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Aqueduct Racetrack hosts a full card of stakes, maiden, and claiming action on Saturday, November 22, 2025, featuring New York-bred stakes, competitive allowances, and a strong selection of maidens. The day is highlighted by the New York Stallion Series for both males and fillies/mares, attracting some of the top local talent. Several horses with high recent win and place percentages, as well as connections known for success, are entered across the card.
Weather and Track Conditions
The weather in Ozone Park is cloudy with temperatures near 50°F and humidity around 77%. There is a slight chance of rain late in the day, but no significant precipitation is expected during racing hours. The dirt track is listed as Fast, and the turf is Firm. There have been no major program changes or cancellations announced for today’s races.
Post Position and Track Bias
Aqueduct’s main dirt track tends to be fair across all post positions, with posts 1-6 often preferred, particularly in smaller fields. There is no overwhelming inside or outside bias on the dirt, but front-running speed horses have historically performed well, especially in shorter sprints. On the turf, inside posts (1-2) show a stronger win percentage, especially in route races. Today’s turf races feature a rail at 36 feet, which can slightly accentuate the inside bias but middle and outside posts remain viable, especially when the field is deep.
Race 1: 7F Dirt (Stakes)
Post Time
11:40 AM
Pace Analysis
The race features several known speed horses and stalkers, including Dr. Kraft and Doc Sullivan. Expect a moderate early pace with a contested lead. Pressure from multiple speed types could set up a late rally from a horse just off the pace.
Key Contenders
Dr. Kraft brings strong early speed and has been consistent. Doc Sullivan is also quick from the gate and has faced similar company. Bank Frenzy, despite a wide draw, is proven at stakes level.
Secondary Choices
Jackson Heights and General Banker have tactical speed and could benefit if the early pace is hot.
Longshots
None are obvious standout value picks given the quality of the field.
Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles
A vertical exotics play (exacta/trifecta) is recommended due to the tight competition. Use Dr. Kraft and Doc Sullivan as primary win/place horses, with Bank Frenzy underneath.
Selections
Win: Dr. Kraft
Place: Doc Sullivan
Show: Bank Frenzy
Race 2: 6F Dirt (Claiming)
Post Time
12:10 PM
Pace Analysis
Amundson and Burninhunkoflove are the main speed types. With several closers, a hot early pace could set up a good rally for a horse rating off the pace.
Key Contenders
Amundson has a strong recent record and a favorable jockey/trainer combo. Burninhunkoflove is versatile and fits well.
Secondary Choices
Emerald Forest and Dot’s Dollar both have closing ability and could improve if the pace is pressured.
Longshots
Princip and Laughing Boy could surprise if they get a perfect trip.
Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles
Use Amundson and Burninhunkoflove as the primary win/place options, and include Emerald Forest and Dot’s Dollar in exactas.
Selections
Win: Amundson
Place: Burninhunkoflove
Show: Emerald Forest
Race 3: 6F Dirt (Maiden Special Weight, NY-bred Fillies)
Post Time
12:40 PM
Pace Analysis
Several speed horses in the field, including Kaz Farm Girl and Fabian’s Princess. Expect an honest early pace with a chance for a closing move.
Key Contenders
Fabian’s Princess has top connections and strong workouts. Kaz Farm Girl is quick and has raced against tough NY-breds.
Secondary Choices
Tiffany’s Gem and Carmen Amalia have tactical speed and can benefit from a fast early pace.
Longshots
Liberty’s Advance and Braverthanubelieve could run better than their odds suggest.
Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles
A straight win bet on Fabian’s Princess is recommended. Include Kaz Farm Girl and Tiffany’s Gem in exactas.
Selections
Win: Fabian’s Princess
Place: Kaz Farm Girl
Show: Tiffany’s Gem
Race 4: 7F Dirt (Stakes, Fillies & Mares)
Post Time
1:10 PM
Pace Analysis
Soloshot and Stone Smuggler are speed horses, likely to set a pressured pace. The closers, like Intentious and Storm Changer, could be dangerous if the pace collapses.
Key Contenders
Soloshot is in form and has the right running style. Stone Smuggler is fast and has raced in stakes before.
Secondary Choices
Intentious and Storm Changer have shown improvement and could benefit from a fast pace.
Longshots
Khali Magic and Sunday Girl could surprise if the early pace is extreme.
Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles
Use Soloshot and Stone Smuggler as the main win/place horses, with Intentious underneath in exotics.
Selections
Win: Soloshot
Place: Stone Smuggler
Show: Intentious
Race 5: 6F Dirt (Maiden Special Weight, NY-bred)
Post Time
1:40 PM
Pace Analysis
Mach Schnell and Party in the Army have speed, but several others can contest the early lead. Expect a contested pace.
Key Contenders
Mach Schnell is fast and has been close in recent starts. Party in the Army has strong speed and a good recent effort.
Secondary Choices
Stanicky and Pride of the Union have shown ability to close.
Longshots
Pure Mischief and Just Tipsy could improve if the pace is fast.
Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles
A straight win bet on Mach Schnell is suggested. Use Party in the Army and Stanicky in exactas.
Selections
Win: Mach Schnell
Place: Party in the Army
Show: Stanicky
Race 6: 6.5F Dirt (Maiden Special Weight)
Post Time
2:10 PM
Pace Analysis
Hedge Ratio and Complex Charlie have speed, but several others can go. Expect an honest pace with multiple early leaders.
Key Contenders
Hedge Ratio is a top pick with a strong recent workout and high-profile connections. Complex Charlie is versatile and has raced well.
Secondary Choices
Feroce and Dark Force have closing ability.
Longshots
Ovechkin and Marble Hall could surprise with a good trip.
Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles
Use Hedge Ratio as the main win/place horse. Include Complex Charlie and Feroce in exotics.
Selections
Win: Hedge Ratio
Place: Complex Charlie
Show: Feroce
Race 7: 1.125M Outer Turf (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Post Time
2:39 PM
Pace Analysis
Curlin’s Girl and Miss Beethoven could set a steady pace. The closers, like Poca Mucha and Widdershins, could be dangerous if the pace is honest.
Key Contenders
Curlin’s Girl is well-fitted and has a strong turf pedigree. Miss Beethoven is versatile and has improved.
Secondary Choices
Poca Mucha and Bobby Jean could close into a fast pace.
Longshots
Trail of Gold and Perky could run well at a price.
Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles
A win bet on Curlin’s Girl is recommended. Use Miss Beethoven and Poca Mucha in exactas.
Selections
Win: Curlin’s Girl
Place: Miss Beethoven
Show: Poca Mucha
Race 8: 6.5F Dirt (Starter Allowance)
Post Time
3:09 PM
Pace Analysis
Go Irish and Timaeus are speed types, likely to set a pressured pace. Closers like Social Hour and Coffee Talk could be dangerous.
Key Contenders
Go Irish is consistent and has strong speed. Timaeus is proven and versatile.
Secondary Choices
Social Hour and Coffee Talk have shown ability to close.
Longshots
Red Miller and Sir Kartrite could surprise if the pace is fast.
Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles
A straight win bet on Go Irish is suggested. Use Timaeus and Social Hour in exactas.
Selections
Win: Go Irish
Place: Timaeus
Show: Social Hour
Race 9: 7F Dirt (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Post Time
3:39 PM
Pace Analysis
Crushed It and Twenty Four Mamba are speed horses. Expect a contested early pace.
Key Contenders
Crushed It is consistent and has a strong recent record. Twenty Four Mamba is fast and versatile.
Secondary Choices
Ignite the Light and Big Hat Willie have closing ability.
Longshots
Sheriff Bianco and Eliminate could run better than their odds suggest.
Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles
A win bet on Crushed It is recommended. Use Twenty Four Mamba and Ignite the Light in exactas.
Selections
Win: Crushed It
Place: Twenty Four Mamba
Show: Ignite the Light
Race 10: 6F Outer Turf (Maiden Special Weight, NY-bred Fillies)
Post Time
4:09 PM
Pace Analysis
Ticket to Ride and So Tru are speed horses. Expect a fast early pace.
Key Contenders
Ticket to Ride is a top pick with strong speed and good connections. So Tru has a good recent effort.
Secondary Choices
Copper Caduceus and Joyful Dancer have closing ability.
Longshots
Rock Steady Babe and Miss Candy Girl could run well at a price.
Betting Strategy and Wagering Angles
A win bet on Ticket to Ride is suggested. Use So Tru and Copper Caduceus in exactas.
Selections
Win: Ticket to Ride
Place: So Tru
Show: Copper Caduceus
Jockey Notes and Insights
Flavien Prat and Joel Rosario are both riding multiple contenders today, including in key stakes races. Their ability to position horses for maximum advantage will be a significant factor. Jaime Rodriguez is versatile and has several strong mounts. Manuel Franco and Jose Lezcano are also consistent winners, especially in high-stakes races.
Trainer Notes and Insights
Kantarmaci Ilkay and John Ortiz are handling several high-profile entries today, including multiple stakes horses. Their ability to prepare horses for peak performance is a positive sign for their entries. Chad Brown and Brad Cox have strong turf runners and are well represented in the turf allowance.
Best Wagering Strategies and Value Plays
Focus on straight win bets in the maiden and allowance races with horses like Hedge Ratio, Mach Schnell, and Ticket to Ride, who are in top form and well-connected. In the stakes, exacta and trifecta boxes are recommended due to the competitive fields. Use horses from the inside posts in the turf races for extra value. Pay attention to post position in the smaller fields, especially on the dirt, but don’t overemphasize it on the main track. The Pick 4 (races 7-10) offers value with broad coverage in the large-field maidens and tighter selections in the stakes.
