Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Note: Sometimes, a pick may appear twice; in such cases, we expect the horse to finish in one of the two predicted positions.
Race 1 – Claiming, 5 Furlongs Dirt, 10:45 PM
Win: #5 Hittin My Stride (83% confidence)
Place: #4 Destiny’s Grace (67% confidence)🥇
Show: #2 Wings Of A Sparrow (50% confidence)
Alternative: #6 (33% confidence)
Strong consensus on Hittin My Stride who appears as the top selection for most handicappers. The horse shows consistent speed figures and is dropping in class. Destiny’s Grace offers solid value as a secondary option with good recent workouts. Wings Of A Sparrow could be a live longshot in exotic wagers given the pace scenario.
Race 2 – Allowance, 1 Mile Dirt, 11:15 PM, $46,000
Win: #4 Warrior’s Justice (100% confidence)
Place: #2 Miss Dealority (83% confidence)
Show: #3 Ground Control (67% confidence)🥈
Alternative: #6 Island Gold (50% confidence)🥇
Warrior’s Justice is the unanimous top choice with a strong closing kick and excellent trainer stats. Miss Dealority has early speed and should press the pace. Ground Control offers value as a tactical runner who can sit in a good stalking position. The race sets up as a competitive allowance with multiple speed horses likely to create a fast pace that could favor closers.
Race 3 – Maiden Special Weight, 11:43 PM WIN + EXACTA
Win: #6 Scar Ship (80% confidence)🥇
Place: #9 Dr. Dean (60% confidence)🥈
Show: #2 He’s Exaggerating (80% confidence)
Alternative: #5 All Lake (40% confidence)🥉
Scar Ship is heavily favored with strong workouts and connections that excel with first-time starters. Dr. Dean shows promise with improving speed figures. He’s Exaggerating has tactical speed and could benefit from a contested pace up front. This maiden race features several first-time starters with intriguing breeding, making exacta and trifecta wheels with the top selections potentially profitable.
Race 4 – Claiming, 1 Mile Dirt, 12:11 AM WIN + BOXED TRIFECTA
Win: #3 Miss Target (86% confidence)
Place: #1 Perceptive (71% confidence)🥇
Show: #5 Kerrigan’s Touch (86% confidence)🥉
Alternative: #4 Beulah K (43% confidence)🥈
Miss Target is the strong consensus choice with a tactical advantage and solid closing ability. Perceptive has shown consistency in recent starts and should be a factor. Kerrigan’s Touch brings early speed that could hold if the pace is moderate. The claiming level suggests a competitive field where class droppers and form horses will have the advantage.
Race 5 – Allowance, 7 Furlongs Dirt, 12:39 AM
Win: #8 Pasila (57% confidence)
Place: #2 Basile (71% confidence)
Show: #6 Glistening Gal (71% confidence)🥈
Alternative: #7 Runtolive (43% confidence)
This race features a deep and competitive field with multiple viable contenders. Pasila has tactical speed and strong recent form. Basile appears as a value play with improving figures. Glistening Gal brings consistent speed. The distance at seven furlongs should favor horses with tactical speed and a strong closing kick. Consider boxing the top four in exactas and trifectas given the competitive nature of this allowance race.
Race 6 – 1:04 AM
Win: #10 Walkinaftermidnite (60% confidence)
Place: #7 Easy For Me (60% confidence)
Show: #4 Everloving (40% confidence)🥇
Alternative: #2 Signora Vittoria (40% confidence)
Walkinaftermidnite emerges as a solid choice with strong pace-pressing ability. Easy For Me shows consistency and tactical versatility. Everloving could be the favorite but faces a competitive field. The wide-open nature of this race suggests using multiple horses in exotic wagers, particularly trifecta and superfecta combinations.
Race 7 – Claiming, 6.5 Furlongs Dirt, 1:32 AM
Win: #6 Big Tap Baby (67% confidence)
Place: #5 Game And Gormley (67% confidence)
Show: #8 Pitch And Run (40% confidence)🥉
Alternative: #1 Dewclaw (40% confidence)🥈
Big Tap Baby and Game And Gormley appear as the two main contenders with strong recent efforts. The sprint distance favors horses with early speed and tactical positioning. Pitch And Run could benefit from a fast pace scenario. Consider using these top selections in exacta boxes and including deeper prices like Dewclaw and Native Star in trifecta wheels for value.
Race 8 – Claiming, 6.5 Furlongs Dirt, 2:00 AM
Win: #1 American Xperiment (67% confidence)
Place: #6 Hap Hot (50% confidence)🥉
Show: #4 American Know How (67% confidence)🥇
Alternative: #8 Perfect Edge (33% confidence)
American Xperiment shows the best combination of speed and class in this field. Hap Hot brings tactical speed and trainer consistency. American Know How provides solid value as a pace-presser. The competitive claiming level suggests multiple speed horses will create a contested pace that could set up perfectly for closers and stalkers. Use the top four in rolling exotic wagers.
Race 9 – Claiming, 7 Furlongs Dirt, 2:28 AM
Win: #4 The Monopoly Man (67% confidence)🥉
Place: #1 Concentration (67% confidence)
Show: #3 Max Is G Money (50% confidence)🥇
Alternative: #2 Angelic Knight (40% confidence)
The Monopoly Man emerges as a strong consensus selection with improving speed figures and favorable pace scenario. Concentration is the Pick of the Day selection with excellent value at 6/1 odds. Max Is G Money brings tactical speed and class. This competitive claiming race offers excellent exotic wagering opportunities, particularly in trifectas and superfectas using the top four selections in combination with deeper longshots.
Recommended Exotic Bets and Value Plays
Early Pick 4 (Races 3-6)
The Pick Pony analysts recommend keying Scar Ship in Race 3 with multiple horses in the competitive Races 4, 5, and 6. Suggested combination: 3-4-6 / 2-6-9 / 3-5 / 2-6-8 for $27 investment.
Late Pick 4 (Races 6-9)
Focus on the competitive late races with this suggested combination: 4-9 / 5-6-8 / 1-6 / 1-2-4 for $18 investment.
Best Bet of the Card
Race 9, #1 Concentration at 6/1 offers excellent value as a Pick of the Day selection with strong handicapper consensus.
Value Plays
Race 1: Hittin My Stride at 2/1 represents solid value given the strong consensus.
Race 2: Warrior’s Justice at 8/5 is the unanimous top choice with excellent winning percentage.
Race 4: Miss Target at 2/1 shows strong consensus and tactical advantage.
Race 5: Basile at 8/1 offers exceptional value with improving form and multiple handicapper support.
Race 9: Concentration at 6/1 is the standout value play of the evening.
Suggested Superfecta Strategy
Race 2: Box 2-3-4-6 for maximum coverage in competitive allowance.
Race 4: Key 3 on top with 1-4-5 for solid value combination.
Race 5: Use 2-6-7-8 in various combinations given the competitive nature.
Race 9: Box 1-2-3-4 for excellent value opportunity.
Rolling Exotic Recommendation
Consider a rolling double starting with Race 4 Miss Target into Race 5 where multiple options exist, then continuing through the competitive late races. The Pick Pony analysts suggest focusing bankroll on Races 4-9 where the strongest handicapping consensus exists and value opportunities are most apparent.
