priced selections are where the model is strongest.

Show the numbers
GroupWin rateRaces
Odds-on to 5/242.8%1,496
5/2 to 5/131.5%1,189

Consensus Expert Picks

Consensus rankings based on 5 experts. Scoring: 1st pick = 4 pts, 2nd = 3 pts, 3rd = 2 pts, 4th = 1 pt. Agreement % = share of experts that included each horse. A gold star (⭐) next to a horse means Pick Pony's AI independently ranks that horse #1 as well — historically the strongest-hitting subset of picks. A recycle mark (↻) means that AI pick is the re-ranked one, after this morning's official scratches and surface changes were applied.

Race 1

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:2 – Bullet Baby (4-1)4/580.0%11 pts
Place:4 – Flashy Aviator (2-1)4/580.0%9 pts
Show:5 – Prosecco Gal (4-1)3/560.0%11 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:6 – Motown Sound (6-1)3/560.0%7 pts
Alt 2:1 – Deceiving Diva (3-1)2/540.0%5 pts
Alt 3:3 – Betty Who (8-1)0/50.0%0 pts

Race 2

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:6 – By La Rina (2-1) ⭐5/5100.0%17 pts
Place:2 – That's A Benjamin (5-1)4/580.0%12 pts
Show:3 – Black Magic River (6-1)3/560.0%9 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:7 – Allison Avenue (8-1)3/560.0%4 pts
Alt 2:4 – Nucleotide (2-1)1/520.0%1 pts
Alt 3:1 – Lincoln Court (4-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 4:5 – Statutory (10-1)0/50.0%0 pts

Race 3

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:2 – Spin A Tune (3-1) ⭐5/5100.0%18 pts
Place:5 – Dagmara (2-1)4/580.0%11 pts
Show:3 – Shilling (6-1)3/560.0%9 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:6 – Struck At Midnight (2-1)3/560.0%3 pts
Alt 2:1 – Amazing Lady (8-1)1/520.0%2 pts
Alt 3:4 – Essential Lady (10-1)0/50.0%0 pts

Race 4

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:2 – Booray (2-1) ⭐5/5100.0%16 pts
Place:3 – Mr Gerson (2-1)4/580.0%12 pts
Show:6 – Mr. Fete (4-1)4/580.0%9 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:7 – Jacks Shot (6-1)2/540.0%2 pts
Alt 2:1 – Red Sun (12-1)1/520.0%4 pts
Alt 3:4 – Mormoneytostart (12-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 4:5 – Mr. Grumpy Pants (10-1)0/50.0%0 pts

Race 5

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:2 – Magical Mikel (2-1)4/580.0%14 pts
Place:6 – Fusta (8-1)3/560.0%8 pts
Show:3 – Nashville Cowboy (4-1)2/540.0%6 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:4 – Scouting Report (6-1)2/540.0%5 pts
Alt 2:9 – Grand Opry (15-1)2/540.0%4 pts
Alt 3:10 – Bonzo (8-1)2/540.0%4 pts
Alt 4:5 – Borax (5-1)1/520.0%2 pts
Alt 5:1 – Functional (12-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 6:7 – Drummer Bill (20-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 7:8 – Gaines Trace (20-1)0/50.0%0 pts

Race 6

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:6 – Pierre (4-1)4/580.0%16 pts
Place:1 – Baby Max (4-1)3/560.0%8 pts
Show:3 – Johny's Rendezvous (2-1)3/560.0%5 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:5 – Covert Law (10-1)2/540.0%5 pts
Alt 2:4 – Green Light (8-1)2/540.0%5 pts
Alt 3:2 – Yinzer (3-1)2/540.0%4 pts
Alt 4:7 – Versus (15-1)0/50.0%0 pts

Race 7

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:7 – Attersee (3-1)5/5100.0%15 pts
Place:5 – Vital Mind (2-1)3/560.0%11 pts
Show:2 – Charlie Foxtrot (6-1)3/560.0%5 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:1 – Hicko (8-1)2/540.0%5 pts
Alt 2:6 – Evan On Earth (4-1)2/540.0%3 pts
Alt 3:4 – Hogie The Player (20-1)1/520.0%4 pts
Alt 4:3 – Googol Joke (15-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 5:8 – Ravens Dream (10-1)0/50.0%0 pts

Race 8

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Win:4 – The King Of Soccer (8-1)3/560.0%10 pts
Place:2 – Automatic Press (6-1)3/560.0%7 pts
Show:12 – Circadian (3-1)2/540.0%7 pts

Alternatives

PickHorseExpertsAgreementScore
Alt 1:3 – Bandolim (12-1)2/540.0%6 pts
Alt 2:6 – Where's Otto (15-1)1/520.0%3 pts
Alt 3:10 – Mined That Gold (12-1)1/520.0%3 pts
Alt 4:1 – Okarito (20-1)1/520.0%3 pts
Alt 5:5 – Giovanni's Heart (20-1)1/520.0%2 pts
Alt 6:11 – Sweeten The Pot (8-1)1/520.0%1 pts
Alt 7:9 – Quigley (6-1)1/520.0%1 pts
Alt 8:8 – Take Charge Beach (4-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 9:7 – Platinum Power (30-1)0/50.0%0 pts
Alt 10:13 – Harwich Port (20-1)0/50.0%0 pts

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