Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Parx Racing, October 14, 2026


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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) is our strongest pick source: on our weekly scoreboard it is the only one that picks winners at a higher rate than the morning-line favourite. Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) is a different kind of tool: it puts a calibrated win chance and a fair price on every horse, which is what the Kelly Edge Plays and the Live Overlays board are built on. As a win pick it currently trails Algo 2 and the morning-line favourite, so use it to price and size a bet rather than to choose a horse over Algo 2. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets; Insider adds Algo 2; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.

How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.

Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:3Peak Of Chic (2/1)
Place:4Golden Dancer (4/1)
Show:5She's A Gem (6/1)
Other contenders:7Take Time To Dream (3/1), 1Creative Copy (6/1), 2Popthechampagne Ro (12/1)
Rest of field:8Disco Flash (10/1), 6Clout Chaser (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 347518
🎯 Longshots: 38542716
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #5, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $26,000
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:2Moor Strength (2/1)
Place:4Telephone Line (5/1)
Show:1Never Sway (7/2)
Other contenders:5Judy's Flyer (9/2), 7Game Energy (6/1)
Rest of field:6Vanaka (6/1), 3Laugh Like Lucy (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 241576
🎯 Longshots: 2145763
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #4, #1, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000
★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best.
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:3Fromanothamutha (2/1)
Place:2I Feelucky Tonite (8/5)
Show:5Atrocious (7/2)
Other contenders:4Traffic Master (5/1), 6Whiting Field (6/1)
Rest of field:1Run Cory Run (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 325461
🎯 Longshots: 235146
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #5, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:3Doppio Espresso (6/5)
Place:6No Mo Muffins (5/1)
Show:2Seven P R C (3/1)
Other contenders:5Sweet Distraction (4/1), 4My Little Wildcat (12/1)
Rest of field:1Queen Catalina (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 326541
🎯 Longshots: 324651
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:4Trust Fund (2/1)
Place:1Eagles Cry (5/2)
Show:5Guapo Again (3/1)
Other contenders:3Get Set (9/2), 6Nuedorf (6/1)
Rest of field:2My Kid Syd (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 415362
🎯 Longshots: 412536
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #5, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $20,000
★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best.
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:8Elusive Target (5/1)
Place:1Praetorian Guard (3/1)
Show:5Fast Bob (5/1)
Other contenders:4Aggregation (6/1), 3Knox (4/1), 2Union Lights (9/2)
Rest of field:7Alejandro (10/1), 6Brave Bear (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 815342
🎯 Longshots: 81765432
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #1, #5, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,000
★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best.
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:4Mon Cher Amour (3/1)
Place:5Tiza Smokeshow (5/2)
Show:6Tiptop (9/2)
Other contenders:8Avatude (5/1), 2Show Em Up (6/1), 7Maureen's Empire (8/1)
Rest of field:3Miss Mo Magic (8/1), 1Polar Magic (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 456827
🎯 Longshots: 45176382
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #6, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,000
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:2Highway Patrol (5/2)
Place:3If I Can Dream (3/1)
Show:5Tongue Tied (5/1)
Other contenders:7Very Bad Guy (6/1), 6Walkers Beach (6/1), 1Psalmist (8/1)
Rest of field:8Passionforglory (10/1), 4Starrosso (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 235761
🎯 Longshots: 23185476
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #5, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $52,000
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:4No Easy Days (2/1)
Place:1Gold Light (3/1)
Show:3Coach Bennett (7/2)
Other contenders:6Party At Sam's (5/1), 2Charbonnay (5/1)
Rest of field:5Ripped (5/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 413625
🎯 Longshots: 413625
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 10  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best.
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:3Ad Majora (7/2)
Place:1Brentwood (5/2)
Show:10No Mor Stones (5/1)
Other contenders:6Hephepcutdownnets (9/2), 4Easter Blessing (5/1), 9Inmate (6/1)
Rest of field:2Will's Music (12/1), 7Centaur Central (8/1), 8Lucky Capo (15/1), 5Whoosh (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1310649
🎯 Longshots: 21017369485
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #10, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) at Parx Racing — win rate

How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 123 graded races at Parx Racing, 2026-09-07 to 2026-10-12.

0%10%19%29%39%Our top pick: 30.9% from 123 racesOur top pick30.9%Morning-line favourite: 28.5% from 123 racesMorning-line favourite28.5%

The morning line is the track handicapper's overnight price, not the final tote odds. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.

Show the numbers
GroupWin rateRaces
Our top pick30.9%123
Morning-line favourite28.5%123
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000
Win:3Peak Of Chic (2/1) 29% · fair 5-2
Place:4Golden Dancer (4/1) 18% · fair 9-2
Show:1Creative Copy (6/1) 16% · fair 5-1
Other contenders:5She's A Gem (6/1) 15% · fair 6-1, 7Take Time To Dream (3/1) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -55%, 8Disco Flash (10/1) 4% · fair 45-2 underlay -56%
Rest of field:2Popthechampagne Ro (12/1) 4% · fair 49-2 underlay -51%, 6Clout Chaser (15/1) 2% · fair 54-1 underlay -72%
Race 1 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Peak Of Chic — 28.6% win probability, morning line 2/1Peak Of Chic28.6% ◀Golden Dancer — 17.5% win probability, morning line 4/1Golden Dancer17.5%Creative Copy — 16.2% win probability, morning line 6/1Creative Copy16.2%She'S A Gem — 14.7% win probability, morning line 6/1She'S A Gem14.7%Take Time To Dream — 13.1% win probability, morning line 3/1Take Time To Dream13.1%Disco Flash — 4.2% win probability, morning line 10/1Disco Flash4.2%Popthechampagne Ro — 3.9% win probability, morning line 12/1Popthechampagne Ro3.9%Clout Chaser — 1.8% win probability, morning line 15/1Clout Chaser1.8%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Peak Of Chic28.6%2/1
Golden Dancer17.5%4/1
Creative Copy16.2%6/1
She'S A Gem14.7%6/1
Take Time To Dream13.1%3/1
Disco Flash4.2%10/1
Popthechampagne Ro3.9%12/1
Clout Chaser1.8%15/1
Race 1 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherPeak Of Chic: model 28.6% vs market 25.7% (+2.9 points)Peak Of Chic+2.9Golden Dancer: model 17.5% vs market 15.4% (+2.1 points)Golden Dancer+2.1Creative Copy: model 16.2% vs market 11.0% (+5.2 points)Creative Copy+5.2She'S A Gem: model 14.7% vs market 11.0% (+3.7 points)She'S A Gem+3.7Take Time To Dream: model 13.1% vs market 19.2% (-6.2 points)Take Time To Dream-6.2Disco Flash: model 4.2% vs market 7.0% (-2.8 points)Disco Flash-2.8Popthechampagne Ro: model 3.9% vs market 5.9% (-2.0 points)Popthechampagne Ro-2.0Clout Chaser: model 1.8% vs market 4.8% (-3.0 points)Clout Chaser-3.0

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Peak Of Chic28.6%25.7%+2.9
Golden Dancer17.5%15.4%+2.1
Creative Copy16.2%11.0%+5.2
She'S A Gem14.7%11.0%+3.7
Take Time To Dream13.1%19.2%-6.2
Disco Flash4.2%7.0%-2.8
Popthechampagne Ro3.9%5.9%-2.0
Clout Chaser1.8%4.8%-3.0
🌧️ Off-track: 347158
🎯 Longshots: 38542716
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #1, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $26,000
Win:1Never Sway (7/2) 22% · fair 7-2
Place:4Telephone Line (5/1) 21% · fair 4-1 overlay +29%
Show:2Moor Strength (2/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -55%
Other contenders:5Judy's Flyer (9/2) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -35%, 7Game Energy (6/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -29%
Rest of field:6Vanaka (6/1) 10% · fair 19-2 underlay -36%, 3Laugh Like Lucy (6/1) 7% · fair 29-2 underlay -58%
Race 2 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Never Sway — 21.7% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Never Sway21.7% ◀Telephone Line — 20.5% win probability, morning line 5/1Telephone Line20.5%Moor Strength — 18.3% win probability, morning line 2/1Moor Strength18.3%Judy'S Flyer — 12.7% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Judy'S Flyer12.7%Game Energy — 10.6% win probability, morning line 6/1Game Energy10.6%Vanaka — 9.7% win probability, morning line 6/1Vanaka9.7%Laugh Like Lucy — 6.5% win probability, morning line 6/1Laugh Like Lucy6.5%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Never Sway21.7%3.5/1
Telephone Line20.5%5/1
Moor Strength18.3%2/1
Judy'S Flyer12.7%4.5/1
Game Energy10.6%6/1
Vanaka9.7%6/1
Laugh Like Lucy6.5%6/1
Race 2 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherNever Sway: model 21.7% vs market 16.7% (+5.0 points)Never Sway+5.0Telephone Line: model 20.5% vs market 12.5% (+8.0 points)Telephone Line+8.0Moor Strength: model 18.3% vs market 25.0% (-6.7 points)Moor Strength-6.7Judy'S Flyer: model 12.7% vs market 13.6% (-0.9 points)Judy'S Flyer-0.9Game Energy: model 10.6% vs market 10.7% (-0.1 points)Game Energy-0.1Vanaka: model 9.7% vs market 10.7% (-1.0 points)Vanaka-1.0Laugh Like Lucy: model 6.5% vs market 10.7% (-4.2 points)Laugh Like Lucy-4.2

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Never Sway21.7%16.7%+5.0
Telephone Line20.5%12.5%+8.0
Moor Strength18.3%25.0%-6.7
Judy'S Flyer12.7%13.6%-0.9
Game Energy10.6%10.7%-0.1
Vanaka9.7%10.7%-1.0
Laugh Like Lucy6.5%10.7%-4.2
🌧️ Off-track: 214576
🎯 Longshots: 2145763
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000
Win:3Fromanothamutha (2/1) 33% · fair 2-1
Place:2I Feelucky Tonite (8/5) 25% · fair 3-1 underlay -48%
Show:5Atrocious (7/2) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -28%
Other contenders:4Traffic Master (5/1) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -30%, 6Whiting Field (6/1) 7% · fair 25-2 underlay -52%
Rest of field:1Run Cory Run (15/1) 5% · fair 35-2
Race 3 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Fromanothamutha — 33.3% win probability, morning line 2/1Fromanothamutha33.3% ◀I Feelucky Tonite — 24.7% win probability, morning line 1.6/1I Feelucky Tonite24.7%Atrocious — 17.1% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Atrocious17.1%Traffic Master — 12.2% win probability, morning line 5/1Traffic Master12.2%Whiting Field — 7.4% win probability, morning line 6/1Whiting Field7.4%Run Cory Run — 5.3% win probability, morning line 15/1Run Cory Run5.3%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Fromanothamutha33.3%2/1
I Feelucky Tonite24.7%1.6/1
Atrocious17.1%3.5/1
Traffic Master12.2%5/1
Whiting Field7.4%6/1
Run Cory Run5.3%15/1
Race 3 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherFromanothamutha: model 33.3% vs market 25.4% (+7.9 points)Fromanothamutha+7.9I Feelucky Tonite: model 24.7% vs market 29.3% (-4.6 points)I Feelucky Tonite-4.6Atrocious: model 17.1% vs market 16.9% (+0.2 points)Atrocious+0.2Traffic Master: model 12.2% vs market 12.7% (-0.5 points)Traffic Master-0.5Whiting Field: model 7.4% vs market 10.9% (-3.5 points)Whiting Field-3.5Run Cory Run: model 5.3% vs market 4.8% (+0.6 points)Run Cory Run+0.6

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Fromanothamutha33.3%25.4%+7.9
I Feelucky Tonite24.7%29.3%-4.6
Atrocious17.1%16.9%+0.2
Traffic Master12.2%12.7%-0.5
Whiting Field7.4%10.9%-3.5
Run Cory Run5.3%4.8%+0.6
🌧️ Off-track: 325461
🎯 Longshots: 235146
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #5, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:3Doppio Espresso (6/5) 49% · fair 1-1
Place:6No Mo Muffins (5/1) 23% · fair 7-2 overlay +49%
Show:2Seven P R C (3/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -60%
Other contenders:5Sweet Distraction (4/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -63%, 4My Little Wildcat (12/1) 6% · fair 29-2
Rest of field:1Queen Catalina (15/1) 2% · fair 53-1 underlay -72%
Race 4 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Doppio Espresso — 48.5% win probability, morning line 1.2/1Doppio Espresso48.5% ◀No Mo Muffins — 23.0% win probability, morning line 5/1No Mo Muffins23.0%Seven P R C — 11.8% win probability, morning line 3/1Seven P R C11.8%Sweet Distraction — 8.4% win probability, morning line 4/1Sweet Distraction8.4%My Little Wildcat — 6.4% win probability, morning line 12/1My Little Wildcat6.4%Queen Catalina — 1.9% win probability, morning line 15/1Queen Catalina1.9%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Doppio Espresso48.5%1.2/1
No Mo Muffins23.0%5/1
Seven P R C11.8%3/1
Sweet Distraction8.4%4/1
My Little Wildcat6.4%12/1
Queen Catalina1.9%15/1
Race 4 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherDoppio Espresso: model 48.5% vs market 37.5% (+11.0 points)Doppio Espresso+11.0No Mo Muffins: model 23.0% vs market 13.8% (+9.2 points)No Mo Muffins+9.2Seven P R C: model 11.8% vs market 20.7% (-8.9 points)Seven P R C-8.9Sweet Distraction: model 8.4% vs market 16.5% (-8.1 points)Sweet Distraction-8.1My Little Wildcat: model 6.4% vs market 6.4% (+0.1 points)My Little Wildcat+0.1Queen Catalina: model 1.9% vs market 5.2% (-3.3 points)Queen Catalina-3.3

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Doppio Espresso48.5%37.5%+11.0
No Mo Muffins23.0%13.8%+9.2
Seven P R C11.8%20.7%-8.9
Sweet Distraction8.4%16.5%-8.1
My Little Wildcat6.4%6.4%+0.1
Queen Catalina1.9%5.2%-3.3
🌧️ Off-track: 326541
🎯 Longshots: 324651
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:4Trust Fund (2/1) 26% · fair 3-1 underlay -30%
Place:1Eagles Cry (5/2) 21% · fair 4-1 underlay -35%
Show:5Guapo Again (3/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -34%
Other contenders:6Nuedorf (6/1) 16% · fair 11-2, 3Get Set (9/2) 14% · fair 6-1
Rest of field:2My Kid Syd (12/1) 5% · fair 37-2 underlay -36%
Race 5 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Trust Fund — 25.8% win probability, morning line 2/1Trust Fund25.8% ◀Eagles Cry — 20.7% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Eagles Cry20.7%Guapo Again — 18.1% win probability, morning line 3/1Guapo Again18.1%Nuedorf — 15.8% win probability, morning line 6/1Nuedorf15.8%Get Set — 14.5% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Get Set14.5%My Kid Syd — 5.1% win probability, morning line 12/1My Kid Syd5.1%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Trust Fund25.8%2/1
Eagles Cry20.7%2.5/1
Guapo Again18.1%3/1
Nuedorf15.8%6/1
Get Set14.5%4.5/1
My Kid Syd5.1%12/1
Race 5 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherTrust Fund: model 25.8% vs market 26.2% (-0.4 points)Trust Fund-0.4Eagles Cry: model 20.7% vs market 22.5% (-1.8 points)Eagles Cry-1.8Guapo Again: model 18.1% vs market 19.7% (-1.6 points)Guapo Again-1.6Nuedorf: model 15.8% vs market 11.2% (+4.6 points)Nuedorf+4.6Get Set: model 14.5% vs market 14.3% (+0.1 points)Get Set+0.1My Kid Syd: model 5.1% vs market 6.1% (-1.0 points)My Kid Syd-1.0

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Trust Fund25.8%26.2%-0.4
Eagles Cry20.7%22.5%-1.8
Guapo Again18.1%19.7%-1.6
Nuedorf15.8%11.2%+4.6
Get Set14.5%14.3%+0.1
My Kid Syd5.1%6.1%-1.0
🌧️ Off-track: 415362
🎯 Longshots: 412536
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #5, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $20,000
Win:8Elusive Target (5/1) 25% · fair 3-1 overlay +63%
Place:4Aggregation (6/1) 19% · fair 4-1 overlay +44%
Show:1Praetorian Guard (3/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -45%
Other contenders:3Knox (4/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -50%, 5Fast Bob (5/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -40%, 2Union Lights (9/2) 9% · fair 21-2 underlay -58%
Rest of field:7Alejandro (10/1) 8% · fair 12-1, 6Brave Bear (15/1) 2% · fair 39-1 underlay -62%
Race 6 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Elusive Target — 24.6% win probability, morning line 5/1Elusive Target24.6% ◀Aggregation — 19.4% win probability, morning line 6/1Aggregation19.4%Praetorian Guard — 15.5% win probability, morning line 3/1Praetorian Guard15.5%Knox — 11.1% win probability, morning line 4/1Knox11.1%Fast Bob — 10.7% win probability, morning line 5/1Fast Bob10.7%Union Lights — 8.6% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Union Lights8.6%Alejandro — 7.7% win probability, morning line 10/1Alejandro7.7%Brave Bear — 2.5% win probability, morning line 15/1Brave Bear2.5%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Elusive Target24.6%5/1
Aggregation19.4%6/1
Praetorian Guard15.5%3/1
Knox11.1%4/1
Fast Bob10.7%5/1
Union Lights8.6%4.5/1
Alejandro7.7%10/1
Brave Bear2.5%15/1
Race 6 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherElusive Target: model 24.6% vs market 13.2% (+11.4 points)Elusive Target+11.4Aggregation: model 19.4% vs market 11.3% (+8.1 points)Aggregation+8.1Praetorian Guard: model 15.5% vs market 19.8% (-4.4 points)Praetorian Guard-4.4Knox: model 11.1% vs market 15.9% (-4.7 points)Knox-4.7Fast Bob: model 10.7% vs market 13.2% (-2.5 points)Fast Bob-2.5Union Lights: model 8.6% vs market 14.4% (-5.8 points)Union Lights-5.8Alejandro: model 7.7% vs market 7.2% (+0.5 points)Alejandro+0.5Brave Bear: model 2.5% vs market 5.0% (-2.5 points)Brave Bear-2.5

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Elusive Target24.6%13.2%+11.4
Aggregation19.4%11.3%+8.1
Praetorian Guard15.5%19.8%-4.4
Knox11.1%15.9%-4.7
Fast Bob10.7%13.2%-2.5
Union Lights8.6%14.4%-5.8
Alejandro7.7%7.2%+0.5
Brave Bear2.5%5.0%-2.5
🌧️ Off-track: 814352
🎯 Longshots: 81765432
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #1, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:4Mon Cher Amour (3/1) 25% · fair 3-1
Place:5Tiza Smokeshow (5/2) 20% · fair 4-1 underlay -36%
Show:6Tiptop (9/2) 15% · fair 11-2
Other contenders:8Avatude (5/1) 13% · fair 13-2, 7Maureen's Empire (8/1) 9% · fair 21-2, 2Show Em Up (6/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -44%
Rest of field:3Miss Mo Magic (8/1) 4% · fair 22-1 underlay -64%, 1Polar Magic (12/1) 4% · fair 24-1 underlay -50%
Race 7 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Mon Cher Amour — 25.4% win probability, morning line 3/1Mon Cher Amour25.4% ◀Tiza Smokeshow — 20.4% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Tiza Smokeshow20.4%Tiptop — 15.3% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Tiptop15.3%Avatude — 13.4% win probability, morning line 5/1Avatude13.4%Maureen'S Empire — 8.8% win probability, morning line 8/1Maureen'S Empire8.8%Show Em Up — 8.5% win probability, morning line 6/1Show Em Up8.5%Miss Mo Magic — 4.3% win probability, morning line 8/1Miss Mo Magic4.3%Polar Magic — 4.0% win probability, morning line 12/1Polar Magic4.0%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Mon Cher Amour25.4%3/1
Tiza Smokeshow20.4%2.5/1
Tiptop15.3%4.5/1
Avatude13.4%5/1
Maureen'S Empire8.8%8/1
Show Em Up8.5%6/1
Miss Mo Magic4.3%8/1
Polar Magic4.0%12/1
Race 7 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherMon Cher Amour: model 25.4% vs market 18.9% (+6.5 points)Mon Cher Amour+6.5Tiza Smokeshow: model 20.4% vs market 21.5% (-1.1 points)Tiza Smokeshow-1.1Tiptop: model 15.3% vs market 13.7% (+1.6 points)Tiptop+1.6Avatude: model 13.4% vs market 12.6% (+0.8 points)Avatude+0.8Maureen'S Empire: model 8.8% vs market 8.4% (+0.4 points)Maureen'S Empire+0.4Show Em Up: model 8.5% vs market 10.8% (-2.3 points)Show Em Up-2.3Miss Mo Magic: model 4.3% vs market 8.4% (-4.1 points)Miss Mo Magic-4.1Polar Magic: model 4.0% vs market 5.8% (-1.8 points)Polar Magic-1.8

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Mon Cher Amour25.4%18.9%+6.5
Tiza Smokeshow20.4%21.5%-1.1
Tiptop15.3%13.7%+1.6
Avatude13.4%12.6%+0.8
Maureen'S Empire8.8%8.4%+0.4
Show Em Up8.5%10.8%-2.3
Miss Mo Magic4.3%8.4%-4.1
Polar Magic4.0%5.8%-1.8
🌧️ Off-track: 456827
🎯 Longshots: 45176382
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #6, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:2Highway Patrol (5/2) 24% · fair 3-1
Place:5Tongue Tied (5/1) 22% · fair 7-2 overlay +39%
Show:3If I Can Dream (3/1) 21% · fair 4-1
Other contenders:6Walkers Beach (6/1) 9% · fair 10-1 underlay -41%, 7Very Bad Guy (6/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -47%, 1Psalmist (8/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -33%
Rest of field:8Passionforglory (10/1) 6% · fair 17-1 underlay -42%, 4Starrosso (12/1) 3% · fair 35-1 underlay -66%
Race 8 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Highway Patrol — 24.2% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Highway Patrol24.2% ◀Tongue Tied — 21.7% win probability, morning line 5/1Tongue Tied21.7%If I Can Dream — 20.9% win probability, morning line 3/1If I Can Dream20.9%Walkers Beach — 9.0% win probability, morning line 6/1Walkers Beach9.0%Very Bad Guy — 8.2% win probability, morning line 6/1Very Bad Guy8.2%Psalmist — 7.7% win probability, morning line 8/1Psalmist7.7%Passionforglory — 5.5% win probability, morning line 10/1Passionforglory5.5%Starrosso — 2.8% win probability, morning line 12/1Starrosso2.8%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Highway Patrol24.2%2.5/1
Tongue Tied21.7%5/1
If I Can Dream20.9%3/1
Walkers Beach9.0%6/1
Very Bad Guy8.2%6/1
Psalmist7.7%8/1
Passionforglory5.5%10/1
Starrosso2.8%12/1
Race 8 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherHighway Patrol: model 24.2% vs market 22.5% (+1.7 points)Highway Patrol+1.7Tongue Tied: model 21.7% vs market 13.2% (+8.6 points)Tongue Tied+8.6If I Can Dream: model 20.9% vs market 19.7% (+1.2 points)If I Can Dream+1.2Walkers Beach: model 9.0% vs market 11.3% (-2.3 points)Walkers Beach-2.3Very Bad Guy: model 8.2% vs market 11.3% (-3.1 points)Very Bad Guy-3.1Psalmist: model 7.7% vs market 8.8% (-1.0 points)Psalmist-1.0Passionforglory: model 5.5% vs market 7.2% (-1.7 points)Passionforglory-1.7Starrosso: model 2.8% vs market 6.1% (-3.3 points)Starrosso-3.3

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Highway Patrol24.2%22.5%+1.7
Tongue Tied21.7%13.2%+8.6
If I Can Dream20.9%19.7%+1.2
Walkers Beach9.0%11.3%-2.3
Very Bad Guy8.2%11.3%-3.1
Psalmist7.7%8.8%-1.0
Passionforglory5.5%7.2%-1.7
Starrosso2.8%6.1%-3.3
🌧️ Off-track: 235671
🎯 Longshots: 23185476
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $52,000
Win:4No Easy Days (2/1) 23% · fair 7-2 underlay -39%
Place:1Gold Light (3/1) 20% · fair 4-1
Show:3Coach Bennett (7/2) 20% · fair 4-1
Other contenders:6Party At Sam's (5/1) 15% · fair 11-2, 2Charbonnay (5/1) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -29%
Rest of field:5Ripped (5/1) 9% · fair 19-2 underlay -48%
Race 9 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

No Easy Days — 23.3% win probability, morning line 2/1No Easy Days23.3% ◀Gold Light — 20.2% win probability, morning line 3/1Gold Light20.2%Coach Bennett — 19.6% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Coach Bennett19.6%Party At Sam'S — 15.2% win probability, morning line 5/1Party At Sam'S15.2%Charbonnay — 12.4% win probability, morning line 5/1Charbonnay12.4%Ripped — 9.4% win probability, morning line 5/1Ripped9.4%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
No Easy Days23.3%2/1
Gold Light20.2%3/1
Coach Bennett19.6%3.5/1
Party At Sam'S15.2%5/1
Charbonnay12.4%5/1
Ripped9.4%5/1
🌧️ Off-track: 413625
🎯 Longshots: 413625
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 10  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:3Ad Majora (7/2) 19% · fair 9-2
Place:10No Mor Stones (5/1) 17% · fair 5-1
Show:1Brentwood (5/2) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -58%
Other contenders:4Easter Blessing (5/1) 14% · fair 6-1, 6Hephepcutdownnets (9/2) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -37%, 9Inmate (6/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -46%
Rest of field:2Will's Music (12/1) 5% · fair 19-1 underlay -38%, 7Centaur Central (8/1) 5% · fair 39-2 underlay -59%, 8Lucky Capo (15/1) 3% · fair 28-1 underlay -46%, 5Whoosh (20/1) 1% · fair 149-2 underlay -73%
Race 10 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Ad Majora — 18.8% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Ad Majora18.8% ◀No Mor Stones — 17.2% win probability, morning line 5/1No Mor Stones17.2%Brentwood — 14.4% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Brentwood14.4%Easter Blessing — 14.4% win probability, morning line 5/1Easter Blessing14.4%Hephepcutdownnets — 12.2% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Hephepcutdownnets12.2%Inmate — 8.3% win probability, morning line 6/1Inmate8.3%Will'S Music — 4.9% win probability, morning line 12/1Will'S Music4.9%Centaur Central — 4.9% win probability, morning line 8/1Centaur Central4.9%Lucky Capo — 3.4% win probability, morning line 15/1Lucky Capo3.4%Whoosh — 1.3% win probability, morning line 20/1Whoosh1.3%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Ad Majora18.8%3.5/1
No Mor Stones17.2%5/1
Brentwood14.4%2.5/1
Easter Blessing14.4%5/1
Hephepcutdownnets12.2%4.5/1
Inmate8.3%6/1
Will'S Music4.9%12/1
Centaur Central4.9%8/1
Lucky Capo3.4%15/1
Whoosh1.3%20/1
Race 10 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherAd Majora: model 18.8% vs market 15.2% (+3.6 points)Ad Majora+3.6No Mor Stones: model 17.2% vs market 11.4% (+5.8 points)No Mor Stones+5.8Brentwood: model 14.4% vs market 19.5% (-5.1 points)Brentwood-5.1Easter Blessing: model 14.4% vs market 11.4% (+3.0 points)Easter Blessing+3.0Hephepcutdownnets: model 12.2% vs market 12.4% (-0.2 points)Hephepcutdownnets-0.2Inmate: model 8.3% vs market 9.8% (-1.4 points)Inmate-1.4Will'S Music: model 4.9% vs market 5.3% (-0.3 points)Will'S Music-0.3Centaur Central: model 4.9% vs market 7.6% (-2.7 points)Centaur Central-2.7Lucky Capo: model 3.4% vs market 4.3% (-0.8 points)Lucky Capo-0.8Whoosh: model 1.3% vs market 3.3% (-1.9 points)Whoosh-1.9

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Ad Majora18.8%15.2%+3.6
No Mor Stones17.2%11.4%+5.8
Brentwood14.4%19.5%-5.1
Easter Blessing14.4%11.4%+3.0
Hephepcutdownnets12.2%12.4%-0.2
Inmate8.3%9.8%-1.4
Will'S Music4.9%5.3%-0.3
Centaur Central4.9%7.6%-2.7
Lucky Capo3.4%4.3%-0.8
Whoosh1.3%3.3%-1.9
🌧️ Off-track: 3110469
🎯 Longshots: 21017369485
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #10, #1, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000
Win:3Peak Of Chic (2/1)
Place:5She's A Gem (6/1)
Show:4Golden Dancer (4/1)
Other contenders:1Creative Copy (6/1), 7Take Time To Dream (3/1), 8Disco Flash (10/1)
Rest of field:2Popthechampagne Ro (12/1), 6Clout Chaser (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 374518
🎯 Longshots: 38542716
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #4, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $26,000
Win:1Never Sway (7/2)
Place:4Telephone Line (5/1)
Show:2Moor Strength (2/1)
Other contenders:7Game Energy (6/1), 5Judy's Flyer (9/2)
Rest of field:6Vanaka (6/1), 3Laugh Like Lucy (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 214576
🎯 Longshots: 2145763
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #2, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000
Win:2I Feelucky Tonite (8/5)
Place:3Fromanothamutha (2/1)
Show:6Whiting Field (6/1)
Other contenders:4Traffic Master (5/1), 5Atrocious (7/2)
Rest of field:1Run Cory Run (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 235461
🎯 Longshots: 235146
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #6, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:3Doppio Espresso (6/5)
Place:6No Mo Muffins (5/1)
Show:5Sweet Distraction (4/1)
Other contenders:2Seven P R C (3/1), 4My Little Wildcat (12/1)
Rest of field:1Queen Catalina (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 325641
🎯 Longshots: 324651
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #5, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:4Trust Fund (2/1)
Place:5Guapo Again (3/1)
Show:1Eagles Cry (5/2)
Other contenders:6Nuedorf (6/1), 3Get Set (9/2)
Rest of field:2My Kid Syd (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 415362
🎯 Longshots: 412536
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #1, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $20,000
Win:8Elusive Target (5/1)
Place:4Aggregation (6/1)
Show:5Fast Bob (5/1)
Other contenders:1Praetorian Guard (3/1), 3Knox (4/1), 2Union Lights (9/2)
Rest of field:7Alejandro (10/1), 6Brave Bear (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 184532
🎯 Longshots: 81765432
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #5, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:4Mon Cher Amour (3/1)
Place:5Tiza Smokeshow (5/2)
Show:7Maureen's Empire (8/1)
Other contenders:8Avatude (5/1), 6Tiptop (9/2), 2Show Em Up (6/1)
Rest of field:1Polar Magic (12/1), 3Miss Mo Magic (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 546872
🎯 Longshots: 45176382
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #7, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:3If I Can Dream (3/1)
Place:2Highway Patrol (5/2)
Show:5Tongue Tied (5/1)
Other contenders:7Very Bad Guy (6/1), 6Walkers Beach (6/1), 1Psalmist (8/1)
Rest of field:8Passionforglory (10/1), 4Starrosso (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 235761
🎯 Longshots: 23185476
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #5, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $52,000
Win:4No Easy Days (2/1)
Place:1Gold Light (3/1)
Show:6Party At Sam's (5/1)
Other contenders:3Coach Bennett (7/2), 5Ripped (5/1)
Rest of field:2Charbonnay (5/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 413652
🎯 Longshots: 413625
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #6, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 10  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:1Brentwood (5/2)
Place:6Hephepcutdownnets (9/2)
Show:10No Mor Stones (5/1)
Other contenders:3Ad Majora (7/2), 9Inmate (6/1), 4Easter Blessing (5/1)
Rest of field:7Centaur Central (8/1), 2Will's Music (12/1), 5Whoosh (20/1), 8Lucky Capo (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1361049
🎯 Longshots: 21017369485
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #10, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 0, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5,
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ

Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the CatBoost-ordered straight exacta ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.

Race 1AI Exacta: #3 over #5 ($1 straight; box #3-#5 for cover)
Trifecta: #3 over #5, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 2AI Exacta: #2 over #1 ($1 straight; box #2-#1 for cover)
Trifecta: #4 over #1, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 3AI Exacta: #2 over #3 ($1 straight; box #2-#3 for cover)
Trifecta: #3 over #2, #4, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 4AI Exacta: #3 over #6 ($1 straight; box #3-#6 for cover)
Trifecta: #3 over #6, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 5AI Exacta: #4 over #1 ($1 straight; box #4-#1 for cover)
Trifecta: #4 over #1, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 6AI Exacta: #8 over #1 ($1 straight; box #8-#1 for cover)
Trifecta: #8 over #1, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 7AI Exacta: #4 over #5 ($1 straight; box #4-#5 for cover)
Trifecta: #4 over #5, #6, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 8AI Exacta: #2 over #3 ($1 straight; box #2-#3 for cover)
Trifecta: #5 over #2, #3, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 9AI Exacta: #4 over #1 ($1 straight; box #4-#1 for cover)
Trifecta: #4 over #1, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 10AI Exacta: #1 over #10 ($1 straight; box #1-#10 for cover)
Trifecta: #3 over #1, #10, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000
Win:3Peak Of Chic (2/1)
Place:5She's A Gem (6/1)
Show:7Take Time To Dream (3/1)
Other contenders:4Golden Dancer (4/1), 8Disco Flash (10/1), 2Popthechampagne Ro (12/1)
Rest of field:1Creative Copy (6/1), 6Clout Chaser (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 374518
🎯 Longshots: 38542716
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #7, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $26,000
Win:4Telephone Line (5/1)
Place:1Never Sway (7/2)
Show:2Moor Strength (2/1)
Other contenders:7Game Energy (6/1), 5Judy's Flyer (9/2)
Rest of field:6Vanaka (6/1), 3Laugh Like Lucy (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 214576
🎯 Longshots: 2145763
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #2, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000
Win:3Fromanothamutha (2/1)
Place:2I Feelucky Tonite (8/5)
Show:5Atrocious (7/2)
Other contenders:4Traffic Master (5/1), 6Whiting Field (6/1)
Rest of field:1Run Cory Run (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 235461
🎯 Longshots: 235146
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #5, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:3Doppio Espresso (6/5)
Place:6No Mo Muffins (5/1)
Show:2Seven P R C (3/1)
Other contenders:5Sweet Distraction (4/1), 4My Little Wildcat (12/1)
Rest of field:1Queen Catalina (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 326541
🎯 Longshots: 324651
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:6Nuedorf (6/1)
Place:4Trust Fund (2/1)
Show:1Eagles Cry (5/2)
Other contenders:5Guapo Again (3/1), 3Get Set (9/2)
Rest of field:2My Kid Syd (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 415362
🎯 Longshots: 412536
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #1, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $20,000
Win:5Fast Bob (5/1)
Place:8Elusive Target (5/1)
Show:1Praetorian Guard (3/1)
Other contenders:4Aggregation (6/1), 3Knox (4/1), 7Alejandro (10/1)
Rest of field:6Brave Bear (15/1), 2Union Lights (9/2)
🌧️ Off-track: 158342
🎯 Longshots: 81765432
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #8, #1, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:4Mon Cher Amour (3/1)
Place:5Tiza Smokeshow (5/2)
Show:6Tiptop (9/2)
Other contenders:8Avatude (5/1), 7Maureen's Empire (8/1), 2Show Em Up (6/1)
Rest of field:1Polar Magic (12/1), 3Miss Mo Magic (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 456827
🎯 Longshots: 45176382
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #6, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:2Highway Patrol (5/2)
Place:5Tongue Tied (5/1)
Show:3If I Can Dream (3/1)
Other contenders:7Very Bad Guy (6/1), 1Psalmist (8/1), 6Walkers Beach (6/1)
Rest of field:8Passionforglory (10/1), 4Starrosso (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 235761
🎯 Longshots: 23185476
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #3, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $52,000
Win:1Gold Light (3/1)
Place:6Party At Sam's (5/1)
Show:4No Easy Days (2/1)
Other contenders:3Coach Bennett (7/2), 2Charbonnay (5/1)
Rest of field:5Ripped (5/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 143625
🎯 Longshots: 413625
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #4, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 10  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:1Brentwood (5/2)
Place:3Ad Majora (7/2)
Show:10No Mor Stones (5/1)
Other contenders:9Inmate (6/1), 6Hephepcutdownnets (9/2), 4Easter Blessing (5/1)
Rest of field:7Centaur Central (8/1), 2Will's Music (12/1), 8Lucky Capo (15/1), 5Whoosh (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1310649
🎯 Longshots: 21017369485
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #10, #9  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 0, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000
Win:3Peak Of Chic (2/1)
Place:5She's A Gem (6/1)
Show:4Golden Dancer (4/1)
Other contenders:1Creative Copy (6/1), 7Take Time To Dream (3/1), 8Disco Flash (10/1)
Rest of field:2Popthechampagne Ro (12/1), 6Clout Chaser (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 374518
🎯 Longshots: 38542716
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #4, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $26,000
Win:4Telephone Line (5/1)
Place:1Never Sway (7/2)
Show:2Moor Strength (2/1)
Other contenders:5Judy's Flyer (9/2), 7Game Energy (6/1)
Rest of field:6Vanaka (6/1), 3Laugh Like Lucy (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 214576
🎯 Longshots: 2145763
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000
Win:3Fromanothamutha (2/1)
Place:2I Feelucky Tonite (8/5)
Show:4Traffic Master (5/1)
Other contenders:5Atrocious (7/2), 6Whiting Field (6/1)
Rest of field:1Run Cory Run (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 235461
🎯 Longshots: 235146
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #4, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:3Doppio Espresso (6/5)
Place:6No Mo Muffins (5/1)
Show:2Seven P R C (3/1)
Other contenders:5Sweet Distraction (4/1), 4My Little Wildcat (12/1)
Rest of field:1Queen Catalina (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 326541
🎯 Longshots: 324651
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:4Trust Fund (2/1)
Place:1Eagles Cry (5/2)
Show:6Nuedorf (6/1)
Other contenders:5Guapo Again (3/1), 3Get Set (9/2)
Rest of field:2My Kid Syd (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 415362
🎯 Longshots: 412536
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #6, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $20,000
Win:8Elusive Target (5/1)
Place:1Praetorian Guard (3/1)
Show:5Fast Bob (5/1)
Other contenders:4Aggregation (6/1), 3Knox (4/1), 2Union Lights (9/2)
Rest of field:7Alejandro (10/1), 6Brave Bear (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 183542
🎯 Longshots: 81765432
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #1, #5, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:4Mon Cher Amour (3/1)
Place:5Tiza Smokeshow (5/2)
Show:6Tiptop (9/2)
Other contenders:8Avatude (5/1), 7Maureen's Empire (8/1), 2Show Em Up (6/1)
Rest of field:3Miss Mo Magic (8/1), 1Polar Magic (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 546827
🎯 Longshots: 45176382
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #6, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:5Tongue Tied (5/1)
Place:2Highway Patrol (5/2)
Show:3If I Can Dream (3/1)
Other contenders:7Very Bad Guy (6/1), 1Psalmist (8/1), 6Walkers Beach (6/1)
Rest of field:8Passionforglory (10/1), 4Starrosso (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 235761
🎯 Longshots: 23185476
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #2, #3, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $52,000
Win:4No Easy Days (2/1)
Place:1Gold Light (3/1)
Show:3Coach Bennett (7/2)
Other contenders:6Party At Sam's (5/1), 2Charbonnay (5/1)
Rest of field:5Ripped (5/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 413625
🎯 Longshots: 413625
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 10  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000
Win:3Ad Majora (7/2)
Place:1Brentwood (5/2)
Show:10No Mor Stones (5/1)
Other contenders:6Hephepcutdownnets (9/2), 4Easter Blessing (5/1), 7Centaur Central (8/1)
Rest of field:9Inmate (6/1), 2Will's Music (12/1), 8Lucky Capo (15/1), 5Whoosh (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 1361049
🎯 Longshots: 21017369485
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #10, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 0, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1,
AI Multi-Race Tickets – Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ

Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.

Pick 3 R1-3R1: #3,#4,#1 (62%) / R2: #1,#4,#2 (60%) / R3: #3,#2,#5 (75%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 28%
Pick 3 R2-4R2: #1,#4,#2 (60%) / R3: #3,#2,#5 (75%) / R4: #3,#6 (72%)
$18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 32%
Pick 3 R3-5R3: #3,#2,#5 (75%) / R4: #3,#6 (72%) / R5: #4,#1,#5 (65%)
$18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 35%
Pick 3 R4-6R4: #3,#6 (72%) / R5: #4,#1,#5 (65%) / R6: #8,#4,#1 (59%)
$18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 27%
Pick 4 R2-5R2: #1,#4,#2 (60%) / R3: #3,#2,#5 (75%) / R4: #3,#6 (72%) / R5: #4,#1,#5 (65%)
$54 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 21%
Pick 4 R3-6R3: #3,#2,#5 (75%) / R4: #3,#6 (72%) / R5: #4,#1,#5 (65%) / R6: #8,#4,#1 (59%)
$54 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 21%
Index – Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
AD MAJORAAGGREGATIONALEJANDROATROCIOUSAVATUDE
BRENTWOODCENTAUR CENTRALCHARBONNAYCLOUT CHASERCOACH BENNETT
DISCO FLASHDOPPIO ESPRESSOEAGLES CRYEASTER BLESSINGELUSIVE TARGET
FROMANOTHAMUTHAGAME ENERGYGET SETGOLD LIGHTGOLDEN DANCER
HEPHEPCUTDOWNNETSHIGHWAY PATROLI FEELUCKY TONITEIF I CAN DREAMINMATE
KNOXLAUGH LIKE LUCYLUCKY CAPOMAUREEN'S EMPIREMISS MO MAGIC
MOOR STRENGTHMY KID SYDMY LITTLE WILDCATNEVER SWAYNO EASY DAYS
NO MOR STONESNUEDORFPARTY AT SAM'SPASSIONFORGLORYPEAK OF CHIC
POPTHECHAMPAGNE ROPRAETORIAN GUARDPSALMISTQUEEN CATALINARIPPED
SEVEN P R CSHE'S A GEMSHOW EM UPSTARROSSOSWEET DISTRACTION
TELEPHONE LINETIPTOPTIZA SMOKESHOWTONGUE TIEDTRAFFIC MASTER
UNION LIGHTSVANAKAVERY BAD GUYWALKERS BEACHWHITING FIELD
WILL'S MUSIC

 


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