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Pick Pony AI Picks and Predictions Tip Sheet – Gulfstream Park, November 13, 2026

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How the ladder works: Algo 1 is our weighted rating. Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) is our strongest pick source: on our weekly scoreboard it is the only one that picks winners at a higher rate than the morning-line favourite. Algo 3 (AI Win Probability) is a different kind of tool: it puts a calibrated win chance and a fair price on every horse, which is what the Kelly Edge Plays and the Live Overlays board are built on. As a win pick it currently trails Algo 2 and the morning-line favourite, so use it to price and size a bet rather than to choose a horse over Algo 2. Starter members get Algo 1 and Today's Best Bets (every race where one of our AI algorithms agrees with the expert consensus); Insider adds Algo 2 and the sharper Best Bets list, only the races where Algo 2 agrees with the experts; Handicapper adds Algo 3, the exotics structures, the Kelly Edge Plays and the experimental weight sets we use to test weight changes. We also provide handpicked Expert Picks from Pick Pony's analysts.

How these picks are timed: our AI ranks every race the night before, from the official past performances as published. Each morning we apply the official Equibase scratches and surface changes and re-rank any race they affect. If a pick on this page changed, an AI Morning Update section is added above with the new selection and the reason. Always check the scratches before betting.

Remember: Our AI models trend towards value. When deciding whether to bet a horse to win, place, or show, always look for value in the odds (read our article on betting and odds for more information).

AI Picks – Algo 2 (AI Ensemble)ⓘ
Algo 2 (AI Ensemble) at Gulfstream Park — win rate vs the experts

How often each one actually won. Same races, side by side. 297 graded races at Gulfstream Park, 2026-08-15 to 2026-11-08.

0%11%22%33%43%Our top pick: 34.7% from 297 racesOur top pick34.7%Expert consensus pick: 32.0% from 297 racesExpert consensus pick32.0%

The consensus is the weighted top pick of 25+ published handicappers. Thoroughbred races only. Races where our pick was scratched are excluded — a scratch is a refund, not a loss.

Show the numbers
GroupWin rateRaces
Our top pick34.7%297
Expert consensus pick32.0%297
 
Race 1  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $27,000
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:9Cathedral Sun (5/2)
Place:8Dorothy (9/2)
Show:3Positano Princess (5/1)
Other contenders:1Magic Mini (6/1), 4Gold Glitters (6/1), 5Reconquista (8/1)
Rest of field:7Beautiful Tapdance (10/1), 2All Light Long (12/1), 10Bustin Border (20/1), 6Esther's Favor (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 983145
🎯 Longshots: 98345172610
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #8, #3, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000, an early race on the card: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:8R Delray (9/5)
Place:4Valdero (5/2)
Show:3Adios Mate (9/2)
Other contenders:7Rodhan (5/1), 6Western Shaft (8/1), 2Noble Prince (20/1)
Rest of field:5Lobo Go (10/1), 1Hendrickson (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 843765
🎯 Longshots: 84623751
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #3, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $30,000
Win:8R Kan't Miss (5/2)
Place:7R Nashvegas (2/1)
Show:1Daughter's Legacy (4/1)
Other contenders:2Guerrera (6/1), 6Delta Queen (6/1), 4Jukebox Jenny (12/1)
Rest of field:3Penny Cheaper (20/1), 5Bayern It (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 781264
🎯 Longshots: 78126453
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #7, #1, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000
◆ Strong spot — a six-horse field, a route of a mile or more, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:3Miss Magical (7/5)
Place:6Mine Strike (2/1)
Show:2Miss Valentina (9/2)
Other contenders:5Cousin Pammie (6/1), 4Just Majestic (6/1)
Rest of field:1Nipsey (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 362541
🎯 Longshots: 362154
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)
 
Race 5  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000
★ Strong disagreement — our model and the betting favourite land on different horses here, and this is the kind of race where that has paid off best.
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:4Role Play (7/2)
Place:2Tinkatwo (3/1)
Show:5Come On Poppi (6/1)
Other contenders:9Boombox Betty (8/1), 6Mindful Grace (6/1), 8Hippy Hippy Shake (12/1), 10Smart Lisa (8/1)
Rest of field:7List (15/1), 11Spirit Of Jamaica (15/1), 1Precious Sight (20/1), 3Dream Diamond (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4259610
🎯 Longshots: 4987521011136
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #5, #9  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $45,000
Win:3Khozan Ostra (2/1)
Place:4American Reign (3/1)
Show:6Anushka (6/1)
Other contenders:7Howard Creek (6/1), 1Velocista (8/1), 5Playful Tease (5/1)
Rest of field:8St Margaret's Bay (12/1), 2Mabie's Tavern (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 346751
🎯 Longshots: 34657182
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #6, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,500
◆ Strong spot — a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:4Happy Ride (2/1)
Place:5Chloe's Toy (5/2)
Show:1My Perfect Lady (7/2)
Other contenders:7Travel Happy (6/1), 2Roxy (5/1)
Rest of field:3Logistics (12/1), 6Valiant Victoria (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 451273
🎯 Longshots: 5436172
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #1, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $35,000
Win:8White Bullet (4/1)
Place:4Zevi's Zone (5/1)
Show:11Governor Dutton (6/1)
Other contenders:6Redhotnotbothered (8/1), 1Shinyhappygroovy (8/1), 5Braveness (6/1), 3Titans Edge (6/1)
Rest of field:7Skipping Stars (10/1), 10Inhonorofsonny (8/1), 2Image (20/1), 9Sharpazano (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8411536
🎯 Longshots: 1678410113592
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #11, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000
◆ Strong spot — a route of a mile or more, a purse under $30,000: the kind of race where the AI Ensemble has beaten the morning-line favourite most often.
Win:7Geaux Amy (5/2)
Place:8Birdie Rose (3/1)
Show:5Das Ist Alles Ally (9/2)
Other contenders:6Atmidnight (5/1), 1Pocket Pair (6/1), 2Ton A Laughs (6/1)
Rest of field:3Judge Judith (15/1), 4Sunroof (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 785612
🎯 Longshots: 78516342
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #8, #5, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 3 (AI Win Probability)ⓘ
 
Race 1  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $27,000
Win:9Cathedral Sun (5/2) 27% · fair 5-2
Place:8Dorothy (9/2) 20% · fair 4-1
Show:5Reconquista (8/1) 12% · fair 15-2
Other contenders:4Gold Glitters (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 1Magic Mini (6/1) 12% · fair 15-2, 3Positano Princess (5/1) 9% · fair 11-1 underlay -54%
Rest of field:2All Light Long (12/1) 4% · fair 51-2 underlay -53%, 7Beautiful Tapdance (10/1) 3% · fair 38-1 underlay -74%, 6Esther's Favor (30/1) 1% · fair 76-1 underlay -61%, 10Bustin Border (20/1) 1% · fair 235-2 underlay -83%
Race 1 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Cathedral Sun — 27.4% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Cathedral Sun27.4% ◀Dorothy — 20.1% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Dorothy20.1%Reconquista — 12.1% win probability, morning line 8/1Reconquista12.1%Gold Glitters — 11.9% win probability, morning line 6/1Gold Glitters11.9%Magic Mini — 11.6% win probability, morning line 6/1Magic Mini11.6%Positano Princess — 8.5% win probability, morning line 5/1Positano Princess8.5%All Light Long — 3.8% win probability, morning line 12/1All Light Long3.8%Beautiful Tapdance — 2.6% win probability, morning line 10/1Beautiful Tapdance2.6%Esther'S Favor — 1.3% win probability, morning line 30/1Esther'S Favor1.3%Bustin Border — 0.8% win probability, morning line 20/1Bustin Border0.8%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Cathedral Sun27.4%2.5/1
Dorothy20.1%4.5/1
Reconquista12.1%8/1
Gold Glitters11.9%6/1
Magic Mini11.6%6/1
Positano Princess8.5%5/1
All Light Long3.8%12/1
Beautiful Tapdance2.6%10/1
Esther'S Favor1.3%30/1
Bustin Border0.8%20/1
Race 1 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherCathedral Sun: model 27.4% vs market 22.3% (+5.0 points)Cathedral Sun+5.0Dorothy: model 20.1% vs market 14.2% (+5.9 points)Dorothy+5.9Reconquista: model 12.1% vs market 8.7% (+3.4 points)Reconquista+3.4Gold Glitters: model 11.9% vs market 11.2% (+0.7 points)Gold Glitters+0.7Magic Mini: model 11.6% vs market 11.2% (+0.4 points)Magic Mini+0.4Positano Princess: model 8.5% vs market 13.0% (-4.5 points)Positano Princess-4.5All Light Long: model 3.8% vs market 6.0% (-2.2 points)All Light Long-2.2Beautiful Tapdance: model 2.6% vs market 7.1% (-4.6 points)Beautiful Tapdance-4.6Esther'S Favor: model 1.3% vs market 2.5% (-1.2 points)Esther'S Favor-1.2Bustin Border: model 0.8% vs market 3.7% (-2.9 points)Bustin Border-2.9

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Cathedral Sun27.4%22.3%+5.0
Dorothy20.1%14.2%+5.9
Reconquista12.1%8.7%+3.4
Gold Glitters11.9%11.2%+0.7
Magic Mini11.6%11.2%+0.4
Positano Princess8.5%13.0%-4.5
All Light Long3.8%6.0%-2.2
Beautiful Tapdance2.6%7.1%-4.6
Esther'S Favor1.3%2.5%-1.2
Bustin Border0.8%3.7%-2.9
🌧️ Off-track: 984135
🎯 Longshots: 98345172610
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #8, #5, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000
Win:8R Delray (9/5) 47% · fair 1-1 overlay +60%
Place:4Valdero (5/2) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -48%
Show:7Rodhan (5/1) 13% · fair 13-2
Other contenders:3Adios Mate (9/2) 13% · fair 7-1 underlay -35%, 6Western Shaft (8/1) 5% · fair 41-2 underlay -61%, 2Noble Prince (20/1) 2% · fair 48-1 underlay -58%
Rest of field:5Lobo Go (10/1) 2% · fair 97-2 underlay -79%, 1Hendrickson (20/1) 1% · fair 153-2 underlay -74%
Race 2 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

R Delray — 47.1% win probability, morning line 1.8/1R Delray47.1% ◀Valdero — 17.1% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Valdero17.1%Rodhan — 13.2% win probability, morning line 5/1Rodhan13.2%Adios Mate — 12.6% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Adios Mate12.6%Western Shaft — 4.7% win probability, morning line 8/1Western Shaft4.7%Noble Prince — 2.0% win probability, morning line 20/1Noble Prince2.0%Lobo Go — 2.0% win probability, morning line 10/1Lobo Go2.0%Hendrickson — 1.3% win probability, morning line 20/1Hendrickson1.3%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
R Delray47.1%1.8/1
Valdero17.1%2.5/1
Rodhan13.2%5/1
Adios Mate12.6%4.5/1
Western Shaft4.7%8/1
Noble Prince2.0%20/1
Lobo Go2.0%10/1
Hendrickson1.3%20/1
Race 2 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherR Delray: model 47.1% vs market 27.7% (+19.3 points)R Delray+19.3Valdero: model 17.1% vs market 22.2% (-5.1 points)Valdero-5.1Rodhan: model 13.2% vs market 12.9% (+0.3 points)Rodhan+0.3Adios Mate: model 12.6% vs market 14.1% (-1.5 points)Adios Mate-1.5Western Shaft: model 4.7% vs market 8.6% (-3.9 points)Western Shaft-3.9Noble Prince: model 2.0% vs market 3.7% (-1.6 points)Noble Prince-1.6Lobo Go: model 2.0% vs market 7.1% (-5.0 points)Lobo Go-5.0Hendrickson: model 1.3% vs market 3.7% (-2.4 points)Hendrickson-2.4

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
R Delray47.1%27.7%+19.3
Valdero17.1%22.2%-5.1
Rodhan13.2%12.9%+0.3
Adios Mate12.6%14.1%-1.5
Western Shaft4.7%8.6%-3.9
Noble Prince2.0%3.7%-1.6
Lobo Go2.0%7.1%-5.0
Hendrickson1.3%3.7%-2.4
🌧️ Off-track: 843765
🎯 Longshots: 84623751
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #7, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $30,000
Win:8R Kan't Miss (5/2) 41% · fair 3-2 overlay +77%
Place:7R Nashvegas (2/1) 29% · fair 5-2
Show:1Daughter's Legacy (4/1) 9% · fair 10-1 underlay -60%
Other contenders:2Guerrera (6/1) 7% · fair 25-2 underlay -53%, 6Delta Queen (6/1) 7% · fair 14-1 underlay -57%, 4Jukebox Jenny (12/1) 3% · fair 69-2 underlay -65%
Rest of field:3Penny Cheaper (20/1) 2% · fair 103-2 underlay -61%, 5Bayern It (15/1) 2% · fair 64-1 underlay -77%
Race 3 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

R Kan'T Miss — 41.4% win probability, morning line 2.5/1R Kan'T Miss41.4% ◀R Nashvegas — 29.2% win probability, morning line 2/1R Nashvegas29.2%Daughter'S Legacy — 9.1% win probability, morning line 4/1Daughter'S Legacy9.1%Guerrera — 7.3% win probability, morning line 6/1Guerrera7.3%Delta Queen — 6.7% win probability, morning line 6/1Delta Queen6.7%Jukebox Jenny — 2.8% win probability, morning line 12/1Jukebox Jenny2.8%Penny Cheaper — 1.9% win probability, morning line 20/1Penny Cheaper1.9%Bayern It — 1.5% win probability, morning line 15/1Bayern It1.5%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
R Kan'T Miss41.4%2.5/1
R Nashvegas29.2%2/1
Daughter'S Legacy9.1%4/1
Guerrera7.3%6/1
Delta Queen6.7%6/1
Jukebox Jenny2.8%12/1
Penny Cheaper1.9%20/1
Bayern It1.5%15/1
Race 3 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherR Kan'T Miss: model 41.4% vs market 22.1% (+19.3 points)R Kan'T Miss+19.3R Nashvegas: model 29.2% vs market 25.8% (+3.4 points)R Nashvegas+3.4Daughter'S Legacy: model 9.1% vs market 15.5% (-6.4 points)Daughter'S Legacy-6.4Guerrera: model 7.3% vs market 11.1% (-3.7 points)Guerrera-3.7Delta Queen: model 6.7% vs market 11.1% (-4.4 points)Delta Queen-4.4Jukebox Jenny: model 2.8% vs market 6.0% (-3.2 points)Jukebox Jenny-3.2Penny Cheaper: model 1.9% vs market 3.7% (-1.8 points)Penny Cheaper-1.8Bayern It: model 1.5% vs market 4.8% (-3.3 points)Bayern It-3.3

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
R Kan'T Miss41.4%22.1%+19.3
R Nashvegas29.2%25.8%+3.4
Daughter'S Legacy9.1%15.5%-6.4
Guerrera7.3%11.1%-3.7
Delta Queen6.7%11.1%-4.4
Jukebox Jenny2.8%6.0%-3.2
Penny Cheaper1.9%3.7%-1.8
Bayern It1.5%4.8%-3.3
🌧️ Off-track: 871264
🎯 Longshots: 78126453
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #7, #1, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:3Miss Magical (7/5) 52% · fair 5-5 overlay +51%
Place:2Miss Valentina (9/2) 19% · fair 4-1
Show:5Cousin Pammie (6/1) 9% · fair 10-1 underlay -39%
Other contenders:6Mine Strike (2/1) 9% · fair 21-2 underlay -81%, 4Just Majestic (6/1) 6% · fair 16-1 underlay -62%
Rest of field:1Nipsey (12/1) 5% · fair 39-2 underlay -39%
Race 4 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Miss Magical — 51.9% win probability, morning line 1.4/1Miss Magical51.9% ◀Miss Valentina — 19.5% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Miss Valentina19.5%Cousin Pammie — 9.2% win probability, morning line 6/1Cousin Pammie9.2%Mine Strike — 8.7% win probability, morning line 2/1Mine Strike8.7%Just Majestic — 5.9% win probability, morning line 6/1Just Majestic5.9%Nipsey — 4.9% win probability, morning line 12/1Nipsey4.9%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Miss Magical51.9%1.4/1
Miss Valentina19.5%4.5/1
Cousin Pammie9.2%6/1
Mine Strike8.7%2/1
Just Majestic5.9%6/1
Nipsey4.9%12/1
Race 4 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherMiss Magical: model 51.9% vs market 32.2% (+19.7 points)Miss Magical+19.7Miss Valentina: model 19.5% vs market 14.0% (+5.4 points)Miss Valentina+5.4Cousin Pammie: model 9.2% vs market 11.0% (-1.8 points)Cousin Pammie-1.8Mine Strike: model 8.7% vs market 25.8% (-17.1 points)Mine Strike-17.1Just Majestic: model 5.9% vs market 11.0% (-5.1 points)Just Majestic-5.1Nipsey: model 4.9% vs market 5.9% (-1.1 points)Nipsey-1.1

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Miss Magical51.9%32.2%+19.7
Miss Valentina19.5%14.0%+5.4
Cousin Pammie9.2%11.0%-1.8
Mine Strike8.7%25.8%-17.1
Just Majestic5.9%11.0%-5.1
Nipsey4.9%5.9%-1.1
🌧️ Off-track: 362541
🎯 Longshots: 362154
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #5, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)
 
Race 5  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000
Win:4Role Play (7/2) 32% · fair 2-1 overlay +66%
Place:2Tinkatwo (3/1) 14% · fair 6-1 underlay -50%
Show:5Come On Poppi (6/1) 11% · fair 8-1
Other contenders:9Boombox Betty (8/1) 10% · fair 9-1, 6Mindful Grace (6/1) 8% · fair 23-2 underlay -48%, 8Hippy Hippy Shake (12/1) 6% · fair 15-1, 10Smart Lisa (8/1) 5% · fair 17-1 underlay -53%
Rest of field:7List (15/1) 5% · fair 20-1, 11Spirit Of Jamaica (15/1) 3% · fair 59-2 underlay -49%, 1Precious Sight (20/1) 3% · fair 65-2 underlay -39%, 3Dream Diamond (30/1) 2% · fair 61-1 underlay -51%
Race 5 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Role Play — 32.2% win probability, morning line 3.5/1Role Play32.2% ◀Tinkatwo — 14.4% win probability, morning line 3/1Tinkatwo14.4%Come On Poppi — 11.2% win probability, morning line 6/1Come On Poppi11.2%Boombox Betty — 10.0% win probability, morning line 8/1Boombox Betty10.0%Mindful Grace — 7.9% win probability, morning line 6/1Mindful Grace7.9%Hippy Hippy Shake — 6.2% win probability, morning line 12/1Hippy Hippy Shake6.2%Smart Lisa — 5.5% win probability, morning line 8/1Smart Lisa5.5%List — 4.8% win probability, morning line 15/1List4.8%Spirit Of Jamaica — 3.3% win probability, morning line 15/1Spirit Of Jamaica3.3%Precious Sight — 3.0% win probability, morning line 20/1Precious Sight3.0%Dream Diamond — 1.6% win probability, morning line 30/1Dream Diamond1.6%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Role Play32.2%3.5/1
Tinkatwo14.4%3/1
Come On Poppi11.2%6/1
Boombox Betty10.0%8/1
Mindful Grace7.9%6/1
Hippy Hippy Shake6.2%12/1
Smart Lisa5.5%8/1
List4.8%15/1
Spirit Of Jamaica3.3%15/1
Precious Sight3.0%20/1
Dream Diamond1.6%30/1
Race 5 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherRole Play: model 32.2% vs market 17.6% (+14.5 points)Role Play+14.5Tinkatwo: model 14.4% vs market 19.8% (-5.4 points)Tinkatwo-5.4Come On Poppi: model 11.2% vs market 11.3% (-0.1 points)Come On Poppi-0.1Boombox Betty: model 10.0% vs market 8.8% (+1.2 points)Boombox Betty+1.2Mindful Grace: model 7.9% vs market 11.3% (-3.4 points)Mindful Grace-3.4Hippy Hippy Shake: model 6.2% vs market 6.1% (+0.1 points)Hippy Hippy Shake+0.1Smart Lisa: model 5.5% vs market 8.8% (-3.3 points)Smart Lisa-3.3List: model 4.8% vs market 5.0% (-0.1 points)List-0.1Spirit Of Jamaica: model 3.3% vs market 5.0% (-1.7 points)Spirit Of Jamaica-1.7Precious Sight: model 3.0% vs market 3.8% (-0.8 points)Precious Sight-0.8Dream Diamond: model 1.6% vs market 2.6% (-0.9 points)Dream Diamond-0.9

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Role Play32.2%17.6%+14.5
Tinkatwo14.4%19.8%-5.4
Come On Poppi11.2%11.3%-0.1
Boombox Betty10.0%8.8%+1.2
Mindful Grace7.9%11.3%-3.4
Hippy Hippy Shake6.2%6.1%+0.1
Smart Lisa5.5%8.8%-3.3
List4.8%5.0%-0.1
Spirit Of Jamaica3.3%5.0%-1.7
Precious Sight3.0%3.8%-0.8
Dream Diamond1.6%2.6%-0.9
🌧️ Off-track: 4256910
🎯 Longshots: 4987521011136
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #5, #9  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $45,000
Win:3Khozan Ostra (2/1) 47% · fair 1-1 overlay +74%
Place:4American Reign (3/1) 17% · fair 5-1 underlay -39%
Show:6Anushka (6/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -28%
Other contenders:7Howard Creek (6/1) 7% · fair 25-2 underlay -53%, 5Playful Tease (5/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -63%, 1Velocista (8/1) 6% · fair 29-2 underlay -46%
Rest of field:8St Margaret's Bay (12/1) 4% · fair 45-2 underlay -47%, 2Mabie's Tavern (20/1) 1% · fair 157-2 underlay -75%
Race 6 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Khozan Ostra — 46.5% win probability, morning line 2/1Khozan Ostra46.5% ◀American Reign — 16.8% win probability, morning line 3/1American Reign16.8%Anushka — 10.7% win probability, morning line 6/1Anushka10.7%Howard Creek — 7.3% win probability, morning line 6/1Howard Creek7.3%Playful Tease — 6.9% win probability, morning line 5/1Playful Tease6.9%Velocista — 6.4% win probability, morning line 8/1Velocista6.4%St Margaret'S Bay — 4.2% win probability, morning line 12/1St Margaret'S Bay4.2%Mabie'S Tavern — 1.3% win probability, morning line 20/1Mabie'S Tavern1.3%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Khozan Ostra46.5%2/1
American Reign16.8%3/1
Anushka10.7%6/1
Howard Creek7.3%6/1
Playful Tease6.9%5/1
Velocista6.4%8/1
St Margaret'S Bay4.2%12/1
Mabie'S Tavern1.3%20/1
Race 6 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherKhozan Ostra: model 46.5% vs market 26.2% (+20.3 points)Khozan Ostra+20.3American Reign: model 16.8% vs market 19.7% (-2.9 points)American Reign-2.9Anushka: model 10.7% vs market 11.2% (-0.6 points)Anushka-0.6Howard Creek: model 7.3% vs market 11.2% (-3.9 points)Howard Creek-3.9Playful Tease: model 6.9% vs market 13.1% (-6.2 points)Playful Tease-6.2Velocista: model 6.4% vs market 8.7% (-2.4 points)Velocista-2.4St Margaret'S Bay: model 4.2% vs market 6.1% (-1.8 points)St Margaret'S Bay-1.8Mabie'S Tavern: model 1.3% vs market 3.7% (-2.5 points)Mabie'S Tavern-2.5

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Khozan Ostra46.5%26.2%+20.3
American Reign16.8%19.7%-2.9
Anushka10.7%11.2%-0.6
Howard Creek7.3%11.2%-3.9
Playful Tease6.9%13.1%-6.2
Velocista6.4%8.7%-2.4
St Margaret'S Bay4.2%6.1%-1.8
Mabie'S Tavern1.3%3.7%-2.5
🌧️ Off-track: 345671
🎯 Longshots: 34657182
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #6, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,500
Win:4Happy Ride (2/1) 25% · fair 3-1 underlay -33%
Place:5Chloe's Toy (5/2) 23% · fair 7-2 underlay -26%
Show:1My Perfect Lady (7/2) 16% · fair 11-2 underlay -35%
Other contenders:2Roxy (5/1) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -25%, 7Travel Happy (6/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -27%
Rest of field:3Logistics (12/1) 8% · fair 12-1, 6Valiant Victoria (15/1) 5% · fair 20-1
Race 7 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Happy Ride — 25.0% win probability, morning line 2/1Happy Ride25.0% ◀Chloe'S Toy — 22.9% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Chloe'S Toy22.9%My Perfect Lady — 15.7% win probability, morning line 3.5/1My Perfect Lady15.7%Roxy — 13.0% win probability, morning line 5/1Roxy13.0%Travel Happy — 10.8% win probability, morning line 6/1Travel Happy10.8%Logistics — 7.8% win probability, morning line 12/1Logistics7.8%Valiant Victoria — 4.8% win probability, morning line 15/1Valiant Victoria4.8%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Happy Ride25.0%2/1
Chloe'S Toy22.9%2.5/1
My Perfect Lady15.7%3.5/1
Roxy13.0%5/1
Travel Happy10.8%6/1
Logistics7.8%12/1
Valiant Victoria4.8%15/1
🌧️ Off-track: 451273
🎯 Longshots: 5436172
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #5, #1, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $35,000
Win:8White Bullet (4/1) 22% · fair 7-2
Place:11Governor Dutton (6/1) 15% · fair 11-2
Show:3Titans Edge (6/1) 12% · fair 7-1
Other contenders:4Zevi's Zone (5/1) 11% · fair 17-2 underlay -41%, 1Shinyhappygroovy (8/1) 9% · fair 19-2, 6Redhotnotbothered (8/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -32%, 10Inhonorofsonny (8/1) 8% · fair 12-1 underlay -35%
Rest of field:7Skipping Stars (10/1) 7% · fair 27-2 underlay -25%, 5Braveness (6/1) 6% · fair 33-2 underlay -64%, 2Image (20/1) 1% · fair 151-2 underlay -74%, 9Sharpazano (30/1) 1% · fair 161-2 underlay -63%
Race 8 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

White Bullet — 21.7% win probability, morning line 4/1White Bullet21.7% ◀Governor Dutton — 15.4% win probability, morning line 6/1Governor Dutton15.4%Titans Edge — 12.4% win probability, morning line 6/1Titans Edge12.4%Zevi'S Zone — 10.6% win probability, morning line 5/1Zevi'S Zone10.6%Shinyhappygroovy — 9.4% win probability, morning line 8/1Shinyhappygroovy9.4%Redhotnotbothered — 7.8% win probability, morning line 8/1Redhotnotbothered7.8%Inhonorofsonny — 7.6% win probability, morning line 8/1Inhonorofsonny7.6%Skipping Stars — 6.9% win probability, morning line 10/1Skipping Stars6.9%Braveness — 5.6% win probability, morning line 6/1Braveness5.6%Image — 1.3% win probability, morning line 20/1Image1.3%Sharpazano — 1.2% win probability, morning line 30/1Sharpazano1.2%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
White Bullet21.7%4/1
Governor Dutton15.4%6/1
Titans Edge12.4%6/1
Zevi'S Zone10.6%5/1
Shinyhappygroovy9.4%8/1
Redhotnotbothered7.8%8/1
Inhonorofsonny7.6%8/1
Skipping Stars6.9%10/1
Braveness5.6%6/1
Image1.3%20/1
Sharpazano1.2%30/1
Race 8 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherWhite Bullet: model 21.7% vs market 15.4% (+6.3 points)White Bullet+6.3Governor Dutton: model 15.4% vs market 11.0% (+4.4 points)Governor Dutton+4.4Titans Edge: model 12.4% vs market 11.0% (+1.4 points)Titans Edge+1.4Zevi'S Zone: model 10.6% vs market 12.8% (-2.2 points)Zevi'S Zone-2.2Shinyhappygroovy: model 9.4% vs market 8.6% (+0.8 points)Shinyhappygroovy+0.8Redhotnotbothered: model 7.8% vs market 8.6% (-0.8 points)Redhotnotbothered-0.8Inhonorofsonny: model 7.6% vs market 8.6% (-1.0 points)Inhonorofsonny-1.0Skipping Stars: model 6.9% vs market 7.0% (-0.1 points)Skipping Stars-0.1Braveness: model 5.6% vs market 11.0% (-5.3 points)Braveness-5.3Image: model 1.3% vs market 3.7% (-2.4 points)Image-2.4Sharpazano: model 1.2% vs market 2.5% (-1.3 points)Sharpazano-1.3

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
White Bullet21.7%15.4%+6.3
Governor Dutton15.4%11.0%+4.4
Titans Edge12.4%11.0%+1.4
Zevi'S Zone10.6%12.8%-2.2
Shinyhappygroovy9.4%8.6%+0.8
Redhotnotbothered7.8%8.6%-0.8
Inhonorofsonny7.6%8.6%-1.0
Skipping Stars6.9%7.0%-0.1
Braveness5.6%11.0%-5.3
Image1.3%3.7%-2.4
Sharpazano1.2%2.5%-1.3
🌧️ Off-track: 8113415
🎯 Longshots: 1678410113592
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #11, #3, #4  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000
Win:7Geaux Amy (5/2) 31% · fair 5-2
Place:8Birdie Rose (3/1) 22% · fair 7-2
Show:5Das Ist Alles Ally (9/2) 13% · fair 13-2 underlay -30%
Other contenders:6Atmidnight (5/1) 11% · fair 15-2 underlay -35%, 1Pocket Pair (6/1) 10% · fair 17-2 underlay -31%, 2Ton A Laughs (6/1) 6% · fair 15-1 underlay -60%
Rest of field:3Judge Judith (15/1) 3% · fair 59-2 underlay -49%, 4Sunroof (20/1) 2% · fair 93-2 underlay -57%
Race 9 — chance of winning

Every runner, as a calibrated probability. The bars add up to 100%, so they read as real odds.

Geaux Amy — 30.8% win probability, morning line 2.5/1Geaux Amy30.8% ◀Birdie Rose — 22.4% win probability, morning line 3/1Birdie Rose22.4%Das Ist Alles Ally — 13.4% win probability, morning line 4.5/1Das Ist Alles Ally13.4%Atmidnight — 11.4% win probability, morning line 5/1Atmidnight11.4%Pocket Pair — 10.3% win probability, morning line 6/1Pocket Pair10.3%Ton A Laughs — 6.3% win probability, morning line 6/1Ton A Laughs6.3%Judge Judith — 3.3% win probability, morning line 15/1Judge Judith3.3%Sunroof — 2.1% win probability, morning line 20/1Sunroof2.1%

◀ marks the published selection.

Show the numbers
HorseWin probabilityMorning line
Geaux Amy30.8%2.5/1
Birdie Rose22.4%3/1
Das Ist Alles Ally13.4%4.5/1
Atmidnight11.4%5/1
Pocket Pair10.3%6/1
Ton A Laughs6.3%6/1
Judge Judith3.3%15/1
Sunroof2.1%20/1
Race 9 — where we disagree with the market

Our probability minus the morning line's, both put on the same 100% scale.

we rate it above the market (overlay)the market rates it above us (underlay)
model rates it higher →← market rates it higherGeaux Amy: model 30.8% vs market 22.3% (+8.4 points)Geaux Amy+8.4Birdie Rose: model 22.4% vs market 19.5% (+2.9 points)Birdie Rose+2.9Das Ist Alles Ally: model 13.4% vs market 14.2% (-0.8 points)Das Ist Alles Ally-0.8Atmidnight: model 11.4% vs market 13.0% (-1.6 points)Atmidnight-1.6Pocket Pair: model 10.3% vs market 11.2% (-0.8 points)Pocket Pair-0.8Ton A Laughs: model 6.3% vs market 11.2% (-4.9 points)Ton A Laughs-4.9Judge Judith: model 3.3% vs market 4.9% (-1.6 points)Judge Judith-1.6Sunroof: model 2.1% vs market 3.7% (-1.6 points)Sunroof-1.6

The morning line is priced to more than 100%; removing that is what stops every horse looking short.

Show the numbers
HorseModelMarketDifference
Geaux Amy30.8%22.3%+8.4
Birdie Rose22.4%19.5%+2.9
Das Ist Alles Ally13.4%14.2%-0.8
Atmidnight11.4%13.0%-1.6
Pocket Pair10.3%11.2%-0.8
Ton A Laughs6.3%11.2%-4.9
Judge Judith3.3%4.9%-1.6
Sunroof2.1%3.7%-1.6
🌧️ Off-track: 785612
🎯 Longshots: 78516342
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #8, #5, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
AI Picks – Algo 1 (Weighted Rating)ⓘ
 
Race 1  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $27,000
Win:9Cathedral Sun (5/2)
Place:1Magic Mini (6/1)
Show:8Dorothy (9/2)
Other contenders:3Positano Princess (5/1), 4Gold Glitters (6/1), 5Reconquista (8/1)
Rest of field:7Beautiful Tapdance (10/1), 2All Light Long (12/1), 10Bustin Border (20/1), 6Esther's Favor (30/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 981345
🎯 Longshots: 98345172610
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #1, #8, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000
Win:8R Delray (9/5)
Place:4Valdero (5/2)
Show:7Rodhan (5/1)
Other contenders:3Adios Mate (9/2), 6Western Shaft (8/1), 2Noble Prince (20/1)
Rest of field:5Lobo Go (10/1), 1Hendrickson (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 843765
🎯 Longshots: 84623751
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #7, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $30,000
Win:8R Kan't Miss (5/2)
Place:7R Nashvegas (2/1)
Show:1Daughter's Legacy (4/1)
Other contenders:6Delta Queen (6/1), 2Guerrera (6/1), 4Jukebox Jenny (12/1)
Rest of field:5Bayern It (15/1), 3Penny Cheaper (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 871624
🎯 Longshots: 78126453
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #7, #1, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:3Miss Magical (7/5)
Place:6Mine Strike (2/1)
Show:2Miss Valentina (9/2)
Other contenders:5Cousin Pammie (6/1), 4Just Majestic (6/1)
Rest of field:1Nipsey (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 362541
🎯 Longshots: 362154
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)
 
Race 5  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000
Win:4Role Play (7/2)
Place:2Tinkatwo (3/1)
Show:5Come On Poppi (6/1)
Other contenders:9Boombox Betty (8/1), 8Hippy Hippy Shake (12/1), 10Smart Lisa (8/1), 6Mindful Grace (6/1)
Rest of field:11Spirit Of Jamaica (15/1), 7List (15/1), 3Dream Diamond (30/1), 1Precious Sight (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2456910
🎯 Longshots: 4987521011136
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #5, #9  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $45,000
Win:3Khozan Ostra (2/1)
Place:4American Reign (3/1)
Show:6Anushka (6/1)
Other contenders:7Howard Creek (6/1), 5Playful Tease (5/1), 8St Margaret's Bay (12/1)
Rest of field:1Velocista (8/1), 2Mabie's Tavern (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 345671
🎯 Longshots: 34657182
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #6, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,500
Win:5Chloe's Toy (5/2)
Place:4Happy Ride (2/1)
Show:1My Perfect Lady (7/2)
Other contenders:7Travel Happy (6/1), 2Roxy (5/1)
Rest of field:3Logistics (12/1), 6Valiant Victoria (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 451723
🎯 Longshots: 5436172
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #1, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $35,000
Win:8White Bullet (4/1)
Place:4Zevi's Zone (5/1)
Show:5Braveness (6/1)
Other contenders:11Governor Dutton (6/1), 6Redhotnotbothered (8/1), 7Skipping Stars (10/1), 1Shinyhappygroovy (8/1)
Rest of field:3Titans Edge (6/1), 10Inhonorofsonny (8/1), 9Sharpazano (30/1), 2Image (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8451136
🎯 Longshots: 1678410113592
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #5, #11  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000
Win:8Birdie Rose (3/1)
Place:7Geaux Amy (5/2)
Show:5Das Ist Alles Ally (9/2)
Other contenders:6Atmidnight (5/1), 1Pocket Pair (6/1), 2Ton A Laughs (6/1)
Rest of field:3Judge Judith (15/1), 4Sunroof (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 785612
🎯 Longshots: 78516342
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #7, #5, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 20, FPS: 15, FPS Midpoint: 10, FPS Late: 10, Pace Last 3: 10, Pace Last Race: 15, Early Pace: 10, Mid Pace: 10, Late Pace: 20, Post Position: 10, PPPP Rating: 15, Average Finish: 10, Days Since Last Race: 10, Jockey: 14, Trainer: 14, Track Bias: 15, Morning Line: 14, Pedigree: 51, Works: 5, Weight: 15, Medications: 0, Weather: 10, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 10, Last Three Races: 15, All Races: 10, Best Race: 5, Proprietary AI: 5,
AI Exotics – Exacta & Trifecta Structuresⓘ

Ticket structures, not profit claims. On 8,600 frozen races the straight exacta ordered by our Stretch model ran close to breakeven (−0.9%) where the published Win/Place order lost about 19%; trifectas have not shown a positive return in any segment we have measured. Check the tote before you play.

Race 1AI Exacta: #9 over #8 ($1 straight; box #9-#8 for cover)
Trifecta: #9 over #1, #5, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 2AI Exacta: #8 over #4 ($1 straight; box #8-#4 for cover)
Trifecta: #8 over #4, #3, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 3AI Exacta: #8 over #7 ($1 straight; box #8-#7 for cover)
Trifecta: #8 over #7, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 4AI Exacta: #3 over #6 ($1 straight; box #3-#6 for cover)
Trifecta: #3 over #2, #6, #5 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)
Race 5AI Exacta: #4 over #2 ($1 straight; box #4-#2 for cover)
Trifecta: #4 over #2, #5, #9 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 6AI Exacta: #3 over #4 ($1 straight; box #3-#4 for cover)
Trifecta: #3 over #4, #6, #8 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 7AI Exacta: #5 over #4 ($1 straight; box #5-#4 for cover)
Trifecta: #5 over #4, #1, #2 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 8AI Exacta: #8 over #4 ($1 straight; box #8-#4 for cover)
Trifecta: #1 over #11, #5, #7 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Race 9AI Exacta: #7 over #8 ($1 straight; box #7-#8 for cover)
Trifecta: #7 over #8, #5, #6 (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
Experimental Weight Set 2ⓘ
 
Race 1  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $27,000
Win:9Cathedral Sun (5/2)
Place:8Dorothy (9/2)
Show:3Positano Princess (5/1)
Other contenders:1Magic Mini (6/1), 4Gold Glitters (6/1), 5Reconquista (8/1)
Rest of field:7Beautiful Tapdance (10/1), 2All Light Long (12/1), 6Esther's Favor (30/1), 10Bustin Border (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 983145
🎯 Longshots: 98345172610
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #8, #3, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000
Win:8R Delray (9/5)
Place:4Valdero (5/2)
Show:7Rodhan (5/1)
Other contenders:3Adios Mate (9/2), 6Western Shaft (8/1), 2Noble Prince (20/1)
Rest of field:5Lobo Go (10/1), 1Hendrickson (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 847365
🎯 Longshots: 84623751
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #7, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $30,000
Win:8R Kan't Miss (5/2)
Place:7R Nashvegas (2/1)
Show:2Guerrera (6/1)
Other contenders:1Daughter's Legacy (4/1), 6Delta Queen (6/1), 4Jukebox Jenny (12/1)
Rest of field:3Penny Cheaper (20/1), 5Bayern It (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 871264
🎯 Longshots: 78126453
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #7, #2, #1  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:3Miss Magical (7/5)
Place:6Mine Strike (2/1)
Show:2Miss Valentina (9/2)
Other contenders:5Cousin Pammie (6/1), 4Just Majestic (6/1)
Rest of field:1Nipsey (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 362541
🎯 Longshots: 362154
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #6, #2, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)
 
Race 5  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000
Win:4Role Play (7/2)
Place:2Tinkatwo (3/1)
Show:9Boombox Betty (8/1)
Other contenders:5Come On Poppi (6/1), 6Mindful Grace (6/1), 3Dream Diamond (30/1), 8Hippy Hippy Shake (12/1)
Rest of field:10Smart Lisa (8/1), 7List (15/1), 11Spirit Of Jamaica (15/1), 1Precious Sight (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4256910
🎯 Longshots: 4987521011136
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #9, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $45,000
Win:3Khozan Ostra (2/1)
Place:4American Reign (3/1)
Show:6Anushka (6/1)
Other contenders:7Howard Creek (6/1), 5Playful Tease (5/1), 1Velocista (8/1)
Rest of field:8St Margaret's Bay (12/1), 2Mabie's Tavern (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 345671
🎯 Longshots: 34657182
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #6, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,500
Win:5Chloe's Toy (5/2)
Place:7Travel Happy (6/1)
Show:1My Perfect Lady (7/2)
Other contenders:3Logistics (12/1), 4Happy Ride (2/1)
Rest of field:2Roxy (5/1), 6Valiant Victoria (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 541723
🎯 Longshots: 5436172
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #7, #1, #3  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $35,000
Win:4Zevi's Zone (5/1)
Place:11Governor Dutton (6/1)
Show:1Shinyhappygroovy (8/1)
Other contenders:5Braveness (6/1), 6Redhotnotbothered (8/1), 8White Bullet (4/1), 7Skipping Stars (10/1)
Rest of field:3Titans Edge (6/1), 10Inhonorofsonny (8/1), 9Sharpazano (30/1), 2Image (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 4811513
🎯 Longshots: 1678410113592
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #11, #1, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000
Win:7Geaux Amy (5/2)
Place:8Birdie Rose (3/1)
Show:5Das Ist Alles Ally (9/2)
Other contenders:6Atmidnight (5/1), 3Judge Judith (15/1), 1Pocket Pair (6/1)
Rest of field:2Ton A Laughs (6/1), 4Sunroof (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 785612
🎯 Longshots: 78516342
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #8, #5, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 1, FPS: 1, FPS Midpoint: 25, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 1, Pace Last Race: 1, Early Pace: 45, Mid Pace: 46, Late Pace: 14, Post Position: 1, PPPP Rating: 1, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 1, Jockey: 1, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 21, Morning Line: 1, Pedigree: 1, Works: 1, Weight: 57, Medications: 0, Weather: 4, Race Trouble: 42, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 27, All Races: 1, Best Race: 1, Proprietary AI: 1,
Experimental Weight Set 3ⓘ
 
Race 1  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $27,000
Win:9Cathedral Sun (5/2)
Place:1Magic Mini (6/1)
Show:5Reconquista (8/1)
Other contenders:8Dorothy (9/2), 3Positano Princess (5/1), 4Gold Glitters (6/1)
Rest of field:2All Light Long (12/1), 7Beautiful Tapdance (10/1), 6Esther's Favor (30/1), 10Bustin Border (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 981345
🎯 Longshots: 98345172610
🎫 Trifecta play: #9 over #1, #5, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 2  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000
Win:8R Delray (9/5)
Place:4Valdero (5/2)
Show:3Adios Mate (9/2)
Other contenders:7Rodhan (5/1), 6Western Shaft (8/1), 2Noble Prince (20/1)
Rest of field:5Lobo Go (10/1), 1Hendrickson (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 843765
🎯 Longshots: 84623751
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #4, #3, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 3  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Claiming · Purse $30,000
Win:8R Kan't Miss (5/2)
Place:7R Nashvegas (2/1)
Show:1Daughter's Legacy (4/1)
Other contenders:2Guerrera (6/1), 6Delta Queen (6/1), 4Jukebox Jenny (12/1)
Rest of field:3Penny Cheaper (20/1), 5Bayern It (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 871264
🎯 Longshots: 78126453
🎫 Trifecta play: #8 over #7, #1, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 4  1 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $28,000
Win:3Miss Magical (7/5)
Place:2Miss Valentina (9/2)
Show:6Mine Strike (2/1)
Other contenders:5Cousin Pammie (6/1), 4Just Majestic (6/1)
Rest of field:1Nipsey (12/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 362541
🎯 Longshots: 362154
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #2, #6, #5  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)
 
Race 5  1-70 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $23,000
Win:4Role Play (7/2)
Place:2Tinkatwo (3/1)
Show:5Come On Poppi (6/1)
Other contenders:9Boombox Betty (8/1), 6Mindful Grace (6/1), 8Hippy Hippy Shake (12/1), 10Smart Lisa (8/1)
Rest of field:7List (15/1), 11Spirit Of Jamaica (15/1), 3Dream Diamond (30/1), 1Precious Sight (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 2456910
🎯 Longshots: 4987521011136
🎫 Trifecta play: #4 over #2, #5, #9  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 6  6 Furlongs · Dirt · Maiden Optional Claiming · Purse $45,000
Win:3Khozan Ostra (2/1)
Place:4American Reign (3/1)
Show:6Anushka (6/1)
Other contenders:8St Margaret's Bay (12/1), 7Howard Creek (6/1), 5Playful Tease (5/1)
Rest of field:1Velocista (8/1), 2Mabie's Tavern (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 345671
🎯 Longshots: 34657182
🎫 Trifecta play: #3 over #4, #6, #8  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 7  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Optional Claiming · Purse $28,500
Win:5Chloe's Toy (5/2)
Place:4Happy Ride (2/1)
Show:1My Perfect Lady (7/2)
Other contenders:2Roxy (5/1), 3Logistics (12/1)
Rest of field:7Travel Happy (6/1), 6Valiant Victoria (15/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 541273
🎯 Longshots: 5436172
🎫 Trifecta play: #5 over #4, #1, #2  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 8  5 1/2 Furlongs · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $35,000
Win:1Shinyhappygroovy (8/1)
Place:11Governor Dutton (6/1)
Show:5Braveness (6/1)
Other contenders:7Skipping Stars (10/1), 8White Bullet (4/1), 4Zevi's Zone (5/1), 6Redhotnotbothered (8/1)
Rest of field:3Titans Edge (6/1), 10Inhonorofsonny (8/1), 9Sharpazano (30/1), 2Image (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 8411513
🎯 Longshots: 1678410113592
🎫 Trifecta play: #1 over #11, #5, #7  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
Race 9  1 1/16 Miles · Dirt · Claiming · Purse $24,000
Win:7Geaux Amy (5/2)
Place:8Birdie Rose (3/1)
Show:5Das Ist Alles Ally (9/2)
Other contenders:6Atmidnight (5/1), 1Pocket Pair (6/1), 2Ton A Laughs (6/1)
Rest of field:3Judge Judith (15/1), 4Sunroof (20/1)
🌧️ Off-track: 785612
🎯 Longshots: 78516342
🎫 Trifecta play: #7 over #8, #5, #6  (key win / box 2nd-3rd — 6 combos)  · low value — consider passing
 
AI Weight Settingsⓘ
Speed: 51, FPS: 4, FPS Midpoint: 50, FPS Late: 1, Pace Last 3: 26, Pace Last Race: 51, Early Pace: 50, Mid Pace: 50, Late Pace: 50, Post Position: 76, PPPP Rating: 56, Average Finish: 1, Days Since Last Race: 26, Jockey: 6, Trainer: 1, Track Bias: 56, Morning Line: 26, Pedigree: 55, Works: 26, Weight: 50, Medications: 0, Weather: 50, Race Trouble: 50, Last Race: 1, Last Three Races: 81, All Races: 70, Best Race: 53, Proprietary AI: 1,
AI Multi-Race Tickets – Pick 3 / Pick 4ⓘ

Built from the AI Win Probability model: each leg takes horses in probability order until it covers about 60% of the race (max three). The hit chance is the model's own estimate; multi-race tickets have no backtest yet, so use these as construction help, not a system. Confirm the sequence is offered and the base bet at your track.

Pick 3 R1-3R1: #9,#8,#5 (60%) / R2: #8,#4 (64%) / R3: #8,#7 (71%)
$12 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 27%
Pick 3 R2-4R2: #8,#4 (64%) / R3: #8,#7 (71%) / R4: #3,#2 (71%)
$8 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 32%
Pick 3 R3-5R3: #8,#7 (71%) / R4: #3,#2 (71%) / R5: #4,#2,#5 (58%)
$12 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 29%
Pick 3 R4-6R4: #3,#2 (71%) / R5: #4,#2,#5 (58%) / R6: #3,#4 (63%)
$12 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 26%
Pick 4 R1-4R1: #9,#8,#5 (60%) / R2: #8,#4 (64%) / R3: #8,#7 (71%) / R4: #3,#2 (71%)
$24 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 19%
Pick 4 R2-5R2: #8,#4 (64%) / R3: #8,#7 (71%) / R4: #3,#2 (71%) / R5: #4,#2,#5 (58%)
$24 at a $1 base · est. hit chance 19%
Index – Horses Running In This Cardⓘ
ADIOS MATEALL LIGHT LONGAMERICAN REIGNANUSHKAATMIDNIGHT
BEAUTIFUL TAPDANCEBIRDIE ROSEBOOMBOX BETTYBRAVENESSBUSTIN BORDER
CHLOE'S TOYCOME ON POPPICOUSIN PAMMIEDAS IST ALLES ALLYDAUGHTER'S LEGACY
DOROTHYDREAM DIAMONDESTHER'S FAVORGEAUX AMYGOLD GLITTERS
GUERRERAHAPPY RIDEHENDRICKSONHIPPY HIPPY SHAKEHOWARD CREEK
INHONOROFSONNYJUDGE JUDITHJUKEBOX JENNYJUST MAJESTICKHOZAN OSTRA
LOBO GOLOGISTICSMABIE'S TAVERNMAGIC MINIMINDFUL GRACE
MISS MAGICALMISS VALENTINAMY PERFECT LADYNIPSEYNOBLE PRINCE
PLAYFUL TEASEPOCKET PAIRPOSITANO PRINCESSPRECIOUS SIGHTR DELRAY
R NASHVEGASRECONQUISTAREDHOTNOTBOTHEREDRODHANROLE PLAY
SHARPAZANOSHINYHAPPYGROOVYSKIPPING STARSSMART LISASPIRIT OF JAMAICA
SUNROOFTINKATWOTITANS EDGETON A LAUGHSTRAVEL HAPPY
VALIANT VICTORIAVELOCISTAWESTERN SHAFTWHITE BULLETZEVI'S ZONE

 


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