Get more in-depth analysis, expert picks, handicapper reports, AI picks, handicapping tools, in-article data tooltips, NO ADVERTISEMENTS, and other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) is our strongest pick source: on our weekly scoreboard it is the only one that picks winners at a higher rate than the morning-line favourite. Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) is a different kind of tool: it puts a calibrated win chance and a fair price on every horse, which is what the Kelly Edge Plays and the Live Overlays board are built on. As a win pick it currently trails Algo 2 and the morning-line favourite, so use it to price and size a bet rather than to choose a horse over Algo 2. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets (every race where one of our AI algorithms agrees with the expert consensus); Insider adds Algo 2 and the sharper Best Bets list, only the races where Algo 2 agrees with the experts; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.
How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.
Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).
AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
| Race 1 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 2Perugia (2/1) |
| Place: | 1Sheza Bernardini (3/1) |
| Show: | 7Popover Gal (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3Ximena (5/1), 4Moor Strength (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Ready For Trouble (12/1), 5Shudabeenacowgirl (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 217346 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2467135 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #7, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 2Housebuster Dude (8/5) |
| Place: | 1Imperial Spy (4/1) |
| Show: | 5Chuck's Law (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7Winning Song (9/2), 4Easter Blessing (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3David's Kitten (15/1), 6Liberty Runner (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 215743 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2154763 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #5, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| ★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best. | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 4Honor Roll (3/1) |
| Place: | 6Vorstin (2/1) |
| Show: | 1Natures Fury (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Luv Queen E (10/1), 7Little Gussie (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 5Standish (5/1), 3Alyvia's Lil Girl (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 461725 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2461753 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 4Seismic Shift (7/2) |
| Place: | 5Flamenca (3/1) |
| Show: | 2Peephole (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6She Said So (4/1), 1Fiordo Di Furore (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Here She Goes (12/1), 7Diamond Glory (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 452613 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4256137 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 2Duke Of Suggins (2/1) |
| Place: | 7J Cody (3/1) |
| Show: | 1Iron Sharpens Iron (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Southern Dream (5/1), 6Fully Authorized (8/1), 5Leigh's Last Hero (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 8The Tire Man (8/1), 3Ten Plus Ten (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 271465 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 26715438 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 8Honor Our Country (3/1) |
| Place: | 6Dean Of Belonging (7/2) |
| Show: | 2Courageous Fergie (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1Gingersayschill (4/1), 7Flirtin Again (5/1), 5Pippa's Noncents (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4American Select (8/1), 3Pittore D'oro (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 862175 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 86435217 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #6, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 3Epic Luck (9/5) |
| Place: | 1Boys Of Summer (5/2) |
| Show: | 5Fromanothamutha (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2War Commander (8/1), 4Time Tested (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Union Lights (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 315246 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 312546 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $52,000 | |
| Win: | 6Concord Bridge (2/1) |
| Place: | 7Coach Bennett (7/2) |
| Show: | 5Beach Colt (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Countthebrave (6/1), 1Nancy Made My Day (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Dr. Steve (6/1), 3Handsome Pants (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 675214 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6751243 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| ◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often. | |
| Win: | 7Halftime Show (5/2) |
| Place: | 4Onishenko (3/1) |
| Show: | 2Vix (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5We Miss Neil (4/1), 6Hephepcutdownnets (8/1), 1Sergeant Sinatra (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Sittin Chilly (8/1), 8Pastero (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 742561 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 74162385 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #4, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) at Parx Racing — win rate
How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 244 graded races at Parx Racing, 2026-09-07 to 2026-11-09.
The morning line is the track handicapper's overnight price, not the final tote odds. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.
Show the numbers
| Group | Win rate | Races |
|---|---|---|
| Our top pick | 34.0% | 244 |
| Morning-line favourite | 31.1% | 244 |
| Race 1 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $26,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 2Perugia (2/1) 27% · fair 5-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 7Popover Gal (9/2) 26% · fair 3-1 overlay +55% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 1Sheza Bernardini (3/1) 20% · fair 4-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 3Ximena (5/1) 12% · fair 15-2 underlay -34%, 4Moor Strength (8/1) 8% · fair 11-1 underlay -28% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 6Ready For Trouble (12/1) 5% · fair 21-1 underlay -43%, 5Shudabeenacowgirl (15/1) 2% · fair 43-1 underlay -65% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 1 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 1 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 217346 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 2467135 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 2 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 2Housebuster Dude (8/5) 46% · fair 1-1 overlay +38% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 5Chuck's Law (7/2) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -27% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 1Imperial Spy (4/1) 17% · fair 5-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 7Winning Song (9/2) 9% · fair 19-2 underlay -53%, 4Easter Blessing (6/1) 7% · fair 29-2 underlay -58% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 3David's Kitten (15/1) 2% · fair 45-1 underlay -66%, 6Liberty Runner (15/1) 1% · fair 81-1 underlay -81% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 2 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 2 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 251743 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 2154763 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #1, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 3 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 4Honor Roll (3/1) 39% · fair 3-2 overlay +93% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 6Vorstin (2/1) 20% · fair 4-1 underlay -51% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 1Natures Fury (4/1) 14% · fair 13-2 underlay -36% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 7Little Gussie (9/2) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -43%, 2Luv Queen E (10/1) 8% · fair 12-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 5Standish (5/1) 6% · fair 16-1 underlay -69%, 3Alyvia's Lil Girl (20/1) 3% · fair 71-2 underlay -44% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 3 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 3 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 461752 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 2461753 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #1, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 4 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $26,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 4Seismic Shift (7/2) 39% · fair 3-2 overlay +128% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 2Peephole (4/1) 18% · fair 9-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 5Flamenca (3/1) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -37% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 6She Said So (4/1) 10% · fair 17-2 underlay -54%, 1Fiordo Di Furore (5/1) 9% · fair 21-2 underlay -52% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 3Here She Goes (12/1) 3% · fair 57-2 underlay -58%, 7Diamond Glory (15/1) 2% · fair 87-2 underlay -65% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 4 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 4 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 452613 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 4256137 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 5 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 2Duke Of Suggins (2/1) 36% · fair 2-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 7J Cody (3/1) 23% · fair 7-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 1Iron Sharpens Iron (5/1) 14% · fair 13-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 4Southern Dream (5/1) 10% · fair 17-2 underlay -42%, 6Fully Authorized (8/1) 5% · fair 37-2 underlay -57%, 5Leigh's Last Hero (8/1) 5% · fair 20-1 underlay -60% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 8The Tire Man (8/1) 4% · fair 47-2 underlay -66%, 3Ten Plus Ten (15/1) 3% · fair 61-2 underlay -51% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 5 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 5 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 271465 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 26715438 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 6 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $26,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 8Honor Our Country (3/1) 26% · fair 3-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 6Dean Of Belonging (7/2) 19% · fair 4-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 2Courageous Fergie (9/2) 16% · fair 5-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 1Gingersayschill (4/1) 10% · fair 17-2 underlay -54%, 7Flirtin Again (5/1) 10% · fair 9-1 underlay -44%, 5Pippa's Noncents (8/1) 6% · fair 29-2 underlay -45% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 4American Select (8/1) 6% · fair 15-1 underlay -46%, 3Pittore D'oro (10/1) 5% · fair 18-1 underlay -45% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 6 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 6 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 862175 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 86435217 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #6, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 7 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 3Epic Luck (9/5) 41% · fair 3-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 1Boys Of Summer (5/2) 24% · fair 3-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 5Fromanothamutha (7/2) 14% · fair 13-2 underlay -45% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 2War Commander (8/1) 10% · fair 9-1, 4Time Tested (8/1) 7% · fair 13-1 underlay -39% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 6Union Lights (5/1) 5% · fair 37-2 underlay -73% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 7 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 7 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 315624 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 312546 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #5, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 8 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $52,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 6Concord Bridge (2/1) 29% · fair 5-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 7Coach Bennett (7/2) 18% · fair 9-2 underlay -25% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 1Nancy Made My Day (6/1) 14% · fair 6-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 2Countthebrave (6/1) 14% · fair 6-1, 5Beach Colt (3/1) 12% · fair 7-1 underlay -58% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 4Dr. Steve (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 3Handsome Pants (12/1) 2% · fair 43-1 underlay -72% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 8 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 8 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 675124 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 6751243 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #7, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Race 9 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Win: | 7Halftime Show (5/2) 27% · fair 5-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Place: | 4Onishenko (3/1) 21% · fair 4-1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Show: | 2Vix (6/1) 15% · fair 11-2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Other contenders: | 5We Miss Neil (4/1) 11% · fair 8-1 underlay -50%, 6Hephepcutdownnets (8/1) 9% · fair 19-2, 3Sittin Chilly (8/1) 6% · fair 15-1 underlay -47% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Rest of field: | 1Sergeant Sinatra (8/1) 6% · fair 33-2 underlay -51%, 8Pastero (10/1) 5% · fair 21-1 underlay -52% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Race 9 — chance of winning Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds. ◀ marks the published selection. Show the numbers
Race 9 — where we disagree with the market Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale. we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay) The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short. Show the numbers
| ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🌧️ Off-track: 745263 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎯 Longshots: 74162385 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #4, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
| Race 1 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| Win: | 2Perugia (2/1) |
| Place: | 7Popover Gal (9/2) |
| Show: | 1Sheza Bernardini (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Ximena (5/1), 4Moor Strength (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Ready For Trouble (12/1), 5Shudabeenacowgirl (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 217346 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2467135 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | |
| Win: | 2Housebuster Dude (8/5) |
| Place: | 1Imperial Spy (4/1) |
| Show: | 5Chuck's Law (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 7Winning Song (9/2), 4Easter Blessing (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Liberty Runner (15/1), 3David's Kitten (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 251746 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2154763 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #5, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 4Honor Roll (3/1) |
| Place: | 6Vorstin (2/1) |
| Show: | 1Natures Fury (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Standish (5/1), 7Little Gussie (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 2Luv Queen E (10/1), 3Alyvia's Lil Girl (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 641752 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2461753 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #1, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| Win: | 4Seismic Shift (7/2) |
| Place: | 5Flamenca (3/1) |
| Show: | 2Peephole (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6She Said So (4/1), 1Fiordo Di Furore (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Here She Goes (12/1), 7Diamond Glory (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 452613 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4256137 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 2Duke Of Suggins (2/1) |
| Place: | 7J Cody (3/1) |
| Show: | 1Iron Sharpens Iron (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Southern Dream (5/1), 6Fully Authorized (8/1), 5Leigh's Last Hero (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Ten Plus Ten (15/1), 8The Tire Man (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 271465 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 26715438 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| Win: | 8Honor Our Country (3/1) |
| Place: | 6Dean Of Belonging (7/2) |
| Show: | 2Courageous Fergie (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1Gingersayschill (4/1), 7Flirtin Again (5/1), 5Pippa's Noncents (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4American Select (8/1), 3Pittore D'oro (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 862175 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 86435217 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #6, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000 | |
| Win: | 3Epic Luck (9/5) |
| Place: | 1Boys Of Summer (5/2) |
| Show: | 5Fromanothamutha (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4Time Tested (8/1), 2War Commander (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Union Lights (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 315642 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 312546 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $52,000 | |
| Win: | 6Concord Bridge (2/1) |
| Place: | 5Beach Colt (3/1) |
| Show: | 7Coach Bennett (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4Dr. Steve (6/1), 1Nancy Made My Day (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 2Countthebrave (6/1), 3Handsome Pants (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 657412 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6751243 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #7, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 7Halftime Show (5/2) |
| Place: | 4Onishenko (3/1) |
| Show: | 2Vix (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5We Miss Neil (4/1), 6Hephepcutdownnets (8/1), 1Sergeant Sinatra (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Sittin Chilly (8/1), 8Pastero (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 745261 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 74162385 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #4, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 0, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5, |
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ
Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.
| Race 1 | AI Exacta: #2 over #7 ($1 straight; box #2-#7 for cover) Trifecta: #2 over #1, #7, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 2 | AI Exacta: #2 over #1 ($1 straight; box #2-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #2 over #5, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 3 | AI Exacta: #4 over #6 ($1 straight; box #4-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #6, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 4 | AI Exacta: #4 over #2 ($1 straight; box #4-#2 for cover) Trifecta: #4 over #5, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 5 | AI Exacta: #2 over #7 ($1 straight; box #2-#7 for cover) Trifecta: #2 over #7, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 6 | AI Exacta: #8 over #6 ($1 straight; box #8-#6 for cover) Trifecta: #8 over #6, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 7 | AI Exacta: #3 over #1 ($1 straight; box #3-#1 for cover) Trifecta: #3 over #1, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 8 | AI Exacta: #6 over #7 ($1 straight; box #6-#7 for cover) Trifecta: #6 over #5, #1, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
| Race 9 | AI Exacta: #7 over #4 ($1 straight; box #7-#4 for cover) Trifecta: #7 over #4, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing |
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
| Race 1 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| Win: | 2Perugia (2/1) |
| Place: | 7Popover Gal (9/2) |
| Show: | 1Sheza Bernardini (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 3Ximena (5/1), 6Ready For Trouble (12/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Moor Strength (8/1), 5Shudabeenacowgirl (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 217346 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2467135 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #1, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | |
| Win: | 2Housebuster Dude (8/5) |
| Place: | 5Chuck's Law (7/2) |
| Show: | 1Imperial Spy (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7Winning Song (9/2), 4Easter Blessing (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3David's Kitten (15/1), 6Liberty Runner (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 251743 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2154763 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #1, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 6Vorstin (2/1) |
| Place: | 5Standish (5/1) |
| Show: | 4Honor Roll (3/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Luv Queen E (10/1), 1Natures Fury (4/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Little Gussie (9/2), 3Alyvia's Lil Girl (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 645172 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2461753 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #4, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| Win: | 4Seismic Shift (7/2) |
| Place: | 5Flamenca (3/1) |
| Show: | 2Peephole (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6She Said So (4/1), 1Fiordo Di Furore (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Here She Goes (12/1), 7Diamond Glory (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 452613 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4256137 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 2Duke Of Suggins (2/1) |
| Place: | 7J Cody (3/1) |
| Show: | 1Iron Sharpens Iron (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Southern Dream (5/1), 5Leigh's Last Hero (8/1), 6Fully Authorized (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Ten Plus Ten (15/1), 8The Tire Man (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 271456 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 26715438 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| Win: | 8Honor Our Country (3/1) |
| Place: | 6Dean Of Belonging (7/2) |
| Show: | 7Flirtin Again (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Courageous Fergie (9/2), 1Gingersayschill (4/1), 3Pittore D'oro (10/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4American Select (8/1), 5Pippa's Noncents (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 861274 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 86435217 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #6, #7, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000 | |
| Win: | 3Epic Luck (9/5) |
| Place: | 5Fromanothamutha (7/2) |
| Show: | 1Boys Of Summer (5/2) |
| Other contenders: | 2War Commander (8/1), 4Time Tested (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Union Lights (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 315624 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 312546 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #5, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $52,000 | |
| Win: | 6Concord Bridge (2/1) |
| Place: | 4Dr. Steve (6/1) |
| Show: | 2Countthebrave (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5Beach Colt (3/1), 1Nancy Made My Day (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 7Coach Bennett (7/2), 3Handsome Pants (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 657421 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6751243 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #4, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 7Halftime Show (5/2) |
| Place: | 4Onishenko (3/1) |
| Show: | 2Vix (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5We Miss Neil (4/1), 6Hephepcutdownnets (8/1), 1Sergeant Sinatra (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Sittin Chilly (8/1), 8Pastero (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 745261 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 74162385 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #4, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 0, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1, |
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
| Race 1 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| Win: | 2Perugia (2/1) |
| Place: | 1Sheza Bernardini (3/1) |
| Show: | 7Popover Gal (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 3Ximena (5/1), 4Moor Strength (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Ready For Trouble (12/1), 5Shudabeenacowgirl (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 217346 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2467135 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #1, #7, #3 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 2 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000 | |
| Win: | 2Housebuster Dude (8/5) |
| Place: | 5Chuck's Law (7/2) |
| Show: | 1Imperial Spy (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Easter Blessing (6/1), 7Winning Song (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 6Liberty Runner (15/1), 3David's Kitten (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 251746 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2154763 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #5, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 3 5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 4Honor Roll (3/1) |
| Place: | 6Vorstin (2/1) |
| Show: | 1Natures Fury (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 2Luv Queen E (10/1), 7Little Gussie (9/2) |
| Rest of field: | 5Standish (5/1), 3Alyvia's Lil Girl (20/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 461752 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 2461753 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #6, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 4 1 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| Win: | 4Seismic Shift (7/2) |
| Place: | 5Flamenca (3/1) |
| Show: | 2Peephole (4/1) |
| Other contenders: | 6She Said So (4/1), 1Fiordo Di Furore (5/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Here She Goes (12/1), 7Diamond Glory (15/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 452613 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 4256137 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #2, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 5 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 2Duke Of Suggins (2/1) |
| Place: | 7J Cody (3/1) |
| Show: | 1Iron Sharpens Iron (5/1) |
| Other contenders: | 4Southern Dream (5/1), 6Fully Authorized (8/1), 5Leigh's Last Hero (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Ten Plus Ten (15/1), 8The Tire Man (8/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 271465 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 26715438 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #2 over #7, #1, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 6 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $26,000 | |
| Win: | 8Honor Our Country (3/1) |
| Place: | 6Dean Of Belonging (7/2) |
| Show: | 2Courageous Fergie (9/2) |
| Other contenders: | 1Gingersayschill (4/1), 7Flirtin Again (5/1), 4American Select (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 5Pippa's Noncents (8/1), 3Pittore D'oro (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 862174 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 86435217 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #6, #2, #1 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 7 1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000 | |
| Win: | 3Epic Luck (9/5) |
| Place: | 1Boys Of Summer (5/2) |
| Show: | 5Fromanothamutha (7/2) |
| Other contenders: | 4Time Tested (8/1), 2War Commander (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 6Union Lights (5/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 315642 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 312546 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #1, #5, #4 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 8 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Allowance Optional Claiming · Purse $52,000 | |
| Win: | 6Concord Bridge (2/1) |
| Place: | 5Beach Colt (3/1) |
| Show: | 1Nancy Made My Day (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 7Coach Bennett (7/2), 2Countthebrave (6/1) |
| Rest of field: | 4Dr. Steve (6/1), 3Handsome Pants (12/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 657124 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 6751243 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #6 over #5, #1, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| Race 9 6 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $21,000 | |
| Win: | 7Halftime Show (5/2) |
| Place: | 4Onishenko (3/1) |
| Show: | 2Vix (6/1) |
| Other contenders: | 5We Miss Neil (4/1), 6Hephepcutdownnets (8/1), 1Sergeant Sinatra (8/1) |
| Rest of field: | 3Sittin Chilly (8/1), 8Pastero (10/1) |
| 🌧️ Off-track: 745261 | |
| 🎯 Longshots: 74162385 | |
| 🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #4, #2, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos) · low value — consider passing | |
| AI Weight Settingsⓘ |
| Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 0, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1, |
AI Multi-Race Tickets – Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ
Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.
| Pick 3 R1-3 | R1: #2,#7,#1 (73%) / R2: #2,#5 (64%) / R3: #4,#6,#1 (72%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 34% |
| Pick 3 R2-4 | R2: #2,#5 (64%) / R3: #4,#6,#1 (72%) / R4: #4,#2,#5 (75%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 35% |
| Pick 3 R3-5 | R3: #4,#6,#1 (72%) / R4: #4,#2,#5 (75%) / R5: #2,#7,#1 (72%) $27 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 39% |
| Pick 3 R5-7 | R5: #2,#7,#1 (72%) / R6: #8,#6,#2 (62%) / R7: #3,#1 (64%) $18 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 29% |
| Pick 4 R1-4 | R1: #2,#7,#1 (73%) / R2: #2,#5 (64%) / R3: #4,#6,#1 (72%) / R4: #4,#2,#5 (75%) $54 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 25% |
| Pick 4 R2-5 | R2: #2,#5 (64%) / R3: #4,#6,#1 (72%) / R4: #4,#2,#5 (75%) / R5: #2,#7,#1 (72%) $54 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 25% |
Index – Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
| ALYVIA'S LIL GIRL | AMERICAN SELECT | BEACH COLT | BOYS OF SUMMER | CHUCK'S LAW |
| CONCORD BRIDGE | COUNTTHEBRAVE | COURAGEOUS FERGIE | DAVID'S KITTEN | DEAN OF BELONGING |
| DR. STEVE | DUKE OF SUGGINS | EASTER BLESSING | EPIC LUCK | FIORDO DI FURORE |
| FLIRTIN AGAIN | FROMANOTHAMUTHA | FULLY AUTHORIZED | GINGERSAYSCHILL | HALFTIME SHOW |
| HEPHEPCUTDOWNNETS | HERE SHE GOES | HONOR OUR COUNTRY | HONOR ROLL | HOUSEBUSTER DUDE |
| IRON SHARPENS IRON | J CODY | LEIGH'S LAST HERO | LIBERTY RUNNER | LITTLE GUSSIE |
| MOOR STRENGTH | NANCY MADE MY DAY | NATURES FURY | ONISHENKO | PASTERO |
| PERUGIA | PIPPA'S NONCENTS | PITTORE D'ORO | POPOVER GAL | READY FOR TROUBLE |
| SERGEANT SINATRA | SHE SAID SO | SHEZA BERNARDINI | SHUDABEENACOWGIRL | SITTIN CHILLY |
| STANDISH | TEN PLUS TEN | THE TIRE MAN | TIME TESTED | UNION LIGHTS |
| VORSTIN | WAR COMMANDER | WE MISS NEIL | WINNING SONG | XIMENA |
Get more in-depth analysis for all races and enjoy many other membership perks with a Pick Pony subscription!
