Pick Pony takes pride in providing the most accurate expert picks available today. Pick Pony Expert Picks are carefully selected by our team of analysts based on analytics from our advanced Past Performance Sheets and Racing Forms. For potential longshot selections, check out Pick Pony’s AI Picks.
Note: Sometimes, a pick may appear twice; in such cases, we expect the horse to finish in one of the two predicted positions.
Race 1 – Claiming – 8F Dirt – Purse $9,500 – 7:00 PM
Win: 7 Lady Aethelflaed (43% confidence)
Place: 6 Jess’s Gypsy Girl (57% confidence)Show: 8 Carlotuk (29% confidence)Alternative: 2 Tituba (57% confidence)🥉
Race 2 – Claiming – 995Y Dirt – Purse $8,500 – 7:25 PM
Win: 9 Vacation Secret (86% confidence)🥈
Place: 5 S S Flamingo (71% confidence)Show: 8 Danzing Chick (57% confidence)Alternative: 1 Secret Seduction (29% confidence)
Race 3 – Starter Optional Claiming – 8F Dirt – 7:50 PM WINWin: 5 Sir Maximus (67% confidence)Place: 3 Swiss Guard (83% confidence)🥇
Show: 7 Jimmy The Hat (50% confidence)
Alternative: 4 Bartulia (50% confidence)
Race 4 – Claiming – 8F Dirt – 8:15 PM
Win: 3 Bernie Goes Boom (71% confidence)🥈
Place: 1 Cold Plunge (43% confidence)
Show: 5 Lead Foot (29% confidence)🥉Alternative: 12 Third City (29% confidence)
Race 5 – Maiden Claiming – 8F Dirt – Purse $8,000 – 8:40 PMWin: 2 My Angel Does (50% confidence)Place: 3 Our American Girl (50% confidence)🥉
Show: 9 Barbie B (38% confidence)
Alternative: 4 Starship Legacy (50% confidence)
Race 6 – Claiming – 8F Dirt – 9:05 PM
Win: 4 Risk Profile (71% confidence)
Place: 1 Soupersilverdollar (71% confidence)🥉
Show: 8 Yardman (43% confidence)
Alternative: 2 R Cardinal Prince (29% confidence)🥈
Race 7 – Allowance – 1214Y Dirt – 9:30 PM
Win: 1 Hey Cue (75% confidence)
Place: 4 Don Corleone (29% confidence)
Show: 9 El Ondeado (57% confidence)
Alternative: 6 Sweet La Crema (38% confidence)🥇
Race 8 – Claiming – 1323Y Dirt – 9:55 PM WIN
Win: 1 Maci’s World (50% confidence)🥇
Place: 5 Cocktail Cutie (29% confidence)
Show: 7 Strawberry Sky (29% confidence)🥈
Alternative: 4 Sharp Attack (38% confidence)🥉
Exotic Betting Strategies and Value Plays
Early Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3): Key 6 Jess’s Gypsy Girl and 7 Lady Aethelflaed in Race 1, with 9 Vacation Secret in Race 2, and 3 Swiss Guard with 5 Sir Maximus in Race 3. The strong consensus in Race 2 provides an anchor point.
Late Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8): Race 5 remains wide open as a maiden event, making it ideal to spread. Use 2, 3, 9 in Race 5, then single 4 Risk Profile in Race 6, single 1 Hey Cue in Race 7, and spread 1, 4, 5 in Race 8.
Race 2 Exacta Box: The 5-9 combination shows overwhelming support and represents the most reliable exacta opportunity of the evening. Box these two for maximum coverage.
Race 3 Trifecta: Key 3 Swiss Guard and 5 Sir Maximus on top with 4, 6, 7 underneath. The strong consensus on the top two combined with multiple viable alternatives creates trifecta value.
Race 6 Daily Double: Connect Race 6 into Race 7 using 1-4 in Race 6 with 1 Hey Cue in Race 7. This bridges the strongest consensus races of the late card.
Race 7 Win Bet Value: Hey Cue at 5-2 morning line represents excellent value given the 75% handicapper consensus. This allowance race features the highest confidence pick of the entire card.
Superfecta Opportunity in Race 4: With Bernie Goes Boom as a strong favorite but multiple viable alternatives, structure a superfecta using 3 on top, 1-5-12 for second, all for third and fourth positions.
Longshot Special Race 1: Consider 2 Tituba as an each-way play at 20-1. The seven-week layoff concerns some handicappers, but strong prior Mountaineer form suggests upset potential.
Pick Pony analysts recommend focusing betting capital on Races 2, 3, 6, and 7 where handicapper consensus exceeds 70% confidence. The maiden claiming Race 5 and wide-open Race 8 present higher risk but also exotic bet opportunities when using multiple horses.
