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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) is our strongest pick source: on our weekly scoreboard it is the only one that picks winners at a higher rate than the morning-line favourite. Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) is a different kind of tool: it puts a calibrated win chance and a fair price on every horse, which is what the Kelly Edge Plays and the Live Overlays board are built on. As a win pick it currently trails Algo 2 and the morning-line favourite, so use it to price and size a bet rather than to choose a horse over Algo 2. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets (every race where one of our AI algorithms agrees with the expert consensus); Insider adds Algo 2 and the sharper Best Bets list, only the races where Algo 2 agrees with the experts; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
| Race 1 1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $65,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 3Platinum Groove (2/1) |
| Place: | 6Darn Good Dancer (3/2) |
| Show: | 2Cyclone Claire (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7Allied Fleet (9/2), 5Sally's Wish (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Kitty Mac (30/1), 1Training Good (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 362751 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3625741 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #2, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $35,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a route of a mile or more, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 4Moonlit Sonata (3/2) |
| Place: | 3Kid Charlemagne (4/1) |
| Show: | 5Strike A Match (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1Palmer Beach (5/1), 2King Stephen (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Fire Mountain (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 435126 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 456312 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #5, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 3Awsome Amy (9/5) |
| Place: | 2Princess Jet (2/1) |
| Show: | 5Chaseher (2/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7Misty Coal (8/1), 1Lovely Maya (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Tiz Lezendary (15/1), 4Miyako Pauma (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 325761 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3257614 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #5, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1 1/8 Miles · Turf · Grade 2 Stake · Purse $200,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 1Proletariat (3/5) |
| Place: | 5Unrivaled Time (5/1) |
| Show: | 2Melismatic (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Path To Power (6/1), 3Tribalism (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Essos (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 152634 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 135264 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000 | |
| ★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best. | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 5Brother O' Brien (3/1) |
| Place: | 1Doo Wop Don (5/2) |
| Show: | 6Whiskyginandbrandy (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7Del Mar Jerry (5/1), 9Mubtadaa (8/1), 8Keep Movin' On (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2City Exile (15/1), 3Crypto Ride (20/1), 4Oobubbakakayo (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 156798 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 519687432 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $29,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 3Bessie Coleman (3/2) |
| Place: | 5Ryan's Girl (3/1) |
| Show: | 4Shop Till You Drop (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6Eltonsingsanother (4/1), 8My Kat (8/1), 7Brookys Gal (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Ready Jet Go (30/1), 1Someday Lady (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 354687 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 35847621 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #4, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $65,000 | |
| Win: | 8Dragon Reign (3/1) |
| Place: | 3Vino Vino Vino (5/1) |
| Show: | 4Prospect Of Love (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Double D Lite (9/2), 2Grammy's Gal (6/1), 7Back Burn (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6I Know Nothing (12/1), 1Magic World (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 835472 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 86734521 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #3, #4, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance · Purse $67,000 | |
| Win: | 4Frank Bullitt (3/1) |
| Place: | 2Jimmy Winkfield (4/1) |
| Show: | 13Got'm Cot'm (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10Third Beer (9/2), 5Moment Of Valor (10/1), 11Owl (5/1), 12Grey's Boy (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9Feeling Lucky (12/1), 3Miles Finch (15/1), 8Going Nowhere (30/1), 1Kerry Gold (30/1), 7The G M (30/1), 6Speed Of Elon (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 421310115 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 45211101291338176 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #13, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $67,000 | |
| ◇ Thin spot — race 9 or later: the AI Ensemble has not beaten the morning-line favourite this late on the card. Treat with less confidence. | |
| Win: | 2Van Gogh Style (5/2) |
| Place: | 7King's Ride (3/1) |
| Show: | 3Maker And Sons (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6Courtside Action (4/1), 8Fionello (10/1), 5Blame It On Jack (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Marcos Performance (15/1), 4Italio (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 273685 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 27358614 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 10 6 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $65,000 | |
| ◇ Thin spot — race 9 or later: the AI Ensemble has not beaten the morning-line favourite this late on the card. Treat with less confidence. | |
| Win: | 3Seamless Factor (7/5) |
| Place: | 7Rosa's Miracle (3/1) |
| Show: | 6Take Revenge (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1Divine Kismet (10/1), 2Sauced Up (15/1), 9Her Strut (20/1), 4Tiz The Truth (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Grazed In A Haze (30/1), 13Big Broadcast (30/1), 14Eurydice (12/1), 8Cardwell (20/1), 11Dont Short Ur Self (30/1), 10Tiz Liz (30/1), 12She's My Star (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 376129 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3761921441358111012 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #7, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 1 1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $65,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 3Platinum Groove (2/1) 44% · fair 3-2 overlay +57% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 2Cyclone Claire (7/2) 23% · fair 7-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 7Allied Fleet (9/2) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -33% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 6Darn Good Dancer (3/2) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -83%, 5Sally's Wish (15/1) 6% · fair 29-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 4Kitty Mac (30/1) 2% · fair 89-2 underlay -33%, 1Training Good (20/1) 2% · fair 61-1 underlay -67% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 1 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 1 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 362751 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 3625741 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #7, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $35,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 4Moonlit Sonata (3/2) 36% · fair 2-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 3Kid Charlemagne (4/1) 22% · fair 7-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 1Palmer Beach (5/1) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -30% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 5Strike A Match (3/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -61%, 2King Stephen (6/1) 9% · fair 19-2 underlay -37% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 6Fire Mountain (8/1) 9% · fair 21-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 2 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 2 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 435126 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 456312 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 3 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $26,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 5Chaseher (2/1) 32% · fair 2-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 3Awsome Amy (9/5) 24% · fair 3-1 underlay -42% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 2Princess Jet (2/1) 22% · fair 7-2 underlay -44% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 7Misty Coal (8/1) 15% · fair 11-2 overlay +40%, 6Tiz Lezendary (15/1) 3% · fair 31-1 underlay -52% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 1Lovely Maya (20/1) 3% · fair 34-1 underlay -42%, 4Miyako Pauma (30/1) 1% · fair 191-2 underlay -69% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 3 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 3 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 532761 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 3257614 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #3, #2, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 4 1 1/8 Miles · Turf · Grade 2 Stake · Purse $200,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 1Proletariat (3/5) 36% · fair 2-1 underlay -66% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 5Unrivaled Time (5/1) 22% · fair 7-2 overlay +39% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 2Melismatic (6/1) 13% · fair 13-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 6Path To Power (6/1) 12% · fair 7-1, 3Tribalism (8/1) 9% · fair 10-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 4Essos (12/1) 7% · fair 25-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 4 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 4 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 152634 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 135264 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 5 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 5Brother O' Brien (3/1) 31% · fair 5-2 overlay +32% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 1Doo Wop Don (5/2) 22% · fair 7-2 underlay -29% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 6Whiskyginandbrandy (7/2) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -30% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 7Del Mar Jerry (5/1) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -29%, 9Mubtadaa (8/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -26%, 8Keep Movin' On (12/1) 4% · fair 27-1 underlay -56% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 2City Exile (15/1) 3% · fair 69-2 underlay -57%, 3Crypto Ride (20/1) 2% · fair 46-1 underlay -57%, 4Oobubbakakayo (20/1) 1% · fair 147-2 underlay -73% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 5 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 5 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 516798 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 519687432 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $29,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 3Bessie Coleman (3/2) 28% · fair 5-2 underlay -41% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 4Shop Till You Drop (9/2) 25% · fair 3-1 overlay +48% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 5Ryan's Girl (3/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -32% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 6Eltonsingsanother (4/1) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -42%, 8My Kat (8/1) 6% · fair 31-2 underlay -48%, 7Brookys Gal (15/1) 6% · fair 31-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 2Ready Jet Go (30/1) 3% · fair 77-2, 1Someday Lady (30/1) 1% · fair 151-2 underlay -60% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 6 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 6 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 345687 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 35847621 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $65,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 3Vino Vino Vino (5/1) 25% · fair 3-1 overlay +70% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 4Prospect Of Love (6/1) 16% · fair 5-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 5Double D Lite (9/2) 15% · fair 6-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 2Grammy's Gal (6/1) 12% · fair 7-1, 8Dragon Reign (3/1) 10% · fair 17-2 underlay -65%, 6I Know Nothing (12/1) 10% · fair 17-2 overlay +38% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 7Back Burn (4/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -70%, 1Magic World (8/1) 4% · fair 53-2 underlay -70% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 7 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 7 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 358427 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 86734521 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 8 6 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance · Purse $67,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 4Frank Bullitt (3/1) 23% · fair 7-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 13Got'm Cot'm (5/1) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -29% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 11Owl (5/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -34% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 5Moment Of Valor (10/1) 12% · fair 15-2 overlay +30%, 2Jimmy Winkfield (4/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -49%, 10Third Beer (9/2) 9% · fair 19-2 underlay -53%, 9Feeling Lucky (12/1) 6% · fair 29-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 12Grey's Boy (8/1) 5% · fair 37-2 underlay -56%, 3Miles Finch (15/1) 4% · fair 24-1 underlay -38%, 8Going Nowhere (30/1) 2% · fair 111-2 underlay -46%, 1Kerry Gold (30/1) 1% · fair 68-1 underlay -56%, 7The G M (30/1) 1% · fair 75-1 underlay -60%, 6Speed Of Elon (30/1) 1% · fair 156-1 underlay -81% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 8 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 8 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 421311105 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 45211101291338176 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #13, #11, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 9 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $67,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 2Van Gogh Style (5/2) 29% · fair 5-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 7King's Ride (3/1) 22% · fair 7-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 3Maker And Sons (7/2) 18% · fair 9-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 6Courtside Action (4/1) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -33%, 5Blame It On Jack (8/1) 6% · fair 15-1 underlay -46%, 8Fionello (10/1) 5% · fair 35-2 underlay -43% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 1Marcos Performance (15/1) 4% · fair 49-2 underlay -38%, 4Italio (20/1) 1% · fair 161-2 underlay -75% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 9 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 9 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 273658 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 27358614 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 10 6 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $65,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 3Seamless Factor (7/5) 30% · fair 5-2 underlay -39% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 7Rosa's Miracle (3/1) 29% · fair 5-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 6Take Revenge (6/1) 15% · fair 6-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 1Divine Kismet (10/1) 8% · fair 23-2, 9Her Strut (20/1) 4% · fair 27-1 underlay -25%, 2Sauced Up (15/1) 3% · fair 61-2 underlay -50%, 4Tiz The Truth (12/1) 3% · fair 33-1 underlay -64% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 13Big Broadcast (30/1) 2% · fair 50-1 underlay -40%, 14Eurydice (12/1) 2% · fair 129-2 underlay -81%, 5Grazed In A Haze (30/1) 1% · fair 139-2 underlay -57%, 11Dont Short Ur Self (30/1) 1% · fair 84-1 underlay -64%, 8Cardwell (20/1) 1% · fair 92-1 underlay -78%, 10Tiz Liz (30/1) 1% · fair 387-2 underlay -85%, 12She's My Star (30/1) 0% · fair 437-2 underlay -86% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 10 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 10 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 3761414 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 3761921441358111012 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #7, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
What a $2 win bet returned WHEN THE PICK WON. 432 graded races at Santa Anita Park, 2026-04-02 to 2026-10-30.
This is the size of a winning payout, not a measure of profit — a pick that wins less often at a longer price can average more per winner and still lose money over the month. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.
Show the numbers
| Group | Average payout | Winners |
|---|---|---|
| Our top pick | $5.47 | 128 |
| Morning-line favourite | $4.66 | 155 |
| Race 1 1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $65,000 | |
| Win: | 3Platinum Groove (2/1) |
| Place: | 6Darn Good Dancer (3/2) |
| Show: | 2Cyclone Claire (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7Allied Fleet (9/2), 5Sally's Wish (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Kitty Mac (30/1), 1Training Good (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 362751 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3625741 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #2, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $35,000 | |
| Win: | 4Moonlit Sonata (3/2) |
| Place: | 5Strike A Match (3/1) |
| Show: | 3Kid Charlemagne (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1Palmer Beach (5/1), 2King Stephen (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Fire Mountain (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 453126 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 456312 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| Win: | 2Princess Jet (2/1) |
| Place: | 5Chaseher (2/1) |
| Show: | 3Awsome Amy (9/5) |
| Other contenders: | 7Misty Coal (8/1), 6Tiz Lezendary (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Lovely Maya (20/1), 4Miyako Pauma (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 235761 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3257614 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #3, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1 1/8 Miles · Turf · Grade 2 Stake · Purse $200,000 | |
| Win: | 1Proletariat (3/5) |
| Place: | 5Unrivaled Time (5/1) |
| Show: | 3Tribalism (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Melismatic (6/1), 6Path To Power (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Essos (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 152634 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 135264 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000 | |
| Win: | 1Doo Wop Don (5/2) |
| Place: | 5Brother O' Brien (3/1) |
| Show: | 6Whiskyginandbrandy (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7Del Mar Jerry (5/1), 9Mubtadaa (8/1), 8Keep Movin' On (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2City Exile (15/1), 4Oobubbakakayo (20/1), 3Crypto Ride (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 156798 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 519687432 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $29,000 | |
| Win: | 3Bessie Coleman (3/2) |
| Place: | 5Ryan's Girl (3/1) |
| Show: | 4Shop Till You Drop (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6Eltonsingsanother (4/1), 8My Kat (8/1), 7Brookys Gal (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Someday Lady (30/1), 2Ready Jet Go (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 356487 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 35847621 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #4, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $65,000 | |
| Win: | 3Vino Vino Vino (5/1) |
| Place: | 8Dragon Reign (3/1) |
| Show: | 4Prospect Of Love (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Double D Lite (9/2), 2Grammy's Gal (6/1), 7Back Burn (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6I Know Nothing (12/1), 1Magic World (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 835472 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 86734521 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #8, #4, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance · Purse $67,000 | |
| Win: | 4Frank Bullitt (3/1) |
| Place: | 2Jimmy Winkfield (4/1) |
| Show: | 5Moment Of Valor (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 12Grey's Boy (8/1), 10Third Beer (9/2), 11Owl (5/1), 13Got'm Cot'm (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Miles Finch (15/1), 9Feeling Lucky (12/1), 8Going Nowhere (30/1), 1Kerry Gold (30/1), 7The G M (30/1), 6Speed Of Elon (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 4210111312 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 45211101291338176 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #5, #12 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $67,000 | |
| Win: | 7King's Ride (3/1) |
| Place: | 2Van Gogh Style (5/2) |
| Show: | 6Courtside Action (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Maker And Sons (7/2), 8Fionello (10/1), 5Blame It On Jack (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Marcos Performance (15/1), 4Italio (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 273658 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 27358614 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #2, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 10 6 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $65,000 | |
| Win: | 3Seamless Factor (7/5) |
| Place: | 7Rosa's Miracle (3/1) |
| Show: | 6Take Revenge (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1Divine Kismet (10/1), 2Sauced Up (15/1), 9Her Strut (20/1), 13Big Broadcast (30/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Grazed In A Haze (30/1), 11Dont Short Ur Self (30/1), 4Tiz The Truth (12/1), 14Eurydice (12/1), 8Cardwell (20/1), 12She's My Star (30/1), 10Tiz Liz (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 376142 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3761921441358111012 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #7, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 0, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.
| Race 1 | AI Exacta: #3 over #6 ($1 straight; box #3-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #2, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) |
| Race 2 | AI Exacta: #4 over #5 ($1 straight; box #4-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #5, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 3 | AI Exacta: #3 over #2 ($1 straight; box #3-#2 for cover) Trifecta: #2 over #5, #3, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 4 | AI Exacta: #1 over #5 ($1 straight; box #1-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #2, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 5 | AI Exacta: #1 over #5 ($1 straight; box #1-#5 for cover) Trifecta: #1 over #5, #7, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 6 | AI Exacta: #3 over #4 ($1 straight; box #3-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #5, #4, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 7 | AI Exacta: #8 over #3 ($1 straight; box #8-#3 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #4, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 8 | AI Exacta: #4 over #2 ($1 straight; box #4-#2 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #2, #5, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 9 | AI Exacta: #2 over #7 ($1 straight; box #2-#7 for cover) Trifecta: #2 over #7, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 10 | AI Exacta: #3 over #7 ($1 straight; box #3-#7 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #7, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob (tiered/multidim/flat calibrator ladder)) Morning-line reliability: +0.43 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.82 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) Price-band calibration: P(win), edge and stake are reduced for horses at 12-to-1 and longer (×0.96 from 12-to-1 up to 20-to-1, ×0.60 at 20-to-1 and longer) because the model has been measured to overstate win chances at those prices; the list of horses is unchanged, and a 20-to-1 horse may now show a negative edge and no stake | |||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | Live | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 8 | 5Moment Of Valor | 10/1 | — | 10.9% | +18.6% | 0.46% | $0.46 |
| 10 | 5Grazed In A Haze ⚠ high risk: maiden race, 20-1 or longer | 30/1 | — | 3.7% | +13.0% | 0.11% | $0.11 |
| 8 | 9Feeling Lucky | 12/1 | — | 8.2% | +6.4% | 0.13% | $0.13 |
| 10 | 9Her Strut ⚠ high risk: maiden race, 20-1 or longer | 20/1 | — | 4.1% | +-12.9% | 0.00% | $0.00 |
| 10 | 13Big Broadcast ⚠ high risk: maiden race, 20-1 or longer | 30/1 | — | 2.4% | +-23.5% | 0.00% | $0.00 |
| 10 | 11Dont Short Ur Self ⚠ high risk: maiden race, 20-1 or longer | 30/1 | — | 2.3% | +-25.1% | 0.00% | $0.00 |
| 8 | 8Going Nowhere ⚠ high risk: 20-1 or longer | 30/1 | — | 2.1% | +-30.8% | 0.00% | $0.00 |
| 10 | 8Cardwell ⚠ high risk: maiden race, 20-1 or longer | 20/1 | — | 3.1% | +-31.6% | 0.00% | $0.00 |
| TOTAL across 8 plays: | 0.7% | $0.70 | |||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. ⚠ High risk: 20-1 or longer. Since late June our longshot picks at these odds have won about 3 times in 100 and lost about half of every dollar bet; in maiden races they do worse still. | |||||||
| 💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line. | |||||||
| Race 1 1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $65,000 | |
| Win: | 6Darn Good Dancer (3/2) |
| Place: | 3Platinum Groove (2/1) |
| Show: | 7Allied Fleet (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2Cyclone Claire (7/2), 5Sally's Wish (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Training Good (20/1), 4Kitty Mac (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 632751 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3625741 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #3, #7, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $35,000 | |
| Win: | 4Moonlit Sonata (3/2) |
| Place: | 1Palmer Beach (5/1) |
| Show: | 3Kid Charlemagne (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Strike A Match (3/1), 2King Stephen (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Fire Mountain (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 453126 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 456312 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #1, #3, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| Win: | 2Princess Jet (2/1) |
| Place: | 5Chaseher (2/1) |
| Show: | 3Awsome Amy (9/5) |
| Other contenders: | 7Misty Coal (8/1), 6Tiz Lezendary (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Lovely Maya (20/1), 4Miyako Pauma (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 253761 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3257614 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #3, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1 1/8 Miles · Turf · Grade 2 Stake · Purse $200,000 | |
| Win: | 1Proletariat (3/5) |
| Place: | 6Path To Power (6/1) |
| Show: | 2Melismatic (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Unrivaled Time (5/1), 3Tribalism (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Essos (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 156234 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 135264 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000 | |
| Win: | 5Brother O' Brien (3/1) |
| Place: | 9Mubtadaa (8/1) |
| Show: | 6Whiskyginandbrandy (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1Doo Wop Don (5/2), 7Del Mar Jerry (5/1), 8Keep Movin' On (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Oobubbakakayo (20/1), 2City Exile (15/1), 3Crypto Ride (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 516798 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 519687432 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #9, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $29,000 | |
| Win: | 3Bessie Coleman (3/2) |
| Place: | 5Ryan's Girl (3/1) |
| Show: | 4Shop Till You Drop (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1Someday Lady (30/1), 6Eltonsingsanother (4/1), 8My Kat (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Brookys Gal (15/1), 2Ready Jet Go (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 354687 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 35847621 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #4, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $65,000 | |
| Win: | 6I Know Nothing (12/1) |
| Place: | 8Dragon Reign (3/1) |
| Show: | 3Vino Vino Vino (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7Back Burn (4/1), 2Grammy's Gal (6/1), 5Double D Lite (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 4Prospect Of Love (6/1), 1Magic World (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 837562 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 86734521 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #8, #3, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance · Purse $67,000 | |
| Win: | 4Frank Bullitt (3/1) |
| Place: | 2Jimmy Winkfield (4/1) |
| Show: | 5Moment Of Valor (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10Third Beer (9/2), 13Got'm Cot'm (5/1), 11Owl (5/1), 9Feeling Lucky (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 12Grey's Boy (8/1), 3Miles Finch (15/1), 8Going Nowhere (30/1), 7The G M (30/1), 1Kerry Gold (30/1), 6Speed Of Elon (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 421013115 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 45211101291338176 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #5, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $67,000 | |
| Win: | 7King's Ride (3/1) |
| Place: | 6Courtside Action (4/1) |
| Show: | 3Maker And Sons (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2Van Gogh Style (5/2), 5Blame It On Jack (8/1), 8Fionello (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Marcos Performance (15/1), 4Italio (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 726358 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 27358614 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #6, #3, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 10 6 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $65,000 | |
| Win: | 3Seamless Factor (7/5) |
| Place: | 7Rosa's Miracle (3/1) |
| Show: | 6Take Revenge (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1Divine Kismet (10/1), 9Her Strut (20/1), 5Grazed In A Haze (30/1), 4Tiz The Truth (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 11Dont Short Ur Self (30/1), 2Sauced Up (15/1), 14Eurydice (12/1), 8Cardwell (20/1), 13Big Broadcast (30/1), 10Tiz Liz (30/1), 12She's My Star (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 3761414 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3761921441358111012 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #7, #6, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 0, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
| Race 1 1 Miles · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $65,000 | |
| Win: | 3Platinum Groove (2/1) |
| Place: | 2Cyclone Claire (7/2) |
| Show: | 6Darn Good Dancer (3/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7Allied Fleet (9/2), 5Sally's Wish (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Kitty Mac (30/1), 1Training Good (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 362751 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3625741 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) | |
| Race 2 1 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $35,000 | |
| Win: | 4Moonlit Sonata (3/2) |
| Place: | 5Strike A Match (3/1) |
| Show: | 3Kid Charlemagne (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1Palmer Beach (5/1), 2King Stephen (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Fire Mountain (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 453126 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 456312 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #3, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| Win: | 2Princess Jet (2/1) |
| Place: | 5Chaseher (2/1) |
| Show: | 3Awsome Amy (9/5) |
| Other contenders: | 7Misty Coal (8/1), 1Lovely Maya (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Tiz Lezendary (15/1), 4Miyako Pauma (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 235761 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3257614 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #3, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1 1/8 Miles · Turf · Grade 2 Stake · Purse $200,000 | |
| Win: | 1Proletariat (3/5) |
| Place: | 2Melismatic (6/1) |
| Show: | 5Unrivaled Time (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Tribalism (8/1), 6Path To Power (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Essos (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 152634 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 135264 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #5, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000 | |
| Win: | 1Doo Wop Don (5/2) |
| Place: | 5Brother O' Brien (3/1) |
| Show: | 7Del Mar Jerry (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Whiskyginandbrandy (7/2), 9Mubtadaa (8/1), 8Keep Movin' On (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2City Exile (15/1), 4Oobubbakakayo (20/1), 3Crypto Ride (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 156798 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 519687432 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #7, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $29,000 | |
| Win: | 3Bessie Coleman (3/2) |
| Place: | 5Ryan's Girl (3/1) |
| Show: | 4Shop Till You Drop (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6Eltonsingsanother (4/1), 8My Kat (8/1), 7Brookys Gal (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Ready Jet Go (30/1), 1Someday Lady (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 356487 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 35847621 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #4, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $65,000 | |
| Win: | 3Vino Vino Vino (5/1) |
| Place: | 4Prospect Of Love (6/1) |
| Show: | 5Double D Lite (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2Grammy's Gal (6/1), 8Dragon Reign (3/1), 6I Know Nothing (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Back Burn (4/1), 1Magic World (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 385427 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 86734521 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Allowance · Purse $67,000 | |
| Win: | 4Frank Bullitt (3/1) |
| Place: | 2Jimmy Winkfield (4/1) |
| Show: | 5Moment Of Valor (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10Third Beer (9/2), 11Owl (5/1), 9Feeling Lucky (12/1), 12Grey's Boy (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 13Got'm Cot'm (5/1), 3Miles Finch (15/1), 8Going Nowhere (30/1), 7The G M (30/1), 1Kerry Gold (30/1), 6Speed Of Elon (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 421011135 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 45211101291338176 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #5, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $67,000 | |
| Win: | 2Van Gogh Style (5/2) |
| Place: | 7King's Ride (3/1) |
| Show: | 3Maker And Sons (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6Courtside Action (4/1), 5Blame It On Jack (8/1), 8Fionello (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Marcos Performance (15/1), 4Italio (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 273658 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 27358614 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 10 6 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $65,000 | |
| Win: | 3Seamless Factor (7/5) |
| Place: | 7Rosa's Miracle (3/1) |
| Show: | 1Divine Kismet (10/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Take Revenge (6/1), 2Sauced Up (15/1), 13Big Broadcast (30/1), 9Her Strut (20/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Grazed In A Haze (30/1), 4Tiz The Truth (12/1), 11Dont Short Ur Self (30/1), 8Cardwell (20/1), 14Eurydice (12/1), 12She's My Star (30/1), 10Tiz Liz (30/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 376142 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3761921441358111012 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #7, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 0, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.
| Pick 3 R1-3 | R1: #3,#2 (67%) / R2: #4,#3,#1 (70%) / R3: #5,#3,#2 (78%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 37% |
| Pick 3 R2-4 | R2: #4,#3,#1 (70%) / R3: #5,#3,#2 (78%) / R4: #1,#5,#2 (71%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 39% |
| Pick 3 R3-5 | R3: #5,#3,#2 (78%) / R4: #1,#5,#2 (71%) / R5: #5,#1,#6 (69%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 38% |
| Pick 3 R4-6 | R4: #1,#5,#2 (71%) / R5: #5,#1,#6 (69%) / R6: #3,#4,#5 (71%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 35% |
| Pick 4 R1-4 | R1: #3,#2 (67%) / R2: #4,#3,#1 (70%) / R3: #5,#3,#2 (78%) / R4: #1,#5,#2 (71%) $54 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 26% |
| Pick 4 R3-6 | R3: #5,#3,#2 (78%) / R4: #1,#5,#2 (71%) / R5: #5,#1,#6 (69%) / R6: #3,#4,#5 (71%) $81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 27% |
| ALLIED FLEET | AWSOME AMY | BACK BURN | BESSIE COLEMAN | BIG BROADCAST |
| BROOKYS GAL | BROTHER O' BRIEN | CARDWELL | CHASEHER | CITY EXILE |
| CRYPTO RIDE | CYCLONE CLAIRE | DARN GOOD DANCER | DEL MAR JERRY | DIVINE KISMET |
| DOO WOP DON | DOUBLE D LITE | DRAGON REIGN | ELTONSINGSANOTHER | ESSOS |
| FEELING LUCKY | FIONELLO | FIRE MOUNTAIN | FRANK BULLITT | GOING NOWHERE |
| GRAMMY'S GAL | GRAZED IN A HAZE | GREY'S BOY | HER STRUT | I KNOW NOTHING |
| JIMMY WINKFIELD | KEEP MOVIN' ON | KERRY GOLD | KID CHARLEMAGNE | KING STEPHEN |
| KITTY MAC | LOVELY MAYA | MAGIC WORLD | MAKER AND SONS | MARCOS PERFORMANCE |
| MILES FINCH | MISTY COAL | MIYAKO PAUMA | MOMENT OF VALOR | MOONLIT SONATA |
| MY KAT | OOBUBBAKAKAYO | OWL | PALMER BEACH | PATH TO POWER |
| PRINCESS JET | PROLETARIAT | PROSPECT OF LOVE | READY JET GO | ROSA'S MIRACLE |
| SALLY'S WISH | SAUCED UP | SEAMLESS FACTOR | SHE'S MY STAR | SHOP TILL YOU DROP |
| SPEED OF ELON | STRIKE A MATCH | TAKE REVENGE | THE G M | THIRD BEER |
| TIZ LIZ | TIZ THE TRUTH | TRAINING GOOD | TRIBALISM | UNRIVALED TIME |
| VINO VINO VINO | WHISKYGINANDBRANDY |
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