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Woodbine Racetrack presents an 11-race card on Saturday, November 8, 2025, highlighted by three graded stakes contests. The Grade 3 Maple Leaf Stakes at 1 1/4 miles anchors Race 7, while the Grade 3 Bessarabian Stakes over seven furlongs features a massive field of 16 fillies and mares in Race 9. The Grade 3 Autumn Stakes in Race 10 brings together 13 talented older horses at 1 1/8 miles.​

Hall of Fame trainer Mark Casse sends out multiple entries across the stakes races, including Blitz and Dancing N Dixie in the Maple Leaf, plus Mo Fox Givin, Golden Canary, and Stormcast in the Bessarabian. The card opens at 1:05 PM EST with a maiden claiming event and concludes with an allowance optional claiming contest at 6:16 PM.​

Weather and Track Conditions

Toronto weather for Saturday shows overcast skies with temperatures around 7°C (44-46°F). The synthetic Tapeta surface is expected to be rated Fast based on recent racing conditions at the track. The all-weather surface provides consistent footing regardless of weather conditions, which should favor closers and horses with tactical speed who can secure favorable trips. Wind conditions show WSW at approximately 12 mph, which is unlikely to significantly impact racing on the synthetic surface.​

Race 1 – Maiden Claiming

Post Time: 1:05 PM EST

This 1 1/16-mile maiden claiming event for $15,000 features eight older maidens seeking their first victory. The distance and claiming level suggest this field consists of limited horses, but class differentials and trainer patterns will be key.

Key Contenders

Liberty Bay represents the powerful Mark Casse barn making his second career start. The three-year-old colt by Liam’s Map showed promise in his debut and gets the significant class drop to maiden claiming. Casse’s record with second-time starters is exceptional, and jockey Fraser Aebly provides solid handling.​

Padraig, trained by Michael Wright Jr., draws the rail and has shown gradual improvement through his recent efforts. The three-year-old gelding by Super Saver gets jockey Keveh Nicholls, who can maximize an inside post at this distance.

Secondary Choices

Successful Carrick exits the Ontario-bred maiden ranks and drops significantly in class for trainer Bancroft DeSouza. The blinkers-on angle with Da-Sean Zavier Gaskin aboard could spark improvement. The gelding has shown flashes of ability but needs to translate that into a complete effort.

Rachael’s Wagon from the Paul McEntee barn has been competitive at this level and gets the services of Rafael Hernandez, Woodbine’s current leading rider. The jockey switch could be the difference in a competitive maiden event.​

Longshots

Arrakasta Izan makes his second start for trainer Shana Lopez after a troubled debut. The added distance and experience could bring improvement at a square price.

Pace Analysis

Liberty Bay and Padraig figure to contest the early lead from their inside posts, with Successful Carrick likely applying pressure from the outside. The pace should be honest, setting up a closer or stalker to capitalize late.

Selections

Win: Liberty Bay

Place: Padraig

Show: Rachael’s Wagon

Race 2 – Maiden Optional Claiming

Race 2 at Woodbine presents a Maiden Optional Claiming event for three-year-olds and upward at 6 1/2 furlongs on the Tapeta synthetic surface with a purse of $65,700. This race is restricted to Ontario-sired maidens or maiden claiming horses at the $40,000 level. Three-year-olds carry 121 pounds while older horses carry 124 pounds, with a $40,000 claiming price available.​

Post Time

1:34 PM EST

Running Style and Pace Dynamics

The pace scenario for this seven-horse field appears highly competitive with multiple confirmed early speed types. Pocket Speed from post 2 has demonstrated natural tactical speed in his previous efforts and figures to establish the early lead with Rafael Hernandez applying pressure from the gate. Awesome Beat from the rail also possesses forward tendencies and should contest the early pace under Xarel Forde.​

Big Screen Boss exits faster company and has shown stalking ability, likely positioning himself just off the leaders through the opening quarter. The contested early fractions should set up a tactical race where horses with tactical speed and the ability to save ground will have significant advantages. The Tapeta surface at Woodbine has recently favored inside posts in sprint distances, particularly at 6 1/2 furlongs where the rail has won at a 15 percent clip.​

Sammysaurus Rex and Dancing Shaman both profile as closers who will need honest fractions to unleash their best efforts in the stretch. The distance of 6 1/2 furlongs on the synthetic surface should produce moderate to quick early splits given the competitive nature of the speed horses entered.

Sammysaurus Rex

Sammysaurus Rex makes his second career start for trainer Gordon Colbourne after debuting on July 13 at Woodbine where he showed improvement late in a one-mile maiden special weight. The chestnut gelding by Reload out of Malaspina by Speightstown brings a solid Ontario-bred pedigree that suggests this sprint distance should suit his abilities.​

The significant jockey upgrade to Ryan Munger cannot be overlooked. Munger ranks among Woodbine’s elite riders with 66 wins from 433 starts in 2025, good for a 15 percent strike rate and over $3 million in earnings. The combination of Munger with second-time starters has proven profitable throughout the meet. Colbourne has demonstrated competence with maidens, recently winning a sprint at Woodbine with La Belva.​

The gelding drew post 3, providing tactical options for Munger to either stalk the pace or drop back and close. The class relief from maiden special weight to maiden optional claiming represents a significant advantage, and the experience factor combined with natural maturation from his July debut makes this gelding extremely dangerous.

Pocket Speed

Pocket Speed brings the most consistent form pattern into this event with four starts under his belt for trainer Ronald Sadler. The three-year-old gelding secures the services of Rafael Hernandez, Woodbine’s leading rider with 117 wins in the past 365 days. This partnership provides immediate credibility and suggests connections believe this gelding is sitting on a breakthrough performance.​

The gelding has shown tactical speed in previous efforts and should establish favorable position from post 2 under Hernandez’s aggressive handling. Sadler has proven capable with maiden runners, and the decision to keep this gelding in the Ontario-sired maiden ranks rather than drop to claiming company indicates confidence in his ability. The inside draw benefits speed horses on the Woodbine Tapeta, particularly at this distance where post 2 has won 12 percent of the time.​

However, the gelding faces the challenge of contested fractions with Awesome Beat to his inside likely applying pressure throughout. If Pocket Speed can establish clear command early, he possesses the tactical speed to control the race and prove difficult to pass in the stretch.

Dancing Shaman

Dancing Shaman represents trainer Michael Doyle with David Moran handling the reins from post 6. The three-year-old gelding by Shaman Ghost out of Dance to the Moon by Perigee Moon has shown gradual improvement through his recent efforts and figures to benefit from an honest pace.​

The outside post position allows Moran to assess the early pace development and position this gelding for a sustained rally. Doyle’s statistics with maidens show competence, though this barn typically needs multiple starts before runners reach peak form. The gelding has demonstrated the ability to close in previous efforts but needs everything to unfold perfectly to overcome the disadvantage of the outside draw.

At projected odds around 8-1, Dancing Shaman represents value for exotic wagering but faces challenges in securing a winning trip from his wide post. The gelding requires an honest pace and racing luck to factor in the exacta or trifecta.​

Big Screen Boss

Big Screen Boss drops significantly in class after competing against tougher maiden special weight competition. The three-year-old gelding trained by Tedston Holder gets jockey Pietro Moran and carries just 116 pounds due to the apprentice allowance. Moran has compiled solid statistics at Woodbine with 113 wins in the past year, second only to Rafael Hernandez.​

The gelding’s past performances show stalking ability and tactical speed, suggesting he can track the early pace from post 7. The significant weight advantage of 5 pounds compared to the main competition provides a tangible edge in this competitive field. However, the class drop from maiden special weight to optional claiming with the apprentice allowance and outside post raises questions about the gelding’s true ability.​

The combination of factors suggests connections are searching for a softer spot, and the gelding must demonstrate he belongs at this level. Morning line odds around 12-1 make this gelding an interesting exotic play if he can overcome the wide draw and prove the class drop sparks improvement.

Sunset Skippy

Sunset Skippy trained by Tom Steer drew post 4 and gets Juan Crawford for the riding assignment. The three-year-old gelding runs without Lasix, which can indicate connections believe he possesses natural ability without medication assistance. The center post provides tactical options, though Crawford faces the challenge of finding a comfortable position behind the likely contested early pace.

The gelding has shown moderate ability in previous starts but faces steep competition in this field. At projected odds around 20-1, Sunset Skippy appears overmatched against the top contenders and would need a career-best effort to factor in the exotics.​

Bee Me

Bee Me represents trainer Krista Cole as a four-year-old gelding making another attempt to break his maiden. The older gelding carries 119 pounds and gets Austin Adams from post 5. The combination of age and lack of progress in recent starts suggests this gelding faces difficult challenges against younger, improving runners.

The gelding draws a middle post but lacks the tactical speed to position himself advantageously in the early stages. At projected odds around 6-1, Bee Me appears overbet based on his form pattern and faces superior competition.​

Awesome Beat

Awesome Beat trained by Harold Ladouceur drew the rail and gets Xarel Forde handling the riding duties. The three-year-old gelding carries just 116 pounds due to the apprentice allowance and brings forward speed from the inside post. The combination should allow Awesome Beat to establish early position, though he faces immediate pressure from Pocket Speed in post 2.

The rail post at Woodbine sprints has won 15 percent of the time, providing a significant statistical advantage. However, the gelding’s form pattern suggests limited ability, and the apprentice rider combined with the rail draw may simply position him to contest a quick pace that compromises his chances. Projected odds around 30-1 make this gelding a longshot for deep exotics only.​

Speed Figures and Class Analysis

The speed figures for this field show Sammysaurus Rex holding a slight advantage based on his debut performance in maiden special weight company. Big Screen Boss also brings faster figures from his races against tougher maiden special weight runners. Pocket Speed has demonstrated consistency with moderate figures that suggest he belongs at this level.​

The class relief for Sammysaurus Rex dropping from maiden special weight to maiden optional claiming provides the most significant edge in this field. Big Screen Boss also benefits from the class drop, though his wide post position and apprentice rider create additional challenges. The Ontario-sired maidens in this field, including Pocket Speed and Dancing Shaman, face tougher assignments competing against horses dropping in class.

Track Bias and Post Position Analysis

The Tapeta synthetic surface at Woodbine has undergone extensive maintenance and should provide a fair racing surface. Recent statistics show inside posts hold advantages in sprint distances, particularly at 6 1/2 furlongs where the rail wins 15 percent of races, post 2 wins 12 percent, and post 3 wins 11 percent.​

The outside posts 6 and 7 face disadvantages, particularly in competitive maiden races where securing favorable position early proves critical. Dancing Shaman from post 6 and Big Screen Boss from post 7 must overcome their wide draws to factor prominently. The contested early pace should favor horses positioned inside, allowing them to save ground on the turns and maintain energy for stretch drives.

Sammysaurus Rex drew the ideal post 3, providing Ryan Munger with tactical flexibility to either stalk or close depending on how the pace unfolds. Pocket Speed from post 2 benefits from an inside draw that allows Rafael Hernandez to establish early position without expending excessive energy.

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

The race sets up ideally for exotic wagering given the competitive nature of the field and legitimate contenders at various odds levels. Sammysaurus Rex represents the logical win bet at projected odds around 10-1 to 15-1, offering excellent value given his class advantage and jockey upgrade. The second-time starter angle with Ryan Munger provides added confidence in this selection.​

For exacta wagering, key Sammysaurus Rex on top with Pocket Speed, Dancing Shaman, and Big Screen Boss underneath. The reverse exacta using Pocket Speed over Sammysaurus Rex covers the scenario where the speed holds. A $2 exacta box using 2-3-6-7 costs $24 and provides coverage of the most likely winners.

Trifecta wagering should focus on Sammysaurus Rex on top, with Pocket Speed, Dancing Shaman, Big Screen Boss, and Awesome Beat filling the second and third positions. A $1 trifecta 3 with 2,6,7 with 1,2,6,7 costs $18 and captures the most probable combinations while including the rail horse for depth.

For superfecta wagering, construct a ticket using 3 on top, 2,6,7 for second, 1,2,6,7 for third, and ALL for fourth. This provides maximum coverage while focusing investment on the most likely top-three finishers.

Consider playing Sammysaurus Rex in multi-race wagers including the Pick 3 starting with Race 2. The combination of the class drop, jockey upgrade, and favorable post position makes this gelding an excellent single in horizontal wagers.

Selections and Confidence Levels

Win: Sammysaurus Rex – The Gordon Colbourne trainee brings multiple advantages including significant class relief from maiden special weight, the second-time starter angle, and the premium jockey upgrade to Ryan Munger. The post 3 draw provides tactical flexibility, and the pedigree suggests this sprint distance suits his running style perfectly. Munger’s 15 percent strike rate and ability to rate horses makes him the ideal pilot for this improving gelding. The combination of factors makes Sammysaurus Rex a strong win bet at projected odds around 10-1 to 15-1, offering excellent value in an otherwise competitive maiden race.

Place: Pocket Speed – Rafael Hernandez brings the hot hand to this assignment, riding as Woodbine’s leading jockey with 117 wins in the past 365 days. The inside post 2 provides tactical advantages on the Tapeta surface, and trainer Ronald Sadler demonstrates competence with maiden runners. Pocket Speed has shown consistent effort through four previous starts and appears ready to breakthrough with the leading rider aboard. The tactical speed combined with Hernandez’s aggressive riding style should secure favorable early position. However, the contested early pace with Awesome Beat to his inside creates some risk. This gelding represents a solid place bet and figures prominently in exotic wagering underneath Sammysaurus Rex.

Show: Dancing Shaman – The Michael Doyle trainee from post 6 brings gradual improvement and the ability to close late under David Moran. The contested early pace between Pocket Speed, Awesome Beat, and potentially Big Screen Boss should create the setup Dancing Shaman needs to rally late. The outside post position creates challenges, but Moran possesses the skill to navigate traffic and find racing room in the stretch. At projected odds around 8-1, Dancing Shaman offers value for the show position and should be included in all trifecta and superfecta combinations. The gelding by Shaman Ghost fits the typical profile of Ontario-bred maidens who improve with experience and benefit from honest pace scenariosrios.

Race 3 – Maiden Claiming

Post Time: 2:03 PM EST

Nine two-year-olds compete in this $15,000 maiden claiming sprint at 6 1/2 furlongs, offering opportunities for aggressive bettors willing to find value in the juvenile ranks.

Key Contenders

Something Fast debuts for trainer Paul McEntee with Rafael Hernandez aboard. The McEntee barn typically has horses ready to fire first time out, and securing Woodbine’s leading jockey signals intent.​

Rum Talk adds blinkers for trainer Ronald Sadler after showing some ability in his debut. The equipment change combined with the tactical speed of Eswan Flores could spark the needed improvement.

Secondary Choices

Seeking Magic debuts for Abraham Katryan with experienced jockey Leo Salles. The barn has done well with first-time starters, and this filly could surprise at a price.

Hot Potato represents the Katryan stable as a supplemental entry with Daisuke Fukumoto riding. The colt by Hot Rod Charlie has shown training promise and could offer value in his debut.

Longshots

Celestial Heart from the Tino Attard barn makes his second start after a troubled debut. The experience factor and slight weight advantage could bring improvement.

Pace Analysis

Something Fast and Rum Talk should establish the early pace, with Hot Potato and Full Star sitting the perfect stalking trip to pounce in the stretch.

Selections

Win: Something Fast

Place: Rum Talk

Show: Hot Potato

Race 4 – Claiming

Post Time: 2:33 PM EST

This 1 1/16-mile claiming event for $5,000 horses features ten older runners in the lowest claiming classification, making this a competitive betting race where form analysis is critical.

Key Contenders

So Called Vacation drops significantly in class for trainer Richard Morden with Fraser Aebly handling the riding duties. The five-year-old gelding has competed at higher levels and should dominate this field if running to his best recent form.

Cabernaydo from the Robert Tiller barn gets Daisuke Fukumoto and draws the rail. The four-year-old gelding has been consistent at this level and could benefit from the inside post in a large field.

Secondary Choices

Fairway to Heaven represents trainer Abraham Katryan with Leo Salles aboard. The gelding has shown flashes of ability and the drop in class could facilitate a breakthrough performance.

Pet Sounds makes his second start for trainer Danny Yu with Slade Jones riding. The gelding has experience at this distance and could improve with the added race fitness.

Pace Analysis

Multiple horses possess early speed, including Chancel, Fairway to Heaven, and Cabernaydo, which should create an honest pace and set up closers like So Called Vacation and Royal Quality.

Selections

Win: So Called Vacation

Place: Cabernaydo

Show: Fairway to Heaven

Race 5 – Maiden Optional Claiming

Race 5 at Woodbine presents a Maiden Optional Claiming event for two-year-old fillies at six furlongs on the Tapeta synthetic surface with a purse of $65,700. This race is restricted to Ontario-sired maidens or maiden claiming horses at the $40,000 level. All fillies carry 121 pounds unless otherwise indicated. The claiming price is set at $40,000 for those entered to be claimed.​

Post Time

3:03 PM EST

Running Style and Pace Dynamics

The pace scenario for this ten-filly field appears moderately contested with several fillies possessing early tactical speed. Baytown Munny from post 5 represents the Paul McEntee barn and has shown natural early speed in her previous starts, positioning her as the likely pacesetter under Daisuke Fukumoto. Ava’s Princess from post 3 also possesses forward tendencies and should press the pace from her inside position with Jose Luis Campos guiding.​

Fly True North from the rail brings early speed but draws the inside post with significant weight concessions at 113 pounds, making her tactical placement critical under Xarel Forde. The contested early fractions between these speed fillies should create honest splits that set up stalkers and closers for strong stretch drives.

Regal Affair from post 4 and Georgia Rain from post 8 both profile as tactical stalkers who can position themselves just off the pace and capitalize when the speed tires. Nile Passage from post 9 with Ryan Munger brings closing ability and should benefit most from an honest pace scenario. The six-furlong distance on the Tapeta surface typically produces moderate early fractions that allow tactical fillies to remain in contention throughout.​

Regal Affair

Regal Affair represents trainer Steve Attard with the premium services of Emma-Jayne Wilson, Canada’s highest-earning female jockey with over $90 million in career earnings and a Queen’s Plate victory. The dark bay or brown filly by Ami’s Holiday out of Luna Blu by Lemon Drop Kid brings excellent Ontario-bred credentials and racing pedigree suited for this sprint distance.​

Wilson’s presence aboard this filly signals significant intent from the connections at Racing Canada Inc. The legendary jockey has demonstrated remarkable consistency at Woodbine throughout her career and excels with developing juvenile fillies. The filly carries 118 pounds from post 4, providing an ideal tactical position for Wilson to stalk the early pace and time her move perfectly.​

The Ontario-bred pedigree suggests natural ability for the provincial-bred program, and the decision to keep this filly in the Ontario-sired maiden ranks rather than drop to claiming indicates confidence in her talent. Attard has developed a reputation for patient development of young horses, and this filly should show improvement in her second or third career start.​

The post 4 draw provides tactical flexibility, allowing Wilson to assess the early pace and position this filly for a sustained rally. The combination of elite jockey, competent trainer, and solid pedigree makes Regal Affair the logical favorite in this competitive maiden event.

Georgia Rain

Georgia Rain adds blinkers for trainer Kevin Attard with Rafael Hernandez aboard, creating a potent combination that warrants serious consideration. The dark bay or brown filly by an Ontario stallion brings local breeding credentials and represents one of Woodbine’s most successful trainer-jockey partnerships. Attard compiled a 34 percent win rate and 49 percent in-the-money percentage at recent meets, demonstrating consistent excellence with his stable.​

Hernandez continues his dominant performance as Woodbine’s leading rider with 117 wins in the past 365 days, providing this filly with elite tactical handling. The blinkers-on equipment change signals connections expect improved focus and acceleration from this juvenile filly making potentially her second career start.​

The post 8 draw positions Georgia Rain slightly wide, but Hernandez possesses the skill to overcome this disadvantage and secure favorable position behind the early speed. The weight assignment of 118 pounds keeps this filly competitive, and the addition of blinkers often sparks significant improvement in young horses learning to focus on their tasks.

Attard’s expertise with juvenile fillies cannot be overstated. The trainer has developed numerous stakes winners from his barn and understands the patience required to bring young horses along properly. This filly represents excellent value at projected odds around 2-1 to 3-1 and should be included in all exotic wagering combinations.​​

Baytown Munny

Baytown Munny represents the Paul McEntee barn with Daisuke Fukumoto handling the riding assignment from post 5. The grey or roan filly by Munnings out of Eloisa by Tapit brings exceptional American pedigree that screams early speed and tactical versatility. The Munnings sire line produces numerous successful sprinters with natural gate speed.​

McEntee has demonstrated consistent success with juvenile maidens at Woodbine, and securing Fukumoto for this assignment indicates confidence in the filly’s readiness. The Japanese-born jockey has compiled solid statistics at the meet and excels with speed horses who can establish clear early leads.​

The scratch watch shows Baytown Munny was scratched by Stewards from a previous engagement on October 25, suggesting potential minor issues that delayed her return. However, connections clearly believe those concerns have been addressed given her entry in this competitive field. The filly carries full weight of 121 pounds from post 5, positioning her ideally to establish the early lead without excessive energy expenditure.​

The Tapeta surface should suit this filly’s running style, and if she can secure clear command early, she possesses the pedigree to maintain her advantage deep into the stretch. However, the contested pace scenario with Fly True North and Ava’s Princess creates risks that she could be pressed too hard early.

Nile Passage

Nile Passage brings the services of Ryan Munger, one of Woodbine’s premier riders with a 21 percent win rate and 50 percent in-the-money percentage. The filly represents trainer Martin Drexler from post 9, drawing the outside position in this ten-filly field. Drexler compiled a 22 percent win rate and 55 percent in-the-money rate, demonstrating consistent competence with his stable.​

The outside post creates challenges for any horse, but Munger possesses the tactical skill to overcome post position disadvantages and secure favorable trips. The filly likely profiles as a closer who will benefit from the expected honest early pace. Munger excels at rating horses and timing his moves perfectly, making him ideal for a filly who needs pace setup.​

The weight assignment of 118 pounds keeps this filly competitive, and the combination of quality jockey and competent trainer provides confidence despite the wide draw. At projected odds around 7-1, Nile Passage represents value for exotic wagering and could surprise if the pace scenario unfolds favorably.​

Ava’s Princess

Ava’s Princess enters for trainer Steven Chircop with Jose Luis Campos handling the riding duties from post 3. The filly carries full weight of 121 pounds, indicating she’s entered to be claimed at the $40,000 level. Campos brings experience to this assignment and should position this filly to press the early pace from her inside draw.​

The post 3 position provides tactical advantages, allowing Campos to track the leaders without expending excessive energy. Chircop has shown competence with juvenile maidens, though his barn typically needs multiple starts before horses reach peak form. This filly likely needs the educational experience more than representing a serious winning threat.

At projected odds around 20-1, Ava’s Princess appears overmatched against the top contenders but could factor in deep exotics if the pace collapses.​

Daddy’s Secret

Daddy’s Secret represents trainer Richard Hayashi with Pietro Moran aboard from post 2. The filly carries just 113 pounds due to apprentice allowances, providing a significant weight advantage. Moran compiled 113 wins at Woodbine in the past year, ranking second only to Rafael Hernandez.​

The inside post 2 draw combined with the substantial weight break makes this filly interesting at a price. However, Hayashi’s modest statistics with maidens and the filly’s likely limited experience suggest she needs more seasoning. At projected odds around 15-1, Daddy’s Secret could surprise but faces steep competition.​

Silent Pal

Silent Pal makes her second career start for trainer John Whalen after debuting on October 12 where she pressed the pace before fading to fifth. The filly gets Keveh Nicholls from post 6 and carries 118 pounds. The experience from her debut should benefit this filly, though the performance suggested limited ability at this level.​

Whalen’s barn typically requires multiple starts before horses show their best form. At projected odds around 20-1, Silent Pal appears overmatched in this competitive field.​

Fly True North

Fly True North draws the rail with Xarel Forde handling the reins for trainer Elizabeth Elder. The filly carries just 113 pounds and was scratched by veterinarians from a previous engagement on October 12, raising questions about her physical readiness. The rail post at six furlongs can be advantageous, but this filly must demonstrate she’s fully fit after the previous scratch.​

At projected odds around 30-1, Fly True North appears a longshot but the rail post and weight advantage provide some hope for deep exotics.​

Deanna

Deanna represents trainer Peter Berringer with Fraser Aebly aboard from post 7. The filly carries 118 pounds and likely makes her debut in this competitive field. Aebly brings solid experience, but first-time starters face difficult challenges against experienced fillies in maiden races.​

At projected odds around 15-1, Deanna needs to show significant natural ability to factor against more seasoned competition.​

Kasumi’s Ghost

Kasumi’s Ghost rounds out the field for trainer Beverley Chubb with Juan Crawford riding from the far outside post 10. The extreme outside post creates nearly insurmountable challenges at six furlongs, requiring exceptional ability to overcome the wide trip. Crawford brings experience but faces a difficult assignment from this post.​

At projected odds around 40-1, Kasumi’s Ghost appears overmatched and would need a minor miracle to factor in this competitive field.​

Speed Figures and Class Analysis

The speed figures for this field remain relatively close given the limited racing experience of these two-year-old fillies. Regal Affair likely holds a slight advantage based on breeding and connections, with Georgia Rain close behind based on the blinkers addition and powerful trainer-jockey combination.​

Baytown Munny brings the fastest pedigree with Munnings sire line known for producing quick juveniles. The class analysis favors fillies from established stables like Attard, McEntee, and Drexler who have demonstrated success developing young horses at Woodbine.​

The Ontario-bred program creates unique dynamics where locally-bred fillies receive breeding incentives that can influence connections’ decisions. Regal Affair and Georgia Rain both fit the Ontario-bred profile and should receive strong support from their connections.​

Track Bias and Post Position Analysis

The Tapeta synthetic surface at Woodbine has shown consistent characteristics with slight advantages for inside posts in sprint distances. Recent statistics indicate the rail wins 15 percent of six-furlong races, post 2 wins 12 percent, and post 3 wins 11 percent, providing measurable advantages for inside runners.​

The outside posts 8, 9, and 10 face increasing disadvantages at six furlongs where saving ground on the turn proves critical. Georgia Rain from post 8, Nile Passage from post 9, and Kasumi’s Ghost from post 10 all must overcome their wide draws to factor prominently.​

The synthetic surface should provide fair racing conditions regardless of weather, allowing form and ability to determine the outcome rather than track conditions. The track has undergone recent maintenance and should race evenly across the racing surface.​

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

The race sets up ideally for exotic wagering given the competitive nature of the field and multiple legitimate contenders at various odds levels. Regal Affair represents the logical win bet at projected odds around 5-2 to 3-1, offering fair value given her elite jockey and solid connections. The Emma-Jayne Wilson factor cannot be overstated, as the Hall of Fame jockey excels in these precise situations.​

Georgia Rain presents excellent value at projected odds around 2-1 to 3-1 for place and show betting. The blinkers-on equipment change combined with Rafael Hernandez and Kevin Attard makes this filly extremely dangerous and potentially underbet given the public’s likely focus on Regal Affair.​

For exacta wagering, key Regal Affair on top with Georgia Rain, Baytown Munny, and Nile Passage underneath. The reverse exacta using Georgia Rain over Regal Affair provides insurance if the favorite doesn’t fire. A $2 exacta box using 4-5-8-9 costs $24 and captures the most probable finishing combinations.

Trifecta wagering should focus on Regal Affair and Georgia Rain in the first two positions, with Baytown Munny, Nile Passage, and Ava’s Princess filling the third slot. A $1 trifecta 4,8 with 4,5,8,9 with 3,4,5,8,9 costs $36 and provides comprehensive coverage while maintaining reasonable investment.

For superfecta wagering, construct a ticket using 4,8 for first, 4,5,8,9 for second, 3,4,5,8,9 for third, and 2,3,4,5,6,8,9 for fourth. This structure focuses investment on the most likely winners while spreading depth for the back positions.

Consider using Regal Affair as a single in Pick-3 and Pick-4 wagers connecting to the Grade 3 Maple Leaf Stakes in Race 7. The combination of elite connections and favorable race setup makes her an excellent anchor for horizontal exotic wagers.

Selections and Confidence Levels

Win: Regal Affair – The Steve Attard trainee brings multiple decisive advantages including the services of Emma-Jayne Wilson, Canada’s highest-earning female jockey with over $90 million in career earnings. Wilson’s presence aboard this Ontario-bred filly signals maximum confidence from connections at Racing Canada Inc. The post 4 draw provides ideal tactical positioning, allowing Wilson to stalk the contested early pace and time her move perfectly in the stretch. The filly’s pedigree by Ami’s Holiday out of Luna Blu suggests natural sprint ability, and Attard’s patient approach with young horses indicates this filly is ready for a winning effort. Wilson’s 15 percent strike rate and exceptional ability to rate horses makes her the perfect pilot for this improving juvenile. The combination of elite jockey, competent trainer, favorable post position, and suitable pedigree makes Regal Affair a confident selection at projected odds around 5-2 to 3-1.

Place: Georgia Rain – The Kevin Attard trainee adds blinkers and secures Rafael Hernandez for this assignment, creating a potent combination that should produce strong results. Attard’s 34 percent win rate and consistent excellence with juvenile fillies provides confidence, while Hernandez’s status as Woodbine’s leading rider with 117 wins offers elite tactical handling. The blinkers-on equipment change typically sparks improvement in young horses learning to focus, and Attard would not make this move without believing it will enhance performance. The post 8 draw creates some challenges, but Hernandez possesses the skill to overcome wide trips and secure favorable position behind the early speed. At projected odds around 2-1 to 3-1, Georgia Rain offers excellent value for place betting and should be included prominently in all exotic combinations. The trainer-jockey partnership ranks among Woodbine’s most successful, and this filly represents a live upset threat to the favorite.

Show: Baytown Munny – The Paul McEntee trainee brings exceptional pedigree by Munnings out of Eloisa by Tapit, suggesting natural early speed and tactical versatility for this sprint distance. McEntee has demonstrated consistent success with juvenile maidens at Woodbine, and his decision to enter this filly indicates she’s training forwardly for a winning effort. Daisuke Fukumoto provides solid handling, and his experience with speed horses makes him ideal for a filly who figures to establish the early lead. The post 5 draw positions Baytown Munny perfectly to secure command without excessive energy expenditure. However, the contested pace scenario with Fly True North and Ava’s Princess creates risk that she could be pressed too hard early. The October 25 scratch by Stewards raises minor concerns about her readiness, though connections clearly believe those issues have been resolved. At projected odds around 8-1 to 10-1, Baytown Munny represents solid value for the show position and should factor in trifecta and superfecta combinations, particularly if she can establish clear early command and control theol the pace.

Race 6 – Maiden Special Weight

Race 6 at Woodbine presents a Maiden Special Weight event for two-year-old fillies at 1 1/16 miles on the inner turf course with a purse of $115,100. All fillies carry 121 pounds unless otherwise indicated. This race features nine juvenile fillies competing on grass for the first time or seeking their first career victory. The inner turf course configuration presents unique challenges with tighter turns and a shorter stretch run compared to the main E.P. Taylor turf course.​

Post Time

3:34 PM EST

Running Style and Pace Dynamics

The pace scenario for this nine-filly field appears moderately contested with several fillies possessing tactical versatility suitable for the demanding inner turf configuration. The 1 1/16-mile distance around two turns requires horses to navigate tight corners while maintaining momentum through a relatively short stretch drive.​

Scotch Mist from post 7 with Jose Luis Campos brings proven early speed from her previous starts and figures to establish the early lead on the rail journey. Lady On a Mission from the rail post with blinkers adds another speed dimension, though the extreme inside draw and blinkers suggest connections want her forwardly placed.​

Pina Colada from post 2 represents Hall of Fame trainer Mark Casse with leading rider Rafael Hernandez and brings graded stakes experience from the Natalma Stakes where she competed against quality fillies. Her tactical speed should position her ideally to track the early pace and capitalize when speed tires entering the stretch.​

The moderate pace should benefit tactical fillies like Frosty Mojito, Lapin de Plage, and Tiz Practical who can position themselves mid-pack and unleash sustained rallies. The inner turf course characteristics favor horses with tactical speed who can save ground on the turns rather than wide-running closers who sacrifice position.​

Pina Colada

Pina Colada represents Hall of Fame trainer Mark Casse with the services of Rafael Hernandez, Woodbine’s leading rider with 117 wins in the past year. The bay filly by Quality Road out of a Tapit mare brings exceptional American pedigree perfectly suited for grass racing at middle distances. The Quality Road sire line has produced numerous successful turf performers, while the Tapit broodmare sire adds class and stamina.​

The filly brings valuable graded stakes experience from the Natalma Stakes (Grade 2) on September 14 where she faced quality competition including eventual winner And One More Time. That experience racing in stakes company provides significant advantages over fillies making second or third career starts in maiden company. Casse remarked about her potential before the Natalma, noting her encouraging debut on the all-weather where she overcame trouble and her improved performance stretching out on turf.​

The post 2 draw provides ideal tactical positioning for Hernandez to secure favorable position behind the early speed without expending excessive energy. The filly carries full weight of 121 pounds from an inside post, allowing her to save ground throughout the two-turn journey. Casse’s remarkable record with turf maidens at Woodbine cannot be overstated – the Hall of Fame trainer has won 14 leading trainer titles at the meet and demonstrates exceptional ability developing young horses for grass racing.​

Hernandez brings elite tactical handling and his partnership with Casse ranks among the most successful combinations at Woodbine. The jockey’s ability to rate horses and time moves perfectly makes him ideal for a filly who possesses tactical speed. At projected odds around 5-2 to 3-1, Pina Colada represents fair value given her class advantage and powerful connections.

Frosty Mojito

Frosty Mojito represents trainer Paul McEntee with Daisuke Fukumoto handling the riding assignment from post 8. The bay filly by Frosted out of My Aunt Mo by Uncle Mo brings solid American pedigree suited for turf racing. The Frosted sire line has produced multiple grass stakes winners, while the Uncle Mo broodmare sire adds versatility and class.​

The filly brings experience from multiple previous starts including efforts at Keeneland and Laurel Park where she faced competitive maiden special weight fields. McEntee has demonstrated consistent success with juvenile maidens at Woodbine, and his decision to enter this filly on the inner turf indicates confidence in her grass ability.​

Fukumoto provides capable handling and his experience navigating the tight turns of the inner turf course benefits this filly. The post 8 draw positions Frosty Mojito slightly wide, but the filly’s closing style allows Fukumoto to assess the early pace and position her for a sustained rally. The weight assignment of 121 pounds keeps her competitive against this field.

The filly’s previous form shows gradual improvement, suggesting she’s ready for a forward move. McEntee typically has horses prepared for winning efforts after several educational starts. At projected odds around 10-1 to 12-1, Frosty Mojito represents solid value for exotic wagering and could surprise if the pace sets up favorably.​

Lapin de Plage

Lapin de Plage represents trainer Catherine Day Phillips with Ryan Munger taking the riding assignment from post 3. The dark bay or brown filly by Omaha Beach out of Isabel’s On It by Dubawi brings international pedigree combining American speed with European stamina. The Omaha Beach sire line excels on both dirt and turf, producing versatile performers.​

Phillips has developed a strong reputation at Woodbine, particularly with turf horses. Her recent success includes Wyoming Bill who found consistency on grass after switching to her barn. The trainer’s patient approach with young horses indicates this filly has been properly prepared for this assignment. Munger ranks among Woodbine’s elite riders with a 21 percent win rate and exceptional tactical skill.​

The filly raced previously at Woodbine in early October where she finished third behind La Culasse (also entered today) over one mile on the inner turf. That experience navigating the tight turns provides significant advantages, and the stretch to 1 1/16 miles should suit her pedigree. The post 3 draw positions Lapin de Plage ideally to secure favorable position behind the early speed.​

Munger’s ability to rate horses and find racing room makes him perfect for a filly who needs tactical handling. At projected odds around 8-1, Lapin de Plage offers excellent value given her experience advantage and quality connections.​

Tiz Practical

Tiz Practical represents Hall of Fame trainer Josie Carroll with Eswan Flores handling the reins from post 6. Carroll was inducted into the Canadian Horse Racing Hall of Fame in 2019 and has compiled over 1,000 career wins, including three Queen’s Plate victories. Her expertise with developing young horses, particularly fillies, ranks among the best in North America.​

The filly carries 118 pounds from post 6, providing both weight relief and a middle post position. Flores brings solid experience and tactical versatility to this assignment. Carroll’s patience with young horses suggests this filly has been properly prepared, and her decision to enter on the inner turf indicates confidence in grass ability.

Carroll has developed numerous stakes winners from maiden ranks, demonstrating remarkable ability identifying and developing talent. Her recent success includes Corsia Veloce who won the Grade 1 Natalma Stakes, showing the quality that emerges from her barn. At projected odds around 6-1, Tiz Practical represents value given Carroll’s exceptional record with juvenile turf fillies.​​

Heart Tap

Heart Tap represents trainer Steven Chircop with Da-Sean Zavier Gaskin riding from post 5. The filly carries full weight of 121 pounds from a favorable middle post position. Chircop has shown competence with maidens, though his barn typically requires multiple starts before horses reach peak form.

The post 5 draw provides tactical flexibility, allowing Gaskin to assess the early pace and position this filly accordingly. At projected odds around 15-1, Heart Tap appears overmatched against the top contenders but could factor in exotic wagering if the pace collapses.​

Scotch Mist

Scotch Mist represents trainer Donald MacRae with Jose Luis Campos aboard from post 7. The filly carries full weight of 121 pounds and brings experience from previous starts including the October 13 race where she finished behind La Culasse and Lapin de Plage.​

Campos brings tactical versatility and the post 7 position should allow him to establish early position. The filly figures to contest the early pace, though her previous form suggests limited ability. At projected odds around 20-1, Scotch Mist appears better suited for pace-making duties than winning.​

La Culasse

La Culasse represents trainer Kevin Attard with Pietro Moran handling the riding duties from post 4. The filly carries just 113 pounds due to apprentice allowances, providing significant weight relief. Moran compiled 113 wins at Woodbine in the past year, ranking second among riders.​

The filly won her previous start on October 13 at one mile on the inner turf, defeating Lapin de Plage and Scotch Mist. That victory provides confidence and the experience navigating the tight turns proves valuable. However, the step up to 1 1/16 miles and stronger competition creates challenges. At projected odds around 8-1, La Culasse warrants consideration given her winning form.​

Lady On a Mission

Lady On a Mission adds blinkers for trainer Patrick Dixon with Xarel Forde aboard from the rail post. The filly carries just 113 pounds due to apprentice allowances. The rail post at 1 1/16 miles on the inner turf can be advantageous for speed horses, though the blinkers suggest this filly needs focus.

Forde brings solid experience but faces a difficult assignment from the rail with a filly adding equipment. At projected odds around 30-1, Lady On a Mission appears overmatched.​

Atlantic Beach

Atlantic Beach rounds out the field for trainer Catherine Day Phillips with Austin Adams riding from post 9. The filly carries just 116 pounds from the far outside post. Phillips sends out two runners in this race, with Lapin de Plage appearing her primary contender.

The extreme outside post creates nearly insurmountable challenges at this distance on the inner turf. At projected odds around 40-1, Atlantic Beach appears outclassed and poorly positioned.​

Speed Figures and Class Analysis

The speed figures for this field show Pina Colada holding a decisive advantage based on her graded stakes experience in the Natalma Stakes. Competing against quality fillies in Grade 2 company provides class advantages that typically translate to maiden special weight dominance. Frosty Mojito brings competitive figures from her multiple starts, while La Culasse earned solid numbers winning her previous start.​

The class analysis strongly favors Pina Colada given her stakes experience and powerful connections. Casse’s record developing turf maidens demonstrates consistent excellence, and his decision to return this filly to maiden company after the Natalma Stakes signals confidence she’s ready to graduate. Lapin de Plage and Tiz Practical bring quality connections that suggest ability, though neither has faced stakes competition.​

Track Bias and Post Position Analysis

The inner turf course at Woodbine presents unique characteristics with tighter turns and a shorter stretch run compared to the main E.P. Taylor course. Recent racing patterns show inside posts holding slight advantages at distances around two turns, where saving ground on the turns proves critical. Posts 1 through 5 provide the best opportunities to secure favorable position without excessive energy expenditure.​

The outside posts 7, 8, and 9 face increasing disadvantages at 1 1/16 miles where navigating two tight turns while positioned wide costs valuable lengths. Scotch Mist from post 7, Frosty Mojito from post 8, and Atlantic Beach from post 9 must all overcome their wide draws to factor prominently.​

The turf course should provide firm footing given recent weather conditions, allowing form and ability to determine outcomes rather than track conditions. The tight turns favor horses with tactical speed who can secure position early rather than wide-running closers who sacrifice ground.​

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

The race sets up ideally for focusing investment on Pina Colada given her decisive class advantage and powerful connections. At projected odds around 5-2 to 3-1, the Casse trainee represents fair value for win betting. The combination of stakes experience, elite trainer-jockey partnership, and favorable post position makes her a logical single in vertical and horizontal exotic wagers.​

For exacta wagering, key Pina Colada on top with Lapin de Plage, Frosty Mojito, and Tiz Practical underneath. The reverse exacta using Lapin de Plage over Pina Colada provides insurance if the favorite encounters trouble. A $2 exacta box using 2-3-6-8 costs $24 and captures the most probable finishing combinations.

Trifecta wagering should focus on Pina Colada in the win position, with Lapin de Plage, Frosty Mojito, Tiz Practical, and La Culasse filling the second and third slots. A $1 trifecta 2 with 3,4,6,8 with 3,4,5,6,8 costs $32 and provides comprehensive coverage while maintaining reasonable investment.

For superfecta wagering, construct a ticket using 2 for first, 3,6,8 for second, 3,4,5,6,8 for third, and 3,4,5,6,7,8 for fourth. This structure focuses investment on Pina Colada winning while spreading depth for the back positions where maiden races often produce surprises.

Consider using Pina Colada as a single in the Pick-3 connecting to the Grade 3 Maple Leaf Stakes in Race 7. The combination of class advantage and elite connections makes her an excellent anchor for horizontal exotic wagers. The Daily Double from Race 6 to Race 7 offers value opportunities connecting maiden special weight to graded stakes action.

Selections and Confidence Levels

Win: Pina Colada – The Mark Casse trainee brings overwhelming advantages including graded stakes experience from the Natalma Stakes where she faced quality competition. The filly by Quality Road out of a Tapit mare possesses exceptional pedigree perfectly suited for turf racing at middle distances. Casse’s Hall of Fame credentials and remarkable record developing turf maidens at Woodbine provide maximum confidence. Rafael Hernandez as Woodbine’s leading rider with 117 wins adds elite tactical handling. The post 2 draw positions Pina Colada ideally to secure favorable position behind the early pace and capitalize when speed tires. The drop from Grade 2 stakes company to maiden special weight represents significant class relief that typically produces dominant performances. Casse’s patient approach returning this filly to maiden company after stakes experience indicates she’s fully prepared for a winning effort. At projected odds around 5-2 to 3-1, Pina Colada offers fair value given her decisive class advantage and represents a confident selection for win betting and as a single in exotic wagers.

Place: Lapin de Plage – The Catherine Day Phillips trainee brings valuable experience from her October 13 start where she finished third behind La Culasse over one mile on the inner turf course. That experience navigating the tight turns provides significant advantages over fillies making turf debuts. Ryan Munger’s 21 percent win rate and exceptional tactical skill adds elite handling. The filly by Omaha Beach brings excellent pedigree combining American speed with European stamina, perfectly suited for the 1 1/16-mile distance. Phillips has developed a strong reputation with turf horses at Woodbine, demonstrating patience and skill developing young runners. The post 3 draw positions Lapin de Plage ideally to secure favorable position behind the early pace. The stretch from one mile to 1 1/16 miles should suit her pedigree and running style. At projected odds around 8-1, Lapin de Plage represents excellent value for place betting and should be included prominently in all exotic combinations as the most likely filly to chase home Pina Colada.

Show: Frosty Mojito – The Paul McEntee trainee brings experience from multiple previous starts at Keeneland and Laurel Park where she faced competitive maiden special weight fields. The filly by Frosted out of My Aunt Mo by Uncle Mo possesses solid American pedigree suited for turf racing. McEntee has demonstrated consistent success with juvenile maidens at Woodbine, and his patient approach suggests this filly is ready for improved performance. Daisuke Fukumoto provides capable handling and his experience navigating the inner turf course benefits this filly’s closing style. The post 8 draw creates challenges, but the filly’s ability to rate off the pace allows Fukumoto to assess early fractions and position her for a sustained rally. Previous form shows gradual improvement suggesting she’s approaching peak form. At projected odds around 10-1 to 12-1, Frosty Mojito represents solid value for the show position and should factor in trifecta and superfecta combinations, particularly if the moderate pace allows her to close effectively in the stretch.

Race 7 – Maple Leaf Stakes (Grade 3)

Race 7 at Woodbine presents the $150,000 Maple Leaf Stakes (Grade 3) for fillies and mares three-year-olds and upward at 1 1/4 miles on the Tapeta synthetic surface. Three-year-olds carry 123 pounds while older horses carry 125 pounds, with weight allowances for non-winners of specific sweepstakes levels in 2025. Non-winners of a sweepstakes of $55,000 twice at a mile or over in 2025 receive 2 pounds, once at a mile or over receive 3 pounds, and those without a non-maiden, claiming or restricted allowance win at a mile or over in 2025 receive 4 pounds. The race requires a nomination fee of $150, entry fee of $750, and $750 to start, with supplemental nominations available for $2,250 plus $750 to start. The race closed with 23 nominations.​

Post Time

4:05 PM EST

Running Style and Pace Dynamics

The pace scenario for this seven-horse Grade 3 stakes presents a fascinating tactical battle where class and stamina will determine the outcome over the demanding 1 1/4-mile distance. Hall of Fame trainer Mark Casse sends out two formidable runners in Dancing N Dixie and Blitz, giving him an exceptional chance to secure his sixth Maple Leaf Stakes victory.​

Hurricane Clair from post 1 with Eswan Flores brings confirmed early speed and figures to establish the early lead on the rail journey. The Martin Drexler trainee should set honest fractions through the opening stages. For Flying from Brazil represents Hall of Fame trainer Graham Motion from post 2 and possesses tactical versatility, likely positioning herself just off the early pace under Sahin Civaci’s patient handling.​

The Casse duo of Dancing N Dixie from post 3 and Blitz from post 5 both profile as mid-pack runners who will stalk the pace and launch sustained rallies in the stretch. Dancing N Dixie brings a powerful late kick and tenacious closing ability under Patrick Husbands. Blitz with Ryan Munger demonstrated her heart in recent efforts and possesses tactical speed to position herself favorably.​

The 1 1/4-mile distance demands stamina and class, rewarding horses who can rate off moderate fractions and sustain their runs through a lengthy stretch drive. The synthetic surface should provide consistent footing regardless of weather conditions, allowing form and ability to prevail.​

Dancing N Dixie

Dancing N Dixie represents Hall of Fame trainer Mark Casse with Canada’s all-time leading jockey Patrick Husbands handling the riding assignment from post 3. The four-year-old roan filly by Neolithic out of Foolhearted Woman brings impressive credentials including a victory in the Grade 3 Tepin Stakes at Churchill Downs and career earnings of $407,083 from a 3-1-4 record in 19 starts.​

Connections withdrew Dancing N Dixie from the Keeneland November Breeding Stock Sale to race in the Maple Leaf Stakes, demonstrating confidence in her ability to compete at this level. Assistant trainer Kathryn Sullivan described her as very tenacious who comes with a big kick at the end. The Florida-bred filly finished second in the Powder Break Stakes at Gulfstream Park in her second start of 2025, showing a fast-closing rally on turf.​

The weight relief to 121 pounds provides a significant advantage given her allowance status. Husbands brings unparalleled experience in stakes racing at Woodbine and his partnership with Casse ranks among the most successful combinations in Canadian racing history. The post 3 draw positions Dancing N Dixie ideally to secure favorable position behind the early pace, save ground on both turns, and unleash her trademark late kick in the stretch.

Casse has won the Maple Leaf Stakes five times previously, most recently with Elysian Field in 2024, demonstrating his remarkable ability preparing fillies and mares for this specific race. The Hall of Fame trainer’s patient development and strategic placement of Dancing N Dixie throughout her career indicates she’s ready for a winning effort at the highest level.​

Blitz

Blitz represents Mark Casse with Ryan Munger taking the riding assignment from post 5. The four-year-old dark bay filly by Uncle Mo out of Customer Base (Lemon Drop Kid) was purchased for $675,000 at the 2023 OBS Spring Sale and is owned by prominent owner Gary Barber. The Kentucky-bred filly by Glen Hill Farm brings exceptional American pedigree suited for synthetic surface racing at classic distances.​

The filly enters off a strong runner-up effort in the HBPA Stakes at Presque Isle Downs on October 6, finishing less than two lengths behind winner Candy Reward over one mile and 70 yards. Sullivan remarked she showed a lot of heart and has really come into her own. Prior to that effort, Blitz finished second in a $50,000 optional claiming race on the inner turf at Woodbine on August 29.​

Earlier in the season, Blitz demonstrated her best form with a dominant five-length victory over 1 1/16 miles on the synthetic surface at Woodbine in July. That performance showcased her tactical speed and ability to rate off moderate fractions before drawing away convincingly. The filly has five previous appearances at Woodbine, providing valuable experience with the racing surface and track configuration.​

Munger ranks among Woodbine’s elite riders with exceptional tactical skill and a 21 percent win rate. His ability to rate horses and time moves perfectly makes him ideal for a filly who needs patient handling. Sullivan described Blitz as a real head-turner whose training has been excellent leading into this race.​

The weight assignment of 122 pounds keeps Blitz competitive, and the post 5 draw provides tactical flexibility. The filly is lightly raced for a four-year-old, suggesting significant upside remains. However, she faces the challenge of overcoming a string of runner-up finishes and must demonstrate she can close the deal against quality stakes competition.

For Flying (BRZ)

For Flying from Brazil represents Hall of Fame trainer Graham Motion with Sahin Civaci handling the riding duties from post 2. The five-year-old grey or roan mare by Drosselmeyer out of Table Mountain brings international credentials and is owned by Newstead Stables LLC. Motion has developed a strong reputation developing turf and synthetic horses throughout his distinguished career.​

The mare competed in the bet365 Dance Smartly Stakes (Grade 2) at Woodbine on October 4, demonstrating her willingness to compete at the highest levels. That experience racing against quality mares in graded stakes company provides significant advantages. Motion’s patient approach and strategic placement throughout the mare’s career indicates she’s properly prepared for this assignment.​

The weight relief to 121 pounds represents the lowest assignment in the field and provides tactical advantages. Civaci brings solid experience and his partnership with Motion has produced consistent results. The post 2 draw positions For Flying ideally to secure favorable position behind Hurricane Clair’s expected early lead, allowing her to rate comfortably through moderate fractions.

The mare’s pedigree by Drosselmeyer, a Belmont Stakes winner known for stamina and late-developing ability, suggests the 1 1/4-mile distance should suit her perfectly. Brazilian breeding often produces tough, versatile runners who excel on synthetic surfaces. At projected odds around 8-1, For Flying represents value for exotic wagering.​

Long Ago (GB)

Long Ago from Great Britain represents trainer William Morey with Emma-Jayne Wilson taking the riding assignment from post 4. The five-year-old mare by Roaring Lion brings European pedigree and is owned by Chris Nolan. The mare competed at Santa Anita on October 4 in her most recent start, bringing West Coast form to this assignment.​

Wilson’s presence aboard provides significant jockey help given her Hall of Fame credentials and exceptional record at Woodbine. The legendary jockey’s ability to rate horses and find racing room makes her perfect for an import adjusting to North American racing. The post 4 draw provides tactical positioning in the middle of the field.​

The weight assignment of 122 pounds keeps Long Ago competitive, though she faces tough competition from more seasoned North American runners. European imports typically need time to adjust to synthetic surfaces and different racing tactics. At projected odds around 7-2, Long Ago represents an interesting alternative if connections believe she’s acclimated properly.​

Sultana

Sultana represents trainer Kevin Attard with Rafael Hernandez aboard from post 7. The four-year-old dark bay or brown filly by Always Dreaming out of Private Offering (Pulpit) is owned by Lou Donato, Theodore Manziaris, Paul Borrelli, and Lanni Bloodstock. The filly won an allowance optional claiming race at Woodbine on May 31 over one mile and 110 yards.​

Subsequent efforts include a third-place finish on July 12 behind Blitz in an allowance race and a second-place finish on August 23. The consistent form pattern suggests Sultana belongs at this level, though she faces a significant class test against graded stakes competition. Attard’s 34 percent win rate and consistent excellence with fillies and mares provides confidence.​

Hernandez as Woodbine’s leading rider with 117 wins provides elite tactical handling. However, the outside post 7 creates challenges at 1 1/4 miles where saving ground proves critical. At projected odds around 15-1, Sultana appears overmatched against the Casse duo but could surprise in exotic wagering.​

Queens Command (IRE)

Queens Command from Ireland represents trainer Martin Drexler with Fraser Aebly aboard from post 6. The six-year-old bay mare by War Command out of Love Thirty won an allowance race at Woodbine on August 29 over one mile and 110 yards. The mare previously raced in Ireland before shipping to North America.​

The mare competed in the bet365 Dance Smartly Stakes on October 4, gaining valuable graded stakes experience. Drexler has compiled solid statistics and his patient approach with imports suggests this mare is properly prepared. Aebly brings consistent ability, though he faces challenges from the outside post position.​

At projected odds around 20-1, Queens Command appears better suited for allowance company than graded stakes competition.​

Hurricane Clair

Hurricane Clair represents trainer Martin Drexler with Eswan Flores handling the riding duties from the rail post. The four-year-old filly draws the inside and brings confirmed early speed. Drexler sends out two runners in this race, with Queens Command appearing his secondary choice.​

The rail post provides advantages for a speed horse, allowing Hurricane Clair to establish position without expending excessive energy. However, the 1 1/4-mile distance demands significant stamina, and speed horses who contest the pace often compromise their stretch drives. At projected odds around 30-1, Hurricane Clair appears suited for pace-making duties rather than winning.​

Speed Figures and Class Analysis

The speed figures for this field show Dancing N Dixie and Blitz holding decisive advantages based on their recent graded and listed stakes performances. Dancing N Dixie’s victory in the Grade 3 Tepin Stakes demonstrates proven ability at the graded stakes level, while Blitz’s consistent efforts in quality races show she belongs in this company.​

For Flying brings graded stakes experience from the Dance Smartly Stakes that provides class credentials. The class analysis strongly favors the Casse duo given their proven ability in stakes company and connections’ remarkable records preparing horses for this specific race.​

Track Bias and Post Position Analysis

The Tapeta synthetic surface at Woodbine provides consistent racing conditions that favor horses with tactical speed who can rate off moderate fractions. The 1 1/4-mile distance around two turns rewards horses who can save ground and maintain energy for sustained stretch drives. Inside posts 1 through 4 provide the best opportunities to secure favorable position without excessive energy expenditure.​

The outside posts 6 and 7 face increasing disadvantages at classic distances where navigating two turns while positioned wide costs valuable lengths. Queens Command from post 6 and Sultana from post 7 must overcome their wide draws to factor prominently.​

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

The race sets up for focusing investment on the Casse duo of Dancing N Dixie and Blitz given their class advantages and powerful connections. Dancing N Dixie represents excellent value at projected odds around 5-2 given her proven graded stakes ability and weight concessions. The combination of Husbands and Casse in stakes races at Woodbine provides maximum confidence.​

For exacta wagering, box Dancing N Dixie and Blitz at 3-5, then add For Flying underneath both. A $2 exacta box 3-5 costs $4 and captures the Casse exacta. Adding For Flying creates a $2 exacta 3,5 with 2,3,5 costing $16 total and providing comprehensive coverage.

Trifecta wagering should focus on Dancing N Dixie and Blitz in the first two positions with For Flying, Long Ago, and Sultana filling the third slot. A $1 trifecta 3,5 with 2,3,5 with 2,4,5,7 costs $24 and provides excellent coverage.

For superfecta wagering, construct a ticket using 3,5 for first, 2,3,5 for second, 2,4,5,7 for third, and 1,2,4,6,7 for fourth. This structure focuses investment on the most likely winners while spreading depth for the back positions.

Consider keying Dancing N Dixie in Pick-3, Pick-4, and Pick-5 wagers. The combination of class advantage, weight relief, and elite connections makes her an excellent single in horizontal exotic wagers.

Selections and Confidence Levels

Win: Dancing N Dixie – The Mark Casse trainee brings overwhelming advantages including proven Grade 3 stakes-winning ability from her Tepin Stakes victory at Churchill Downs. Connections withdrew this roan filly from the Keeneland November Breeding Stock Sale specifically to compete in the Maple Leaf Stakes, demonstrating maximum confidence in her readiness. Patrick Husbands provides Hall of Fame jockey skills and his partnership with Casse ranks among the most successful combinations in Canadian racing history. The weight relief to 121 pounds provides significant advantage, and the post 3 draw positions Dancing N Dixie ideally to secure favorable position behind the early pace, save ground on both turns, and unleash her trademark late kick. Assistant trainer Kathryn Sullivan described her as very tenacious who comes with a big kick at the end. Casse has won the Maple Leaf Stakes five times previously, demonstrating remarkable ability preparing fillies and mares for this specific race. The four-year-old by Neolithic out of Foolhearted Woman brings career earnings of $407,083 and has competed successfully at the highest levels. At projected odds around 5-2, Dancing N Dixie offers fair value and represents a confident selection for win betting and as a key in exotic wagers.

Place: Blitz – The second Casse runner brings exceptional credentials including a $675,000 purchase price from the 2023 OBS Spring Sale and ownership by prominent owner Gary Barber. The dark bay filly by Uncle Mo out of Customer Base demonstrated her best form with a dominant five-length victory at Woodbine in July over 1 1/16 miles. Recent runner-up efforts in the HBPA Stakes at Presque Isle Downs and an optional claiming race at Woodbine show consistent improvement and competitive spirit. Ryan Munger’s 21 percent win rate and exceptional tactical skill provides elite handling. Sullivan remarked that Blitz has really come into her own and described her as a real head-turner whose training has been excellent. The filly is lightly raced for a four-year-old, suggesting significant upside remains. The post 5 draw provides tactical flexibility, and the weight assignment of 122 pounds keeps her competitive. At projected odds around 2-1, Blitz represents solid value for place betting and should finish prominently behind her stablemate, giving Casse an excellent chance at a one-two finish.

Show: For Flying (BRZ) – The Graham Motion trainee from Brazil brings international credentials and graded stakes experience from the Dance Smartly Stakes. The grey or roan mare by Drosselmeyer possesses exceptional pedigree for classic distances with her sire’s Belmont Stakes victory demonstrating stamina and late-developing ability. The weight relief to 121 pounds represents the lowest assignment in the field and provides tactical advantages. Sahin Civaci brings solid experience, and his partnership with Motion has produced consistent results. The post 2 draw positions For Flying ideally to secure favorable position behind Hurricane Clair’s expected early lead. Motion’s patient approach and strategic placement throughout the mare’s career indicates she’s properly prepared for this assignment. Brazilian breeding often produces tough, versatile runners who excel on synthetic surfaces. At projected odds around 8-1, For Flying represents excellent value for the show position and should factor in trifecta and superfecta combinations as the most likely filly to complete the exacta behind the Casse duo.

Race 8 – Claiming

Post Time: 4:38 PM EST

Eight fillies and mares compete in this seven-furlong claiming event for $25,000 horses who have never won two races.

Key Contenders

Skylight Caper from the Kevin Attard barn gets Rafael Hernandez and exits a solid effort. The three-year-old filly should be forwardly placed and has the tactical speed to control the race under Hernandez’s aggressive handling.​

Hymn to Her represents trainer Robert Tiller with Daisuke Fukumoto aboard. The filly has shown consistent speed figures and should appreciate the distance and surface combination.

Secondary Choices

Lady Izzy from the Sid Attard stable gets Ryan Munger taking over the mount. The filly has been competitive at this level and the jockey upgrade could make the difference in a competitive field.

Cloud Rider from the Steve Attard barn brings the weight advantage and draws a favorable post. The five-year-old mare has experience and could surprise at a price.

Pace Analysis

Skylight Caper and Dixie Is a Breeze should establish the early pace, with Hymn to Her pressing closely. The honest pace should set up closers like Lady Izzy and Vrana to rally late.

Selections

Win: Skylight Caper

Place: Hymn to Her

Show: Lady Izzy

Race 9 – Bessarabian Stakes (Grade 3)

Race 9 at Woodbine presents the $150,000 Bessarabian Stakes (Grade 3) for fillies and mares three-year-olds and upward at seven furlongs on the Tapeta synthetic surface. Three-year-olds carry 123 pounds while older horses carry 125 pounds, with weight allowances for non-winners of specific sweepstakes levels in 2025. Non-winners of a sweepstakes of $55,000 twice in 2025 receive 2 pounds, once receive 3 pounds, and those without a non-maiden, claiming or restricted allowance win in 2025 receive 4 pounds. The race requires a nomination fee of $150, entry fee of $750, and $750 to start, with supplemental nominations available for $2,250 plus $750 to start. The race closed with 28 nominations plus 1 supplement.​

Post Time

5:11 PM EST

Running Style and Pace Dynamics

The pace scenario for this massive 16-filly field presents a highly competitive sprint where tactical positioning and trip development will prove critical. The seven-furlong distance on Tapeta typically produces honest early fractions with horses jockeying for position through the opening quarter before settling into the run around the turn.​

Love Cervere from post 1 and Les Reys from post 2 both bring tactical speed for trainer Miguel Clement, creating a formidable one-two punch from inside posts. Les Reys won the Grade 3 Ontario Fashion Stakes on October 10 with a ground-saving trip on the rail under Rafael Hernandez, demonstrating her ability to rate off early pace.​

Serene Seraph from Ireland represents Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott from post 3 with Xarel Forde aboard, bringing confirmed early speed. The combination of early speed types from inside posts should create contested fractions that set up closers like Caitlinhergrtness, Ellen Jay, and the Casse trio of Golden Canary, Stormcast, and Mo Fox Givin.​

The large field size creates significant traffic concerns, making post position and early positioning crucial for success. Horses trapped wide or without clear racing room face steep disadvantages in this competitive Grade 3 sprint.​

Caitlinhergrtness

Caitlinhergrtness represents trainer Kevin Attard with Hall of Fame jockey Emma-Jayne Wilson handling the riding assignment from post 12. The four-year-old bay filly by Omaha Beach out of Catskill Vow won the King’s Plate (Canada’s Triple Crown equivalent) and the Belle Mahone Stakes in August, demonstrating ability at the highest levels.​

Attard confirmed this will be the filly’s final local start before potentially running back at 1 1/16 miles on Tapeta. The trainer noted her last 10 starts have been at a mile or longer, making this seven-furlong assignment significantly shorter than her recent pattern. However, her King’s Plate victory and consistent form against quality competition provide confidence she can handle the distance cutback.​

Wilson brings over $90 million in career earnings and exceptional tactical skill that makes her perfect for navigating a large field. The partnership with Attard, Canada’s Sovereign Award-winning trainer in 2024, represents one of the most formidable combinations in North American racing. The weight assignment of 125 pounds reflects her class, though the middle post 12 creates challenges in a 16-horse field.​

The filly’s pedigree by Omaha Beach suggests versatility for multiple distances, and her recent training has been excellent according to connections. At projected odds around 3-1, Caitlinhergrtness represents fair value given her class advantage and powerful connections despite the distance concerns.​

Ellen Jay

Ellen Jay represents trainer Brad Cox with Aurelien Lemaitre handling the riding duties from post 16. The four-year-old filly is owned by Godolphin and brings career earnings of $338,300 from a 7-3-4 record in 17 starts. Cox’s barn has been exceptionally hot, collecting 20 winner’s circle visits across 61 starts from October 21 on through early November.​

The filly draws the far outside post 16, creating significant challenges in navigating traffic through the early stages of this large field. However, Cox’s current form and Godolphin’s powerful resources provide confidence. The weight assignment of 121 pounds provides some relief, and the filly’s proven closing ability suits the expected honest pace.​

Recent starts include a second-place finish at 6 1/2 furlongs on dirt and strong performances on turf and dirt surfaces. The synthetic surface represents a new challenge, though Godolphin runners typically handle surface switches competently. At projected odds around 5-2, Ellen Jay represents solid value despite the wide post if she can secure a favorable trip.​

Les Reys (FR)

Les Reys from France represents trainer Miguel Clement with Rafael Hernandez aboard from post 2. The four-year-old grey filly by Penny’s Picnic won the Grade 3 Ontario Fashion Stakes on October 10 at Woodbine, defeating stablemate Gal in a Rush with a ground-saving rail trip.​

That victory marked her Tapeta and six-furlong debut, demonstrating immediate adaptability to new surfaces and distances. The filly added Lasix for the first time in the Fashion and runs with medication again here. Bred in France by Athanase Poulopoulos and Haras du Hoguenet, Les Reys has compiled five wins in 12 starts including the Winter Memories Stakes in her North American debut.​

Hernandez as Woodbine’s leading rider with 117 wins provides elite tactical handling, and his partnership with Clement has produced consistent results. The post 2 draw positions Les Reys ideally to secure favorable position behind the early speed, save ground on the turn, and launch a sustained rally.​

The weight assignment of 123 pounds keeps her competitive, and the proven Tapeta form provides significant confidence. West Point Thoroughbreds shares ownership with Peter Leidel and Winter’s Equine, bringing quality connections. At projected odds around 6-1, Les Reys offers excellent value given her form and connections.​

Golden Canary

Golden Canary represents Hall of Fame trainer Mark Casse with Ryan Munger handling the reins from post 11. The four-year-old filly is part of Casse’s three-horse entry in this race alongside Stormcast and Mo Fox Givin, demonstrating the barn’s depth and commitment to this Grade 3 sprint. Munger’s 21 percent win rate and exceptional tactical skill provides quality handling.​

The middle post 11 creates challenges in a 16-horse field, though Munger possesses the ability to navigate traffic effectively. The weight assignment of 122 pounds keeps Golden Canary competitive. Casse’s remarkable record in graded stakes at Woodbine provides confidence, though the barn spreading firepower across three entries creates strategic questions.​

Stormcast

Stormcast represents Mark Casse with Canada’s all-time leading jockey Patrick Husbands aboard from post 13. The four-year-old filly carries 121 pounds and draws a challenging middle post in this large field. The Husbands-Casse partnership ranks among the most successful combinations in Canadian racing history, providing maximum confidence.​

Sullivan noted about stablemate that she always near the back but comes with a big kick at the end, suggesting a closing style that should benefit from the expected honest pace. The weight relief to 121 pounds provides advantages, though the crowded field creates trip concerns. As part of Casse’s three-horse entry, Stormcast represents an alternative if the barn’s primary runners encounter trouble.​

Mo Fox Givin

Mo Fox Givin completes Casse’s three-horse entry with Pietro Moran handling the riding assignment from post 6. The four-year-old filly carries 122 pounds from a favorable inside post that allows tactical flexibility. Moran compiled 113 wins at Woodbine in the past year, ranking second among riders.​

The post 6 position provides advantages over the barn’s other two entries, allowing Mo Fox Givin to secure position without excessive energy expenditure. As Casse’s third entry, this filly may represent value if overlooked by bettors focusing on Golden Canary and Stormcast.​

Serene Seraph (IRE)

Serene Seraph from Ireland represents Hall of Fame trainer Bill Mott with Xarel Forde handling the riding assignment from post 3. The four-year-old filly is owned by Wathnan Racing and carries 122 pounds. Mott’s international credentials and ability developing imported runners provides confidence.​

The post 3 draw positions Serene Seraph ideally to establish early position and potentially control the pace. Forde brings solid experience and his selection by Wathnan Racing signals confidence in his abilities. The weight assignment of 122 pounds keeps her competitive against this field.​

Pondering

Pondering represents trainer Brendan Walsh with Declan Cannon aboard from post 8. The three-year-old filly is owned by Godolphin and brings proven ability on turf surfaces where she covered 5 1/2 furlongs in 1:01.68. Walsh compiles an 18.7 percent win rate with strong place percentages.​

The synthetic surface represents a new challenge, though Godolphin runners typically adapt well to different surfaces. The middle post 8 creates moderate positioning challenges. At projected odds around 15-1, Pondering represents a live longshot if she handles the surface switch.​

Remaining Contenders

Love Cervere from post 1 represents Miguel Clement alongside Les Reys, creating tactical options for the barn. The three-year-old filly won the Alywow Stakes at Woodbine earlier in 2025. Tricky Temper from post 4 for Jeremiah Englehart brings solid form. Uphill Dance from post 5, Bolt Enoree from post 7, A Little Frisky from post 9 for Hall of Fame trainer Josie Carroll, and Shotgun Wedding from post 10 all bring legitimate chances in this competitive field.​

Dolce Sopresa from post 15 represents Josie Carroll with Daisuke Fukumoto aboard. Girl of My Dreams scratched from Presque Isle Downs by trainer to run here, suggesting connections believe she fits.​

Speed Figures and Class Analysis

The speed figures for this massive field show Caitlinhergrtness holding decisive advantages based on her King’s Plate victory and Belle Mahone Stakes score. Les Reys brings competitive figures from her Ontario Fashion Stakes victory. Ellen Jay’s figures from multiple surfaces demonstrate versatility.​

The class analysis strongly favors Caitlinhergrtness given her King’s Plate triumph, though the distance cutback from a mile-plus races creates questions. Les Reys’ proven Tapeta form and adaptability provide significant credentials. The Casse trio brings quality based on the barn’s consistent excellence.​

Track Bias and Post Position Analysis

The Tapeta synthetic surface at Woodbine has shown recent bias favoring inside posts, particularly the rail which has yielded most winners in recent weeks. The seven-furlong distance provides one turn, making early positioning crucial for saving ground and maintaining favorable trips.​

Inside posts 1 through 5 provide significant advantages, allowing horses to establish position without excessive energy expenditure. The middle posts 6 through 10 face moderate challenges, while outside posts 11 through 16 encounter increasing disadvantages with wide trips costing valuable lengths.​

Caitlinhergrtness from post 12 and Ellen Jay from post 16 both face challenges from wide draws. Les Reys from post 2 and Mo Fox Givin from post 6 benefit from favorable positioning.​

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

This massive 16-horse field creates significant value opportunities in exotic wagers given the large payouts typically associated with such fields. Caitlinhergrtness represents logical win betting despite distance concerns given her class advantage and powerful connections. At projected odds around 3-1, she offers fair value.​

For exacta wagering, key Caitlinhergrtness on top with Les Reys, Ellen Jay, and the Casse entry underneath. A $2 exacta 12 with 2,3,6,11,13,16 costs $12 and provides comprehensive coverage. The reverse exacta using 2 over 12 protects against the favorite getting beat.

Trifecta wagering should focus on Caitlinhergrtness and Les Reys in the first two positions with Ellen Jay, Serene Seraph, and the Casse runners filling third. A $1 trifecta 2,12 with 2,3,6,11,12,16 with 1,2,3,4,6,8,10,11,12,13,16 provides comprehensive coverage at reasonable cost.

For superfecta wagering, construct a ticket using 2,12 for first, 2,3,6,11,12,13,16 for second, using ALL for third and fourth. This maximizes coverage while focusing investment on the most likely winners.

Consider constructing multi-race wagers connecting this Grade 3 sprint to the HPIbet Autumn Stakes in Race 10. The Pick-3 and Pick-4 opportunities provide value given the quality fields throughout the card.

Selections and Confidence Levels

Win: Les Reys (FR) – The Miguel Clement trainee brings decisive advantages including proven Tapeta form from her Grade 3 Ontario Fashion Stakes victory on October 10 where she defeated stablemate Gal in a Rush with a ground-saving rail trip. The grey filly by Penny’s Picnic demonstrated immediate adaptability to synthetic surfaces in her Tapeta debut while adding Lasix for the first time. Rafael Hernandez as Woodbine’s leading rider with 117 wins provides elite tactical handling, and the post 2 draw positions Les Reys ideally to secure favorable position behind early speed, save ground throughout, and launch a sustained rally. Recent racing patterns show the rail path has yielded most winners in recent weeks, providing significant statistical advantage. The weight assignment of 123 pounds keeps her competitive, and connections’ decision to enter after winning the Fashion demonstrates confidence. West Point Thoroughbreds’ quality ownership combined with Clement’s hot form creates powerful combination. At projected odds around 6-1, Les Reys offers excellent value and represents confident selection for win betting.

Place: Caitlinhergrtness – The Kevin Attard trainee brings overwhelming class advantages as King’s Plate winner and Belle Mahone Stakes scorer. Emma-Jayne Wilson’s Hall of Fame credentials and over $90 million in career earnings provide elite tactical handling for navigating the massive 16-horse field. The partnership with Attard, Canada’s Sovereign Award-winning trainer in 2024, represents one of North America’s most formidable combinations. However, the distance cutback to seven furlongs from her recent pattern of mile-plus races creates concerns, as Attard noted her last 10 starts have been at longer distances. The middle post 12 presents challenges in traffic, though Wilson possesses the skill to overcome disadvantageous draws. The weight assignment of 125 pounds reflects her class but creates burden against lighter-weighted rivals. At projected odds around 3-1, Caitlinhergrtness represents solid value for place betting despite distance questions, and her proven class should carry her to a top-two finish even if the sprint distance proves challenging.

Show: Ellen Jay – The Brad Cox trainee from Godolphin brings hot trainer form as Cox collected 20 winner’s circle visits across 61 starts from October 21 through early November. The four-year-old filly with career earnings of $338,300 demonstrates proven closing ability that suits the expected honest pace from multiple speed types. Aurelien Lemaitre provides capable handling despite the extreme outside post 16. The weight assignment of 121 pounds provides relief, and the filly’s proven ability on multiple surfaces suggests she can handle the synthetic Tapeta. However, the far outside draw creates significant obstacles for securing favorable trips in a 16-horse field. Cox’s current hot streak and Godolphin’s powerful resources provide confidence connections have this filly ready for a peak effort. At projected odds around 5-2, Ellen Jay represents value for show betting and should factor prominently in trifecta and superfecta combinations if she can navigate traffic successfully from the wide post. The combination of class, hot trainer, and closing style makes her logical for the show position despite post concerns despite post concerns.

Race 10 – Autumn Stakes (Grade 3)

Race 10 at Woodbine presents the $150,000 HPIbet Autumn Stakes (Grade 3) for three-year-olds and upward at 1 1/8 miles on the Tapeta synthetic surface. Three-year-olds carry 124 pounds while older horses carry 126 pounds, with weight allowances for non-winners of specific sweepstakes levels at a mile or over in 2025. Non-winners of a sweepstakes of $55,000 twice at a mile or over receive 2 pounds, once receive 3 pounds, and those without a non-maiden, claiming or restricted allowance win at a mile or over in 2025 receive 4 pounds. The race requires a nomination fee of $150, entry fee of $750, and $750 to start, with supplemental nominations available for $2,250 plus $750 to start. The race closed with 21 nominations.​

Post Time

5:44 PM EST

Running Style and Pace Dynamics

The pace scenario for this 13-horse Grade 3 stakes presents a fascinating tactical battle where stamina and closing ability will determine the outcome over the demanding 1 1/8-mile distance. The Tapeta synthetic surface at nine furlongs requires horses to maintain energy through two turns before unleashing sustained rallies in the stretch.​

Funtastic Again from post 7 with Hall of Fame jockey Victor Espinoza brings confirmed front-running ability, having won the Grade 3 Dominion Day Stakes wire-to-wire in June under Espinoza’s expert handling. Trainer Wesley Ward instructed Espinoza to “just win the race” in that effort, and the speed horse dominated from start to finish. This consistent early speed should establish honest fractions through the opening stages.​

Swift Delivery from post 1 with Patrick Husbands for Mark Casse brings tactical speed and proven closing ability, having rallied from mid-pack to win the Grade 3 Seagram Cup in August. Cool Kiss from post 11 with Sahin Civaci represents Martin Drexler and won the Grade 3 Durham Cup in September with a powerful late kick. The moderate early pace should benefit closers like these two along with Classic Mo Town, Paramount Prince, and Jokestar.​​

The large field size creates significant traffic concerns, making post position and early positioning crucial for success. Horses trapped wide or without clear racing room face steep disadvantages in this competitive Grade 3 route.​

Swift Delivery

Swift Delivery represents Hall of Fame trainer Mark Casse with Canada’s all-time leading jockey Patrick Husbands handling the riding assignment from post 1. The four-year-old bay gelding by Not This Time out of Raegen Harper is owned by Gary Barber, Team Valor International, Travis Kelce, and Rich Zoldan.​​

The gelding won the Grade 3 Seagram Cup on August 1 with a powerful rally from mid-pack under Husbands. That victory marked his first stakes win after consistent efforts in allowance company. Racing analyst described Husbands’ ride as perfect, noting the jockey read the race ideally and timed his move to win by two lengths over Dresden Row.​​

Recent form includes an allowance optional claiming victory on June 22 at Woodbine. The gelding carries 124 pounds from the rail post, which provides ideal tactical positioning for Husbands to save ground throughout the two-turn journey and unleash a sustained rally. The Husbands-Casse partnership ranks among the most successful combinations in Canadian racing history, with the Hall of Fame trainer earning 14 leading trainer titles at Woodbine.​

The Not This Time sire line has produced numerous successful synthetic surface runners, and the gelding’s proven ability at 1 1/8 miles provides confidence at this distance. At projected odds around 2-1, Swift Delivery represents fair value given his connections and recent form.​

Cool Kiss

Cool Kiss represents trainer Martin Drexler with Sahin Civaci handling the riding assignment from post 11. The five-year-old gelding won the Grade 3 Durham Cup Stakes on September 19 with a powerful late rally, returning $36.90 and demonstrating his ability to close from off the pace.​

Drexler noted the gelding has been a consistent performer throughout his career, and his recent training has been excellent. The Durham Cup victory marked his first graded stakes win, and connections are seeking back-to-back graded scores in the Autumn Stakes. Civaci provides quality handling, and his partnership with Drexler has produced consistent results.​

The weight assignment of 124 pounds provides some relief, and the middle post 11 position creates moderate challenges in this large field. However, Cool Kiss’s proven closing ability should benefit from the expected honest pace set by Funtastic Again. The gelding demonstrates tactical versatility and stamina required for 1 1/8 miles.​

At projected odds around 8-1, Cool Kiss represents excellent value as a live upset threat seeking consecutive graded stakes victories.​

Classic Mo Town

Classic Mo Town completes Drexler’s two-horse entry alongside Cool Kiss with Eswan Flores handling the riding duties from post 9. The five-year-old Florida-bred gelding by Classic Empire won the Grade 2 Eclipse Stakes on May 31 with a determined effort, marking a remarkable achievement for a horse claimed for $25,000 in February 2024.​

Owner Bruno Schickedanz and Drexler claimed Classic Mo Town and developed him into a graded stakes winner through patient training and strategic placement. Drexler praised the gelding’s consistency, noting he never misses a check and is always there. The Eclipse Stakes victory came after the gelding held off late-running Webslinger by half a length in 1:42.97.​

Since the claim, Classic Mo Town has won three races with two seconds and three thirds in 10 starts from the Drexler barn, demonstrating remarkable consistency. Flores has developed strong chemistry with the gelding, and their partnership has produced multiple stakes victories.​

The weight assignment of 124 pounds keeps him competitive, and the post 9 draw provides tactical flexibility. At projected odds around 10-1, Classic Mo Town represents solid value as part of Drexler’s formidable entry.​

Paramount Prince

Paramount Prince represents Mark Casse with Pietro Moran handling the riding assignment from post 2. The five-year-old chestnut gelding won the Queen’s Plate (Canada’s equivalent of the Kentucky Derby) in 2023, defeating a field of 17 three-year-olds at 1 1/4 miles. The gelding’s winning ways continued with graded stakes victories in the Dominion Day Stakes (Grade 3) and Seagram Cup (Grade 2) in 2024.​

With regular rider Patrick Husbands staying aboard Swift Delivery, Moran gains the ride on Paramount Prince. The jockey change creates uncertainty, though Moran compiled 113 wins at Woodbine in the past year, ranking second among riders. The gelding carries 123 pounds, receiving a one-pound break from top weight.​

The post 2 draw positions Paramount Prince favorably behind Funtastic Again’s expected early lead. The Queen’s Plate winner brings proven class and stamina at distances beyond 1 1/8 miles. At projected odds around 12-1, Paramount Prince represents value despite the jockey change.​

Jokestar

Jokestar represents trainer Kevin Attard with Rafael Hernandez aboard from post 10. The four-year-old gelding carries 123 pounds and brings career earnings of $902,303 from 17 starts with 4 wins, 5 seconds, and 9 thirds. Attard, Canada’s Sovereign Award-winning trainer in 2024, has demonstrated consistent excellence throughout the current meet.​

Hernandez as Woodbine’s leading rider with 117 wins provides elite tactical handling. Recent form shows the gelding finished first in a one-mile dirt race, third at 1 1/16 miles, and third again at 1 1/16 miles, demonstrating versatility across surfaces and distances. The combination of hot trainer and leading rider creates powerful partnership.​

The middle post 10 creates moderate positioning challenges, though Hernandez possesses the skill to navigate traffic effectively. At projected odds around 20-1, Jokestar represents a live longshot with quality connections.​

Funtastic Again

Funtastic Again represents Hall of Fame trainer Wesley Ward with Triple Crown-winning jockey Victor Espinoza handling the riding assignment from post 7. The five-year-old horse is owned by Three Chimneys Farm and won the Grade 3 Dominion Day Stakes on June 27 with a wire-to-wire victory under Espinoza.​

Ward instructed Espinoza to simply win the race, and the Hall of Fame jockey executed perfectly, establishing clear command early and never looking back. Espinoza made the change from his longtime Southern California base this past summer after Ward convinced him to turn his Saratoga visit into a working vacation. The jockey has been exercising horses in the morning and riding races in the afternoon for Ward.​

The combination of front-running style and quality jockey creates dangerous scenario. However, the five-month layoff since the Dominion Day victory raises fitness questions. The post 7 draw positions Funtastic Again favorably to establish early command. At projected odds around 8-1, Funtastic Again brings win-or-lose proposition typical of front runners.​

Loose Wire

Loose Wire represents Kevin Attard with Aurelien Lemaitre aboard from post 4. The five-year-old horse carries 123 pounds and brings career earnings of $284,510. Recent form shows strong efforts finishing second at 1 1/16 miles and seventh at 1 1/16 miles on Tapeta.​

The middle post 4 provides tactical advantages, and Lemaitre brings solid experience. At projected odds around 20-1, Loose Wire appears overmatched against the top contenders but represents the second Attard runner.​

Remaining Contenders

Dresden Row from post 3 for trainer Lorne Richards with Ryan Munger brings proven form. Map’s a Breeze from post 5 represents Hall of Fame trainer Josie Carroll with Fraser Aebly. Borealis Trail from post 6, Cameo Performance from post 8, and Wyoming Bill from post 12 with Emma-Jayne Wilson all bring legitimate chances. Lost Ark from post 13 scratched from a previous engagement by Stewards, returning today.​​

Speed Figures and Class Analysis

The speed figures for this field show Cool Kiss and Classic Mo Town holding advantages based on their recent graded stakes victories. Swift Delivery brings competitive figures from his Seagram Cup score. Paramount Prince’s Queen’s Plate victory demonstrates proven class at the highest level.​​

The class analysis favors the Casse duo of Swift Delivery and Paramount Prince given their proven graded stakes credentials. The Drexler entry of Cool Kiss and Classic Mo Town provides formidable opposition with recent graded stakes form.​​

Track Bias and Post Position Analysis

The Tapeta synthetic surface at Woodbine has shown recent patterns favoring horses who can secure favorable position behind moderate fractions. The 1 1/8-mile distance requires two turns, making tactical positioning crucial for saving ground and maintaining energy for sustained stretch rallies.​

Inside posts 1 through 5 provide advantages for saving ground throughout the two-turn journey. Swift Delivery from post 1 benefits significantly from the rail draw. The middle posts 6 through 10 face moderate challenges, while outside posts 11 through 13 encounter disadvantages with wide trips.​​

Cool Kiss from post 11 and Wyoming Bill from post 12 both face challenges from wide draws, though their proven closing ability should benefit from the expected honest pace.​

Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles

This competitive 13-horse Grade 3 stakes creates value opportunities in exotic wagers given the quality depth throughout the field. Swift Delivery represents logical win betting given his rail post, quality connections, and proven form. At projected odds around 2-1, he offers fair value as the favorite.​​

For exacta wagering, key Swift Delivery on top with Cool Kiss, Classic Mo Town, Paramount Prince, and Jokestar underneath. A $2 exacta 1 with 2,9,10,11 costs $8 and provides solid coverage. The reverse exacta using 11 over 1 protects against the favorite getting beat by Cool Kiss.

Trifecta wagering should focus on Swift Delivery and Cool Kiss in the first two positions with Classic Mo Town, Paramount Prince, Funtastic Again, and Jokestar filling third. A $1 trifecta 1,11 with 1,2,7,9,10,11 with 1,2,3,5,7,9,10,11,12 provides comprehensive coverage.

For superfecta wagering, construct a ticket using 1,11 for first, 1,2,9,10,11 for second, using ALL for third and fourth. This maximizes coverage while focusing investment on the most likely winners.

Consider using Swift Delivery as a single in Pick-3 and Pick-4 wagers connecting from earlier races. The combination of rail post, elite jockey, and Hall of Fame trainer makes him an excellent anchor for horizontal exotic wagers.

Selections and Confidence Levels

Win: Swift Delivery – The Mark Casse trainee brings overwhelming advantages including the rail post with Patrick Husbands, Canada’s all-time leading jockey. The four-year-old gelding by Not This Time won the Grade 3 Seagram Cup in August with a perfectly-timed rally from mid-pack, demonstrating his ability to rate off moderate fractions and unleash sustained closing kicks. The Husbands-Casse partnership ranks among the most successful combinations in Canadian racing history, with the Hall of Fame trainer earning 14 leading trainer titles at Woodbine. Recent form includes an allowance optional claiming victory in June, showing consistent progression. The rail post 1 provides ideal tactical positioning to save ground throughout the two-turn journey, rate off Funtastic Again’s expected early lead, and launch a sustained rally in the stretch. The weight assignment of 124 pounds keeps him competitive against this field. At projected odds around 2-1, Swift Delivery offers fair value and represents confident selection for win betting given his decisive advantages in post position, connections, and proven synthetic form at 1 1/8 miles.

Place: Cool Kiss – The Martin Drexler trainee brings hot form from his Grade 3 Durham Cup Stakes victory on September 19 where he returned $36.90 with a powerful late rally under Sahin Civaci. The five-year-old gelding seeks back-to-back graded stakes scores and has trained excellently according to connections. Drexler praised his consistent performances throughout his career, noting the gelding never misses a check. The weight assignment of 124 pounds provides some relief, and the closing style should benefit from the expected honest pace set by Funtastic Again. However, the middle post 11 position creates challenges in this large 13-horse field, requiring Civaci to navigate traffic effectively. The gelding demonstrates tactical versatility and stamina required for 1 1/8 miles, having proven himself at this level in the Durham Cup. At projected odds around 8-1, Cool Kiss offers excellent value for place betting as a live upset threat with momentum from his recent graded stakes breakthrough.

Show: Classic Mo Town – The second Drexler runner completes a formidable entry alongside Cool Kiss with Eswan Flores handling the riding duties from post 9. The five-year-old Florida-bred gelding won the Grade 2 Eclipse Stakes in May, marking a remarkable achievement for a horse claimed for $25,000 in February 2024 by owner Bruno Schickedanz and Drexler. The Eclipse Stakes victory demonstrated his ability to compete at the highest levels, holding off late-running Webslinger by half a length. Drexler praised the gelding’s consistency since the claim, winning three races with two seconds and three thirds in 10 starts from his barn. Flores has developed strong chemistry with Classic Mo Town, and their partnership has produced multiple stakes victories. The weight assignment of 124 pounds keeps him competitive, and the post 9 draw provides tactical flexibility for mid-pack positioning. At projected odds around 10-1, Classic Mo Town represents solid value for the show position as part of Drexler’s two-horse entry that gives the barn multiple tactical options and should produce at least one runner in the top three finishers.

Race 11 – Allowance Optional Claiming

Post Time: 6:16 PM EST

Twelve fillies and mares compete in this allowance optional claiming event at 6 1/2 furlongs for horses who have never won specific conditions or are entered for a $32,000 claiming tag.

Key Contenders

American Women from the Kevin Attard barn gets Jalon Samuel riding. The three-year-old filly has shown consistent improvement and should be forwardly placed throughout under Samuel’s aggressive handling.

Home for a Rest represents trainer Robert Tiller with Daisuke Fukumoto aboard. The filly has competed successfully at this level and should appreciate returning to a sprint distance.

Secondary Choices

Salt from the Kevin Attard stable gets Fraser Aebly handling the reins. The three-year-old filly provides Attard with a second legitimate winning chance and brings solid recent form.

Fourfiftyfour from the Barbara Minshall barn gets Rafael Hernandez, giving this mare significant jockey help. The mare has competed well at this level and Hernandez can maximize her chances.​

Pace Analysis

Multiple speed horses should engage early, including Give Me the Boots and Fourfiftyfour, creating an honest pace. Stalkers like American Women and Home for a Rest should be positioned perfectly to capitalize late.

Selections

Win: American Women

Place: Fourfiftyfour

Show: Home for a Rest

Jockey Notes and Insights

Rafael Hernandez enters Saturday’s card as Woodbine’s current leading rider with exceptional recent form. The jockey recorded a five-win week recently and has been particularly effective with Kevin Attard and Paul McEntee trainees. Hernandez rides in Races 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 8, 9, 10, and 11, providing multiple opportunities for bettors to capitalize on his hot hand.​

Patrick Husbands brings Hall of Fame credentials and remains one of the most accomplished riders at Woodbine. His partnership with Mark Casse in the Maple Leaf Stakes with Dancing N Dixie and in the Bessarabian with Stormcast makes both horses extremely live. Husbands excels in graded stakes competition and should not be overlooked.

Emma-Jayne Wilson continues to demonstrate why she ranks among the top riders in Canada. Her mounts in the Maple Leaf Stakes with Long Ago, in the Bessarabian with Caitlinhergrtness, and in the Autumn Stakes with Wyoming Bill all represent legitimate winning chances. Wilson’s ability to rate horses and time her moves perfectly gives her mounts added value.

Ryan Munger provides solid tactical riding and excels with closers and horses needing patient handling. His association with multiple Casse runners including Blitz in the Maple Leaf and Golden Canary in the Bessarabian makes these horses worth strong consideration.

Fraser Aebly demonstrates consistent ability to get horses into contention and should not be overlooked on live horses throughout the card. His mount Liberty Bay in Race 1 and So Called Vacation in Race 4 both represent value plays.

Trainer Notes and Insights

Mark Casse dominates the graded stakes events with multiple entries in all three feature races. The Hall of Fame trainer has won the Maple Leaf Stakes five times previously and returns defending Bessarabian champion Stormcast. Casse’s record at Woodbine includes 14 leading trainer titles and an exceptional winning percentage with favorites. Any Casse runner should be respected, particularly in stakes company.​

Kevin Attard sends out numerous runners throughout the card and excels with fillies and mares. His stable is firing on all cylinders entering November, and connections with Rafael Hernandez provide added confidence. Attard runners in Races 5, 7, 8, 9, 10, and 11 all merit consideration.​

Paul McEntee demonstrates consistent ability to have horses ready for their assignments, particularly with juveniles and maidens. His runners Something Fast in Race 3, Baytown Munny in Race 5, and Frosty Mojito in Race 6 all represent logical contenders in their respective events.

Martin Drexler enters strong runners in both the Maple Leaf Stakes and Autumn Stakes, demonstrating the depth of his stable. Drexler excels with older horses and his runner Classic Mo Town in Race 10 represents excellent value.

Josie Carroll brings multiple entries including A Little Frisky in the Bessarabian and Map’s a Breeze in the Autumn Stakes. Carroll’s horses typically show up prepared and should not be dismissed at generous odds.

Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays

The three graded stakes races provide opportunities for exotic wagering, particularly the Bessarabian Stakes with 16 runners creating multiple combination possibilities. Consider using Mark Casse runners as singles in multi-race wagers, particularly Dancing N Dixie in the Maple Leaf and Stormcast in the Bessarabian.

Rafael Hernandez’s current hot streak makes him an excellent jockey to key in Pick-3 and Pick-4 wagers. Consider building tickets around his mounts in Races 1, 7, 8, 9, and 11 where he rides logical contenders.

The maiden races offer opportunities for value with first-time starters and horses switching barns or adding equipment. Race 3 with juveniles and Race 6 on the turf both provide chances to find longshots that could deliver substantial returns.

The Super High Five carryover in the Bessarabian Stakes creates a mandatory payout situation that should attract significant betting action. Consider building tickets using Ellen Jay, Serene Seraph, and Les Reys as value plays underneath the favorites Stormcast and Caitlinhergrtness.​

Daily Double opportunities exist connecting the Maple Leaf into the claiming race in Race 8, where Dancing N Dixie to Skylight Caper could produce attractive returns. Similarly, the Bessarabian into the Autumn Stakes provides exotic wagering chances using Casse runners across both races.

Consider vertical exotic wagers in Race 10 where the large field of 13 creates numerous combination possibilities. Swift Delivery on top with Classic Mo Town, Jokestar, and Funtastic Again underneath in exacta and trifecta wagers offers solid value opportunities.

The late Pick-4 covering Races 8 through 11 provides an excellent wagering opportunity with manageable field sizes and identifiable contenders. Using Skylight Caper and Hymn to Her in Race 8, spreading in the Bessarabian, keying Swift Delivery in Race 10, and using American Women and Fourfiftyfour in Race 11 creates a logical betting structure with value potential value potential.