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Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Finger Lakes Racetrack, November 11, 2026

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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) is our strongest pick source: on our weekly scoreboard it is the only one that picks winners at a higher rate than the morning-line favourite. Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) is a different kind of tool: it puts a calibrated win chance and a fair price on every horse, which is what the Kelly Edge Plays and the Live Overlays board are built on. As a win pick it currently trails Algo 2 and the morning-line favourite, so use it to price and size a bet rather than to choose a horse over Algo 2. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets (every race where one of our AI algorithms agrees with the expert consensus); Insider adds Algo 2 and the sharper Best Bets list, only the races where Algo 2 agrees with the experts; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.

How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.

Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) at Finger Lakes Racetrack — in-the-money rate

How often the pick finished first, second or third — not how often it won. 277 graded races at Finger Lakes Racetrack, 2026-08-18 to 2026-11-09.

0%24%48%72%97%Our top pick: 77.3% from 277 racesOur top pick77.3%Morning-line favourite: 74.4% from 277 racesMorning-line favourite74.4%

In-the-money rate, same races for both. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.

Show the numbers
GroupWin rateRaces
Our top pick77.3%277
Morning-line favourite74.4%277
 
Race 1  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $26,500
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:5Celeslia (5/2)
Place:1Playingon Broadway (7/2)
Show:7Light The Mira (9/2)
Other contenders:2Moriches Bay (3/1), 4Grandma's Girl (6/1)
Rest of field:3Salute To Service (6/1), 6Felix's Flower (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 512743
🎯 Longshots: 1527643
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #7, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,200
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:2I Got No Munny (6/5)
Place:5Mister J T (3/1)
Show:6Invaluable Will (4/1)
Other contenders:3Winning Drive (8/1), 4Max Foster (5/1)
Rest of field:1Smokin' Alone (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 256431
🎯 Longshots: 235641
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #6, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $17,800
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:1Cloudy Chance (2/1)
Place:2Glazin' Fury (7/2)
Show:4Belloro (3/1)
Other contenders:5Shannon K (4/1), 6Timeforwhat (6/1)
Rest of field:3World Bank (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 142563
🎯 Longshots: 123456
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #4, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $24,500
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:6Eddie Marie (5/2)
Place:7Turriga (3/1)
Show:4Warrior Bunny Zee (7/2)
Other contenders:5Moontown (5/1), 2Practical Rachel (8/1)
Rest of field:3Observer (10/1), 1Teresa (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 674521
🎯 Longshots: 6271354
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #4, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:8Book Of Wisdom (3/1)
Place:2Big Advantage (7/2)
Show:7Princess Cairo (4/1)
Other contenders:4Love Thyself (5/1), 3Dream On Cara (8/1), 5Dorth's Sol Dancer (6/1)
Rest of field:6Beauty's Bangle (8/1), 1Bayou Melody (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 827453
🎯 Longshots: 38721465
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #2, #7, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $32,600
◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:7All About Soul (5/2)
Place:2Mo Coffee (3/1)
Show:1Follow The Prints (7/2)
Other contenders:6Turbo Charger (5/1), 5Barna Boy (8/1)
Rest of field:4I'm A Happy Man (8/1), 3Mystery Solved (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 721654
🎯 Longshots: 7215463
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #2, #1, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $25,000
★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best.
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:4Mischievous Trick (4/1)
Place:5A Maize Zing Dotie (3/1)
Show:8Ekwanok (7/2)
Other contenders:1Stunning Sugar (5/1), 2Queens Over Threes (6/1), 7Tour Jete (6/1)
Rest of field:6Zhen Lou (12/1), 3She's A Freud (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 458127
🎯 Longshots: 54381627
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #8, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:6Itwillbefun (2/1)
Place:4My Royal Vow (3/1)
Show:7Signifying Nothing (5/2)
Other contenders:5Eastern Star (8/1), 2Glory Bound Clara (10/1)
Rest of field:1Tumbles (10/1), 3Classiwest (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 674521
🎯 Longshots: 6547123
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #7, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) at Finger Lakes Racetrack — average winning payout

What a $2 win bet returned WHEN THE PICK WON. 217 graded races at Finger Lakes Racetrack, 2026-09-07 to 2026-11-09.

$0$2$3$5$6Our top pick: $4.99 from 81 racesOur top pick$4.99Morning-line favourite: $4.52 from 80 racesMorning-line favourite$4.52

This is the size of a winning payout, not a measure of profit — a pick that wins less often at a longer price can average more per winner and still lose money over the month. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.

Show the numbers
GroupAverage payoutWinners
Our top pick$4.9981
Morning-line favourite$4.5280
 
Race 1  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $26,500
Win:5Celeslia (5/2) 24% · fair 3-1
Place:1Playingon Broadway (7/2) 22% · fair 7-2
Show:7Light The Mira (9/2) 20% · fair 4-1
Other contenders:2Moriches Bay (3/1) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -49%, 4Grandma's Girl (6/1) 10% · fair 17-2 underlay -30%
Rest of field:6Felix's Flower (15/1) 5% · fair 41-2 underlay -27%, 3Salute To Service (6/1) 4% · fair 47-2 underlay -74%
Race 1 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Celeslia — 23.7% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Celeslia23.7% ◀Playingon Broadway — 22.5% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Playingon Broadway22.5%Light The Mira — 20.2% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Light The Mira20.2%Moriches Bay — 14.4% win probability, morning line 3/1Moriches Bay14.4%Grandma'S Girl — 10.4% win probability, morning line 6/1Grandma'S Girl10.4%Felix'S Flower — 4.7% win probability, morning line 15/1Felix'S Flower4.7%Salute To Service — 4.1% win probability, morning line 6/1Salute To Service4.1%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Celeslia23.7%2.5/1
Playingon Broadway22.5%3.5/1
Light The Mira20.2%4.5/1
Moriches Bay14.4%3/1
Grandma'S Girl10.4%6/1
Felix'S Flower4.7%15/1
Salute To Service4.1%6/1
Race 1 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherCeleslia: model 23.7% vs market 22.2% (+1.5 points)Celeslia+1.5Playingon Broadway: model 22.5% vs market 17.3% (+5.2 points)Playingon Broadway+5.2Light The Mira: model 20.2% vs market 14.1% (+6.1 points)Light The Mira+6.1Moriches Bay: model 14.4% vs market 19.4% (-5.0 points)Moriches Bay-5.0Grandma'S Girl: model 10.4% vs market 11.1% (-0.7 points)Grandma'S Girl-0.7Felix'S Flower: model 4.7% vs market 4.9% (-0.2 points)Felix'S Flower-0.2Salute To Service: model 4.1% vs market 11.1% (-7.0 points)Salute To Service-7.0

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Celeslia23.7%22.2%+1.5
Playingon Broadway22.5%17.3%+5.2
Light The Mira20.2%14.1%+6.1
Moriches Bay14.4%19.4%-5.0
Grandma'S Girl10.4%11.1%-0.7
Felix'S Flower4.7%4.9%-0.2
Salute To Service4.1%11.1%-7.0
🌧️ Off-track: 517243
🎯 Longshots: 1527643
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #7, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,200
Win:2I Got No Munny (6/5) 28% · fair 5-2 underlay -53%
Place:5Mister J T (3/1) 20% · fair 4-1
Show:6Invaluable Will (4/1) 18% · fair 9-2
Other contenders:3Winning Drive (8/1) 16% · fair 11-2 overlay +49%, 4Max Foster (5/1) 14% · fair 13-2
Rest of field:1Smokin' Alone (15/1) 4% · fair 43-2 underlay -30%
Race 2 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

I Got No Munny — 28.3% win probability, morning line 1.2/1I Got No Munny28.3% ◀Mister J T — 20.2% win probability, morning line 3/1Mister J T20.2%Invaluable Will — 17.8% win probability, morning line 4/1Invaluable Will17.8%Winning Drive — 15.7% win probability, morning line 8/1Winning Drive15.7%Max Foster — 13.6% win probability, morning line 5/1Max Foster13.6%Smokin' Alone — 4.4% win probability, morning line 15/1Smokin' Alone4.4%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
I Got No Munny28.3%1.2/1
Mister J T20.2%3/1
Invaluable Will17.8%4/1
Winning Drive15.7%8/1
Max Foster13.6%5/1
Smokin' Alone4.4%15/1
Race 2 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherI Got No Munny: model 28.3% vs market 36.5% (-8.2 points)I Got No Munny-8.2Mister J T: model 20.2% vs market 20.1% (+0.1 points)Mister J T+0.1Invaluable Will: model 17.8% vs market 16.1% (+1.8 points)Invaluable Will+1.8Winning Drive: model 15.7% vs market 8.9% (+6.8 points)Winning Drive+6.8Max Foster: model 13.6% vs market 13.4% (+0.2 points)Max Foster+0.2Smokin' Alone: model 4.4% vs market 5.0% (-0.6 points)Smokin' Alone-0.6

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
I Got No Munny28.3%36.5%-8.2
Mister J T20.2%20.1%+0.1
Invaluable Will17.8%16.1%+1.8
Winning Drive15.7%8.9%+6.8
Max Foster13.6%13.4%+0.2
Smokin' Alone4.4%5.0%-0.6
🌧️ Off-track: 256431
🎯 Longshots: 235641
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #6, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $17,800
Win:1Cloudy Chance (2/1) 39% · fair 3-2 overlay +29%
Place:4Belloro (3/1) 20% · fair 4-1 underlay -26%
Show:2Glazin' Fury (7/2) 16% · fair 5-1 underlay -33%
Other contenders:5Shannon K (4/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -56%, 6Timeforwhat (6/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -50%
Rest of field:3World Bank (8/1) 7% · fair 25-2 underlay -36%
Race 3 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Cloudy Chance — 39.1% win probability, morning line 2/1Cloudy Chance39.1% ◀Belloro — 19.7% win probability, morning line 3/1Belloro19.7%Glazin' Fury — 16.1% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Glazin' Fury16.1%Shannon K — 9.9% win probability, morning line 4/1Shannon K9.9%Timeforwhat — 7.7% win probability, morning line 6/1Timeforwhat7.7%World Bank — 7.4% win probability, morning line 8/1World Bank7.4%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Cloudy Chance39.1%2/1
Belloro19.7%3/1
Glazin' Fury16.1%3.5/1
Shannon K9.9%4/1
Timeforwhat7.7%6/1
World Bank7.4%8/1
Race 3 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherCloudy Chance: model 39.1% vs market 26.5% (+12.7 points)Cloudy Chance+12.7Belloro: model 19.7% vs market 19.8% (-0.1 points)Belloro-0.1Glazin' Fury: model 16.1% vs market 17.6% (-1.5 points)Glazin' Fury-1.5Shannon K: model 9.9% vs market 15.9% (-6.0 points)Shannon K-6.0Timeforwhat: model 7.7% vs market 11.3% (-3.7 points)Timeforwhat-3.7World Bank: model 7.4% vs market 8.8% (-1.4 points)World Bank-1.4

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Cloudy Chance39.1%26.5%+12.7
Belloro19.7%19.8%-0.1
Glazin' Fury16.1%17.6%-1.5
Shannon K9.9%15.9%-6.0
Timeforwhat7.7%11.3%-3.7
World Bank7.4%8.8%-1.4
🌧️ Off-track: 142563
🎯 Longshots: 123456
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $24,500
Win:6Eddie Marie (5/2) 40% · fair 3-2 overlay +64%
Place:7Turriga (3/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -45%
Show:5Moontown (5/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -41%
Other contenders:2Practical Rachel (8/1) 10% · fair 17-2, 4Warrior Bunny Zee (7/2) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -61%
Rest of field:1Teresa (8/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -34%, 3Observer (10/1) 6% · fair 29-2 underlay -31%
Race 4 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Eddie Marie — 39.6% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Eddie Marie39.6% ◀Turriga — 15.4% win probability, morning line 3/1Turriga15.4%Moontown — 10.5% win probability, morning line 5/1Moontown10.5%Practical Rachel — 10.5% win probability, morning line 8/1Practical Rachel10.5%Warrior Bunny Zee — 9.9% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Warrior Bunny Zee9.9%Teresa — 7.6% win probability, morning line 8/1Teresa7.6%Observer — 6.5% win probability, morning line 10/1Observer6.5%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Eddie Marie39.6%2.5/1
Turriga15.4%3/1
Moontown10.5%5/1
Practical Rachel10.5%8/1
Warrior Bunny Zee9.9%3.5/1
Teresa7.6%8/1
Observer6.5%10/1
Race 4 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherEddie Marie: model 39.6% vs market 23.1% (+16.5 points)Eddie Marie+16.5Turriga: model 15.4% vs market 20.2% (-4.8 points)Turriga-4.8Moontown: model 10.5% vs market 13.5% (-3.0 points)Moontown-3.0Practical Rachel: model 10.5% vs market 9.0% (+1.5 points)Practical Rachel+1.5Warrior Bunny Zee: model 9.9% vs market 18.0% (-8.0 points)Warrior Bunny Zee-8.0Teresa: model 7.6% vs market 9.0% (-1.4 points)Teresa-1.4Observer: model 6.5% vs market 7.3% (-0.9 points)Observer-0.9

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Eddie Marie39.6%23.1%+16.5
Turriga15.4%20.2%-4.8
Moontown10.5%13.5%-3.0
Practical Rachel10.5%9.0%+1.5
Warrior Bunny Zee9.9%18.0%-8.0
Teresa7.6%9.0%-1.4
Observer6.5%7.3%-0.9
🌧️ Off-track: 674521
🎯 Longshots: 6271354
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #5, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000
Win:8Book Of Wisdom (3/1) 26% · fair 3-1
Place:2Big Advantage (7/2) 21% · fair 4-1
Show:7Princess Cairo (4/1) 15% · fair 11-2 underlay -27%
Other contenders:4Love Thyself (5/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -39%, 3Dream On Cara (8/1) 9% · fair 21-2, 5Dorth's Sol Dancer (6/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -50%
Rest of field:6Beauty's Bangle (8/1) 7% · fair 29-2 underlay -44%, 1Bayou Melody (12/1) 4% · fair 49-2 underlay -51%
Race 5 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Book Of Wisdom — 25.9% win probability, morning line 3/1Book Of Wisdom25.9% ◀Big Advantage — 20.9% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Big Advantage20.9%Princess Cairo — 15.4% win probability, morning line 4/1Princess Cairo15.4%Love Thyself — 10.8% win probability, morning line 5/1Love Thyself10.8%Dream On Cara — 8.8% win probability, morning line 8/1Dream On Cara8.8%Dorth'S Sol Dancer — 7.7% win probability, morning line 6/1Dorth'S Sol Dancer7.7%Beauty'S Bangle — 6.5% win probability, morning line 8/1Beauty'S Bangle6.5%Bayou Melody — 3.9% win probability, morning line 12/1Bayou Melody3.9%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Book Of Wisdom25.9%3/1
Big Advantage20.9%3.5/1
Princess Cairo15.4%4/1
Love Thyself10.8%5/1
Dream On Cara8.8%8/1
Dorth'S Sol Dancer7.7%6/1
Beauty'S Bangle6.5%8/1
Bayou Melody3.9%12/1
Race 5 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherBook Of Wisdom: model 25.9% vs market 19.5% (+6.3 points)Book Of Wisdom+6.3Big Advantage: model 20.9% vs market 17.3% (+3.5 points)Big Advantage+3.5Princess Cairo: model 15.4% vs market 15.6% (-0.2 points)Princess Cairo-0.2Love Thyself: model 10.8% vs market 13.0% (-2.2 points)Love Thyself-2.2Dream On Cara: model 8.8% vs market 8.7% (+0.1 points)Dream On Cara+0.1Dorth'S Sol Dancer: model 7.7% vs market 11.2% (-3.4 points)Dorth'S Sol Dancer-3.4Beauty'S Bangle: model 6.5% vs market 8.7% (-2.1 points)Beauty'S Bangle-2.1Bayou Melody: model 3.9% vs market 6.0% (-2.1 points)Bayou Melody-2.1

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Book Of Wisdom25.9%19.5%+6.3
Big Advantage20.9%17.3%+3.5
Princess Cairo15.4%15.6%-0.2
Love Thyself10.8%13.0%-2.2
Dream On Cara8.8%8.7%+0.1
Dorth'S Sol Dancer7.7%11.2%-3.4
Beauty'S Bangle6.5%8.7%-2.1
Bayou Melody3.9%6.0%-2.1
🌧️ Off-track: 827453
🎯 Longshots: 38721465
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #2, #7, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $32,600
Win:7All About Soul (5/2) 44% · fair 3-2 overlay +97%
Place:1Follow The Prints (7/2) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -42%
Show:2Mo Coffee (3/1) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -51%
Other contenders:6Turbo Charger (5/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -58%, 5Barna Boy (8/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -33%
Rest of field:4I'm A Happy Man (8/1) 7% · fair 14-1 underlay -43%, 3Mystery Solved (10/1) 6% · fair 33-2 underlay -39%
Race 6 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

All About Soul — 44.0% win probability, morning line 2.5/1All About Soul44.0% ◀Follow The Prints — 14.2% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Follow The Prints14.2%Mo Coffee — 14.0% win probability, morning line 3/1Mo Coffee14.0%Turbo Charger — 7.7% win probability, morning line 5/1Turbo Charger7.7%Barna Boy — 7.7% win probability, morning line 8/1Barna Boy7.7%I'M A Happy Man — 6.6% win probability, morning line 8/1I'M A Happy Man6.6%Mystery Solved — 5.8% win probability, morning line 10/1Mystery Solved5.8%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
All About Soul44.0%2.5/1
Follow The Prints14.2%3.5/1
Mo Coffee14.0%3/1
Turbo Charger7.7%5/1
Barna Boy7.7%8/1
I'M A Happy Man6.6%8/1
Mystery Solved5.8%10/1
Race 6 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherAll About Soul: model 44.0% vs market 23.1% (+20.9 points)All About Soul+20.9Follow The Prints: model 14.2% vs market 18.0% (-3.8 points)Follow The Prints-3.8Mo Coffee: model 14.0% vs market 20.2% (-6.2 points)Mo Coffee-6.2Turbo Charger: model 7.7% vs market 13.5% (-5.7 points)Turbo Charger-5.7Barna Boy: model 7.7% vs market 9.0% (-1.3 points)Barna Boy-1.3I'M A Happy Man: model 6.6% vs market 9.0% (-2.3 points)I'M A Happy Man-2.3Mystery Solved: model 5.8% vs market 7.3% (-1.6 points)Mystery Solved-1.6

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
All About Soul44.0%23.1%+20.9
Follow The Prints14.2%18.0%-3.8
Mo Coffee14.0%20.2%-6.2
Turbo Charger7.7%13.5%-5.7
Barna Boy7.7%9.0%-1.3
I'M A Happy Man6.6%9.0%-2.3
Mystery Solved5.8%7.3%-1.6
🌧️ Off-track: 721654
🎯 Longshots: 7215463
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #2, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $25,000
Win:4Mischievous Trick (4/1) 21% · fair 7-2
Place:5A Maize Zing Dotie (3/1) 19% · fair 4-1 underlay -29%
Show:8Ekwanok (7/2) 18% · fair 9-2
Other contenders:1Stunning Sugar (5/1) 16% · fair 11-2, 7Tour Jete (6/1) 10% · fair 17-2 underlay -30%, 2Queens Over Threes (6/1) 7% · fair 14-1 underlay -57%
Rest of field:6Zhen Lou (12/1) 5% · fair 19-1 underlay -37%, 3She's A Freud (15/1) 4% · fair 49-2 underlay -39%
Race 7 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Mischievous Trick — 21.3% win probability, morning line 4/1Mischievous Trick21.3% ◀A Maize Zing Dotie — 19.1% win probability, morning line 3/1A Maize Zing Dotie19.1%Ekwanok — 17.9% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Ekwanok17.9%Stunning Sugar — 15.7% win probability, morning line 5/1Stunning Sugar15.7%Tour Jete — 10.5% win probability, morning line 6/1Tour Jete10.5%Queens Over Threes — 6.7% win probability, morning line 6/1Queens Over Threes6.7%Zhen Lou — 5.0% win probability, morning line 12/1Zhen Lou5.0%She'S A Freud — 3.9% win probability, morning line 15/1She'S A Freud3.9%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Mischievous Trick21.3%4/1
A Maize Zing Dotie19.1%3/1
Ekwanok17.9%3.5/1
Stunning Sugar15.7%5/1
Tour Jete10.5%6/1
Queens Over Threes6.7%6/1
Zhen Lou5.0%12/1
She'S A Freud3.9%15/1
Race 7 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherMischievous Trick: model 21.3% vs market 15.8% (+5.5 points)Mischievous Trick+5.5A Maize Zing Dotie: model 19.1% vs market 19.8% (-0.7 points)A Maize Zing Dotie-0.7Ekwanok: model 17.9% vs market 17.6% (+0.3 points)Ekwanok+0.3Stunning Sugar: model 15.7% vs market 13.2% (+2.5 points)Stunning Sugar+2.5Tour Jete: model 10.5% vs market 11.3% (-0.8 points)Tour Jete-0.8Queens Over Threes: model 6.7% vs market 11.3% (-4.6 points)Queens Over Threes-4.6Zhen Lou: model 5.0% vs market 6.1% (-1.1 points)Zhen Lou-1.1She'S A Freud: model 3.9% vs market 4.9% (-1.1 points)She'S A Freud-1.1

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Mischievous Trick21.3%15.8%+5.5
A Maize Zing Dotie19.1%19.8%-0.7
Ekwanok17.9%17.6%+0.3
Stunning Sugar15.7%13.2%+2.5
Tour Jete10.5%11.3%-0.8
Queens Over Threes6.7%11.3%-4.6
Zhen Lou5.0%6.1%-1.1
She'S A Freud3.9%4.9%-1.1
🌧️ Off-track: 548172
🎯 Longshots: 54381627
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #8, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000
Win:6Itwillbefun (2/1) 31% · fair 2-1
Place:4My Royal Vow (3/1) 24% · fair 3-1
Show:7Signifying Nothing (5/2) 21% · fair 4-1 underlay -35%
Other contenders:5Eastern Star (8/1) 11% · fair 17-2, 2Glory Bound Clara (10/1) 5% · fair 20-1 underlay -50%
Rest of field:3Classiwest (15/1) 4% · fair 43-2 underlay -30%, 1Tumbles (10/1) 4% · fair 22-1 underlay -55%
Race 8 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Itwillbefun — 31.0% win probability, morning line 2/1Itwillbefun31.0% ◀My Royal Vow — 24.4% win probability, morning line 3/1My Royal Vow24.4%Signifying Nothing — 20.5% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Signifying Nothing20.5%Eastern Star — 10.5% win probability, morning line 8/1Eastern Star10.5%Glory Bound Clara — 4.8% win probability, morning line 10/1Glory Bound Clara4.8%Classiwest — 4.4% win probability, morning line 15/1Classiwest4.4%Tumbles — 4.3% win probability, morning line 10/1Tumbles4.3%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Itwillbefun31.0%2/1
My Royal Vow24.4%3/1
Signifying Nothing20.5%2.5/1
Eastern Star10.5%8/1
Glory Bound Clara4.8%10/1
Classiwest4.4%15/1
Tumbles4.3%10/1
Race 8 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherItwillbefun: model 31.0% vs market 27.2% (+3.7 points)Itwillbefun+3.7My Royal Vow: model 24.4% vs market 20.4% (+4.0 points)My Royal Vow+4.0Signifying Nothing: model 20.5% vs market 23.3% (-2.8 points)Signifying Nothing-2.8Eastern Star: model 10.5% vs market 9.1% (+1.5 points)Eastern Star+1.5Glory Bound Clara: model 4.8% vs market 7.4% (-2.6 points)Glory Bound Clara-2.6Classiwest: model 4.4% vs market 5.1% (-0.7 points)Classiwest-0.7Tumbles: model 4.3% vs market 7.4% (-3.1 points)Tumbles-3.1

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Itwillbefun31.0%27.2%+3.7
My Royal Vow24.4%20.4%+4.0
Signifying Nothing20.5%23.3%-2.8
Eastern Star10.5%9.1%+1.5
Glory Bound Clara4.8%7.4%-2.6
Classiwest4.4%5.1%-0.7
Tumbles4.3%7.4%-3.1
🌧️ Off-track: 647521
🎯 Longshots: 6547123
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #7, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
 
Race 1  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $26,500
Win:1Playingon Broadway (7/2)
Place:5Celeslia (5/2)
Show:7Light The Mira (9/2)
Other contenders:2Moriches Bay (3/1), 3Salute To Service (6/1)
Rest of field:4Grandma's Girl (6/1), 6Felix's Flower (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 512734
🎯 Longshots: 1527643
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #7, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,200
Win:2I Got No Munny (6/5)
Place:5Mister J T (3/1)
Show:6Invaluable Will (4/1)
Other contenders:4Max Foster (5/1), 3Winning Drive (8/1)
Rest of field:1Smokin' Alone (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 256431
🎯 Longshots: 235641
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #6, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $17,800
Win:1Cloudy Chance (2/1)
Place:2Glazin' Fury (7/2)
Show:4Belloro (3/1)
Other contenders:5Shannon K (4/1), 3World Bank (8/1)
Rest of field:6Timeforwhat (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 142563
🎯 Longshots: 123456
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #4, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $24,500
Win:6Eddie Marie (5/2)
Place:7Turriga (3/1)
Show:2Practical Rachel (8/1)
Other contenders:5Moontown (5/1), 4Warrior Bunny Zee (7/2)
Rest of field:1Teresa (8/1), 3Observer (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 674521
🎯 Longshots: 6271354
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000
Win:7Princess Cairo (4/1)
Place:8Book Of Wisdom (3/1)
Show:2Big Advantage (7/2)
Other contenders:3Dream On Cara (8/1), 4Love Thyself (5/1), 5Dorth's Sol Dancer (6/1)
Rest of field:6Beauty's Bangle (8/1), 1Bayou Melody (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 872453
🎯 Longshots: 38721465
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #8, #2, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $32,600
Win:7All About Soul (5/2)
Place:2Mo Coffee (3/1)
Show:1Follow The Prints (7/2)
Other contenders:6Turbo Charger (5/1), 5Barna Boy (8/1)
Rest of field:4I'm A Happy Man (8/1), 3Mystery Solved (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 721654
🎯 Longshots: 7215463
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #2, #1, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $25,000
Win:4Mischievous Trick (4/1)
Place:5A Maize Zing Dotie (3/1)
Show:1Stunning Sugar (5/1)
Other contenders:8Ekwanok (7/2), 2Queens Over Threes (6/1), 7Tour Jete (6/1)
Rest of field:6Zhen Lou (12/1), 3She's A Freud (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 548127
🎯 Longshots: 54381627
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #1, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000
Win:6Itwillbefun (2/1)
Place:7Signifying Nothing (5/2)
Show:4My Royal Vow (3/1)
Other contenders:5Eastern Star (8/1), 1Tumbles (10/1)
Rest of field:2Glory Bound Clara (10/1), 3Classiwest (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 674512
🎯 Longshots: 6547123
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #4, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 0, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5,
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ

Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.

Race 1AI Exacta: #5 over #1 ($1 straight; box #5-#1 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #5, #7, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 2AI Exacta: #2 over #5 ($1 straight; box #2-#5 for cover)
Trifecta: #2 over #5, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 3AI Exacta: #1 over #2 ($1 straight; box #1-#2 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #4, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 4AI Exacta: #6 over #7 ($1 straight; box #6-#7 for cover)
Trifecta: #6 over #7, #2, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 5AI Exacta: #8 over #2 ($1 straight; box #8-#2 for cover)
Trifecta: #2 over #7, #8, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 6AI Exacta: #7 over #2 ($1 straight; box #7-#2 for cover)
Trifecta: #7 over #2, #1, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 7AI Exacta: #5 over #4 ($1 straight; box #5-#4 for cover)
Trifecta: #4 over #5, #1, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 8AI Exacta: #6 over #4 ($1 straight; box #6-#4 for cover)
Trifecta: #6 over #4, #7, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
 
Race 1  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $26,500
Win:7Light The Mira (9/2)
Place:1Playingon Broadway (7/2)
Show:5Celeslia (5/2)
Other contenders:6Felix's Flower (15/1), 2Moriches Bay (3/1)
Rest of field:4Grandma's Girl (6/1), 3Salute To Service (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 715243
🎯 Longshots: 1527643
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #5, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,200
Win:2I Got No Munny (6/5)
Place:6Invaluable Will (4/1)
Show:5Mister J T (3/1)
Other contenders:3Winning Drive (8/1), 4Max Foster (5/1)
Rest of field:1Smokin' Alone (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 256431
🎯 Longshots: 235641
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #5, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $17,800
Win:1Cloudy Chance (2/1)
Place:2Glazin' Fury (7/2)
Show:4Belloro (3/1)
Other contenders:6Timeforwhat (6/1), 5Shannon K (4/1)
Rest of field:3World Bank (8/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 124563
🎯 Longshots: 123456
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #2, #4, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $24,500
Win:2Practical Rachel (8/1)
Place:6Eddie Marie (5/2)
Show:7Turriga (3/1)
Other contenders:5Moontown (5/1), 4Warrior Bunny Zee (7/2)
Rest of field:1Teresa (8/1), 3Observer (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 672451
🎯 Longshots: 6271354
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #6, #7, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000
Win:7Princess Cairo (4/1)
Place:3Dream On Cara (8/1)
Show:8Book Of Wisdom (3/1)
Other contenders:2Big Advantage (7/2), 4Love Thyself (5/1), 5Dorth's Sol Dancer (6/1)
Rest of field:6Beauty's Bangle (8/1), 1Bayou Melody (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 782435
🎯 Longshots: 38721465
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #3, #8, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $32,600
Win:7All About Soul (5/2)
Place:1Follow The Prints (7/2)
Show:2Mo Coffee (3/1)
Other contenders:5Barna Boy (8/1), 4I'm A Happy Man (8/1)
Rest of field:6Turbo Charger (5/1), 3Mystery Solved (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 721654
🎯 Longshots: 7215463
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $25,000
Win:4Mischievous Trick (4/1)
Place:3She's A Freud (15/1)
Show:5A Maize Zing Dotie (3/1)
Other contenders:1Stunning Sugar (5/1), 2Queens Over Threes (6/1), 8Ekwanok (7/2)
Rest of field:7Tour Jete (6/1), 6Zhen Lou (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 458127
🎯 Longshots: 54381627
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #3, #5, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000
Win:6Itwillbefun (2/1)
Place:5Eastern Star (8/1)
Show:7Signifying Nothing (5/2)
Other contenders:4My Royal Vow (3/1), 1Tumbles (10/1)
Rest of field:2Glory Bound Clara (10/1), 3Classiwest (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 674512
🎯 Longshots: 6547123
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #7, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 0, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
 
Race 1  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $26,500
Win:1Playingon Broadway (7/2)
Place:5Celeslia (5/2)
Show:7Light The Mira (9/2)
Other contenders:2Moriches Bay (3/1), 3Salute To Service (6/1)
Rest of field:4Grandma's Girl (6/1), 6Felix's Flower (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 512734
🎯 Longshots: 1527643
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #5, #7, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,200
Win:2I Got No Munny (6/5)
Place:5Mister J T (3/1)
Show:6Invaluable Will (4/1)
Other contenders:3Winning Drive (8/1), 4Max Foster (5/1)
Rest of field:1Smokin' Alone (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 256431
🎯 Longshots: 235641
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #6, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $17,800
Win:1Cloudy Chance (2/1)
Place:4Belloro (3/1)
Show:2Glazin' Fury (7/2)
Other contenders:5Shannon K (4/1), 3World Bank (8/1)
Rest of field:6Timeforwhat (6/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 142563
🎯 Longshots: 123456
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #4, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $24,500
Win:6Eddie Marie (5/2)
Place:7Turriga (3/1)
Show:2Practical Rachel (8/1)
Other contenders:3Observer (10/1), 5Moontown (5/1)
Rest of field:1Teresa (8/1), 4Warrior Bunny Zee (7/2)
🌧️ Off-track: 674251
🎯 Longshots: 6271354
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #2, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 5  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000
Win:2Big Advantage (7/2)
Place:7Princess Cairo (4/1)
Show:8Book Of Wisdom (3/1)
Other contenders:4Love Thyself (5/1), 3Dream On Cara (8/1), 5Dorth's Sol Dancer (6/1)
Rest of field:6Beauty's Bangle (8/1), 1Bayou Melody (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 827435
🎯 Longshots: 38721465
🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #8, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $32,600
Win:7All About Soul (5/2)
Place:2Mo Coffee (3/1)
Show:1Follow The Prints (7/2)
Other contenders:6Turbo Charger (5/1), 5Barna Boy (8/1)
Rest of field:4I'm A Happy Man (8/1), 3Mystery Solved (10/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 721654
🎯 Longshots: 7215463
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #2, #1, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $25,000
Win:4Mischievous Trick (4/1)
Place:5A Maize Zing Dotie (3/1)
Show:1Stunning Sugar (5/1)
Other contenders:8Ekwanok (7/2), 2Queens Over Threes (6/1), 7Tour Jete (6/1)
Rest of field:6Zhen Lou (12/1), 3She's A Freud (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 541827
🎯 Longshots: 54381627
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #1, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $14,000
Win:6Itwillbefun (2/1)
Place:4My Royal Vow (3/1)
Show:7Signifying Nothing (5/2)
Other contenders:5Eastern Star (8/1), 1Tumbles (10/1)
Rest of field:2Glory Bound Clara (10/1), 3Classiwest (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 674512
🎯 Longshots: 6547123
🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #7, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 0, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1,
AI Multi-Race Tickets – Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ

Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.

Pick 3 R1-3R1: #5,#1,#7 (66%) / R2: #2,#5,#6 (66%) / R3: #1,#4,#2 (75%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 33%
Pick 3 R2-4R2: #2,#5,#6 (66%) / R3: #1,#4,#2 (75%) / R4: #6,#7,#5 (66%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 33%
Pick 3 R3-5R3: #1,#4,#2 (75%) / R4: #6,#7,#5 (66%) / R5: #8,#2,#7 (62%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 31%
Pick 3 R6-8R6: #7,#1,#2 (72%) / R7: #4,#5,#8 (58%) / R8: #6,#4,#7 (76%)
$27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 32%
Pick 4 R1-4R1: #5,#1,#7 (66%) / R2: #2,#5,#6 (66%) / R3: #1,#4,#2 (75%) / R4: #6,#7,#5 (66%)
$81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 22%
Pick 4 R3-6R3: #1,#4,#2 (75%) / R4: #6,#7,#5 (66%) / R5: #8,#2,#7 (62%) / R6: #7,#1,#2 (72%)
$81 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 22%
Index – Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
A MAIZE ZING DOTIEALL ABOUT SOULBARNA BOYBAYOU MELODYBEAUTY'S BANGLE
BIG ADVANTAGEBOOK OF WISDOMCELESLIACLASSIWESTCLOUDY CHANCE
DREAM ON CARAEASTERN STAREDDIE MARIEEKWANOKFELIX'S FLOWER
GLAZIN' FURYGLORY BOUND CLARAGRANDMA'S GIRLI GOT NO MUNNYI'M A HAPPY MAN
ITWILLBEFUNLIGHT THE MIRALOVE THYSELFMAX FOSTERMISCHIEVOUS TRICK
MO COFFEEMOONTOWNMORICHES BAYMY ROYAL VOWMYSTERY SOLVED
PLAYINGON BROADWAYPRACTICAL RACHELPRINCESS CAIROQUEENS OVER THREESSALUTE TO SERVICE
SHE'S A FREUDSIGNIFYING NOTHINGSMOKIN' ALONESTUNNING SUGARTERESA
TOUR JETETUMBLESTURBO CHARGERTURRIGAWARRIOR BUNNY ZEE
WORLD BANKZHEN LOU

 


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