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Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Woodbine, October 30, 2026

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AI Morning Update — overnight changes applied

Our AI picks are computed the night before from the official past performances. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes — the same information the human experts have when they publish — and re-rank any affected race. In maiden races, where late money has the best record, Algo 2's morning pick follows the live betting favourite once the pool is open. Changes from last night's published picks are listed here.

TrackRaceModelNew Top PickWhy
WOX4Model Algo 1#5 – Gelato1 scratch(es)
WOX4Model Algo 2 (Ensemble)#5 – Gelato1 scratch(es)
WOX4Model Algo 3 (Win Prob)#5 – Gelato1 scratch(es)
WOX4Model Weight set 2#7 – No Cape1 scratch(es)
WOX4Model Weight set 3#5 – Gelato1 scratch(es)

Plays voided by scratches — these published value plays are officially scratched; win bets on them are refunds, so strike them from your card:

Where the experts back our strongest pick today

In 5 of today's 9 races, the published handicappers landed on the same horse as Algo 2, our best-performing model. Over the last 90 days (3,707 graded races), the races where they agreed won 38.6% of the time against 30.3% where they did not.

Today's agreement races — WO 2, 3, 5, 7, 9.

Which horse the two agree on is part of Algo 2, included with Insider and above. The race numbers above are free to everyone: if you are playing these races, you now know the experts and our strongest model are pointing the same way.


Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!

 

How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) is our strongest pick source: on our weekly scoreboard it is the only one that picks winners at a higher rate than the morning-line favourite. Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) is a different kind of tool: it puts a calibrated win chance and a fair price on every horse, which is what the Kelly Edge Plays and the Live Overlays board are built on. As a win pick it currently trails Algo 2 and the morning-line favourite, so use it to price and size a bet rather than to choose a horse over Algo 2. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets (every race where one of our AI algorithms agrees with the expert consensus); Insider adds Algo 2 and the sharper Best Bets list, only the races where Algo 2 agrees with the experts; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.

How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.

Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $29,600
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:1Field Hockey (2/1)
Place:4Big Lew (5/2)
Show:3Autobahn Ace (3/1)
Other contenders:6Scottie's Barn (6/1), 2Bank On Big Winner (8/1)
Rest of field:5Smarter Still (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 143625
🎯 Longshots: 134256
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  1 1/16 Miles · Inner Turf · Claiming · Purse $42,100
◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:2Holiday With Amy (2/1)
Place:3O Wow (3/1)
Show:5Lady On The Nile (7/2)
Other contenders:8Magic Modie (9/2), 7Aussie Hyper (8/1), 6I'm Tenacious (6/1)
Rest of field:4Foxy Diva (8/1), 1Madam Gwen (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 235867
🎯 Longshots: 23714586
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #5, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $71,700
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:6Winning Agenda (2/1)
Place:4Elissa's Macho (9/5)
Show:3Once Upon A Kiss (7/2)
Other contenders:1Lita Marie (5/1), 5Really Big Show (10/1)
Rest of field:2Pat's Holiday (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 463152
🎯 Longshots: 463512
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #3, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $33,700
◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:1Audi's World (9/5)
Place:5Gelato (4/1)
Show:7No Cape (5/2)
Other contenders:8Kairos Moment (6/1), 6Found Money (12/1), 2Don't Say A Word (12/1)
Rest of field:3Metro King (20/1), 4Almasty Five (20/1), 9Pelee Island (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 157862
🎯 Longshots: 156728349
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #7, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $35,400
◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:8Runner Eyes (1/1)
Place:4Balboni's Crew (3/1)
Show:5Waheela (6/1)
Other contenders:6You're So Lucky (8/1), 2Turbo Charged (15/1), 3Border Fox (10/1)
Rest of field:7Celestial Heart (12/1), 1Tanist (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 845632
🎯 Longshots: 84236175
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #5, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1 1/16 Miles · Inner Turf · Claiming · Purse $42,100
★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best.
◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:1Lasting Silence (5/2)
Place:6Chairman Bob (2/1)
Show:7Legal Catch (3/1)
Other contenders:5Cornwall (6/1), 3Quiet Intent (8/1), 8Proud Ronin (8/1)
Rest of field:2Accelerando (10/1), 4True Shot (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 167538
🎯 Longshots: 12368754
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #7, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $71,700
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:4Prime Edge (2/1)
Place:3Can't Tie Me Down (3/1)
Show:5Proud Painter (9/2)
Other contenders:6Runaway Rocket (5/2), 1Connect The Empire (6/1)
Rest of field:2Tranquillo (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 436512
🎯 Longshots: 436251
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #5, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $27,800
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:3Sunrise Drive (5/2)
Place:7Crucial Taunt (3/1)
Show:10Ninja Star (7/2)
Other contenders:6Echo With Laughter (6/1), 2Military Force (8/1), 8Volcanic (10/1)
Rest of field:5Banker's Hours (20/1), 4Alley Oop Johnny (15/1), 9Armino (20/1), 1Happy Quad (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3710628
🎯 Longshots: 38267105419
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #7, #10, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $28,300
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:5Lake Nasser (5/2)
Place:11Prime Rate (3/1)
Show:4Sanhedrin (6/1)
Other contenders:12Friendly (8/1), 2Ashuka (10/1), 3Gran Ghost (12/1), 1Back Street Driver (12/1)
Rest of field:8Woodglen Court (20/1), 7Twenty Ovas (15/1), 9A Real War Story (15/1), 10High Beam (15/1), 6Whiskytangodisco (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 51141223
🎯 Longshots: 122111534108976
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #11, #4, #12  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $29,600
Win:1Field Hockey (2/1) 29% · fair 5-2
Place:4Big Lew (5/2) 23% · fair 7-2
Show:3Autobahn Ace (3/1) 21% · fair 7-2
Other contenders:2Bank On Big Winner (8/1) 9% · fair 19-2, 5Smarter Still (8/1) 9% · fair 21-2
Rest of field:6Scottie's Barn (6/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -48%
Race 1 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Field Hockey — 29.2% win probability, morning line 2/1Field Hockey29.2% ◀Big Lew — 23.4% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Big Lew23.4%Autobahn Ace — 21.3% win probability, morning line 3/1Autobahn Ace21.3%Bank On Big Winner — 9.4% win probability, morning line 8/1Bank On Big Winner9.4%Smarter Still — 8.7% win probability, morning line 8/1Smarter Still8.7%Scottie'S Barn — 8.0% win probability, morning line 6/1Scottie'S Barn8.0%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Field Hockey29.2%2/1
Big Lew23.4%2.5/1
Autobahn Ace21.3%3/1
Bank On Big Winner9.4%8/1
Smarter Still8.7%8/1
Scottie'S Barn8.0%6/1
🌧️ Off-track: 143625
🎯 Longshots: 134256
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #3, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  1 1/16 Miles · Inner Turf · Claiming · Purse $42,100
Win:2Holiday With Amy (2/1) 23% · fair 7-2 underlay -40%
Place:3O Wow (3/1) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -41%
Show:5Lady On The Nile (7/2) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -49%
Other contenders:7Aussie Hyper (8/1) 11% · fair 17-2, 6I'm Tenacious (6/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -35%, 8Magic Modie (9/2) 10% · fair 19-2 underlay -52%
Rest of field:4Foxy Diva (8/1) 9% · fair 10-1, 1Madam Gwen (10/1) 9% · fair 21-2
Race 2 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Holiday With Amy — 23.1% win probability, morning line 2/1Holiday With Amy23.1% ◀O Wow — 16.5% win probability, morning line 3/1O Wow16.5%Lady On The Nile — 12.8% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Lady On The Nile12.8%Aussie Hyper — 10.5% win probability, morning line 8/1Aussie Hyper10.5%I'M Tenacious — 9.8% win probability, morning line 6/1I'M Tenacious9.8%Magic Modie — 9.6% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Magic Modie9.6%Foxy Diva — 9.0% win probability, morning line 8/1Foxy Diva9.0%Madam Gwen — 8.7% win probability, morning line 10/1Madam Gwen8.7%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Holiday With Amy23.1%2/1
O Wow16.5%3/1
Lady On The Nile12.8%3.5/1
Aussie Hyper10.5%8/1
I'M Tenacious9.8%6/1
Magic Modie9.6%4.5/1
Foxy Diva9.0%8/1
Madam Gwen8.7%10/1
🌧️ Off-track: 235867
🎯 Longshots: 23714586
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #5, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $71,700
Win:6Winning Agenda (2/1) 35% · fair 2-1
Place:4Elissa's Macho (9/5) 33% · fair 2-1
Show:3Once Upon A Kiss (7/2) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -37%
Other contenders:1Lita Marie (5/1) 9% · fair 19-2 underlay -49%, 5Really Big Show (10/1) 5% · fair 20-1 underlay -50%
Rest of field:2Pat's Holiday (20/1) 2% · fair 47-1 underlay -57%
Race 3 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Winning Agenda — 35.5% win probability, morning line 2/1Winning Agenda35.5% ◀Elissa'S Macho — 33.1% win probability, morning line 1.8/1Elissa'S Macho33.1%Once Upon A Kiss — 15.2% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Once Upon A Kiss15.2%Lita Marie — 9.3% win probability, morning line 5/1Lita Marie9.3%Really Big Show — 4.7% win probability, morning line 10/1Really Big Show4.7%Pat'S Holiday — 2.1% win probability, morning line 20/1Pat'S Holiday2.1%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Winning Agenda35.5%2/1
Elissa'S Macho33.1%1.8/1
Once Upon A Kiss15.2%3.5/1
Lita Marie9.3%5/1
Really Big Show4.7%10/1
Pat'S Holiday2.1%20/1
Race 3 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherWinning Agenda: model 35.5% vs market 27.4% (+8.1 points)Winning Agenda+8.1Elissa'S Macho: model 33.1% vs market 29.3% (+3.8 points)Elissa'S Macho+3.8Once Upon A Kiss: model 15.2% vs market 18.2% (-3.0 points)Once Upon A Kiss-3.0Lita Marie: model 9.3% vs market 13.7% (-4.4 points)Lita Marie-4.4Really Big Show: model 4.7% vs market 7.5% (-2.7 points)Really Big Show-2.7Pat'S Holiday: model 2.1% vs market 3.9% (-1.8 points)Pat'S Holiday-1.8

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Winning Agenda35.5%27.4%+8.1
Elissa'S Macho33.1%29.3%+3.8
Once Upon A Kiss15.2%18.2%-3.0
Lita Marie9.3%13.7%-4.4
Really Big Show4.7%7.5%-2.7
Pat'S Holiday2.1%3.9%-1.8
🌧️ Off-track: 643152
🎯 Longshots: 463512
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #3, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $33,700
Win:1Audi's World (9/5) 37% · fair 3-2
Place:5Gelato (4/1) 22% · fair 7-2
Show:8Kairos Moment (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2
Other contenders:7No Cape (5/2) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -68%, 6Found Money (12/1) 7% · fair 13-1, 2Don't Say A Word (12/1) 4% · fair 45-2 underlay -47%
Rest of field:3Metro King (20/1) 3% · fair 77-2 underlay -48%, 9Pelee Island (20/1) 2% · fair 52-1 underlay -62%, 4Almasty Five (20/1) 1% · fair 67-1 underlay -70%
Race 4 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Audi'S World — 37.3% win probability, morning line 1.8/1Audi'S World37.3% ◀Gelato — 22.3% win probability, morning line 4/1Gelato22.3%Kairos Moment — 11.7% win probability, morning line 6/1Kairos Moment11.7%No Cape — 11.4% win probability, morning line 2.5/1No Cape11.4%Found Money — 7.1% win probability, morning line 12/1Found Money7.1%Don'T Say A Word — 4.2% win probability, morning line 12/1Don'T Say A Word4.2%Metro King — 2.5% win probability, morning line 20/1Metro King2.5%Pelee Island — 1.9% win probability, morning line 20/1Pelee Island1.9%Almasty Five — 1.5% win probability, morning line 20/1Almasty Five1.5%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Audi'S World37.3%1.8/1
Gelato22.3%4/1
Kairos Moment11.7%6/1
No Cape11.4%2.5/1
Found Money7.1%12/1
Don'T Say A Word4.2%12/1
Metro King2.5%20/1
Pelee Island1.9%20/1
Almasty Five1.5%20/1
Race 4 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherAudi'S World: model 37.3% vs market 27.8% (+9.5 points)Audi'S World+9.5Gelato: model 22.3% vs market 15.6% (+6.7 points)Gelato+6.7Kairos Moment: model 11.7% vs market 11.1% (+0.6 points)Kairos Moment+0.6No Cape: model 11.4% vs market 22.3% (-10.9 points)No Cape-10.9Found Money: model 7.1% vs market 6.0% (+1.1 points)Found Money+1.1Don'T Say A Word: model 4.2% vs market 6.0% (-1.8 points)Don'T Say A Word-1.8Metro King: model 2.5% vs market 3.7% (-1.2 points)Metro King-1.2Pelee Island: model 1.9% vs market 3.7% (-1.8 points)Pelee Island-1.8Almasty Five: model 1.5% vs market 3.7% (-2.2 points)Almasty Five-2.2

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Audi'S World37.3%27.8%+9.5
Gelato22.3%15.6%+6.7
Kairos Moment11.7%11.1%+0.6
No Cape11.4%22.3%-10.9
Found Money7.1%6.0%+1.1
Don'T Say A Word4.2%6.0%-1.8
Metro King2.5%3.7%-1.2
Pelee Island1.9%3.7%-1.8
Almasty Five1.5%3.7%-2.2
🌧️ Off-track: 157862
🎯 Longshots: 156728349
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #8, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $35,400
Win:8Runner Eyes (1/1) 38% · fair 3-2 underlay -39%
Place:4Balboni's Crew (3/1) 24% · fair 3-1
Show:5Waheela (6/1) 11% · fair 8-1
Other contenders:6You're So Lucky (8/1) 9% · fair 10-1, 3Border Fox (10/1) 6% · fair 33-2 underlay -39%, 2Turbo Charged (15/1) 5% · fair 35-2
Rest of field:7Celestial Heart (12/1) 4% · fair 22-1 underlay -46%, 1Tanist (20/1) 3% · fair 73-2 underlay -45%
Race 5 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Runner Eyes — 37.9% win probability, morning line 1/1Runner Eyes37.9% ◀Balboni'S Crew — 23.5% win probability, morning line 3/1Balboni'S Crew23.5%Waheela — 11.2% win probability, morning line 6/1Waheela11.2%You'Re So Lucky — 9.1% win probability, morning line 8/1You'Re So Lucky9.1%Border Fox — 5.8% win probability, morning line 10/1Border Fox5.8%Turbo Charged — 5.4% win probability, morning line 15/1Turbo Charged5.4%Celestial Heart — 4.3% win probability, morning line 12/1Celestial Heart4.3%Tanist — 2.7% win probability, morning line 20/1Tanist2.7%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Runner Eyes37.9%1/1
Balboni'S Crew23.5%3/1
Waheela11.2%6/1
You'Re So Lucky9.1%8/1
Border Fox5.8%10/1
Turbo Charged5.4%15/1
Celestial Heart4.3%12/1
Tanist2.7%20/1
Race 5 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherRunner Eyes: model 37.9% vs market 39.0% (-1.1 points)Runner Eyes-1.1Balboni'S Crew: model 23.5% vs market 19.5% (+4.0 points)Balboni'S Crew+4.0Waheela: model 11.2% vs market 11.1% (+0.1 points)Waheela+0.1You'Re So Lucky: model 9.1% vs market 8.7% (+0.5 points)You'Re So Lucky+0.5Border Fox: model 5.8% vs market 7.1% (-1.3 points)Border Fox-1.3Turbo Charged: model 5.4% vs market 4.9% (+0.6 points)Turbo Charged+0.6Celestial Heart: model 4.3% vs market 6.0% (-1.7 points)Celestial Heart-1.7Tanist: model 2.7% vs market 3.7% (-1.1 points)Tanist-1.1

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Runner Eyes37.9%39.0%-1.1
Balboni'S Crew23.5%19.5%+4.0
Waheela11.2%11.1%+0.1
You'Re So Lucky9.1%8.7%+0.5
Border Fox5.8%7.1%-1.3
Turbo Charged5.4%4.9%+0.6
Celestial Heart4.3%6.0%-1.7
Tanist2.7%3.7%-1.1
🌧️ Off-track: 845637
🎯 Longshots: 84236175
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #5, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1 1/16 Miles · Inner Turf · Claiming · Purse $42,100
Win:1Lasting Silence (5/2) 32% · fair 2-1
Place:6Chairman Bob (2/1) 23% · fair 7-2 underlay -41%
Show:7Legal Catch (3/1) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -50%
Other contenders:5Cornwall (6/1) 9% · fair 10-1 underlay -38%, 3Quiet Intent (8/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -32%, 2Accelerando (10/1) 7% · fair 29-2 underlay -30%
Rest of field:8Proud Ronin (8/1) 6% · fair 16-1 underlay -51%, 4True Shot (20/1) 2% · fair 109-2 underlay -63%
Race 6 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Lasting Silence — 31.5% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Lasting Silence31.5% ◀Chairman Bob — 22.8% win probability, morning line 2/1Chairman Bob22.8%Legal Catch — 14.4% win probability, morning line 3/1Legal Catch14.4%Cornwall — 9.3% win probability, morning line 6/1Cornwall9.3%Quiet Intent — 7.9% win probability, morning line 8/1Quiet Intent7.9%Accelerando — 6.5% win probability, morning line 10/1Accelerando6.5%Proud Ronin — 5.8% win probability, morning line 8/1Proud Ronin5.8%True Shot — 1.8% win probability, morning line 20/1True Shot1.8%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Lasting Silence31.5%2.5/1
Chairman Bob22.8%2/1
Legal Catch14.4%3/1
Cornwall9.3%6/1
Quiet Intent7.9%8/1
Accelerando6.5%10/1
Proud Ronin5.8%8/1
True Shot1.8%20/1
Race 6 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherLasting Silence: model 31.5% vs market 20.8% (+10.7 points)Lasting Silence+10.7Chairman Bob: model 22.8% vs market 24.3% (-1.5 points)Chairman Bob-1.5Legal Catch: model 14.4% vs market 18.2% (-3.8 points)Legal Catch-3.8Cornwall: model 9.3% vs market 10.4% (-1.1 points)Cornwall-1.1Quiet Intent: model 7.9% vs market 8.1% (-0.2 points)Quiet Intent-0.2Accelerando: model 6.5% vs market 6.6% (-0.1 points)Accelerando-0.1Proud Ronin: model 5.8% vs market 8.1% (-2.3 points)Proud Ronin-2.3True Shot: model 1.8% vs market 3.5% (-1.7 points)True Shot-1.7

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Lasting Silence31.5%20.8%+10.7
Chairman Bob22.8%24.3%-1.5
Legal Catch14.4%18.2%-3.8
Cornwall9.3%10.4%-1.1
Quiet Intent7.9%8.1%-0.2
Accelerando6.5%6.6%-0.1
Proud Ronin5.8%8.1%-2.3
True Shot1.8%3.5%-1.7
🌧️ Off-track: 167538
🎯 Longshots: 12368754
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #7, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $71,700
Win:4Prime Edge (2/1) 32% · fair 2-1
Place:3Can't Tie Me Down (3/1) 22% · fair 7-2
Show:5Proud Painter (9/2) 18% · fair 9-2
Other contenders:1Connect The Empire (6/1) 11% · fair 8-1, 6Runaway Rocket (5/2) 10% · fair 17-2 underlay -71%
Rest of field:2Tranquillo (10/1) 6% · fair 29-2 underlay -32%
Race 7 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Prime Edge — 31.8% win probability, morning line 2/1Prime Edge31.8% ◀Can'T Tie Me Down — 22.4% win probability, morning line 3/1Can'T Tie Me Down22.4%Proud Painter — 17.6% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Proud Painter17.6%Connect The Empire — 11.4% win probability, morning line 6/1Connect The Empire11.4%Runaway Rocket — 10.4% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Runaway Rocket10.4%Tranquillo — 6.4% win probability, morning line 10/1Tranquillo6.4%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Prime Edge31.8%2/1
Can'T Tie Me Down22.4%3/1
Proud Painter17.6%4.5/1
Connect The Empire11.4%6/1
Runaway Rocket10.4%2.5/1
Tranquillo6.4%10/1
Race 7 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherPrime Edge: model 31.8% vs market 25.9% (+5.9 points)Prime Edge+5.9Can'T Tie Me Down: model 22.4% vs market 19.5% (+3.0 points)Can'T Tie Me Down+3.0Proud Painter: model 17.6% vs market 14.2% (+3.4 points)Proud Painter+3.4Connect The Empire: model 11.4% vs market 11.1% (+0.3 points)Connect The Empire+0.3Runaway Rocket: model 10.4% vs market 22.2% (-11.8 points)Runaway Rocket-11.8Tranquillo: model 6.4% vs market 7.1% (-0.7 points)Tranquillo-0.7

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Prime Edge31.8%25.9%+5.9
Can'T Tie Me Down22.4%19.5%+3.0
Proud Painter17.6%14.2%+3.4
Connect The Empire11.4%11.1%+0.3
Runaway Rocket10.4%22.2%-11.8
Tranquillo6.4%7.1%-0.7
🌧️ Off-track: 436512
🎯 Longshots: 436251
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #5, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $27,800
Win:3Sunrise Drive (5/2) 20% · fair 4-1 underlay -36%
Place:7Crucial Taunt (3/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -47%
Show:6Echo With Laughter (6/1) 15% · fair 6-1
Other contenders:2Military Force (8/1) 13% · fair 7-1, 10Ninja Star (7/2) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -51%, 8Volcanic (10/1) 12% · fair 15-2 overlay +35%
Rest of field:5Banker's Hours (20/1) 4% · fair 43-2, 4Alley Oop Johnny (15/1) 4% · fair 22-1 underlay -32%, 1Happy Quad (20/1) 2% · fair 41-1 underlay -51%, 9Armino (20/1) 2% · fair 91-2 underlay -56%
Race 8 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Sunrise Drive — 20.5% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Sunrise Drive20.5% ◀Crucial Taunt — 15.0% win probability, morning line 3/1Crucial Taunt15.0%Echo With Laughter — 14.6% win probability, morning line 6/1Echo With Laughter14.6%Military Force — 12.7% win probability, morning line 8/1Military Force12.7%Ninja Star — 12.2% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Ninja Star12.2%Volcanic — 11.9% win probability, morning line 10/1Volcanic11.9%Banker'S Hours — 4.4% win probability, morning line 20/1Banker'S Hours4.4%Alley Oop Johnny — 4.3% win probability, morning line 15/1Alley Oop Johnny4.3%Happy Quad — 2.4% win probability, morning line 20/1Happy Quad2.4%Armino — 2.2% win probability, morning line 20/1Armino2.2%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Sunrise Drive20.5%2.5/1
Crucial Taunt15.0%3/1
Echo With Laughter14.6%6/1
Military Force12.7%8/1
Ninja Star12.2%3.5/1
Volcanic11.9%10/1
Banker'S Hours4.4%20/1
Alley Oop Johnny4.3%15/1
Happy Quad2.4%20/1
Armino2.2%20/1
Race 8 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherSunrise Drive: model 20.5% vs market 21.8% (-1.4 points)Sunrise Drive-1.4Crucial Taunt: model 15.0% vs market 19.1% (-4.2 points)Crucial Taunt-4.2Echo With Laughter: model 14.6% vs market 10.9% (+3.7 points)Echo With Laughter+3.7Military Force: model 12.7% vs market 8.5% (+4.2 points)Military Force+4.2Ninja Star: model 12.2% vs market 17.0% (-4.8 points)Ninja Star-4.8Volcanic: model 11.9% vs market 6.9% (+4.9 points)Volcanic+4.9Banker'S Hours: model 4.4% vs market 3.6% (+0.8 points)Banker'S Hours+0.8Alley Oop Johnny: model 4.3% vs market 4.8% (-0.5 points)Alley Oop Johnny-0.5Happy Quad: model 2.4% vs market 3.6% (-1.3 points)Happy Quad-1.3Armino: model 2.2% vs market 3.6% (-1.5 points)Armino-1.5

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Sunrise Drive20.5%21.8%-1.4
Crucial Taunt15.0%19.1%-4.2
Echo With Laughter14.6%10.9%+3.7
Military Force12.7%8.5%+4.2
Ninja Star12.2%17.0%-4.8
Volcanic11.9%6.9%+4.9
Banker'S Hours4.4%3.6%+0.8
Alley Oop Johnny4.3%4.8%-0.5
Happy Quad2.4%3.6%-1.3
Armino2.2%3.6%-1.5
🌧️ Off-track: 3710628
🎯 Longshots: 38267105419
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #7, #6, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $28,300
Win:5Lake Nasser (5/2) 22% · fair 7-2 underlay -29%
Place:4Sanhedrin (6/1) 14% · fair 6-1
Show:12Friendly (8/1) 12% · fair 7-1
Other contenders:11Prime Rate (3/1) 9% · fair 19-2 underlay -69%, 3Gran Ghost (12/1) 9% · fair 19-2, 2Ashuka (10/1) 9% · fair 21-2, 1Back Street Driver (12/1) 6% · fair 15-1
Rest of field:7Twenty Ovas (15/1) 6% · fair 17-1, 8Woodglen Court (20/1) 5% · fair 35-2, 9A Real War Story (15/1) 3% · fair 34-1 underlay -56%, 6Whiskytangodisco (20/1) 2% · fair 46-1 underlay -56%, 10High Beam (15/1) 2% · fair 123-2 underlay -76%
Race 9 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Lake Nasser — 22.1% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Lake Nasser22.1% ◀Sanhedrin — 14.4% win probability, morning line 6/1Sanhedrin14.4%Friendly — 12.2% win probability, morning line 8/1Friendly12.2%Prime Rate — 9.4% win probability, morning line 3/1Prime Rate9.4%Gran Ghost — 9.4% win probability, morning line 12/1Gran Ghost9.4%Ashuka — 8.7% win probability, morning line 10/1Ashuka8.7%Back Street Driver — 6.3% win probability, morning line 12/1Back Street Driver6.3%Twenty Ovas — 5.6% win probability, morning line 15/1Twenty Ovas5.6%Woodglen Court — 5.4% win probability, morning line 20/1Woodglen Court5.4%A Real War Story — 2.9% win probability, morning line 15/1A Real War Story2.9%Whiskytangodisco — 2.1% win probability, morning line 20/1Whiskytangodisco2.1%High Beam — 1.6% win probability, morning line 15/1High Beam1.6%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Lake Nasser22.1%2.5/1
Sanhedrin14.4%6/1
Friendly12.2%8/1
Prime Rate9.4%3/1
Gran Ghost9.4%12/1
Ashuka8.7%10/1
Back Street Driver6.3%12/1
Twenty Ovas5.6%15/1
Woodglen Court5.4%20/1
A Real War Story2.9%15/1
Whiskytangodisco2.1%20/1
High Beam1.6%15/1
Race 9 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherLake Nasser: model 22.1% vs market 21.7% (+0.4 points)Lake Nasser+0.4Sanhedrin: model 14.4% vs market 10.8% (+3.5 points)Sanhedrin+3.5Friendly: model 12.2% vs market 8.4% (+3.8 points)Friendly+3.8Prime Rate: model 9.4% vs market 19.0% (-9.5 points)Prime Rate-9.5Gran Ghost: model 9.4% vs market 5.8% (+3.5 points)Gran Ghost+3.5Ashuka: model 8.7% vs market 6.9% (+1.8 points)Ashuka+1.8Back Street Driver: model 6.3% vs market 5.8% (+0.5 points)Back Street Driver+0.5Twenty Ovas: model 5.6% vs market 4.7% (+0.8 points)Twenty Ovas+0.8Woodglen Court: model 5.4% vs market 3.6% (+1.7 points)Woodglen Court+1.7A Real War Story: model 2.9% vs market 4.7% (-1.9 points)A Real War Story-1.9Whiskytangodisco: model 2.1% vs market 3.6% (-1.5 points)Whiskytangodisco-1.5High Beam: model 1.6% vs market 4.7% (-3.1 points)High Beam-3.1

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Lake Nasser22.1%21.7%+0.4
Sanhedrin14.4%10.8%+3.5
Friendly12.2%8.4%+3.8
Prime Rate9.4%19.0%-9.5
Gran Ghost9.4%5.8%+3.5
Ashuka8.7%6.9%+1.8
Back Street Driver6.3%5.8%+0.5
Twenty Ovas5.6%4.7%+0.8
Woodglen Court5.4%3.6%+1.7
A Real War Story2.9%4.7%-1.9
Whiskytangodisco2.1%3.6%-1.5
High Beam1.6%4.7%-3.1
🌧️ Off-track: 51141223
🎯 Longshots: 122111534108976
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #12, #11  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $29,600
Win:1Field Hockey (2/1)
Place:4Big Lew (5/2)
Show:3Autobahn Ace (3/1)
Other contenders:2Bank On Big Winner (8/1), 6Scottie's Barn (6/1)
Rest of field:5Smarter Still (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 143625
🎯 Longshots: 134256
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #3, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  1 1/16 Miles · Inner Turf · Claiming · Purse $42,100
Win:3O Wow (3/1)
Place:2Holiday With Amy (2/1)
Show:5Lady On The Nile (7/2)
Other contenders:7Aussie Hyper (8/1), 8Magic Modie (9/2), 1Madam Gwen (10/1)
Rest of field:6I'm Tenacious (6/1), 4Foxy Diva (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 235876
🎯 Longshots: 23714586
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #5, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $71,700
Win:4Elissa's Macho (9/5)
Place:6Winning Agenda (2/1)
Show:3Once Upon A Kiss (7/2)
Other contenders:1Lita Marie (5/1), 5Really Big Show (10/1)
Rest of field:2Pat's Holiday (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 463152
🎯 Longshots: 463512
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #3, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $33,700
Win:1Audi's World (9/5)
Place:5Gelato (4/1)
Show:7No Cape (5/2)
Other contenders:8Kairos Moment (6/1), 6Found Money (12/1), 2Don't Say A Word (12/1)
Rest of field:4Almasty Five (20/1), 3Metro King (20/1), 9Pelee Island (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 175862
🎯 Longshots: 156728349
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #7, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $35,400
Win:8Runner Eyes (1/1)
Place:4Balboni's Crew (3/1)
Show:3Border Fox (10/1)
Other contenders:2Turbo Charged (15/1), 5Waheela (6/1), 6You're So Lucky (8/1)
Rest of field:7Celestial Heart (12/1), 1Tanist (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 845632
🎯 Longshots: 84236175
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #3, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1 1/16 Miles · Inner Turf · Claiming · Purse $42,100
Win:1Lasting Silence (5/2)
Place:7Legal Catch (3/1)
Show:6Chairman Bob (2/1)
Other contenders:5Cornwall (6/1), 3Quiet Intent (8/1), 8Proud Ronin (8/1)
Rest of field:2Accelerando (10/1), 4True Shot (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 167538
🎯 Longshots: 12368754
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #7, #6, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $71,700
Win:4Prime Edge (2/1)
Place:6Runaway Rocket (5/2)
Show:1Connect The Empire (6/1)
Other contenders:3Can't Tie Me Down (3/1), 5Proud Painter (9/2)
Rest of field:2Tranquillo (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 463512
🎯 Longshots: 436251
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #1, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $27,800
Win:3Sunrise Drive (5/2)
Place:7Crucial Taunt (3/1)
Show:6Echo With Laughter (6/1)
Other contenders:10Ninja Star (7/2), 2Military Force (8/1), 8Volcanic (10/1)
Rest of field:4Alley Oop Johnny (15/1), 5Banker's Hours (20/1), 1Happy Quad (20/1), 9Armino (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3710628
🎯 Longshots: 38267105419
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #7, #6, #10  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $28,300
Win:5Lake Nasser (5/2)
Place:4Sanhedrin (6/1)
Show:11Prime Rate (3/1)
Other contenders:2Ashuka (10/1), 12Friendly (8/1), 3Gran Ghost (12/1), 1Back Street Driver (12/1)
Rest of field:7Twenty Ovas (15/1), 9A Real War Story (15/1), 10High Beam (15/1), 8Woodglen Court (20/1), 6Whiskytangodisco (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 51141223
🎯 Longshots: 122111534108976
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #11, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 0, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5,
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ

Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.

Race 1AI Exacta: #1 over #4 ($1 straight; box #1-#4 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #4, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 2AI Exacta: #2 over #3 ($1 straight; box #2-#3 for cover)
Trifecta: #3 over #2, #5, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 3AI Exacta: #6 over #4 ($1 straight; box #6-#4 for cover)
Trifecta: #4 over #6, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 4AI Exacta: #1 over #5 ($1 straight; box #1-#5 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #5, #7, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 5AI Exacta: #8 over #4 ($1 straight; box #8-#4 for cover)
Trifecta: #8 over #4, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 6AI Exacta: #1 over #6 ($1 straight; box #1-#6 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #7, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 7AI Exacta: #4 over #3 ($1 straight; box #4-#3 for cover)
Trifecta: #4 over #1, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 8AI Exacta: #3 over #7 ($1 straight; box #3-#7 for cover)
Trifecta: #6 over #7, #3, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 9AI Exacta: #5 over #11 ($1 straight; box #5-#11 for cover)
Trifecta: #5 over #4, #2, #12 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $29,600
Win:1Field Hockey (2/1)
Place:3Autobahn Ace (3/1)
Show:4Big Lew (5/2)
Other contenders:6Scottie's Barn (6/1), 2Bank On Big Winner (8/1)
Rest of field:5Smarter Still (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 134625
🎯 Longshots: 134256
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #3, #4, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  1 1/16 Miles · Inner Turf · Claiming · Purse $42,100
Win:3O Wow (3/1)
Place:2Holiday With Amy (2/1)
Show:7Aussie Hyper (8/1)
Other contenders:5Lady On The Nile (7/2), 8Magic Modie (9/2), 1Madam Gwen (10/1)
Rest of field:6I'm Tenacious (6/1), 4Foxy Diva (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 235876
🎯 Longshots: 23714586
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #7, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $71,700
Win:6Winning Agenda (2/1)
Place:4Elissa's Macho (9/5)
Show:3Once Upon A Kiss (7/2)
Other contenders:1Lita Marie (5/1), 5Really Big Show (10/1)
Rest of field:2Pat's Holiday (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 643152
🎯 Longshots: 463512
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #3, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $33,700
Win:1Audi's World (9/5)
Place:7No Cape (5/2)
Show:5Gelato (4/1)
Other contenders:8Kairos Moment (6/1), 2Don't Say A Word (12/1), 6Found Money (12/1)
Rest of field:3Metro King (20/1), 4Almasty Five (20/1), 9Pelee Island (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 175826
🎯 Longshots: 156728349
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #7, #5, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $35,400
Win:8Runner Eyes (1/1)
Place:4Balboni's Crew (3/1)
Show:5Waheela (6/1)
Other contenders:3Border Fox (10/1), 2Turbo Charged (15/1), 6You're So Lucky (8/1)
Rest of field:1Tanist (20/1), 7Celestial Heart (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 845637
🎯 Longshots: 84236175
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #5, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1 1/16 Miles · Inner Turf · Claiming · Purse $42,100
Win:1Lasting Silence (5/2)
Place:6Chairman Bob (2/1)
Show:2Accelerando (10/1)
Other contenders:5Cornwall (6/1), 7Legal Catch (3/1), 8Proud Ronin (8/1)
Rest of field:3Quiet Intent (8/1), 4True Shot (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 617528
🎯 Longshots: 12368754
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $71,700
Win:4Prime Edge (2/1)
Place:6Runaway Rocket (5/2)
Show:1Connect The Empire (6/1)
Other contenders:3Can't Tie Me Down (3/1), 5Proud Painter (9/2)
Rest of field:2Tranquillo (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 463512
🎯 Longshots: 436251
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #1, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $27,800
Win:2Military Force (8/1)
Place:3Sunrise Drive (5/2)
Show:10Ninja Star (7/2)
Other contenders:4Alley Oop Johnny (15/1), 7Crucial Taunt (3/1), 6Echo With Laughter (6/1)
Rest of field:8Volcanic (10/1), 5Banker's Hours (20/1), 9Armino (20/1), 1Happy Quad (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3710268
🎯 Longshots: 38267105419
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #10, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $28,300
Win:5Lake Nasser (5/2)
Place:12Friendly (8/1)
Show:4Sanhedrin (6/1)
Other contenders:2Ashuka (10/1), 11Prime Rate (3/1), 3Gran Ghost (12/1), 1Back Street Driver (12/1)
Rest of field:7Twenty Ovas (15/1), 9A Real War Story (15/1), 8Woodglen Court (20/1), 10High Beam (15/1), 6Whiskytangodisco (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 51141223
🎯 Longshots: 122111534108976
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #12, #4, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 0, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
 
Race 1  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $29,600
Win:1Field Hockey (2/1)
Place:4Big Lew (5/2)
Show:3Autobahn Ace (3/1)
Other contenders:6Scottie's Barn (6/1), 2Bank On Big Winner (8/1)
Rest of field:5Smarter Still (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 143625
🎯 Longshots: 134256
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #3, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  1 1/16 Miles · Inner Turf · Claiming · Purse $42,100
Win:3O Wow (3/1)
Place:2Holiday With Amy (2/1)
Show:5Lady On The Nile (7/2)
Other contenders:7Aussie Hyper (8/1), 8Magic Modie (9/2), 1Madam Gwen (10/1)
Rest of field:4Foxy Diva (8/1), 6I'm Tenacious (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 235876
🎯 Longshots: 23714586
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #5, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $71,700
Win:4Elissa's Macho (9/5)
Place:6Winning Agenda (2/1)
Show:3Once Upon A Kiss (7/2)
Other contenders:1Lita Marie (5/1), 5Really Big Show (10/1)
Rest of field:2Pat's Holiday (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 463152
🎯 Longshots: 463512
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #3, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $33,700
Win:1Audi's World (9/5)
Place:5Gelato (4/1)
Show:7No Cape (5/2)
Other contenders:8Kairos Moment (6/1), 6Found Money (12/1), 2Don't Say A Word (12/1)
Rest of field:4Almasty Five (20/1), 3Metro King (20/1), 9Pelee Island (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 175862
🎯 Longshots: 156728349
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #7, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $35,400
Win:8Runner Eyes (1/1)
Place:4Balboni's Crew (3/1)
Show:3Border Fox (10/1)
Other contenders:2Turbo Charged (15/1), 6You're So Lucky (8/1), 7Celestial Heart (12/1)
Rest of field:5Waheela (6/1), 1Tanist (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 845367
🎯 Longshots: 84236175
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #3, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1 1/16 Miles · Inner Turf · Claiming · Purse $42,100
Win:1Lasting Silence (5/2)
Place:7Legal Catch (3/1)
Show:6Chairman Bob (2/1)
Other contenders:5Cornwall (6/1), 8Proud Ronin (8/1), 3Quiet Intent (8/1)
Rest of field:2Accelerando (10/1), 4True Shot (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 167583
🎯 Longshots: 12368754
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #7, #6, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $71,700
Win:4Prime Edge (2/1)
Place:1Connect The Empire (6/1)
Show:5Proud Painter (9/2)
Other contenders:3Can't Tie Me Down (3/1), 6Runaway Rocket (5/2)
Rest of field:2Tranquillo (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 463512
🎯 Longshots: 436251
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #5, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $27,800
Win:6Echo With Laughter (6/1)
Place:7Crucial Taunt (3/1)
Show:3Sunrise Drive (5/2)
Other contenders:10Ninja Star (7/2), 2Military Force (8/1), 8Volcanic (10/1)
Rest of field:5Banker's Hours (20/1), 4Alley Oop Johnny (15/1), 1Happy Quad (20/1), 9Armino (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 3710628
🎯 Longshots: 38267105419
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #3, #10  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $28,300
Win:5Lake Nasser (5/2)
Place:4Sanhedrin (6/1)
Show:2Ashuka (10/1)
Other contenders:12Friendly (8/1), 11Prime Rate (3/1), 1Back Street Driver (12/1), 3Gran Ghost (12/1)
Rest of field:9A Real War Story (15/1), 7Twenty Ovas (15/1), 8Woodglen Court (20/1), 6Whiskytangodisco (20/1), 10High Beam (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 51141221
🎯 Longshots: 122111534108976
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #2, #12  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 0, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1,
AI Multi-Race Tickets – Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ

Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.

Pick 3 R1-3R1: #1,#4,#3 (74%) / R2: #2,#3,#5 (52%) / R3: #6,#4 (69%)
$18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 27%
Pick 3 R3-5R3: #6,#4 (69%) / R4: #1,#5,#8 (71%) / R5: #8,#4 (61%)
$12 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 30%
Pick 3 R4-6R4: #1,#5,#8 (71%) / R5: #8,#4 (61%) / R6: #1,#6,#7 (69%)
$18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 30%
Pick 3 R5-7R5: #8,#4 (61%) / R6: #1,#6,#7 (69%) / R7: #4,#3,#5 (72%)
$18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 30%
Pick 4 R2-5R2: #2,#3,#5 (52%) / R3: #6,#4 (69%) / R4: #1,#5,#8 (71%) / R5: #8,#4 (61%)
$36 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 16%
Pick 4 R3-6R3: #6,#4 (69%) / R4: #1,#5,#8 (71%) / R5: #8,#4 (61%) / R6: #1,#6,#7 (69%)
$36 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 21%
Index – Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
A REAL WAR STORYACCELERANDOALLEY OOP JOHNNYALMASTY FIVEARMINO
AUDI'S WORLDAUSSIE HYPERAUTOBAHN ACEBACK STREET DRIVERBALBONI'S CREW
BANKER'S HOURSBIG LEWBORDER FOXCAN'T TIE ME DOWNCELESTIAL HEART
CONNECT THE EMPIRECORNWALLCRUCIAL TAUNTDON'T SAY A WORDECHO WITH LAUGHTER
FIELD HOCKEYFOUND MONEYFOXY DIVAFRIENDLYGELATO
HAPPY QUADHIGH BEAMHOLIDAY WITH AMYI'M TENACIOUSKAIROS MOMENT
LAKE NASSERLASTING SILENCELEGAL CATCHLITA MARIEMADAM GWEN
METRO KINGMILITARY FORCENINJA STARNO CAPEO WOW
PAT'S HOLIDAYPELEE ISLANDPRIME EDGEPRIME RATEPROUD PAINTER
QUIET INTENTREALLY BIG SHOWRUNAWAY ROCKETRUNNER EYESSANHEDRIN
SMARTER STILLSUNRISE DRIVETANISTTRANQUILLOTRUE SHOT
TWENTY OVASVOLCANICWAHEELAWHISKYTANGODISCOWINNING AGENDA
YOU'RE SO LUCKY

 


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