Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Note: Sometimes, a pick may appear twice; in such cases, we expect the horse to finish in one of the two predicted positions.
Race 1 – Claiming – 6 Furlongs Dirt – $12,000 Purse BOXED TRIFECTA
This claiming race features older horses competing at the $5,000 claiming level. Fieldstone has been the overwhelming favorite among handicappers, having placed as a favorite in his last start at Mahoning Valley. The race appears competitive with multiple horses showing solid track form.
Win: 2 Fieldstone (90% confidence)🥉
Place: 5 Grey Streak (60% confidence)🥈Show: 6 Bailamos (70% confidence)Alternative: 3 Bucket List (60% confidence)🥇
Race 2 – Claiming – 8 Furlongs 66 Yards Dirt – $15,000 Purse
This fillies and mares claiming race at 8.3 furlongs shows a divided field of expert opinion. Multiple contenders have strong track form at Mahoning Valley, creating an evenly matched contest.
Win: 4 Tiz Independence (50% confidence)
Place: 5 Lubu (55% confidence)🥈
Show: 2 Sacred Connection (40% confidence)🥉
Alternative: 1 Wicca Wisdom (35% confidence)
Race 3 – Claiming – 6 Furlongs Dirt – $14,000 Purse
A competitive claiming sprint where the top four selections are evenly matched. Gamboling Ghost and Bohemian Style have both shown consistency at Mahoning Valley, while Harbour Bridge and Tonight are strong contenders.
Win: 4 Gamboling Ghost (50% confidence)
Place: 3 Bohemian Style (45% confidence)🥈
Show: 2 Harbour Bridge (40% confidence)🥉
Alternative: 7 Tonight (45% confidence)
Race 4 – Allowance – 6 Furlongs Dirt – $25,000 Purse WIN EXACTA
This allowance race for fillies and mares features horses that have never won twice. Expert opinion is divided between Work’n On A Buzz returning from a layoff and Nublada, who finished second in similar company last time.
Win: 3 Nublada (50% confidence)🥇
Place: 6 Work’n On A Buzz (50% confidence)🥈
Show: 4 The Devil’s Dream (45% confidence)
Alternative: 5 Queenofthebuckeye (40% confidence)🥉
Race 5 – Claiming – 8 Furlongs Dirt – $11,000 Purse
This claiming race shows expert opinions scattered across four main contenders. Supply Chain has strong recent form at Mahoning Valley, while multiple horses have shown capability at this distance and level.
Win: 6 Supply Chain (50% confidence)🥉
Place: 1 Verbier (40% confidence)
Show: 7 Agnello’s Dream (40% confidence)
Alternative: 2 Vincenzino (50% confidence)
Race 6 – Claiming – 6 Furlongs Dirt – $16,000 Purse WIN
Colonel Vargo dominates expert selections after winning last time at Mahoning Valley. The race features competitive depth with multiple horses capable of hitting the board.
Win: 6 Colonel Vargo (80% confidence)🥇
Place: 7 Lomachenko (45% confidence)🥉
Show: 3 Morethanreadyeddie (50% confidence)
Alternative: 5 Doctor Wu (40% confidence)🥈
Race 7 – Claiming – 6 Furlongs Dirt – $25,000 Purse WIN +EXACTA
This higher-level claiming race for fillies and mares shows a close battle between Mizzen The Point, who won last time, and Kozy Night, who has multiple wins at the track. The race appears very competitive.
Win: 7 Mizzen The Point (60% confidence)🥇
Place: 6 Kozy Night (60% confidence)🥈
Show: 1 Express Fashion (35% confidence)
Alternative: 4 High Fire (30% confidence)
Race 8 – Allowance – 6 Furlongs Dirt – $36,200 Purse WIN
The feature race of the card shows Wonder World as a strong consensus favorite returning from a 22-week layoff after winning her last two starts. This appears to be one of the strongest consensus picks of the day.
Win: 6 Wonder World (90% confidence)🥇
Place: 1 Goosebumps (65% confidence)
Show: 2 Miesha (45% confidence)🥈
Alternative: 5 My Kinda Party (45% confidence)
Recommended Exotic Bets and Value Plays
Race 1 Value Play: While 2 Fieldstone is the overwhelming favorite at 3-5 odds, consider 5 Grey Streak at 3-1 as a value alternative based on strong handicapper support. Consider exacta boxes with Fieldstone, Grey Streak, and Bailamos.
Race 2 Best Bet: This race is wide open with divided expert opinion. A trifecta box using 4 Tiz Independence, 5 Lubu, and 2 Sacred Connection offers value given the competitive nature.
Race 3 Exotic Opportunity: With four legitimate contenders, consider a trifecta box using 4 Gamboling Ghost, 3 Bohemian Style, 2 Harbour Bridge, and 7 Tonight for maximum coverage.
Race 4 Value Exacta: Box 3 Nublada at 2-1 and 6 Work’n On A Buzz at 5-2, as expert opinion is evenly split between these two quality fillies.
Race 5 Wide Open Race: The divided consensus suggests using a trifecta wheel with 6 Supply Chain on top over 1 Verbier, 7 Agnello’s Dream, and 2 Vincenzino.
Race 6 Best Single: 6 Colonel Vargo at 7-2 represents solid value given the 80% confidence level and recent winning form. Use in multi-race exotics.
Race 7 Exacta Box: Use 7 Mizzen The Point and 6 Kozy Night in an exacta box, as both have 60% confidence levels and strong track form.
Race 8 Anchor Play: 6 Wonder World at 2-1 is the strongest consensus pick of the day with 90% confidence. Use as a single in Pick 3, Pick 4, and daily double plays. Consider keying Wonder World over Goosebumps, Miesha, and My Kinda Party in trifectas.
Multi-Race Strategy: Consider a Pick 3 covering Races 6-7-8 using Colonel Vargo (Race 6), Mizzen The Point and Kozy Night (Race 7), and Wonder World (Race 8) as your base selections.
Best Value Trifecta: Race 4 offers the best value trifecta opportunity given the competitive nature and divided expert opinion among quality allowance fillies.
