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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) is our strongest pick source: on our weekly scoreboard it is the only one that picks winners at a higher rate than the morning-line favourite. Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) is a different kind of tool: it puts a calibrated win chance and a fair price on every horse, which is what the Kelly Edge Plays and the Live Overlays board are built on. As a win pick it currently trails Algo 2 and the morning-line favourite, so use it to price and size a bet rather than to choose a horse over Algo 2. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets (every race where one of our AI algorithms agrees with the expert consensus); Insider adds Algo 2 and the sharper Best Bets list, only the races where Algo 2 agrees with the experts; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 343 graded races at Remington Park, 2026-08-21 to 2026-11-07.
The morning line is the track handicapper's overnight price, not the final tote odds. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Our top pick | 36.2% | 343 |
| Morning-line favourite | 33.2% | 343 |
| Race 1 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,500 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 2Added Touch (5/2) |
| Place: | 1Ante Up Tony (7/2) |
| Show: | 7Olympic Star (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10Edgewater (8/1), 9Go Thunder Go (6/1), 6Lasko Lady (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Say As I Say (12/1), 3Gospel Lois (15/1), 8Mrs Shirley (12/1), 5Gospel Regina (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2171096 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 11027643985 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #7, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $27,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more, a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 3Saline River (5/2) |
| Place: | 4Casa Cielo (9/2) |
| Show: | 2Hedge The Risk (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 9Bold Discovery (5/1), 6Imua Kai (12/1), 8Don'task Don'ttell (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Interstellar (8/1), 5Manor Born (15/1), 1Blessed Vision (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 342986 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 364275981 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #2, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $38,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 5Kelce (2/1) |
| Place: | 1Machado (3/1) |
| Show: | 6Luna Latte (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Cocked Pistol (5/1), 4Arco Thunder (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Clay's Hatchett (6/1), 2Monadnock (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 516347 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5143672 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $30,000 | |
| Win: | 5Code Nate (2/1) |
| Place: | 7Mo Town Gold (3/1) |
| Show: | 6Caymen's Soldier (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2Shelley's Secret (6/1), 1Get Dreamy (12/1), 8Endless Skyway (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Sutter Bug (10/1), 3Rugged Sawyer Lee (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 576214 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 58146732 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #7, #6, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| ★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best. | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 1Yellow Brick (8/1) |
| Place: | 6Bender (4/1) |
| Show: | 7Lebombo (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 10Jacked Up (9/2), 4Tres Soles (10/1), 9Jolly Samurai (6/1), 2No Trouble (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Tyler's Turn (15/1), 11Justice Department (12/1), 8Succession (20/1), 3Prince Rama (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6711094 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1462510739118 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #7, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $22,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 8Strong Potential (3/1) |
| Place: | 11Militant (5/1) |
| Show: | 3Atreidesreflection (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10Remittance (8/1), 4Scouser (10/1), 6Eleven Bravo (15/1), 9Prince J J (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Life At Sea (20/1), 5Tiger Man Mckool (6/1), 1Old Boys Club (20/1), 7Tuff Biz (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 83111045 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8410961123175 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #11, #3, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $39,000 | |
| ★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best. | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 3Mirage (7/2) |
| Place: | 2Mellencamp (4/1) |
| Show: | 7Drill Baby (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Inwood Drive (5/2), 4Worth The Ransom (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Special Agenda (15/1), 6Double Standards (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 372541 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3721654 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #7, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $17,500 | |
| ★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best. | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 4Austin Cruise (4/1) |
| Place: | 10Waco (3/1) |
| Show: | 11Vino Texas Jess (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Coach Kev (5/1), 7Empire Ranch (10/1), 5Straightaway (10/1), 6Wish Man (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9Consecrated (10/1), 8Props (12/1), 2Backdoor Royalty (20/1), 1Pollito Tito (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10411375 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4107611923851 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #10, #11, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 268 graded races at Remington Park, 2026-09-10 to 2026-11-07.
The morning line is the track handicapper's overnight price, not the final tote odds. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Our top pick | 35.8% | 268 |
| Morning-line favourite | 33.2% | 268 |
| Race 1 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,500 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 7Olympic Star (5/1) 26% · fair 3-1 overlay +74% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 1Ante Up Tony (7/2) 24% · fair 3-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 2Added Touch (5/2) 23% · fair 7-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 10Edgewater (8/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 6Lasko Lady (12/1) 4% · fair 26-1 underlay -54%, 9Go Thunder Go (6/1) 4% · fair 26-1 underlay -77% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 4Say As I Say (12/1) 3% · fair 59-2 underlay -59%, 3Gospel Lois (15/1) 2% · fair 49-1 underlay -70%, 8Mrs Shirley (12/1) 2% · fair 127-2 underlay -81%, 5Gospel Regina (15/1) 1% · fair 103-1 underlay -85% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 1 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 1 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2171096 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 11027643985 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #1, #2, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 2 1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $27,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 3Saline River (5/2) 39% · fair 3-2 overlay +57% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 4Casa Cielo (9/2) 16% · fair 11-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 9Bold Discovery (5/1) 15% · fair 6-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 2Hedge The Risk (4/1) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -35%, 6Imua Kai (12/1) 5% · fair 20-1 underlay -39%, 8Don'task Don'ttell (6/1) 4% · fair 43-2 underlay -72% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 5Manor Born (15/1) 3% · fair 30-1 underlay -50%, 7Interstellar (8/1) 3% · fair 32-1 underlay -75%, 1Blessed Vision (20/1) 1% · fair 67-1 underlay -70% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 2 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 2 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 324987 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 364275981 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #9, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 3 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $38,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 5Kelce (2/1) 53% · fair 4-5 overlay +127% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 1Machado (3/1) 20% · fair 4-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 4Arco Thunder (8/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -32% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 6Luna Latte (4/1) 7% · fair 25-2 underlay -68%, 3Cocked Pistol (5/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -62% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 7Clay's Hatchett (6/1) 3% · fair 31-1 underlay -81%, 2Monadnock (12/1) 1% · fair 149-2 underlay -84% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 3 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 3 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 516374 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 5143672 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #4, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $30,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 5Code Nate (2/1) 44% · fair 3-2 overlay +59% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 7Mo Town Gold (3/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -33% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 2Shelley's Secret (6/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -46% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 1Get Dreamy (12/1) 8% · fair 12-1, 8Endless Skyway (12/1) 7% · fair 14-1, 4Sutter Bug (10/1) 6% · fair 15-1 underlay -34% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 6Caymen's Soldier (9/2) 6% · fair 31-2 underlay -71%, 3Rugged Sawyer Lee (8/1) 3% · fair 37-1 underlay -78% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 4 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 4 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 576234 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 58146732 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #7, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 5 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 6Bender (4/1) 23% · fair 7-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 10Jacked Up (9/2) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -31% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 1Yellow Brick (8/1) 13% · fair 13-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 7Lebombo (7/2) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -51%, 9Jolly Samurai (6/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -33%, 4Tres Soles (10/1) 8% · fair 11-1, 2No Trouble (15/1) 6% · fair 17-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 5Tyler's Turn (15/1) 5% · fair 20-1 underlay -25%, 11Justice Department (12/1) 4% · fair 23-1 underlay -47%, 3Prince Rama (15/1) 3% · fair 35-1 underlay -57%, 8Succession (20/1) 3% · fair 35-1 underlay -43% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 5 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 5 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6710194 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 1462510739118 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #10, #1, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 6 7 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $22,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 8Strong Potential (3/1) 34% · fair 2-1 overlay +54% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 11Militant (5/1) 18% · fair 9-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 3Atreidesreflection (4/1) 14% · fair 13-2 underlay -37% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 10Remittance (8/1) 6% · fair 15-1 underlay -46%, 6Eleven Bravo (15/1) 6% · fair 17-1, 4Scouser (10/1) 5% · fair 35-2 underlay -43%, 9Prince J J (10/1) 4% · fair 23-1 underlay -57% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 2Life At Sea (20/1) 4% · fair 47-2, 7Tuff Biz (12/1) 3% · fair 31-1 underlay -61%, 5Tiger Man Mckool (6/1) 3% · fair 69-2 underlay -83%, 1Old Boys Club (20/1) 3% · fair 71-2 underlay -44% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 6 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 6 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 81135104 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 8410961123175 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #11, #3, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 7 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $39,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 3Mirage (7/2) 32% · fair 2-1 overlay +62% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 7Drill Baby (3/1) 22% · fair 7-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 2Mellencamp (4/1) 20% · fair 4-1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 5Inwood Drive (5/2) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -63%, 4Worth The Ransom (5/1) 5% · fair 18-1 underlay -72% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 1Special Agenda (15/1) 5% · fair 18-1, 6Double Standards (15/1) 4% · fair 26-1 underlay -42% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 7 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 7 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
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| 🌧️ Off-track: 372541 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 3721654 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #7, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 8 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $17,500 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 4Austin Cruise (4/1) 24% · fair 7-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 10Waco (3/1) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -35% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 11Vino Texas Jess (6/1) 18% · fair 9-2 overlay +30% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 3Coach Kev (5/1) 9% · fair 19-2 underlay -48%, 7Empire Ranch (10/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -27%, 9Consecrated (10/1) 6% · fair 15-1 underlay -34%, 6Wish Man (15/1) 5% · fair 37-2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 5Straightaway (10/1) 4% · fair 23-1 underlay -57%, 8Props (12/1) 4% · fair 49-2 underlay -51%, 2Backdoor Royalty (20/1) 4% · fair 51-2, 1Pollito Tito (20/1) 2% · fair 63-1 underlay -68% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Race 8 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 8 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 41011379 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 4107611923851 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #10, #11, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 140 graded races at Remington Park, 2026-08-21 to 2026-11-07.
The consensus is the weighted top pick of 25+ published handicappers. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Our top pick | 37.1% | 140 |
| Expert consensus pick | 35.0% | 140 |
| Race 1 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,500 | |
| Win: | 3Gospel Lois (15/1) no strong opinion This rating tops the card at a price, which is the one case where it has not beaten the market. Treat it as a name to look at, not a selection. |
| Place: | 2Added Touch (5/2) |
| Show: | 7Olympic Star (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 1Ante Up Tony (7/2), 10Edgewater (8/1), 9Go Thunder Go (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Gospel Regina (15/1), 6Lasko Lady (12/1), 4Say As I Say (12/1), 8Mrs Shirley (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2171039 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 11027643985 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #7, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $27,000 | |
| Win: | 3Saline River (5/2) |
| Place: | 4Casa Cielo (9/2) |
| Show: | 9Bold Discovery (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Hedge The Risk (4/1), 7Interstellar (8/1), 8Don'task Don'ttell (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Imua Kai (12/1), 5Manor Born (15/1), 1Blessed Vision (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 342987 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 364275981 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #9, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $38,000 | |
| Win: | 5Kelce (2/1) |
| Place: | 1Machado (3/1) |
| Show: | 3Cocked Pistol (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Luna Latte (4/1), 4Arco Thunder (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Clay's Hatchett (6/1), 2Monadnock (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 516374 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5143672 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $30,000 | |
| Win: | 5Code Nate (2/1) |
| Place: | 6Caymen's Soldier (9/2) |
| Show: | 7Mo Town Gold (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 8Endless Skyway (12/1), 1Get Dreamy (12/1), 4Sutter Bug (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Shelley's Secret (6/1), 3Rugged Sawyer Lee (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 576248 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 58146732 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #7, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 1Yellow Brick (8/1) no strong opinion This rating tops the card at a price, which is the one case where it has not beaten the market. Treat it as a name to look at, not a selection. |
| Place: | 6Bender (4/1) |
| Show: | 7Lebombo (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 10Jacked Up (9/2), 4Tres Soles (10/1), 9Jolly Samurai (6/1), 2No Trouble (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Tyler's Turn (15/1), 3Prince Rama (15/1), 11Justice Department (12/1), 8Succession (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6710194 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1462510739118 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #6, #7, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $22,000 | |
| Win: | 8Strong Potential (3/1) |
| Place: | 11Militant (5/1) |
| Show: | 3Atreidesreflection (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Scouser (10/1), 6Eleven Bravo (15/1), 10Remittance (8/1), 9Prince J J (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Life At Sea (20/1), 5Tiger Man Mckool (6/1), 1Old Boys Club (20/1), 7Tuff Biz (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 83111045 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8410961123175 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #11, #3, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $39,000 | |
| Win: | 2Mellencamp (4/1) |
| Place: | 3Mirage (7/2) |
| Show: | 7Drill Baby (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Inwood Drive (5/2), 4Worth The Ransom (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 1Special Agenda (15/1), 6Double Standards (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 573241 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3721654 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #3, #7, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $17,500 | |
| Win: | 9Consecrated (10/1) no strong opinion This rating tops the card at a price, which is the one case where it has not beaten the market. Treat it as a name to look at, not a selection. |
| Place: | 10Waco (3/1) |
| Show: | 4Austin Cruise (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 11Vino Texas Jess (6/1), 3Coach Kev (5/1), 6Wish Man (15/1), 7Empire Ranch (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8Props (12/1), 5Straightaway (10/1), 2Backdoor Royalty (20/1), 1Pollito Tito (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10411397 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4107611923851 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #10, #4, #11 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 0, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.
| Race 1 | AI Exacta: #2 over #1 ($1 straight; box #2-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #2 over #1, #7, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 2 | AI Exacta: #3 over #4 ($1 straight; box #3-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #9, #2, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 3 | AI Exacta: #5 over #1 ($1 straight; box #5-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #5 over #1, #4, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 4 | AI Exacta: #5 over #6 ($1 straight; box #5-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #5 over #6, #7, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 5 | AI Exacta: #6 over #1 ($1 straight; box #6-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #1, #7, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 6 | AI Exacta: #8 over #11 ($1 straight; box #8-#11 for cover) Trifecta: #8 over #11, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 7 | AI Exacta: #3 over #2 ($1 straight; box #3-#2 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #2, #7, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 8 | AI Exacta: #4 over #10 ($1 straight; box #4-#10 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #11, #10, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Kelly Edge Plays (longshots clearing the 10% publishing edge — calibrator: win-prob (tiered/multidim/flat calibrator ladder)) Morning-line reliability: +0.34 (ML-rank vs finish; ~0.38 typical — higher = oddsmaker sorts the field better; edges below are scaled by it) Weekend sizing: ×0.95 (edge & stake trimmed — weekend longshots win less than their edge implies; the longshot list itself is unchanged) Price-band calibration: P(win), edge and stake are reduced for horses at 12-to-1 and longer (×0.96 from 12-to-1 up to 20-to-1, ×0.60 at 20-to-1 and longer) because the model has been measured to overstate win chances at those prices; the list of horses is unchanged, and a 20-to-1 horse may now show a negative edge and no stake | |||||||
| Race | Horse | ML | Live | P(win) | Edge | ¼ Kelly | Bet on $ bankroll |
| 5 | 4Tres Soles | 10/1 | — | 10.6% | +14.2% | 0.36% | $0.36 |
| 6 | 6Eleven Bravo | 15/1 | — | 7.2% | +13.6% | 0.23% | $0.23 |
| 6 | 2Life At Sea ⚠ high risk: 20-1 or longer | 20/1 | — | 3.4% | +-24.8% | 0.00% | $0.00 |
| 8 | 2Backdoor Royalty ⚠ high risk: 20-1 or longer | 20/1 | — | 3.3% | +-26.4% | 0.00% | $0.00 |
| TOTAL across 4 plays: | 0.6% | $0.58 | |||||
| Edge = P(win) × decimal odds − 1. Only longshots clearing a 10% edge are shown (the same bar used to flag a longshot pick). Each ¼ Kelly stake is capped at 5% of bankroll, and the whole column is scaled so the TOTAL never exceeds your bankroll (simultaneous quarter-Kelly bets otherwise sum to more than 100%). Pick your bankroll from the dropdown and every suggested bet — and the total — updates accordingly. ⚠ High risk: 20-1 or longer. Since late June our longshot picks at these odds have won about 3 times in 100 and lost about half of every dollar bet; in maiden races they do worse still. | |||||||
| 💡 Tote-board tip: the Live column updates automatically. Our longshots that take money at the track (live odds at or below the morning line) win about 4× as often as the ones drifting up in price — 10.2% vs 2.6% in our settled results, and 15.1% when heavily bet. Play these selections only when the board shows them holding or shortening from the morning line. | |||||||
| Race 1 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,500 | |
| Win: | 2Added Touch (5/2) |
| Place: | 1Ante Up Tony (7/2) |
| Show: | 7Olympic Star (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Gospel Regina (15/1), 10Edgewater (8/1), 9Go Thunder Go (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Gospel Lois (15/1), 4Say As I Say (12/1), 6Lasko Lady (12/1), 8Mrs Shirley (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2179105 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 11027643985 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #7, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $27,000 | |
| Win: | 3Saline River (5/2) |
| Place: | 9Bold Discovery (5/1) |
| Show: | 4Casa Cielo (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2Hedge The Risk (4/1), 7Interstellar (8/1), 6Imua Kai (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8Don'task Don'ttell (6/1), 5Manor Born (15/1), 1Blessed Vision (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 324987 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 364275981 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #9, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $38,000 | |
| Win: | 5Kelce (2/1) |
| Place: | 1Machado (3/1) |
| Show: | 3Cocked Pistol (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Luna Latte (4/1), 4Arco Thunder (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Clay's Hatchett (6/1), 2Monadnock (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 516374 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5143672 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $30,000 | |
| Win: | 5Code Nate (2/1) |
| Place: | 8Endless Skyway (12/1) |
| Show: | 6Caymen's Soldier (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7Mo Town Gold (3/1), 2Shelley's Secret (6/1), 1Get Dreamy (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Sutter Bug (10/1), 3Rugged Sawyer Lee (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 576284 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 58146732 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #8, #6, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 6Bender (4/1) |
| Place: | 4Tres Soles (10/1) |
| Show: | 1Yellow Brick (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10Jacked Up (9/2), 7Lebombo (7/2), 9Jolly Samurai (6/1), 3Prince Rama (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Tyler's Turn (15/1), 2No Trouble (15/1), 8Succession (20/1), 11Justice Department (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6710194 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1462510739118 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #1, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $22,000 | |
| Win: | 8Strong Potential (3/1) |
| Place: | 11Militant (5/1) |
| Show: | 6Eleven Bravo (15/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Atreidesreflection (4/1), 4Scouser (10/1), 5Tiger Man Mckool (6/1), 10Remittance (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 9Prince J J (10/1), 2Life At Sea (20/1), 1Old Boys Club (20/1), 7Tuff Biz (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 83115104 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8410961123175 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #11, #6, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $39,000 | |
| Win: | 2Mellencamp (4/1) |
| Place: | 7Drill Baby (3/1) |
| Show: | 3Mirage (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 6Double Standards (15/1), 5Inwood Drive (5/2) |
| Rest of field: | 4Worth The Ransom (5/1), 1Special Agenda (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 275346 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3721654 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $17,500 | |
| Win: | 4Austin Cruise (4/1) |
| Place: | 6Wish Man (15/1) |
| Show: | 10Waco (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Backdoor Royalty (20/1), 3Coach Kev (5/1), 11Vino Texas Jess (6/1), 9Consecrated (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8Props (12/1), 5Straightaway (10/1), 7Empire Ranch (10/1), 1Pollito Tito (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10431169 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4107611923851 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #10, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 0, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
| Race 1 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $11,500 | |
| Win: | 2Added Touch (5/2) |
| Place: | 1Ante Up Tony (7/2) |
| Show: | 7Olympic Star (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 10Edgewater (8/1), 9Go Thunder Go (6/1), 3Gospel Lois (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Say As I Say (12/1), 6Lasko Lady (12/1), 8Mrs Shirley (12/1), 5Gospel Regina (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 2171094 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 11027643985 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #7, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1 1/16 Miles · Turf · Claiming · Purse $27,000 | |
| Win: | 3Saline River (5/2) |
| Place: | 9Bold Discovery (5/1) |
| Show: | 2Hedge The Risk (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Casa Cielo (9/2), 6Imua Kai (12/1), 7Interstellar (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8Don'task Don'ttell (6/1), 5Manor Born (15/1), 1Blessed Vision (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 329487 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 364275981 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #9, #2, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Sp Wt · Purse $38,000 | |
| Win: | 5Kelce (2/1) |
| Place: | 1Machado (3/1) |
| Show: | 4Arco Thunder (8/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Cocked Pistol (5/1), 6Luna Latte (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Clay's Hatchett (6/1), 2Monadnock (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 516347 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 5143672 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #1, #4, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $30,000 | |
| Win: | 5Code Nate (2/1) |
| Place: | 6Caymen's Soldier (9/2) |
| Show: | 7Mo Town Gold (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Shelley's Secret (6/1), 8Endless Skyway (12/1), 1Get Dreamy (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Sutter Bug (10/1), 3Rugged Sawyer Lee (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 576281 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 58146732 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #6, #7, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $18,000 | |
| Win: | 6Bender (4/1) |
| Place: | 1Yellow Brick (8/1) |
| Show: | 7Lebombo (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 10Jacked Up (9/2), 4Tres Soles (10/1), 9Jolly Samurai (6/1), 2No Trouble (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Tyler's Turn (15/1), 8Succession (20/1), 3Prince Rama (15/1), 11Justice Department (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 6710194 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 1462510739118 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #1, #7, #10 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 7 1/2 Furlongs · Turf · Claiming · Purse $22,000 | |
| Win: | 8Strong Potential (3/1) |
| Place: | 11Militant (5/1) |
| Show: | 3Atreidesreflection (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6Eleven Bravo (15/1), 4Scouser (10/1), 10Remittance (8/1), 5Tiger Man Mckool (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Life At Sea (20/1), 9Prince J J (10/1), 1Old Boys Club (20/1), 7Tuff Biz (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 83115104 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 8410961123175 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #11, #3, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Allowance · Purse $39,000 | |
| Win: | 3Mirage (7/2) |
| Place: | 2Mellencamp (4/1) |
| Show: | 7Drill Baby (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Inwood Drive (5/2), 1Special Agenda (15/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Worth The Ransom (5/1), 6Double Standards (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 357241 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 3721654 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #7, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 7 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $17,500 | |
| Win: | 4Austin Cruise (4/1) |
| Place: | 11Vino Texas Jess (6/1) |
| Show: | 10Waco (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Coach Kev (5/1), 6Wish Man (15/1), 9Consecrated (10/1), 5Straightaway (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Backdoor Royalty (20/1), 7Empire Ranch (10/1), 8Props (12/1), 1Pollito Tito (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 10411395 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4107611923851 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #11, #10, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 0, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.
| Pick 3 R1-3 | R1: #7,#1,#2 (73%) / R2: #3,#4,#9 (69%) / R3: #5,#1 (73%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 37% |
| Pick 3 R2-4 | R2: #3,#4,#9 (69%) / R3: #5,#1 (73%) / R4: #5,#7 (63%) $12 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 32% |
| Pick 3 R3-5 | R3: #5,#1 (73%) / R4: #5,#7 (63%) / R5: #6,#10,#1 (49%) $12 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 23% |
| Pick 3 R4-6 | R4: #5,#7 (63%) / R5: #6,#10,#1 (49%) / R6: #8,#11,#3 (66%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 20% |
| Pick 4 R1-4 | R1: #7,#1,#2 (73%) / R2: #3,#4,#9 (69%) / R3: #5,#1 (73%) / R4: #5,#7 (63%) $36 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 23% |
| Pick 4 R2-5 | R2: #3,#4,#9 (69%) / R3: #5,#1 (73%) / R4: #5,#7 (63%) / R5: #6,#10,#1 (49%) $36 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 16% |
| ADDED TOUCH | ANTE UP TONY | ARCO THUNDER | ATREIDESREFLECTION | AUSTIN CRUISE |
| BENDER | BLESSED VISION | BOLD DISCOVERY | CASA CIELO | CAYMEN'S SOLDIER |
| COACH KEV | COCKED PISTOL | CODE NATE | CONSECRATED | DON'TASK DON'TTELL |
| DRILL BABY | EDGEWATER | ELEVEN BRAVO | EMPIRE RANCH | ENDLESS SKYWAY |
| GO THUNDER GO | GOSPEL LOIS | GOSPEL REGINA | HEDGE THE RISK | IMUA KAI |
| INWOOD DRIVE | JACKED UP | JOLLY SAMURAI | JUSTICE DEPARTMENT | KELCE |
| LEBOMBO | LIFE AT SEA | LUNA LATTE | MACHADO | MANOR BORN |
| MILITANT | MIRAGE | MO TOWN GOLD | MONADNOCK | MRS SHIRLEY |
| OLD BOYS CLUB | OLYMPIC STAR | POLLITO TITO | PRINCE J J | PRINCE RAMA |
| REMITTANCE | RUGGED SAWYER LEE | SALINE RIVER | SAY AS I SAY | SCOUSER |
| SPECIAL AGENDA | STRAIGHTAWAY | STRONG POTENTIAL | SUCCESSION | SUTTER BUG |
| TRES SOLES | TUFF BIZ | TYLER'S TURN | VINO TEXAS JESS | WACO |
| WORTH THE RANSOM | YELLOW BRICK |
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