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Race 1 – Claiming, 8F 110Y, Dirt, Purse $16,000 WIN
Win: 2 Dennard (50% confidence)🥇
Place: 5 Malibu Rain (75% confidence)
Show: 6 Vinniebob (38% confidence)🥉
Alternative: 7 Upward Mobility (25% confidence)🥈
The top two finishers appear to be a close matchup between Dennard and Malibu Rain. Dennard draws strong support from half the handicappers for the win position, while Malibu Rain shows consistent placement across all expert picks. Both horses have won fresh at Zia Park, making this a competitive race. Vinniebob returns from a lengthy layoff but showed impressive late speed in his last outing at Turf Paradise. Upward Mobility rounds out the top four with solid second-up form.
Race 2 – Allowance Optional Claiming, 1105Y, Dirt, Purse $46,000
Win: 5 Dean’s List (50% confidence)🥈
Place: 3 Rexford (50% confidence)🥇
Show: 7 All That Glory (38% confidence)Alternative: 6 Durango Jess (38% confidence)
Dean’s List and Rexford split the top selections evenly among handicappers, creating uncertainty in this allowance race. Dean’s List brings proven second-up form after placing at Remington Park, while Rexford bounced back from a recent setback to finish third. All That Glory typically performs better second-up but disappointed in the fresh run. Durango Jess returns from an extended break with solid third-place form at Sunland Park.
Race 3 – Allowance, 1323Y, Dirt, Purse $46,000
Win: 7 Souped Up Wildcat (63% confidence)🥉
Place: 3 Unbridled Beauty (38% confidence)🥈
Show: 2 Ineedamarker (38% confidence)
Alternative: 5 Thatsaterriblidea (50% confidence)
Souped Up Wildcat emerges as the consensus choice, drawing support from nearly two-thirds of handicappers. The mare returns from a long layoff after finishing a close second at Sunland Park. Unbridled Beauty broke her maiden last time at Zia Park when fresh, showing improvement. Ineedamarker faces a challenging return after 49 weeks away but has solid historical form. Thatsaterriblidea remains unplaced in her career, suggesting reliability if not dominance.
Race 4 – Maiden Claiming, 1323Y, Dirt, Purse $20,160
Win: 1 Held For Ransom (50% confidence)🥈
Place: 5 Hoser Satrapa (38% confidence)🥉
Show: 8 Karaoke Hero (50% confidence)
Alternative: 2 Blacksod Bay (13% confidence)🥇
Held For Ransom and Karaoke Hero create a split verdict among experts. Held For Ransom returns from a 19-week break with ideal post position and strong barn support. Hoser Satrapa steps down from higher-grade competition and represents the leading trainer at the meet. Karaoke Hero finished third last time at Zia Park when fresh, showing consistent improvement. This maiden claiming event appears wide open with multiple legitimate contenders.
Race 5 – Claiming, 995Y, Dirt, Purse $14,000 WIN ($12.00 + TRIFECTA ($83.25)
Win: 5 Wall Street Logic (50% confidence)🥇
Place: 8 Wegonahavagoodtime (38% confidence)🥈
Show: 1 King Adrock (50% confidence)🥉
Alternative: 4 Lonzo Who (25% confidence)
Wall Street Logic heads the consensus after winning twice previously at Zia Park, returning from a 26-week break. Wegonahavagoodtime enters with strong recent form and represents a consistent barn. King Adrock returns from a 25-week layoff with perfect post positioning at the rail. Lonzo Who impressed in his last victory at Sunray Park, coming on strong late. The sprint distance favors tactical speed, making early positioning critical.
Race 6 – Claiming, 1323Y, Dirt, Purse $14,000
Win: 5 Forty Five (75% confidence)
Place: 1 Artful Rose (50% confidence)🥈
Show: 7 Chasenuinmydreams (38% confidence)
Alternative: 8 Silver Abstract (25% confidence)🥇
Forty Five dominates the handicapping consensus with three-quarters of experts selecting her for the win. Despite a disappointing sixth-place finish fresh, she previously placed second-up at Zia Park. Artful Rose returns from a long break after finishing third at Sunray Park. Chasenuinmydreams also comes back from a layoff with similar form to Artful Rose. Silver Abstract represents an interesting alternative selection with recent winning form.
Race 7 – Maiden Claiming, 1214Y, Dirt, Purse $20,160
Win: 7 All Marked Up (50% confidence)🥉
Place: 9 Trump Dance (38% confidence)🥈
Show: 6 Desert Hope (38% confidence)
Alternative: 3 Blues Money (38% confidence)
This maiden claiming event for two-year-old fillies features all first-time starters, creating significant uncertainty. All Marked Up draws the most support from handicappers based on trainer and breeding considerations. Trump Dance represents the powerful Fincher barn with leading jockey Fausto Da Silva. Desert Hope and Blues Money complete a competitive top four. Debut races require focus on breeding, connections, and morning workout patterns.
Race 8 – Claiming, 1214Y, Dirt, Purse $14,000
Win: 2 Channel Launch (75% confidence)Place: 10 Missionary Mary (38% confidence)🥉
Show: 7 Girls Don’t Cry (38% confidence)
Alternative: 3 Just Keep Laughin (38% confidence)
Channel Launch commands strong consensus support returning from a 10-week break. The mare finished ninth at Remington Park last time but drops in class significantly. Missionary Mary returns from a 25-week layoff after nearly winning at long odds at Sunray Park. Girls Don’t Cry placed third at Lone Star Park in her last start before a 19-week break. Just Keep Laughin completes the top four despite finishing well back in her last outing.
Race 9 – Allowance, 1433Y, Dirt, Purse $46,000
Win: 3 He’s A Genius (63% confidence)
Place: 7 Stand Up Guy (38% confidence)🥈
Show: 9 Short Round Bound (38% confidence)🥇
Alternative: 4 Peekay (25% confidence)
He’s A Genius earns consensus favorite status despite finishing 16 lengths back last time at Sunland Park after a 39-week layoff. The extended distance may suit him better, and the class drop helps. Stand Up Guy returns from a 33-week break after finishing fourth at Sunland Park. Short Round Bound brings recent form to challenge. Peekay faces similar comeback circumstances as Stand Up Guy, finishing sixth at Sunland Park after a long break.
Exotic Wagering Recommendations
Race 1 Exacta Box: 2 Dennard / 5 Malibu Rain creates solid value with both horses showing strong recent form. Consider adding 6 Vinniebob for a three-horse box to capture potential upset value.
Race 2 Trifecta Key: Use 5 Dean’s List and 3 Rexford with 6 Durango Jess and 7 All That Glory. The split consensus suggests volatility that could produce attractive payouts.
Race 3 Exacta Wheel: Key 7 Souped Up Wildcat on top over 2 Ineedamarker, 3 Unbridled Beauty, and 5 Thatsaterriblidea. The consensus favorite shows strong support but uncertain pace dynamics create value underneath.
Race 4 Superfecta: Cover 1 Held For Ransom, 5 Hoser Satrapa, and 8 Karaoke Hero in all positions with 2 Blacksod Bay and 6 I Got The Moves as additional coverage. Maiden races produce unpredictable results with potential for significant payouts.
Race 5 Exacta: Box 5 Wall Street Logic, 8 Wegonahavagoodtime, and 1 King Adrock. All three horses show legitimate win credentials with track experience or tactical advantages.
Race 6 Win Bet: 5 Forty Five represents strong consensus value at potential odds. Despite the recent poor performance, previous second-up form at Zia Park creates confidence.
Race 7 Trifecta Box: Use 7 All Marked Up, 9 Trump Dance, 6 Desert Hope, and 3 Blues Money. First-time starters create uncertainty, warranting broader coverage for exotic payouts.
Race 8 Exacta: Key 2 Channel Launch over 7 Girls Don’t Cry, 10 Missionary Mary, and 3 Just Keep Laughin. Strong consensus favorite creates opportunity for modest but reliable payouts.
Race 9 Trifecta: Key 3 He’s A Genius on top with 7 Stand Up Guy and 9 Short Round Bound in second, spreading underneath with 4 Peekay and 6 Jmark for third position.
Multi-Race Wager – Pick 4 (Races 6-9): Single 5 Forty Five in Race 6, use 2 Channel Launch with 7 Girls Don’t Cry in Race 8, spread wide in Race 7 maiden event, and key 3 He’s A Genius with 7 Stand Up Guy in Race 9.
Daily Double (Races 5-6): Connect 5 Wall Street Logic and 8 Wegonahavagoodtime in Race 5 with 5 Forty Five in Race 6 for efficient ticket construction.
